I’m excited.  The NBA season is almost upon us, and after all of the player shifting, wheeling and dealing, I thought I’d run down my list of the best teams in each conference from the bottom up in sets of five.  I’ll start with the inferior but improving East.  Here are my bottom five clubs.  None of these teams will even sniff a playoff spot, and four of the five could well be competing for the top pick in next year’s draft.

15.  New York Knicks

Finally, the long reign of terror known as Isiah Thomas has ended.  Mike D’Antoni takes the helm of one of the least talented teams this side of Oklahoma City.  D’Antoni intends to instill his run and gun style of play but this isn’t Phoenix and Chris Duhon is most definitely not Steve Nash.  There are a few useful players on the roster, but the big-time talents are notoriously lazy.  And other than rookie Danilo Gallinari, nobody in this group has any real upside in their games beyond what they’ve already shown.  I would be very surprised if D’Antoni can coax more than 25 wins out of this bunch.  Most likely, this will be one of those dreaded rebuilding seasons that starts poorly, leads to a player purge and ends with a top five lottery pick.  D’Antoni might get a little bit of a pass from the fickle New York fans as long as the team at least plays with energy and enthusiasm while continuing to reshape the roster and shows some kind of promise for the future, but the Knicks ground up a Hall Of Fame coach like Larry Brown after just one season, it will be interesting to see how long D’antoni hangs around if this ends up as a Heat-like 15-67 type of year, and it just might.

14.  New Jersey Nets

When looking at the Nets roster, the first question that comes to mind is, “who is going to score points for these guys?”  Other than Vince Carter and Devin Harris, there are no offensive players on this team.  I fully expect them to be amongst the lowest scoring teams in the league, if not the lowest.  Maybe Yi Jianlian will show some of the promise that he came into the NBA with and maybe Brook Lopez and/or Chris Douglas-Roberts will become a rookie sensation.  Maybe not.  The Nets have a better chance of landing the number one pick than they do of getting within 15 games of a playoff spot, and that’s in the East where 37 wins got it done last season.  With all the talk about the Nets and the Knicks being the lead contenders in the LeBron James sweepstakes two offseasons from now, I have a hard time believing that rosters this poor are going to improve enough to attract what will probably be the best player in the game at the time, no matter how much money they have to offer.  The only real question for the Nets this season is how long will it be before they find a taker for Vince Carter.

13.  Miami Heat

My first inclination with the Heat was to put them higher up on the list, but does any team in the league have less depth than Miami?  They are no more than an injury away from ending up with another sub-20 win season.  Dwayne Wade has looked fantastic in International play this summer and looks like he might be back to the player he was two years ago, but he had better have some wide shoulders, not to mention healthy ones, to carry this team.  The only chance they have to get anywhere near the playoffs is if they stay healthy all year and Michael Beasley turns in a Rookie-Of-The-Year type of campaign.  And even then, that last playoff spot had better be in the 37-win neighborhood again or it will be out of reach no matter what.  That’s not to say that the Heat won’t have a big impact on this season’s playoffs.  I expect that both Shawn Marion and Udonis Haslem will be suiting up elsewhere by the end of the season.  Look for another poor start despite big numbers from Wade, and another top five lottery pick added to the mix next year.

12.  Charlotte Bobcats

If nothing else, it will be fun to watch Larry Brown pull out what’s left of his hair trying to deal with Raymond Felton as his point guard.  If the players don’t just tune out his constant complaining and backstabbing like they did in New York, Brown will most likely get Charlotte playing solid defense behind Emeka Okafor, but points may be hard to come by.  I recall seeing bunches of criticism lobbed at Orlando a few years back for taking a high school kid with the top pick in the draft over the four-year college national champion Okafor, but that decision turned out to be a franchise-defining one in the wrong direction for Charlotte.  Had Orlando gone for the college experience over the potential talent, Dwight Howard would be suiting up in Okafor’s place, and the Bobcats would be an up and coming club in the East.  Instead, they’ll just continue to tread water in the lower third of the conference.  Maybe Brown has one last magic trick in his bag (and he had better to avoid doing ever-lasting damage to his reputation after the combo of the Kincks debacle and Olympics failure) and can get the Bobcats to play over their head, but it’s more likely that 30 wins will be about as good as it gets and a new point guard will be suiting up next year, if not sooner.

