When I first read this topic I had to think long and hard about this question. It's a difficult topic for me because I don't consider myself a bandwagon fan. I have my teams and players I support or think highly about. I have teams and players that I am not high on. Those opinions are formed over a body of work. Once I've come to those conclusions it’s hard to sway me with a good game here or a bad game there.
The other thing that makes this hard is that there really isn't a dominant team in the NFL this season. Only the Tennessee Titans remain unbeaten at 5-0. In 2007 the Patriots went 16-0, the Colts started 7-0, the Cowboys started 10-1, and the Packers started 10-1. We knew who the first round byes were going to belong to after 12 games. This year there are 21 teams that are .500 or better and the largest lead in a division is two games. With the exception of the Bengals and Lions almost everyone is still in the thick of the race for a division title or wildcard.
There have been a lot of upsets in 2008. The Browns upset the heavily favored Giants. The Dolphins looked set by beating the Brady-less Patriots and Chargers, before losing to 0-4 Houston. The Rams were able to travel to Washington and upset the heavily favored Redskins. There just hasn't been enough consistency to get a good read on the NFL this early in the season. This may be a year where 10-6 or 11-5 earns a team a first round bye. You could be on just about any team’s bandwagon right now.
There were a number of ways I could have gone with this. The easy thing would have been to write about my favorite player's team, Brett Favre and the New York Jets. I could have gone with the Packers seeing they have been my favorite team since I began watching football almost 20 years ago. I could have gone with the Tennessee Titans and their 5-0 start. All would have been very easy to make cases for.
However, I am going to a place where there hasn't been a lot to get excited about in recent years. I am going to a franchise that last won 10 games in 1976. I'm going to a place that has a terrible history and the little bit of good history they have was in a different city. I'm going to a place that is so terrible that they don't have a band or a wagon. That place is the Arizona Cardinals.
The Arizona Cardinals are not exactly the NFL's elite. They are the oldest professional American football club in the United States. They were formed in 1898 as the Morgan Athletic Club in Chicago. They have been the Racine Cardinals, Chicago Cardinals, St. Louis Cardinals, and in 1988 became the Phoenix Cardinals. In 1994 they ceased being Phoenix and became Arizona.
That's probably the accomplishment the Cardinals can be most proud of. They have been around the longest. Despite those frequent flyer miles and that long NFL history the one thing that has been constant is poor play. The Cardinals won only one NFL Championship game in 1947 and have a franchise regular season record of 468-669-39 or a .412 winning percentage. Their all time playoff record is 2-5. In the 80 plus years of NFL action they have made the playoffs just six times. To put that into perspective the New England Patriots have won six division titles in the last seven years.
However, this year I believe things will be different. This year I believe the Arizona Cardinals will win the NFC West, which would be their first division title since 1975 when they were the St. Louis Cardinals and Dan Dierdorf was pass blocking for Jim Hart.
Let me start by saying I've been on this team's bandwagon since I did my division previews in the offseason. I picked the Arizona Cardinals to win the NFC West with a 9-7 record. I was taking heat from Seattle fans and San Francisco fans for a good portion of the summer. If this early season success keeps up I will be exonerated. Here are five reasons why I believe that prediction will come true:
1) Kurt Warner is Back - Everyone knows that Kurt Warner had some great years with the Rams, which began when he became their starter in 1999. He won the regular season MVP award in 1999 and 2001 with them. He threw for 12,612 yards, 98 touchdowns, and 53 interceptions in that span. It was one of the best individual three year stretches in NFL history. Furthermore, his 93.8 career QB rating is the fourth best in NFL history trailing only Tony Romo, Steve Young, and Peyton Manning.
From 1999-2001 the Rams went 35-8 in the regular season with him as their quarterback, compiled a 5-1 record in the playoffs, appeared in two Super Bowls, winning his only Super Bowl in 1999 in which he was the MVP of the Super Bowl. The Super Bowl the Rams lost was a 20-17 defeat at the hands of the New England Patriots.
The problem has been that up until last season he hadn't played like that guy from 1999-2001. The most touchdowns he had in a season since 2001 was 11 in 2005 with the Cardinals. The most yards he accumulated was 2,713 in the same season. His record as a starter from 2002-2006 was 8-23. The most games he stared in one season was 10 games which also happened in 2005. The last time he quarterbacked in a playoff game was the 2001 season. When the Cardinals drafted Matt Leinart it appeared Warner was going to leave the NFL as a backup and mentor.
