WARNING!!! TRAP GAME ADVISORY!!!!

Yes, the 'horns definitely need to wake up and smell this coffee this morning.  There's a round table of Black Knights yearning to saw'em off.  This game is already lining up to be an upset special.

 Let's see what the Longhorns will have to overcome this week....

 1)  UT comes off an emotionally hard fought victory over TCU last week in Austin, and it's very easy to want to play down and relax for this week's little sister at UCF.  However, is UCF a little sister team this year?  They knocked off NC State last week, and they trot out the nation's leading rusher in Kevin Smith who ran for 200+ yards in Raleigh.   UCF may be the newest Florida school playing upwards to the big time.  Here's their chance against #6.  After the TCU win, let's hope the 'horns weren't expecting a vacation and shouting "I'm going to Disney World!!!"

2)  UCF is playing their opening game at their new stadium in Orlando, Bright House Networks Stadium.  The Knights will be pumped to win their inaugural game at home, and they're gonna bring it with emotion.  Let's hope the Longhorns haven't spent all week visiting other Orlando tourist attractions just to forget about this newest site seeing venture.

3)  Another week, another arrest.  How much will the drug possession arrest and suspension of Tyrell Gatewood affect the mental game as well as the defensive secondary of the 'horns?  UCF doesn't have much of a vertical passing game, but I'm testing that freshman safety for UT at least twice during the game.

4)  Travel woes.  The Longhorns had a tough time getting into Orlando this week, and may not have their travel legs back under them yet.  Nothing wears an athlete or any traveler more than a bad flight and airports.

5)  Looking ahead.  The 'horns are traditionally pretty good about NOT looking ahead to the annual OU game.  How many numerous times have both teams arrived undefeated?  However, with OU's 2 dominating performances in their first two games, and their subsequent leap frog of Texas in the polls and national respect, this could have the Longhorns looking a month ahead to Dallas.  BTW, Longhorns don't overlook Kansas St. before OU like you did them last year before A&M.

WHY THE UPSET WON'T HAPPEN:

1)  Road Warriors.  The Longhorns over the last 10 years under Mack Brown have been ludicrously dominant on the road.  I heard the numbers the other day and have forgotten them, but its something like only 4 road losses in 10 years.  Remember last year's UT-Nebraska game in Lincoln in the blustery conditions?  Mack Brown will not let the Longhorns get distracted for this UCF game.  They're gonna show up on the road, and have their best set of burnt orange jerseys on.

2)  Frank Okam and Derek Lokey.  These two guys basically account for 50% of the field when they're out there.  Nothing is gonna run by these two tackles in the middle.  Plus against a smaller offensive line of UCF could give them a field day in the back field.

3) Happy Feet.  After two games, Colt McCoy and Jamal Charles have finally shaken out the cobwebs and disciplined their happy feet into positive outcomes.  Look for more 15+ yard scampers by Charles, and one or two bombs from Colt to keep UCF off balance.

4) Too Much, Too Little.  As it says, the Longhorns have too much talent, too much size, too much speed, and UCF has too little of it.

 Expected Results:

Texas might start slow with a couple of 3-and-outs due to the amped up atmosphere at UCF and the pumping adrenaline on both sides.  However, the defense for UT will snuff any movement from UCF's ground game and force the Knights to throw the ball more.  UT will likely have at least once defense score off of interceptions.  After the defense asserts its dominance, the offense will be able to start clicking with great field position and big plays.  Also, don't forget about Texas' classically dominant special teams play.  A blocked punt or punt return for a TD is very likely due to UT's great speed.  UCF's RB Kevin Smith may get his 100 yards by obstinate play calling, but this would kill the Knight's overall game play.

FINAL:   UT  42   UCF 10