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NCAA Hoops Top 25
Jan 09, 2006 | 4:35PM | report this

Well that sure was an interesting weekend of college hoops, and entire week for that matter. Fifteen of the Top 25 teams in the country lost once, with one team (Michigan State), dropping two games. With that craziness on the first full weekend of conference play, one can only expect the rest of this season to be pretty wild. After watching some games and reading about others, I cannot honestly say I am comfortable predicting anyone who will make the Final Four. With that, let's take a look at how the past week's games affected my Top 25.

1. Duke - They won this week and that's all that matters when you are No. 1.

2. Florida - Let the fun begin. Florida holds serve and gets a big boost thanks to a few teams ahead of them dropping surprising games. Are they too inexperienced to make a legitimate run to the Final Four? Quite possibly. But in what is shaping up to be a seriously off-year for the SEC, they look like the class of the conference.

3. Connecticut - Yeah, they lost early in the week. Blown out actually. But, they lost on the road. Villanova might deserve this spot, but the Wildcats lost at home. It's always more difficult to win on the road, no matter who a team is playing. That, and I still think the Huskies are one of the best team's in the nation.

4. Villanova - A tough loss to West Virginia, but thanks to some other losses, they don't drop too much. The four-guard system is still working quite well. I am interested to see if they can keep it up all season.

5. Illinois - A tough loss on the road, but also a great win against Michigan State earlier in the week. The Illini are a beneficiary of all the other teams around them losing as well.

6. Texas - Wow, they sure are marching back right toward that No. 2 spot they lost after getting spanked by Duke in East Rutherford, N.J. in December. As long as they keep winning they are going to keep moving up.

7. Memphis - The come in right behind the team they lost to last week. The Tigers are awfully good and have as good a chance as any at running the table in conference play. I don't think they'll pull it off, but they do have a chance. I think they are more likely to lose a couple in conference play (see the comments from the Midweek Top 25). They should, however, reamin in the Top 10 pretty much the rest of the season.

8. Louisville - The Cardinals lost to Villanova, but then beat Providence this past week. Like other teams around them, they are not affected too much by their loss because everyone else around them lost as well.

9. Indiana - A great win over Ohio State this weekend helps them catapault into my Top 10.

10. UCLA - The Bruins barely hung on to beat Arizona State over the weekend. But, I will move them up above Washington and North Carolina State who lost above them over the weekend.

11. North Carolina State - The Wolfpack lost over the weekend to North Carolina, dropping them a few spots from my previous ranking. The loss was on the road to another Top 25 and in-state rival, so in the long run it won't hurt them too much.

12. Pittsburgh - Still undefeated and climbing up the rankings quickly. The win over Wisconsin looks even more impressive after the Badgers knocked off Michigan State.

13. Washington - They lost to Washington State this weekend. Honestly, that's a pretty brutal loss. One of the worst among the Top 25 this week, but it is a rivalry game, which negastes the impact somewhat. Even with the loss, I still have to rank them ahead of Gonzaga because the Huskies have a better record and won the head-to-head matchup.

14. Gonzaga - The Bulldogs won their games this week and move up a spot in my rankings. I still am a little confounded by this team. They looked great in Maui, but haven't really haven't beaten anyone great since.

15. George Washington - The Colonials are one of the 10 Top-25 teams who didn't lose this week, and are thus rewarded by moving up a couple of spots because other teams around them lost. They struggled on the road at Marshall, but still found a way to win. Good teams find a win to even when they are struggling.

16. Wisconsin - The Badgers had a great win over Michigan State this weekend and that leads to a nice boost in the rankings. They could easily compete for the Big 10 title this season.

17. West Virginia - The Mountaineers came up huge Sunday with the victory over Villanova in Philadelphia. If they can stay consistent, West Virginia should be one of the top three or four teams in one of the best conferences in the country.  

18. North Carolina - Nice win for the young Tar Heels. Granted it was at home, but the Wolfpack are a solid, experienced team. Wins like that build confidence, especially early in conference play. Look for the Heels to try and build off that momentum.

19. Michigan State - An 0-2 week is not good and the Spartans had to fall in the rankings. Despite playing both games on the road, a Final Four contender finds a way to win at least one of those two games.

