The Arizona Diamondbacks improved their chances of winning the National League West on Monday, working out a waivers deal with the Cincinnati Reds for slugging outfielder Adam Dunn in exchange for three prospects.
Dunn will be a huge upgrade for Arizona,
which has struggled to score runs since its tremendous stretch during
April. The Diamondbacks currently have a one-game lead over the Los
Angeles Dodgers in the division, sitting with a 60-58 record. They have
gotten to this point, though, by relying on excellent pitching at the
front of the starting rotation.
Brandon
Webb has led the way, going 17-4 with a 2.88 ERA and 139-to-41 K/W
ratio. Webb is currently atop league leaders in nearly every
statistical pitching category, using his tremendous sinker to consistently put
up zeros on the scoreboard. As of this writing, he appears to be the
easy favorite to win his second Cy Young Award in three seasons.
Dan
Haren, acquired from the Oakland Athletics in a deal this offseason,
has been tremendous in his own right, perhaps becoming ace 1A to Webb.
Haren has made a solid adjustment to the senior circuit—as many
predicted—and is currently fourth in the NL with 147 strikeouts and
eighth with a 3.00 ERA.
Randy Johnson has flashed glimpses of dominance as well, especially considering that he has now had to overcome two back surgeries after his 40th
birthday. Johnson has struck out nearly a batter per inning,
registering a 114-to-29 K/W ratio in 21 starts. While the 44-year-old
left-hander is no longer the same pitcher as he was during his prime,
he has pitched much better than his 9-8 record indicates.
While
Micah Owings and some other Arizona starters have struggled at times,
the Arizona staff currently ranks first in the circuit in quality
starts (70), WHIP (1.27), second in opponents’ OPS (.706) and fifth in
ERA (3.96).
The Diamondbacks’ offense, on the other hand, has really had some difficulties plating runs since the middle of May.
Orlando Hudson, Connor Jackson and Mark Reynolds have put together strong campaigns to provide a few bright spots.
Hudson,
one of the leaders in the clubhouse, has posted a line of .305/.367/.450
while playing his usual excellent defense at second base. However, he
recently dislocated a bone in his left wrist recently, forcing him to
undergo season-ending surgery and perhaps prompt Arizona to seriously go after Dunn.
Jackson has been the most consistent performer, batting .311/.390/.487 while producing the highest OPS on the roster.
Reynolds
has provided some pop in the middle of the line up as well—24 home runs
and 74 RBIs—but is still only batting .246/.324/.491.
The real story, however, lies in the performance in the Diamondbacks’ talented
trio under the age of 25, shortstop Stephen Drew and outfielders Justin
Upton and Chris Young. The group has truly struggled at times as
pitchers have learned to exploit their weaknesses more effectively.
Drew
is hitting .280 and is third on the team with 14 homers, but his
on-base skills (.319 OBP) have yet to fully develop to an acceptable
level.
Ditto
for Young, whose line of .232/.296/.416 leaves a lot to be desired. He
is a tremendous athlete with plus power, but is among league leaders in
outs made.
Injuries
have dragged down Upton, who is batting .242/.353/.433 with 11 home
runs in 83 games. He still has the upside of the group and projects as
a future MVP candidate, as he is a rare five-tool talent.
The growing pains for this group, however, have played a major factor in the tailspin in Phoenix.
Then
there is the situation involving popular left fielder Eric Byrnes, who
was rewarded with a hefty contract this offseason but struggled
offensively before sustaining a season-ending injury. Byrnes is
frequently labeled as “the heart and soul of the team,” but the
decision to offer him such a lucrative deal looks like a major mistake.
It is certainly easy to Monday morning quarterback this all day, but
one-time top prospect Carlos Quentin was a more cost-effective option
internally. Instead of giving Quentin a shot, though, the team agreed
to give the veteran $30-million over three years. Going by how year one
has turned out, it is not too difficult to come up with a lot of better
ways to invest $10-million.
With
the combination of several disappointing individual performances from
the young position players and injuries—all while Quentin has
flourished into the front-runner for MVP in the American League for the
Chicago White Sox—Arizona quickly floundered its early lead in the
division. The major reason has clearly been the offensive unit overall,
as the D’Backs rank in the middle of the pack in several of the most
important statistical batting categories—including 10th in runs scored and 11th
in on-base percentage and OPS.
