The big upset everybody seems to be looking for is Arizona over the Dallas Cowboys. I wouldn't quite call that one just yet. I have a couple of other upset specials in the mix though. With weeks 1-5 failing to disappoint, I'm feeling week 6 will be just as exciting. Let's have at it then.
CHI @ ATL: Atlanta is young and exciting, but Chicago plays power football. Da Bears, by two scores. Winner: Chicago
MIA @ HOU: This is something of a trap-game for Miami, and as StreetCred has said, the Phins are very vulnerable to taking a step back here. But a Parcells’ team has an advantage in this situation, and the Dolphins will be coming out on top. The Texans simply are not smart with the football, turning it over much too often. Winner: Miami
BAL @ IND: The Baltimore Ravens’ defense has put up great stats, but they have yet to play a premiere offense. Indy’s defense has been nothing to speak of, and as a team, Indy’s been outscored by 11 points so far this year. Still, with Indianapolis, it is going to be a constant progression as they get guys back and Peyton Manning returns to form. Winner: Indianapolis
DET @ MIN: Detroit is hapless, helpless, and however else you could describe this miserable team. They’ve fallen pretty hard since posting a 6-2 mark at the ’07 season’s midway point. Hopefully the fans will have something to root for in a couple years. Winner: Minnesota
OAK @ NO: Why does this game have some serious upset potential? Well, when you have a Saints team that gives the opposing team opportunities via turnovers, losing to a hungry Raiders team that has been pretty sure with the football in relying heavily on a power running game, certainly becomes a possibility. Winner: Oakland CIN @ NYJ: If Carson Palmer were in for this one, and if Ocho wasn’t making a fool of himself, Cincinatti would have a good shot at an upset. It just ain’t in the cards. Winner: New York
CAR @ TB: Carolina is the more well balanced team, and their solid pass defense takes on a bit of a sloppy passing attack at Tampa Bay. Winner: Carolina
STL @ WAS: Two teams in the league have turned the ball over just once so far this year. Those two teams? The New York Giants and the Washington Redskins. Bad news for St. Louis fans, who have already gotten a taste of one of those squads. Winner: Washington
JAC @ DEN: Still not sold on Denver, a team giving up 388 yards per game on defense. Jaguars pull out a win, getting back to some of the football efficiency they were utilizing last year. Winner: Jacksonville
DAL @ ARI: So, some are just now realizing what anyone with half a brain could tell you before the season started: Dallas is a good football team, but their roster is not super-human. Still, they have talent and this is one that they’ll win via the ground game. Winner: Dallas
PHI @ SF: Donovan McNabb has called out himself and his teammates. I like the move, because this is a team that needs to get fired up if they want to hang in the East. Winner: Philadelphia GB @ SEA: Green Bay hasn’t been playing football near the level they were at last year, and a lot of that’s not on Aaron Rodgers. Seattle is awful though. Winner: Green Bay
NE @ SD: San Diego was caught off-guard by a team in Miami that will prove to be a good one, over the course of the year. Their defense needs to get back to its opportunistic old self, and they need to frustrate Cassel to win this one, which I think they can do. Winner: San Diego NYG @ CLE: On paper in the preseason, this looked like a premiere matchup. The Giants beat up the Browns starters in the preseason in a fashion that haunts players, and the Browns have completely fallen out of the conversation of decent teams since then. Winner: New Jersey
Judging by the title, the avatar, and blog history, it’s fairly easy to draw the conclusion that I’m a Giants die-hard. I’m a New Jersey native, and the Giants are New Jersey’s team. Yes, I’m a die-hard, but I’d like to think that I can be and have been reasonably objective. That being said, the Giants are off to a fast 4-0 start and are looking every bit the championship caliber team that the preseason favorites, as per usual, are not. Still, as a fan, there’s something left to be desired.
Yes, the Giants are off to a 4-0 start. They lead the league in points per game at 31.8. They are second to the Titans in points allowed at 12.3. They are first in total offense at a staggering 431 yards per game, and their defense isn’t looking terrible either, holding opponents to 236 yards per game and ranking third in the league. Eli Manning has been superb, throwing one pick through the first four, while completing 64% of his passes. They have outscored opponents by an average of 19.5 points per game. In short, the Giants are motoring.
However, as a fan, I’m still looking for more out of this football team. The Giants are 4-0, but having played only one single team with a winning record. Granted, that team was in fact the Washington Redskins, who are undoubtedly the number two team in the NFC, and perhaps even the entire NFL. It was Parcells that said you can only play the schedule that you are given. Still, blowout victories over teams with losing records have not spiked my optimism. If anything, I find myself craving the big games even more so.
The Giants get the Browns on Monday Night Football next week, and then take the 49ers at homes, in what amounts to two very winnable contests. No NFL team can be taken for granted, but the Giants should by all means be 6-0 heading into Pittsburgh. That sparks the test. The Giants are the elite, but to prove it, they will need to come away with two of those games. And if they only come away with two victories, one of them has to be Dallas. Let’s quickly look ahead:
Giants @ Steelers (week 8): The Steelers have managed to keep a respectable record to this point, despite their offensive coordinator or whoever is calling the plays for that offense, nearly throwing the Jacksonville game away. They had over a quarter left of football to play, and the Steelers almost completely gave up on the run. Steelers fans, be thankful you have a guy as impressive as Big Ben behind center, because he single-handedly kept the game alive at times.
That being said, the Steelers have a strong defense, undoubtedly one of the top units in the league. However, the Giants have them in the trenches, and ought to be able to overpower that weak offensive line. The Steelers’ defense, while very strong, will still have its hands full with an offense that has countless weapons. The Giants, on paper, ought to be able to pull this one out. But paper that’s not marked by dead presidents isn’t very valuable, so only time will tell.
Giants vs. Cowboys (week 9): No matter what the case for the Giants heading into this game, whether they are 7-0 or 4-3, this is a must-win game. Nothing says “statement game” like having the chance to put the first lick on Dallas on your home turf. The G-men could lose to the Eagles and Steelers in this stretch, but if they can send the Cowboys away with an “L”, they’ll have made their point.
Dallas can’t be underestimated. Are the overrated? Sure. I’m starting to wonder when the analysts will start basing their definition of talent on high-profile players from previous years. Young guys have stepped it up all over the place, and yesterday’s talent is not quite the same as today’s. The Giants’ offense has just as many weapons to match the Dallas Cowboys. If the Giants are a half-step back as far as receivers go, they make up for that with a backfield that has averaged a league-leading 181.3 yards per game. The Giants have three backs over 100 yards and are averaging over 6 yards per carry between them, while still having a starting running back in Jacobs posting 95 yards per game. Can we say that the Giants have just as much talent as the Cowboys yet?
