Back on Monday, I introduced my new “Balancing the Market”
series with catchers. To start off, I wasn’t so sure of the concept and first
base isn’t going to make that go away, but I have a feeling things will pick up
as we move around the diamond. For now, the format will remain the same. Next
up is first baseman, and this is going to be short.
Trade Market
No one really has a spare first baseman that can make an
impact in 2008 for someone else, so there’s not really much of a market here.
The closest players I can find are Nick Johnson, Mark Teixeira, and Richie
Sexson. Johnson needs to prove he’s healthy and can still produce, Teixeira
would have to see his team fall out of contention, and Sexson would have to see
his team fall out of contention and prove he can still produce. Check back in
July; there might be a few first basemen on the trade market then.
Contract
Extensions
Contracts expiring at the end of the
season include Teixeira, Sexson, and Carlos Delgado ($16M option with a $4M
buyout). Teixeira is the only one worth trying to extend before the season.
Prince Fielder and Ryan Howard stand
out as players in their pre-free agency years that are worth re-signing. Both
players have four years before free agency, but remember that Howard is already
28. Given his age, Howard is worth a 3-year extension with an extra club option
year (pre-FA arbitration is still an option if the team declines). On the other
hand, Fielder is only 23. In an attempt to lock up his peak years, I’d wait until
next year to discuss an extension.
Recap
For this short of an article, do we
even need a recap? Nick Johnson, Mark Teixeira, and Richie Sexson could all
make their way to the trade block this season. In the meantime, the Braves
should try to sign Teixeira to an extension, while the Phillies should try to
lock up Howard’s arbitration years. If the Brewers are confident that Fielder
will be a force for years to come, they could work out a deal now, but I’d
rather wait until next offseason to give him that extension – give him one more
year to prove he’s worth the long-term deal.
This is baseball. Let's have some fun.
Recommended Websites:
MLB Trade Rumors, Baseball Prospectus, Cot's Baseball Contracts, Fan Graphs, Football Outsiders