Luckily, strong starting pitching and
the woes of nearly every team in the West have enabled them to stay
afloat.
Which is why the addition of Dunn—albeit as a seven-week rental—will help a lot, especially with the loss of Hudson and the failed pursuit to acquire Mark Teixeira in July.
As polarizing as a player as he is, he adds some much-needed on-base
skills and power to a run-starved lineup. A Three True Outcome Player,
he is tied for the majors’ lead with 32 home runs and his .901 OPS is
good for 15th in his league. His low batting average, high
strikeout totals and poor defense in the outfield turn off many
traditionalists. Still, he flat-out produces at the plate, using his
excellent on-base skills to keep rallies going and tremendous power to
add a presence to any lineup. While he is undervalued by
traditionalists and overvalued by some statistical analysts, he will
hit his homers and draw his walks, two areas of concern for Arizona to this point.
The addition of Tony Clark will also help. Clark
is a great influence on the youngsters, is a solid left-handed bat off
the bench and was one of the Diamondbacks’ team leaders when they made
the playoffs in 2007.
Still, though, Dunn has a chance to make a real difference.
Considering the alternatives, he gives his new team a much better
chance of holding off the Dodgers, who beefed up their offense by
adding Manny Ramirez at the trade deadline.
The
Dodgers are going for it right now, evident by their decision to part
with so many prospects in exchange for third baseman Casey Blake and
Ramirez. While they are viewed as the favorite by many and have the
better run differential, though, do not count out the Diamondbacks. The
addition of a bona-fide slugger, as much as he drives some scouts
crazy, will certainly help them finish what was started in the season’s
first month. If he can really get hot and #### out some big homers, as he did earlier this summer, look out.
Reds’ Side:
On the Reds’ side, they acquired minor league pitcher Dallas Buck and
two prospects to be named later. Buck, a former collegiate All-American
who helped push Oregon State
to the College World Series, recently began throwing again earlier this
summer after undergoing Tommy John surgery in 2007. The former
third-round pick has excellent stuff when healthy, but has a long way to go. He has made
some progress since returning, posting a 3.55 ERA and 28-to-11 K/W
ratio in 50.2 innings pitched combined between the Midwest and California League. He will report to the Florida State League to pitch for the Sarasota Reds.
The
Reds could have waited to cash in on a pair of compensation picks when Dunn
bolted for free agency. Instead, they now will get three prospects instead
of two. While I do wonder if they could have received better value if a
deal was reached before the trade deadline—after all, it is going to be
tough to place that 40-homer, 100-walk production—it is still too early to tell how
well they did until the other prospects are announced.
Plus, Arizona is only getting seven weeks of Dunn, making this deal seam reasonable for both parties. Cincinnati
was not going to playing any meaningful games either way. So, while
this ultimately means that Corey Patterson and his rather embarrassing
line of .189/.221/.328 will get more playing time in the short term, this is a step in
the right direction for the Reds in the long term. They have a strong young core, and
parting with Dunn and Ken Griffey Jr. signals a new era at Great
American Ballpark. Walt Jocketty also got designated for assignment
veteran catcher David Ross, who was—like many other soon-to-be free
agents in the organization—dead weight.
Tyler Hissey recently graduated from Eckerd College in St. Petersburg, Florida, with a degree in business administratio n. In addition to this blog, he covers Major League Baseball, focusing on the Tampa Bay Rays, for the up-and-coming sports network Scout.com, and his work there is frequently syndicated on Foxsports.com . To access his work, go to RaysDigest.co m.
In addition to his writing, he is a frequent guest on the Sports Cafe with Sean Duade on Sarasota FM 1220, where he serves as an MLB contributor.
Prior to working at Scout, Hissey covered the Rays and Cincinnati Reds for MVN.com, better known as the Most Valuable Network. Before his brief stint with MVN, he wrote over 30 sports articles as a lead columnist at WeTalkSports. com, a role which he filled during the summer of 2006.
A Dean's List student at Eckerd, he was also nominated for the college's Writing Excellence Award during the 2006-2007 school year.
To reach him, send an email to TylerHissey@g mail.com.