That changed in 2007 when he had a rebirth. Matt Leinart went down with a season ending injury and Warner was allowed to be the full time starter. He responded with 3,417 yards passing, 27 touchdowns, 17 interceptions, a 89.8 QB rating in only 11 starts. He helped lead them to an 8-8 season. While that creates a panic in Indianapolis or New England that creates a parade in Arizona. Hopes were high that maybe the losing was about to come to an end.
He has carried that into this season. Leinart played poorly in preseason and Warner won the job. Warner ranks second in passing yards with 1,708, fourth in touchdown passes with 12, fifth in QB ranking at 102.8, and has only five interceptions. His 70.0 completion percentage is third in the NFL. If he can keep this up he will be a Pro Bowler. If the Cardinals keep up their winning ways he could enter the conversation for MVP of the NFL.
The NFL is a Quarterback's league. With a 37-year-old quarterback that is playing his best ball since 2001, has won playoff games, and won a Super Bowl the Cardinals have the type of player that can propel them to a division title. His leadership alone brings a lot to the table. If he can continue his stellar play the Cardinals will continue to win football games. He is their MVP and a big reason the Cardinals are 4-2 early on the season.
2) Larry Fitzgerald - Every quarterback needs a weapon that he can go to for clutch plays. Larry Fitzgerald is among the best receivers in the NFL. His 36 receptions rank fifth in the NFL, his 546 yards receiving ranks third, and his five receiving touchdowns is tied for the NFL lead with his teammate Boldin, Chambers, and TO. At 6'3" and 225 pounds he can make tough catches over the middle, but he has the speed to go deep and the jumping ability to go up for catches. His amazing acrobatic catch on a 4th quarter Warner bomb accounted for 30 yards and led to a touchdown that was huge in their victory over Dallas.
The Cardinals have a lot of good offensive weapons. Anquan Boldin is among the league’s best as well when he is healthy. Getting him back will help this offense even more. Steve Breaston has been huge in relief. He has 24 catches for 301 yards in his last three games. Edgerrin James gives them tough yards on the ground. Tim Hightower has five rushing touchdowns this season. The Cardinals have a lot of weapons that have helped them rank second in points per game and sixth in yards per game. But no one has been more important at the non-quarterback skill positions than Fitzgerald. He gives that offense a dimension that keeps defensive coordinators up late at night and will allow the Cardinals to continue putting points up on the board and winning football games.
3) An improving defense - Don't laugh before you read this point. I understand the Cardinals don't rank well defensively. They are 15th in yards allowed, 18th in pass yards allowed, and 12th in rush yards allowed. That isn't ‘85 Bear-like, but it isn't bad. They rank second in sacks with 18.
People will point to the 24 points per game, which ranks 21st in the NFL, 106.5 QB rating allowed to opposing quarterbacks, and league high 12 touchdown passes allowed. Don't allow one bad game against the Jets and future Hall of Famer Brett Favre to cloud your judgment with this defense.
Against the Jets the Cardinals played as badly as any team has played this year against any opponent, particularly in the second quarter allowing 34 points. A large part of that was caused by seven Arizona turnovers. It was a complete team meltdown. If you take out the 56 points and six touchdowns allowed the Cardinals D doesn't look as bad. They are allowing only 17.6 points per game in their other five games, which would rank seventh in the NFL. Six touchdown passes allowed in five games is not too bad either.
This has been a very good defense that allowed 13 points to San Fran, 10 points to Miami, 17 points to Buffalo, and 24 points to both Washington and Dallas. The defense is much improved and allowing this team to stay competitive.
That's the biggest difference with the Cardinals in 2008. The last three seasons they finished 24th (‘07), 27th (‘06), and 29th (‘05) in points allowed. This year they are getting stops and pressuring the quarterback, which is allowing their offense to be in better spots and be even more effective. The Cardinals offense doesn't need a lot of help, but it needs some. The Cardinals will continue to win games if the defense stays at its current level, minus the Jets game.
4) Ken Whisenhunt - It appears the Cardinals have finally found someone that has changed the culture in the Desert. The Cardinals are finding ways to win games rather than lose them. That was evident against Dallas in the 30-24 OT win. The Cardinals called timeout and proceeded to block a field goal. Dallas got another shot, hit the 52-yard attempt, and sent the game to OT. The 1988-2007 Phoenix / Arizona Cardinals found a way to lose that game. This team played hard, believed in themselves, and became the first ever NFL team to win an OT game on a blocked punt.
