my picks for week 2 nfl action.  the home team's name is in CAPS, and the level of confidence (LOC) is listed after each pick.  the higher the LOC (out of 10) the more certain i am that the pick is accurate.  there are three "LOC picks of the week," and for week 2, they are: indianapolis, denver, and miami.  also, my eliminator pick for week 2 is cincinnati. 

oakland (+12) over BALTIMORE - LOC: 4  -> moss and co. have to at least find the end zone once and maybe add a couple field goals.  i don't see balty putting up 28+.  baltimore 26-oakland 16

INDIANAPOLIS (-13) over houston - LOC: 7* -> tempting to get the points and figure carr will chuck it all game, but i just see indy scoring 30+, and i don't see more than 2 touchdowns from the texans.  indy 33-houston 13

cleveland (+10 1/2) over CINCINNATI - LOC: 6 -> cincy's offense is better than it showed against k.c., but this will be close until the 4th.  cleveland has the weapons to score, and cincy's d is suspect against the run.  cincy 21-cleveland 13

MIAMI (-7) over buffalo - LOC: 7* -> bills still reeling from should be win against new england.  saban won't let his team make the same mistakes twice.  miami 27 - buffalo 10

detroit (+8 1/2) over CHICAGO - LOC: 4 -> roy's guarantee won't come true, but martz will utilize he and kevin jones better and beat the bears on a couple plays.  chicago's "o" still doesn't impress.  chicago 16-detroit 13

MINNESOTA (+2 1/2) over carolina - LOC: 6 -> minnesota looked good (at times) against washington.  carolina needs smith back in the worst way, as minny's "d" is underrated.  minnesota 18 - carolina 13

n.y. giants (+3 1/2) over PHILADELPHIA - LOC: 4 -> philly dominated in week 1...against the texans.  giants should have won against indy, if not for dropped ints.  giants come back to barely beat the iggles.  n.y. giants 20-philadelphia 19

tampa bay (+5 1/2) over ATLANTA - LOC: 6 -> atlanta looked good on offense against a tough carolina "d" last week, and tampa bay looked awful against baltimore.  i see a rebound for tampa and a reality check for the falcons in a low-scoring one.  tampa bay 13-atlanta 10 

new orleans (-2) over GREEN BAY - LOC: 6 -> favre and co. are miserable.  not starting rodgers is ridiculous at this point, as every facet of their team is in shambles.  i would have taken the saints if the spread was 9.  new orleans 23-green bay 10

st. louis (-3) over SAN FRANCISCO - LOC: 5  -> st. louis's defense looked good against denver last week, and although alex smith looks like he's successfully removed his head from his rear, i don't see the 49ers keeping pace with the ram's attack. st. louis 23-san francisco 16 

arizona (+7 1/2) over SEATTLE - LOC: 6  -> seattle is much better than they showed in week 1, and with 4 wide sets, should put a lot of points up in coming weeks.  branch takes a couple weeks to gain knowledge of playbook, and arizona can score with the best of them.  seattle 27-arizona 23 

new england (-5 1/2) over N.Y. JETS - LOC: 5 -> jets impressed last week, but that was against the titans.  belicheck knows exactly how mangini thinks, and vice versa.  advantage: patriots.  new england 16-n.y. jets 10

tennessee (+11 1/2) over SAN DIEGO - LOC: 6 -> anyone would look good against 1-AA oakland, so the chargers looked better than they are.  the titans scored a bunch on the jets, and i see them making a 2nd half comeback to keep it within reach.  san diego 26-tennessee 18

DENVER (-10 1/2) over kansas city - LOC: 7* -> plummer knows he has to play better to dispell cutler rumors.  duane huard will have trouble getting it to kennison and gonzalez.  denver's "d" still top 7 in the league.  denver 24-kansas city 13

washington (+5 1/2) over DALLAS - LOC: 6 -> the same principle that applies to plummer holds true for bledsoe as well, with romo waiting in the wings.  he connects with t.o. and glenn for td's, but al saunders gets the skins rolling.  dallas 17-washington 14

pitt (pick 'em) over JACKSONVILLE - LOC: 6 -> steelers lost last year due to 4 turnovers (all caused by maddox), and even then, only lost at the end.  jacksonville will shut down the run, but with ben back, the receiving corps makes big plays.  pittsburgh 18-jacksonville 13

Season record: 7-9

Last week's record: 7-9

LOC pick of the week record: 3-0

Eliminator: week 1-arizona (w), week 2-cincinnati

my picks for week 1 nfl action.  the home team's name is in CAPS, and the level of confidence (LOC) is listed after each pick.  the higher the LOC (out of 10) the more certain i am that the pick is accurate.  there are three "LOC picks of the week," and for week 1, they are: san diego, chicago, and philly.  also, my eliminator pick for week 1 is arizona. 

Miami (+1