Making My Case as a Madden '10 Cover Man Candidate
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Rugged Picks: Three 5 win teams in a division that collectively has 5 losses
Oct 12, 2008 | 8:39AM | report this
The big upset everybody seems to be looking for is Arizona over the Dallas Cowboys. I wouldn't quite call that one just yet. I have a couple of other upset specials in the mix though. With weeks 1-5 failing to disappoint, I'm feeling week 6 will be just as exciting. Let's have at it then.


CHI @ ATL: Atlanta is young and exciting, but Chicago plays power football. Da Bears, by two scores. Winner: Chicago

MIA @ HOU: This is something of a trap-game for Miami, and as StreetCred has said, the Phins are very vulnerable to taking a step back here. But a Parcells’ team has an advantage in this situation, and the Dolphins will be coming out on top. The Texans simply are not smart with the football, turning it over much too often. Winner: Miami

BAL @ IND: The Baltimore Ravens’ defense has put up great stats, but they have yet to play a premiere offense. Indy’s defense has been nothing to speak of, and as a team, Indy’s been outscored by 11 points so far this year. Still, with Indianapolis, it is going to be a constant progression as they get guys back and Peyton Manning returns to form. Winner: Indianapolis

DET @ MIN: Detroit is hapless, helpless, and however else you could describe this miserable team. They’ve fallen pretty hard since posting a 6-2 mark at the ’07 season’s midway point. Hopefully the fans will have something to root for in a couple years. Winner: Minnesota

OAK @ NO: Why does this game have some serious upset potential? Well, when you have a Saints team that gives the opposing team opportunities via turnovers, losing to a hungry Raiders team that has been pretty sure with the football in relying heavily on a power running game, certainly becomes a possibility. Winner: Oakland

CIN @ NYJ:
If Carson Palmer were in for this one, and if Ocho wasn’t making a fool of himself, Cincinatti would have a good shot at an upset. It just ain’t in the cards. Winner: New York

CAR @ TB: Carolina is the more well balanced team, and their solid pass defense takes on a bit of a sloppy passing attack at Tampa Bay. Winner: Carolina

STL @ WAS: Two teams in the league have turned the ball over just once so far this year. Those two teams? The New York Giants and the Washington Redskins. Bad news for St. Louis fans, who have already gotten a taste of one of those squads. Winner: Washington

JAC @ DEN: Still not sold on Denver, a team giving up 388 yards per game on defense. Jaguars pull out a win, getting back to some of the football efficiency they were utilizing last year. Winner: Jacksonville

DAL @ ARI: So, some are just now realizing what anyone with half a brain could tell you before the season started: Dallas is a good football team, but their roster is not super-human. Still, they have talent and this is one that they’ll win via the ground game. Winner: Dallas

PHI @ SF: Donovan McNabb has called out himself and his teammates. I like the move, because this is a team that needs to get fired up if they want to hang in the East. Winner: Philadelphia

GB @ SEA:
Green Bay hasn’t been playing football near the level they were at last year, and a lot of that’s not on Aaron Rodgers. Seattle is awful though. Winner: Green Bay

NE @ SD: San Diego was caught off-guard by a team in Miami that will prove to be a good one, over the course of the year. Their defense needs to get back to its opportunistic old self, and they need to frustrate Cassel to win this one, which I think they can do. Winner: San Diego

NYG @ CLE:
On paper in the preseason, this looked like a premiere matchup. The Giants beat up the Browns starters in the preseason in a fashion that haunts players, and the Browns have completely fallen out of the conversation of decent teams since then. Winner: New Jersey

3 Comments | Add a comment   categories: NFL, Ruggedest, New York Giants, San Diego Chargers, New England Patriots, Philadelphia Eagles, San Francisco 49ers, Dallas Cowboys, Arizona Cardinals, Jacksonville Jaguars, Denver Broncos, Washington Redskins, Carolina Panthers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Oakland Raiders, New Orleans Saints, Baltimore Ravens, Indianapolis Colts, Miami Dolphins, Chicago Bears
 
Rugged Picks: Chargers go to 2-3 and still AFC favorite?
Oct 03, 2008 | 5:35PM | report this
What to predict, what to predict? Let's take a look at some teams listed as viable Super Bowl contenders this year:

Colts: 1-2
Jaguars: 2-2
Patriots: 2-1 (and very misleading, at that)
Chargers: 2-2
Vikings: 1-3 (though I never considered them a genuine Super Bowl team, the hype was certainly there)

Now, we all could imagine that some of the teams on this list would have come across some difficulties at this point in the season, but I don't think anybody imagined they all would. The AFC is wide open, and that's a preliminary to one of my picks. I'm not crazy, I swear to you.

