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    College Football Top 30: South Florida #1 - 14 games to watch

    Monday, October 15, 2007, 09:52 AM EST [General]

    A quick word about my rankings before we get into it because there could be some questions this week I can feel it. Some of you might ask if I feel that Team A is better than Team B because I have them ranked higher. Clearly the answer to this is an emphatic "no" in many cases. However, this is based on results not predictions. I'm not a Vegas handicapper and don't run my rankings that way. I absolutely think Hawaii would struggle in a BCS conference, but they play in the WAC. Is it their fault Michigan backed out of playing them? How would you feel about the Warriors if they were the team upsetting the Wolverines on opening day instead of Appalachian State?

     

    As for #1, I decided that South Florida's two most impressive wins (at Auburn, West Virginia) were a lot bigger than Ohio State's (at Washington, at Purdue). It's just that simple. Naturally I am giving a lot of weight to teams being undefeated at this point. When they lose (if they do) then the punishment could be steep if there are no big wins to keep them afloat.

     

    Last week's ranking in ()'s. NR = not ranked. W = watch list.  (AP, USA, Harris, BCS)

     

    #1 (5) South Florida (6-0): Before you dismiss their 64-12 thrashing of in-state rival UCF, let's remember that the knights won at N.C. State and almost beat Texas earlier this year. This was the kind of performance you expect from a highly ranked team against a lesser opponent. Even with drives totaling 248 yards in the opening half they led only 19-10, but they totally dominated the second half. They had touchdown marches of 64, 76, 53 and 86 yards to put an exclamation point on the win. Meanwhile their second half defense held UCF to 62 yards on 33 plays. Now the pressure increases on the road at Rutgers and Connecticut.  (2, 3, 3, 2)

     

    #2 (3) Ohio State (7-0): Their defense will keep them in the hunt all year long. They smothered an overmatched Kent State team, never allowing a drive over 37 yards and for the second straight week only losing a shutout with a late score. The offense really didn't have to do much, but with drives of 70 (TD) 45 (punt) and 50 (TD) to open the game they set the tone. No turnovers, only two penalties and two sacks taken. Very clean romp and Michigan State visits next. (1, 1, 1, 1)

     

    #3 (4) Boston College (7-0): They could be the ugliest team ever to be ranked this high. I have been a believer in them, but never really expected so many upsets to catapult them here. Against a soft Notre Dame defense they were totally controlled in the second half. Thankfully the Irish couldn't move the ball against them the entire game. Only twice did Notre Dame have a drive over 18 yards. This week they are off to bask in this ranking before playing a Thursday night tilt at Virginia Tech. At that point I believe the ranking goes "poof". (3, 2, 2, 3)

     

    #4 (12) Arizona State (7-0): It was a sluggish start against Washington, but they used a 31-3 second half to come from behind. The Sun Devils were mostly good on defense, holding them to under 10 yards on 9 of 14 drives and allowing just 90 yards on nine second half possessions. Meanwhile they marched it down the field 57+ yards six times. In an unpredictable season they have only one once by fewer than 12 points, which has to count for something. Now they get a week off to prepare for Cal. (12, 12, 12, 8)

     

    #5 (11) Kansas (6-0): When was the last time we saw the Jayhawks routing a conference foe 58-10 and plugging in backups to mop it up? As usual I'm ahead of the curve on them right now, but the pollsters will catch up eventually. Their defense never let Baylor get in the game. On 11 of 15 possessions they held the Bears to no more than 12 yards and a dismal 2/14 on third down. Kansas had scoring drives of 84, 82, 70, 80 and 53 while winning the turnover battle 5-0. Now we really find out how for real they are when they take this show on the road through Colorado and Texas A&M.  (15, 15, 15, 13)

     

    #6 (7) Hawaii (7-0): I'm sure a lot of "final score" pollsters will be unimpressed with the Warriors. I'll tell you why I disagree. This was a San Jose State team that won 9 games last year and had been 10-1 in their last eleven home games. The rainy conditions and torn up field certainly didn't favor Hawaii's vaunted passing attack either. Still, they did some things. On offense they had 10 drives of 33+ yards plus their overtime scoring march of 25 for the winning touchdown. On defense most of San Jose State's yards came during a late third quarter surge when they scored touchdowns on drives of 65, 87 and 65 yards. On their 13 other possessions they totaled 133 yards on 55 plays. They also showed guts rallying from 14 down in the final four minutes on the road, where they play just once more all year (Nevada). (17, 16, 16, 18)

     

    #7 (1) LSU (6-1): The Tigers are nowhere close to being out of the national title picture, but it has been shown again that their defense is vulnerable. Kentucky moved the ball on them and was 9/17 on third down. They also scored 3 touchdowns in regulation and 2 more in overtime. Now LSU can set their sites on winning the SEC West, which they can essentially clinch by winning their next two (Auburn, at Alabama). (5, 5, 5, 4)

     

    #8 (2) California (5-1): The odds were stacked against them going with a Freshman quarterback facing the nation's #1 run defense. It wasn't inability to run the ball that undid them though. Their three backs combined for 174 yards and a healthy 5.44 average. Even young Kevin Riley turned it up in the fourth quarter, finishing with 299 yards passing. In the end it was a play made by an inexperienced quarterback that cost them as Riley inexplicably ran for a clock killing 3 yard gain, costing them a chip shot field goal try to force overtime. The bigger question is how they respond going on the road with Longshore's status in question. (10, 9, 10, 12)

     

    #9 (10) Oregon (5-1): It was an offensive show for the Ducks against a Washington State defense that has already been lit up a few times this year. They scored on seven of their first nine possessions and had five drives of at least 63 yards. Defensively they took control of the game starting at the close of the first quarter when they held Washington State to 3 plays or less on seven straight Cougar drives totaling -3 yards on 16 plays. A road trip to Washington this week is the so-called trap game preceding their crucial home stand against USC and Arizona State.(7, 6, 7, 10)   

     

    #10 (8) South Carolina (6-1): At the half they were completely in control against North Carolina up 21-3, but the offense quit after the break while the defense softened up. In 7 offensive possessions they never moved it more than 25 yards over the final two frames, totaling 58 yards on 24 plays. The Tar Heels meanwhile covered 61, 47, 36, 62 and 38 yards on their final five drives but scored on only two of them. This was a game they could have lost against a pretty bad opponent. Now it's back to SEC play and they need to step it up.  (6, 8, 6, 6)

     

    #11 (18) Kentucky (6-1): It wasn't a perfect effort, but in the final 18:43 of regulation they played like a championship team. Down 27-14 they marched 83, 47 and 54 yards to score 13 points while holding LSU scoreless on their drives to force overtime. From there they continued to match punches with the nation's #1 team until making the final big play. No rest for the wicked as they host Florida. (8, 13, 11, 7) 

     

    #12 (16) Oklahoma (6-1): Did they regain their swagger by dumping Missouri from the ranks of the unbeaten? Yeah, I think so. From here there is really nothing stopping them from winning the Big XII South because even going to Texas Tech shouldn't be a problem for the high powered Sooners. The North might have shown signs of rising, but I still can't see the eventual champ undoing them in the championship game. After a shameful 1/9 showing on third downs in the loss to Colorado they were 10/14 in this one. (4, 4, 4, 5)

     

    #13 (13) West Virginia (5-1): It was an ideal week for them to be off as they either get Pat White healthy or figure out how to win without him. It shouldn't be hard next week against Mississippi State, and quite frankly this team will be favored to win almost every week from here on out. They will need to beat Mississippi State handily to justify their AP top 10 ranking.  (9, 7, 8, 9)

     

