The 2007 NBA Lottery is about two weeks away (May 22).
Fourteen teams will depend on ping pong balls to brighten their futures.
The other 16 playoff teams will have draft picks, too, but are in better position to improve their squads through free agency and trades.
With eight teams out of the race for the Larry O'Brien Trophy, here's a look at the needs of the squads that have been bounced from the playoffs thus far.
Dallas Mavericks
Bet you didn't think you'd see this team on the list 'til after the Finals, huh? What the Mavericks need can't be received through a trade, unless you can swing some kind of deal with a cardiologist.
Dallas needs heart. They need added toughness, too. The only killer on the squad (Jerry Stackhouse) is on the downside of his career, not to mention he comes off the bench. I don't see what good a rumored Dirk Nowitzki for Kevin Garnett deal would do since Garnett hasn't even gotten to the postseason in three years and is one good run ('04) from being lumped in with Tracy McGrady.
I have no clue what happened to Dallas. There was obviously no hangover from the Finals disappointment since the group won 67 games, but somewhere along the way, Nowitzki reverted back to soft Dirk, hanging out behind the 3-point arc, not going inside for boards on a consistent basis, etc. Avery Johnson pretty much waved the white flag in the Warriors series by changing his starting line-up so his team could play with Golden State. It should have gone the other way. The playoffs are all about match-ups, though, and the Warriors match up well with Dallas - Golden State did sweep the Mavs, 3-0, in the regular season.
Not too many moves need to be made. Josh Howard is heading into his prime and could end up being a better Scottie Pippen. Nowitzki turns 29 next month, when he should be the reigning NBA MVP. Devin Harris and Jason Terry are a solid backcourt. Dallas' bench is a little old, with Stackhouse (32), Austin Croshere (32) and Greg Buckner (30) being the Mavs major contributors off the pine. Stackhouse and Croshere are also unrestricted free agents this summer.
Dallas' bench could improve and get younger with a deal for a combo guard (Charlie Bell), a backup for Josh Howard (Morris Peterson), or a scoring threat at the five (Primoz Brezec, Darko Milicic).
Denver Nuggets
For the second time in three seasons, the Nuggets took game one from San Antonio in a first-round series. For the second time in three seasons, Denver failed to win another playoff game.
Scoring isn't a problem for the Mile High guys. Everybody knows Carmelo Anthony and Allen Iverson can go for 50 on any given night.
One question, though. How did Marcus Camby earn Defensive Player of the Year on a team that gave up at least 100 points 54 times this season and 110 points 23 times? It was well-documented this season that the Nuggets fielded a team of Steve Nash's. Could Kenyon Martin missing 80 games this season with a knee have had something to do with it? Maybe, but he's not a perimeter player. Denver's wing guys are like turnstiles.
A deal for Bell, Peterson, or Bulls forward Andres Nocioni (a restricted free agent) could shore up Denver's perimeter D and (possibly) help them win a playoff series or two. Martin's health will play a role in that, as well.
Houston Rockets
Athletes, athletes, athletes. Houston needs athletes like Paris Hilton needs recurring appointments at the Clinic.
I could venture to say that had the Rockets drawn any other team in the first round, the result would have been the same. Houston just doesn't have the horses to run with the other teams out west.
It will be difficult for the Rockets to improve, even though they did win 50 games this season. Houston's hands are tied with McGrady and Yao Ming for a few more years and they don't have the pieces to facilitate trades for what they lack - point guard and an athletic four.
No way Sacramento or Detroit takes a package of Rafer Alston, Juwan Howard, Steve Novak and picks in a sign and trade for Mike Bibby or Chauncey Billups. The Rockets may have to look at bringing in Brevin Knight or swinging a deal to reacquire Mike James, who they should have kept two season ago. James, a scoring point, could have helped immensely when Houston got just 16 points from guys on the roster not named McGrady and Yao.
