Twelve teams make the playoffs in this league. That being said, these
rankings will feature six teams from each conference. No more. No less.
Your team may be a top 12 team in theory, but when push comes to shove,
only 12 teams make the playoffs. As they stack up right now, the only
teams that have proven anything remain in the NFC East. Bias? I guess
one could call it that, but the top two teams in the AFC just haven't
beaten anybody, and the rest of the conference is off to a pretty sorry
start, considering where they were just a year ago.
1. New York Giants (NFC East division title):
The defending Super Bowl champions are in first place in hands down the
best division of football. Granted, any team in the NFC East could take
the division, but right now, with Dallas hitting a snag, the Giants are
undeniably the team to beat. If I sound biased, I really could care
less. With what we've seen in the NFL this year, the Giants deserve the
#1 spot, especially after a Cowboys loss. Granted, it was week 1 and
this Redskins team has gotten better, but the Giants kept Washington
out of that game altogether, and the Redskins are proving they are a
talented football team. The defending champs are consistent on both
sides of the ball, ranked 4th in both total offense and total defense,
as well as tied for 2nd in the league in points allowed at 14.3 per
game.
2. Washington Redskins (Wildcard): The Washington
Redskins are doing what everybody is marveling at the Titans for doing,
only they are playing ball-control football against better teams.
That's exactly why I had the Redskins picked for an upset in Dallas.
Both the Titans and the 'Skins share the league lead with a +6 turnover
differential. However, the Redskins have proven they can control the
ball against a talented cowboys team, holding onto the ball for over 38
minutes in that game. That's the kind of play that brings home
championships.
3. Dallas Cowboys (Wildcard): The
biggest cause for concern for the Cowboys is what makes the Washington
Redskins a tough football team. Ball control. They have a big-play
offense, and the kind of offense that is liable to score on an opposing
defense every time it takes the field. That's all fine and good, but
twice this year Dallas has had problems in the time of possession
battle. Against the Eagles, they were dominated in that regard into the
third quarter of play. The Redskins dominated that battle throughout.
The Dallas defense is solid, but when put out on the field for twice as
long as the offense, they are put into a bad situation. That will wear
on this defense and the unit may have problems late in the season if
the Dallas offense doesn't manage the clock better.
4. Buffalo Bills (AFC East division title):
Sure, Titans fans probably aren't too happy to see their team not in
the top two, let alone fall behind the Bills. At the very least, the
opponents the Bills have beaten combine for a total of 4-11, which is
one game ahead of those that Tennessee has beaten. Their defense is
playing well, and their offense is far more explosive than that of
Tennessee. If you're looking for a the overlooked mark the Bills have
made through the first four that resembles that of a championship
squad, look no further than their defense's ability to come up with the
stop on third down, with a league leading 19.2%. Granted, this will
probably change once they encounter better opponents, but even to force
weaker teams punt more than four out of five times is damn good.
5. Tennessee Titans (AFC South Division title):
The Titans have yet to beat a legitimate opponent this year, so I'm
sorry I'm not sorry for ranking them this low, considering their four
opponents have a combined record of 3-12. How this fact has completely
escaped the minds of fans and analysts alike is beyond me. They are
ranked a whopping 22nd in the league in offense. Now, that being said,
I've always said the Titans were a good team, and they are playing good
football. They just haven't done anything great yet this year, and a
division that was supposed to be the AFC counterpart to the NFC East is
a whopping 3-7 outside of Tennessee, while the East is 8-4 outside of
the front-running New York Giants.
Plenty of people will draw
comparisons between the Titans and championship teams. The
difference-maker is that championship teams do what the Titans are
doing now to good football teams. I'll believe in the Titans when they
grind one out against a team with a winning record.
6. Carolina Panthers (NFC South division title): The Panthers have
played well, and winning the first two without Steve Smith was solid.
They get the one-up over the Bucs here because they don't turn the ball
over so much on offense, even though the Buc's defensive play has made
up for that. Still, at 3-1, the Panthers only have outscored opponents
by a total of 10 points. What to make of that? Well, they have some
resolve, that's for sure. Two wins decided by a field goal or less came
against good teams in the Chargers and Bears, without Steve Smith. The
loss to the Vikings will go overlooked, for now.
7. Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC North division winner): Yes, the
offense has taken a couple of more hits and losing a starting guard is
no joke for a line that has already been looking poor. Still, the
Steelers defense is one that will win games for them. Surprisingly
enough, they are behind only the Redskins and Titans in the turnover
differential column, and that's a credit to Big Ben just as much as it
is this defense. Despite taking an absolute beating, Roethlisberger has
kept a good handle on the ball.They will grind out wins, and with
Cleveland looking in poor shape this year, it will be another division
title for Pittsburgh.