    #14 (14) Virginia Tech (6-1): The Hokies continued to shine on defense. Duke hung around in the first quarter with a 71 yard touchdown drive and trailed just 13-7. Ten minutes and three possessions later Virginia Tech led 34-7. The Blue Devils were held to 3 plays on 9 of their 14 possessions and 1/15 on third down. It wasn't a spotless win with 2 turnovers, 4 sacks allowed and 7 penalties but they gained control and kept it. Next up is a trip to Georgia Tech following by Florida State and Miami, FL at home before visiting in-state rival Virginia. Can they go 10-1? (11, 11, 13, 11)

     

    #15 (6) Missouri (5-1): They were totally unable to run the ball against Oklahoma, but stayed in the game with an efficient passing game as Daniel completed 79% of his throws for 361 yards. In the end they were undone by two crucial fourth quarter turnovers. However, I believe this team proved they can stand up with the big boys in hostile territory. They still must visit Colorado, Kansas State and Kansas so there is plenty of work to be done if they hope to win the North and earn a rematch. (15, 17, 17, 16)  

     

    #16 (19) USC (5-1): With backup quarter Mark Sanchez the offense struggled mightily, but the defense controlled the action in a 20-13 win over Arizona. Most of the yardage for the Trojans came on their second drive (85 yards, TD) and last drive (93 yards, FG). Other than that it was a battle of punters. The Wildcats were 2/14 on third down and had no drives over 10 yards in the fourth quarter when the game was still in doubt. A trip to Notre Dame could get USC back their swagger, but the following week in Oregon will decide which direction their season is headed.  (13, 9, 9, 14) 

     

    #17 (21) Auburn (5-2): It was an ugly defensive scrap against Arkansas, but they pulled it out. Each team had 13 third downs, with the Tigers converting 1 and the Razorbacks 3. The quarterbacks combined for just 25/49 passing, but Auburn's defense won the game by containing Jones and McFadden. The star duo ran the ball 23 times for 85 yards and a long of 17 between them. In the suddenly wide open west they now visit LSU with a chance to move into the driver's seat for the SEC championship game. (18, 19, 19, 17)  

     

    #18 (22) Florida (4-2): I don't feel compelled to rank them higher just because they tested LSU. They still lost the game, and also lost to Auburn. How many teams on two game losing streaks have hung onto top 15 rankings? Their three game road trip was broken up by a much needed off week. Next up are visits Kentucky and Georgia where the SEC East won't be won, but it could be lost. (14, 14, 14, 15) 

     

    #19 (25) Maryland (4-2): They are under the radar in the ACC Atlantic division, but with Clemson and Florida State already saddled with two conference losses they are still very much in the mix. With two home games on deck after this week's bye (Virginia, Clemson) they can remain a factor through Halloween. (37, 34, 35, 31)   

     

    #20 (26) Tennessee (4-2): I suppose controlling the even quarters is the way to go if you have a choice. On six possessions in the first and third they allowed Mississippi State to march 301 yards on 42 plays while scoring 14 points. In the opposite quarters the Bulldogs were dismal on 7 possessions, moving it only 61 yards (31 on the final drive) on 26 plays. The Volunteers control their own destiny and are still very much alive in the SEC East. (20, 22, 22, 21) 

     

    #21 (W) Texas Tech (6-1): How good are the Red Raiders really? All most people know is that Michael Crabtree is attacking the record books having averaged 177.7 yards receiving with 17 touchdowns in 7 games. Graham Harrell is passing for 450.1 yards per game and has 31 touchdowns against 3 interceptions. Their loss was a 49-45 shootout at Oklahoma State that could have gone either way. Now they have to prove their mettle on the road in Missouri this week, and later will have to earn their supper with Texas (road) and Oklahoma (home) as their final two games. (22, 21, 21, 24)  

     

    #22 (28) Georgia (5-2): After getting drubbed at Tennessee their next trip to the Volunteer state was looking like another loss. Then a 17-7 halftime deficit turned into a solid second half to get their season back on track. No turnovers, only 6 penalties and just one sack (for a 1 yard loss) is a good way to win a close game. Now they get a week off to prepare for a Florida team that will be coming off a war in Kentucky. Can they sneak back in the mix?  (21, 20, 20, 20) 

     

    #23 (W) Virginia (6-1): Are the Cavs for real? Probably not, but after removing Connecticut from the ranks of the unbeaten they are on a six game winning streak. Other than Georgia Tech none of the wins are anything to write home about. Now they hit the road in the ACC for three of their next four starting in Maryland and N.C. State. However, Boston College and Clemson are not on the schedule so a strong finish is possible. Against the Huskies it was their defense that carried them, forcing Connecticut to 1/13 production on third down while recording 4 sacks and 2 fumble recoveries. They allowed only 254 yards and only two drives over 34 yards. (27, 24, 24, 19)  

     

    #24 (29) Alabama (5-2): They are not winning style points, but they are winning games. Let's not forget they are tied for the SEC West lead three weeks away from hosting Saban's old team LSU. First they have to take care of suddenly hot Tennessee. The 27-24 victory over Mississippi was weird. Their opening six possessions averaged 56.7 yards on 9.2 plays including impressive 14 and 16 play marches to open the game while chewing up 6:29 and 5:44 respectively. After that they managed to pull out a close game by closing with drives for 15, -12, 20, 21, -2, 15 and -2 (end of game). A crucial fourth quarter interception was the reason, but they will take a road conference win any way they can get it. (30, 35, 32 , 35) 

     

    #25 (W) Michigan (5-2): Welcome back Wolverines. I am finally ready to forgive the Appalachian State disaster after they have beaten Penn State and now destroyed Purdue. It doesn't get any easier for them having to play three of their next four on the road preceding their season finale against Ohio State. If Mike Hart is unavailable the task becomes even harder. Still, they looked like the team that used to be ranked #5 in their win this week. The defense forced Purdue to three and out on five straight possessions starting in the second quarter and only let them drive over 17 yards on four occasions, two of which were in the fourth quarter when the game was over. (24, 26, 25, 25)   

     

    #26 (20) Connecticut (5-1): Offensively they were a mess yet they hung in at Virginia until a field goal in the final minute beat them. What really beat them was a fumble from Lorenzen as they were trying to run out some clock on a 16-14 lead. Instead they gave the Cavs the ball at their own 25. I think this week against Louisville will tell us if they can truly compete this season and the nation will be watching on Friday night. If they can't beat them, forget any sort of run after their hot start. (35, 41, 34, 37)

     

    #27 Kansas State (4-2): After losing to rival Kansas they recovered quickly in dispatching Colorado 47-20. Seven times they drove the ball at least 41 yards to keep the Buffs on their heels all game. The defense held Colorado to 1/12 on third down and 1/4 on fourth down while forcing 4 turnovers. This is a dangerous team, but they will need to get it done on the road where they play three of their next four preceding the showdown with Missouri. (25, 30, 30, 26)  

     

    #28 (W) Penn State (5-2): As is sometimes the case, now that the pressure is off the Nittany Lions they are starting to play well again. Following close road losses to Michigan (14-9) and Illinois (27-20) they have pummeled Iowa (27-7) and Wisconsin (38-7). It was a clinic against the Badgers. Their offense was held to 3 plays just twice, both on drives ending when they scored a touchdown on the third play. Defensively they gave up bits of yardage, but tightened up at crucial moments. Now they hit the road at a scrappy Indiana team before coming home for a huge one against Ohio State. (26, 25, 26, 27) 

     

    #29 (W) Wake Forest (4-2): They are quietly regaining the momentum from last year's ACC title march after this season's 0-2 start. The Demon Deacons probably won't catch Boston College this year after losing a 38-28 decision to them in the opener, but with Navy (road) and North Carolina (home) on deck this should be a 6-2 team heading down the stretch. On national television Thursday night they stifled Florida State's offense in the second half until a too late 74 yard touchdown drive. Their previous 7 possessions totaled 26 yards on 20 plays. (32, 36, 36, 28)  

     