TEN @ BAL:
Tennessee hasn’t beaten any great teams yet, but Baltimore doesn’t fall into the “great team” category anyhow. Tennessee has the stingier defense and a veteran at quarterback. Upset special for Baltimore? I can’t call it. Winner: Tennessee

KC @ CAR: Kansas City didn’t so much prove that they are decent football team as much as they merely highlighted just how bad Denver is on the defensive side on the ball. They won’t run all day on Carolina, and Carolina gets a sure win at home. Winner: Carolina

CHI @ DET: Detroit finally ousted Millen. Detroit is still the same Detroit we know and love, and the same Detroit that Detroit fans find painful to watch. Winner: Chicago

ATL @ GB: Aaron Rodgers doesn’t need to be Brett Favre. He’s known that for years as Favre’s backup, and with an organization that showed some guts in supporting him, he won’t forget it this week. It’s unrealistic. One thing I admire about Rodgers is that he looks like a guy who’s learned from a great quarterback and is trying to make a mark as a great quarterback in his own right, as opposed to trying to be the guy that he studied under. Rodgers will be ready to go if he plays on Sunday. Winner: Green Bay

IND @ HOU:
Indianapolis has been ####ed up. With the bye week, they are still hurting. They’ll be alright though. They have time to heal before playing Tennessee, and they’ll take this one from Houston. Peyton Manning will have a level-head, and for football fans, it’s going to be exciting to watch Peyton Manning grind out Ws. Winner: Indianopolis

SD @ MIA: In a recent blog post, I projected Miami sneaking into the playoffs this year on a wildcard spot in a shaky AFC. That starts here with a huge upset over San Diego. Granted, I think the Chargers are still looking damn good to take the conference this year with the way things have been going in the AFC, I still think this Miami team has upset potential. They don’t turn the ball over, and their one-two in the backfield is going to be rough on the Chargers. Winner: Miami

SEA @ NYG: Having the Bengals at home was a trap game, and as a Giants fan, it wasn’t the kind of thriller you like to see your team take part in. However, a “W” is a “W”, and the trap-game has come and gone. Or has it? The Giants are notoriously bad after the bye. Plaxico has been benched. However, I think the young guys will pick up the slack very nicely, seizing one of the few opportunities to be the go-to receivers they will have this year. The Giants have to pick up a win following a bye at some point or another, don’t they? Winner: New Jersey

WAS @ PHI: Philly is a physical team, and they are at home. But the Redskins have some confidence, and they’ll ride it out into this week over an Eagles team that has their greatest component on offense listed as questionable. This will put Philly in a tough spot if they lose, and Washington will be getting the Super Bowl hype when they win. Winner: Washington

TB @ DEN: Explosive offense, or great defense? I’ll take the great defense sir, and can I get a little “your offense couldn’t outscore the Kansas City Chiefs” on the side? Thank you. Have a good one. Winner: Tampa Bay

BUF @ ARI: Buffalo hasn’t gotten much credit at 4-0, and no, maybe they don’t deserve it. But take a look around the AFC and tell me who has lived up to the expectations? The Bills will be listed as a weak 5-0, but that’s still just two wins short of the total they accounted for last season in a 5 games as opposed to 16. Winner: Buffalo

CIN @ DAL: You know, Dallas has the talent, but I just think they are poised to fall apart against the Bengals. Oh, I couldn’t resist that. In all seriousness, Cincinatti without Carson Palmer means that the “any given Sunday” rule does not even apply. Winner: Dallas

NE @ SF: The Gold Rush is back! The Gold Rush is back! The Gold Rush is back! The problem is that New England is going to loot the 49ers down to their last peso. Winner: New England

PIT @ JAC: Pittsburgh is ####ed up. Jacksonville isn’t 100% either though, and Pittsburgh’s defense is still a rough unit. I’m going to bank on the fact that Jacksonville, while they will generate pressure, it won’t be enough to put Big Ben out of the game like the Eagles had. Winner: Pittsburgh

MIN @ NO: The Saints offense is starting to get some momentum going, and Minnesota has been dealt a tough slate and now finds themselves at 1-3. I’m going to pick against the Vikings in spite, seeing as in the preseason, they rivaled the Saints of ’07 with all of the Super Bowl hype surrounding what was in reality a .500 team. And to be honest, I just can’t stand that. Winner: Saints

10 Comments | Add a comment   categories: NFL, Ruggedest, New York Giants, Miami Dolphins, San Diego Chargers, Minnesota Vikings, Pittsburgh Steelers, Jacksonville Jaguars, New England Patriots, Dallas Cowboys, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Buffalo Bills, Denver Broncos, Arizona Cardinals, Washington Redskins, Philadelphia Eagles, Indianapolis Colts, Green Bay Packers, Chicago Bears, Tennessee Titans
 
Projecting and Ranking the Playoff 12
Oct 01, 2008 | 7:50PM | report this
Twelve teams make the playoffs in this league. That being said, these rankings will feature six teams from each conference. No more. No less. Your team may be a top 12 team in theory, but when push comes to shove, only 12 teams make the playoffs. As they stack up right now, the only teams that have proven anything remain in the NFC East. Bias? I guess one could call it that, but the top two teams in the AFC just haven't beaten anybody, and the rest of the conference is off to a pretty sorry start, considering where they were just a year ago.

1. New York Giants (NFC East division title): The defending Super Bowl champions are in first place in hands down the best division of football. Granted, any team in the NFC East could take the division, but right now, with Dallas hitting a snag, the Giants are undeniably the team to beat. If I sound biased, I really could care less. With what we've seen in the NFL this year, the Giants deserve the #1 spot, especially after a Cowboys loss. Granted, it was week 1 and this Redskins team has gotten better, but the Giants kept Washington out of that game altogether, and the Redskins are proving they are a talented football team. The defending champs are consistent on both sides of the ball, ranked 4th in both total offense and total defense, as well as tied for 2nd in the league in points allowed at 14.3 per game.

