Antiquity Says
by: antiqutiy
PICKS AND PANS FOR WEEK 17 AND THE PLAYOFFS
Jan 03, 2008 | 12:41PM | report this

This past week saw five of the eight divisional leaders and two of the wild cards go down to defeat. But I wouldn't read to much into these loses as most of the playoff bound teams rested their key players for the playoffs and none of these games meant any change in their positions in the final standings, although it changed who plays who in two games.

Washington win over Dallas was big for the Redskins as it assured them a spot against Seattle in the first round and eliminated the one dimensional Minnesota Viking who went down in overtime to a so-so Denver team who were able to controll Adrian Peterson and won in the mile high city. Baltimore win against the Steelers didn't save their coaches job as predicted in last weeks column but might have been costly to the Steelers as injuries continue to mount. Tampa Bay losing three out of their last four didn't bode well for their coach as he didn't sound to happy about their chances against the Giants in an after game interview.  Speaking of the Giants, they probably played their best game this season in losing effort to the Patriots.  The Patriots, whom I predicted would not rest their key players, fought a very determined Giants team before winning and as a result set all the records that will stand for many years to come. But the victory didn't come easily for New England and they had to rally in the second half to complete a spectacular, well deserved undefeated season. Tennessee edged the Colts and with their win got the last wild card in the AFC edging out  the Browns, inspite of Cleveland's win over the hapless 49ers. Houston finished the season winning again at home beating Jacksonville and the Atlanta Falcons overcome a very dismal season and upset the Seahawks at home. The rest of the games played on Sunday were of no consequence one way or the other, they all knew they would be watching the playoffs at home.

This last week of the regular season was, as I said in my last Picks and Pans, would be a hard week to predict the scores and it was. Most of the teams in contention did rest their players to one extent or the other and it effected some of the scores as predicted. But I did come up with a 10-6 finish. For the year I finished with 154 right and 81 wrong which comes out to about an average of 10.5 wins for each week I predicted scores.

My picks for the first round of the playoffs are:

Note: From now on I will put the Vegas line in each prediction and will update it daily if required.

ON SATURDAY

SEATTLE -3.5 (40) OVER WASHINGTON

Washington is coming off a win against the Cowboys at home, but don't look for reasons in that game that Washington is suddenly a power house team. Remember the Coweboys didn't play their front line players when the game was on the line and Washngton had to win to even be in the playoffs. Seattle is 7-1 at home and the Skins are only 4-4 on the road. Washington top quarterback is doubtful and even if he did play, how effective would he be? The quarterback position is in Seattle favor as are the wide receivers. Seattle defense has proven it can stop the run and the pass consistently and if Seattle can stop Portis effectively, they should be able to beat the  Redskins. On the other hand, Seattle running game has been showing some life and  have three backs who can and will carry the ball against the Redskins effectively. Statistically the Seahaws shoud be and are the favorite as they lead in every key statistic both offensively and defensively. Although this will be a close game the Hawks should win by lets say 24-17.

JACKSONVILLE -2 (39) OVER PITTSBURGH

Jacksonville won the previous game in Pittsburgh and will win this game as well. Willie Parker, who is one of the top running backs in the league is out and that makes the Steelers a little too much one dimensionally to be able to win this game. I'm not sure if Roethisberger or Polamalu will play, both were doubtful last week, but since the Steelers were resting their front line players, only time will tell. The Jaguars will run the ball and run run it effectively against one of the top defenses, but has been decimated by injuries late in the season. Depending on the weather this game could be low scoring and close and don't look for the Steelers to go down easily. Jacksonville to win 17-14

SUNDAY GAMES

NEW YORK GIANTS +3 EVEN (391/2) OVER TAMPA BAY

The Giants proved they can play with the best in last weeks game with the New England Patriots and will go into Tampa Bay with all the confidence in the world. Remember the Patriots played Brady and most of their offensive starters the whole game and only pulled out the game late in the fourth quarter. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost three out of the last four games and have seemed to have lost momentum along the way. With Galloway doubtful the Giants have the edge in both receivers and the quarterback position. The Giants are 7-1 on the road this year and will continue to play well. The Giants have the better overall defense and offense statisteic wise so look for the Giants to combine their running and passing game for the win, lets say 24-17.

