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    About Me: As an amateur sports handicapper, I'm going to publish my analysis and picks for free. This forum provides me an easy method of keeping track of my handicapping record. Plus, if my picks are above 52.5% correct (above 50% on baseball moneylines), then I
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    About Me: As an amateur sports handicapper, I'm going to publish my analysis and picks for free. This forum provides me an easy method of keeping track of my handicapping record. Plus, if my picks are above 52.5% correct (above 50% on baseball moneylines), then I
    Marital Status Single

    Selections - 4/12/2007

    Thursday, April 12, 2007, 10:56 AM EST [MLB]

    Yesterday:

    NBA: 1 - 1; MLB: 2.6 - 1.5

    MLB (35.6 - 19.9)

    Angels (Moseley) at Indians (Sowers) First 5 Innings -130: Jeremy Sowers only gave up two runs on one hit against the White Sox last week, but he did surrender five walks. Even so, walks haven't been a big problem in Sowers' career, as he only gave up 20 BBs in 88.1 IP at the big-league level last year, and he walked 29 batters in 97.1 IP at AAA. Sowers also posted a 1.1 WHIP at AAA, along with a very respectable 1.19 WHIP in the majors. On the other hand, Angels' starter Dustin Moseley had a 1.44 WHIP in AAA last year. Even though Moseley had a good outing against the A's last week, Oakland was struggling with hitting at the time. Also, take the first-five-innings line on this game, as the Cleveland bullpen is bad enough to cough up a late-inning lead.

    Phillies (Moyer) at Mets (Glavine) -150: Although Jamie Moyer pitched well in a win against the Marlins last week, the 44-year-old's numbers have been declining since the end of the 2003 season. Last year, he posted a 4.31 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 211. 1 IP. Meanwhile, Tom Glavine's been resurgent since 2003, and he had his best year with the Mets last season. In two starts so far this year, Glavine has a 2.38 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Also, if this game's close heading into the late innings, the Mets have an advantage over the Phillie's awful bullpen.

    NBA (113 - 92)

    Clippers (+3) at Lakers: The Clippers have lost their last three games SU and ATS, but they're all explainable. On Tuesday, they went to overtime against a Hornets squad that's very good at home, and that was just a night after losing by ten points to the mighty Mavs, who were in the process of clinching home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. And on Saturday night, the Clippers led most of the way against the red-hot Nuggets, but they lost by three points after the Nuggets came back in the 4th quarter. In the eight games prior to this mini-slide, the Clippers were 7-1 SU and ATS, and that includes an eight-point win over the Lakers on April 4. The Lakers have been struggling badly, as they're 2-6 SU in their last eight games, and a dismal 3-14-1 ATS in their last 18 games. As a result, it's hard to explain why the Lakers are three-point favorites in this one.


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