    #30 (W) Boise State (5-1): I don't know if they are confused thinking they are actually Denver, but thankfully the Sunday games stop. Heck, by the time their 4 overtime 69-67 win over Nevada was over it was Monday. It was obviously a wild game with very little defense. The teams combined to run the ball 100 times for 670 yards while adding 796 yards through the air. They defended their blue turf but now must play four of their final six on the road capped off by at trip to Hawaii. (29, 28, 31, 32)   

     

    Dropped Out:

    #9 Cincinnati (23, 23, 23, 23)

    #15 Illinois (28, 29, 27, 30)

    #17 Wisconsin (33, 27, 28, 29) 

    #23 Florida State (36, 33, 33, 33)

    #24 Indiana (NR, NR, NR, NR)

    #27 Colorado (NR, NR, NR, NR)

    #30 Arkansas (NR, NR, NR, NR)

     

    Watch list: 

    Clemson (4-2) 34, 37, 40, 39

    Michigan State (5-2) NR, 39, 37, 38    

    Purdue (5-2) NR, 32, 38, 36

    Rutgers (4-2) 31, 31, 29, 34

    Texas (5-2) 19, 18, 18, 22

    Texas A&M (5-2) NR, NR, 44, NR     

     

    GAMES TO WATCH 

     

    South Florida (6-0) @ Rutgers (4-2): This will be a stiff test for the Bulls now that the pressure of a #2 BCS spot is on their shoulders, especially on Thursday night with the nation watching. The Scarlet Knights finally hit the road last week after starting out with five home games and now gets back to Jersey trying to get back into the Big East race. 

     

    Louisville (4-3) @ Connecticut (5-1): When you look at the full season for the Cardinals they have taken Kentucky to the brink on the road and now beaten previously undefeated Cincinnati, also on the road. Those pesky losses to bad teams (Syracuse, Utah) have them on the ropes though. The Huskies can't be serious contenders can they? They lost their first test against Virginia, but can make a few believers with a win here. 

     

    Penn State (5-2) @ Indiana (5-2): These teams might be heading in different directions starting with this one. The Nittany Lions have won two blowouts and their defense is rolling. The Hoosiers gave up 52 at Michigan State and next week must travel to Wisconsin. Both are 2-2 in the Big Ten meaning the loser is ostensibly out of the conference title race. 

     

    Tennessee (4-2) @ Alabama (5-2): Both teams have taken their lumps yet are still in their respective SEC division races as one loss teams. The Tide's last five games have all been decided by a touchdown or less and it shouldn't be easy for them to focus on this game with a bye week on deck. The Volunteers have now enjoyed three easy wins in a row and unbelievably control their own destiny in the SEC East despite getting blown out by Florida.  

     

    Mississippi State (4-3) @ West Virginia (5-1): I'm very intrigued by this game. The Bulldogs have sputtered in the SEC, but have a win at Auburn. The Mountaineers have the stigma of playing in the lightly regarded Big East and this is their opportunity to back up South Florida's win over Auburn. If they struggle the conference as a whole takes a hit. 

     

    California (5-1) @ UCLA (4-2): The Golden Bears lost their shot at #1. Now they need to dig into their fight for an outright Pac-10 title on the road against the 3-0 Bruins and then 4-0 Arizona State. Two wins put them back in the lead. UCLA has two mind blowing losses to Utah and Notre Dame with all the conference heavy hitters still on the schedule. If they are going to make a run it has to start here.

     

    Michigan State (5-2) @ Ohio State (7-0): Is this going to be yet another Big Ten season that boils down to the Wolverines and Buckeyes? It didn't look that way a few weeks ago, but both are now tied atop the standings at 3-0. Before we get to that November 17 showdown at the Big House it is another team from Michigan trying to trip up Ohio State. The Spartans bring a healthy offense that has topped 31 points five times including last week's 52-27 thrashing of Indiana. By comparison Ohio State's defense has given up 46 points all year.  

     

    Miami, FL (4-3) @ Florida State (4-2): This used to be a game you couldn't miss and seemingly always came down to a missed field goal. Now both teams are 1-2 in their respective ACC divisions trying to maintain a glimmer of hope. The Seminoles still have to play the leaders in the Atlantic (Boston College) and Coastal (Virginia Tech) on the road meaning this could be must-win just to get bowl eligible. Other than Duke their remaining schedule is rough. Miami also gets that pair on the road to close out the season, but can probably get by N.C. State and Virginia at home the next two weeks to reach the magical 6 wins.  

     

    Texas Tech (6-1) @ Missouri (5-1): This could be yet another show of how the Big XII North has taken a step up on the South. Are the Red Raiders more than just a flashy offense that scores at will? Well, including last week's 35-7 win over Texas A&M they now have three games holding an opponent under 10 points. The Tigers have also made a living on offense, but their defense was torn up in a 41-31 loss at Oklahoma. We might get a 49-45 game here if both teams show up ready to play. I'm not sure Texas Tech is for real though. 

     

    Florida (4-2) @ Kentucky (6-1): The Wildcats have to be wondering when the pain is going to end with this schedule. They were beaten at South Carolina and outlasted LSU only to find the defending national champions on their doorstep. This is the part of the schedule where the Gators start playing the spoiler while still holding out hope for an SEC East title. Florida almost controls their destiny, but needs Tennessee to lose once.  

     

    Kansas (6-0) @ Colorado (4-3): How long can Cinderella keep dancing? This will be a good indication as the Jayhawks cross over state lines for the first time this season. All five of their blowout wins came at home, and their lone road win was 30-24 over rival Kansas State. The Buffaloes are home after splitting two on the road and while their record isn't very impressive their schedule has been a lot tougher. I have to wonder if the travel and emotional 27-24 win over Oklahoma hasn't caught up to them. 

     

    Virginia (6-1) @ Maryland (4-2): These teams have flown a bit under the radar, but are still within striking distance in their respective ACC divisions. The Cavs have won six in a row over less than stellar competition and in less than impressive fashion. Their road performances have been pretty bad. That opens the door for the Terps to gain some momentum with a win. They are coming off beating Rutgers and Georgia Tech, two decent teams. 

     

    Michigan (5-2) @ Illinois (5-2): The Fighting Illini were riding high after knocking off Indiana, Penn State and Wisconsin. Then they fell into the perfect example of a "trap" game on the road against a bad team with a good team to follow. If the Wolverines can win this game while Ohio State also takes care of Michigan State there will be a two game lead for the perennial favorites over the rest of the conference. Illinois can regain the respect they lost in Iowa last week and possibly improve to 8-2 by beating Ball State (home) and Minnesota (road) after this. 

     

    Auburn (5-2) @ LSU (6-1): In a battle of tigers the home team tries to rebound from an exhausting road loss at Kentucky and put their BCS title hopes on track again. A loss would put them in jeopardy of not even winning the SEC West after being the consensus #1 just a week ago. Auburn has recovered from a 1-2 start to upset Florida at The Swamp and last week won at Arkansas. They would be tied with rival Alabama for the division lead if they can pull out another road win.

    0 (0 Ratings)

    College Football Rankings skewed from the start?

    Monday, October 8, 2007, 02:55 AM EST [General]

    If you want my latest college football rankings click HERE

    On that note I came across an interesting chart of the AP Top 25 identifying where the teams have moved since the opening poll. I'm not here to discuss how 10/25 teams have already fallen out of the poll or how 4 of the Top 10 weren't ranked in the first poll. It's interesting though.

    Instead this is about perception vs. reality or the question of "Does where you start impact where you finish?". The answer apparently is yes. For my rankings I look at the sum total of the season every week, and I don't drop a team an arbitrary number of slots. I rank the teams and wherever they fall is based on how many teams have performed better than they have thus far - not in the future. For that reason there are some differences between my poll and the AP/USA/Harris average. These are the teams I have ranked the most spots LOWER in my poll with their initial AP ranking in ( )'s.

