Ken Griffey Jr. did something almost unheard of in professional baseball.
He took less money to come back to his hometown, hoping to bring a World Series title back to Cincinnati and remind fans of the Big Red Machine and Nasty Boy days.
Griffey spent much of his stint with the Reds on DL, however.
Not only did he miss out on the opportunity to potentially chase Hank
Aaron for the all-time home run record, the center field icon did not
help Cincy end its championship drought.
The Griffey era has finally come an end. Griffey has—he had the right to veto any deal—accepted a
trade to the Chicago White Sox. So with all of the trade talk about Adam Dunn, his counterpart on the other side of the outfield was the one to go after all.
Let us face it. The Reds are doing the right thing by dealing
the aging slugger. They are 51-58, completely out of the competitive
National League central race. Griffey, who joined the 600 home run club
back in June, also sparked interest from his former team, the Seattle Mariners,
for whom he won the Player of the Decade in the 1990s, hit 56 home runs
in season twice and made an annual habit of winning Gold Glove awards.
While the franchise waited for Griffey to hit that historic homer, the
Mariners’ offensive woes and the bust that is Erik Bedard spun them into a losing tailspin, ending all of the reunion talk.
Which pretty much destroyed the likelihood that he would get
shipped. In fact, the Reds GM, Walt Jocketty, received about as much
interest from other teams about Griffey as he did with, say, Corey Patterson.
Zilch.
Until now.
Which is good for both Griffey and the Reds.
Jocketty can now move the organization forward with an eye
towards the future without having to worry about the fallout from not
picking up Griffey's $16-million option this offseason. The next
generation—a core consisting of Jay Bruce, Johnny Cueto, Edinson Volquez and Joey Votto, among other young talented players—has arrived.
And while Griffey has finally stayed on the field enough to play
in 102 games, all of the injuries, age and declining bat speed have
taken a toll. His swing is still a thing of beauty, and he has brought
back many happy memories on each of his classic 15 home run strokes.
However, he has only produced a line of .245/.355/.432, posting a low
OPS (.787) for a right fielder.
Although Griffey made a rather insulting gesture to announcer
Jeff Brantley last week—when hitting a home run, no less—about his
option for next year, it would not have been in the Reds’ best interest
for them to pick it up. He has done many great things in the past, but,
at 38 years old, he is no longer a star and will only continue to
decline. He is always a risk to get hurt, of course, and was almost
certainly unlikely be part of the next truly great Cincinnati
postseason team. Essentially, the franchise would have been crazy to
bring him back at such a high price. In his eyes, the organization owed
it to him he made it seem with his actions, perhaps as a favor for
taking less money before.
Handing out favors and keeping the manager—Dusty Baker, who is
close with Junior—happy are nice. Wins, and a potential future
postseason run, are better.
Griffey is no longer the same Gold-Glove-caliber outfielder, either. To put it simply, he has lost not only one step, but two. Crashing into walls will do that a man.
Which makes the American League, where he can receive at-bats at designated hitter, an ideal place for him.
Going to Chicago, Griffey will also benefit for other reasons as
well. The White Sox are the favorite to bring home the American League
Central division crown. Wearing the black and white, he has the chance
to play for a winner for the first time since his days with the
Mariners. Back then, Randy Johnson
was the best pitcher in the game, A-Rod had not yet mingled with
Madonna and Joey Cora, his new bench coach, was still playing a mean
second base.
While it is uncertain where he will play, he was smart to sign
off on the deal and reunite with his old pal, Cora. However, the White
Sox’s outfield is set in all three spots—with Jermaine Dye in right, MVP candidate Carlos Quentin in left and Nick Swisher in center—and DH Jim Thome
(.885 OPS, 19 homers) is having a nice season in his own right. So, it
remains to be seen how much of and where he will make an impact in the
Windy City.
Hypothetically speaking, Swisher, who is not a true center
fielder, may move back to first base. This will potentially send
struggling first baseman Paul Konkerko (.661 OPS, nine home runs) to
the bench on occasion. But can Griffey still handle such a demanding
position? With a playoff berth at stake, it might not be worth the
risk. His range has declined, he has not played there on a regular
basis in two years and it remains to be seen if he can physically
handle the rigors of the position.
Still, Griffey, who hit 30 home runs and posted an OPS in the
mid-.800s in 2007, could make a nice comeback to help Chicago in its
quest to reach the postseason. Moving into the other league, he is a
candidate to regain his power stroke with the chance to turn a nice
performance down the stretch into a multi-year contract this winter.
