JIM ZORN FANS UNITE!
by: rmac1973
Why The Mariners' Future Isn't So Bleak
Jul 22, 2008 | 10:54AM | report this

As bad as the Seattle Mariners have been in 2008, there is a bit of a silver lining around this horrible and seemingly interminable season.

Young pitchers Felix Hernandez (22), Brandon Morrow (23) and Ryan Rowland-Smith (25) figure to be the #1, #4 and #5 starters in 2009 (this is dependant upon the Mariners trading Jarrod Washburn).  Throw in the potential for a healthy Erik Bedard (13-5, 3.16 ERA in 2007) and a hopefully resurgent Carlos Silva (13-14, 4.19 ERA in 2007), and the starting rotation appears to have some promise.

Unfortunately, by removing Morrow and Rowland-Smith from the bullpen, Seattle's relieving corps is quite thin.  Sean Green, Mark Lowe and J.J. Putz will be the primary holdovers into 2009.  Roy Corcoran, Cesar Jimenez and R.A. Dickey are almost assured of roster spots in 2009.  Therefore, the question of how many pitchers to carry remains the only glaring unknown.  If Seattle carries 12, the final bullpen slot will likely be fought for between Eric O'Flaherty, Jared Wells, and as many as a hal####ozen current AA/AAA pitchers.

The strength of this team coming into 2008 was supposed to be their starting pitching, but injuries to Bedard, Hernandez and Batista have taken their toll (seven different starters have been used thus far), but the poor performances of Silva and Batista, two pitchers who did fairly well in 2007, have really hampered the team's ability to win games.  The expectations for this group were excessively high going into this year, as we can all say with relative confidence.  However, the concept of "if it can go wrong, it will" has destroyed the consistency and effectiveness of the starting rotation.  Batista has been a shadow of the man who won 16 games in 2007.  Silva, whose sinker was supposed to help him shine in Safeco field, is on pace to allow over 20 home runs.  Jarrod Washburn, who is big trade bait for the Mariners right now, had a horrific April and May but has been outstanding in June and July.  Erik Bedard hasn't been able to pitch past the 6th inning in what seems like a decade, and he is becoming noticeably injury-prone.  It hasn't been pretty for these guys, not at all.

However, the youth and vibrance in the pitching staff for the next several years will provide hope, opportunity, and the kind of consistency necessary to win baseball games.

Now it's a matter of being able to hit the ball.

Seattle has sunk millions upon millions of dollars into players like Richie Sexson, Jose Vidro and Adrian Beltre only to see half the production they thought they were buying.  Thankfully, those players are almost assuredly gone by the end of this season, and while I would like to see the Mariners retain Adrian Beltre at a lower contract price, his value on the trade market this summer is likely too high to pass up - the benefit for Seattle is that they don't have to trade him as he's inked throughy 2009.  Unfortunately, there is no one currently in Seattle's organization of minor league affiliates that has the tools as a third baseman to step up and perform at the major-league level.

A new age is going to begin for the Seattle Mariners.  And, while many of the players I have mentioned as key people for this club in the coming seasons may either be gone via trade or free agency or simply not pan out the way I think they can, there is enough youth and enough trade bait on the current roster to allow for the future to hold some promise.

All we can do now, as fans, is hope the young kids get their chance to shine and show they belong in the majors, because it will be through them that the Mariners will find their way back to prominence and respectability.

3 Comments | Add a comment   category: Seattle Mariners
 
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justanotherfan
Jul 22, 2008
11:35 AM
rmac1973
The young guys you've mentioned won't be with this franchise for long. Even with the new advent of a GM. This team is so far off from being competitive that it's becoming a joke even to watch them play. Add in the fact that they possess an owner who's not least bit interested in being compeitive let alone as to caring about the fortunes of the franchise.


And the one wildcard in terms of a real attraction may well feel that given the choice. Ichiro would now rather be elsewhere 'cause as sure as hell management and ownership alike has shown that they just don't give a damn .




justan' aka tophatal ............

hawkwiz
Jul 23, 2008
8:03 AM
Another fine post Rmac!!!

rmac1973
Jul 23, 2008
8:09 AM
justan,

I disagree.

I think they are more competetive now than at the beginning of the season, and I think that is mostly due to the influx of new leadership (Pelekoudas, Riggleman) and the removal of one of the lead anchors (Sexson) who brought this team down every night.

Ichiro won't be going anywhere. It might makes sense to trade him in an effort to bring in more talent and change the direction of the club, but he is the icon upon which this team is built, and the franchise won't trade him and risk an enormous PR nightmare both here in Seattle and back in Japan, where Itchy is a true national hero.

I'm hopeful for the future, but not blindly so. I know some players will be traded away and some won't develop the way they are expected to develop. I know personnel mistakes will be made.

But, I remain committed to staying optimistic about this club, and for one very important reason - the payroll ($117+ million) is the 8th-largest in MLB, showing me that the owners are willing to spend the money to win when their front office says it's time to drop coin. What's necessary is better FO management and better field management, and the development of the young players in AA and AAA.

Hopefully, players like Balentien, Clement, Truinfel, LaHair, Hulett, Feierabend, Woods, Rowland-Smith and Jakubauskas continue to improve and can work their way onto the roster within a year or two.

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ABOUT ME


rmac1973
I'm just your average sports nut, I suppose. Of course I'm a bit of a homer - the Mariners, Seahawks, and Huskies are my teams - but I stick with my boys down the stretch, through thick and thin. What can the Mariners do to rebound from their worst season in twent years? Will Erik Bedard recover in time for the 2009 season? Ryan Rowland-Smith
and Brandon Morrow look to make the transition from the bullpen to the starting rotation, so can they combine with Felix to create a young and effective 1-2-3 tandem? How will the M's new front office guru fare - will Chuckie and Howie be able to stay "hands off" long enough for the new VP/GM to accomplish anything positive? Can the Seahawks recover from their early-season woes and rebound for a fifth straight NFC West title? How will the team handle the transition from Mike Holmgren's regime to the ways of Jim Mora Jr? Can the Hawks' defense stop anyone? Can the offense put up more than 200 yards? Any of you folks out there interested in healthy and creative debate about anything, feel free to speak up!
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