Would there be an outcry about the way he was treated by the Packer organization? Would football fans, who know nothing about him as an actual person, give him the benefit of the doubt time and time again, as he makes himself look more and more like a jack-####? Would he be just another "overpaid NFL crybaby"?
When Terrell Owens breaks out the tears to defend his quarterback Tony Romo, saying that it was not fair for the media to pin the playoff loss on Tony Romo alone, a good deal of people laughed at him and called his manhood into question. Brett Favre whines and makes emotional statements regarding the Packers organization and their unfair treatment of him, and people are undeniably more inclined to put themselves in the shoes of Brett Favre. Where do we get off doing that?
Let's review. Brett Favre retired, breaking down into tears. I thought the amount of time put in was a bit excessive, and all in all, a bit overdone. But he's a legend, right? Fine, give him his due. But he should have been comfortable retiring, no? If he wasn't, he could have came back and if the Packers organization was truly as malicious as they are made out to be, they would have gotten full value for Brett when he did come out of retirement. For the first time. He came back, and he was made the starter. He retired again. He comes back, and the Packers don't want to start him. And from the business end of things, why should they be forced to deal him to an NFC team? Because he's Brett Favre? Outside of individual accomplishments, Favre has only brought to fruition one Lombardi trophy for Green Bay, over a decade ago.
To say that Favre somehow deserves a starting spot on the Packers' roster because of his name is to put him in significantly higher regard than say, the likes of Joe Montana. In a league of business, it was decided that Aaron Rodgers stood a better chance of bringing them a Super Bowl trophy over the next few years than Favre did this year. Sure, Rodgers hasn't won a big game yet, but when was the last time Favre stepped up and performed on a big stage? After 2 years ('05 and '06) in which he threw more picks than touchdowns, he plays awfully in the two most critical games of '07, against Dallas and the New York Giants, and is completely outplayed by all quarterbacks taking the field (Romo, Rodgers, and Manning).
Favre said the Packers didn't care about his legacy, and that's not necessarily true. They didn't want Favre extending his legacy on the team of a division opponent, by beating the Packers. How 20 million dollars to retire could ever be considered an insult is absolutely beyond me, and it's a shame that oh so many refuse to acknowledge the selfish undertone in all of this: Brett Favre wants to prove that he was Green Bay, that he built the Packers, and that he could destroy the Packers. The recent talk about Brett Favre giving plays/signals to the Lions only stands to solidify this theory, as Favre wants the Packers to be nothing without him, while he's still around.
Chad Johnson, a player who has never had legal trouble and whose antics are comparably entertaining to those of Muhammad Ali, did everything he could to get a trade out of Cincinatti. He whined. He complained. We, the fans, didn't like it. However, all things considered, the Bengals organization has proven to be a fairly poor one, and Johnson was one of the few on the team that didn't have a history of run-ins with the law. Apparently, the guy wants to win something before his years run out and knows his chances are slim with the Bengals.
What is he in the eyes of your typical fan though? A whining, overpaid crybaby, right? We afford Brett Favre the benefit of the doubt because we all know him so well, and we know that he is this wholesome guy that simply loves the game of football and nothing more. And we know this as well as we know that Chad Johnson is a self-motivated crybaby that simply craves attention, and he just complains until he gets his way. That's garbage. A man can know another individual for the majority of his life and one day find that he didn't know him at all. So, if your average Joe doesn't know Favre or Johnson, how does Favre so overwhelmingly get the benefit of the doubt when cast in a negative light?
How about Donovan McNabb, who led his team to four NFC championship games in 6 years, the same feat that took Brett Favre, the NFL's King Clutch, all of 17 years? Every year lies the question of whether Donovan McNabb is the right guy in Philly, even though he's the least intercepted quarterback per pass attempt in the history of the game, as it currently stands. Brett Favre holds the record for most interceptions. Why is it an outcry that Brett Favre got the ax after 16 years if a quarterback like Donovan McNabb's head could possibly be on the chopping block in the eyes of fans, seemingly year in and year out?
Granted, the mind-boggling case that presents itself when talking about Brett Favre is more than likely due to his super-human status than the color of his skin, but it's still an interesting theory to entertain, as racial prejudice is still a widespread problem in this country. But this situation is just so crazy that only extreme suggestions can be offered to rationalize it. Favre has achieved this nearly untouchable, above everyone and everything type status, and the guy doesn't even have class. For Brett Favre to think that Brett Favre has achieved a status that Joe Montana couldn't (Steve Young was named the starting quarterback over him), in having his "legacy" override the fact that the National Football League is in fact a business, suggests that he is above the game. Conspiracy unfolded on Brett. Alas, the Packers would deal him competitively, and much to the chagrin of the media and many fans, that would mean he would not face his former team twice a year, or even at all.
While talking quarterbacks, let's compare Favre to the guy he replaced.
