The final BCS standings came in last night, so I decided to take a quick break from baseball and put together some Bowl picks.
Oklahoma, which put up a 60-spot and ran circles around Missouri to win the Big 12 Championship, will head to the National Championship on January 8. They will square off against the Florida Gators, who took down previously unbeaten Alabama in convincing fashion on Saturday afternoon.
Here are my predictions for the BCS games.
FedEx BCS National Championship: Oklahoma vs. Florida-Sorry, Sooners fans, but I think that the Gators are going to take home their second title in the Tim Tebow era. Florida is one of the most athletic teams in the country, loaded with potent offensive weapons and speed. Speed kills. Ever since the infamous Tebow press conference in the aftermath of the loss to Ole Miss, Florida has been absolutely dominant.
The Sooners have an NFL quarterback in Heisman candidate Sam Bradford, one of the highest-scoring offenses in college football history and have also gone on a tear since their lone loss against Texas. But their defense will have a difficult time stopping Tebow and the Gators' offensive attack. Plus, in all honesty, Texas should be representing the Big 12 in the title game, anyway. While the Sooners looked dominant against Mizzou, their opponent was only the fourth-best team in the conference overall.
Florida is only three-point favorites, but I see them winning a by a larger margin. Another disappointing Bowl game for OU seems inevitable.
Florida
Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: Texas vs. Ohio State-Blame the conference leadership for sending the wrong team to face Missouri in the conference title game, because Texas, which took down OU by 10 at a neutral site field, should be playing in Miami Gardens next month. Sure, they lost to Texas Tech, who was then dismantled by the Sooners a few weeks ago. But the Longhorns' loss came on the final play of the game, ending off a stretch in which they played Top 25 teams four weeks in a row. You can tell a lot about a team by the circumstances and quality of their losses.
Colt McCoy is a leading Heisman candidate, having led his club in both passing (3,445) and rushing yards (576). McCoy was similar to Tebow in '07, doing it all to lead one of the most prolific offensive attacks in the nation. However, the fact that he led the club in rushing does expose a bit of a weakness in the rushing game for Texas. Scoring has certainly not been a problem down in Austin, though, so look for them to put up a lot of points in the Fiesta Bowl.
The Longhorns' defense was excellent against the run and led the country with 3.67 sacks per game. Overall, they are a balanced squad with few glaring weaknesses.
Ohio State has two excellent skill players in running back Beanie Wells and true freshman signal caller Terelle Pryor, each of whom did not have the opportunity to play a factor in the Buckeyes' embarrassing loss to USC early in the season.
OSU has rebounded since then. But...Texas is too talented not to win this game. Again, it seems, OSU is going to turn in a disappointing bowl performance against strong out-of-conference competition. They need to have a good showing, though, or the program and the conference itself will continue to lose credibility on a national scale.
Texas
Allstate Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs. Utah- Utah ran the table, going 12-0 on the way to a Mountain West conference championship. Strength of schedule cannot be ignored, however, and things could get ugly for the Utes against a motivated, well-coached Alabama squad looking to avenge the Florida loss and ends its season on a high note.
With that being said, Utah did take down a few quality opponents-Oregon State, TCU, among others-and had impressive road wins over Air Force and New Mexico. The Utes also have a strong defense, ranking 18th in the nation in Total Defense. However, the offense has been inconsistent, even against weaker competition. Although Utah has put up 405.2 total yards per game to this point, they ranked only fourth in passing and fifth in rushing in their conference. The MWC is not exactly a hotbed for producing future NFL offensive stars.
Alabama, on the other hand, has a dominant, shut-down defense, a better offensive relative to their league. The defense will only compound the offensive struggles for Utah.
Alabama wins easily.
Alabama
FedEx Orange Bowl: Virginia Tech vs. Cincinnati-The Bearcats had a nice season, winning the Big East Championship for the first time since joining the conference. While this was considered a down year for the Big East-with Louisville regressing to mediocrity, Pat White and West Virginia failing to live up pre-season expectations-Cincy is a pretty solid team overall. The Cats' defense was excellent all year, as the unit led the conference in sacks and was effective at shutting down the run.
Tony Pike is an efficient QB who has been very effective when healthy. Pike, who threw for 2,168 yards, has a few solid receiving options and can throw the ball down field. While the rushing attack leaves a bit to be desired for Cincinnati, they can put up points in a hurry and are never out of it.
Virginia Tech lost four games, going 5-3 in the ACC. While it was a poor year for the conference, the Hokies had the seventh-best team defense in the nation and picked the right time to come together as a unit over the final month. Their defense will make it difficult for Cincy, but I like the Bearcats in an upset.
Cincinnati
Rose Bowl presented by Citi: USC vs. Penn State-Penn State has a balanced attack without any major weaknesses. The Nittany Lions' defense, however, is what sets them apart; they ranked in the top 12 nationally in every major defense statistical category. Take away that last-second loss to Iowa and Joe Paterno might be close to adding another title to his resume.
I still like USC in this game, though. Not to knock on the Big 10, but... Just kidding, I will not open up that bag of worms, though if the Trojans win big-and OSU loses, again-the conference will undoubtedly take another blow to its fading reputation as an elite, top-notch conference. If there is a team than can put to bed any overrated conference chatter, though, it is Penn State.
USC is as talented as any team in the nation, however, and is the easy favorite. The Pac-10 was down as well-a common theme outside of the Big 12, it seems-but the Trojans were dominant once again, minus a September upset loss at Oregon State. They only allowed 7.8 points per game, which is pretty outstanding regardless of the level of competition. USC boasts a roster with many NFL talents on both sides of the ball, and has one of the most successful coaches and leaders in the sport in Pete Carroll.
Mark Sanchez held off Mitch Mustain in camp, and then put together a solid campaign at the quarterback position. Sanchez threw for 2,784 yards, showing off his big time arm strength on many occasions. He still makes a lot of mistakes, though, and is prone to forcing passes. Still, the Trojans' offense features many offensive weapons, and if Sanchez can run an efficient ship, they should put up a nice number on the board in a high-scoring game.
USC is just too talented overall, but Penn State is not as big of an underdog as many people think. It should be exciting, but I am going with USC here.
USC
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