It's the day after Memorial Day, and thus one day past the first major milestone of the Major League Baseball season.
Since 1968, 53% of teams leading their divisions on Memorial Day went on to win them.
Compare that to more than 80% of teams who were leading their divisions on Labor Day, and it's practically useless to use today's standings to gauge October's pennant contenders.
The first installment focused on the American League, so today the spotlight is on the National League.Without further delay, here's a look at the contenders and pretenders in the NL as of Memorial Day.
National League East
Division Leader-New York Mets
Second Place-Atlanta Braves
In the Hunt-Philadelphia Phillies
The Mighty Mets are back!General Manager Omar Minaya put together a spectacular and incredibly balanced roster of talented pitchers and hitters, and his hard work in the off-season now appears to be paying dividends, guided by the steady managerial hand of Willie Randolph.What makes the Mets special is their blend of key free-agent acquisitions and home-grown talent.Carlos Beltran and Delgado may both have double-digit home runs and at least 35 RBI, but David Wright and Jos
Its Memorial Day, and thus the first major milestone of the Major League Baseball season.
Since 1968, 53% of teams leading their divisions on Memorial Day went on to win them.
Compare that to more than 80% of teams who were leading their divisions on Labor Day, and it's practically useless to use today's standings to gauge October's pennant contenders.
But there's no reason we can't try.So, without further ado, here's a quick look at the contenders and the pretenders through the first third of the major-league season.This installment will focus on the American League, the next on the National League.
American League East
Division Leader-Boston Red Sox
Second Place-New York Yankees
In the Hunt-Toronto Blue Jays
Will this finally be the season the Red Sox get crowned division champions?Curt Schilling is back and red-hot with eight wins already and 65 strikeouts.Combine that with the play of Manny Ram
Do professional athletes play for the love of the game, or is it all just about the money?
This question is the subject of a continuous and timeless debate in the sports world about the sincerity of the athletic endeavors of not only the most highly paid professionals, but also the average and more mediocre players.
Putting aside whether or not these athletes actually deserve the amount of money they make, one facet that remains largely unexplored is this question: How many veteran professional athletes actually still enjoy what they're doing?Studies suggest most Americans don't necessarily enjoy what they do for a living. Who knows how many athletes feel that way?
If one does not truly enjoy one's work, is there any shame in simply walking away to pursue something else in life?Veteran athletes, unlike many of us, have a unique ability to do this because of the large amounts of money they have already made, yet great players are often ridiculed, smeared, and even stigmatized for retiring while still in their prime.Today, I will comment on the early and often scorned retirement of Barry Sanders from the NFL, and explain why his action was really a noble, sincere, and self preserving choice.
As we have seen in the past from athletes such as Barry Sanders and Jim Brown, who both retired in their prime, as well as from athletes such as Michael Jordan and Roger Clemens, who both retired (or will retire) multiple times after long careers, it takes a lot of courage for a person to walk away from a game he or she loves.However, it takes the most courage to walk away in one's prime, as Sanders and Brown both did.Both were true to themselves and who they were; neither was getting the same enjoyment from playing football that made him become a professional football player to begin with, for whatever reason.
Yet people still ask why: Why did Barry Sanders retire one season short of breaking the all-time rushing record?Why did Jim Brown, who was arguably better than any running back who came before him, just suddenly decide that he no longer wanted to play professional football?They must not have loved the game anymore.Barry Sanders must have been just playing for the money.
To draw such conclusions is to ignore an essential paradox: Barry Sanders retired from football because he loved football.That's right.It wasn't just about contracts, losing teams, bad coaching, or incompetent front office executives.Yes, those things certainly made football less enjoyable for Barry, but in the end, I contend he retired to preserve his love for the game.
After 10 seasons with Detroit, Sanders had done just about everything a running back can do in a career, short of winning the Super Bowl and claiming the all-time rushing title.He led the NFL in rushing four times, rushed for over 1500 yards in a season an NFL-record 5 times, and rushed for over 100 yards in the final 14 games of 1997 (another NFL record), becoming only the third player in NFL history to reach 2000 rushing yards in a season.
But off the field, a tumultuous storm was swirling for Barry.Although they selected Sanders with the third pick in the 1989 NFL draft, the Lions had failed for nearly a decade to build a Super Bowl caliber team around him.In spite of this, the front office and even the coaching staff still expected him to carry the team on his back every Sunday and, along with the local media, seemed to generally blame him (besides the quarterback Rodney Peete or later Scott Mitchell) when things weren't going well.Like any great player in that stage of his career who had never won a championship might do, Sanders inquired after the 1998 season about being traded to another team, an offer which was subsequently refused and even ridiculed by the Lions brass.