Just weeks before the season starts, former Jets' quarterback and
all-time NFL leader in completion percentage is released just weeks
before the season began, to make way for good ol' Brett. What's lost in
translation here is that the year the Jets finally decide to get some
blocking on the offensive line, they throw Pennington, a good
quarterback whose career has taken hits, completely under the bus.
Pennington's career has largely been stalled out due to the injuries
suffered. That's fine though, and that can be overlooked, because Brett
Favre loves to play football, and now he's got a chance. Hey, let's
cover that story instead. No malicious words from Chad Pennington, by the way. No conspiracy theories.
Eli Manning won more playoff games last season than Favre has in 10 years. If he posted a sub-par season this year, he'd be Rex Grossman, and a far cry from the likes of Brett Favre. Did I mention that he has 3 playoff wins in the last 10 years? Gee, that's exactly the amount that Rex Grossman had. In fact, Ben Roethlisberger and Eli Manning, in 8 seasons combined, have combined for 9 playoff victories, which is three times what Favre has had in the last 10. And they have two Super Bowl rings between them. And this is the Brett Favre that Green Bay needed?
It's comical, in a sick and twisted way, the idea that Brett Favre is the greatest thing to ever happen to football. You would think that anyway, with the way he's portrayed in the media, and everything he does requires extensive media coverage. And if somebody dare report that he's made a fool of himself, then that individual is looked upon in a negative light, and Brett Favre is always innocent until proven guilty in a high-profile sport in which many other players are treated in opposite fashion.
He's not even the greatest quarterback in Packers' history. That honor belongs to Bart Starr. That's why I've ranted on this long. I'm sick and tired of Brett Favre. He's a Hall of Fame quarterback, for sure, and he's still overrated, recent issues not factoring in to that equation. That's not a knock on Favre's ability, but a knock on the media for portraying him as far greater a player than he actually is, and that's an incredible feat to pull off. And if he retires amidst the playoffs this year (assuming the Jets do not make it), it's going to be sickening that actual playoff games are going to be bogged down by Brett Favre talk. That's not his fault. But if he turns out to be a loser as a person on top of all that (which he's looking like more and more of one the longer he stays in the league)? Well, that's just awful.
The Patriots, Chargers, Colts, Cowboys, Jaguars, and Packers were the class of football in '07. Heading into the '08, we have watched each of these teams struggle, and none of them have lived up to expectations. The one team excluded from that list, the New York Giants, has finally joined them with a downright awful performance in Cleveland against the previously 1-3 Browns.
I understand that these first couple of months of the season, I may have seemed very much like a homer. I can't blame myself, as the Giants gave me nothing to pessimistic about. They have played good football, and while they hadn't proved much, they were still winning the games on their schedule with some emphasis. Does their loss to Cleveland expose them for what they really are? No, especially with the parity we've seen in the NFL this season. Is it excusable? Absolutely not.
I was shocked by the Giants' performance on both sides of the ball, and the coaching was abysmal. Here's my breakdown:
Coaching: I have to start with the coaching here. It all started here, and on both sides of the ball, was incredibly lacking.
Offense: Kevin Gilbride has been calling the games fairly good so far this season. What he was thinking on Monday, I have no idea. He got away from the running game almost entirely at times, and that was one of the fatal flaws in the Giants' gameplan. At the root of it all, you need to get that running game working. It was working well, and while the Giants were moving the ball through the air, the running game was looking just as good as it had in previous weeks.
You have a defense that isn't getting many stops. You're quarterback has thrown one pick, two picks, now three picks (though the third is irrelevant to this argument), so you're defense is going to be tired. The running game hadn't slowed down, and yet, Gilbride called 29 passes to 24 running plays. Why? There's just no reason for it, especially considering you still have NO. 44 on the bench in the event the running game does stall a little.
And I'm not done. Yes, Eli threw a pick 6 to give the Browns a three score lead. But with a chance to cut that lead to two scores and leave a good 6 minutes on the clock, why is the offense going back to a huddle in the redzone? If you're throwing the game away, or if Eli is hurt and you don't want to take chances, throw Carr in there and let him work. It's just absolutely bogus to think that your team doesn't have to play a full 60 minutes every game. Perhaps that was Coughlin's call, but regardless, just completely ridiculous.
Defense: Since he has come to New York, I have been impressed by Steve Spagnuolo's ability to make adjustments and adapt his gameplan to counter the opposing offense throughout the game. Against Cleveland, I didn't see a whole lot. The Browns had Spagnuolo's blitz packages schemed to near perfection, and he didn't try to throw a whole lot else into the mix. To not generate pressure with five or six guys is no good. Why not try rushing three/four and getting more aggressive in the coverage schemes? It just seems something else could've been done.
