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    Chrispi


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    About Me: As an amateur sports handicapper, I'm going to publish my analysis and picks for free. This forum provides me an easy method of keeping track of my handicapping record. Plus, if my picks are above 52.5% correct (above 50% on baseball moneylines), then I
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    About Me: As an amateur sports handicapper, I'm going to publish my analysis and picks for free. This forum provides me an easy method of keeping track of my handicapping record. Plus, if my picks are above 52.5% correct (above 50% on baseball moneylines), then I
    Marital Status Single

    Selections - 2/21/2007

    Wednesday, February 21, 2007, 10:49 AM EST [NBA]

    Yesterday: 5 - 7

    Overall: 56.4 - 52

    NBA (24 - 14)

    Cavs at Raptors (-3.5): The Raptors are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games, and they're 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight. They've also been a great home team, compiling a 17-8-1 ATS record. Even though the Cavs have gone 8-1 ATS in their last nine games, including five straight ATS wins, they are still just 12-13-1 ATS on the road. Plus, having Zydrunas Ilgauskas out of the lineup could catch up to them tonight, as the Cavs need their big man to help defend the Raptors' Chris Bosh, Andrea Bargnani, and Jorge Garbajosa.

    Bucks at Pacers (-8.5): The Bucks are playing the second night of a back-to-back, and they're just 7-8 ATS in such situations. They're also 4-6 ATS in their last ten games, and they're 15-16 ATS on the road. Meanwhile, the time off might have helped the Pacers, as they're a young team that's still adjusting to a major mid-season trade. While the Pacers haven't been great in their last ten games (5-5 ATS), they're 16-11 ATS at home.

    Hornets (+3) at Nets: Without Jason Kidd in the lineup, the Nets lost two straight games before the All-Star Break. Kidd has yet to declare himself ready to play tonight, and amidst the turmoil of trade rumors, he's probably in no rush to don his Nets uniform. The Nets are just 4-6 ATS in their last ten games, and they're 13-14 ATS at home. Their opponent, the Hornets, are playing the second night of a back-to-back, but they've actually done well in these situations (8-6 ATS). And even though the Hornets lost last night, they're a good bounceback team (15-12-1 ATS after a loss). The Hornets have been playing good team basketball lately, while the Nets hardly look like a team.

    Grizzlies at Warriors (-8.5): The Grizzlies are 5-11 ATS on the second night of back-to-backs, and they're just 10-17 ATS on the road. That doesn't bode well against the Warriors, who boast a 17-11 ATS mark at home. Plus, Jason Richardson is returning from an injury for the Warriors, who were 19-13 ATS with him in the lineup, compared to 8-13-1 ATS in his absence.

    College Basketball (32.4 - 38)

    Charlotte at Duquesne (+1.5): Duquesne has won three of its last four home games, and they're coming off of a near-upset win at Fordham on Sunday (Duquesne lost, 83-86). Duquesne's also posted a respectable 7-2 ATS record in their last nine games, and that coincides with their switch to a 10/40 offense, where they use a ten-man rotation so that the players are sprinting the entire time that they're in the game. This look could confuse Charlotte, who has suffered through four straight road losses. And Charlotte's just 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games.

    Virginia (-3) at Miami: Except for a blowout loss at Virginia Tech in a rivalry game, Virginia's played great lately, winning nine of ten games SU (7-3 ATS during this span). Virginia's also won three of their last four road games, beating Maryland, Clemson, and N.C. State. Overall, Virginia's managed a 6-2 ATS record on the road. While Virginia looks to be gearing up for the Tournament, Miami's going in the opposite direction, as the Hurricanes have lost eight of nine games SU (2-6-1 ATS during this span). Miami's also just 3-6 ATS at home.

    Florida State (+340) at Maryland: After suffering four straight losses following their upset win at Duke, Florida State needs another signature win in order to have a chance at earning an at-large Tournament bid. A win at Maryland would qualify, as the Terrapins have been playing great lately, with three straight wins, including two on the road (at N.C. state and at Clemson). Even though Maryland should win, this moneyline's too high to resist, as oddsmakers seem to be forgetting that three of Florida State's last four losses came in tight games against tough opponents. Last Saturday's 70-73 loss at Virginia shows that Florida State's upset win at Duke wasn't a fluke. Florida State's the wounded animal here, while Maryland might be feeling a bit too good about themselves after Saturday's upset win at Clemson.

    Texas A&M at Oklahoma State (+180): Tonight is the most critical game of Oklahoma State's season. They've lost four of five games SU, putting them in jeopardy of being left out of the Tournament. Oklahoma State also just lost at home to Missouri on Saturday, which put an end to their hopes of an undefeated home record. Also, Oklahoma State is 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games, so the public now perceives Oklahoma State as a mediocre team (hence, the generous moneyline). Oklahoma State will use the naysayers as motivation for tonight. Meanwhile, Texas A&M is coming off of a win at Oklahoma on Saturday, and they're a lock for at least a #3 seed in the NCAA Tournament. Until the conference tournament, their only other meaningful game comes at Texas next Wednesday, so the Aggies could suffer a letdown tonight as road favorites.

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