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Keith12322's Blogger Competition: NFC Wild Cards
Dec 11, 2007 | 1:23PM | report this
Some call it parity, i just call it bad. Regardless of where you stand on the NFC and the cluster of mediocrity that is every team outside of Dallas and Green Bay, it is impossible to deny that the Wild Card race is a very tight one. With only one division still up for grabs, that being the South, teams are aware that their only chance is to get the Wild Card, and while the heat is definitely on, there is a startling small number of huge matchups left between the Wild card candidates, which are the following: The New York Giants, Washington Redskins, Minnesota Vikings, Detroit Lions, Arizona Cardinals and the New Orleans Saints. Again, while the top spot in the South is still open for the Saints, the Bucs have games left against the lowly Falcons, Niners and Panthers. As long as they take at least two of those games, which they will, they division will be theirs. So now that I have established the LEGITIMATE wild card possibilities, here is a team by team analysis of their ability and chances of getting a wild card spot.

New York Giants: The Giants don't scare anybody and odds are they won't do any damage even if they reach the playoffs, but they do find themselves at 9-4, with games left against the Redskins, Bills and Patriots. The Patriots game will be a loss, book it. The Bills game could be tough, but as long the Giants beat the Redskins, who are now without Jason Campbell and Sean Taylor, they will get the top spot. No team outside of Minnesota can get to ten wins, so if they get that W in their upcoming game versus Washington, which will be played at the Meadowlands, they are guaranteed a playoff spot. Take it to the bank, the Giants are a lock. Verdict: IN

Washington Redskins: This Skins are only one game behind the Vikings, but they don't stand a chance. The death of Taylor hurt as much on the field as it does off, and the loss of Campbell sealed their fate. With games against the Giants, Vikings and Cowboys, in that order, the Redskins would be fortunate to finish .500. Just a question, is it possible to remove someone from the hall of fame? If it is, Joe Gibbs has wore out his welcome in Canton. Verdict: OUT

Minnesota Vikings: While this team has only started garnering attention in recent weeks, I have been a believer for quite a while. Personally, I think this team has a legitimate shot against either Green Bay or Dallas, and on a good day, even against some of the better teams in the AFC. Adrian Peterson and Chester Taylor make up the best running back tandem, ever. Both would be above average starters, and with the weekly progression of Tarvaris Jackson and his improving receiving core, the holes will only get bigger for the two of them. Looking at their three remaining games, I don't think a valid case could be made as to how they would lose even one of them. They already smoked the Bears back in Soldier Field, and Peterson should once again make fools out of Adam Archuletta and Danieal Manning. The Skins are as full of holes as the Bears are, and Vikings will steamroll them in their second straight home game. Their season finale, against Denver, shouldn't be too tough either, given Denver's horrendous rush defense. This team will be the second Wild Card team. Verdict: IN

Detroit Lions: Jon Kitna's 10 win prediction and Roy Williams's trash talks have once again proved worthless. The Lions are done. They have the Chargers and Packers left on their schedule, and unless the Packers rest their starters, those will amount to two losses. Both games are also on the road, increasing the improbability of Detroit victories. Could they salvage a win against the Chiefs in week 16? Perhaps, but the Lions run of futility is still going strong. Verdict: OUT.

Arizona Cardinals: Given the fact that I have the Vikings winning at least two of their three remaining games, the Cardinals will have to win out to even have a chance. The good news is that with games left against the Falcons, Rams and Saints, their remaining schedule is among the easiest in the league. The bad news is that the Cardinals are simply not that good of a team. Their defense is dinged up and so are their receivers. I don't see them winning out, just because they are the Cardinals and the Cardinals simply don’t win out. That being said, they might end up at .500, not a bad start for Wisenhunt and his young Cardinals. Verdict: OUT

New Orleans Saints: Not to gloat, but I saw this coming before the season even started(same goes for the Niners, this year's version of the '06 Dolphins). As crazy as it sounds, I think that losing Bush for the season is not all that bad. If the Saints let their runners run and let their receivers receive, like they did last night, they have a better chance of winning than when they have Bush doing his hybrid thing. Hopefully Sean Payton will see that and do what I proposed a while ago, convert him into a wide receiver and bring in a real running back to split time with their other legit tailback, “the Deuce(Is there a better name in all of football, of course aside from Craphonso Thorpe).” Anyhow, the Saints are in a similar position as the Cardinals in terms of catching the Vikings. The Saints have three tough games left, a home game against the Cardinals, another home game against the Eagles and then a road date in Chicago, a matchup of the two most disappointing teams in all of football. Can they win out? If everything goes right, but we are talking about the Saints here. The Saints will end up 8-8, a game or two behind the Vikings.
Verdict: OUT

So there you go. The Wild Card teams will be the Giants and the Vikings.