Offense:
Eli Manning: Just some poor decision-making at times on his part, and again, three interceptions puts an incredible amount pressure on a defense. The Giants needed to keep the Browns defense on the field and wear them down. They didn't do that, and Eli Manning was a large part of that. Has Eli returned to his old self? No, that notion is ridiculous. But he still can't be excused for a performance like that. O-line: Hyped as one of the best in the league, the Giant offensive line let Eli get smacked around all day, and this is a Browns' D that isn't very good up front. The run-blocking was good, but the Giants got beaten up in the trenches on passing downs.
Plaxico Burress: There were times when it seemed Eli and Plax weren't on the same page. Namely, one pick Eli threw that easily could've been a Burress TD grab. Burress broke inside, and Eli put it outside. Who's at fault? Nobody can really tell, but I'm not giving the benefit of the doubt to Burress, who was coming off of a two week suspension.
Defense:
I'm going to keep this relatively brief, but I think my first thought will sum it up adequately enough, in saying that this is the first time in the season that I have truly missed Osi Umenyiora. The Giants' defense got beat in the trenches, they didn't generate pressure, and their secondary broke down too many times. What else can I say? Yes, the offense didn't help them out, but they looked very poor throughout.
Outlook:
Are the Giants a soft 4-1? No, not at all. Similar to the Washington Redskins, I think they just got a little cocky. The NFC East as a whole has been cocky, and the rest of NFL has brought each of our teams back down to Earth. I hope this loss to the Browns was a good kick in the #### for my Giants.
The big upset everybody seems to be looking for is Arizona over the Dallas Cowboys. I wouldn't quite call that one just yet. I have a couple of other upset specials in the mix though. With weeks 1-5 failing to disappoint, I'm feeling week 6 will be just as exciting. Let's have at it then.
CHI @ ATL: Atlanta is young and exciting, but Chicago plays power football. Da Bears, by two scores. Winner: Chicago
MIA @ HOU: This is something of a trap-game for Miami, and as StreetCred has said, the Phins are very vulnerable to taking a step back here. But a Parcells’ team has an advantage in this situation, and the Dolphins will be coming out on top. The Texans simply are not smart with the football, turning it over much too often. Winner: Miami
BAL @ IND: The Baltimore Ravens’ defense has put up great stats, but they have yet to play a premiere offense. Indy’s defense has been nothing to speak of, and as a team, Indy’s been outscored by 11 points so far this year. Still, with Indianapolis, it is going to be a constant progression as they get guys back and Peyton Manning returns to form. Winner: Indianapolis
DET @ MIN: Detroit is hapless, helpless, and however else you could describe this miserable team. They’ve fallen pretty hard since posting a 6-2 mark at the ’07 season’s midway point. Hopefully the fans will have something to root for in a couple years. Winner: Minnesota
OAK @ NO: Why does this game have some serious upset potential? Well, when you have a Saints team that gives the opposing team opportunities via turnovers, losing to a hungry Raiders team that has been pretty sure with the football in relying heavily on a power running game, certainly becomes a possibility. Winner: Oakland CIN @ NYJ: If Carson Palmer were in for this one, and if Ocho wasn’t making a fool of himself, Cincinatti would have a good shot at an upset. It just ain’t in the cards. Winner: New York
CAR @ TB: Carolina is the more well balanced team, and their solid pass defense takes on a bit of a sloppy passing attack at Tampa Bay. Winner: Carolina
STL @ WAS: Two teams in the league have turned the ball over just once so far this year. Those two teams? The New York Giants and the Washington Redskins. Bad news for St. Louis fans, who have already gotten a taste of one of those squads. Winner: Washington
JAC @ DEN: Still not sold on Denver, a team giving up 388 yards per game on defense. Jaguars pull out a win, getting back to some of the football efficiency they were utilizing last year. Winner: Jacksonville
DAL @ ARI: So, some are just now realizing what anyone with half a brain could tell you before the season started: Dallas is a good football team, but their roster is not super-human. Still, they have talent and this is one that they’ll win via the ground game. Winner: Dallas
PHI @ SF: Donovan McNabb has called out himself and his teammates. I like the move, because this is a team that needs to get fired up if they want to hang in the East. Winner: Philadelphia GB @ SEA: Green Bay hasn’t been playing football near the level they were at last year, and a lot of that’s not on Aaron Rodgers. Seattle is awful though. Winner: Green Bay
NE @ SD: San Diego was caught off-guard by a team in Miami that will prove to be a good one, over the course of the year. Their defense needs to get back to its opportunistic old self, and they need to frustrate Cassel to win this one, which I think they can do. Winner: San Diego NYG @ CLE: On paper in the preseason, this looked like a premiere matchup. The Giants beat up the Browns starters in the preseason in a fashion that haunts players, and the Browns have completely fallen out of the conversation of decent teams since then. Winner: New Jersey
Judging by the title, the avatar, and blog history, it’s fairly easy to draw the conclusion that I’m a Giants die-hard. I’m a New Jersey native, and the Giants are New Jersey’s team. Yes, I’m a die-hard, but I’d like to think that I can be and have been reasonably objective. That being said, the Giants are off to a fast 4-0 start and are looking every bit the championship caliber team that the preseason favorites, as per usual, are not. Still, as a fan, there’s something left to be desired.