Ken Whisenhunt deserves a lot of credit for that. He brought a toughness and tradition from the Pittsburgh Steelers and has infused that into this team that has a tradition of being laughable losers in previous years. Even though they only went 8-8 last year you saw flashes of this years solid play when they beat Seattle, Pittsburgh, and Cleveland, all of whom won 10 games last season. That is one reason I picked them to progress this year and win the division. It wasn't the eight wins, it was some of the teams they were able to beat. You could see this team was becoming competitive. This year they are finding ways to win tough games as well without having the stupid losses like they did last year, in particular two bad losses to San Francisco.
5) Schedule / Strength of Division - This is key. The Cardinals still have four games against Seattle and St. Louis. They also have a game against the 49ers. If they don't go 4-1 or better in those games something is wrong. They also draw New England and Minnesota who have looked very average at times this year. Arizona's remaining schedule has a combined record of 23-31 and only three teams with plus .500 records.
Let's say they play .500 ball the rest of the way (5-5), which would give them a 9-7 record. The Rams and Seahawks would have to go 8-3 to equal that mark. The 49ers would have to go 7-3. Does anyone see that as being likely? I certainly don't. I would be surprised if those other three teams made it to six or seven wins the way they are playing.
By having a two game lead in the division and playing in a division with teams that have looked very unimpressive this year the Cardinals have a nice margin for error. They don't have to go 10-2 to make the playoffs. They don't have to worry like Dallas does that if they don't go 12-4 or better their fan base will be unhappy.
Arizona fans would be doing cartwheels with a 9-7 record, NFC West title, and a home field playoff game. If the Cardinals were in the NFC East they would be tied for second place. In the NFC West they have a two game lead. That advantage can not be overstated.
That doesn't mean I think the Cardinals are the favorite to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. I said I was on their bandwagon, not that I was checking into the insane asylum. Winning a Super Bowl is usually a process and most teams don't win the whole thing their first year in the playoffs. To label the Cardinals a Super Bowl favorite this early in the season would be a bit much.
I think the team that emerges from the NFC East has to be the favorite in the NFC this season. I think the team that emerges from the NFC South will be a formidable opponent. Carolina, New Orleans, and Tampa Bay have all been in the playoffs in recent years. A team like Chicago or Green Bay that has previous playoff experience could emerge. But none of those teams are the clear front runners yet and the Cardinals can no longer be overlooked. I believe they will be a contender in the NFC West and with a home playoff game they could possibly contend in the NFC if they continue to progress.
Contender and Cardinals are something NFL fans haven't said together since the Don "Air" Coryell days in the 1970s when the team resided in St. Louis. With Warner, Fitzgerald, and a revamped defense the Cardinals finally have the pieces to contend in the NFL. They are finally respectable.
While it has been a very frustrating time for the few people that still call themselves Cardinal fans, Arizona can take pride in the Tampa Bay Devil Rays. Laughing stocks of the AL for the last 10 years the Rays have finally put themselves on the map and are within reach of the World Series. Last year that would have been unthinkable. Maybe 2008 is the year the first shall be last and the last shall be first. Maybe 2008 is the year of the Cardinals.
SF801608 - Thanks for the comment. I picked the Cardinals to win the NFC West this summer when I was doing previews.
The teams I root for are usually the Packers (harder to do without #4) and now the Jets with Favre being there quarterback. Those are the two teams I root for personally.
As someone that writes about the NFL I simply like good play, something the Cardinals have been doing a lot more than the 49ers this year. I am feeling better about that pick everyday.
Yep, you were picking the Cards in the off-season. I remember the articles. Good Pick
I felt that the Seahawks could hold onto the division for one more year. Injuries to wide receivers aside, without a healthy Hassleback the Seahawks have no chance, even if their defense gets back on track. They still have two shots at Arizona, but I don't think they will get back into the race for those games to matter much.
Arizona is a 75% or better favorite to win the division. BUT if they want to advance beyond making the playoffs, I need to see more. Beating Dallas at home in OT was nice, but they still are just three weeks removed from Farve throwing 6 td's at the Meadowlands. Arizona is going to have to win some games on the road. And even if/when they win the AFC West, they are going to have to run the ball more consistently to beat a wildcard team in the playoffs. They would have to match up vs. a potential Wash/Philly/Dallas/Giants/Carolina/ Tampa Bay as at best a #3 seed. A rematch with the Cowboys would be no picnic.