20. Syracuse - The Orangemen keep on winning. Losses by teams like Kentucky help them jump up to No. 20. How about this for an upcoming five-game prove-it tour across the conference; at Notre Dame, at Cincinnati, home to Connecticut, at Villanova, at Pittsburgh. That might be the toughest five game stretch any team faces this season in the entire nation. A 3-2 record during that span will be great. 4-1 would be phenomenal. They must start off with a win over the Irish though, as that is the weakest team in the stretch.

21. Boston College - The Eagles lost this weekend in a close game on the road at Georgia Tech. They are still solid and should be among the three or four best teams in the ACC this season.

22. Ohio State - The Buckeyes finally lost this season at Indiana. The loss was hard-fought and showed me that the Buckeyes should be a decent surprise and tough fight for anyone in the Big 10 this season.

23. Oklahoma - I still don't know about them. I was confused before the weekend, and then they lost to Nebraska? I might even be stretching putting them at No. 23. The jury (well at least my opinion) is still out on this squad.

24. Maryland - I know if two teams have played each other and have the same record I put the team who won higher, but I just can't with Maryland and Boston College. Like I said in the Midweek Top 25, Maryland was only higher than BC because of the head-to-head match up even though I thought BC would eventually prove to be the better team. I think that time came this weekend, even though both lost. Maryland just isn't very impressive right now.

25. Cincinnati - A nice surprise. The Bearcats are playing awfully well in the post-Bob Huggins era.

And five freebies to contemplate (as if the Top 25 wasn't enough)

26. Tennessee

27.  Arizona

28. Iowa

29. Wake Forest

30. Kentucky

I encourage everyone to let me know what they think. Obviously everyone can find something they disagree with because I know when I see the AP and Coaches polls I always think something isn't right, hence this post. So what do you think?

 

4 Comments | Add a comment   categories: NCAA Basketball, NCAA BB, Duke Blue Devils BB, Florida Gators BB, Connecticut Huskies BB, Villanova Wildcats BB, Illinois Fighting Illini BB, Texas Longhorns BB, Memphis Tigers BB, Louisville Cardinals BB, Indiana Hoosiers BB, UCLA Bruins BB, North Carolina State Wolfpack BB, Pittsburgh Panthers BB, Washington Huskies BB, Gonzaga Bulldogs BB, George Washington Colonials BB, Wisconsin Badgers BB, West Virginia Mountaineers BB, North Carolina Tar Heels BB
 
Midweek Top 25
Jan 06, 2006 | 6:58PM | report this

After being alerted to one flaw in my rankings earlier in the week, I come back with a revamped Top 25 just in time for some great weekend matchups. There has already been a lot of big wins and losses among the top 25 in the nation this week and 15 of the top 25 must play on the road this weekend. Road games are always difficult, no matter who you are playing.

Some games of note before I tackle a new top 25 -

Saturday:

Florida at Georgia - The Bulldogs are a revitalized team that is 10-3. Watch out for the upset here.

Kentucky at Kansas - Kansas has been playing solidly after struggling early in the season. The young guys are starting to really come together as a team.

Illinois at Iowa - Iowa was a top 15 team earlier in the season. Illinois is coming off a huge win over Michigan State.

NC State at North Carolina - This is the game NC State shows it is a force to be reckon with this season, as if the thrashing of GW last weekend wasn't enough to prove it aleady.

LSU at Connecticut - LSU spent some time in the top 25 this season. UConn is coming off the shocking upset loss to Marquette to open conference play earlier this week. Must win game and a chance to bounce back with a quality win immediately at home for the Huskies.

Ohio State at Indiana - A chance for the Buckeyes to prove their worth this season. They are still undefeated at 11-0 and playing at Indiana, never an easy task. I would not be surprised at all to see them knocked off in this one. Either way this game should go a long way is determining how good both of these teams are going to be the rest of the way.

Louisville at Providence - The Cardinals look for their first ever Big East win after losing to a great Villanova squad.

West Virginia at Villanova - West Virginia has a chance to show why they should still be feared in the Big East this season after a few early season losses. Villanova is scary good right now with the four-guard lineup. Who would've ever thought a four-guard lineup could be this good? And, Curtis Sumpter could make a return appearnace this season, making this one of the very best teams in the nation.

