While
most of the world is focused on Michael Phelps as he attempts to win
eight gold medals, I am more interested in seeing how well the US Olympic baseball team will fare in Beijing.
Can manager Davey Johnson and a diverse collection of career minor
leaguers and top prospects shock the world to take home the Gold?
Well, things did not get off to a great start today. Team USA lost its opening game earlier this morning, falling 8-7 to Korea
in a wild game that went back and forth. This was not a good start, as
the field of eight will be cut to four after every team plays each
other for the first time.
Cuba is the favorite and the opening loss hurts, but Team USA
has several young, talented players—Dexter Fowler, Matt LaPorta, Steve
Strasburg and Casey Weathers, most notably—and could prove to be a nice
surprise.
Fowler is one of the top prospects in the Colorado Rockies’ system, and was enjoying a fine season when he left for China.
LaPorta, who was the highest-profile prospect included in the CC Sabathia deal, has 40-homer potential.
Strasburg, the only amateur on the roster, will take the hill in game two against the Netherlands. The San Diego State phenom is perhaps the favorite to be selected with the number one overall pick in 2009.
Weathers is a potential All-Star closer for Colorado.
A first-round pick out of Vanderbilt in the 2007 First-Year Draft—along
with college teammate David Price—he has an explosive fastball, which
allows hit to dominate when his command is on.
It truly is a shame that this may be the last year for the baseball and softball in the Olympics—though the MLB is trying to prevent that from happening. So, hopefully this group can come out on top.
Here a few more profiles of the aforementioned players and other top prospects on the US team to keep an eye on. These profiles come from an article that I wrote when the US roster was announced back in July.
Anderson, 20, came over to the Oakland Athletics in the deal that sent Dan Haren to the Arizona Diamondbacks this offseason. The southpaw, one of two Oakland prospects headed to Beijing,
threw a scoreless inning in the Futures Game at Yankee Stadium. He has
been effective since joining the deep Oakland farm system, going 9-4
with a 4.14 ERA, 80-to-18 K/W ratio and opponents’ batting average of
.238 in 13 starts in the California League before getting promoted to Double-A. He is now pitching for Midland in the Texas League, where he is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in four starts.
Anderson,
selected by the Diamondbacks in the second round of the 2006 First-Year
Draft, has shown strong command over a fastball that sits in the
low-90s, in addition to a slow curve ball, his strongest offering, and
a changeup. He is the son of Oklahoma State head coach Frank Anderson, who has an excellent track record of developing college pitchers.
Click here for a full scouting report on Anderson, courtesy of Melissa Lockard, who ranked him the third-best prospect in the Athletics’ farm system in her pre-season rankings.
Fowler broke his wrist last year, ending his campaign 65 games into his season in the California
League. The speedy outfielder, who has plenty of tools but needs needs
to cut down on his strikeouts, has made a full recovery and is enjoying
a fine campaign in the Texas League. He is batting .331/.427/.505, for a .933 OPS for the Rockies’ Double-A affiliate, the Tulsa Drillers. The 22-year-old Atlanta
native has even flashed some surprising power—he had combined to hit
only 14 homers from ’05 through ’07—by hitting nine balls into the
seats. He currently ranks second on the circuit in walks, third in
on-base percentage, fifth in batting average, sixth in OPS and ninth in
stolen bases.
Fowler, who was elected as Mid-Season All-Star by Baseball America, is a potential star who will benefit from playing in Coors Field when he reaches the show. Like many of his teammates on the US roster, he played in the Futures Game at Yankee Stadium.
Matt Laporta: INF, Cleveland Indians—
LaPorta will forever be linked to CC Sabathia. The former University of Florida star was the key prospect involved in the deal that sent Sabathia to the Milwaukee Brewers
for three months, the blockbuster deal of the ’08 trade deadline
season. LaPorta has the offensive skill set, though, to reach a point
where that tidbit becomes just a site note on his player profile page
on the Indians’ website.
The
seventh overall pick of the 2007 draft after a standout career for the
Gators, some scouts compare him to a right-hander version of Travis Hafner.
