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by: pittsburgh_mike
The East: Semi-Final Edition
Apr 22, 2008 | 9:05PM | report this
At the time of this writing, the Sharks have a 2nd period 3-2 lead on the Flames.  So I can't write about the West because I'm about ready to fall asleep.  Couple beers while watching Flyers/Caps - and the intensity of that game (and hell, I'm not a fan of either team!!!) and I'm done in.

But I can't stop from writing some quick notes.

Canadiens/Flyers

1.  Flyers - This team is hard to figure.  Two weeks left in the regular season, they looked dead in the water.  They surge right at the end, locking up a spot, but drawing Washington - a tough draw because of Ovechkin and the Caps youth.  Then they go and dominate game one, but lose.  Now after a draining OT game 7, they get the Habs.  But here's the thing - the Habs were pushed around a little by Boston.  Philly plays that same nasty, mean style of hockey...and have better scoring.  Richards is imposing his will on other teams - Briere I thought was nearly invisible tonight until the end of the game though.  Anyway - no more tangents - the Flyers physical game, and skilled forwards represent a big time challenge to the Canadiens.  The Habs must get their physical nature cranked up to play toe-to-toe with the Flyers.

2.  Flyers - I'm also beginning to wonder if this team has a deep run in them.  You'd think that the way this series went that they were ripe for the picking.  But they don't quit - they just keep on coming on.  Lose the first game, win the second.  Get a 3-1 series lead, then lose two in a row.  Biron is untested in net, and has an atrocious record on the 2nd night of back to back games, and tonight he was great.  Simply great.

3.  Habs - a regular season series sweep of this team won't have any impact them - after all, they swept Boston, too.  So I doubt their regular season success will play any role in their planning or discussions. 

4.  Habs - where's that power play?  After being the best in the regular season, Boston shut them down.  The Habs PK was solid, but they have to get more production from the PP if they want to go to the conference finals. 

5.  Both teams - now that untested goalies Price and Biron have withstood the test of winning a playoff series, they get to face a new level of tension.  The Flyers are a crash-the-net team - every chance they get they'll throw bodies in front of Price.  Biron acquitted himself well against the likes of Ovechkin, and the Flyers defense did a great job.  Price had a bad game, but rebounded for a game 7 shutout win. 

Who gets the edge?  I am beginning to wonder - as I said - if Philly doesn't have some fate in their tank.  Home ice doesn't matter much to Philly - they didn't have it in beating (I can't call it an upset) the Caps.  The pressure in Montreal will build - and although the Habs withstood it in the first series, it gets far tougher now.  I think Montreal has a better line up top to bottom, but I'm now wondering if Boston exposed enough flaws for Philly to exploit.  So, going against the grain and perhaps my better judgment: Philly in seven.

I was a Caps fan tonight.  Not because I was actively rooting against Philly (although to be fair I hate the Flyers) but because I wanted to see the Caps rather than the Rangers.  The upcoming Pens/Rangers series is going to be a phenomenal one, I can almost guarantee that.  The regular season was a wash, although the Rangers won all their games in the Garden - but like with the Habs/Flyers, the Pens didn't beat Ottawa in the regular season, either.  Different team, different time, different chemistry - but the fact is that the regular season means nothing now.  Or at least it doesn't mean much.

1.  Rangers - Jaromir Jagr is going to be stoked for this series.  He's never played his old team in the playoffs.  He's obviously enjoying the game right now, and his physical skills are still in the upper echelon of talent in the NHL.  He's going to be a force, and will do his utmost to put the team on his shoulders and help carry them past the Pens.

2.  Rangers - Lundqvist is dominant at home, and was against the Atlantic division in general.  He's going to have to be on top of his game, because the Pens throw a hell of a lot more offense at you than the Devils did.  So while he had an excellent opening round, the level of difficulty in this series is far, far higher.  The Devils play a conservative game, hoping that defense and goaltending keep them in games.  The Pens don't. 

3.  Pens - Sid, Geno & Marc-Andre.  The boys are going to have to be at the top of their game in this series.  New York is not Ottawa - the Pens are not facing a dysfunctional team collapsing from within this time.  They are facing a tough, menacing foe, so the kids are going to have to be more than alright.  The kids are going to have to prove that their top-notch skills are equally as visible and dangerous in the playoffs.  Star power drives this team - and the lack of star power will doom it.

4.  Pens - defense.  Few people consider the Pens blue line to be top-notch.  And maybe its not - but then again the Rangers defense is in that same boat.  The Pens play an active defense, using positions and stick skills to defend.  They don't have a well-known big hitter, nor do they have a well-known shut-down tandem.  Their defense is really a nice blend of different talents and personas, and all will put to the test in this series. 

Both teams will probably play the first period of game one close to the vest - punch/counter-punch kind of period.  The feeling out period won't last beyond the first twenty, though - they know each other too well.  They know personnel, strengths, weaknesses, players to exploit and more.  They know tendencies and leanings.  So there won't be much of that "getting to you know" play - as I said, twenty minutes ought to do it.  The Pens will have to weather a first-period storm and cloud of uncertainty.  After so many days off and so much rest, how they respond to the speed and pressure o####ame will be critical.  The Rangers have had some rest, too, and figure to be equally rusty in that first period. 