Still, the Dallas Cowboys are the Dallas Cowboys. They are talented. Overrated, but that’s because the media hyped them up like there was no tomorrow. Still, they are one of the most stacked teams in the NFL. Contrary to Pittsburgh, Dallas has a great offensive line, and that will make this contest that much tougher for the Giants. The Redskins have the style of defense that more naturally offsets a great offensive line when executed properly, in the sense that they don’t bring the heat very often, but stay very aggressive in the d-backfield and don’t leave much open. On defense, it is essential for the Giants to be able to overpower that offensive line and pressure Romo, because that is their style of play. This presents a slightly greater challenge than the Redskins faced (not by any means a discredit to what they did), though hats off to the ‘Skins for doing that without Jason Taylor.
I wouldn’t past the Dallas defense to buckle down and play well either. Can they stop this Giant offense? They haven’t been living up to their hype, but they still have talent. For Dallas to win this game, they are going to have to win it on defense. This Giants offense is firing on all cylinders, and they are a difficult unit to defend, especially when you have to prepare for three running backs with different styles that are equally explosive.
Again though, this is going to be a statement game for both teams. Dallas embarrassed the G-men in East Rutherford last year with a two-score victory, but the Giants got the last laugh. It’s going to come down to who wants it more, and I hope it’s my Giants.
Giants @ Eagles (week 10): The Eagles have been the slowest off the gun this year, and nothing concerns the hell out of me more than that, and that is as a Giants fan. The Eagles are a team that could be 2-6 heading into this game, and head out of it at 3-6 following a very convincing win. If you are not familiar with the NFC East, then you have no idea what a real trap-game is. It’s early yet, but this is shaping up to be that kind of situation for the Giants, and I don’t even think the Eagles will have fallen short of a respectable record at that point.
The Eagles have the talent. For three quarters, their offense looked unstoppable in Dallas on Monday Night. Their defense, while somewhat inconsistent, has been scary good at times. And let’s face it, Jim Johnson is hands down one of the best defensive coordinators of all time. He’ll be going against his disciple in Steve Spagnuolo, and you can bet he’ll be bringing his best.
The Giants certainly have the talent to beat Philly, but again, nothing’s guaranteed.
As a Giants’ fan, I’ll continue to bet on my Giants. However, for the unbiased observer, I’d advise against placing any kind of money on these contests. We have three games in which you can throw all predictions out of the window. As a Giant fan though, I couldn’t be less patient as I wait for this stretch to begin. These are the three I want.
What to predict, what to predict? Let's take a look at some teams listed as viable Super Bowl contenders this year:
Colts: 1-2 Jaguars: 2-2 Patriots: 2-1 (and very misleading, at that) Chargers: 2-2 Vikings: 1-3 (though I never considered them a genuine Super Bowl team, the hype was certainly there)
Now, we all could imagine that some of the teams on this list would have come across some difficulties at this point in the season, but I don't think anybody imagined they all would. The AFC is wide open, and that's a preliminary to one of my picks. I'm not crazy, I swear to you. TEN @ BAL: Tennessee hasn’t beaten any great teams yet, but Baltimore doesn’t fall into the “great team” category anyhow. Tennessee has the stingier defense and a veteran at quarterback. Upset special for Baltimore? I can’t call it. Winner: Tennessee
KC @ CAR: Kansas City didn’t so much prove that they are decent football team as much as they merely highlighted just how bad Denver is on the defensive side on the ball. They won’t run all day on Carolina, and Carolina gets a sure win at home. Winner: Carolina
CHI @ DET: Detroit finally ousted Millen. Detroit is still the same Detroit we know and love, and the same Detroit that Detroit fans find painful to watch. Winner: Chicago
ATL @ GB: Aaron Rodgers doesn’t need to be Brett Favre. He’s known that for years as Favre’s backup, and with an organization that showed some guts in supporting him, he won’t forget it this week. It’s unrealistic. One thing I admire about Rodgers is that he looks like a guy who’s learned from a great quarterback and is trying to make a mark as a great quarterback in his own right, as opposed to trying to be the guy that he studied under. Rodgers will be ready to go if he plays on Sunday. Winner: Green Bay IND @ HOU: Indianapolis has been ####ed up. With the bye week, they are still hurting. They’ll be alright though. They have time to heal before playing Tennessee, and they’ll take this one from Houston. Peyton Manning will have a level-head, and for football fans, it’s going to be exciting to watch Peyton Manning grind out Ws. Winner: Indianopolis
SD @ MIA: In a recent blog post, I projected Miami sneaking into the playoffs this year on a wildcard spot in a shaky AFC. That starts here with a huge upset over San Diego. Granted, I think the Chargers are still looking damn good to take the conference this year with the way things have been going in the AFC, I still think this Miami team has upset potential. They don’t turn the ball over, and their one-two in the backfield is going to be rough on the Chargers. Winner: Miami
SEA @ NYG: Having the Bengals at home was a trap game, and as a Giants fan, it wasn’t the kind of thriller you like to see your team take part in. However, a “W” is a “W”, and the trap-game has come and gone. Or has it? The Giants are notoriously bad after the bye. Plaxico has been benched. However, I think the young guys will pick up the slack very nicely, seizing one of the few opportunities to be the go-to receivers they will have this year. The Giants have to pick up a win following a bye at some point or another, don’t they? Winner: New Jersey
WAS @ PHI: Philly is a physical team, and they are at home. But the Redskins have some confidence, and they’ll ride it out into this week over an Eagles team that has their greatest component on offense listed as questionable. This will put Philly in a tough spot if they lose, and Washington will be getting the Super Bowl hype when they win. Winner: Washington
TB @ DEN: Explosive offense, or great defense? I’ll take the great defense sir, and can I get a little “your offense couldn’t outscore the Kansas City Chiefs” on the side? Thank you. Have a good one. Winner: Tampa Bay
BUF @ ARI: Buffalo hasn’t gotten much credit at 4-0, and no, maybe they don’t deserve it. But take a look around the AFC and tell me who has lived up to the expectations? The Bills will be listed as a weak 5-0, but that’s still just two wins short of the total they accounted for last season in a 5 games as opposed to 16. Winner: Buffalo
CIN @ DAL: You know, Dallas has the talent, but I just think they are poised to fall apart against the Bengals. Oh, I couldn’t resist that. In all seriousness, Cincinatti without Carson Palmer means that the “any given Sunday” rule does not even apply. Winner: Dallas
NE @ SF: The Gold Rush is back! The Gold Rush is back! The Gold Rush is back! The problem is that New England is going to loot the 49ers down to their last peso. Winner: New England
PIT @ JAC: Pittsburgh is ####ed up. Jacksonville isn’t 100% either though, and Pittsburgh’s defense is still a rough unit. I’m going to bank on the fact that Jacksonville, while they will generate pressure, it won’t be enough to put Big Ben out of the game like the Eagles had. Winner: Pittsburgh
MIN @ NO: The Saints offense is starting to get some momentum going, and Minnesota has been dealt a tough slate and now finds themselves at 1-3. I’m going to pick against the Vikings in spite, seeing as in the preseason, they rivaled the Saints of ’07 with all of the Super Bowl hype surrounding what was in reality a .500 team. And to be honest, I just can’t stand that. Winner: Saints
Twelve teams make the playoffs in this league. That being said, these
rankings will feature six teams from each conference. No more. No less.