2. Washington Redskins (Wildcard): The Washington Redskins are doing what everybody is marveling at the Titans for doing, only they are playing ball-control football against better teams. That's exactly why I had the Redskins picked for an upset in Dallas. Both the Titans and the 'Skins share the league lead with a +6 turnover differential. However, the Redskins have proven they can control the ball against a talented cowboys team, holding onto the ball for over 38 minutes in that game. That's the kind of play that brings home championships.

3. Dallas Cowboys (Wildcard): The biggest cause for concern for the Cowboys is what makes the Washington Redskins a tough football team. Ball control. They have a big-play offense, and the kind of offense that is liable to score on an opposing defense every time it takes the field. That's all fine and good, but twice this year Dallas has had problems in the time of possession battle. Against the Eagles, they were dominated in that regard into the third quarter of play. The Redskins dominated that battle throughout. The Dallas defense is solid, but when put out on the field for twice as long as the offense, they are put into a bad situation. That will wear on this defense and the unit may have problems late in the season if the Dallas offense doesn't manage the clock better.

4. Buffalo Bills (AFC East division title): Sure, Titans fans probably aren't too happy to see their team not in the top two, let alone fall behind the Bills. At the very least, the opponents the Bills have beaten combine for a total of 4-11, which is one game ahead of those that Tennessee has beaten. Their defense is playing well, and their offense is far more explosive than that of Tennessee. If you're looking for a the overlooked mark the Bills have made through the first four that resembles that of a championship squad, look no further than their defense's ability to come up with the stop on third down, with a league leading 19.2%. Granted, this will probably change once they encounter better opponents, but even to force weaker teams punt more than four out of five times is damn good.

5. Tennessee Titans (AFC South Division title): The Titans have yet to beat a legitimate opponent this year, so I'm sorry I'm not sorry for ranking them this low, considering their four opponents have a combined record of 3-12. How this fact has completely escaped the minds of fans and analysts alike is beyond me. They are ranked a whopping 22nd in the league in offense. Now, that being said, I've always said the Titans were a good team, and they are playing good football. They just haven't done anything great yet this year, and a division that was supposed to be the AFC counterpart to the NFC East is a whopping 3-7 outside of Tennessee, while the East is 8-4 outside of the front-running New York Giants.

Plenty of people will draw comparisons between the Titans and championship teams. The difference-maker is that championship teams do what the Titans are doing now to good football teams. I'll believe in the Titans when they grind one out against a team with a winning record.

6. Carolina Panthers (NFC South division title):
The Panthers have played well, and winning the first two without Steve Smith was solid. They get the one-up over the Bucs here because they don't turn the ball over so much on offense, even though the Buc's defensive play has made up for that. Still, at 3-1, the Panthers only have outscored opponents by a total of 10 points. What to make of that? Well, they have some resolve, that's for sure. Two wins decided by a field goal or less came against good teams in the Chargers and Bears, without Steve Smith. The loss to the Vikings will go overlooked, for now.

7. Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC North division winner):
Yes, the offense has taken a couple of more hits and losing a starting guard is no joke for a line that has already been looking poor. Still, the Steelers defense is one that will win games for them. Surprisingly enough, they are behind only the Redskins and Titans in the turnover differential column, and that's a credit to Big Ben just as much as it is this defense. Despite taking an absolute beating, Roethlisberger has kept a good handle on the ball.They will grind out wins, and with Cleveland looking in poor shape this year, it will be another division title for Pittsburgh.

8. San Diego Chargers (AFC West division title):
San Diego Super Chargers? I'm Ron Burgundy? Well, San Diego came back and beat the Raiders to avoid a 1-3 start. Granted, they haven't been playing great football, but for this team, it was merely the "W" they needed. Much like the Colts need to do in this week upcoming, the Chargers bought some time to get back into a groove. They will, and fortunately for them, the Broncos don't have the defense to make a run at the division crown.

9. Green Bay Packers (NFC North division winner): Aaron Rodgers is currently being limited to handoffs in practice, but it looks as though he is going to start against the Falcons. It was a toss-up between Da Bears and the Pack, but I just can't bank on Kyle Orton to play decent enough week in and week out. We won't have an idea until week 11, and that's one to mark on the calender. The Packers got the guns on offense. Da Bears have the defense. Sure, defense wins championships, but nobody ever said offense couldn't get you there. The Packers defense will settle down and get back to their '07 form, giving them the edge.

10. Indianapolis Colts (Wildcard): The Colts are off to a shaky start and are being dragged down by injuries. They needed that bye week, and all they need to do this week is stay healthy against the Texans and come away with the "W". This is not a statement game for the Colts. They've got three games upcoming before they take on the Titans, and I can certainly see them coming away with two of those to pull to .500. They ought to be quite a bit healthier when they take on the Titans, which will make for an exciting game. The Colts will heal up, and much like the 2006 regular season which ended with a Super Bowl victory, the Colts will be dangerous come playoff time. Perhaps it's even better for this team to not have a chance to rest in the last week of the season, as it surely didn't help them in '07.

11. Arizona Cardinals (NFC West division title):
Arizona was brought down to earth in these past couple of weeks, and if I didn't have a crazy wildcard selection to throw at you, they would be in the twelve spot. The Arizona Cardinals are going to be that one team that keeps the fans guessing, "Is there really going to be a 7-9 team in the playoffs this year?" Brought back down to earth via the Redskins and Jets, this Cardinals team will win in the same fashion many thought the Seahawks would earn a playoff berth: keeping their head above water in a very weak division. Good news for the Cardinals though: the Gold Rush is not in fact back, the Seahawks are sending Holmgren off in dramatic fashion, and the Rams are making a case for the #1 draft selection.