This is the one opponent that as a Pens fan scared me.  The Rangers are firing on all cylinders.  They have the talent necessary to beat the Pens, and Lundqvist is capable of stealing games and pitching shut-outs, even against top offensive players that the Pens have.  They are a tight bunch, playing solid, confident hockey, and they know that they can beat the Pens.  It's my opinion that the Rangers and Pens are playing the best hockey in the East right now, and so this series figures to be a long, difficult one.  I think that the Pens have more weapons, and Marc-Andre Fleury seems to have put his past playoff failures behind him.  Jagr is still great, but old, as is many more of the Rangers top players.  The youth and recovery times of the younger players will be a factor in what ought to be a long series.  So I think it breaks down like this: the Pens win 2 at home, one at MSG, and the Rangers win 2 at home, and one in Pittsburgh...leading to a Pens home ice game 7.  The Arena will be loud and energetic, and that home ice is the one intangible that the Pens have over the Rangers.  So: Pens.  In seven.

I hope.
5 Comments | Add a comment   categories: NHL, Stanley Cup, Pittsburgh Penguins, New York Rangers, Montreal Canadiens, Philadelphia Flyers
 
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jon_464
Apr 22, 2008
9:35 PM
Pittsburgh_Mike, good analysis of the East playoffs. I have the Flyers beating the Canadiens in six tough games. Penguins-Rangers will be even tougher. I'll go with the Pens with the series going the distance.

I'm glad you mentioned that the Flyers may have a long playoff run in them. I see the same thing. They are RELENTLESS. They have many of the same characteristics as the Broad Street Bullies of the 1970's: relentless, sound goaltending, outstanding penalty killing, and a great power play. They could be this year's team of destiny and rip the Cup. (Won't bother me in the least, as I am a Flyers fan)

GO FLYERS!!

seniahs66
Apr 23, 2008
4:33 AM
Pittsburgh Mike, First of all THANK YOU for not posting the same insult driven, overly biased nonsense that I often read on these blogs. I agree with you on the Flyer/Hab series believe it or not. I think Montreal has a great young team but Boston exposed them a little bit and the Flyers (at least offensively) are an upgrade from the Bruins. Philly in 6 (hard games).

As for the other series, I think it is more important for the Rangers to win game one then almost anything else. The Pens are feeling really good about themselves but Ottowa was the weakest of all playoff teams, the Rangers need to establish themselves quickly here. In saying that, Pittsburgh did what good teams do and made quick work of an inferior opponent. I believe the playoffs start Friday for the Pens. Obviously all the upfront talent goes to Pittsburghs young stars but the Rangers have some talent upfront also. I'll call it even as far as the Dmen go but Gonchar is the x-factor. Fleury is solid in net but I'll take Lundquist. My predeiction - the Rangers stay out of the penalty box and win in 6. Pittsburgh then wins 3 Cups in 5 years - this is there "growing" year in the playoffs all dynasties must go through it. Good luck. Enjoy !!!

jlptn
Apr 23, 2008
4:39 PM
jon 464;please don't bet on the Pens like you did with the Flyers beating the Habs in 6 chuckle, chuckle Only pulling your leg jon,all in fun.GO PENS,LET'S PLAY SOME HOCKEY,TOO LONG OF A LAY OFF. JLPTN

mk7676-1
Apr 23, 2008
9:46 PM
While it is tempting to call Ranger's offensive stars old and declining, to do so proves your analysis of the team is little more than looking at their roster sheet for recognizable names. The rangers are only where they are now because of the work of five starting rookies. Same goes with the Penguins with the young players carrying the team. This is a matchup I think we'll see a lot of in the coming years and this series will say very little as to what the future series will look like.

While I believe the Rangers and the Penguins are the best two teams in the east, they will only get better (assuming the rangers can resign some key players - I don't follow Pittsburgh enough to know what they'll need). It will be close and crazy - I think the Penguins will edge it out due to the Ranger's lack of a big defensive presence. Their defense is better and more skilled with their sticks than you give them credit for, but they are very young, and I feel with someone like Crosby or Malkin you need more than good sticks on defense. The Rangers use their offense for hitting power, which works on offense but may do little to stop Crosby. I think the Pens win this one, but I hope I'm wrong.

jon_464
Apr 23, 2008
10:01 PM
JL, nothing like good hockey smack!! I'd love to see the Pens and Flyers in the East finals!

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ABOUT ME


pittsburgh_mike
I am a Pittsburgh and related area sports fan. In college ball, I defy the norm by following not only Penn State, but also Pittsburgh and West Virginia as well. I like to see them all perform well. Football and hockey are my favorites, and I'll write about them at length and frequently. I savor the Pittsburgh-ba
sed sports rivalries - the entire AFC North, the Northeast division in hockey and of course, Big Ten and Big East football. They are the most fun, and sometimes the most dispiriting. But that's sports. I'm also a whitewater kayaker, so sometimes you'll see entries about my latest run. I try to remain balanced - that Pittsburgh homer handicap notwithstandi
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