Your team may be a top 12 team in theory, but when push comes to shove,
only 12 teams make the playoffs. As they stack up right now, the only
teams that have proven anything remain in the NFC East. Bias? I guess
one could call it that, but the top two teams in the AFC just haven't
beaten anybody, and the rest of the conference is off to a pretty sorry
start, considering where they were just a year ago.
1. New York Giants (NFC East division title):
The defending Super Bowl champions are in first place in hands down the
best division of football. Granted, any team in the NFC East could take
the division, but right now, with Dallas hitting a snag, the Giants are
undeniably the team to beat. If I sound biased, I really could care
less. With what we've seen in the NFL this year, the Giants deserve the
#1 spot, especially after a Cowboys loss. Granted, it was week 1 and
this Redskins team has gotten better, but the Giants kept Washington
out of that game altogether, and the Redskins are proving they are a
talented football team. The defending champs are consistent on both
sides of the ball, ranked 4th in both total offense and total defense,
as well as tied for 2nd in the league in points allowed at 14.3 per
game.
2. Washington Redskins (Wildcard): The Washington
Redskins are doing what everybody is marveling at the Titans for doing,
only they are playing ball-control football against better teams.
That's exactly why I had the Redskins picked for an upset in Dallas.
Both the Titans and the 'Skins share the league lead with a +6 turnover
differential. However, the Redskins have proven they can control the
ball against a talented cowboys team, holding onto the ball for over 38
minutes in that game. That's the kind of play that brings home
championships.
3. Dallas Cowboys (Wildcard): The
biggest cause for concern for the Cowboys is what makes the Washington
Redskins a tough football team. Ball control. They have a big-play
offense, and the kind of offense that is liable to score on an opposing
defense every time it takes the field. That's all fine and good, but
twice this year Dallas has had problems in the time of possession
battle. Against the Eagles, they were dominated in that regard into the
third quarter of play. The Redskins dominated that battle throughout.
The Dallas defense is solid, but when put out on the field for twice as
long as the offense, they are put into a bad situation. That will wear
on this defense and the unit may have problems late in the season if
the Dallas offense doesn't manage the clock better.
4. Buffalo Bills (AFC East division title):
Sure, Titans fans probably aren't too happy to see their team not in
the top two, let alone fall behind the Bills. At the very least, the
opponents the Bills have beaten combine for a total of 4-11, which is
one game ahead of those that Tennessee has beaten. Their defense is
playing well, and their offense is far more explosive than that of
Tennessee. If you're looking for a the overlooked mark the Bills have
made through the first four that resembles that of a championship
squad, look no further than their defense's ability to come up with the
stop on third down, with a league leading 19.2%. Granted, this will
probably change once they encounter better opponents, but even to force
weaker teams punt more than four out of five times is damn good.
5. Tennessee Titans (AFC South Division title):
The Titans have yet to beat a legitimate opponent this year, so I'm
sorry I'm not sorry for ranking them this low, considering their four
opponents have a combined record of 3-12. How this fact has completely
escaped the minds of fans and analysts alike is beyond me. They are
ranked a whopping 22nd in the league in offense. Now, that being said,
I've always said the Titans were a good team, and they are playing good
football. They just haven't done anything great yet this year, and a
division that was supposed to be the AFC counterpart to the NFC East is
a whopping 3-7 outside of Tennessee, while the East is 8-4 outside of
the front-running New York Giants.
Plenty of people will draw
comparisons between the Titans and championship teams. The
difference-maker is that championship teams do what the Titans are
doing now to good football teams. I'll believe in the Titans when they
grind one out against a team with a winning record.
6. Carolina Panthers (NFC South division title): The Panthers have
played well, and winning the first two without Steve Smith was solid.
They get the one-up over the Bucs here because they don't turn the ball
over so much on offense, even though the Buc's defensive play has made
up for that. Still, at 3-1, the Panthers only have outscored opponents
by a total of 10 points. What to make of that? Well, they have some
resolve, that's for sure. Two wins decided by a field goal or less came
against good teams in the Chargers and Bears, without Steve Smith. The
loss to the Vikings will go overlooked, for now.
7. Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC North division winner): Yes, the
offense has taken a couple of more hits and losing a starting guard is
no joke for a line that has already been looking poor. Still, the
Steelers defense is one that will win games for them. Surprisingly
enough, they are behind only the Redskins and Titans in the turnover
differential column, and that's a credit to Big Ben just as much as it
is this defense. Despite taking an absolute beating, Roethlisberger has
kept a good handle on the ball.They will grind out wins, and with
Cleveland looking in poor shape this year, it will be another division
title for Pittsburgh.
8. San Diego Chargers (AFC West division title): San Diego Super
Chargers? I'm Ron Burgundy? Well, San Diego came back and beat the
Raiders to avoid a 1-3 start. Granted, they haven't been playing great
football, but for this team, it was merely the "W" they needed. Much
like the Colts need to do in this week upcoming, the Chargers bought
some time to get back into a groove. They will, and fortunately for
them, the Broncos don't have the defense to make a run at the division
crown.
9. Green Bay Packers (NFC North division winner):
Aaron Rodgers is currently being limited to handoffs in practice, but
it looks as though he is going to start against the Falcons. It was a
toss-up between Da Bears and the Pack, but I just can't bank on Kyle
Orton to play decent enough week in and week out. We won't have an idea
until week 11, and that's one to mark on the calender. The Packers got
the guns on offense. Da Bears have the defense. Sure, defense wins
championships, but nobody ever said offense couldn't get you there. The
Packers defense will settle down and get back to their '07 form, giving
them the edge.
10. Indianapolis Colts (Wildcard): The
Colts are off to a shaky start and are being dragged down by injuries.
They needed that bye week, and all they need to do this week is stay
healthy against the Texans and come away with the "W". This is not a
statement game for the Colts. They've got three games upcoming before
they take on the Titans, and I can certainly see them coming away with
two of those to pull to .500. They ought to be quite a bit healthier
when they take on the Titans, which will make for an exciting game. The
Colts will heal up, and much like the 2006 regular season which ended
with a Super Bowl victory, the Colts will be dangerous come playoff
time. Perhaps it's even better for this team to not have a chance to
rest in the last week of the season, as it surely didn't help them in
'07.