    -11.0 USC (1)

    -10.7 Oklahoma (8)

    -8.7 Florida (6)

    -4.7 West Virginia (3)

    -4.7 Georgia (13)

    -2.7 Virginia Tech (9)

    Now let's do the same for the teams I have HIGHER:

    +13.0 Alabama (NR)

    +12.7 Maryland (NR)

    +11.3 Connecticut (NR)

    +9.0 Kansas (NR)

    +9.0 Hawaii (#23)

    +7.3 Cincinnati (NR)

    +7.0 Colorado (NR)

    +5.0 Missouri (NR)

    +3.6 Illinois (NR)

    +3.0 Auburn (#18)

    Arkansas (#21) couldn't be calculated since they are NR in two polls

    Notice a pattern? All 6 teams I have lower were in the AP Top 13 to start. Of the 13 teams I have higher, 10 were unranked and the highest ranking was a meager #18.

    Apparently if you want to earn a high ranking the first step is to do so before an actual game is played. Take issue with my poll if you like. I dare you to figure out how I am overrating an undefeated team BEFORE they have actually lost on the field. Or underrating a team that just lost to one coming off a 1-11 campaign and using a backup quarterback.

    Don't even get me started on the computer rankings. It took me five minutes to look at Sagarin's log and lose my mind. Somehow UCLA's list of opponents who are 13-14 in games with other teams is the 14th toughest schedule. LSU's slate opposing teams who have otherwise gone 20-9 is apparently 28th. Seriously? Let's look at them top to bottom: LSU vs. UCLA

    BYU vs. South Carolina

    Oregon State vs. Virginia Tech

    Washington vs. Florida 

    Utah vs. Tulane

    Notre Dame vs. Middle Tennessee State

    You could argue the bottom two go to UCLA, but those are all bad teams and the Bruins lost 44-6 to the Utes! LSU plays three teams in the top 20 vs. UCLA with borderline 35-50 ranked opponents and they are 14 spots below them in the SOS?

    I can't wait until the BCS rankings come out. They should be an interesting pile of garbage based on this.

    0 (0 Ratings)

    College Football Top 30: USC #19 and 11 Games to Watch

    Sunday, October 7, 2007, 11:05 AM EST [General]

    Last week's ranking in ()'s. NR = not ranked. W = watch list. At the end I have added in the AP, USA & Harris rankings.

    #1 (1) LSU (6-0): It took everything in their tank to beat Florida, and questions now have to be raised about their ability to run the table in the SEC including the championship game which could be a rematch. If the Gators had a traditional running game they would have been in real trouble. As it was LSU needed every one of their five conversions on fourth down to pull this one out. The defense isn't impenetrable though, and they have to immediately travel to a tough Kentucky team then it's Auburn after that. (1, 1, 1)

    #2 (2) California (5-0): With a lot of good teams playing each other this was a convenient time for the Bears to have a week off. Now they dig into the meat of their Pac-10 schedule against the middle of the conference with Oregon State, at UCLA, and at Arizona State. Nice move by coach Tedford to negotiate moving back the trip to Washington until November 17. Well, unless it's raining in Seattle that day. (2, 2, 2)

     

    #3 (3) Ohio State (6-0): The doubters are starting to head into the shadows after the Buckeyes came within 30 seconds of shutting out Purdue. Heading into the garbage time 88 yard drive that broke it up their defense had allowed just 184 total yards. It took Painter 60 passes to finish with 268 yards. Boeckman was a bit shaky with 3 interceptions, but the offense was well balanced with 198 yards passing and 195 rushing. Suddenly they are the last Big Ten undefeated standing and with Kent State and Michigan State upcoming it should stay that way for a couple weeks. (3, 3, 3)

     

    #4 (7) Boston College (6-0): People are having a hard time getting behind this team because of their opponents. I've been on their bandwagon and this week showed why. Bowling Green might be a MAC team, but they beat Minnesota 32-31 and scrapped with Michigan State before losing 28-17. Both were on the road. BC tore this team apart, opening up a 52-10 lead after three quarters. They did so by intercepting passing on five consecutive BG drives starting in the second quarter and extending into the second half. The offense had 4 touchdown marches of 61+ yards. Next up is Notre Dame in South Bend.  (4, 4, 4)

     

    #5 (6) South Florida (5-0): Welcome to the world of a lofty ranking and high expectations. The Bulls gave the Florida Atlantic Owls every reason to believe they could beat them during a 35-23 win. It was a lot closer than that in a back and forth affair even though South Florida never trailed. Four turnovers almost did them in. Even if their backfield duo of Williams and scrambling quarterback Grothe ran 39 times for 306 yards (5 touchdowns) it was an ugly effort against a bad team. (5, 5, 6)

     

    #6 (17) Missouri (5-0): After piling up 603 total yards in a 41-6 win over Nebraska it might be time for everyone else to finally take them seriously. Seven of their first eight possessions went 55+ yards and ended in scores. I don't care who is on the other side of the ball, that's impressive. Keller (200 yards passing on 41 attempts) and Lucky (67 yards rushing on 17 carries) were totally contained. No team has held them under 38 points and this week's game at Oklahoma looks huge now.  (11, 11, 11)

     

    #7 (12) Hawaii (6-0): Obviously Utah State is not a very good team. Oklahoma beat them 54-3 and they are winless. However, something to hang their hat on is backup quarterback Tyler Graunke doing a pretty good Colt Brennan impression. This offense has yet to be remotely contained against poor competition. If they can run out with wins over Boise State and Hawaii it could get very interesting in the BCS where there might not be two undefeated teams to beat them out. (16, 16, 16)

     

    #8 (8) South Carolina (5-1): I took some heat ranking them so high last week and I feel like they validated the ranking by dispatching Kentucky. I had them on average 6.3 slots above the other three polls, but they played up to the spot. One thing I didn't like was not capitalizing on a golden opportunity to ice the game in the third quarter. Up 24-13 they recovered a fumbled punt, and then went backwards 16 yards which helped the 'Cats stay in the game much longer than they should have. Great teams put opponents away with touchdown drives there. Anyway, with North Carolina (road) and Vanderbilt (home) on deck they are in the top 10 for a while.  (7, 12, 9)

     

    #9 (14) Cincinnati (6-0): Considering it was their first taste of a big time game against a ranked opponent I am willing to overlook some sloppy play that included 3 turnovers and 9 penalties. Rutgers controlled the action with four long drives of 11+ plays thanks to 34 tough runs by Ray Rice (2.8 average). That hurt their own offensive rhythm other than a three touchdown third quarter. Ultimately this team still has a lot to prove, but they are halfway into the schedule and unblemished. Now comes the tougher half. (15, 17, 17)

     

    #10 (13) Oregon (4-1): This would have been a great week for them to get back on the field to shake off the Cal loss. Instead they were off to gain preparations for the Washington schools, first the Cougars then at the Huskies. Last year's loss to Cal sent them into a spiral down. This time I think they win twice and might steal some thunder from the USC/Cal game by upsetting the Trojans. (9, 8, 10)

     

    #11 (18) Kansas (5-0): I have to say I feel totally vindicated by ranking them before anyone had this team on their radar. They delivered a big 30-24 win at rival Kansas State. Obviously in the early going they were intimidated, throwing an interception on the game's first play and gaining just 22 yards on their next four drives including three without making a first down. Eventually they settled in with five possessions covering 44+ yards, and defensively they responded by ending K-State's final two drives with interceptions. Next up is Baylor so get used to them in the rankings. (20, 20, 20)

     

    #12 (15) Arizona State (6-0): For a team expected to challenge the Pac-10 heavyweights they sure didn't look like it against Washington State. The Cougars had every opportunity to beat them and actually had a big edge in total yards (451-296). Six of the final seven times Washington State had the ball they moved it at least 47 yards. Arizona State had just two drives that long all game, both ending in touchdowns. This week against Washington they will either get straightened out or prove they will not be a spoiler to the Big Three. (14, 13, 14)

