Spirit of '76
by: xea76
New Beginnings: 2006-2007 New York Knicks
Oct 31, 2006 | 10:16AM | report this

Yesterday the New York Knicks officially said goodbye to the disaster that was the 2005-2006 NBA season.  After financially settling with Larry Brown and cutting Jalen Rose, the New York Knicks are officially ready to turn to page toward Wednesday's opener against Memphis and the rest of the NBA season.

In order to fix any problem, one must first diagnose the problem.  The laundry list of Knicks problems is both long and distinguished.  However, I have narrowed the Knick problem down to three major statistics.  Today's fan love stats, well here are some that may just blow your mind, especially considering that little or nothing was done to correct these problems. 

Problem stat #! -  The Knicks are notorious for having too many "shoot now and ask questions later" guards.  There is no question that Jamal Crawford, Steve Francis, and of course, Starbury himselt fit this description to a "T".  To further this point, the Knicks only had one player rank in the top 50 in the NBA in assist-to-turnover ration.  This statistic is the single most accurate in determining a players ability (especially a point guard) to run the offense efficiently and get his teammates involved.  Stephon Marbury ranked 27 (which is still extremely low for a starting point guard getting his minutes) in the league, which was NY's only top 50 representative.    Conclusion - Someone MUST step to the plate and get this surprisingly talented roster involved without sending half of the passes to Spike Lee and friends in the stands.

Problem stat #2 -   Jamal Crawfork averaged .5 steals per turnover last season.  That ranks 45th in the NBA in that stat.  Sound bad?  It is, especially when you consider that he actually led the Knicks in this stat.  This tell us many things about the offense.  First is that big men are turning the ball over way too much.  A solid big man should have good numbers in this category, not because of his high number of steals, but his low number of turnovers.  For example, some of the names ahead of Crawford are:  Shawn Marion, Rasheed Wallace, Shane Battier, Rashard Lewis, Antawn Jamison, Kevin Garnett, Chris Webber, Michael Redd, Stephen Jackson, and Andrei Kirilenko to name a few.  Not necessary people known for steals (some are), but rank high in this category due to a lack of turnovers.  Conclusion - the Knicks have to maximize on stealing the basketball to capitalize on the open-court talent that they have while limiting the turnovers that obviously plague them severely.  Basketball is more like football than one might think here.  The team that wins the turnover battle usually wins the game.

Problem stat #3 - Somethings in basketball take little effort and can be mastered by people who have the work ethic to make it happen.  To me, blocked shots are one such stat.  Eddy Curry led the Knicks in blocks last year.  I know what you're thinking!  "Curry doesn't play any defense."  You're right!  Fourty-five players in the NBA blocked more shots per game than did Curry, unfortunately none of those 45 play their home games in Madison Square Garden.  This screams to a lack of defensive hustle and effort.  Solution - The Knicks must get more serious about defending their own basket.  They did address this somewhat with the acquisition of Jared Jeffries, but he's out until December so someone else will have to step-up until then.

Outlook for the Knicks.  People that are enthusiastic about the Knicks this season rationalize that by saying that the Eastern Conference is so bad that New York can "talent" its way into playoff contention.  That's a dangerous line of thinking because people who say that are underestimating how bad the Knicks can be at times.  Others believe that the Knicks would love nothing more than to rub a playoff run right into Larry Brown's $50 million face.  While this maybe true, Isiah Thomas doesn't exactly lead to insomnia to any opposing coach I've heard of.  The 2006-2007 Knicks will be better than last year simply because they can't be worse.  Will they be good enough to make the playoffs or at least contend?  I think they might.  Why you ask?  That's the question I can't answer, but if they turn the ball over less, steal and move the ball more, and get more aggressive on the defensive end, they will be the story of the upcoming NBA season. 

5 Comments | Add a comment   categories: NBA, New York Knicks, Stephon Marbury, Jamal Crawford, Eddy Curry, Isiah Thomas, Larry Brown, Jalen Rose
 
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jaycarmel81
Oct 31, 2006
11:29 AM
The Knicks will play hard at the start as an #### to Larry Brown, but I don't see that lasting long simply because of the make-up of their roster. The only way they do something is to deal Marbury or Francis and Crawford for a bona fide scorer and some picks.

MeanD
Oct 31, 2006
11:47 AM
Well thought out, xea. And, well done.

The Knicks should be one of the more intriguing stories of the season. They do have a lot of upside...

But,

It's their downside that scares the dickens out of me.

I can't say I'm rooting for them because I don't necessarily root for any team...

Still, I would like to see the Knicks return to respectability.

P.S. There is credence in Young Jay's comments.

lyrikell
Oct 31, 2006
12:37 PM
Good Post Xea.I myself,am a die-hard Knicks fan and couldn't have said that better myself.I actually see them making the playoffs this year and can't quite put my finger on what it is they will do to get there.I do think having a year of playing together under their belts can only help their chemistry.If Curry stays healthy I think he may bring more to the tables than last year;so will second year players Channing Frye and David Lee.I really believe that they have a good nucleus of young players and spent alot of time at the charity stripe as well which will only help if that remains to be the case.Now though I really don't have alot of Faith in Isiah Thomas like you mentioned I think the F.U Larry mentality will make Isiah look like a better coach than he really is.Good thing that I have an overall love for the game regardless of the Knicks doing good or not otherwise it could be another misery season for me.

TrainOntheBall
Nov 5, 2006
10:50 AM
Nice post, but I'm a Knicks fan who's choosing to go the realist route rather than the best-case-scenario route. The Knicks will be one of the worst teams in the league.

1. Can't play defense.
2. Can't rebound.
3. Can't shoot.
4. Can't protect the ball.

I'll be shocked if they win 30 games.

MeanD
Nov 12, 2006
4:21 PM
JJ is holding up your prediction brilliantly. Good call.

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ABOUT ME


xea76
Proud NGS II finalist. My run to the sweet 16 was short but. . . (from the department of redundancy department) sweet. I love all sports. The Seattle Seahawks are my main passion. I've loved them since I can remember. My teams of choice in other sports are the New York Yankees and Rangers, and the Arkansas Razorbacks. As far as the NBA, I'm just a drifter. However, I do love this game!
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