Sonics forward Rashard Lewis (22.4 points, 6.6 rpg last season), who has an early termination option in his contract, is an intriguing piece. Lewis, 27, is a Houston product and has lobbied for a return home on several occasions. He's not someone who should command max money since he puts up his numbers on a bad Sonics team. Lewis is 6'10." If he builds on his 215-pound frame, he could play the four for Houston in a move that could possibly save Tracy McGrady's tear ducts future abuse.
Los Angeles Lakers
Kevin Garnett. Jason Kidd. Jermaine O'Neal.
Those are the names that keep coming out when people talks deals to La La Land.
Each makes sense in some way. Kidd because of Phil Jackson's obsession with big point guards. O'Neal because of his post scoring and defense. And Garnett is attractive because he's another missed postseason away from going Jigsaw on the T'Wolves brass.
O'Neal is the easiest of the three to obtain, since it seems like Larry Bird and Donnie Walsh are trying to go in a different direction with the Pacers. But the closest O'Neal has come to playing an entire season was the 81 games he played in 2000-01, his first year in Indy. If you discount his first three years in Portland, the lockout shortened season, and the 2003-04 season where he was suspended, O'Neal, 28, averages 71 games played a season. That's not awful, but those 11 games could mean the difference in getting a four or a seven seed in the playoffs.
Even at 34, Kidd is still one of the top three point guards in the league. He's one of the few players who can impact a game without scoring and he plays solid D. But he is 34. How many good seasons does he have left? Yes, he's averaged 80 games played the last two seasons, but age hits an athlete when he least expects it. It would be worth it to take a flier on Kidd if you had a serviceable backup point man in your rotation, but I wouldn't call Jordan Farmar serviceable at this point in his career.
Garnett fits with the Lakers for several reasons. Even though people have said it's difficult to mesh with Alpha Dog Kobe Bryant, Garnett would relish in the role because he'd no longer be "The Man." KG could just put up his 20, 10 and 5 every night, throw in the occasional 35 and 20 game, and go on about his business. Garnett is also perfect for Jackson's variation of the Triangle Offense. Like Shaq, he commands a double team in the post and is a very good passing big man. Like Bill Cartwright, Bill Wennington and Luc Longley, he can hit a 15 to 18-foot jump shot.
Each of these three will make a minimum of $18 million next season. Any deal for them would have to include two rotation guys and three expiring contracts. Each team (Pacers, Nets and Timberwolves) would most likely ask for young pivot man Andrew Bynum. To make the money match, swingman Lamar Odom would have to be a part of the deal, as well.
A deal for Garnett makes the most sense with what the Lakers have at this point. Moving Odom would make it easier to re-sign Luke Walton, who had a career year last year (11.4 ppg, 5 rpg, 4.3 apg). Say the Lakers go out and sign Brevin Knight. L.A. could have an Opening Night starting line-up of Knight, Bryant, Walton, Kwame Brown (who's not awful) and Garnett.
Garnett would get out of purgatory. And Bryant could show he can co-exist with another great player.
Miami Heat
If you take out all of the compelling elements of the David Halberstam book, "The Breaks of the Game," based on the 1977-78 Portland Trailblazers, you have the 2006-07 Miami Heat. Think about it: both were down 0-2 in the Finals. Both had players who willed their respective teams to victory (Bill Walton, Dwyane Wade). The makeup of the two is nowhere near similar, but the basic points match up well. Here's another eerie similarity: Walton's nagging foot injuries began to surface the season after Portland won the title. Wade's nagging shoulder injury took place after Miami hoisted the championship gold.
Wade will come back from that injury and once again be a dynamic talent. But the rest of Miami's vital pieces are ready to be put out to pasture. Shaquille O'Neal is a shell of his former self and has been for some time. How many games can he come out like Gangbusters, only to be gasping for air barely halfway through the second quarter? Gary Payton hasn't had a decent year since he left the Pacific Northwest. Alonzo Mourning doesn't have it anymore. The Eddie Jones deal didn't work out and Antoine Walker and James Posey are the first players in the history of sports to have received DNP: Too Fat.
Jones, Payton, Posey and Jason Kapono are all restricted free agents, none of whom should be re-signed. Mourning has limited salary protection, safeguarding is deal if he is with the team past Aug. 10.