Yes, the Giants are off to a 4-0 start. They lead the league in points per game at 31.8. They are second to the Titans in points allowed at 12.3. They are first in total offense at a staggering 431 yards per game, and their defense isn’t looking terrible either, holding opponents to 236 yards per game and ranking third in the league. Eli Manning has been superb, throwing one pick through the first four, while completing 64% of his passes. They have outscored opponents by an average of 19.5 points per game. In short, the Giants are motoring.
However, as a fan, I’m still looking for more out of this football team. The Giants are 4-0, but having played only one single team with a winning record. Granted, that team was in fact the Washington Redskins, who are undoubtedly the number two team in the NFC, and perhaps even the entire NFL. It was Parcells that said you can only play the schedule that you are given. Still, blowout victories over teams with losing records have not spiked my optimism. If anything, I find myself craving the big games even more so.
The Giants get the Browns on Monday Night Football next week, and then take the 49ers at homes, in what amounts to two very winnable contests. No NFL team can be taken for granted, but the Giants should by all means be 6-0 heading into Pittsburgh. That sparks the test. The Giants are the elite, but to prove it, they will need to come away with two of those games. And if they only come away with two victories, one of them has to be Dallas. Let’s quickly look ahead:
Giants @ Steelers (week 8): The Steelers have managed to keep a respectable record to this point, despite their offensive coordinator or whoever is calling the plays for that offense, nearly throwing the Jacksonville game away. They had over a quarter left of football to play, and the Steelers almost completely gave up on the run. Steelers fans, be thankful you have a guy as impressive as Big Ben behind center, because he single-handedly kept the game alive at times.
That being said, the Steelers have a strong defense, undoubtedly one of the top units in the league. However, the Giants have them in the trenches, and ought to be able to overpower that weak offensive line. The Steelers’ defense, while very strong, will still have its hands full with an offense that has countless weapons. The Giants, on paper, ought to be able to pull this one out. But paper that’s not marked by dead presidents isn’t very valuable, so only time will tell.
Giants vs. Cowboys (week 9): No matter what the case for the Giants heading into this game, whether they are 7-0 or 4-3, this is a must-win game. Nothing says “statement game” like having the chance to put the first lick on Dallas on your home turf. The G-men could lose to the Eagles and Steelers in this stretch, but if they can send the Cowboys away with an “L”, they’ll have made their point.
Dallas can’t be underestimated. Are the overrated? Sure. I’m starting to wonder when the analysts will start basing their definition of talent on high-profile players from previous years. Young guys have stepped it up all over the place, and yesterday’s talent is not quite the same as today’s. The Giants’ offense has just as many weapons to match the Dallas Cowboys. If the Giants are a half-step back as far as receivers go, they make up for that with a backfield that has averaged a league-leading 181.3 yards per game. The Giants have three backs over 100 yards and are averaging over 6 yards per carry between them, while still having a starting running back in Jacobs posting 95 yards per game. Can we say that the Giants have just as much talent as the Cowboys yet?
Still, the Dallas Cowboys are the Dallas Cowboys. They are talented. Overrated, but that’s because the media hyped them up like there was no tomorrow. Still, they are one of the most stacked teams in the NFL. Contrary to Pittsburgh, Dallas has a great offensive line, and that will make this contest that much tougher for the Giants. The Redskins have the style of defense that more naturally offsets a great offensive line when executed properly, in the sense that they don’t bring the heat very often, but stay very aggressive in the d-backfield and don’t leave much open. On defense, it is essential for the Giants to be able to overpower that offensive line and pressure Romo, because that is their style of play. This presents a slightly greater challenge than the Redskins faced (not by any means a discredit to what they did), though hats off to the ‘Skins for doing that without Jason Taylor.
I wouldn’t past the Dallas defense to buckle down and play well either. Can they stop this Giant offense? They haven’t been living up to their hype, but they still have talent. For Dallas to win this game, they are going to have to win it on defense. This Giants offense is firing on all cylinders, and they are a difficult unit to defend, especially when you have to prepare for three running backs with different styles that are equally explosive.
Again though, this is going to be a statement game for both teams. Dallas embarrassed the G-men in East Rutherford last year with a two-score victory, but the Giants got the last laugh. It’s going to come down to who wants it more, and I hope it’s my Giants.