Michigan State at Wisconsin - Seriously? The Spartans open conference play with back-to-back road games against Top 25 teams? Sucks for them. They should win this one though. Still, Tom Izzo had to shake his head when he saw this when the conference schedule came out.

Boston College at Georgia Tech - The Yellow Jackets aren't even as good as last year's squad let alone the team from two years ago, but on the road in the ACC, Boston College could struggle to adjust to nearly every road game being a challenge. Plus with all their new conference foes in the southeast, the time for traveling is just that much more burdensome.

And the weekend is capped off by Duke at Wake Forest - Seriously? What a great way to end a weekend of college hoops! Did you know JJ Redick and Shelden Williams have never won in Winston-Salem? A Duke loss, which is totally possible could make the Wildcats of Villanova the top team in the land come Monday.

Realistically though, Illinois could actually be No. 1 in the country on Monday. That could happen with all the matchups of teams ranked ahead of them right now. Conference play in college hoops is so great.

Anyway, after all that, here is the Top 25 I promised (just in time to be shattered by what I can imagine will be a few upsets along the way). I also said I'd add a little insight into why I have people where...

1. Duke - They're undefeated. They blew out the No. 2 team at the time (Texas) and have two All-Americans. I know I've been saying UConn is the team. Well as of right now, I was wrong for the past few weeks.

2. Villanova - They went to Louisville and knocked off the Cardinals. The four-guard lineup has been fantastic. Randy Foye, Allan Raye, Mike Nardi and Kyle Lowry are combining for more than 62 points per game. And, Jason Fraser, who has been operated more in the past four years than just about anyone on the planet, has been a spark off the bench. (On a side note, I probably broadcasted Fraser's first game ever on television when he was a sophomore in high school.)

3. Illinois - They've got to be here with the great win against Michigan State. Dee Brown took the team on his shoulders and carried them to victory. That is the perfect definition of senior leadership. Fifteen wins and no losses. Not a bad way to start a season.

4. Florida - Chugging along at 13-0. Billy Donovan might have something with this young squad. But then again, it isn't March yet when his teams have been known to choke.

5. Connecticut - The loss to Marquette hurt in the short term, but in the long run, the return of Marcus Wiliiams is going to be huge. This team is still very much a Final Four contender.

6. Washington - The hiccup against Arizona at home came in overtime of a hard-fought conference battle. This is a very good team, maybe even better than last year's. Like Illinois, the lack of respect for this squard who lost some key players in a little baffling.

7. North Carolina State - A monster win last week against George Washington, who was at No. 12 last week in the AP pooll. This team is for real. Even with Julius Hodge gone, they can control a game with their slow, deliberate style of play. Any team that can control the tempo day in and day out is going to be awfully tough to beat come March.

8. Texas - Making a return to the top 10. The Longhorns have bounced back nicely from the back-to-back losses to Duke and Tennessee. A huge win over Memphis catapaults them up to No. 8 in my book.

9. Memphis - Two losses this season. One to Duke and one to Texas. Not the worst losses in the world. The Tigers should win nearly every game in Conference USA this year and be a one or two seed in the NCAA Tournament.

10. Louisville - Like Memphis, Louisville has only two losses. And they are very respectable losses. One to Villanova this week and one at Kentucky. Unlike Memphis, they don't have the benefit of beating up on the weker opponents in Conference USA anymore. It'll be interesting to see how they fare in the Big East this season. Juan Palacios needs to get healthy, stay healthy and be a factor for the next two months.

11. UCLA - They bounced back nicely with the win over Arizona after the loss to California last week. The Pac 10 is decent this year. I figure the Bruins will be right there with Washington and Arizona fighting it out for the conference's autmoatic bid in March.

12. Indiana - Nice win over Michigan this week to start conference play. The Hoosiers are going to be a tough out in the Big Ten this year.

13. Michigan State - Three losses drops them down to No. 13. But they are the best three-loss team in the country, for sure. Even though they lost to Gonzaga in triple overtime in Maui, I ranked them ahead of Gonzaga because I just think they are a better team right now. They are deeper and a more complete team. I wouldn't be surprised if they ended up winning the Big Ten this year at all.