11.  Indiana Pacers

The Pacers are one of those teams I don’t quite know what to make of.  Part of me thinks that, if they can find the right combination of players, they can be decent.  But another part of me looks at the makeup of this club and thinks, “these guys suck.”  The last I checked, Jamaal Tinsley is still on the roster and, in my opinion, is still the best point guard on the team, even after adding T.J. Ford and Jarrett Jack, but he has proven time and again that he can’t stay on the floor, and I expect he’ll be elsewhere soon.  Mike Dunleavy actually looked like a player last season for the first time in his career, but don’t be surprised if he regresses a bit this year.  Still, there is enough talent here that the Pacers should be better than the other four teams on this list, but that’s not saying much.  If they get to 35 wins, they should be happy.  There are many more parts needed here before the Pacers get back to playing at the level they did in the ‘90s.  But on the plus side, they won’t be let down by Jermaine O’Neal anymore.

Next up:  The Middle of the Road

Now that I've watched the first round of the NBA Draft, and read a bunch of the draft winners and losers columns,  I think I've concluded on an easy way to wrap up this draft:  They're all losers.  I'm not really excited about anybody in this draft class.  I have a feeling that in a few years, we'll be talking about this draft class in the same breath with the 2000 draft as the worst since the lottery. 

If you listen to the analysts, every player in this draft was a monster, everyone has a wingspan 8 inches longer than their height, everyone is either a freakish athlete or a smart player with a high basketball I.Q.   Just once, especially late in the second round, I'd like to see Jay Bilas or somebody say, "You know, this guy just sucks.  He's slow, plays no defense, has horrible shot selection.  Sure, he scored 20 points per game on the last place team in the SEC, but he had to fire up 30 shots a game to do it."  How can everybody in the draft be a superstar in the making?  Obviously, they all have some skills or they wouldn't even be considered, but come on, most of these guys out of the top 15 or 20 have just average skills.  Stop talking them up like they can all be Hall of Famers.

In five years, if there's more than a half dozen guys out of this draft making a major impact on an actual contending team, I'll be surprised.  There are a few guys who'll probably put up big numbers on perpetual lottery teams (I'm looking at you, OJ Mayo) but those guys are basically useless if you want to win.

How good will Derrick Rose be?  Who knows, but does it matter?  A team led by an elite point guard hasn't won a title since Isiah Thomas in 1990, 18 years ago!  All this talk of needing an elite point guard is so much BS.    And don't try to tell me that Tony Parker is a point guard.  LeBron James is more of a point guard than Tony Parker is.  Don't get me wrong, Parker's great and his game is perfectly suited for championship contention, but he's not a pure point guard.

How good will Michael Beasley be?  An undersized power forward.  For some reason, the name Kenyon Martin comes to mind.  It's also a bad thing, in my mind, if you're a guy coming into the draft and there's more than one person out there comparing you to Derrick Coleman.  Sure, Coleman had skills, but is there a better example of a waste of superstar talent than Coleman?  Probably, but he'd be in the argument any way around it.   Plus, Pat Riley doesn't like him.  You could tell by the look on his face as he was doing an interview after the pick.  I wouldn't be surprised to see a trade at some point soon if anyone comes calling.

Both these guys have an abundance of talent, and in the right situation with the right guidance and the right attitude, they could be stars.  I think Beasley has a better chance if he stays with the Heat because of Riley and Dwayne Wade.  But Rose coming into a dysfunctional situation with a first-time-at-any-level head coach?  Has anyone ever wasted their potential as much as the Bulls have over the past three years.  They were overloaded with sought-after talent and high draft picks thanks to the Knicks.  It looked like all the pieces were in place for a trade or two for an established veteran to pair with some youth and be a contender.  But they did nothing useful, except dumping Tyson Chandler (who just helped the Hornets to the second best record in the West) for P.J. Brown (who just helped the Celtics win a title) and J.R. Smith (who now scores points in bunches off the Nugget bench), and that trade was useful to everyone involved but the Bulls.  What a waste.  A 19-year old point guard's gonna clean this mess up?  Unless he's got a post up game I haven't seen, good luck to him.

I guess the draft is all about possibility and potential.  But I'm just not feeling this one at all.  Usually, there are a handful of guys that I feel like have a chance to be solid pros and possibly stars, but I don't see it with any of these guys.  I'm sure somebody will pop up and become a good player, but I'm guessing its not going to be the Kevin Love's, Russell Westbrook's or the token-Italian-guy-drafted-by-Mike-D'antoni.  (It is reassuring to see that, no matter who's running the Knicks, they still know how to screw up a draft.)  After all, the best player out of the 2000 draft by far was second round pick Michael Redd.

My guess is that a small school, relatively unknown player's going to have a bigger impact that the big name, primetime school guys.  (Say, Courtney Lee for instance).  Anyway, I guess we'll all just have to wait and see.