Bonus Picks: The Giants, who will end up with the sixth seed, will get ousted in the first round by the Seahawks. The Vikings will squeak by the Bucs. The Vikings will lose to Dallas, but it will be a helluva game.
16 Comments | Add a comment   categories: NFL, Minnesota Vikings, Chicago Bears, NFC East, NFC North, NFC South, NFC West, Dallas Cowboys, Arizona Cardinals, New York Giants, Washington Redskins, Detroit Lions, New Orleans Saints, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
 
No Such Thing as Good Rex/Bad Rex
Nov 16, 2007 | 12:00PM | report this
With Rex Grossman getting the starting nod this week against the Seahawks, talk has resurfaced about Good Rex/Bad Rex. I dont mean to be rude to those guys that have spent hours upon hours debating that ridiculous topic, but there is no such thing as Good/Bad Rex. Rex Grossman, when allowed to play his game, is both good and bad. He will tantalize and dissapoint. He will dazzle and fizzle out. That is so because the thing(s) that Rex does well come as a result of what makes him incompetent and will render him a solid backup for the remainder of his career.

Perhaps the most underrated component of successful quarterbacks is size. A quarterback with size has an enormous advantage over one lacking size, especially when both make their hay in the pocket, which is exactly what Rex does. Rex Grossman, who is no doubt shorter than the 6"1 listed in his player profile, will never be a (good) starting quarterback because of his lack of size and inability to escape the pocket, not so much to escape pressure, but to open passing lanes in which he wont have to throw his passes over the outstretched arms of oncoming defensive linemen. These drawbacks however, do not limit his deep passing ability, which is why it is so easy to become infatuated with Grossman if you only watch him in small doses. His aforementioned lack of height and mobility are such great deterrents to his success that they limit his game to two things: checkdowns and deep balls to Bernard Berrian. He does not have the ability to pass the ball horizontally, just vertically, because a thrown deep ball will always sail above linemen's arms and not be affected by a quarterback's size, but balls thrown to the across the field between 10-30 yards are greatly affected by a QB's size. Any time Rex needs to complete say, a crossing route 20 yards down the field, his thrown will need more arch on it than say, a pass thrown by Philip Rivers or Ben Roethlesberger, two quarterbacks with good height. The problems associated with small quarterbacks can be avoided by running numerous plays that allow the quarterback to escape the pocket and eliminate the problem of throwing over linemen, but to do that a quarterback needs to be quick, fast and aware of where blitzers are coming from, all of which Rex is not. Maybe if he had not blown his knee out in the Metrodome a few years ago he might be a pro bowler, but since he did he never will be. A perfect example of a smaller quarterback that creates new throwing lanes is Jeff Garcia. He isnt as tiny as Rex is, but the comparison is sufficient.

What makes matters worse for the Bears is that as long as Rex is in the game, going across the middle, which is the strength of Muhsin Muhammad, Greg Olsen, and Desmond Clark, a very difficult and dangerous task. If you watched all of the Bears game last year, you would have seen that contrary to what i said above, Rex did complete passes in the middle of the field. True, but those passes which were complete almost always required an extraordinary effort by his recievers and also subjected them to some enormous bone crunching hits. For the most part, as long as Rex is in the game, the only way for Ron Turner to utilize those three playmakers is to send them deep or keep a number of extra blockers in the poket, giving Rex enough space and time to complete a pass that he would not be able to complete in regular circumstances. That type of gameplan and scheme will only work, if at all, against the lesser teams in the league, but will never be able beat teams with good players and defensive strategies.
I came to terms with it a hile ago, and its about time Lovie Smith and Jerry Angelo come to terms with it as well. Rex Grossman is not, and will never be, a quarterback good enough to be a competent starter. With time, the rest of the league will come to see this.
9 Comments | Add a comment   categories: NFL, Chicago Bears, New Orleans Saints
 
NFC Quick Hits
Aug 27, 2007 | 2:43PM | report this
Without going too in-depth in my analysis of each of the NFC's teams, here are my quick, consise thoughts on what each team will do in the upcoming 07 season. The order the teams are listed in have nothing to do with how i think each division will shape up.

NFC North
Chicago Bears- The defense is good enough to get a bye in the NFC on it's own. Even a decent offensive performance from last year's highest scoring team(NFC) should at least get them home field advantage.

Green Bay Packers- Brett Favre's last hoorah. From what i have heard from up north in Green Bay, the end of the Favre era couldnt get here any quicker. An imporoving defense and semi-decent offense will make them the tallest of the other three NFC North midgets.