8. San Diego Chargers (AFC West division title): San Diego Super
Chargers? I'm Ron Burgundy? Well, San Diego came back and beat the
Raiders to avoid a 1-3 start. Granted, they haven't been playing great
football, but for this team, it was merely the "W" they needed. Much
like the Colts need to do in this week upcoming, the Chargers bought
some time to get back into a groove. They will, and fortunately for
them, the Broncos don't have the defense to make a run at the division
crown.
9. Green Bay Packers (NFC North division winner):
Aaron Rodgers is currently being limited to handoffs in practice, but
it looks as though he is going to start against the Falcons. It was a
toss-up between Da Bears and the Pack, but I just can't bank on Kyle
Orton to play decent enough week in and week out. We won't have an idea
until week 11, and that's one to mark on the calender. The Packers got
the guns on offense. Da Bears have the defense. Sure, defense wins
championships, but nobody ever said offense couldn't get you there. The
Packers defense will settle down and get back to their '07 form, giving
them the edge.
10. Indianapolis Colts (Wildcard): The
Colts are off to a shaky start and are being dragged down by injuries.
They needed that bye week, and all they need to do this week is stay
healthy against the Texans and come away with the "W". This is not a
statement game for the Colts. They've got three games upcoming before
they take on the Titans, and I can certainly see them coming away with
two of those to pull to .500. They ought to be quite a bit healthier
when they take on the Titans, which will make for an exciting game. The
Colts will heal up, and much like the 2006 regular season which ended
with a Super Bowl victory, the Colts will be dangerous come playoff
time. Perhaps it's even better for this team to not have a chance to
rest in the last week of the season, as it surely didn't help them in
'07.
11. Arizona Cardinals (NFC West division title): Arizona was
brought down to earth in these past couple of weeks, and if I didn't
have a crazy wildcard selection to throw at you, they would be in the
twelve spot. The Arizona Cardinals are going to be that one team that
keeps the fans guessing, "Is there really going to be a 7-9 team in the
playoffs this year?" Brought back down to earth via the Redskins and
Jets, this Cardinals team will win in the same fashion many thought the
Seahawks would earn a playoff berth: keeping their head above water in
a very weak division. Good news for the Cardinals though: the Gold Rush
is not in fact back, the Seahawks are sending Holmgren off in dramatic
fashion, and the Rams are making a case for the #1 draft selection.
12. Miami Dolphins (Wildcard): Call
me crazy. Say it again. I'll take two for this one, but in a weak
division and conference this year, the Dolphins have the guns to grab
that last spot. I just said the Dolphins have the guns to grab that
last spot. I did. I said it, and I will take all accountability for
saying it. However, seeing as turnovers are the theme of the day, let's
throw a number out there: 1. Just one turnover by this Dolphins team
this year, and that single turnover was a Pennington interception in
the final second of the Dolphins/Jets contest in a situation in which
he had to force a pass. But that's not the whole story here.
The
one-two punch of Brown/Williams finally got going in full effect last
week. With Pennington being the "underrated game manager" that he is,
and I wholeheartedly agree with the SRMgenius when he says that, this
offense has the pieces to be real good. The defense is young, but not
terrible. They will make progress. Most importantly, it's a Bill
Parcells team, and everybody knows that he can turn around the league's
worst faster than anybody.
An upset over San Diego in week 5
is a viable possibility, especially with the coaching staff's apparent
willingness to get creative with the play-calling. The Dolphins went up
against a very good receiving core (even without Brady, a tough unit to
cover) against New England, and had the bye week to serve as additional
preparation. One can imagine that they will throw something interesting
out there. A win over San Diego would set the tone for the rest of the
season, and would put the Dolphins right there in the mix.
Dark horses:
Philadelphia Eagles: Shame to call this team a dark horse, but right now they seem to be falling back to Philly's old bad habits. They could easily make the top ten on the rankings here, and they could very well make the playoffs with a wildcard berth. With every single game in this NFC East being so critical though, Philly has to be able to close out games. They haven't done that in two big games this year.
Denver Broncos: I'm sorry, but a team that is all offense and absolutely no defense is hard to consider a playoff team, especially if dropping a game to the Kansas City Chiefs is any indication. Definitely got some firepower and could very well pull it together, but I do think this team is poised for an average season, and not a whole lot more.