11. Arizona Cardinals (NFC West division title): Arizona was
brought down to earth in these past couple of weeks, and if I didn't
have a crazy wildcard selection to throw at you, they would be in the
twelve spot. The Arizona Cardinals are going to be that one team that
keeps the fans guessing, "Is there really going to be a 7-9 team in the
playoffs this year?" Brought back down to earth via the Redskins and
Jets, this Cardinals team will win in the same fashion many thought the
Seahawks would earn a playoff berth: keeping their head above water in
a very weak division. Good news for the Cardinals though: the Gold Rush
is not in fact back, the Seahawks are sending Holmgren off in dramatic
fashion, and the Rams are making a case for the #1 draft selection.
12. Miami Dolphins (Wildcard): Call
me crazy. Say it again. I'll take two for this one, but in a weak
division and conference this year, the Dolphins have the guns to grab
that last spot. I just said the Dolphins have the guns to grab that
last spot. I did. I said it, and I will take all accountability for
saying it. However, seeing as turnovers are the theme of the day, let's
throw a number out there: 1. Just one turnover by this Dolphins team
this year, and that single turnover was a Pennington interception in
the final second of the Dolphins/Jets contest in a situation in which
he had to force a pass. But that's not the whole story here.
The
one-two punch of Brown/Williams finally got going in full effect last
week. With Pennington being the "underrated game manager" that he is,
and I wholeheartedly agree with the SRMgenius when he says that, this
offense has the pieces to be real good. The defense is young, but not
terrible. They will make progress. Most importantly, it's a Bill
Parcells team, and everybody knows that he can turn around the league's
worst faster than anybody.
An upset over San Diego in week 5
is a viable possibility, especially with the coaching staff's apparent
willingness to get creative with the play-calling. The Dolphins went up
against a very good receiving core (even without Brady, a tough unit to
cover) against New England, and had the bye week to serve as additional
preparation. One can imagine that they will throw something interesting
out there. A win over San Diego would set the tone for the rest of the
season, and would put the Dolphins right there in the mix.
Dark horses:
Philadelphia Eagles: Shame to call this team a dark horse, but right now they seem to be falling back to Philly's old bad habits. They could easily make the top ten on the rankings here, and they could very well make the playoffs with a wildcard berth. With every single game in this NFC East being so critical though, Philly has to be able to close out games. They haven't done that in two big games this year.
Denver Broncos: I'm sorry, but a team that is all offense and absolutely no defense is hard to consider a playoff team, especially if dropping a game to the Kansas City Chiefs is any indication. Definitely got some firepower and could very well pull it together, but I do think this team is poised for an average season, and not a whole lot more.
Week Four in the NFL. Things have settled down. Last week, I picked 'em decently enough, but credit to the Cowboys for picking up another "W", despite the fact that I sincerely thought the Pack could grind one out at home. The Packers have a good football team, but the NFC East is quickly becoming a league of its own, and I can't say enough about them. Yes, they only play one game out of the division this week, but that is a very winnable one for the Eagles, and the East could very well be a perfect 9-0 against the rest of the league heading into week five. That's a bit more difficult than it sounds, and the beauty of it is that each divisional contest will hold the significance of a playoff game. That's a lot of good football on the slate.
CLE 14 @ CIN 28: Carson Palmer and Cincinnati showed resolve last week, and played well to give the defending champs a serious run for their money in the Meadowlands. Cleveland, has fallen short of every single expectation of them this season, and they'll be the team to continue on winless through the first quarter of the season.
HOU 7 @ JAC 20: Jacksonville drove down the field to beat the Colts in Indy last week, just after Peyton had apparently nailed the coffin shut. Houston has been another disappointment this year, and will be a nice stepping stone for Jacksonville as they make it back to .500.
ATL 16 @ CAR 21: Atlanta's been averaging over 200 yards on the ground through the first three. That will take a lot of pressure off of a rookie quarterback, and that will make this game interesting. However, it won't be enough to topple the Panters. Carolina will ultimately bounce back from last week's setback.
ARI 35 @ NYJ 20: One ancient quarterback versus another, but on the bright side, they are high-profile old-timers. Arizona and that offense is just too much for the Jets to handle though, and Favre just doesn't have a good enough grasp of the offense yet. Hey, Chad Pennington's looking pretty good over there in Miami. Maybe the Jets could trade for him?
MIN 13 @ TEN 17: This week's defensive struggle, and one of the better games this week. These teams are very similar, with great defense and great running games. Tennessee has the better QB in Kerry Collins though, and he can still manage the game consistently and efficiently. Titans grind out the win at home.
GB 28 @ TB 20: The game will not be as close as the score suggests. In the NFC, the teams could be divided into two divisions: the NFC East, and the Rest. Green Bay, coming off of a loss to Dallas, is still the best of the Rest.
SF 27 @ NO 17: The Niners haven't beaten impressive teams, but that's not to say they haven't impressed. From where they were last year, to be looking at 3-1 through the first four has to inspire some confidence. New Orleans is ####ed up on offense, and their defense has played poorly, as expected. No Shockey, and their top two wideouts will be absent from this contest as well. Not looking good for the Saints.
DEN 45 @ KC 10: Denver is explosive on offense, and while the defensive play is a huge concern, their isn't much to worry about against the Kansas City Chiefs. An exciting one for Broncos fans to watch, but not so much for the rest us. Kansas City is in rebuilding mode, but what remains to be done is the removal of Herm Edwards.
BUF 35 @ STL 17: Scott Linehan got to go. The Rams need something, and it's not coming this year. Watching the Rams play the Giants in week two, it was fairly easy to draw that conclusion just by looking at the guy's demeanor on the sideline. He's wound tighter than a clam's ####, and that's certainly not what a football team that is beaten and getting blown out week after week needs. Bills to move to 4-0. SD 31 @ OAK 13: The San Diego Super Chargers pull back to .500 this week against a Raiders team that won't have a whole lot of fight left in them, as Al Davis continues to do whatever it takes to drain that from the team. Kiffin is still here, but having him on the chopping block is a bad situation if you're looking for wins. Back to the Chargers, all of the sudden an 0-2 start becomes nothing to worry about, especially with former AFC heavyweights dropping like flies around them.
WAS 23 @ DAL 20: Yes, I am not showing Dallas the love they've earned to this point. Dallas has more talent, but I like the way Washington's been playing, and that offense will progress with each week, as they become more comfortable with the scheme. Just how has Washington been winning games, pulling wins out against the Saints and the Cardinals, gives reason to believe in them. Washington is 1st in the league in turnover differential, currently at +5. Dallas is tied for 27th, at -3. Teams can have a world of talent and win games without winning the turnover battle. However, once they get into close contests against tough opponents (exactly what they are slated for this week), losing the turnover battle means losing the game. That's why I'm going way out on a limb here in picking the Redskins for the upset.