Minnesota Vikings- A goop defensive team with no offense whatsoever. Chester Taylor and Adrian peterson are good, but even the best struggle when defenses consistently pack eight men in the box. Its up to Tarvaris Jackson, but he isnt up to the task.

Detroit Lions- Jon Kitna says a minimum of ten wins are in store for the Lions.... I say 7 or eight maximum. Last time a Lion ran his mouth(Roy Williams on the Bears) there was a massacre in Soldier Field. The offense will have it's highs, but the team overall will have many, many lows.

NFC West
Seattle Seahawks- A strong team. If Alexander comes back strong and Hasselback can make it through another season full of nagging injuries, this team will take the division, which from what i have heard, has already been handed to....

San Fransisco 49'ers- The new hot sh%$ in the NFC. Everybody is ready to annoint them, but if they go out and play like they did against the Bears in the only pre-season game that means anything, which i think they will, another 8-8 or 9-7 season is in store for San Fran. By the way, Nate Clements, their big-time signing this offseason, was destroyed by Bernard Berrian.

St. Louis- What an offense. Too bad the defense is among the worst in the league. The offense will thrill but the defense will thouroughly dissapoint. The offense will keep them in games, but i see some high scoring losses for the Rams. Still, a playoff birth is a reasonable expectation for this offensive beast.

Arizona Cardinals- New Coaching Staff, Revamped Offensive Line, same old story, at least for one more season. Leinart will perform well but the offensive line will hold the running game back. I expect the line to imporve a bit, but if it doesnt, Leinart will have a season to forget. The defense also has a long way to go.

NFC South
New Orleans Saints- I cant stand the Saints and am a bit biased, but i will admit that the Saints are a good team. Good, but not great, as many seem to think. They were thoroughly thumped in the NFC Championship game last season and the recievers as a whole are extremely young. The defense, the secondary in particular, will have to improve greatly if they want to get home field in the playoffs.

Carolina Panthers- This team will be a thorn in the Saints side all season long. They have an easier schedule than the Saints but have what i believe to be a more complete team. Oh yeah, that Steve Smith guy is pretty good too. I think there is a very good chance that the Panthers take the division crown back this year.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Quantity over Quality. That seems to be the theme when it comes to their group of QB's. Honestly, they have a bunch of trash at their position. Jeff Garcia had a good 1/2 season for the Eagles last year, but the Bucs are a different team. Cadillac, even with his immense talent, will have another poor season.Tteams will stack up against the run and force them to pass, and that will absolutely work.

Atlanta Falcons- Quite frankly, even a falcons team WITH Michael Vick doesnt scare me that much. What has been forgotten throughout this whole dogfighting mess is that he hasnt been too good as of late. Joey Harrington, one of the many failed draft picks of Matt Millen, will show all Atlantians why he wasnt even good enough to start in Detroit. Atlanta is perhaps the worst team in the NFC.

NFC East
Philadelphia Eagles- Look no further for the comeback player of the year. Donovan McNabb, when healthy, is the best QB in the NFC. I would rather have him than Bulger, Romo, Hasselback or even
Drew Brees. The Eagles will take back the East crown and McNabb will make a Pro Bowler out of Reggie Brown. The defense is also one of the most underrated year in and year out.

New York Giants- Not as bad as advertised. I expect a decent season from the Giants. Eli Manning, in his quest to make a (good)name for himself, will step up and improve on his not-so-bad numbers of last year. However, his supporting cast, i.e the defense and running game, will weigh down the Giants and keep them out of the Playoffs.

Dallas Cowboys- Tony Romo is perhaps one of the most undeservedly heralded quarterback in the league this side of Matt Schaub. He played well last year but rarely do undiscovered QB's emerge out of the shadows and light the world on fire. The Cowboys are a good team and will be competitive in each and every game, but they dont have enough firepower, on defense or offense, to beat the Eagles out for the top spot in the strongest division in the NFC.

Washington Redskins- Does any other team in the league have so many unheard of players? When i think of the Skins', the only big name players that come to mind are Portis, Taylor and Moss. Their offense is very old-school and somewhat out-dated. The defense doesnt exactly strike fear in an opponent either. Book it, another season at the cellar of the East.
28 Comments | Add a comment   categories: NFL, Chicago Bears, Green Bay Packers, Detroit Lions, Minnesota Vikings, New York Giants, Philadelphia Eagles, Washington Redskins, Dallas Cowboys, Seattle Seahawks, San Francisco 49ers, St Louis Rams, Arizona Cardinals, Carolina Panthers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Atlanta Falcons, New Orleans Saints
 
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chitownsfinest
I am college kid out of chicago and love Chicago sports aka a huge homer. My writing may contradict this, but i do care and know about sports outside of Chicago, although I may never blog about it.
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