12. Miami Dolphins (Wildcard): Call me crazy. Say it again. I'll take two for this one, but in a weak division and conference this year, the Dolphins have the guns to grab that last spot. I just said the Dolphins have the guns to grab that last spot. I did. I said it, and I will take all accountability for saying it. However, seeing as turnovers are the theme of the day, let's throw a number out there: 1. Just one turnover by this Dolphins team this year, and that single turnover was a Pennington interception in the final second of the Dolphins/Jets contest in a situation in which he had to force a pass. But that's not the whole story here.

The one-two punch of Brown/Williams finally got going in full effect last week. With Pennington being the "underrated game manager" that he is, and I wholeheartedly agree with the SRMgenius when he says that, this offense has the pieces to be real good. The defense is young, but not terrible. They will make progress. Most importantly, it's a Bill Parcells team, and everybody knows that he can turn around the league's worst faster than anybody.

An upset over San Diego in week 5 is a viable possibility, especially with the coaching staff's apparent willingness to get creative with the play-calling. The Dolphins went up against a very good receiving core (even without Brady, a tough unit to cover) against New England, and had the bye week to serve as additional preparation. One can imagine that they will throw something interesting out there. A win over San Diego would set the tone for the rest of the season, and would put the Dolphins right there in the mix.

Dark horses:

Philadelphia Eagles: Shame to call this team a dark horse, but right now they seem to be falling back to Philly's old bad habits. They could easily make the top ten on the rankings here, and they could very well make the playoffs with a wildcard berth. With every single game in this NFC East being so critical though, Philly has to be able to close out games. They haven't done that in two big games this year.

Denver Broncos: I'm sorry, but a team that is all offense and absolutely no defense is hard to consider a playoff team, especially if dropping a game to the Kansas City Chiefs is any indication. Definitely got some firepower and could very well pull it together, but I do think this team is poised for an average season, and not a whole lot more.
13 Comments | Add a comment   categories: NFL, New York Giants, Washington Redskins, Dallas Cowboys, Tennessee Titans, Buffalo Bills, Carolina Panthers, San Diego Chargers, Pittsburgh Steelers, Miami Dolphins, Arizona Cardinals, Green Bay Packers, Indianapolis Colts, SRMGenius, Denver Broncos, Philadelphia Eagles, Ruggedest
 
Ranking the Unbeatens
Sep 22, 2008 | 6:53PM | report this
With trap-game weekend over and a colossal regular game winning streak brought to an end by a team known most recently for its rather ugly losing streaks, we are left with five 3-0 squads here in the NFL. Oddly enough, it's hard to find any of these teams as a pseudo-undefeated squad. They all have talent, and while one could make the argument that Denver should not be on the list, they still had to drive the length of the field to go down and punch it in. With what was thought to be the class of the AFC in the Steelers losing a tough one to the Eagles, there is a tilt to the NFC at this point, despite the AFC having three 3-0 squads.

1. Dallas Cowboys: Natural inclination would lead me to put my Giants in this slot, as they are 3-0 and coming off a run for the Lombardi trophy. However, Dallas has been battle-tested more than any team in the league, just three weeks into the season. The Browns have proven to be not worthy of the hype to this point, but putting up 41 points (34 on offense) against a Jim Johnson defense is always worth noting. And they beat a tough Packers team that is proving they can play without Favre, and the kicker is this one wasn't at Texas Stadium either. The Pack got beat at home, and the Cowboys stuck it to them pretty good. No need to reel off a list of Pro Bowl names for you, as they will get plenty of attention throughout the season.

The only danger this Cowboys team may be in is a danger that every team in the East faces: falling asleep on your divisional rivals. Just as well, that is a message to the rest of the division. Dallas has five games left in the East, and outside o####ame in Pittsburgh, those are looking to be perhaps the only ones that the Cowboys are really going to have to fight for. The rest of the East has to beat Dallas if they want to challenge for the division crown, because the rest of the league is looking in poor shape to pick up the slack.

The East is no longer the class of the NFC. The NFC East, unbeaten through week 3 of the season, is the class of the NFL.

2. New York Giants: This Giants squad, known primarily as a defensive team, relied on its offense to pull one out against Cincinatti. Yes, the Giants faced an 0-2 Bengals team, but let's not forget how ferocious an offense that can be when they are on their game. Carson Palmer is still a priemere quarterback, and Cincinatti has enough offensive weapons to rival Dallas when playing as a unit. The Bengals O-line gave up three sacks over their first two games, arguably the only positive for that offense over that stretch. However, for the Giants to sack Palmer six times and for Palmer to be able to keep the Bengals in it was nothing short of spectacular. The Giants defense didn't control the tempo in that one, which I don't think they are used to.

But for this Giants offense to come to fruition and win a close game when called upon is the mark of a championship caliber squad. The Giants offense was the hallmark of inconsistency in '07, and they have looked revamped with several new dimensions in '08. Eli Manning has been able to rely on a receiving core that led the league in dropped passes last year, allowing him to spread the ball around beautifully. The Giants' backfield once again reared its ugly head and demonstrated why it is just so dangerous.