At the time of the deal, he was among Double-A leaders with a .978 OPS,
batting .288/.402/.576 with 20 home runs and 66 RBIs in the Southern
League. Moving to Cleveland, he may have the opportunity to switch back to the infield, where is expected to play with Team USA.
He has the skills to turn into a plus defensive first baseman. The
24-year-old also has strong enough arm strength—he was once clocked at
88 MPH in the Cape Cod League All-Star game a few summers ago—to remain in the outfield, but will hit enough to remain at first base.
In his first 10 games with the Indians’ Double-A affiliate in Akron,
he is batting .237/.250/.342/ in a small sample size. Some scouts
project him to hit for 30-plus homers in the majors. Although the
Brewers were criticized for selecting him, as a college senior, so
early back in the ’07 draft, he has truly emerged into a legitimate
hitting prospect. Look for him to make his debut in Cleveland when rosters expand in September.
Strasburg was the only amateur player selected to the US team. He is coming off a dominant season in which he captivated the nation with a 23-strikeout performance against Utah
on April 11. The sophomore right-hander was dominant on the mound all
spring for the Aztecs, going 8-3 with a 1.57 ERA, 133-to-16 K/W ratio
and opponents’ batting average of .181 in 13 starts. The local San Diego
product, who turned 20 this week, is a lock to go in the first round in
2009, thanks to a devastating four-seam fastball that has hit 100 MPH
on the radar gun.
Teagarden
is an excellent defensive catcher with plus arm strength, which will
allow him to stick in the majors even if he does not turn into even a
league-average hitter. He was drafted out of the University of Texas
in 2005, falling to the third round. He then missed a large chunk ’06
season following Tommy John surgery, which hindered his development
offensively. He had solid bounce back year in ’07, finishing the season
with a line of .294/.357.529 in 115 plate appearances at Double-A. He
was tearing up the California League before his promotion, making the jump after posting a 1.054 OPS with 20 homers in 81 games.
In 2008, Teagarden has spent most of the year at Triple-A Oklahoma,
where he has struggled at the plate. He is batting only .235/.349/.404
with six homers. While he needs to cut down on his strikeouts—241
strikeouts in 214 career minor league games—the local product is still
one of the premier defensive catchers in the minors. In what he
referred to as a “whirlwind of a week,” he went from the Futures Game
at Yankee Stadium to playing in the Metrodome, where he made his major
league debut. In his brief stint with Texas—which also has rookie
catcher Max Ramirez—he
went 1-for-6, breaking up Minnesota starter Scott Baker's bid for a
no-hitter with his first career home run, before getting shipped back
down to Triple-A on Monday. The demotion allowed him to be included on
the USA roster.
Weathers is perhaps the highest-profile prospect making the trip to Beijing. The Rockies selected him with the eighth pick of last June's draft out of VanderbiltUniversity,
which produced two first-round pitchers, including number one overall
pick David Price. As a senior and a relief prospect, many predicted him
to make a fast track to the majors, but he is still pitching in
Double-A Tulsa. In 39 appearances with the Drillers, the 23-year-old converted outfielder is 2-1 with a 2.82 ERA and 45-to-24 K/W ratio.
Weathers
consistently sits in the 95-97 range with his fastball, even reaching
triple digit on occasion. If he can continue to miss bats and improve
his command, look for him in the next few years to turn into a
high-impact closer for the Rockies, who are currently dangling soon-to-be free agent Brian Fuentes on the trade market.
Blake DeWitt was finally shipped to the minors this afternoon.
DeWitt,
who got off to a nice little start and earned Rookie of the Month after
a solid May, has provided the Los Angeles Dodgers absolutely nothing at
a key offensive position, batting .257/.324/.364 with only five home
runs. So, if you are scoring home, that leaves the rookie infielder
with a .688 OPS, one of the lowest marks at his position in the majors.
It was actually not a poor debut for the former first-round pick,
considering that he posted a .306 on-base percentage in Double-A—the
highest level that he has reached prior to joining the Dodgers—in 2007.