Yes, the Lions had signed Barry Sanders two years before to a $35 million 6-year contract extension with an $11 million signing bonus, a veritable franchise player tag.Such an extension should have reflected a commitment from the front office to give their legendary running back the players his team needed to play deep into January.However, this was not happening as of 1998 in Detroit; on the contrary, the Lions were actually getting worse.
Not being granted a release from his contract or consulted about any type of trade, Barry began to feel the effects of being constantly underappreciated by grumbling fans and media.The tide of popular opinion began to turn against the Lions running back as his team's front office waged a public relations war against him.There was no way Barry Sanders could enjoy playing the game he loved in such an environment. He was faced with a life-changing decision: Walk away because he could no longer enjoy doing what he loved, or keep playing for the money.Eventually, he announced his retirement on July 28, 1999.
This is where things come full circle.To play without enjoyment is to play only for the money, and thus to risk compromising one's passion for the sport.Barry Sanders did the right thing for himself; he did not want to lose his love of football by resentfully going through the motions without enthusiasm or passion. Ask any NFL player why he first loved football, and the answer will probably be something like: "Because it was fun."For most, it is still fun.But if that ever changes, a player must reassess the sincerity of his motives, and whether or not he wants things to really be all about the money.
It is anyone's guess how many professional athletes-famous, average, or mediocre-no longer draw satisfaction from their work.However, one certainty is that despite any possible public resentment or ridicule, it is truly courageous and sincere for a famous athlete to admit in the midst of his prime that he no longer wishes to play his sport professionally.As for the reasons, such decisions are personal, and should remain personal unless disclosed by the individual who harbors them.
Since the average veteran athlete has already made a great deal of money in his career at a young age, he has the opportunity to retire and do something else if he so chooses.If a player is in a situation where he can no longer draw enjoyment from the sport he plays, why should he be criticized for exercising this advantage that most people do not have?
After all, with the amount of money NFL tickets cost and the amount of time it takes to build a winning team, nobody wants to cheer for players on their favorite team who don't even want to be there.
First of all, congratulations to the Detroit Pistons on their Game 7 victory over the Cleveland Cavaliers in a series that was far too close for comfort.Clearly Cleveland lacked the composure (which comes with playoff experience) to finish off the defending Eastern Conference champions, and the Pistons players played with undaunted tenacity and urgency in that final game to ensure victory.
However, a seven-game series against the Cavs doesn't bode well for a Pistons team that should have taken care of business in four or five games.Detroit was, to say the least, inconsistent throughout the series, winning the first two games only to drop three straight but regain their edge to win the final two.This sort of "stop and go driving" is something that a playoff contender can simply not allow to happen if they wish to succeed.Picking and choosing games to show up for will not suffice for the Pistons if they wish to defeat the Miami Heat.
Overall Matchup
At a glance, this series is Shaq and Dwyane Wade against that guy who wears the face mask, the guy with the fro, and that really good point guard.It still seems that the most famous Piston nationally is Rasheed Wallace (and that's largely because of his troubled history with Portland and his playoff "guaran-'Sheeds" with the Pistons) even though four of Detroit's five starters made the All-Star team this year and Chauncey Billups finished in the top five in MVP voting.Locally, the Pistons starting five are revered and known by all, even many who don't consider themselves basketball fans.But the fact remains that this is still virtually a team of role players with no single definitive offensive leader.Nationally, while the Pistons have grown in popularity as a team, their roster remains somewhat obscure to the casual fan, or at least the sports media.Just turn on ESPN, and chances are you might see a SportsCenter segment on Shaq, the SportsCenter commercial with Dwyane Wade, or even a feature on Pat Riley's triumphs in the face of negative publicity he received after taking over as coach of the Heat once again.But Miami is not even the best team in the Eastern conference.The Detroit Pistons had the best record, and have won the conference two straight years.Yet they remain an afterthought in the eyes of the national basketball media.
Obviously this is an excellent matchup.No team in basketball has a more balanced starting five, in terms of striking a harmony between offense and defense, than the Detroit Pistons.However, one would be hard-pressed to find a better 1-2 punch in the league then Wade and Shaq.Both teams also are relatively deep on the bench, but I still give the Pistons a slight edge in that department (Hunter, Delk, McDyess, etc.).
Miami will need to exploit their definite advantage on the glass and under the basket.Shaq, Alonzo Mourning, and Udonis Haslem must outmuscle Detroit inside, and be relentless in guarding under the basket on the defensive end.Also, Dwyane Wade is an extremely powerful weapon for driving to the basket, and he should help draw fouls and of course score plenty of points in this series.