Also, the White Sox essentially gave up nothing to acquire his
services, sending reliever Nick Masset and Triple-A second baseman
Danny Richar back to the Reds. Masset is a typical major league bullpen
arm who is easily replaceable. Richar, a 25-year-old middle infielder,
projects as only a backup to Brandon Phillips.
Either way, Griffey is closer to a ring with the White Sox than he ever has been with the Reds.
By getting his contract off the books, though, Cincinnati is now closer to playing meaningful baseball games in the future as well.
The youth movement is in full swing for the Cincinnati Reds.
Even with veteran-loving Dusty Baker running the show, Cincinnati has
received some of its strongest performances from youngsters under the
age of 25.
Jay Bruce tore up Triple-A, posting the highest OPS (1.023) in the International League before making his highly anticipated major league debut. Bruce then caught the nation’s eye with his first week in the bigs, providing enough walk-off hits to make David Ortiz jealous in a sensational debut. Bruce mania swiftly followed, as the 20-year-old Texan received a full feature in Sports Illustrated and even took some thunder away from Ken Griffey
Jr., whose pursuit of 600 home runs came to an end back in June. While
he has fallen back down to earth a bit—.264/.319/.410, seven homers
overall—he is currently one of the most exciting young outfielders to
watch in the league, showing why he was the number one prospect in the
minors in several pre-season Top 100 lists. He will undoubtedly serve
as a mainstay in an outfield that is expected to lose Adam Dunn and Griffey Jr. in the near future, most likely in right field.
Edinson Volquez
has been spectacular as well, going 12-4 with a 2.77 ERA with a
134-to-61 K/W ratio in 21 starts to earn an invitation to the All-Star
Game at Yankee Stadium. Volquez, who came to Cincinnati in exchange for
Josh Hamilton this winter, has even drawn comparisons to Pedro Martinez
with his electric performance thus far. He is likely to anchor the
Reds’ starting rotation well into the next decade, easing the pain
among Cincinnati fans with the loss of Hamilton, who is flourishing
with the Texas Rangers.
Johnny Cueto
has had his ups and downs, but has also flashed glimpses of brilliance,
posting a 116-to-47 K/W ratio and a park-inflated 5.02 ERA. Cueto, 22,
is also a major reason why the future looks bright for the franchise,
though he has been lost in translation pitching alongside his All-Star
teammate.
Then there is rookie Joey Votto, the Reds’ premier position player prospect outside of Bruce entering the season. Votto quickly supplanted veteran Scott Hatteberg
as the full-time first baseman after a strong start to emerge as one of
the most productive offensive rookies in the majors. The 25-year-old
left-handed hitter is batting .270/.339/.440. While he has not shown
even average on-base skills, drawing only 36 walks in over 350 plate
appearances, he has flashed tremendous power and is among rookie
leaders with 13 home runs.
Cincinnati, 12.5 games back in the NL Central, is clearly out
of it for this year, and should look to make some deals at the deadline
with an eye on adding a supporting cast for the aforementioned core.
With a plethora of soon-to-be free agents on the roster expected to
come off the books come September, general manager Walt Jocketty truly
has a nice opportunity to turn his team into a force on the Senior Circuit for years to come as the Griffey hometown reunion comes to its ultimate end.
However, the Reds have drawn scant interest from other clubs about Bronson Arroyo—who
has $25 million remaining on his contact and was reportedly taken off
the market—and Adam Dunn. Dunn, who has the ninth-highest OPS total in
the league and is tied for the majors’ lead with 30 home runs, would
certainly upgrade the offensive attack for a contending club with his
high-level offensive production. He is a polarizing slugger, however,
who has scared away several potential suitors with his poor defense and
high strikeout totals. His days are likely coming to an end in Cincy,
regardless, but he is serious undervalued within the industry and it
will be tough to replicate his production.
With a number of prospects flourishing in the majors, there are still several high-quality prospects still developing.
Homer Bailey—yeah, the phenom right-hander from Texas
who was lit up this weekend—has still yet to establish himself in the
majors. Considering the hype that has surrounded Bailey since he was
drafted in the first round back in 2004, this is a major
disappointment. He has been ineffective in nearly all of his six major
league starts this time around, going 0-4 with a 6.52 ERA and 11-to-13
K/W ratio in 29.0 innings pitched. The 22-year-old, still yet to
develop a capable second offering, has been hit hard as well, giving up
eight gopher balls and nearly two hits per inning during his
up-and-down stay with the parent club. He was absolutely awful in his
latest outing, on Saturday, allowing 15 hits and four earned runs in a
loss to the Colorado Rockies. He turned in two quality outings—in which he allowed three runs or less in 5.2 innings plus against the San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers— before the weekend debacle at Great American, but is likely to be shipped back down to the minors.