Giants @ Eagles (week 10): The Eagles have been the slowest off the gun this year, and nothing concerns the hell out of me more than that, and that is as a Giants fan. The Eagles are a team that could be 2-6 heading into this game, and head out of it at 3-6 following a very convincing win. If you are not familiar with the NFC East, then you have no idea what a real trap-game is. It’s early yet, but this is shaping up to be that kind of situation for the Giants, and I don’t even think the Eagles will have fallen short of a respectable record at that point.
The Eagles have the talent. For three quarters, their offense looked unstoppable in Dallas on Monday Night. Their defense, while somewhat inconsistent, has been scary good at times. And let’s face it, Jim Johnson is hands down one of the best defensive coordinators of all time. He’ll be going against his disciple in Steve Spagnuolo, and you can bet he’ll be bringing his best.
The Giants certainly have the talent to beat Philly, but again, nothing’s guaranteed.
As a Giants’ fan, I’ll continue to bet on my Giants. However, for the unbiased observer, I’d advise against placing any kind of money on these contests. We have three games in which you can throw all predictions out of the window. As a Giant fan though, I couldn’t be less patient as I wait for this stretch to begin. These are the three I want.
What to predict, what to predict? Let's take a look at some teams listed as viable Super Bowl contenders this year:
Colts: 1-2 Jaguars: 2-2 Patriots: 2-1 (and very misleading, at that) Chargers: 2-2 Vikings: 1-3 (though I never considered them a genuine Super Bowl team, the hype was certainly there)
Now, we all could imagine that some of the teams on this list would have come across some difficulties at this point in the season, but I don't think anybody imagined they all would. The AFC is wide open, and that's a preliminary to one of my picks. I'm not crazy, I swear to you. TEN @ BAL: Tennessee hasn’t beaten any great teams yet, but Baltimore doesn’t fall into the “great team” category anyhow. Tennessee has the stingier defense and a veteran at quarterback. Upset special for Baltimore? I can’t call it. Winner: Tennessee
KC @ CAR: Kansas City didn’t so much prove that they are decent football team as much as they merely highlighted just how bad Denver is on the defensive side on the ball. They won’t run all day on Carolina, and Carolina gets a sure win at home. Winner: Carolina
CHI @ DET: Detroit finally ousted Millen. Detroit is still the same Detroit we know and love, and the same Detroit that Detroit fans find painful to watch. Winner: Chicago
ATL @ GB: Aaron Rodgers doesn’t need to be Brett Favre. He’s known that for years as Favre’s backup, and with an organization that showed some guts in supporting him, he won’t forget it this week. It’s unrealistic. One thing I admire about Rodgers is that he looks like a guy who’s learned from a great quarterback and is trying to make a mark as a great quarterback in his own right, as opposed to trying to be the guy that he studied under. Rodgers will be ready to go if he plays on Sunday. Winner: Green Bay IND @ HOU: Indianapolis has been ####ed up. With the bye week, they are still hurting. They’ll be alright though. They have time to heal before playing Tennessee, and they’ll take this one from Houston. Peyton Manning will have a level-head, and for football fans, it’s going to be exciting to watch Peyton Manning grind out Ws. Winner: Indianopolis
SD @ MIA: In a recent blog post, I projected Miami sneaking into the playoffs this year on a wildcard spot in a shaky AFC. That starts here with a huge upset over San Diego. Granted, I think the Chargers are still looking damn good to take the conference this year with the way things have been going in the AFC, I still think this Miami team has upset potential. They don’t turn the ball over, and their one-two in the backfield is going to be rough on the Chargers. Winner: Miami
SEA @ NYG: Having the Bengals at home was a trap game, and as a Giants fan, it wasn’t the kind of thriller you like to see your team take part in. However, a “W” is a “W”, and the trap-game has come and gone. Or has it? The Giants are notoriously bad after the bye. Plaxico has been benched. However, I think the young guys will pick up the slack very nicely, seizing one of the few opportunities to be the go-to receivers they will have this year. The Giants have to pick up a win following a bye at some point or another, don’t they? Winner: New Jersey
WAS @ PHI: Philly is a physical team, and they are at home. But the Redskins have some confidence, and they’ll ride it out into this week over an Eagles team that has their greatest component on offense listed as questionable. This will put Philly in a tough spot if they lose, and Washington will be getting the Super Bowl hype when they win. Winner: Washington
TB @ DEN: Explosive offense, or great defense? I’ll take the great defense sir, and can I get a little “your offense couldn’t outscore the Kansas City Chiefs” on the side? Thank you. Have a good one. Winner: Tampa Bay
BUF @ ARI: Buffalo hasn’t gotten much credit at 4-0, and no, maybe they don’t deserve it. But take a look around the AFC and tell me who has lived up to the expectations? The Bills will be listed as a weak 5-0, but that’s still just two wins short of the total they accounted for last season in a 5 games as opposed to 16. Winner: Buffalo
CIN @ DAL: You know, Dallas has the talent, but I just think they are poised to fall apart against the Bengals. Oh, I couldn’t resist that. In all seriousness, Cincinatti without Carson Palmer means that the “any given Sunday” rule does not even apply. Winner: Dallas
NE @ SF: The Gold Rush is back! The Gold Rush is back! The Gold Rush is back! The problem is that New England is going to loot the 49ers down to their last peso. Winner: New England
PIT @ JAC: Pittsburgh is ####ed up. Jacksonville isn’t 100% either though, and Pittsburgh’s defense is still a rough unit. I’m going to bank on the fact that Jacksonville, while they will generate pressure, it won’t be enough to put Big Ben out of the game like the Eagles had. Winner: Pittsburgh
MIN @ NO: The Saints offense is starting to get some momentum going, and Minnesota has been dealt a tough slate and now finds themselves at 1-3. I’m going to pick against the Vikings in spite, seeing as in the preseason, they rivaled the Saints of ’07 with all of the Super Bowl hype surrounding what was in reality a .500 team. And to be honest, I just can’t stand that. Winner: Saints
Twelve teams make the playoffs in this league. That being said, these
rankings will feature six teams from each conference. No more. No less.
