I’m sorry that I didn’t get this up here sooner. Fantasy baseball got in the way. We’ve completed catchers and infielders in
this series, so next up are the outfielders. I’m going to start with center
fielders because they’re usually harder to find than corner outfielders. If a
team has an extra quality center fielder, he can move to a corner with no
problem. If a team has an extra quality corner outfielder, he’s most likely
relegated to the bench because his defense isn’t good enough for center.
Impact Center Fielders
to Be Traded
Over the past two offseasons, the San Francisco Giants have
spent a ton of money on two players that most likely aren’t worth it: Barry
Zito and Aaron Rowand. What makes it worse is that it might be four or five
years before the Giants re-enter the NL playoff picture. All the talk has been
about how happy the players are now that Barry Bonds is gone. I’ve got a
feeling that finishing last will make those players change their minds about
the situation. Rowand is due $52 million over the next five years – all that
for a guy with two good seasons at the plate in his career (2004 and 2007). As
for trading him, it won’t happen because he has a full no-trade clause this
year, but he only has a limited no-trade clause in subsequent years. If he has
a good year in 2008, it will be time to unload him.
One other guy that’s been rumored to be available through
trade is Coco Crisp, but I don’t agree with that decision. With Coco Crisp,
they’ve got somebody who can act as a sub for six positions without a ton of
loss at each. Obviously, he can sub for the three outfield spots and the DH.
With Kevin Youkilis on the roster, he can also sub for first and third with Manny
Ramirez moving to DH, David Ortiz moving to first, and either Youkilis or Mike
Lowell at third. Now, let’s list the starters at those positions (if we
consider Crisp as the bench guy): J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Manny, Ortiz,
Youkilis, and Lowell. There are a few guys in that list that have had injury
problems. Plus, Crisp is only set to make $10.5M over the next two seasons. He
could be worth twice that. For these reasons, the Red Sox should keep Coco
Crisp as insurance.
Contenders Needing a Center
Fielder
Atlanta Braves traded for Mark
Kotsay in an attempt to fill the void left by Andruw Jones’s free agent
departure, but it has been three years since Kotsay has been both healthy and
productive. The other options – Gregor Blanco and Josh Anderson – don’t provide
much certainty for Braves’ fans either. It will be at least half a year until
Jordan Schafer is ready to take over. As currently constructed, the Braves are
in the mix for the wild card, and improving their center fielder would go a
long way toward getting back to the playoffs. Maybe they could convince the Red
Sox to trade Crisp.
Next
Year’s Free Agents
Next year’s center field market won’t
be anything like this past offseason. Mike Cameron and Mark Kotsay are the best
free agents-to-be, but the Brewers hold an option for 2009 on Cameron. Given
the alternatives, the Brewers might determine that he’s worth the $10 million
to keep around for one more year.
Pre-Free
Agent Stars
B.J. Upton tops the list here. Moved
away from his error-prone tendencies in the infield, Upton had a great year in
2007. His incredible bat was finally on display at the major league level, and
he will continue to prove why scouts were so high on him in the past. Like
several of his teammates, the Rays should be trying to lock up Upton’s
arbitration and possibly one or two of his free agent years.
Several players could make their way
onto this list with good 2008 seasons: Jay Bruce, Adam Jones, Melky Cabrera,
Lastings Milledge, Chris Young, Jacoby Ellsbury, Felix Pie, Cameron Maybin, and
Josh Hamilton.
Recap
The Giants signed Aaron Rowand for some unknown reason, and
they should look to trade him when his full no-trade clause becomes limited
following the season. The Red Sox should keep Coco Crisp to guard against injuries
among their starters at six positions. Despite trading for Mark Kotsay, the
Braves still need a center fielder. Next year’s free agent class is not very
impressive, which could mean the Brewers will exercise their 2009 option on
Mike Cameron’s contract. B.J. Upton is an elite player deserving of a contract
extension, and a whole slew of players could prove themselves deserving with good
2008s.
I recently terminated my email account associated with my Fox Sports account. Unless I'm blind, you can't change your email address for your profile. This means two things: 1) I won't receive email updates when you post comments, so my responses will be more delayed than normal. 2) I'll be looking to move my blog, but I'll let you know where it ends up.
If the Yankees win one more game or the Athletics lose one more game, Oakland will be completely eliminated from the playoff race. What's the probability of either one of those two things happening, let alone both? Zero.
The Good
Joe Blanton and Dan Haren have been about as good a 1-2 as can be found in the big leagues. Although Haren has seen his ERA go up for 17 straight starts, that's more a testament to how great he was to start the year than anything else. On June 9th, Haren's ERA was a measly 1.58. Since then, he has posted a 4.23 ERA, which puts him at the 3.11 ERA he has for the season. Their pitching staff can again thank their defense for good support in the field, led by Mark Ellis. Ellis continues to be one of the most underrated second baseman in the game. He doesn't consistently put up good numbers offensively, sitting at .276/.339/.440, but he does a great job in the field.
On the offensive side of things, Nick Swisher continues to be one of the best picks from the Moneyball draft. Several of last year's home runs have turned into doubles this year, but he improved his on-base percentage to .385, demonstrating the disciplined Oakland A approach at the plate. However, his disciplined approach is topped by midseason acquisition Jack Cust, who is currently hitting .257/.401/.510. Observers are quickly turned off by Cust's strikeouts (141 strikeouts in 343 at bats), and that has limited his opportunities to prove himself at the big leagues. Getting his first shot at more than 100 plate appearances in the majors, Cust has proven that he can hit at this level. His horrible defense makes him more of a DH than an outfielder, but Cust is a good example of just another way Billy Beane has been able to find inefficiencies in the player market.
The other positive happened on July 16. Not only did the A's find a taker for Jason Kendall and his .226/.261/.281 line, they got actual talent back in Jerry Blevins and Rob Bowen. In addition, it freed up a spot so that they could find out what they have in Kurt Suzuki, and Suzuki looks to be their long-term solution behind the plate.
The Bad
Injuries hit this team hard, but that shouldn't have been much of a surprise to A's fans. Injuries are one thing that Eric Chavez, Bobby Crosby, Mark Kotsay, Rich Harden, and Mike Piazza have had in common in their careers. If they can ever keep their talent on the field, the Athletics would have a really good team.
Looking Forward
In terms of talent, the Athletics have what it takes to field a contender. It is all a matter of whether or not they can actually keep their talent on the field. Their trainers have a disadvantage in terms of what they have to work with, but they could be the difference makers for the A's going forward. As far as preparing the roster for next season, Billy Beane and company just need to make sure they have adequate replacements for the sure-fire injuries that will take place.
This is baseball. Let's have some fun.
Recommended Websites:
MLB Trade Rumors, Baseball Prospectus, Cot's Baseball Contracts, Fan Graphs, Football Outsiders