What are the odds that Chris Johnson will become just the sixth player in NFL history to break the 2,000-yard rushing plateau?

Not very good, as it turns out.

With three games to go, the tricky Titan tailback has 1,626 yards. For the math-challenged out there, it means he is 374 yards short of 2,000.

For math geniuses and stat freaks out there, you know he is averaging 125 yards per game and that 125 multiplied by three is 375.

Sounds like 2,001 yards just by hitting his season average against the Dolphins, Chargers and Seahawks.

“Johnson has been sensational, but to expect him to surpass his average three more games in a row is a bit much,” said Richard Gardner of bodog. “He faces three defenses that are about league-average in stuffing the run, so there are no cupcakes for him.”

Still, he is listed as -150 underdog at one sportsbook, despite facing three teams not exactly known as run-stopping wizards (none rank in the Top 10 defensively in yards per rush according to the sortable stats here).

It means he is a +120 underdog (so a $100 stake returns $120 if he can do it).

No running back has managed the feat since 2003 when Jamal Lewis did it.

1973 – OJ Simpson
1984 – Eric Dickerson
1997 – Barry Sanders
1998 – Terrell Davis
2003 – Jamal Lewis
2009 - Chris Johnson ??

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