Sitting 12 games back in the division and 14 games back in
the wild card, the Washington Nationals should be sellers in this year’s trade
market. Given their current roster and farm system, this is going to be a long
rebuild. They
could always thank Omar Minaya for that, although there were thoughts that
the organization wouldn’t even exist the year after that trade. I’m going to
set the target date for contention at 2011. Let’s run down the roster and see
who should stay and who should go.
Core to Build Around
C Jesus Flores, 3B Ryan Zimmerman, LF Elijah Dukes, CF
Lastings Milledge
Zimmerman’s last year under team control is 2011, so he’s a
contract extension candidate a couple of years down the road. As a Rule 5 pick
a year ago, Flores has five more years under team control while Dukes and
Milledge are under team control through 2013. Even better, all four players are
only 23 years old.
Possible Trade Chips
C Paul Lo Duca, 1B Dmitri Young, SS Cristian Guzman, RP Jon
Rauch, RP Saul Rivera
Jon Rauch might seem like a strange name here, but he is
eligible for free agency following the 2010 season. Given how outstanding Rauch
has been this year filling in at closer and his age (29), his value is probably
at its peak. Combined with the typical year-to-year volatility of RPs, now
would be the right time to pull the trigger on a Jon Rauch trade.
Possible Trade Chips
if They Can Prove They're Healthy and Productive
1B Nick Johnson, RF Austin Kearns, RP Chad Cordero
All three players should be back before the trade deadline.
Hopefully, they can be productive enough to garner interest from another team.
If not, the Nationals can always wait until the offseason or next season’s
trade deadline to trade Johnson, Kearns, or Cordero as all three are signed
through 2009.
Dmitri Young could and probably should be traded to an AL team where he can be the full-time DH. If the Nats play their cards right, they could get several good prospects and be contenders in 2010 and beyond.
This is baseball. Let's have some fun.
Recommended Websites:
MLB Trade Rumors, Baseball Prospectus, Cot's Baseball Contracts, Fan Graphs, Football Outsiders