Saturday, December 3, 2005, 09:39 AM EST
[
General]
It's pretty much decided (though not quite in the books) that the Colts will represent the AFC in Superbowl XL. The only real challenge they'll face in the playoffs will be the Broncos in the Championship game. But the question on everybody's mind is "who's gonna lose to them?"
Contenders:
Seahawks (9-2): The NFC West champs are getting absolutely no love. They have maybe the number two running back in the league (LT's #1). They have a receiving core that can finally catch the ball. They have a defense that plays adequately and has big play ability. Right now they are the best NFC team but haven't exactly beaten other good teams convincingly.
Bears (8-3): Maybe the only reason the Bears are 8-3 is because they play in the NFC North and their opponents outside of it include the Ravens, Niners, and Saints. But the past two weeks they've beaten the Panthers and Bucs. They may be too one dimensional to win in the playoffs but you can't argue with success.
Falcons (7-4): DVD. Mike Vick has proven in recent weeks he's capable of throwing for good yardage. The Falcons have also been able to maintain a strong running attack. Their defense is underperforming, however, and tomorrow's game against Carolina will go a long way to deciding the division. If their defense can turn things around they could do some things in the NFC.
Pretenders:
Carolina (8-3): Carolina's a good team. Just not one that will win the Championship game. They're far too inconsistent. Yes they've won 8 games but they almost lost to Arizona and Detroit and lost to Miami and New Orleans. They seem to play down to their competition and that kills teams in the playoffs.
Dallas (7-4): As a Cowboys fan it pains me to say this, but they're not good enough to win the Championship game. They beat a reeling Philadelphia and blew out some bad teams (Arizona, Detroit) but they've lost their only game against a true NFC contender (Seattle). The Cowboys are a year away from the big game but next year they may be a monster team.
New York (7-4): The Giants too are at least a year away. They play well and fight hard for games but they're not good enough to win road, playoff games. They've gotten all the parts they just need one more year to get them working together. They may play in the Championship game but they won't win it.
Tampa Bay (7-4): The Bucs are a wildcard team today but they're going in the wrong direction. They "beat" Washington but that's another team in reverse. The season may have been a bit to tumultuous for Chucky and the gang. Consistency is going to kill this team and of all the teams I've mentioned I think they're the most likely to miss the playoffs outright.
The most questionable is putting in the Falcons and Bears as true contenders and leaving the Panthers out. I just think Carolina doesn't have enough of a complete game to be seriously considered as a Super Bowl team. The Falcons have enough power to give themselves a shot and if they're defense plays up to their potential I'm fully confident they can get to Detroit. The Bears are the reverse. If they're offense heats up and their defense keeps playing as it is they will be formidable team. As of right now you have to say Seattle will be in it but you can't really tell in this close race. I picked Atlanta at the beginning of the season and if they heat up I still think they can get there.