     

    #13 (16) West Virginia (5-1): They thoroughly dominated Syracuse 55-14, but the story was losing Pat White. His replacement Jarrett Brown has played pretty well in relief though and this is a team I still feel can make noise in the Big East. If it's going to happen Steve Slaton needs to start revving up his game. It wasn't necessary this week, but he rushed 15 times for 69 yards while leading the team with 51 yards on 4 receptions. Most guys would be happy with 120 total yards. He needs more for this team to really roll. Did the fumbles against South Florida rattle him? (8, 9, 8)

        

    #14 (19) Virginia Tech (5-1): Beamer Ball was on full display in their win over Clemson. Touchdowns on punt, interception and kickoff returns set them up with a huge lead, more than compensating for an offense that sputtered all night. The defense was downright dominant in forcing a three and out on Clemson's opening 7 drives as the advantage was built. Still, Ore had a lot of trouble finding room to run with just 30 yards on 23 carries (1.3 average) and they were only 3/14 on third down. How far can the defense and special teams carry them?  (12, 10, 12)

    #15 (20) Illinois (5-1): The Ron Zook era is finally taking off. Even if the defense gave up chunks of yards all day long they also made two key interceptions in the fourth quarter when it mattered most. They never trailed, piled up 293 yards rushing (7.0 average) and converted 8/15 third downs. All in all a very impressive win for a team very much in the Big Ten title chase. (18, 19, 19)

     

    #16 (22) Oklahoma (5-1): After last week's inept 1/9 showing on third down this time they got it right (9/18) which made the difference. Their touchdown drives were huge (84, 66, 65, 94) and the defense stifled Texas in the fourth quarter when the 'Horns gained just 54 yards on 12 plays covering four drives. Suddenly this week's game against Missouri looms large because they should be heavy favorites the rest of the way. (6, 5, 5)

     

    #17 (5) Wisconsin (5-1): Just when I give them respect by lifting them 10 spots, they fall behind 17-0 at Illinois and never recover during a 31-26 loss. The defense was the culprit again, and P.J. Hill looked ordinary (83 yards rushing, 4.0 average) on a day when his offense racked up 519 yards. Two consecutive drives ended with a Donovan (392 yards passing) interception in the fourth quarter, and that killed their comeback. Now it's off to Penn State as they try climbing back into the Big Ten chase. (19, 15, 15)

     

    #18 (9) Kentucky (5-1): I have to think Woodson's draft stock took a hit with 3 turnovers leading directly to his team's loss in a high profile Thursday night game against a ranked opponent. They struggled to drive the ball all night, and ending three of those possessions with field goals really took them out of the game. With LSU and Florida coming up next for them, both at home, they are really at a crossroads. (17, 18, 18)

     

    #19 (4) USC (4-1): This is what happens when you let a team hang around. Even after shutting down Stanford's offense for their first 10 possessions (53 yards on 37 plays) they gave up drives of 75, 66 and 45 yards leading to 17 points during an upset for the ages. Booty passed for 362 yards, but lost the game with his 3 interceptions. With three tough road games left the BCS title game is suddenly a long shot. I am inclined to drop them farther considering that since Nebraska was blown out, who have they beaten exactly? (10, 7, 7)

     

    #20 (23) Connecticut (5-0): Great time for them to take a week off. It gives them a chance to prepare for a huge game at Virginia, relatively speaking. Beating a BCS opponent on the road will give them a ton of confidence heading back into Big East play. This is probably not a team destined to finish ranked, but they will likely get bowl eligible by beating Syracuse and could upset one of their tough conference foes. (34, 32, 28)

     

    #21 (26) Auburn (4-2): There was no hangover after the big win at Florida. They took Vanderbilt out of it immediately with touchdown drives of 80, 74 and 51 yards to open the game. After a punt, they drove another 92 yards to make it 28-0. Two big road games line up next (Arkansas, LSU) to either put them right in the West race or relegate them to a minor bowl bid. (22, 25, 25)

     

    #22 (29) Florida (4-2): Does this team have a running back on the roster? I know they do, but does Urban Meyer realize it? There is no way the Gators should have been passing the ball while nursing a 24-14 lead. With 12:52 left and an opportunity to run the clock down before forcing LSU into bad field position instead Tebow throws a pick on second down. Two more runs and the Tigers are forced into driving an extra 50 yards, chewing up likely another five minutes. LSU was not a quick strike offense all night with no receptions over 18 yards. This loss is on Meyer's head, but it was still a strong effort. (13, 14, 13)

     

    #23 (28) Florida State (4-1): It was a shaky start on defense for the Seminoles who allowed scoring drives of 64 and 65 yards to open the game. After that they really tightened up with just 142 yards allowed over the final three quarters. Offensively Xavier Lee has stabilized them. He wasn't spectacular at 16/28 for 259 yards and a touchdown, but he didn't turn the ball over. If the defense can continue their string of solid efforts they can still make some noise in the ACC.  (21, 21, 22)

     

    #24 (W) Indiana (5-1): After a sluggish start, they outscored Minnesota 26-6 over the final three quarters to win comfortably. Seven of their first eight possessions covered at least 48 yards which covers the time when the game was in doubt. Defensively, in the second and third quarters while they were taking control they gave up only 105 yards on 30 plays covering 7 drives. The Hoosiers have a chance to prove their mettle at Michigan State this week and against Penn State after that.  (29, 33, 32)     

     

    #25 (W) Maryland (4-2): The Terrapins just keep hanging tough and without a really dominant team in the ACC they are a threat to contend. It wasn't a perfect win over Georgia Tech, but they made the defensive play to stop the two point conversion and held just enough to force a long missed field goal (52 yards) during the 28-26 win. After a week off they get two more at home (Virginia, Clemson) with a chance to really gain momentum. (40, 36, 37)

     

    #26 (NR) Tennessee (3-2): They came out of a bye week in a very bad mood. Five of Georgia's seven first half drives were limited to three plays and none of them covered over 18 yards. The Vols came out of the gate with drives of 81 (TD) 33 (punt) 57 (TD) 48 (TD) and 65 (TD). They never let the Bulldogs off the mat, and played nothing like the team Cal and Florida whooped. The real test is winning on the road which is where they play the next two weeks (Mississippi State, Alabama). (25, 27, 27)

     

    #27 (NR) Colorado (4-2): Upon further review the teams they lost to are not so bad (Arizona State, Florida State) and they do have the win over Oklahoma. This week they rolled up a 40-9 lead over Baylor before calling it good. Next up is a stiff challenge at Kansas State followed by currently undefeated Kansas. They are still very much in the race. (27, 39, 36)

     

    #28 (10) Georgia (4-2): I don't just arbitrarily dump a team from #10. However, this was an ugly performance. Their opening 7 drives (encompassing the first half) totaled 42 yards on 27 plays against a Tennessee defense that Florida and Cal destroyed. Defensively they allowed 284 yards on Tennessee's first five possessions to fall behind 28-0. That's ugly. Still, they did whoop a decent Oklahoma State team and have a win at Alabama. (24, 23, 23)

     

    #29 (30) Alabama (4-2): Perhaps the Tide got lazy after opening up a 23-0 lead at the end of the first quarter against Houston, but they let the Cougars get way too close in the fourth quarter, allowing 410 yards in the process. After marching 80, 68 and 85 yards to open the game they struggled to drive the ball over the final three quarters. I have to question their ability to thrive with a few SEC road games left plus LSU and Tennessee on the home schedule. (41, 42, 43)

     

    #30 (W) Arkansas (3-2): Don't sleep on the Hogs. They had a rough eight days with consecutive losses in which they allowed an unruly 83 points. Two patsies have helped them correct some of those problems and now they should be ready for Auburn. McFadden and Jones are a tough duo and they will pick up some big wins before the season is over. (NR, NR, 44)