I likened the rivalry between the Giants and Cowboys to that between Ali and Frazier for a reason (and long before Howie Long ever made the reference), and that is because these two teams are going to fight tooth and nail for a full fifteen rounds every time they face each other, and right now, they are the best in the league, with Philadelphia being very close as well (didn't make the cut though because of a loss to Dallas).

3. Buffalo Bills: Looking for a proven winner? Let's try Buffalo, who has won two games against playoff squads of '07 in our short three week season (Seattle and Jacksonville). Trent Edwards has thrown a single pick and completed 67 percent of his passes through his first 3 games. The receiving core has been dynamic, with Josh Reed making some sizable contributions that tend to go unnoticed with the gaudy numbers that Lee Evans puts up (20.33 yards per catch over 12 receptions to this point). Marshawn #### is a workhorse and can put on some catlike moves when the situation calls for it, and the defense has been solid.

The story surrounding the Bills however, is just how with every passing game, it seems more and more likely that the Bills are going to run away with the AFC East. The division is hurting outside of Buffalo. Belichick showed us all that he may not be the guru that he's choked up to be, as his defense had absolutely no answer for an 0-2 Miami Dolphins offense that dropped 38. Last time I checked, Tom Brady does not in fact play defense, but it seems the Pats are falling hard without him. The Dolphins and Jets are fairly impossible to gauge, but it would appear more than likely that they will not contend for the division title. Facing a decidedly easy schedule up ahead, it's quite possible that the Bills, yes, the Buffalo Bills, could pile up 12-13 win season. They are young, healthy, and poised to take advantage of the opportunity that has presented itself.

4. Tennessee Titans: The Titans may have even gotten a boost by having Collins under center. Despite what people are saying of Vince Young, I stil think he has potential to be a solid, versatile QB in this league. But he needs a break, to get a chance to break some bad habits and improve his passing skills. Kerry Collins is a solid quarterback. He won't dazzle you, but his IQ hasn't diminished, and he never was a mobile quarterback, so not a whole lot lost there. His return can be likened to that of Kurt Warner and what he is doing for the Arizona Cardinals, in providing consistently solid play from the quarterback position. I've watched Collins for some time now, as he was a Giant for a good number of years. He can play.

Now, the play of the rest of this Tennessee squad speaks for itself. The defense has been exceptional, and though they have yet to undertake a real test, holding three NFL teams to 9.7 points per game still exemplifies solid play. In the backfield, the rookie Chris Johnson has been explosive. Everybody knows it, but I will reiterate that Tennessee has one of the best front sevens in the league. A strong running game and a solid defense will win you games, plain and simple. But, there is still a lot of talent and a lot of heart in that AFC South. Tennessee is looking like a solid playoff contender, but they are going to have to grind out a division title. No way around it.


5. Denver Broncos:
The Broncos land fifth on the list for two reasons. The first being that they are undefeated partly due to a blown call by Ed Hochuli. The second reason to give is that while this team's offense has been explosive, there defense has been allowing 28 points per game. More or less, the Broncos are this year what everybody had hyped the Saints up to be (once again, missing the mark however), which is an offensive juggernaut that can score enough points to compensate for an average defense. Jay Cutler has been phenomenal (68% passes completed, 914 yards with only 2 picks), and his receiving core, headed by record-breaking rookie Brandon Marshall, has been stellar. However, the old adage that defense wins championships is more often than not true, and the Broncos really need to pick up their defensive play.

Forget the call by Ed Hochuli. All in all, the Chargers shouldn't have allowed them to drive the length of the field. The Chargers' defense even got a second chance to win the game on a put-up or shut-up two point conversion attempt. They lost the game twice after Hochuli blew the call. For those of you that remember, a blown call on a botched field goal attempt cost the Giants a game in the wildcard round against the 49ers. The game could have been won on that play, but it certainly wasn't lost on that play. No, with 20 minutes to play, the Giants allowed 25 points, and the 49ers advanced. The Broncos won, plain and simple. Bad calls happen all the time, and the Chargers had opportunities (and I stress the plural) to compensate for that call but did not.

Still, the Broncos need to improve their defensive play. The playoffs are where the teams that epitomize great defense emerge, and a great defense can make a great offense look helpless. Take a look at the record-breaking Patriots' offense of the '07-'08 season. The ended their season because a great defense had schemed their offense perfectly, and when it came down to the battle of defenses, New England played well but could not match the intensity of the Giants' "D". Which team held the record for most points scored before the Patriots? It was the Minnesota Vikings, and only god knows which year, as nobody talks about it because they didn't even make the Super Bowl that year. The Chargers have serious talent and could be the #1 seed in the AFC come January. But will that amount to a serious playoff run? Not unless they sure up that defense.
31 Comments | Add a comment   categories: NFL, New York Giants, Dallas Cowboys, Cincinatti Bengals, San Diego Chargers, Denver Broncos, Buffalo Bills, Tennessee Titans, Arizona Cardinals
 
Rugged Picks: Week Three Looking Just As Crazy
Sep 16, 2008 | 5:31PM | report this
First off, I would like to address the Monday Night "thriller" between the Cowboys and Eagles. Whoever buys into the idea that the shootout between these two teams was a showcase of talent is out of his mind. Alex Marvez calls Tony Romo's play heroic, and I'm thinking that he watched a different game. Tony Romo cost his team big on that endzone fumble, and when he had a chance to put the game away, he went three and out. Donovan McNabb simply wanted the game less, fumbling it twice on handoffs and running around like an #### and not making a play when afforded all of the time in the world. On third and long, a veteran quarterback should know that checking it down is a must. To take a sack there was absolutely horrendous.