Your team may be a top 12 team in theory, but when push comes to shove,
only 12 teams make the playoffs. As they stack up right now, the only
teams that have proven anything remain in the NFC East. Bias? I guess
one could call it that, but the top two teams in the AFC just haven't
beaten anybody, and the rest of the conference is off to a pretty sorry
start, considering where they were just a year ago.
1. New York Giants (NFC East division title):
The defending Super Bowl champions are in first place in hands down the
best division of football. Granted, any team in the NFC East could take
the division, but right now, with Dallas hitting a snag, the Giants are
undeniably the team to beat. If I sound biased, I really could care
less. With what we've seen in the NFL this year, the Giants deserve the
#1 spot, especially after a Cowboys loss. Granted, it was week 1 and
this Redskins team has gotten better, but the Giants kept Washington
out of that game altogether, and the Redskins are proving they are a
talented football team. The defending champs are consistent on both
sides of the ball, ranked 4th in both total offense and total defense,
as well as tied for 2nd in the league in points allowed at 14.3 per
game.
2. Washington Redskins (Wildcard): The Washington
Redskins are doing what everybody is marveling at the Titans for doing,
only they are playing ball-control football against better teams.
That's exactly why I had the Redskins picked for an upset in Dallas.
Both the Titans and the 'Skins share the league lead with a +6 turnover
differential. However, the Redskins have proven they can control the
ball against a talented cowboys team, holding onto the ball for over 38
minutes in that game. That's the kind of play that brings home
championships.
3. Dallas Cowboys (Wildcard): The
biggest cause for concern for the Cowboys is what makes the Washington
Redskins a tough football team. Ball control. They have a big-play
offense, and the kind of offense that is liable to score on an opposing
defense every time it takes the field. That's all fine and good, but
twice this year Dallas has had problems in the time of possession
battle. Against the Eagles, they were dominated in that regard into the
third quarter of play. The Redskins dominated that battle throughout.
The Dallas defense is solid, but when put out on the field for twice as
long as the offense, they are put into a bad situation. That will wear
on this defense and the unit may have problems late in the season if
the Dallas offense doesn't manage the clock better.
4. Buffalo Bills (AFC East division title):
Sure, Titans fans probably aren't too happy to see their team not in
the top two, let alone fall behind the Bills. At the very least, the
opponents the Bills have beaten combine for a total of 4-11, which is
one game ahead of those that Tennessee has beaten. Their defense is
playing well, and their offense is far more explosive than that of
Tennessee. If you're looking for a the overlooked mark the Bills have
made through the first four that resembles that of a championship
squad, look no further than their defense's ability to come up with the
stop on third down, with a league leading 19.2%. Granted, this will
probably change once they encounter better opponents, but even to force
weaker teams punt more than four out of five times is damn good.
5. Tennessee Titans (AFC South Division title):
The Titans have yet to beat a legitimate opponent this year, so I'm
sorry I'm not sorry for ranking them this low, considering their four
opponents have a combined record of 3-12. How this fact has completely
escaped the minds of fans and analysts alike is beyond me. They are
ranked a whopping 22nd in the league in offense. Now, that being said,
I've always said the Titans were a good team, and they are playing good
football. They just haven't done anything great yet this year, and a
division that was supposed to be the AFC counterpart to the NFC East is
a whopping 3-7 outside of Tennessee, while the East is 8-4 outside of
the front-running New York Giants.
Plenty of people will draw
comparisons between the Titans and championship teams. The
difference-maker is that championship teams do what the Titans are
doing now to good football teams. I'll believe in the Titans when they
grind one out against a team with a winning record.
6. Carolina Panthers (NFC South division title): The Panthers have
played well, and winning the first two without Steve Smith was solid.