     

    Dropped out:

    #11 Purdue (28, 24, 24)

    #21 Nebraska (42, 41, 41)

    #24 Miami FL (NR, NR, 45)

    #25 Michigan State (47, 47, 42)

    #27 Kansas State (35, 45, 40)

     

    Watch list: 

    Boise State (4-1) 36, 31, 38

    Clemson (4-2) 37, 38, 34

    Michigan (4-2) 30, 35, 33

    Mississippi State (4-2) 43, 43

    Penn State (4-2) 38, 34, 35

    Rutgers (3-2) 32, 29, 31

    Texas A&M (5-1) 26, 28, 26

    Texas Tech (5-1) 31, 30, 29

    Virginia (5-1) 33, 26, 30

    Wake Forest (3-2) 39, 40, NR

    Wyoming (4-1) 45, 37, 39

    GAMES TO WATCH 

    Florida State (4-1) @ Wake Forest (3-2): After going 11-3 last year the Demon Deacons have been really fighting this season. All of their games have been decided by no more than 11 points as they seem to have played up or down to the level of competition. The loser of this game can forget about catching Boston College in the ACC Atlantic division. The winner will impress a national audience on Thursday night.

     

    Purdue (5-1) @ Michigan (4-2): The Boilermakers were really knocked out of the clouds last week against Ohio State. After averaging 45.4 points coming in they came within less than a minute of getting shut out. Now they have to respond in the Big House against a Wolverine team still digging themselves out of their infamous 0-2 start. Let's not forget that Michigan is one of only three Big Ten teams without a conference loss. 

     

    Tennessee (3-2) @ Mississippi State (4-2): In the SEC it is easy to overlook some pretty good teams, and both of them have lost to two quality opponents. The Volunteers are not out of the East race while Mississippi State is searching for a win to prove their upset of Auburn was no fluke. 

     

    Wisconsin (5-1) @ Penn State (4-2): Both teams came into the season with lofty rankings and have since been tugged down by Illinois. Now the question is which one of them responds with a big win in this game to stay in contention for the Big Ten title. Obviously the Nittany Lions are already on thin ice with two conference losses, another would put them definitely out of it.

     

    Texas A&M (5-1) @ Texas Tech (5-1): This is a weird one. Both teams have nice records, but neither has beaten a soul. The biggest win for the Red Raiders is last week over Iowa State (now 1-5) while the Aggies can hang their hats on beating Oklahoma State who is the only team to beat Texas Tech. One of them will be 6-1 in their quest to deny Oklahoma the Big XII South division title.

     

    Connecticut (5-0) @ Virginia (5-1): Here we have two more teams with nice records and totally unproven. The Cavs opened the year by losing 23-3 to a decent, but not great Wyoming team. Last week they needed a serious late rally to beat Middle Tennessee State. The Huskies have mostly blown out their competition. Other than a 22-17 tussle against Temple all of their wins are by at least 20 points. Connecticut is coming off a bye so they should be ready. 

     

    LSU (6-0) @ Kentucky (5-1): The Tigers could have had another unbeaten opponent staring back at them this week, but just like Florida the week before these Wildcats lost the previous game. Now Kentucky gets a couple extra days to recover from their loss to South Carolina and study game film of how the Gators proved LSU is mortal. 

     

    Missouri (5-0) @ Oklahoma (5-1): The irresistible force that is the Tiger offense will head into Norman hoping to score another win for the North. The Sooners also have a high scoring team, but they have been limited to 24 and 28 in Big XII play. Missouri had no such conference issues in destroying Nebraska 41-6 last week. If the visitors pull off what most would still feel is a big upset they are suddenly a national championship game contender even if they will likely need to beat Oklahoma again in the Big XII Championship.

     

    Indiana (5-1) @ Michigan State (4-2): If the Hoosiers want to get back into the Big Ten race it starts here. The Spartans fell apart in a home overtime loss to Northwestern last week and are now looking at the spoiler role as they try to get closer to bowl eligible. Remember, Indiana doesn't have to face Ohio State this season and if they win this game their only road games left are in Wisconsin and Northwestern. I'm not booking them for 10-2 at this point, but I think 8-4 is realistic for a team used to being towards the bottom of the Big Ten. 

    Auburn (4-2) @ Arkansas (3-2): The loser of this game can forget challenging LSU in the SEC West, but the winner is back on the radar. Both have to play the Tigers on the road so neither should be too excited about getting this one other than having it put them in the rankings.

     

    Colorado (4-2) @ Kansas State (3-2): Another Big XII tilt? Why not? While Missouri's win was eye popping this game will determine how serious the Buffs are about challenging for the North division. K-State was stunned by Kansas last week and must have this one to get back into the race. It could be a 1-loss team to take this division, and I wouldn't be surprised if a 2-loss team winds up on top.

    0 (0 Ratings)

    College Football Future Top 30

    Monday, October 1, 2007, 04:51 AM EST [General]

    Hey we had so much fun talking up this week's shuffled up Top 30 I wondered what it would be like to project it out a few games in advance. There are bound to be more upsets than I can predict, but I gave it a shot anyway. I thought this would better portray where I think teams will go towards the meat of the season. A few folks I believe want me to rank based on potential performance so in a sense I'm doing just that. These rankings reflect simulating a poll for the next 4 weeks and this would be the end of that exercise.

    #1 LSU (7-0): Just where I have them now after beating Florida, Kentucky & Auburn

    #2 Cal (8-0): No change following wins over Oregon State, UCLA & Arizona State

    #3 Ohio State (9-0): Still third by beating Purdue, Kent State, Michigan State & Penn State.

    #4 USC (8-0): Holding fourth by taking out Stanford, Arizona, Notre Dame & Oregon.

    #5 Wisconsin (9-0): Legitimizing their five rank with wins over Illinois, Penn State, Northern Illinois and Indiana.

    #6 South Florida (8-0): Holding onto the dream and the #6 by defeating Florida Atlantic, UCF, Rutgers and Connecticut.

    #7 Cincinnati (8-0): The first surprise, up from #14 after putting down Rutgers, Louisville & Pittsburgh.

    #8 Hawaii (8-0): A BCS nightmare, up from #12 thanks to stomping Utah State, San Jose State & New Mexico State.

    #9 Oklahoma (7-1): Correcting their course, up from #22 as they get by Texas, Missouri and Iowa State.

    #10 West Virginia (7-1): Another team getting back on track, up from #16 after popping Syracuse, Mississippi State & Rutgers.

    #11 Missouri (7-1): The first team with a loss, but still up from #17 by beating Nebraska, losing to Oklahoma then beating Texas Tech & Iowa State.

    #12 Kansas State (7-1): Another surprise up from #27 because the schedule isn't daunting. I say they best Kansas, Colorado, Oklahoma State & Baylor.

    #13 Florida (6-2): Way up from #29 and rising fast even after losing to LSU they beat Kentucky & Georgia.

    #14 Alabama (6-2): Not too tough a road for them to rise from #30 by dusting off Houston, Mississippi & Tennessee.

    #15 Virginia Tech (6-2): Defense gets them a bump from #19 even if they first lose to Clemson because they follow up with wins over Duke & Boston College.

    #16 Boston College (7-1): The first team I have dropping from their #7 perch to a more realistic spot after whipping Bowling Green & Notre Dame before losing to Virginia Tech.

    #17 Georgia (6-2): Other teams won out so they fall from #10 after stopping Tennessee & Vanderbilt before a loss to Florida.

    #18 Arizona State (7-1): A slight slip from #15 when they triumph over Washington State & Washingon then get dumped by California.

    #19 Oregon (6-2): Off a bit from #13 as they beat Washington State & Washington before losing to USC.