Whisenhunt needs to be a little smarter than calling for an onsides kickoff after tying the game vs. Dallas with momentum AFTER the Bengals had done it the week before vs. the Cowboys.
Moseby - Thanks for the post. 100% agree with you. James is just not the same back he was in Indy and they need him or Hightower to do better than the under 4.0 yards per carry they have been giving them. If they can improve in that area that would make them a contender.
I picked them to win the division and lose in the first round. They may be able to even win a playoff game the way Warner is playing. But to win the NFC without a running game will be very difficult.
Nice blog cred...Its not often we as Cards fans see much good written about our team. LOL I too believe this just may be a break out year for our RedBirds! Barring any major injury, or complette implosion, the Cards have a REAL shot at not only getting into the playoffs this year...but, maybe take it a step further??!!?
Dbackfanxtreme - Thanks for the post. Like I said I picked them to win the division and am feeling very good about that pick. We'll see how they progress this season. It's good to see Arizona to have a NFL team to get behind. Cardinal fans deserve their team to be competitive. Enjoy the season.
BoltBacker21 & Gambitxx - Thanks for the posts. Good luck to the two of you as well.
DL1957 - Thanks for the post. You have to sell the case hard if you go with the Cardinals, lol.
VoiceofTreason - Thanks for the post. The NFL doesn't count postseason wins toward win totals, otherwise the Dolphins wouldn't have snapped NE's winning streak earlier this year. Postseason records both individually and team wise are seperate from the regular season.
They finished 9-7 in 1998 and actually had to win their last their last 3 games to do that, all of which were by 3 or less points.
What you meant to say is that YOU were not counting the post season games, and that YOU were referring to the last time they won 10 games in the REGULAR season only.
The Dolphins snapped their REGULAR season win streak, but they still went 18-1 last year...
VoiceofTreason - I really don't understand why we are having a disagreement about this. Here is the NFL record book link to the team records for games won:
They don't include any postseason wins or losses in any of their records. When I discuss a season I don't either.
It's a pretty trivial argument. Other than 1998 the Cardinals have stunk for the last 30 or so years and I think we can both agree on that. Did you have any other thoughts on the piece other than that?
Last edited by StreetCred on October 15th at 9:41 AM.
It becomes trivial when you're wrong, yet you were a smart #### about it initially.
If you want a thought....way to go out on a limb picking a team that can probably win that division with 7 wins. Is that good for ya?
The fact is you were wrong about it, instead of escalating it you could have easily admitted it or simply clarified that you meant REGULAR SEASON, instead, you want to undertake an indignant condescending tone, so I handle it accordingly.
VoiceofTreason - That's fine. I realize going into this that not everyone is going to like my articles or like my takes. If you choose to be offended and feel the need to put me in my place I am sorry as that is the last thing I ever intended.
I don't think what I wrote was wrong, I stand by it, and we will have to agree to disagree. Thank you for taking the time to post on my blog.
Last edited by StreetCred on October 15th at 11:04 AM.
ToPhatal - It's amazing how much that team has fallen on tough times with no Tom Brady. With the cheap, inexperienced backups the Patriots and Colts had this was the nightmare scenario. They are paying for trying to stay low on the salary cap at backup QB so they could pay more at other positions. A veteran with some previous starting experience would be nice right about now.
Hang in there though. I still say the Pats get 8-10 wins and compete for a wildcard spot.
I live in Chicago, but am originally from Wisconsin. I am a disgruntled Green Bay Packer fan that has a second favorite team, the NY Jets. My favorite sports are Football, Basketball, and Baseball. Hockey and soccer are at the bottom of my list. I would rather watch the Spelling Bee than either of those sports. My favorite athletes of all time are Brett Favre and Michael Jordan. While I like debating many sports, NFL Football is by far my favorite topic to discuss.
In 2008 I was runner up to Boltbacker21 in Mike Greenspire's NFL Blogger Competition. In addition to this blog I am also the Senior NFL Writer for the Fantasy Football Maniaxs. The address is http://www.fa ntasyfootball maniaxs.com. I hope you enjoy the blog and check out the website for any fantasy football needs.