They get the one-up over the Bucs here because they don't turn the ball
over so much on offense, even though the Buc's defensive play has made
up for that. Still, at 3-1, the Panthers only have outscored opponents
by a total of 10 points. What to make of that? Well, they have some
resolve, that's for sure. Two wins decided by a field goal or less came
against good teams in the Chargers and Bears, without Steve Smith. The
loss to the Vikings will go overlooked, for now.
7. Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC North division winner): Yes, the
offense has taken a couple of more hits and losing a starting guard is
no joke for a line that has already been looking poor. Still, the
Steelers defense is one that will win games for them. Surprisingly
enough, they are behind only the Redskins and Titans in the turnover
differential column, and that's a credit to Big Ben just as much as it
is this defense. Despite taking an absolute beating, Roethlisberger has
kept a good handle on the ball.They will grind out wins, and with
Cleveland looking in poor shape this year, it will be another division
title for Pittsburgh.
8. San Diego Chargers (AFC West division title): San Diego Super
Chargers? I'm Ron Burgundy? Well, San Diego came back and beat the
Raiders to avoid a 1-3 start. Granted, they haven't been playing great
football, but for this team, it was merely the "W" they needed. Much
like the Colts need to do in this week upcoming, the Chargers bought
some time to get back into a groove. They will, and fortunately for
them, the Broncos don't have the defense to make a run at the division
crown.
9. Green Bay Packers (NFC North division winner):
Aaron Rodgers is currently being limited to handoffs in practice, but
it looks as though he is going to start against the Falcons. It was a
toss-up between Da Bears and the Pack, but I just can't bank on Kyle
Orton to play decent enough week in and week out. We won't have an idea
until week 11, and that's one to mark on the calender. The Packers got
the guns on offense. Da Bears have the defense. Sure, defense wins
championships, but nobody ever said offense couldn't get you there. The
Packers defense will settle down and get back to their '07 form, giving
them the edge.
10. Indianapolis Colts (Wildcard): The
Colts are off to a shaky start and are being dragged down by injuries.
They needed that bye week, and all they need to do this week is stay
healthy against the Texans and come away with the "W". This is not a
statement game for the Colts. They've got three games upcoming before
they take on the Titans, and I can certainly see them coming away with
two of those to pull to .500. They ought to be quite a bit healthier
when they take on the Titans, which will make for an exciting game. The
Colts will heal up, and much like the 2006 regular season which ended
with a Super Bowl victory, the Colts will be dangerous come playoff
time. Perhaps it's even better for this team to not have a chance to
rest in the last week of the season, as it surely didn't help them in
'07.
11. Arizona Cardinals (NFC West division title): Arizona was
brought down to earth in these past couple of weeks, and if I didn't
have a crazy wildcard selection to throw at you, they would be in the
twelve spot. The Arizona Cardinals are going to be that one team that
keeps the fans guessing, "Is there really going to be a 7-9 team in the
playoffs this year?" Brought back down to earth via the Redskins and
Jets, this Cardinals team will win in the same fashion many thought the
Seahawks would earn a playoff berth: keeping their head above water in
a very weak division. Good news for the Cardinals though: the Gold Rush
is not in fact back, the Seahawks are sending Holmgren off in dramatic
fashion, and the Rams are making a case for the #1 draft selection.
12. Miami Dolphins (Wildcard): Call
me crazy. Say it again. I'll take two for this one, but in a weak
division and conference this year, the Dolphins have the guns to grab
that last spot. I just said the Dolphins have the guns to grab that
last spot. I did. I said it, and I will take all accountability for
saying it. However, seeing as turnovers are the theme of the day, let's
throw a number out there: 1. Just one turnover by this Dolphins team
this year, and that single turnover was a Pennington interception in
the final second of the Dolphins/Jets contest in a situation in which
he had to force a pass. But that's not the whole story here.
The
one-two punch of Brown/Williams finally got going in full effect last
week. With Pennington being the "underrated game manager" that he is,
and I wholeheartedly agree with the SRMgenius when he says that, this
offense has the pieces to be real good. The defense is young, but not
terrible. They will make progress. Most importantly, it's a Bill
Parcells team, and everybody knows that he can turn around the league's
worst faster than anybody.
An upset over San Diego in week 5
is a viable possibility, especially with the coaching staff's apparent
willingness to get creative with the play-calling. The Dolphins went up
against a very good receiving core (even without Brady, a tough unit to
cover) against New England, and had the bye week to serve as additional
preparation. One can imagine that they will throw something interesting
out there. A win over San Diego would set the tone for the rest of the
season, and would put the Dolphins right there in the mix.
Dark horses:
Philadelphia Eagles: Shame to call this team a dark horse, but right now they seem to be falling back to Philly's old bad habits. They could easily make the top ten on the rankings here, and they could very well make the playoffs with a wildcard berth. With every single game in this NFC East being so critical though, Philly has to be able to close out games. They haven't done that in two big games this year.