Where was that mighty pro-bowl supplemented defense of the Dallas Cowboys last night? The Eagles moved the ball effortlessly. Just the same, while the Eagles did a great job stuffing the run, their secondary got beat on the deep ball too many times. The difference in the game was the awful special teams play of the Eagles, as Felix Jones picked them apart to provide beautiful field position time and time again. Overall, a pretty sloppy game, and these two teams better pick up their play or they will lose this week to two very hot teams in Green Bay and Pittsburgh.

KC 10 @ ATL 21: Atlanta will work off a Michael Turner to beat a weak Kansas City team and jump to a misleading 2-1 start.

OAK 7@ BUF 24: Buffalo is looking more and more like the team to beat in the AFC East. The Patriots/Jets game indicated that the Jets just aren't a playoff caliber team. Buffalo is looking like the only real threat out of a sorry division, but that is not to take any credit away from them. Buffalo is 2-0 against '07 playoff squads, a mere two weeks into the season.

CAR 27 @ MIN 17: Carolina has gotten back to their playoff-caliber form, but let's not write off the Vikings just yet. EDIT: Let's in fact write off the Vikings. Gus under center is worse than Jackson under center, and even if he plays well this week (which I wouldn't bank on), he'll fall apart sooner than later. This is a must win for the Vikings, and the coaching staff has decided that they must lose.

ARI 24 @ WAS 28: This Washington picked up some confidence last week, and while Kurt Warner has looked brilliant, his near-perfect game did come against the Miami Dolphins. The 'Skins take this one.

TB 14 @ CHI 20: The Bears showed last week that their win against the Colts was no fluke. Their defense is looking like more than Tampa can handle at the moment. Da Bears.

HOU 14 @ TEN 24: Tennessee will move to 3-0 with Collins under center. Collins can win games, and he looked pretty damn impressive in week two.

MIA 14 @ NE 17: If Miami can finally get their ground game going, it will be a close game. I expect them too, but Matt Cassel will still be a headline next week, with a miraculous 2-0 record as a starting quarterback.

CIN 10 @ NYG 31: The defending Super Bowl champions continue to sharpen their game against inferior opponents, such as the hapless Bengals.

NO 20 @ DEN 28: Denver is the more complete team. Sure, they may have been put into position to win by a bogus call, but they still had to take advantage and execute. I like the call by Shanahan. It was a gutsy move to go for the conversion, and that will pay dividends for him and his team's confidence.

STL 17 @ SEA 28: I cannot decide who is a bigger disappointment between the Rams and the 'Hawks, even though Seattle has the upper hand in this one. The Rams just look embarrassed, and Scott Linehan looks like a joke out there on the sideline. The Seahawks are looking like this year's first legitimate pretender, and the NFC West is no longer soft enough for them to slip into the playoffs.

DET 17 @ SF 24: Detroit is looking a lot like Detroit, and San Fransisco will come out on top in this one. No need for a lengthy explanation regarding why the Detroit Lions are just awful year after year. Though to me, it's more entertaining to have a team like the Lions to depend on to be a sub .500 squad every year. It gives you something to talk about during the week. "Hey Al, what happened to your team on Sunday? Lost to the Detroit Lions, and you said they were going places. Chuckle, chuckle."

JAC 13 @ IND 17: Indy is simply looking like they may have gotten it together, and Jacksonville, while still a good football team, looks like they haven't. Indy keeps within a game of the Titans at week three's conclusion.

CLE 21 @ BAL 20: Cleveland's been a disappointment this year, and injuries are only hurting an already shoddy defense, but they have enough firepower to beat out the Ravens, at the very least.

PIT 27 @ PHI 28: This is going to be a hell o####ame. I'm going back and forth on this one as I write this, but I'm going to have to give it to Philly in Philly.

DAL 20 @ GB 31:
I'm doing the unthinkable. That is, I'm putting the Cowboys down two scores to the Aaron Rodgers led Green Bay Packers. Who was it that gave the Pack a fighting chance with brilliant play when Brett "The Media's Beloved Jet" Favre was playing pretty damn poorly in the regular season against the Cowboys? Aaron Rodgers. The young quarterback is the real deal, and he faces an overrated defense on Sunday. Wade Phillips is a disgusting excuse for a head coach there in Dallas, judging by his reported comments at halftime and his refusal to acknowledge that the Eagles' offense moved the ball well against his defense ("well" is an understatement).

The NFC East loses it's first game to a non-division opponent, finishing week 3 at 9-3 collectively, and 7-1 against non-division opponents.

NYJ 14 @ SD 35: The San Diego Chargers are coming out fired up and will take out plenty of that aggression on an overrated Jets team. I'm kicking myself for picking the Jets last week, as my initial thoughts this season seemed to be a bit more accurate: the Jets and their savior are overrated. San Diego, after giving the fans a gut-wrenching first two weeks against teams that should not have taken them down to the wire let along beat them, finally gives them reason to cheer.


