With Manchester United taking their time in deciding who they will splash out BIG money on, I'd thought it'd be interesting to take a different approach.
So, I contacted my pals at Electronic Arts in Burnaby, BC who are putting the finishing touches on "FIFA 10". I asked them if they could send over the updated player ratings for CR9 (that's his new number and moniker at Real Madrid) and four other potential United targets - David Villa, Franck Ribery, Karim Benzema and Antonio Valencia. Now, you have to understand, EA's 'Player Ratings' are a closely guarded secret. The spreadsheets containing all the player info (we're talking thousands of players) is akin to a professional football team's playbook - they don't mess around when it comes to this and they don't give these out just willy-nilly.
Lucky for me (and you perhaps) they enjoy the show and were willing to fulfill my request. So, first off a BIG thanks to Steve Frost and his guys working on FIFA 10 (which looks AMAZING by the way!). Much appreciated.
Now onto the analysis.
Each player is rated out of 100 in 19 different categories and then handed an overall rating.
Let's start with our constant - CR9
Overall - 90
Acceleration - 95
Aggression - 54
Agility - 96
Balance - 87
Ball Control - 95
Composure - 78
Crossing - 89
Curve - 90
Dribbling - 97
Finishing - 91
Free Kick Accuracy - 93
Heading accuracy - 82
Jumping - 88
Long Passing - 71
Long Shots - 84
Marking - 22
Penalties - 88
Positioning - 73
Reactions - 84
Short Passing - 84
Shot Power - 90
Slide Tackling - 23
Sprint Speed - 94
Stamina - 89
Standing tackle - 31
Strength - 76
Tactical Awareness - 68
Vision - 86
Volleys - 87
Now, according to the updated ratings, the closest fit would be Franck Ribery. But would Ribery be the BEST fit? Let's break it down a little closer and look at 10 ratings that are likely KEY for the role he would play - which would be a winger like CR9:
Aggression - this is more for perhaps tracking back.
Composure - he will suffer a fair amount of tackles and fouls, but will need to maintain poise in front of goal.
Crossing - key skill for the position.
Dribbling - again, key skill for taking on defenders.
Finishing - key for any attacking player.
Positioning - is he too far forward or not forward enough?
Short Passing - bringing his MF mates into the game.
Sprint Speed - break away and maintain.
Tactical Awareness - being an attack-minded player this is a no-brainer.
Vision - seeing the big picture.
Here's how Ribery rated in those categories - and the difference (+/-) to CR9:
Agg - 66 (+12)
Comp - 84 (+6)
Crossing - 87 (-2)
Dribb - 94 (-3)
Finish - 72 (-19)
Position - 86 (+13)
Short Pass - 88 (+4)
Sprint - 93 (-1)
Tactical - 88 (+20)
Vision (+3)
OVERALL RATING: 88 (-2)
The three HUGE variations were in finishing, positioning and tactical awareness. Here's where you see what CR9 really brought to United - and what Ribery would bring. You'd likely get a more varied scoring distribution with him and certainly more assists (CR9 had 8, Ribery had 13). He'd also likely bring more of his teammates into the game - he's more of a team guy. But you'd sacrifice the goals because he's not the kind of player who could lead United's line. They would rely more heavily on production from Rooney and Berbatov for sure - and NEED a more balanced attack.
Now how about Antonio Valencia? I said in my earlier article that he is more of a 'Wal-Mart' buy - and the ratings would show this to be true. They also show United would be taking a HUGE gamble by bringing him in. The question for Ferguson being - what do you expect out of him? Here's how he rated:
Agg - 51 (-3)
Comp - 77 (-1)
Cross - 81 (-8)
Dribb - 86 (-13)
Finish - 64 (-27)
Position - 74 (+1)
Short Pass - 70 (-14)
Sprint - 82 (-12)
Tactical - 73 (+5)
Vision - 79 (-7)
OVERALL RATING - 79 (-11)
You can see with Valencia he rates lower in 8 of the 10 categories - and is no where near the dribbler, finisher, passer or speedster that Ronaldo is. United would sacrifice possession, goals & outside speed with Valencia - three things that are key to how they operate. This perhaps goes to show that being a success at Wigan is one thing, but being a success at United is completely different.
Now, in Karim Benzema, we're talking about a striker who would likely be given more of a free role with United - as Ronaldo was. He and Rooney would likely do plenty of switching (much to Rooney's chagrin perhaps) and opposition defences would basically have to operate the same way to defend against United.
Agg - 66 (+12)
Comp - 80 (+2)
Cross - 78 (-11)
Dribb - 88 (-11)
Finish - 90 (-1)
Position - 81 (+8)
Short Pass - 81 (-3)
Sprint - 85 (-9)
Tactical - 74 (+6)
Vision - 78 (-8)
OVERALL RATING - 85 (-5)
With Benzema, United hope they wouldn't see THAT much of a drop in production (finish is good) and they'd be getting a young player (he's 21!!) who Ferguson could work with - much like he did with Ronaldo. Much like with Ribery, initially you'd need production from other areas of the United attack. But once Benzema got settled and became comfortable - look out! If anyone could be 'the next Ronaldo' - it's Benzema. The weakness originally being that Benzema could not provide the width and deep play Ronaldo can.
David Villa is an interesting prospect - and one Wayne Rooney probably has mixed feelings about. If United DO bring in Villa, it would mean more wing play for Rooney with Villa taking a center role with Berbatov in 3-pronged attack situations. That or Villa would replace Berbatov relegating him to more of a bench role....But that would be one expensive bench player. However, bringing Villa in might just light that fire under Berbatov that United would like. They would certainly be competing for the slot opposite Rooney.
For Villa, because he is more of a pure goal scorer, we have to look at some different ratings points than the other two. For Villa we look at:
Aggression
Ball Control
Composure
Dribbling
Finishing
Free Kick Accuracy
Long Shots
Positioning
Sprint Speed
Tactical Awareness
Based on those and comparing to CR9:
Agg - 67 (+13)
Ball Cont - 87 (-8)
Composure - 86 (+8)
Dribb - 89 (-8)
Finish - 93 (+2)
FK Acc - 88 (-5)
Long Shot - 87 (+3)
Position - 88 (+15)
Sprint - 86 (-8)
Tactical - 77 (+9)
OVERALL RATING - 87
With Villa United would get as much - if not more - goal production but they would likely sacrifice some of their width at times. Villa is similar to Ruud Van Nistelrooy in that respect - he scores a ton of goals (30G 6A last term). But RVN is 6'2". Villa is 5'9". Take into account the fact that Spain is not as physically aggressive or demanding as the Premier League and there may be a significant adjustment period needed for Villa to get going. United have shown they can recover from a slow start but with next season's title chase set to be one of the most competitive yet, they will likely need to hit the ground running with significant fixture congestion and fatigue a very REAL possibility.
When I sent this article to Bobby to 'proof', he was quick to point out that Ronaldo cannot simply be replaced like-for-like - and Ferguson would probably have to alter United's system much like he did after Beckham was shipped out.
He also wanted to remind that Ronaldo is nominally a winger and actually occupied a number of positions. In doing that, one solution might be to go after an athletic, attack-minded RB like Maicon.
What do you think?
Who else should United target to replace Ronaldo?