14. Gonzaga - Giving up 94 points at home to St. Joseph's proves the Bulldogs defense isn't that great. St.Joe's has only broken 80 one other time this season in 13 games. Gonzaga cannot rely on Adam Morrison and company to put up 80 or more points every night in order to win.

15. Oklahoma - I am not sure what to think about Oklahoma right now. I've haven't seen them much this season. They appear to be the second best team in the Big 12, though the Big 12 doesn't strike me as being too strong. Their only losses were to Villanova and West Virginia. You could make an argument to rank them ahead of the Spartans and Bulldogs.

16. George Washington - Bounced back nicely from the road loss to NC State by beating Temple on the road. The same Temple team that has beaten Miami, Alabama and South Carolina at home already this season. I have to rank them ahead of Maryland because they handily defeated Maryland last month.

17. Maryland - At 11-2, the Terrapins come in between George Washigton (a team they lost to on a neutral court last month and who has a better record than them) and Boston College (a team with an identical record who they've already beaten). I think that's pretty fair.

18. Boston College - They get a huge boost with Sean Williams now back allowing Jared Dudley and Craig Smith to slide into their natural positions. They should be improved and I would think will finish among the best teams in the ACC. I actually think they'll end up with a better record than Maryland, but for now the only thing keeping them behind the Terrapins in the rankings in their loss to them earlier in the year.

19. Ohio State - Undefeated, but no real big victories yet this season. The win against LSU was nice, but the next biggest wins aside from that one are at Iowa State and at St. Joseph's. We'll see how they fare this weekend.

20. Pittsburgh - Another undefeated team, like Ohio State. The Panthers find themselves at No. 20 because I think they are only at probably the fifth best Big East team when the season is over. Fifth best is a best-case scenario. Nice win over Wisconsin though.

21. Kentucky - At 10-3, I'm still not sure what to make of Kentucky. They beat Louiville and West Virginia, but lost to Iowa and Indiana. They also just barely won their last two games against Ohio Univeristy and Central Florida. That isn't such a good sign.

22. Wake Forest - The Demon Deacons can climb up the rankings quickly with a victory over Duke Sunday night. I don't think it will happen though. Their offense has been too inconsistent so far this season to rank them any higher. In their last four wins, they scored 61, then 47 (that's not a typo), followed by 87 and finally 58. Which offense will show up against Duke and the other big-time teams in the ACC this year?

23. North Carolina - I think they are still too young to be ready for the big time. I don't see them finishing much better than fifth (give or take one spot) in the 12-team ACC.

24. Wisconsin - Yeah, they lost to Pittsburgh, but so has everyone else who's played them thus far. The Badgers have a pair of big-time players in Alando Tucker and Kammron Taylor.

25. Syracuse - Remember them? They lost two games in a row early in the season and fell completely off the face of the earth. Well, they haven't lost since Nov. 22. Look out for the junior frontcourt combination of Demeteris Nichols and Terrence Roberts. They are combining for nearly 28 points and 15 rebounds per game.

And, five freebies for you to ponder.

26. Cincinnati

27. West Virginia

28. Tennessee

29. Arizona

30. Arkansas

7 Comments | Add a comment   categories: NCAA Basketball, NCAA BB, Duke Blue Devils BB, Villanova Wildcats BB, Illinois Fighting Illini BB, Florida Gators BB, Connecticut Huskies BB, Washington Huskies BB, North Carolina State Wolfpack BB, Texas Longhorns BB, Memphis Tigers BB, Louisville Cardinals BB, UCLA Bruins BB, Indiana Hoosiers BB, Michigan State Spartans BB, Gonzaga Bulldogs BB, Oklahoma Sooners BB, George Washington Colonials BB, Maryland Terrapins BB, Boston College Eagles BB
 
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ABOUT ME


gansett
I live and work in Manhattan. I grew up on eastern Long Island (at the end, nearly three hours away from Manhattan). I am a Mets, Redskins and Capitals fan. Odd combination, I know. I went to George Washington Univiersity graduating in 2003, before getting a Master's in 2004 from Northwestern University.
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