SAN DIEGO -9 (40) OVER TENNESSEE

The difference in this game, LaDainian Tomlinson! Although Rivers is not that impressive or consistence at quarterback, all he has to do is hand the ball off to Tomlinson to win this game. Well almost! The Chargers have a six game winning streak and the Titans have limped into the playoffs with a sluggish win over the Colts, who rested Manning for most of the game. The Titans offense have struggled all season and have given up almost as many points on defense as they have scored. Look for LaDianian Tomlinson to score a couple times and put the Titans away 34-14.

18 Comments | Add a comment   categories: Seattle Seahawks, Washington Redskins, Jacksonville Jaguars, New York Giants, San Diego Chargers, Tennessee Titans, Pittsburgh Steelers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, New England Patriots, Indianapolis Colts, Green Bay Packers, Dallas Cowboys, NFL, NFL GameTrax, NFL Instant Analysis, NFL Preview, NFL Review
 
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Italiano!1
Jan 3, 2008
1:52 PM
I just dont agree on the Seattle game. I know your a fan of Seattle as im not a fan of either, I just love football. I think the skins have a lot of momentum going into the game and I dont think they could be stopped yet. In order for that to happen Seattle needs a healthy team and Hasselback to have a great game picking the secondary apart and find some way to stop or at least neutralize Portis. Not to mention that Santana Moss has been getting more involved lately. Just my opinion. good write though.

canadavis
Jan 3, 2008
3:04 PM
I agree w/all 4 except I think sea should blow out skins- better qb, def, etc. all they have to do is pressure collins so they can stay in base def to stop portis. Hasselback allways gets his. Dont forget this is a bsc every yr game mindset for Seahawks. Dont believe the skins hype!!!

Also I think if jax dont score 24 pitt will win with all their exp.- unfortunately cuz then the nxt rnd would suck.

antiqutiy
Jan 3, 2008
3:25 PM
italiano!1
I think you gave all the reasons why Seattle will win!
So far this year no team has beaten Seattle with the long pass, and I don't think the Skins and Moss will start now.
But thanks for the nice comment.

antiqutiy
Jan 3, 2008
3:36 PM
canadavis
I don't really think any of the games this weekend will be blow outs, well maybe the game in San Diego.
Yes I will take your advice and avoid the Skins hype but I will also avoid the Seattle hype.
When I originally wrote my draft for this blog, I predicted the Jags would win 24-17 but after reading the weather report in Pittsburgh I revised my prediction down to 17-14. The temp today is a chilly 17 degrees and although it will warm up for the game on Saturday it will be around 40 or less and rainy. This will not effect Jacksonville as much as the Steelers who will have to pass with Parker on IR.
Thanks for the comments and come back.

slayer2272
Jan 3, 2008
3:58 PM
You certainly do your homework... good picks, I had it going the same way, 'cept for the Giants game... I thought three players went down to inj. against the Pat's, are they healthy again, or you don't think it will make that much difference?

Last edited by slayer2272 on January 3rd at 4:00 PM.

antiqutiy
Jan 4, 2008
10:21 AM
slayer2272
The Giants have three players listed as 'probable'. They are CB Madison, LB Mitchell and center O'Hara. The coaching staff says they are day to day. All others practiced to one extent or the other.

Seahawkeye
Jan 4, 2008
12:57 PM
antiqutiy,
Dude, I couldn't agree with you more. I see it the same way you do. I believe the Giants have the best shot of knocking off the Boys on that side of the bracket. Ourside though, I believe the Pack, Skins, or Hawks can go into "Big D" and knock the Boys out.

HAWK NATION!!!!