20 Comments | Add a comment   categories: NFL, Green Bay Packers, San Diego Chargers, Dallas Cowboys, Philadelphia Eagles, Pittsburgh Steelers, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, San Francisco 49ers, Seattle Seahawks, Denver Broncos, New York Giants, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, Minnesota Vikings, Washington Redskins, Carolina Panthers, Arizona Cardinals, Chicago Bears, Buffalo Bills
 
Rugged Picks: Week Two follows in Dramatic Fashion with Grand Monday Night Finale
Sep 09, 2008 | 7:50PM | report this
After a crazy week in the NFL and a dismal week in regards to my picks, I'm looking for a much more sound week. While I did throw down one too many upset specials (by that, I'm referring to my picking of Cleveland over Dallas), the two other teams I picked to upset brought the game down to the final drive, threatening not only in their respective opponent's territory, but threatening with do or die circumstances. Those two teams would be the Dolphins and the Bucs. There were definitely a few games this week that were beyond predictable. The Colts lose at home to the Chicago Bears? The Chargers fall short to the Panthers? And while Buffalo was a reasonable pick to win, I don't think anybody could foresee them putting the lights out on the Seahawks.

One pick I did have going for me was the Green Bay Packers winning at home. Rodgers played just as well as he did at Dallas last year. That was not an upset, but merely just bringing the Minnesota Vikings back down to earth. I will reiterate. The Vikings are reminiscent to the Saints of '07: overhyped and overrated.

This is how the NFL is shaping up for week two:

TEN 20 @ CIN 10: Tennessee is minus Young, but that matters not. Kerry Collins is still a solid QB who can step in and win games. And well, Cincy was looking bad heading into week one, and now they just look awful.

BUF 24 @ JAC 27: One of the tougher games to call, but I'm going with Jacksonville at home over the upstart Bills. The Bills are exciting, but they played a soft-looking Seahawks team. Jacksonville bounces back in a close one.

NO 28 @ WAS 17:
The Redskins will take a few weeks before anybody gets a read on what will become of them this year. With the way Jim Zorn ran his two minute offense without that critical hurry-up aspect, don't expect a whole lot.

NYG 27 @ STL 7: In reference to a post I made a few weeks ago, the Giants looked very much like the NFL's Joe Frazier in the opener. They didn't continue to batter the Redskins offensively in the second half, but the defense held on eight of eleven in third down situations and looked strong throughout. Expect much of the same this week in a thoroughly one-sided Giants' victory.

GB 35 @ DET 14: The Aaron Rodgers led Green Bay Packers continue to roll.

CHI 14 @ CAR 24: I'm not hopping on the Bears' bandwagon, but Carolina looks to be tough this year, and they will win by two scores.

IND 31 @ MIN 17:
Indy, despite a poor week one performance, lays it to the Vikings, who unexpectedly start the season two games behind Green Bay after just two weeks.

OAK 14 @ KC 20: A battle between two pretty bad teams, and Oakland is the worse of the two.

ATL 17 @ TB 20: Michael Turner was signed to be the spark plug in this Atlanta offense, and he will make the game interesting. However, the Bucs are the better team all around, and they will bounce back this week.

SF 21 @ SEA 27: Wow. A week ago I wouldn't have imagined this one as a tough pick. Seattle at home, but not by much.

BAL 10 @ HOU 20: Rookie quarterbacks have their ups and downs, and the Texans will be looking to bounce back from the spanking they took last week. Texans even out against the Ravens, and Joe Flacco will get a taste a Mario Williams.

MIA 21 @ ARI 14: Call me crazy but I like what I saw from the Dolphins a week ago (minus the lack of a running game). They had a shot to win the game on the final drive, and that in itself is a good sign. Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown will show up big this week, and Pennington will manage a Dolphins victory.

SD 28 @ DEN24: The Chargers lost on the final play to what looks to be a very competent Panthers squad. Denver went out and beat the Raiders senseless, but they are the Oakland Raiders and still a miserable team at that. Still, a good, close game in a Chargers win.

NE 10 @ NYJ 17: The experts are saying not to write the Patriots off, and that makes guys like me look more like an expert every day. As in the preseason, New England just looks like they do not want to be their without Brady on the field. Cassel will soon follow suit once he begins to play decent NFL teams.

PIT 28 @ CLE 27:
I'm not sure that will be the actual score, but I'm lending emphasis to how close this game will be. Pittsburgh looked great last week and Cleveland looked awful. But in this rivalry, the games will be exciting and down to the wire, and they will still usually end with a Pittsburgh victory.

PHI 24 @ DAL 21: Hands down, the game of the week. I referred to the Giants/Dallas rivalry in another post as similar to that of Ali and Frazier. Philadelphia looks to be emerging as this year's George Foreman in that context, but there will be no rope-a-dope coming from Dallas. Philly wins in Philly fashion, with Donovan McNabb and Westbrook leading the offense and Jim Johnson masterminding this defense. Johnson's disciple Steve Spagnuolo ended the Cowboys' Super Bowl hopes this year, and the guru will pick up where his protege left off.
6 Comments | Add a comment   categories: NFL, Tennessee Titans, New York Giants, Philadelphia Eagles, Dallas Cowboys, Ruggedest, Minnesota Vikings, San Diego Chargers, Green Bay Packers, Miami Dolphins, New York Jets, New England Patriots, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Indianapolis Colts, Buffalo Bills, Pittsburgh Steelers, Cleveland Browns, Seattle Seahawks, Denver Broncos, Jacksonville Jaguars
 
2008 NFL season: A downright exciting year ahead
Aug 19, 2008 | 12:06AM | report this
Is it me, or does it seem that the NFL as a whole is more exciting to watch than in recent years? Sure, the regular season has yet to get underway, but it seems that we have more potential Super Bowl contenders and teams on the rise than we could care to count right now. Hell, even the preseason has been entertaining, and as a football fan, I feel as though there may not be a better time to be one. And while the Favre drama may have been a bit overdone during the offseason and into training camp, for a die-hard, it certainly took some of the pain away from not being able to catch a game of football at least twice a week.