PHI 24 @ CHI 13: I wasn't sure if Philly was the real deal after what I saw out of them in Dallas. Granted, at that point, I wasn't sure if Dallas was all they were hyped up to be, as both teams looked sloppy at times in the Monday Night match-up. Philly bounced back the very next week though with a defensive performance that will send chills through offensive coordinators scheduled to play them. Jim Johnson and this Philly "D" at full force in a Philly win.
BAL 10 @ PIT 20: Pittsburgh's defense played considerably well in Philadelphia. The offense just couldn't get anything going, and for this defense to reach the sideline and then turn around, head back onto the field, and continue to play well shows they have great durability. Yes, Big Ben was sacked countless times and the Steelers converted 15% of their third downs (2/13). However, the question of whether this Baltimore offense can move the ball on a defense that has allowed the second fewest points in the league and the third fewest total yards is a great one. Take Pittsburgh.
First off, I would like to address the Monday Night "thriller" between the Cowboys and Eagles. Whoever buys into the idea that the shootout between these two teams was a showcase of talent is out of his mind. Alex Marvez calls Tony Romo's play heroic, and I'm thinking that he watched a different game. Tony Romo cost his team big on that endzone fumble, and when he had a chance to put the game away, he went three and out. Donovan McNabb simply wanted the game less, fumbling it twice on handoffs and running around like an #### and not making a play when afforded all of the time in the world. On third and long, a veteran quarterback should know that checking it down is a must. To take a sack there was absolutely horrendous.
Where was that mighty pro-bowl supplemented defense of the Dallas Cowboys last night? The Eagles moved the ball effortlessly. Just the same, while the Eagles did a great job stuffing the run, their secondary got beat on the deep ball too many times. The difference in the game was the awful special teams play of the Eagles, as Felix Jones picked them apart to provide beautiful field position time and time again. Overall, a pretty sloppy game, and these two teams better pick up their play or they will lose this week to two very hot teams in Green Bay and Pittsburgh.
KC 10 @ ATL 21: Atlanta will work off a Michael Turner to beat a weak Kansas City team and jump to a misleading 2-1 start.
OAK 7@ BUF 24: Buffalo is looking more and more like the team to beat in the AFC East. The Patriots/Jets game indicated that the Jets just aren't a playoff caliber team. Buffalo is looking like the only real threat out of a sorry division, but that is not to take any credit away from them. Buffalo is 2-0 against '07 playoff squads, a mere two weeks into the season.
CAR 27 @ MIN 17: Carolina has gotten back to their playoff-caliber form, but let's not write off the Vikings just yet. EDIT: Let's in fact write off the Vikings. Gus under center is worse than Jackson under center, and even if he plays well this week (which I wouldn't bank on), he'll fall apart sooner than later. This is a must win for the Vikings, and the coaching staff has decided that they must lose.
ARI 24 @ WAS 28: This Washington picked up some confidence last week, and while Kurt Warner has looked brilliant, his near-perfect game did come against the Miami Dolphins. The 'Skins take this one.
TB 14 @ CHI 20: The Bears showed last week that their win against the Colts was no fluke. Their defense is looking like more than Tampa can handle at the moment. Da Bears.
HOU 14 @ TEN 24: Tennessee will move to 3-0 with Collins under center. Collins can win games, and he looked pretty damn impressive in week two.
MIA 14 @ NE 17: If Miami can finally get their ground game going, it will be a close game. I expect them too, but Matt Cassel will still be a headline next week, with a miraculous 2-0 record as a starting quarterback.
CIN 10 @ NYG 31: The defending Super Bowl champions continue to sharpen their game against inferior opponents, such as the hapless Bengals.
NO 20 @ DEN 28: Denver is the more complete team. Sure, they may have been put into position to win by a bogus call, but they still had to take advantage and execute. I like the call by Shanahan. It was a gutsy move to go for the conversion, and that will pay dividends for him and his team's confidence.
STL 17 @ SEA 28: I cannot decide who is a bigger disappointment between the Rams and the 'Hawks, even though Seattle has the upper hand in this one. The Rams just look embarrassed, and Scott Linehan looks like a joke out there on the sideline. The Seahawks are looking like this year's first legitimate pretender, and the NFC West is no longer soft enough for them to slip into the playoffs.
DET 17 @ SF 24: Detroit is looking a lot like Detroit, and San Fransisco will come out on top in this one. No need for a lengthy explanation regarding why the Detroit Lions are just awful year after year. Though to me, it's more entertaining to have a team like the Lions to depend on to be a sub .500 squad every year. It gives you something to talk about during the week. "Hey Al, what happened to your team on Sunday? Lost to the Detroit Lions, and you said they were going places. Chuckle, chuckle."
JAC 13 @ IND 17: Indy is simply looking like they may have gotten it together, and Jacksonville, while still a good football team, looks like they haven't. Indy keeps within a game of the Titans at week three's conclusion.
CLE 21 @ BAL 20: Cleveland's been a disappointment this year, and injuries are only hurting an already shoddy defense, but they have enough firepower to beat out the Ravens, at the very least.
PIT 27 @ PHI 28: This is going to be a hell o####ame. I'm going back and forth on this one as I write this, but I'm going to have to give it to Philly in Philly. DAL 20 @ GB 31: I'm doing the unthinkable. That is, I'm putting the Cowboys down two scores to the Aaron Rodgers led Green Bay Packers. Who was it that gave the Pack a fighting chance with brilliant play when Brett "The Media's Beloved Jet" Favre was playing pretty damn poorly in the regular season against the Cowboys? Aaron Rodgers. The young quarterback is the real deal, and he faces an overrated defense on Sunday. Wade Phillips is a disgusting excuse for a head coach there in Dallas, judging by his reported comments at halftime and his refusal to acknowledge that the Eagles' offense moved the ball well against his defense ("well" is an understatement).
The NFC East loses it's first game to a non-division opponent, finishing week 3 at 9-3 collectively, and 7-1 against non-division opponents.
NYJ 14 @ SD 35: The San Diego Chargers are coming out fired up and will take out plenty of that aggression on an overrated Jets team. I'm kicking myself for picking the Jets last week, as my initial thoughts this season seemed to be a bit more accurate: the Jets and their savior are overrated. San Diego, after giving the fans a gut-wrenching first two weeks against teams that should not have taken them down to the wire let along beat them, finally gives them reason to cheer.