    #20 Arkansas (6-2): Remember them? Sweeping Chattanooga, Auburn, Mississippi and Florida International will put them back on the radar from the dreaded NR.

    #21 Maryland (6-2): Just a hunch for these guys to beat Georgia Tech, Virginia & Clemson. Not convinced they can rise off my Watch List though.

    #22 Clemson (6-2): After dropping out of my latest poll they claw back in by beating Virginia Tech & Central Michigan before losing to Maryland.

    #23 Wake Forest (7-2): Another hunch on an ACC team currently on my Watch List, this time because of a fairly easy ride. They beat Duke, Florida State, Navy & North Carolina.

    #24 Florida State (6-2): A little jump from #28 as they beat N.C. State, lose to Wake Forest then beat Miami, FL and Duke.

    #25 Texas (7-2): They just dropped from my poll and after a loss to Oklahoma will have to play back in with wins over Iowa State, Baylor & Nebraska.

    #26 Kentucky (7-2): A tough stretch plummets them from #9 as they beat South Carolina, lose to LSU & Florida then beat Mississippi State.

    #27 Boise State (7-1): I hastened to push them any higher even if they are already on my watch list and will have rolled up wins over New Mexico State, Nevada, Louisiana Tech & Fresno State.

    #28 Virginia (7-2): Yet another ACC team piling up wins to get off my Watch List. They beat Middle Tennessee & Connecticut, lose to Maryland and beat N.C. State.

    #29 Miami, FL (6-2): A minor slide from #26 as they get past North Carolina & Georgia Tech before losing to Florida State.

    #30 Texas Tech (7-2): Sheer wins push them up from my Watch List as they stuff Iowa State & Texas A&M, fall to Missouri and beat Colorado.

    Other notable projected records, with my current ranking in ( )'s NR-not ranked W=watch list

    7-2 Purdue (11)

    6-2 UCLA (W) Wyoming (NR)

    6-3 Illinois (20) Michigan (W) Michigan State (25) Nebraska (21) South Carolina (8) Texas A&M (W)

    5-3 Connecticut (23) Kansas (18)

    5-4 Auburn (26) Indiana (W) Penn State (W)

    4-4 Rutgers (NR) Georgia Tech (W) Vanderbilt (W)

    4-5 Mississippi State

    Now I did go one more week just for kicks, and I will take Ohio State over Wisconsin & South Florida over Cincinnati plus Oregon over Arizona State to clear a little bit of room at the top with two more undefeated teams falling. Virginia Tech (Georgia Tech) Alabama (LSU) Wake Forest (Virginia) Purdue (Penn State) and Florida State (Boston College) I also have losing that week.

    That's where I have to stop because it sets up #2 vs. #3 at Strawberry Canyon. By then probably either Cal or USC will have lost. Can there really be 6 spotless teams when we hit November? I doubt it, which is why we love college football. You just never know what is going to happen next...

    0 (0 Ratings)

    College Football Top 30: Texas & Rutgers O-U-T plus 13 games to watch

    Sunday, September 30, 2007, 04:54 AM EST [General]

    It was pure carnage for ranked teams this weekend, and as a result this was a very hard poll to put together. Some teams are inordinately high because they haven't lost yet while others have taken a huge dip because they don't have a signature win to offset a defeat. Let's be clear, these aren't ranking based on what team I "think" will beat what team. It is based on results, not projections or performances from last year.

    Last week's ranking in ()'s. NR = not ranked. W = watch list.  At the end I have added in ( )'s the AP, Coach and Harris rankings this week.

     

     #1 (1) LSU (5-0): Ugly win over a bad team, but their poor first half can be chalked up to looking ahead at Florida. They had under 100 yards of offense and led Tulane just 10-9 at half before getting it together. Fifteen penalties is just inexcusable for a top flight team, and neither is giving up 5 sacks to an opponent so weak.  (1, 2, 2)

     

    #2 (6) California (5-0): They shouldn't have needed instant replay to hold up a fumble in order to skate past Oregon. Mistakes were made to be sure. Longshore missed Jackson on a sure TD pass in a drive that ended with a punt. Kay had his field goal ruled wide right when it appeared to cross over the goal post. Ezeff inexplicably popped Stewart to extend an Oregon drive that wound up in a touchdown. If all goes Cal's way it might have been more like 41-17, but they overcame on the road to pull it out. Iwon't even mention Longshore's injury stifling their offense which had been unstoppable in the second half. Wait, Ijust did.  (3, 3, 3)

     

    #3 (7) Ohio State (5-0): After seeing some teams get upset earlier in the day maybe the Buckeyes were a little tentative. They sure played like it. They could have really laid into Minnesota. Instead it was a workmanlike 30-7 victory in a game where the outcome was never in doubt. So many teams had cushy home loaded schedules, but Ohio State has a third road game out of their first six this week at Purdue. I think this is a BCS title game contender to be reckoned with, especially in a weak Big Ten.   (4, 4, 4)

     

    #4 (2) USC (4-0): Their 27-24 win over Washington should never have gotten that close, even if the last Husky TD was in the waning moments. The Trojans held a 463-188 edge in total yards, but committed an unreal 15 penalties to almost match the yards (145) their defense gave up. Throw in 3 turnovers and this was not a clean effort. When they were trying to ice the game over their final five possessions they twice lost yards (-6, -4) and had 8, 4 and 27 on the other drives. In total that's 21 plays for 29 yards and against a better team it probably would have bitten them. (2, 1, 1)

     

    #5 (15) Wisconsin (5-0): They definitely picked the right week to beat a quality opponent. Most of the season their defense has bailed them out, but this time the offense came to the rescue. Michigan State gouged them for 34 points and 564 total yards with a balanced attack. In 13 drives the Spartans either scored or made a first down 12 times. Eleven possessions they moved it at least 22 yards. Wisconsin countered with some huge TD drives for 85, 91 and 80 in the first half of a back and forth affair. This was a respect earning win and now they hit the road for Illinois and Penn State. (5, 5, 5)

     

    #6 (18) South Florida (4-0): The game started messy with 5 turnovers in the opening quarter, and ended up with 10. If not for early mistakes the Bulls would have blown this one open early. Instead they slowly built a 21-3 lead and held on for dear life as a backup quarterback nearly brought West Virginia back. Now the chatter is starting for the upstarts to make a run at the BCS title game. After Auburn's win over Florida and Rutgers stumbling I expect that will get louder. (6, 9, 10)

     

    #7 (9) Boston College (5-0): No one told 4-0 Massachusetts they were supposed to lay down and die. It was a very pedestrian effort for the Eagles who continue to plug along in what is probably the easiest schedule among serious BCS contenders. Ryan wasn't sharp (57.1% completions) and it was another penalty filled game with 26 between the teams. However, they benefit from a ton of teams losing and now draw Bowling Green followed by a trip to Notre Dame. (7, 6, 6)

     

    #8 (13) South Carolina (4-1): There could be a changing of the guard in the SEC and the Gamers have the defense to make it happen. They held Mississippi State to 2/13 on third down and really stifled them in the second half with the game on the line. That allowed their offense to move with regularity and ice a 38-21 win. No one figured this week's game against Kentucky would be for the SEC East title, but it just might.  (11, 18, 14)

     

    #9 (17) Kentucky (5-0): When putting their 45-17 win over Florida Atlantic into perspective, let's remember that the Owls beat Minnesota 42-39 two weeks ago. The 'Cats were nearly flawless on offense even if Woodson's interception free streak came to a close at 325. On their first 8 possessions covering the opening three quarters of play the only thing stopping them was the halftime whistle and that one ill fated pass. That's the kind of dominance I expect over a lesser opponent. This game at South Carolina this week is bigger than any between the schools in history. Someone correct me if I'm wrong about that.  (8, 8, 7)

     