Starting with the comparisons between the AFC and NFC, in recent years, the AFC has been unquestionably the better conference. The Patriots and the Colts had been considered a league of their own, and many went as far to say that their classic AFC championship game match-ups may very well have been the real "Super Bowl". Even right up until Super Bowl XLII had reached it's conclusion, the expectations of the NFC representative were limited.

Even before the Giants had made their postseason run, it seemed as though the so-called experts were merely picking which NFC team would make the game the most interesting, as the Patriots capped off their glorious 19-0 run that was never to be. Some favored Dallas, whose offense could at the very least make the game a high scoring affair. Others seemed to favor Green Bay for the irresistible headline Brady versus the Old Gunslinger Brett Favre would provide. But not many thought the JV team, whoever it may be, would pull through. The NFC is inferior. Let's go ahead and reformat the playoffs so that perhaps the Colts and Patriots can play each other in the Super Bowl. When the Giants had made their claim to be the NFC's representative, it was almost hysterical to the analysts. The predictions were ludicrous and nearly all of them had the Giants being blown out of the water, and this was a team that had played well against the Patriots in the regular season.

The AFC still may have more contenders, but the NFC has certainly made up quite a bit of ground. The rivalry between the New York Giants and the Dallas Cowboys has always been intense, but now these two teams have proven to possess the amount of talent that when pitted against one another, football fans are in for a championship-caliber bout that matches a showdown between the Patriots and Colts. The NFC East as a whole is now right on par, if not half a step ahead of the AFC South in the debate over football's toughest division. The NFC is clearly catching up, and the remarkable thing about that is, the AFC hasn't gotten any worse.

Looking at the quarterbacks representing teams in each respective conference, the NFC has generally been overshadowed by Tom Brady and Peyton Manning. In fact, the entire league has been out of the conversation when it comes to these two future Hall of Famers. Now, Tony Romo has emerged as a top-flight quarterback. Eli Manning has come into his own and made some brilliant plays down the stretch during the Giants' Super Bowl run. Drew Brees generally puts up big numbers, and if the Saints can get back to winning football games, he will certainly be back on the radar. Even the near-forgotten Donovan McNabb is poised to have a big year, and there remains to be mentioned a few others that could certainly make things interesting in the NFC with a big year, such as Jason Campbell, Matt Hasselback, and Jeff Garcia.

In the AFC, David Garrard has emerged as one who doesn't turn the ball over often and can scramble to make big plays. Derek Anderson came out of nowhere to lead the Browns just shy of a playoff berth, and Big Ben Roethlisberger knows how to win games. Jay Cutler and Philip Rivers certainly have the potential to be top quarterbacks in this league. And let's not forget about Favre, who at 38, seems more and more like a kid every day. What's not to like about the way the 2008 season is shaping up?

Football fans can witness several great match-ups on prime time:

Week 1: Giants at Redskins on Thursday Night, Vikings at Packers on Monday Night
Week 2: Steelers at Browns on Sunday Night, Eagles at Cowboys on Monday Night
Week 3: Cowboys at Packers on Sunday Night, Jets at Chargers on Monday Night
Week 5: Steelers at Jaguars on Sunday Night, Vikings at Saints on Monday Night
Week 6: Patriots at Chargers on Sunday Night, Giants at Browns on Monday Night
Week 7: Seahawks at Buccaneers on Sunday Night
Week 8: Colts at Titans on Monday Night
Week 9: Patriots at Colts on Sunday Night
Week 10: Giants at Eagles on Sunday Night
Week 11: Jets at Patriots on Thursday Night, Cowboys at Redskins on Sunday Night, Browns at Bills on Monday Night
Week 12: Colts at Chargers on Sunday Night
Week 13: Seahawks at Dallas on Thursday (Thanksgiving)
Week 14: Patriots at Seahawks on Sunday Night
Week 15: Giants at Cowboys on Sunday Night, Browns at Eagles on Monday Night
Week 16: Jaguars at Colts on Thursday Night, Chargers at Buccaneers on Sunday Night, Packers at Bears on Monday Night

That is a lineup loaded with great games on paper. Fifteen games in sixteen weeks feature match-ups between '07 playoff teams on prime time. Several other match-ups include teams favored to make a serious run at the playoffs this year. In my humble opinion this is as good as it gets for NFL football. The year is 2008, and it is a great time to be a fan.
4 Comments | Add a comment   categories: NFL, New York Giants, New England Patriots, Indianapolis Colts, Dallas Cowboys, Seattle Seahawks, Jacksonville Jaguars, Tennessee Titans, Pittsburgh Steelers, Cleveland Browns, Philadelphia Eagles, San Diego Chargers, New York Jets, Denver Broncos, NFC East, AFC South
 
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