Towelboy
Jan 4, 2008
8:00 PM
Agree except Bucs win.

folkdallas
Jan 5, 2008
7:06 AM
That is the biggest piece of #### i have ever read you dont get the right to type, someone please take that guys keyboard. the guy is obviously bi-ist. the stats in the bucs paragraph is just crazy and only giants positive facts I wont defend or even waste anymore of my time with it, he must have money on the game loser

folkdallas
Jan 5, 2008
7:08 AM
This guy is full of s.h.it have someone take his keyboard quick

antiqutiy
Jan 5, 2008
9:35 PM
folkdallas
I may be full of ####, but I'm 2 for 2. Where do you stand right now?

noluvforthebucs
Jan 5, 2008
11:17 PM
The edge in QBs do you know who the two QBs are Garcia is a proven vet. in the playoffs and Manning has never won a playoff game...You people are looking into that Giants-Pats game way too much. Eli has a good game evrey once in awhile...

noluvforthebucs
Jan 5, 2008
11:34 PM
Best TD/INT Ratio
(Min. 100 TD passes)
Name TDs INTs Ratio
1. Tom Brady 197 86 2.29
2. Steve Young 232 107 2.17
3. D. McNabb 171 79 2.16
4. Pey. Manning 306 153 2.00
5. Joe Montana 273 139 1.96
6. Jeff Garcia 149 77 1.94
YOU THINK ELI HAS GOT AN EDGE STILL...I THINK YOU SHOULD LOOK AT FACTS BEFORE POSTING YOUR STUFF....WAIT AND I QUOTE "Rivers is not that impressive or consistence at quarterback."ELI MANNING IS WORSE, THE GUY HAS NEVER COMPLETED MORE THAN 58% OF HIS PASSES IN A SEASON AND NEVER HAD QB RATING OVER 78.0...

antiqutiy
Jan 3, 2008
6:37 PM
slayer2272
Most of the injuried players are 'probable' and right now are day to day. But the coaching staff think they will be back for the game on Saturday.
Offical injury report will be out Friday.

antiqutiy
Jan 3, 2008
6:41 PM
slayer2272
The three players I assume you are talking about, CB's Docrery, Madison and LB Mitchell along with Center O'Hara are all 'probable' and the coaching staff says they 'could' be back.
Offical NFL injury report will be out on Friday.
Thanks for the comments...

antiqutiy
Jan 3, 2008
6:47 PM
slayer2272
I assume you are talking about CB's Dockery and Madison, LB Mitchell and center O'Hara. according to the coaching staff they are all 'probable'.
The offical NFL injury report will be out Friday.

antiqutiy
Jan 3, 2008
9:47 PM
slayer2272
I assume the three players (actually four) you are talking about are CB's Dockery and Madison, LB Mitchell and offensive center O'Hara. According to the coaching staff these four players are 'probable' and are now day to day. Although none of the players praticed Thursday the Skins are hopeful they will play on Sunday.
Without Galloway the Tampa Bay Bucs will not be a deep threat anyway, even if both CB don't play.
The offical NFL injury report will be out on Friday.

Italiano!1
Jan 4, 2008
6:24 AM
But the Seattle defense has been shakey losing to some pretty bum teams. We just got to see what kinda game they will play. There usual A game or the games they played against the first Cards game or the Saints game or even the falcons in the last week. I like matt hasselback as I said he just needs to pick apart that secondary. They have a great chance to win. But as I said my gut feeling is I think the Skins will pull it off. not by alot, but by the skin of there teeth.

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ABOUT ME


antiqutiy
Been a Seahawk fan since day one, before that I was a LA Rams fan but have lost all interest in any other team the year the Seahawks come into been. I'm not a fair weather fan and have been a Seahawk fan thru thick and thin and I mean a lot of thin. I've seen the Hawks play in UDub stadium and of course the Dome. I hate to date myself but I even saw Seattle Pilots play in Sick stadium. I follow baseball (disappointed
again) Hockey (Vancouver) and most NW sports. I live with my wife, Linda and am raising my grandson Lorenzo here on the North Peninsula in sunny Sequim and moved here after my retirement after 34 years at Boeing. Was drafted in 1963 and spent most of my time in France, I was fortunate to be able to travel for Boeing and have visited 63 countries and around 30 states.
Time stamping is done in Pacific Time.