For the Pistons, the key to this series lies in their perimeter shooting.When the Pistons make threes, they almost always win.When the threes don't fall, Detroit tends to lose their ability to do anything productive offensively.Making two-point jump shots are also crucial for the Pistons.Chauncey Billups, Richard Hamilton, and Rasheed Wallace must have good shot selection, and not throw up ill-advised jumpers in the face of two or three defenders.Detroit's inside game is not very effective, and as a team their ability to drive to the basket, while good, is limited.Therefore, good ballhandling and outside shooting should be used to create holes in Miami's defense that will allow the Pistons to penetrate inside.Defensively, Detroit should be able to limit Miami's scoring opportunities.Ben Wallace needs to be on top of his game, which he has been.The key is preventing the Heat from getting too many offensive rebounds.Hack-a-Shaq is never a bad option if all else fails.
Coaching Matchup
What can I say about this?You might have read my last post about Flip Saunders and his unproven playoff coaching abilities.Well, I still feel they are unproven.After all, the Cavs were an inexperienced playoff team with a very inexperienced coach, and I feel that largely it was the Pistons players who finally decided to retake control and win that series.
In the conference finals, Detroit meets the Miami Heat, a battle tested team led by basketball coaching legend Pat Riley.This is a team that, unlike the Cavs, would probably not have lost the final two games of a series in which they had led three games to two.This is a coach who has won multiple NBA championships and coached the likes of Magic Johnson, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, and James Worthy.Riley will dissect Detroit's strategies, and he will preside over his team with the utmost wisdom, competence, stamina, and precision.The man is a consummate perfectionist.He would not accept from his own players the arbitrary shifts of effort exhibited by the Pistons against the Cavs, and will certainly seize any opportunity to strike Detroit viciously in a moment of perceived weakness.
Fundamentally, I don't believe Flip Saunders is capable of out-coaching Riley under any circumstance.The Piston players can still win the series for the team, but if things come down to coaching, the absence of Larry Brown (see my last post) will come back to haunt them.
Predictions
In this series, the Pistons cannot afford to take any games off in the long-range jump shot department.When those shots fall, Detroit tends to control the tempo and claim victory.In the playoffs thus far, the Pistons have not shown the ability to win games in which they are shooting poorly from beyond the arc or from the field in general.They have not been able to get themselves out of the ruts created by missed shots and playing from behind.This can be attributed to inferior playoff coaching-the largely unproven Flip Saunders instead of the Hall of Famer Larry Brown.Coaches should be able to affect the attitudes of their players, and we'll see if Saunders can establish himself as a good postseason strategist as this conference final plays out.
Conversely, the Miami Heat took care of business against the New Jersey Nets, and although the games were competitive, it only took them five games to win the series.Considering this Heat team seems more lightly regarded than last year's, their show of power against the Nets should prove the capability of Pat Riley to lead this team to victory in the playoffs.Rebounds and the play of Dwyane Wade will make the difference for Miami against the Pistons.If Shaq is healthy (if he plays, I consider him healthy) and Wade can hit jump shots and penetrate off the dribble like he usually does, Detroit will have a difficult time shutting down both of them.
I believe basketball games can be largely won inside the paint.Many times the difference between a close game and a blowout is the difference between each team's points scored in the paint.The games in this series will be no different.While we could see a repeat of last year's thrilling seven-game series, the Pistons have not made the finals without Larry Brown as coach since 1990, and his absence will finally be realized against the Heat. Miami indeed has a clear advantage inside, and they will seize upon this to take rebounds away from the Pistons.Detroit will counter with stifling defense and productive jump shooting, but in the end, the Pistons will not be consistent enough to win four games in this series.Pat Riley, unlike Cavs coach Mike Brown, has a good enough team and a wealth of knowledge to exploit these inconsistencies to his team's advantage.
And yes, The Diesel will make his return to the NBA finals.
Thursday, May 18, 2006, 01:39 PM EST
[NBA Playoffs]
Talk about the wheels falling off.Even a return to the Palace of Auburn Hills couldn't help the dumbfounded Detroit Pistons as they lost their third consecutive game to His Royal Airness Lebron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Indeed, anyone who watched games 3-5 of the series was a witness, not only to the valiant play of the Chosen One, but also to the sheer incompetence of the veteran guided and defensive oriented basketball team that everyone thought had a free pass to the NBA finals, or at least the conference finals.
True, Rasheed Wallace did injure his ankle during game four, making him ineffective the rest of the night, but he is far from being the centerpiece of the Pistons roster.Argue about the calls and that obnoxious Anderson Varejao guy all you want, but the fact is Detroit didn't deserve to win any of the past three games.