The Giants get off to a strong 2-0 start this season, and their level of play against the Rams is a strong sign for this Giants team. Granted, we are talking about the St. Louis Rams here. However, anytime you have a 28 point difference in the box score, the team that comes out on top is playing at a high level, regardless of how poor the other team is. The most impressive thing about this Giants team right now is the fact that, as a team, they are playing just as well as anybody across the board. Several different players came up with plays on defense. The ball distribution on offense was just downright scary. Whatever there might be to say about the state the St. Louis Rams are in, a 41 to 13 point victory can never be underestimated. Let's recap. Offense: The Giant offense picked apart the porous St. Louis defense pretty thoroughly. They put up the stats last week against the Redskins as well, but the difference-maker in this game was the fact that they could translate yardage into points. Eli Manning did a beautiful job spreading the ball around, with 8 different receivers hauling in passes on the night, and 3 of those receivers with 60 yards or more. This is a huge improvement over the Giants and how they played for much of the regular season last year, as they were largely one-dimensional in the passing game with inconsistent receivers behind an unhealthy Plax. Domenik Hixon and Steve Smith both showed some serious big play potential (though Smith ended up ruled down after review on a play he had stretched for an additional 18 yards, that was still one hell of a run after the catch).
Still, the first sighting of a three-headed beast is what should have the rest of the league worried. Between the trio of Jacobs, Ward, and Bradshaw in the backfield, the Giants running backs posted 203 yards on a mere 28 carries. Considering that each back contributed over 50 yards on the ground, it is clear that each one of these backs is just as effective as the next. Each back had a reception as well, and though Bradshaw got the least amount of playing time, he posted 2 of the team's 4 offensive touchdowns.
This Giants' backfield is the best in the league. Better than Dallas. Better than Minnesota. Better than Jacksonville. Granted, they haven't stacked up against great defenses. However, it's hard to say that any single running back or even duo of backs can match their versatility. And when push comes to shove, it is invaluable to be able to have a play-making back that virtually never gets tired. The only thing that could slow this group down is injury.
Defense: The defense shut down the only hope the Rams had in this one, and for another week, the Rams were unable to move the ball on offense. The Rams' O-line was embarrassed for another straight week, surrendering 6 six sacks to this Giant D. Unexpectedly, three of those sacks would come from Robbins and Alford, two of the guys on that line that don't get a whole lot of credit. There's not a whole lot else to say here, so I will put the spotlight on one particular individual.
Justin Tuck: This guy has showed up big in the absence of Strahan, and for those that do not believe him to be the real deal, expect to by the end of the season. Tuck fought off countless holds that were not called (for anybody that watched the game, you would have seen this, and if you ignored it, then Troy Aikman pointed it out at one point for you), adding two sacks in this one. Being able to come down with an interception and run it in for the score shows you that he is on his game and playing heads-up football.
Coaching: I have to say I disagree with the no-call on the St. Louis touchdown play, and there's no excuse for Coughlin not throwing the challenge flag on that one. At that point, there wasn't a whole lot of separation in the score, and while whether or not it was actually a legal catch will never be known, the call was clearly in question. Had the game been a lot closer, it would have meant quite a bit to have that one possibly called back.
Overall, the Giants look like they are ready to rumble with the best in the league, and thus far, there is nothing to suggest that they are not amongst the best in the league. They are in a heavyweight division, but this is a heavyweight team. Anybody that thought it would be Philly and Dallas in the East, not to take anything away from those teams as they are both very talented, ought to remember that the Giants can trade hands just as well as anybody.
Side Note: The NFC East will be 6-2 heading into week 3, getting off to a collective 4-0 start against out of division opponents (Browns/Saints/Rams twice). The East has outscored these opponents 136 to 50. There is a team that can challenge scattered here and there throughout the NFC, with the Packers and Panthers looking good thus far, but the NFC is all about the East this year, and with the Chargers taking an 0-2 start and Tom Brady going down, the team that comes out victorious in this division is more than liable to be favored to run away with a Lombardi trophy. each of these teams scheduled to play six divisional games a piece, this is a going to be a hell of a year for fans of NFC East teams.
After a crazy week in the NFL and a dismal week in regards to my picks, I'm looking for a much more sound week. While I did throw down one too many upset specials (by that, I'm referring to my picking of Cleveland over Dallas), the two other teams I picked to upset brought the game down to the final drive, threatening not only in their respective opponent's territory, but threatening with do or die circumstances. Those two teams would be the Dolphins and the Bucs. There were definitely a few games this week that were beyond predictable. The Colts lose at home to the Chicago Bears? The Chargers fall short to the Panthers? And while Buffalo was a reasonable pick to win, I don't think anybody could foresee them putting the lights out on the Seahawks.
One pick I did have going for me was the Green Bay Packers winning at home. Rodgers played just as well as he did at Dallas last year. That was not an upset, but merely just bringing the Minnesota Vikings back down to earth. I will reiterate. The Vikings are reminiscent to the Saints of '07: overhyped and overrated.
This is how the NFL is shaping up for week two:
TEN 20 @ CIN 10: Tennessee is minus Young, but that matters not. Kerry Collins is still a solid QB who can step in and win games. And well, Cincy was looking bad heading into week one, and now they just look awful.
BUF 24 @ JAC 27: One of the tougher games to call, but I'm going with Jacksonville at home over the upstart Bills. The Bills are exciting, but they played a soft-looking Seahawks team. Jacksonville bounces back in a close one. NO 28 @ WAS 17: The Redskins will take a few weeks before anybody gets a read on what will become of them this year. With the way Jim Zorn ran his two minute offense without that critical hurry-up aspect, don't expect a whole lot.
NYG 27 @ STL 7: In reference to a post I made a few weeks ago, the Giants looked very much like the NFL's Joe Frazier in the opener. They didn't continue to batter the Redskins offensively in the second half, but the defense held on eight of eleven in third down situations and looked strong throughout. Expect much of the same this week in a thoroughly one-sided Giants' victory.
GB 35 @ DET 14: The Aaron Rodgers led Green Bay Packers continue to roll.
CHI 14 @ CAR 24: I'm not hopping on the Bears' bandwagon, but Carolina looks to be tough this year, and they will win by two scores. IND 31 @ MIN 17: Indy, despite a poor week one performance, lays it to the Vikings, who unexpectedly start the season two games behind Green Bay after just two weeks.
OAK 14 @ KC 20: A battle between two pretty bad teams, and Oakland is the worse of the two.
ATL 17 @ TB 20: Michael Turner was signed to be the spark plug in this Atlanta offense, and he will make the game interesting. However, the Bucs are the better team all around, and they will bounce back this week.
SF 21 @ SEA 27: Wow. A week ago I wouldn't have imagined this one as a tough pick. Seattle at home, but not by much.