Assuming none of these players is with Miami next season, the Heat could field a starting line-up of Jason Williams (also on the downswing), Wade, Dorell Wright, Udonis Haslem and O'Neal. If you add in restricted free agent Earl Barron, unrestricted free agent Michael Doleac and Chris Quinn, who also has limited salary protection, Miami's bench, at this moment, consists of Wayne Simien.
Miami needs roster turnover as bad as anyone. But who wants the contracts they have? Why would they sign Williams, Payton or Walker and trade them? Heck, who even wants Shaq's three-year, $60 million gargantuan deal?
For it to not look like they mortgage the next 10 years of the franchise, the Heat need to find pieces to build around Wade. It's not gonna happen overnight, but there are guys out there who are upgrades over what the team currently has. If the right salaries are dumped, Miami could make a run at Bibby or Billups, but I think it has a better shot at landing the likes of Milwaukee's Mo Williams and, possibly, Charlotte's Gerald Wallace. Those two could give the Heat the perimeter depth to deal with the Bulls' trio should the teams meet in the playoffs in the near future.
Orlando Magic
It's been said that Brian Hill could lose his job because of his relationship with Dwight Howard, or Young David Robinson as I like to call him. It's more likely he'll lose his gig due to Jameer Nelson's penchant to dribble 42 times on a pick and roll and jack up a 20-foot, contested fadeaway.
Point guard is just the start for Orlando. Dwight Howard is untouchable. He's also a couple post moves away from being unstoppable. Think how sweet Howard would be if he had Zach Randolph's post game. It'd be smart for Orlando to hang on to Milicic, too.
He's not All-Star material, but I think he could blossom into a guy who gives you 15 and 8 on a regular basis. I don't mean to go all Chad Ford on you, but he's also a very good passer who sees the court like a guard. There's Orlando's frontline for the next decade. The wing is where the problem lies.
Grant Hill is not a starter anymore. He'd be a great leader and bench guy on a team like the Pistons or the Spurs, but he's not good for 30 minutes a night. Throw Hedo Turkoglu in that dingy, too. Yes, he can shoot. But that's it. And Nelson is a two-guard masquerading as a point. All season long, reports have surfaced that Vince Carter wants to play in Orlando. Making that move would severely stunt both Howard and Milicic's growth.
Chauncey Billups, or any non-chucker for that matter, would be a much better fit. He'd be the team leader once he steps off the plane and he could get the ball to both post players in a position for them to score. Billups has said he would not discuss his contract status until the Pistons' offseason. He already has a title, and could have two this time in July. Why wouldn't he want to help a young stud like Howard become a Beast?
Bibby, Williams and Wallace aren't bad options, either. And Orlando has the flexibility to add to of those guys, which could give the Magic a shot at winning the east for the next three or four years.
Toronto Raptors
The Raptors are set at point with T.J. Ford, if he can stay healthy, and they have their cornerstone in Chris Bosh. Toronto also has size up front with 2006 number one pick Andrea Bargnani and Jorge Garbajosa. Anthony Parker, 6'7," provides the Raptors with size on the wing.
Making a play for Wallace could solidify Toronto's starting line-up for years to come.
Washington Wizards
Brendan Haywood has reportedly asked to be traded. I don't think NBA teams make deals with squads in the Chinese Premier League.
I'll admit, I thought Haywood would be a beast coming out of North Carolina. We all know how that worked out. Haywood's inability to crack the Wiz' playoff rotation says a lot. Because Washington doesn't have any frontcourt depth. Etan Thomas plays hard, but he's no good. The Darius Songalia deal didn't pan out, either. And I didn't even know Calvin Booth was alive.
You know there's not a lot of quality big men out there when Jamaal Magloire is your best option in free agency. But that's what Washington needs. The Wiz are set on the wing, with Gilbert Arenas, Caron Butler and Antawn Jamison. They need size and depth up front. Jermaine O'Neal would fit well here, but what would Washington give up to acquire him?
Next round of changes coming after the Second Round is complete.