Bailey has hardly been dominant in Triple-A, either, as he is
4-7 with a 4.42 ERA, 82-to-38 K/W ratio and 1.42 WHIP in 16 starts with
the Louisville Bats. While many
have questioned his attitude, his velocity is down and his performance
has left a lot to be desired, he is still young enough, at 22, to turn
things around. Still, his star has dimmed.
There are a few talented bats in the wings as well, several of
whom are still miles away from contributing to the big league club. The
group includes Juan Francisco, Todd Frazier and Drew Stubbs and is ikely to receive a boost with the addition of first-round pick Yonder Alonso, who is a Scott Boras client and has yet to sign.
Francisco has tremendous power potential, currently sitting with 15 home runs for the Sarasota Reds.
He has drawn only 13 walks while striking out 93 times, however, and
needs to improve his approach at the plate. One could even say that he
is Dunn without all of the runs scored and walks. Still, the corner
infielder is only 20 years old playing against older competition, is a
switch hitter and has compiled 46 extra-base hits and a line of
.284/.307/.479 in 405 at-bats. If he can figure things out plate
discipline-wise and bring his on-base skills to an acceptable level,
then he could turn into a prospect to keep a close eye on.
Frazier, the Reds’ supplemental first-round pick back in ’07 out of Rutgers
University, had a fine professional debut season, posting a line of
.319/.405/.538 in 47 at-bats in lower-level ball. The former Little
League World Series hero began this year at Dayton, where he posted a
1.000 OPS and hit seven home runs in 30 games. He then received a
promotion to the Florida State League, remaining at shortstop—he will
most likely be forced to switch positions—while receiving the label as
a “gamer” from many scouts along the way. At a tough hitters’ park down
in Sarasota, he has been solid yet unspectacular, hitting
.292/.367/.468 with nine home runs and 40 RBIs.
Frazier is an excellent infield prospect, though, and will likely end the season at Double-A.
Stubbs recently made the jump to the Southern League, where he
has performed well (.341/.431/.386) in a brief sample size with the Chattanooga Lookouts.
How he performs the remainder of the season in Double-A will be a play
a huge factor in the development of the 2006 First-Round pick, who had
a tremendous collegiate career at the University of Texas.
A solid defensive outfielder with great speed, Stubbs has shown
the ability to get on base since signing. He has not hit for the power
that many expected yet—he hit numerous shots during his days with the
Longhorns—he has been a consistent offensive player who continues to
improve. Before his promotion, he batted .261/.366/.406 with five home
runs, 38 RBIs and 27 stolen bases in 35 tries down in Sarasota.
Alonso and the Reds are expected to reach an agreement on a
signing bonus before the August 15 deadline, which will add a
high-impact player who is ready to make a quick jump to the majors to
the Reds’ minor league system. The University of Miami star, who reportedly had dinner this weekend with stars Ortiz and Alex Rodriguez,
posted a ridiculous 1.311 OPS and finished sixth in the nation with 24
home runs during his final college campaign. He has great on-base
skills and an advanced approach to hitting, which should allow him to
make a quick rise through the organization.
The Reds have plenty of interesting prospects, though there is
a drop off in pitching depth after Bailey, who will lose his prospect
label one of these days. Still, the organization—regardless of what
happens before Thursday or not—has a bright future ahead of itself.
Tyler Hissey recently graduated from Eckerd College in St. Petersburg, Florida, with a degree in business administratio n. In addition to this blog, he covers Major League Baseball, focusing on the Tampa Bay Rays, for the up-and-coming sports network Scout.com, and his work there is frequently syndicated on Foxsports.com . To access his work, go to RaysDigest.co m.
In addition to his writing, he is a frequent guest on the Sports Cafe with Sean Duade on Sarasota FM 1220, where he serves as an MLB contributor.
Prior to working at Scout, Hissey covered the Rays and Cincinnati Reds for MVN.com, better known as the Most Valuable Network. Before his brief stint with MVN, he wrote over 30 sports articles as a lead columnist at WeTalkSports. com, a role which he filled during the summer of 2006.
A Dean's List student at Eckerd, he was also nominated for the college's Writing Excellence Award during the 2006-2007 school year.
To reach him, send an email to TylerHissey@g mail.com.