BAL 10 @ HOU 20: Rookie quarterbacks have their ups and downs, and the Texans will be looking to bounce back from the spanking they took last week. Texans even out against the Ravens, and Joe Flacco will get a taste a Mario Williams.
MIA 21 @ ARI 14: Call me crazy but I like what I saw from the Dolphins a week ago (minus the lack of a running game). They had a shot to win the game on the final drive, and that in itself is a good sign. Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown will show up big this week, and Pennington will manage a Dolphins victory.
SD 28 @ DEN24: The Chargers lost on the final play to what looks to be a very competent Panthers squad. Denver went out and beat the Raiders senseless, but they are the Oakland Raiders and still a miserable team at that. Still, a good, close game in a Chargers win.
NE 10 @ NYJ 17: The experts are saying not to write the Patriots off, and that makes guys like me look more like an expert every day. As in the preseason, New England just looks like they do not want to be their without Brady on the field. Cassel will soon follow suit once he begins to play decent NFL teams. PIT 28 @ CLE 27: I'm not sure that will be the actual score, but I'm lending emphasis to how close this game will be. Pittsburgh looked great last week and Cleveland looked awful. But in this rivalry, the games will be exciting and down to the wire, and they will still usually end with a Pittsburgh victory.
PHI 24 @ DAL 21: Hands down, the game of the week. I referred to the Giants/Dallas rivalry in another post as similar to that of Ali and Frazier. Philadelphia looks to be emerging as this year's George Foreman in that context, but there will be no rope-a-dope coming from Dallas. Philly wins in Philly fashion, with Donovan McNabb and Westbrook leading the offense and Jim Johnson masterminding this defense. Johnson's disciple Steve Spagnuolo ended the Cowboys' Super Bowl hopes this year, and the guru will pick up where his protege left off.
Seeing as we have more "weekly predictions" posts than anyone could care to count, perhaps we can organize a community based league to compare records for the purpose of bragging rights. We can also get discussions more centralized to keep a broader range of opinions in one place. If anybody is interested, just say so and post your week one winners, so we can get this going before the game on Thursday. All participants must submit this weeks' picks by 4:00 pm EST on Thursday.
Let's kick it off. I will throw an upset special or two into the mix
here, and I look forward to any thoughts an opinions anyone might be
willing to share.
Crack open a cold one, 'coz it's football season, baby.
WAS 14 @ NYG 31: Giants by seventeen here, as the offense will
roll and the defense will look good. The Redskins haven't looked too
solid. If Jason Taylor does not play, the 'Skins D will have a
difficult task ahead of them.
DET 27 @ ATL 13: Detroit will win and Jon Kitna may feel good
enough about it to promise a Super Bowl. But everyone else will know
that the Atlanta Falcons are the Atlanta Falcons, Jon Kitna is Jon
Kitna, and the Lions are still a .500 team at best.
CIN 14 @ BAL 10: Cincy has a receiver to cover for a hurt Chad
Ocho Cinco, but may struggle in the running game. Still, the Ravens have no quarterback. Joe Flacco, did it really come to you already?
SEA 24 @ BUF 20: Seattle is not as tough as they are thought to
be, and the impression of a team that barely edged the Redskins in the
playoffs last year before getting walloped by the Packers remains. They
will still edge the Bills in this one.
NYJ 14@ MIA 17: Everybody will be looking to see Favre light it
up, and while that may happen, I have a feeling Pennington will be the
story of the week after upsetting his former team. He's about as tough
as they come and has more talent (but lacked blocking) than most would
care to realize.
KC 13 @ NE 28: Just because the entire New England team as a
whole looks as though they don't even want to be out there on the
field, my gut tells me to pick against them purely on principle.
Against any halfway decent team, I would. But NE is lucky to have KC as
a get-it-together game. That could still go both ways heading into week
two though, as getting back into the habit of going for it on fourth
downs will hurt them.
TB 28 @ NO 20: Tampa Bay, the more well-rounded team will win
this one. Looking at players who want it bad, one might be inclined to
focus on Shockey. But the moment things don't go Shockey's way, he
forgets how to be a teammate and how to just shut up and play his role.
On the other hand, we have Jeff Garcia, who just a few weeks ago was
more or less told by his organization that he would be Favre's backup.
Garcia is an average quarterback, but he can get fired up and playing
well. With something to prove, Garcia will have a big game.
STL 10 @ PHI 17: Philly has looked good lately, and they will
start the season on a good note against the Rams. The game will be a
lot more one-sided than the final score will suggest.
HOU 14 @ PIT 20: Pittsburgh at home. Pittsburgh at home. The Steelers have tough schedule, but this is a game they will win.
JAC 28 @ TEN 17: Jacksonville is a tough team and can move the
ball on offense, and I don't think Vince Young will be able to exploit
their secondary.
DAL 31 @ CLE 35: Upset special. The Cowboys will be brought down
to earth in week one, losing an offensive shootout with the Browns. The
Browns didn't look great in the preseason, but they are more liable to
show up determined to pull the upset, and they have the guns on offense
to do it.
CAR 17 @ SD 24: San Diego, and it will be their playmakers on
defense that make the difference. Phillip Rivers may struggle a bit,
especially with the impending comeback of Julius Peppers, but he has an
MVP in the backfield to bail him out.
ARI 20 @ SF 10: 'Zona, with Kurt Warner at the helm.
CHI 6 @ IND 24: Not even a question, as the Bears are a team
that have no upset potential in them. They are a mess, two years
removed from the Super Bowl, playing the very team that beat them up
pretty good.
MIN 14 @ GB 20: Minnesota are similar to the Saints of '07:
overhyped and overrated. Green Bay, a very talented team before even
considering the quarterback position, is underrated. Rodgers is the
right guy for them to have, as he is young enough to withstand the
temperatures at Lambeau in January, something Favre apparently could
not do.
DEN 21 @ OAK 7: The Raiders still aren't close yet. Another year of growing pains for Oakland fans.
In 2007, the NFC's most exciting rivalry bore striking resemblance to
that of the rivalry between two of the greatest fighters to ever put a
pair gloves on: Muhammad Ali and Smokin' Joe Frazier. Division rivals
and arguably the top two teams in the NFC, the New York Giants and the
Dallas Cowboys squared off three times last season. The Cowboys took
two of those victories, outplaying the Giants in the second half of
both games. However, in what would be their own "Fight of the Century"
in a divisional round playoff bout, the Giants would come out on top.
With these two teams guaranteed two clashes every year (one of those on
Sunday Night Football, week 15), one can rest assured that there will
be two classic NFC East showdowns on his hands, as is the case every
year. However, the Giants and the Cowboys, both teams loaded with
talent on both sides of the ball, will be hard-pressed not to carry
over the Ali vs. Frazier feel of the '07 season and add a third
match-up in the postseason.