The Pistons lack focus.I know it sounds ridiculous, especially for a team that has been so composed throughout the season and the past two or three seasons.But they clearly underestimated the Cavaliers after game two.The cause is not so simple.Detroit had every chance to win each game they have lost in this series, yet couldn't get over the proverbial hump when the game was close down the stretch.
Cavaliers coach Mike Brown, who appeared to be completely out of his element in the first two games, made some brilliant adjustments to his strategy and rotation, which I think partially entailed just giving Lebron the damn ball more often.But Lebron has a great, yet underrated team around him, and it's these key role players (i.e. Donyell Marshall, Zydrunas Ilglauskas, Anderson Varejao etc.) that have enabled Cleveland to bury the dagger in each victory.
Conversely, Pistons coach Flip Saunders has clearly not made the necessary adjustments to respond to the Cavaliers.Although Saunders was the most sought after coaching commodity in the off-season, and although he probably has more experience than Mike Brown, Saunders was largely unsuccessful in Minnesota, and one must wonder how good of a coach he really is.
It did not exactly take brilliant coaching to guide the Pistons to their regular-season success this past year.Coaches show what they're worth in the playoffs, and Saunders' playoff performances in Minnesota were truly horrendous.More than once it seemed that the Timberwolves might break through for a finals run.And each time they failed, everyone blamed the team's chemistry, injuries, or lack of strong defense.
Nobody ever blamed Flip.Although he could not have been expected to be wildly successful with the Timberwolves, Saunders failed to even exceed expectations.Exceeding expectations is what great coaching is all about.It's what the Pistons did two years ago against the Lakers in the finals, and even against San Antonio last year.It's what the New York Knicks did in 1999 when they made the finals as an eight seed.It's how the Chicago Bulls and Michael Jordan initially burst deep into the playoffs.But it's not something Flip Saunders has ever done.
So what did the Pistons have last year that they don't have this year?The roster is actually improved, with the starting five intact and several potent swingmen and role players coming off the bench.Yet somehow the team seems less motivated; less focused on winning the championship.
Wait a minute!Didn't the Pistons have a different coach last year?That's right, it was Hall of Famer Larry Brown, the same man who helped the Pistons defeat the heavily favored Los Angeles Lakers in the 2004 NBA finals and very nearly helped them beat the favored San Antonio Spurs in game seven of the finals last season.
For all the grief Larry Brown caused with his health issues and seemingly endless flirtations with other teams, under him the Pistons did something they could not do with a coach like Rick Carlisle (who is kind of like a younger version of Flip Saunders): beat the Pacers and go to the NBA finals.But Larry didn't stop there.In the face of seemingly insurmountable odds, the Pistons proceeded to absolutely manhandle a Los Angeles Lakers team that was supposed to easily win the series in four or five games.Unarguably, there are only a few coaches in history that could have pulled off that feat.
This is not to say the Pistons don't have talent.But for a team that lacks a superstar to carry it on its back, Larry Brown's strict offensive rotation and stifling defensive schemes, as well as his guard oriented play, are really the only things conducive to success deep in the postseason, let alone the second round.
It seems that Flip is too laid-back; he may be employing strategies that work better on teams where there is a clear offensive MVP.Even San Antonio, which is the only team in basketball that rivals the Pistons in terms of scoring and defensive balance, clearly has one player (Tim Duncan) capable of carrying the team on his shoulders when things aren't going well.
People underestimate the importance of a consistent rotation, and Larry Brown drew criticism for not being flexible during games or taking chances by playing young players.But these things are what wins in the playoffs; there are no points for improvisation or flashiness.Just ask the Dallas Mavericks or the Phoenix Suns about that.And clearly the Pistons were a far better playoff team with Larry Brown at the helm.Say all you want about his personality, but his performance in just a couple of years with the Pistons speaks for itself.
So as I watch Lebron James and the Cavaliers blaze a new path similar to the one Michael Jordan and the Bulls traveled in the late 80s when they first became a perennial playoff team, I think of how I heard many people say that Larry Brown would wish he had stayed with the Pistons this season and how sorry he would be for taking the Knicks job.
But it should be the Pistons and their fans who are sorry.There is simply no way that a team like the Pistons coached by Larry Brown would lose three games in a row to the Cleveland Cavaliers.Larry made the 76ers look good when he coached there, and that was a veritable black hole for coaching.He made the Lakers (coached by Phil Jackson no less) look like foolish amateurs against the Pistons in the 2004 finals.So as the Pistons flounder against the upstart Cavaliers, and as the tide of popular opinion continues to turn against them in favor of Lebron James and his team, the prospect of a second NBA championship in three years for detroit may only exist in a parallel universe somewhere where Larry Brown is still their coach.