Denver Broncos: I'm sorry, but a team that is all offense and absolutely no defense is hard to consider a playoff team, especially if dropping a game to the Kansas City Chiefs is any indication. Definitely got some firepower and could very well pull it together, but I do think this team is poised for an average season, and not a whole lot more.
After a crazy week in the NFL and a dismal week in regards to my picks, I'm looking for a much more sound week. While I did throw down one too many upset specials (by that, I'm referring to my picking of Cleveland over Dallas), the two other teams I picked to upset brought the game down to the final drive, threatening not only in their respective opponent's territory, but threatening with do or die circumstances. Those two teams would be the Dolphins and the Bucs. There were definitely a few games this week that were beyond predictable. The Colts lose at home to the Chicago Bears? The Chargers fall short to the Panthers? And while Buffalo was a reasonable pick to win, I don't think anybody could foresee them putting the lights out on the Seahawks.
One pick I did have going for me was the Green Bay Packers winning at home. Rodgers played just as well as he did at Dallas last year. That was not an upset, but merely just bringing the Minnesota Vikings back down to earth. I will reiterate. The Vikings are reminiscent to the Saints of '07: overhyped and overrated.
This is how the NFL is shaping up for week two:
TEN 20 @ CIN 10: Tennessee is minus Young, but that matters not. Kerry Collins is still a solid QB who can step in and win games. And well, Cincy was looking bad heading into week one, and now they just look awful.
BUF 24 @ JAC 27: One of the tougher games to call, but I'm going with Jacksonville at home over the upstart Bills. The Bills are exciting, but they played a soft-looking Seahawks team. Jacksonville bounces back in a close one. NO 28 @ WAS 17: The Redskins will take a few weeks before anybody gets a read on what will become of them this year. With the way Jim Zorn ran his two minute offense without that critical hurry-up aspect, don't expect a whole lot.
NYG 27 @ STL 7: In reference to a post I made a few weeks ago, the Giants looked very much like the NFL's Joe Frazier in the opener. They didn't continue to batter the Redskins offensively in the second half, but the defense held on eight of eleven in third down situations and looked strong throughout. Expect much of the same this week in a thoroughly one-sided Giants' victory.
GB 35 @ DET 14: The Aaron Rodgers led Green Bay Packers continue to roll.
CHI 14 @ CAR 24: I'm not hopping on the Bears' bandwagon, but Carolina looks to be tough this year, and they will win by two scores. IND 31 @ MIN 17: Indy, despite a poor week one performance, lays it to the Vikings, who unexpectedly start the season two games behind Green Bay after just two weeks.
OAK 14 @ KC 20: A battle between two pretty bad teams, and Oakland is the worse of the two.
ATL 17 @ TB 20: Michael Turner was signed to be the spark plug in this Atlanta offense, and he will make the game interesting. However, the Bucs are the better team all around, and they will bounce back this week.
SF 21 @ SEA 27: Wow. A week ago I wouldn't have imagined this one as a tough pick. Seattle at home, but not by much.
BAL 10 @ HOU 20: Rookie quarterbacks have their ups and downs, and the Texans will be looking to bounce back from the spanking they took last week. Texans even out against the Ravens, and Joe Flacco will get a taste a Mario Williams.
MIA 21 @ ARI 14: Call me crazy but I like what I saw from the Dolphins a week ago (minus the lack of a running game). They had a shot to win the game on the final drive, and that in itself is a good sign. Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown will show up big this week, and Pennington will manage a Dolphins victory.
SD 28 @ DEN24: The Chargers lost on the final play to what looks to be a very competent Panthers squad. Denver went out and beat the Raiders senseless, but they are the Oakland Raiders and still a miserable team at that. Still, a good, close game in a Chargers win.
NE 10 @ NYJ 17: The experts are saying not to write the Patriots off, and that makes guys like me look more like an expert every day. As in the preseason, New England just looks like they do not want to be their without Brady on the field. Cassel will soon follow suit once he begins to play decent NFL teams. PIT 28 @ CLE 27: I'm not sure that will be the actual score, but I'm lending emphasis to how close this game will be. Pittsburgh looked great last week and Cleveland looked awful. But in this rivalry, the games will be exciting and down to the wire, and they will still usually end with a Pittsburgh victory.
PHI 24 @ DAL 21: Hands down, the game of the week. I referred to the Giants/Dallas rivalry in another post as similar to that of Ali and Frazier. Philadelphia looks to be emerging as this year's George Foreman in that context, but there will be no rope-a-dope coming from Dallas. Philly wins in Philly fashion, with Donovan McNabb and Westbrook leading the offense and Jim Johnson masterminding this defense. Johnson's disciple Steve Spagnuolo ended the Cowboys' Super Bowl hopes this year, and the guru will pick up where his protege left off.