The fact of the matter is, these
teams do not just resemble the rivalry carried between two great
fighters, but also the fighters themselves with their styles of play
and demeanor. The Cowboys are fast, flashy, and talented, as was
Muhammad Ali. The Giants play power football and play it well. They are
quiet and low-key, and in essence, football's Joe Frazier.
Ali:
The Cowboys find ways to attract media attention like none other. But
like America's Champ, America's Team also finds ways to put points on
the board and make their opponents look silly. Thirteen of their
players reached the Pro Bowl in 2007, and the Cowboys were the number
one seed in the NFC in the playoffs. Perhaps their somewhat cocky
demeanor contributed to their playoff loss to the Giants, but after
having fallen hard once, one can be certain that they will be
determined not to let that happen once again.
To begin, we'll
throw the spotlight on Tony Romo, the one thing the young quarterback
just cannot seem to escape. Well, in January, it would be that as well
as the Giant's pass rush. Romo had made a name for himself by staying
cool under pressure and making smart decisions, scrambling out of tough
situations. In the playoff loss however, he took a couple of long sacks
when he could have and should have thrown the ball away. He is still a
young quarterback in this league, and that game made that much clear.
But with the way Romo has in fact made adjustments to the league during
his short career, one can only expect him to progress as a quarterback,
as opposed to taking a step back.
Romo still has weapons and
an offensive line to provide a means to utilize them. The loss of Terry
Glenn is not so significant, as the Cowboys played without him for the
majority of the '07 season and averaged the second-most points per game
in the league behind the record-setting Patriots, though he would've
have added a weapon in perhaps one of the few areas that the Cowboys
could use one. Dallas still has Owens and Witten, so if Crayton could
step up and become a more consistent threat (not to neglect the fact
that he did have 50 catches in '07), they should not have many worries
there. Not to mention, the Cowboys added a compliment to Marion Barber
in Felix Jones. Barber, a running back who hardly needs a compliment,
will continue to be that tank who always seems to find a way to keep
his feet moving and wear down defenders. However, Jones will provide
great versatility out of the backfield and should provide headache for
defensive coordinators around the league.
The Cowboys have a
solid defense as well. In their 3-4 scheme, Zach Thomas is still
efficient in the middle, and both Ware and Ellis are always good on the
outside. A solid defensive line and great depth in the secondary
(especially on the corners) has secured leads, kept this team in games
when they were in fact down, and will continue to do the same in 2008.
Remember, this was a unit last year that was ranked sixth against the
run, and with improvements and added depth in the secondary, one could
surely expect them to become a top ten pass defense (ranked 13th last
year).
Altogether, with the Ali-like offensive production the Cowboys get and
a rock-solid jaw, the Cowboys can afford to take a couple of hits.
Still, the first four weeks of the season will be very telling of what
kind of mindset this Cowboys team will be in. They go on the road
against the Browns and the Green Bay Packers, as well as take on
divisional rivals in the Eagles and Redskins at home. Two of these
teams made the playoffs last year, and virtually all of them will
challenge for a spot this year. Muhammad Ali claimed the heavyweight
title three times. Tony Romo will certainly get his chances with this
Cowboys roster. It's nothing more than a matter of America's Team
following through and living up to all of the hype, which is something
America's Champ did so well.
Frazier: Heading
into the January playoff game between the Cowboys and Giants, the
match-up was being described as the "All-Pros versus the All-Joes". The
Cowboys had thirteen pro-bowlers to the Giants lone one. Very few
expected them to win that game. Very few expect them to win a whole lot
in the 2008 season, similar to the expectations most had that Ali would
not have a problem reclaiming "his" status as the heavyweight champion
upon his return. It was only a matter of time. However, Smokin' Joe
Frazier would reinforce his attitude with Ali's mouth and media
attention, and intensify his training. In his title defense, Frazier
toppled Ali in the fifteenth round, giving the "World's Greatest" his
first loss, while remaining the undefeated champion. However, the New
York Smokin' Joes must be wary of the team that turns into the George
Foreman of this analogy (knocked Joe Frazier down six times in two
rounds following the first Ali vs. Frazier bout), as just about every
team the Giants cross paths with will be looking to be the team that
puts a hurt on the defending champs.
In New York, the majority
of questions concerning the New York Giants offense still revolve
around Eli Manning. He has showed us that he can play football at a
high level in pressure situations against the top teams in the league.
The bottom line is that Manning did that with consistency over his last
five games, so do not expect a major drop off in his level of play.
On
the offense, the Giants have great depth at the receiver position and
in the backfield. Burress is reported to be at a hundred percent for
the first time in over a year. Amani Toomer is Amani Toomer, providing
a solid possession receiver. Steve Smith will continue to grow in his
second year, and the Giants have two more potential play-makers in
Hixon and Manningham. Brandon Jacobs provides the backfield with a 6-4,
264 pound feature beast. The Giants will continue to use him in
Frazier-like fashion to pound the ball into opposing defenses. Perhaps
the scariest thought that comes along with this Giants offense is the
idea of the three-headed monster in the backfield. The Giants have two
legitimate starters behind Jacobs in Bradshaw and Ward, provided they
can stay healthy.
The one certain challenge the Giants offense will face this year will be the loss of Jeremy Shockey's exceptional blocking.
The
major concerns for the Smokin' Joes this year rest with the defense,
for a team that is built as a defensive juggernaut. The losses of
Strahan, Mitchell, and Wilson were more or less losses that could be
stomached, but with the loss of Osi Umenyiora for the season, the
defense has been stripped of depth that they did not have. Kiwi will
not be a huge drop-off from the Pro Bowl shoes he is set to fill. He
showed a lot of promise in his rookie year, enough to have him moved to
linebacker to keep him on the field as a starter last year. Tuck has
looked fairly dominant on his side as well, and while the linebacker
core has been stretched thin, an improved secondary should take some of
the pressure off. The Giants' front seven cannot afford another major
injury, or they will lose any legitimate chance of remaining a power
defense in this league.
The Giants' offense is largely the reason their defense will be
improved from last year, statistically. A team that ranked seventh in
total defense last year was ranked a mere seventeenth in points allowed
(21.9). With an '07 offense that was prone to turnovers, the defense
was put in poor situations time and time again. A more consistent and
productive offense will lend aid to a defense that lacks depth in the
front seven. The real question lies within whether or not the Giants'
front seven can stay healthy enough to keep the team's Joe Frazier
look.
Whether it is a "Fight of the Century" or a "Thrilla in
Manilla", the bouts between the Cowboys and Giants this year are almost
guaranteed to be classics. The first bout is scheduled for week nine.
The second bout is scheduled for week fifteen. The third? Well, the way
these two teams play makes a football fan want to mark it on the
calender already.