    #10 (14) Georgia (4-1): With Ole Miss thinking upset the Bulldogs waited until a long drive (9:01, 85 yards) tied the game at 17 for the visitors to really flex their muscles. The offense kept rolling over them on a day when they tallied 328 yards rushing. In a now wide open SEC East they take their act on the road to Tennessee and Vanderbilt where their title hopes either die or flourish. (12, 11, 12)

     

    #11 (29) Purdue (5-0): I am positioning the Boilermakers for their big game this week against Ohio State when we will find out if they are for real or not. They probably let off the gas too soon against Notre Dame and were almost bitten as a result. Combined the teams had 5 turnovers and 20 penalties so it was a pretty ugly game. Again, this week is their season.  (23, 20, 20)

     

    #12 (16) Hawaii (5-0): Let's put them here for now and see how it plays out. I like how they manhandled Idaho arguably worse than USC did, but I don't like Brennan's 5 interceptions against that defense. If not for 5 picks from his guys this game might have gone in an entirely different direction. The Warriors have three cupcakes lined up (Utah State, at San Jose State, New Mexico State) and stand an excellent chance to be undefeated into their final two games. (16, 15, 16)

     

    #13 (8) Oregon (4-1): It is amazing that even after losing the turnover battle 4-0 they were in position to force overtime until the last of those giveaways. They rolled up 497 yards on Cal, contained Forsett most of the day (25 of his 101 yards came on one carry) and basically just hung tough. Anyone hanging their head on this one quite simply shouldn't. They can rebound this week against Washington State and still have a shot at the Pac-10 title or a BCS bid. (14, 13, 13)

     

    #14 (20) Cincinnati (5-0): Too high? Probably, but they just steamrolled San Diego State with six TD possessions of 61+ yards in their opening seven drives. The one miss was on an interception. After that they shut it down. Beyond South Florida the Big East is looking pretty vulnerable compared to where it was before the season started. Suddenly I now consider them the favorite at Rutgers this week and we'll see how they respond.  (20, 24, 24)

     

    #15 (21) Arizona State (5-0): Since being down 19-0 against the Beavers last week they are on an 85-16 run. Against Stanford it was an all out assault, holding their running backs to 36 yards in 17 carries (2.12 average rush) and the offense to 2/14 on third down. Probably their only sin was ending too many drives with field goals (4) instead of touchdowns (3). Overrated? Maybe, but they have won all their games by 12+ points and by an average of 39-13. Next up are the Washington schools, first State on the road then UW at home. (18, 19, 19)

     

    #16 (5) West Virginia (4-1): Steve Slaton was a fumble machine. Pat White spent the second half cheering from the sideline. Just like that the Mountaineers saw their BCS title hopes go up in smoke. Their first 7 drives were disastrous. The two of them that went over 9 yards (15, 31) ended in lost fumbles. The light went on over their other 7 drives, none of which were shorter than 21 yards, but more turnovers ended drives of 57, 47 and 21 yards. It hardly mattered that South Florida's final 4 drives (discounting the last clock killer) covered a grand total of 20 yards on 17 plays. This is a loss they can recover from. (13, 12, 11)

     

    #17 (22) Missouri (4-0): Their week off couldn't have come at a better time. They prepare for a big one with Nebraska followed by a trip to Oklahoma. With Texas off the schedule even losing both of these games might not keep them from winning 10. (17, 17, 18)

     

    #18 (24) Kansas (4-0): You say too high, I say why not. They get a week to bask in the glory of a hot start, blowing out four lesser opponents. Now comes a stiff test at rival Kansas State, but someone has to take notice that the Jayhawks won't be facing Oklahoma or Texas in the regular season. Might they make a surprise appearance in the Big XII title game? I am probably the first person to make that connection, but with three of the next four on the road it won't be easy. (40, 28, 29)

     

    #19 (23) Virginia Tech (4-1): The Hokies need to get their offense together at some point. North Carolina held them to 241 total yards and 3/12 on third down. Last I checked they were known for basketball, not football. After taking their opening possession 70 yards to open a 7-0 lead they never moved the ball more than 30 yards the other 11 times they had it. I think they will struggle and lose a couple ACC games. (15, 14, 15)

     

    #20 (30) Illinois (4-1): It might be time to take notice of them. They had all phases working against Penn State, forcing 4 turnovers, scoring on special teams and rushing for 216 yards. This week's game against Wisconsin will clear up which team has the best chance to challenge Ohio State for the Big Ten title. (28, 34, 31)

     

    #21 (25) Nebraska (4-1): After a sloppy first half they put away Iowa State with a big 41 yard TD run from Lucky and a defensive score. You never want to lose the first down battle 28-17, but in a game with 7 total turnovers they made the bigger plays to win. Before this week they had to be feeling like this week at Missouri was for the Big XII North. Now that Kansas State and Colorado have beaten Texas and Oklahoma respectively it might not be the case. (25, 23, 23)

     

    #22 (4) Oklahoma (4-1): One statistic stares back at me more than any other: 1/9 on third down. For an offense this talented to be shut down like this at Colorado was very surprising. Only one Sooner caught more than 1 pass, Iglesias with a whopping 2. Bradford completed 8 passes and had 2 intercepted. They were beaten 381-230 in total yardage. It was fortunate for them to get some turnovers leading to short TD drives of 11 and 17 yards or it might not have even been close. Nine of their possessions ended with them failing to move the ball over 18 yards discounting those two short scoring drives. Quite simply it was a disaster.  (10, 10, 9)

     

    #23 (27) Connecticut (5-0): I have no problem ranking the Huskies after another blowout win even if they have beaten no one of note. This week at Virginia they will be tested and either verify their position or fall out of the poll. It's just that simple. (34, 33, 32)

     

    #24 (26) Miami, FL (4-1): Quietly we are talking about the Hurricanes again. It was certainly no masterpiece to beat Duke 24-14, but they got the job done. This team has as good of a chance as any to win the ACC Coastal division and is gaining confidence every week. (27, 26, 27)

     

    #25 (28) Michigan State (4-1): Up after a loss? Yeah, I think so. They really battled at Wisconsin and moved the ball all game long. The Badger defense simply came up big in the fourth quarter with the game on the line in front of their fans. Good units tend to do that. I certainly don't consider them out of the Big Ten race and they should win their next two, at home against Northwestern and Indiana. (32, 27, 25)  

     

    #26 (NR) Auburn (3-2): I think I am willing to forgive the ugly loss to Mississippi State considering they beat a Kansas State team who is suddenly looking good (beat Texas 41-21 this week) and of course just won in The Swamp over Florida. Their other loss was in OT to South Florida who I now have #6. There is a lot of football left and whereas two weeks ago I thought they were dead now they are clearly alive.  (29, 30, 36)

     

    #27 (NR) Kansas State (3-1): Since losing 23-13 at Auburn to open the season they have quietly reeled off three wins by 20+ points including this week's shellacking at Texas. Now I have to wonder how far this team can go. They host Kansas and Colorado in their next two and could position themselves nicely in the Big XII North with a pair of wins. (24, 31, 28)

     

    #28 (W) Florida State (3-1): For now I am forgiving their loss to Clemson because it was a close one on the road and they have two decent wins after that. Their win at Colorado sure looks better after the Buffs upset Oklahoma and this week's victory over Alabama proved the 'Noles can still hang with the better teams every once in a while. Their schedule sets up pretty well over the next few weeks before it stiffens over the final 4. (26, 29, 30)

     

    #29 (3) Florida (4-1): I almost dropped them out of the rankings and the reason is simple - who have they beaten? Tennessee and that's it. I rank teams on accomplishments and they were listless against Auburn. If they win at LSU this week their ranking will rocket back into the top 10, but that was not a national contender I saw this week. (9, 7, 8)

     

    #30 (19) Alabama (3-2): It was an ugly loss at Florida State because the offense waited 3

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