The Tampa Bay Rays have a four-game lead in the
American League East, having already surpassed their previous
season-high of 70 wins.
With Carl Crawford and Evan Longoria recently placed on the disabled list, however, the skeptics are surfacing on the airwaves, Internet and in print in full force.
Crawford broke his right wrist, possibly forcing him to miss the remainder of the season.
Longoria fractured his wrist after getting struck with a J.J. Putz pitch this weekend against the Seattle Mariners, forcing him to join his teammate on the DL retroactive to Friday.
While
it is true that the Rays had a tough battled ahead of themselves even
before the injury bug struck, do not expect this club to roll over and
die. So, hold off on the J.J. bleeping Putz cries for the time being,
because Tampa Bay will remain in the hunt down to the end.
Crawford
is perhaps the most popular player in the history of the franchise, a
two-time All-Star and a perennial threat to swipe 50 bases. Regardless,
it will not be difficult to replace his performance offensively, as
crazy as it sounds. The speedy left fielder has struggled through one
of the worst seasons of his career, batting .273/.319/.400. Although he
put together a nifty little 11-game hitting streak before the injury, a
.718 OPS just does not cut it at a position, left field, which is not
all that demanding defensively.
It
will be difficult to replace the speed that Crawford brings to the
table, but his poor on-base percentage has not allowed him to take full
advantage of it yet. Hence the low—for him, at least—stolen base total.
Eric Hinske, Justin Ruggiano, called up in aftermath of the news, or any other option should not be that much of a drop off production wise.
Perhaps
this will situation will finally provide a real opportunity for
Ruggiano, who is labeled by some scouts as a AAAA player but has put up
solid statistics at each level in the minors. He was batting
.315/.374/.537 with 11 home runs and 51 RBIs for Triple-A Durham at the
time of the promotion.
The
real hole created by losing Crawford has more to do with his defense in
left field, as he has tremendous range and great instincts. He has
registered the best range factor and zone rating at his position in the
majors, roaming the gaps in left center with grace. Along with B.J. Upton, who has tremendous range in center field, he has helped steal his fair share of doubles by making highlight-reel plays.
The
loss of Longoria hurts a lot more, of course. The rookie third baseman
has undoubtedly been the Rays’ most valuable position player, posting a
line of .278/.352/.533 while playing tremendous defense at the hot
corner. He has already broke Jonny Gomes’ single-season record for most homers for a rookie by hitting his 22nd bomb before getting hurt, was elected to the All-Star team and is the favorite to win AL Rookie of the Year.
Longoria has also provided enough walk-off hits to make David Ortiz jealous. He truly has helped carry an offense that has had its fair share of struggles.
Thus, the Rays are going to have a difficult time replacing him with a combination of Willy Aybar and Ben Zobrist,
who will see the majority of the innings at third base while the star
rookie is sidelined (expected to be at least three weeks). Clearly,
then, the loss of Longoria came did not come at a great time.
However, Tampa Bay
has gotten to this point by relying on its excellent pitching and
defense. When a team builds its success on these two pillars, it takes
a lot for the house of cards to come piling down. With an improved
bullpen, a talented young starting rotation and one of the majors’ best
team defenses—having converted 71.7 percent of balls put into play into
outs, second-best percentage total in baseball—the Rays have been excellent at run
prevention.
While the defense will take a hit with the loss of Crawford and Longoria, it will still be an area of strength down the stretch.
Pitching-wise, Andrew Friedman made another nice pick-up on the waiver wire, acquiring ground-ball specialist Chad Bradford from the Baltimore Orioles. Bradford
does not strike out a lot of hitters, but has posted the premier
ground-ball ratio in the league and a 2.34 ERA in 42.1 innings pitched.
For a bullpen predominantly consisting of pitchers prone to giving up
the long ball, he has helped diversify the Rays’ relief corps—which has
seen the emergence of Grant Balfour— tremendously.
Not to mention, Tampa Bay has a secret weapon, top prospect David Price, waiting in the wings down in the minors. Price, the number one overall pick out of Vanderbilt
University in the 2007 First-Year draft, is 11-0 with a 1.87 ERA and
92-to-23 K/W ratio in 15 starts combined between Single-A Vero Beach
and Double-A Montgomery. The 22-year-old southpaw, who has a mid-90s
fastball, excellent pitching sense and tremendous command, will make
his Triple-A debut on Wednesday night for Durham.
Most likely, Price will come up to fill a relief role, adding a power arm out of the bullpen—reminiscent of Joba Chamberlain for the New York Yankees
last summer—while limiting his innings. There is still an outside
chance that he may crack the starting rotation upon his debut, moving
either Edwin Jackson or Andy Sonnanstine
to a new role. Either way, the 22-year-old southpaw will impact the
East race somehow, perhaps providing a necessary turbo boost as the
Rays near the finish line.
There will be a major void in the lineup for the time being in the absence of Longoria,
the team leader in home runs and RBIs who will miss roughly around 80
plate appearances. Still, the Rays rank 10th in the league
in runs scored, with several key players having down campaigns with the
stick who should pick it up the rest of the way.
The perfect example is Carlos Pena, who hit 46 homers and finished second in the AL
with a 1.038 OPS to win Comeback Player of the Year in 2007. Pena,
signed to a three-year, $24.125-million contract before spring
training, has struggled through an injury-plagued, unproductive
campaign. He has been hot of late, though, posting a 1.019 OPS with
seven home runs in 80 at-bats since the All-Star break. A Gold
Glover-caliber first baseman, he is batting .391/.545/.826 in his past
seven games. Look for him to carry the load down the stretch.
Then there is Rocco Baldelli, who looked good in his debut against Seattle
on Sunday afternoon. While a rare mitochondrial disorder will limit
Baldelli from playing regularly, he has a chance to add a nice boost as
well. The former star, who was once compared by a scout to Joe
DiMaggio, still has a nice set of skills and will see some innings at
DH and in right field.
Baldelli, who went 1-for-4 with an RBI in his debut, posted a .977 OPS in 13 games with Montgomery in the Southern League while on a rehab assignment.
Even
if Baldelli does not add any real value, Crawford does miss the
remainder of the season and Longoria is out for longer than expected,
the Rays are built to last. There is a lot of baseball left to be
played, for sure. Plus, Tampa Bay has a tough September schedule, featuring several important division games on the road, where it has struggled.
Regardless, the once-lowly Devil Rays have enough talent to win the division if the pitching holds. Even if Boston does take home the division crown, though, Tampa Bay also has the inside track at the Wild Card, as New York is now eight games back.
The
injury bug struck at the wrong time, but the Rays have what it takes to
survive the unfortunate circumstances. Do not begin to doubt them now. They are still in strong position, and have a legitimate chance to win the A.L. East.
Tyler Hissey recently graduated from Eckerd College in St. Petersburg, Florida, with a degree in business administratio n. In addition to this blog, he covers Major League Baseball, focusing on the Tampa Bay Rays, for the up-and-coming sports network Scout.com, and his work there is frequently syndicated on Foxsports.com . To access his work, go to RaysDigest.co m.
In addition to his writing, he is a frequent guest on the Sports Cafe with Sean Duade on Sarasota FM 1220, where he serves as an MLB contributor.
Prior to working at Scout, Hissey covered the Rays and Cincinnati Reds for MVN.com, better known as the Most Valuable Network. Before his brief stint with MVN, he wrote over 30 sports articles as a lead columnist at WeTalkSports. com, a role which he filled during the summer of 2006.
A Dean's List student at Eckerd, he was also nominated for the college's Writing Excellence Award during the 2006-2007 school year.
To reach him, send an email to TylerHissey@g mail.com.