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    Streakers

    Tuesday, February 13, 2007, 10:12 AM EST [NCAA BB]

    This week, I'm going to take an in-depth look at streaking teams in college basketball.  My NCAA hoops philosophy is all about streaking teams.  I like to ride clubs that are undervalued by the betting marketplace and fade squads that are overvalued by the betting marketplace based on their pointspread result.   We've got a handful of streakers in action tonight.  Let's start with Oklahoma State, on a 1-8 ATS run since the start of Big 12.  The Cowboys have been particularly pathetic on the highway, where they are 0-fer the season both SU and ATS.  In four Big 12 road games, the Cowboys have lost to the spread by 48 points, an average of a dozen points per contest worse than the linesmakers expectations.  Okie State takes to the highway again tonight against revenge minded Texas, still smarting off their double OT loss in Stillwater last month.   Georgetown, on the other hand, is streaking in a positive direction; 12-1-1 ATS in their last 14 contests.  The Hoyas rank behind only #1 Florida in offensive execution, connecting on 52.4% of their field goal tries.  Combine that with the Hoyas #13 ranking in defensive field goal percentage allowed (39.1%) and their early season mediocrity (losses to Duke, Oregon and Old Dominion), and we can understand why the betting marketplace has struggled to keep up with Georgetown's impressive results over the last six weeks.  But there's no question that the Hoyas are no longer undervalued - they were eight point favorites over Marquette this past weekend and are laying ten to Louisville tonight.   Pepperdine has been in a downward spiral since the calendar turned to 2007.  The Waves have just two pointspread covers in their last eleven games, coming in their only two victories in West Coast Conference play.  Pepperdine went 9-1 ATS as an underdog in their first ten tries, the lone loss coming in overtime.  But, as is typical of losing teams as the season progresses, close loss after close loss leaves a team frustrated.  The effort for the Waves simply hasn't been there in recent defeats - their last four defeats have come by a margin of 68 points.  Tonight, Pepperdine is catching 9.5 against a San Diego team that has lost their last four at home in outright fashion.   Santa Clara has won and covered seven of their last eight, the only loss coming as big home favorites against a recently surging Loyola Marymount squad.  After getting embarrassed by some very good teams in the midst of a difficult non-conference slate - Kentucky, Missouri St, Nevada, Cal and Air Force - the Broncos have regained their confidence against WCC competition.  We'll see if that confidence and improved play carries over in a revenge matchup with Gonzaga this evening. posted by: Teddy Covers, Senior Handicapper at www.sportsmemo.com
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