All
the while, Andy LaRoche has been available, even auditioning at
multiple positions while rehabbing in the minors before rejoining the
Dodgers on June 10. LaRoche, who has battled injuries over the past two
years, has been regarded as one of the best third base prospects in the
game for some time. He has a great approach at the plate and
20-homer-plus power potential, but the organization has done everything
that it can to prevent him from getting a real shot, until DeWitt’s
struggles hit a breaking point. Sure, he has not posted great numbers
in his brief time at the highest level, hitting .217/.348/.316 with
only three homers in 152 career at-bats.
However,
that is too small of a sample size to justify overlooking LaRoche, who
posted a .987 OPS with 18 homers before getting called up last summer.
For some reason, Ned Colletti, who has made some horrendous personnel
decisions (Juan Pierre, anyone?) in the recent past, does not see him
as a major player in the Dodgers’ future, and short-term, success.
According to the Los Angeles Times,
LaRoche is on the trade docket yet again. Perhaps this is in his best
interest, because he has the skill set to flourish with another
franchise.
Los Angeles added another player to
block him, sending two minor leaguers to the Cleveland Indians for
Casey Blake on Saturday. Blake, who has been
among the most productive hitters with runners in scoring position so
far, adds another temporary fix for the Dodgers, who are looking to
take the division crown in the wide-open, lowly National League West.
The soon-to-be potential free agent cost the club minor leaguers
Jonathan Meloan and Carlos Santana. Currently batting .293/.368/.470,
he should certainly improve the Dodgers’ offensive attack the rest of
the way, with the acquisition prompting a demotion for DeWitt, a fan
favorite.
Still,
though, why would Colletti, after failing to land a shortstop for
injured star Rafael Furcal, add Blake when he has a potential impact
corner infielder in LaRoche?
Blake
is an average defender, only adding another aging veteran, along with
40-year-old Jeff Kent, to an infield defense that has struggled since
losing Furcal. The Dodgers rank 19th in the game in defensive
efficiency—the rate at which balls put into play are converted into
outs—and the veteran infield is not going to help improve that mark, by
any means.
LaRoche will get his chance, potentially turning into a star. It is clear now, though, it will most likely not be in Los Angeles. If he does, indeed, become an impact run producer after being dealt, Colletti will hear about it for years.
Update: LaRoche was optioned to Triple-A on Sunday as well.
The Tampa Bay Rays are looking to acquire a right-handed bat to upgrade their offense before the July 31 trade deadline.
The Rays, coming off a seventh consecutive loss on the road on
Thursday, have struggled to score runs all season. It is no secret why
they are in the American League East mix for the first time ever: an
up-and-coming pitching staff and an excellent defense. In fact, the
club ranks in the middle of the pack—including 17th in the majors in
runs scored—in nearly every offensive statistical category.
Against southpaws, the numbers get even worse. With several
struggling left-hander sluggers leading the offensive attack, Tampa Bay
is hitting only .246/.326/.400 in 1021 combined at bats against
lefties.
The Pirates’ asking price for each outfielder, however, is
reportedly way too high, scaring off a number of organizations
attempting to upgrade.
Odds are, if a team pursues either Bay or Nady, they will have
to pay an inflated price, because each hitter is currently sitting with
a plus-.900 OPS.
Nady’s value, in fact, has never been higher, as he has posted an impressive line of .330/.383/.535 and .919 OPS.
Bay has been been productive as well, hitting 22 homers with 57 RBIs and a .921 OPS in a nice bounce back season.
Pittsburgh may end up waiting to receive compensation picks if
they do strike a deal, as one executive labeled their asking price
“outrageous,” but it may came down as the trade deadline looms.
Tampa Bay general manager Andrew Friedman is great at finding
value, buying low and selling high. This makes it unlikely that Bay or
Nady will be acquired, as he will never bid on a player when his value
is at its ultimate peak.
Instead, Friedman has reportedly shown an interest in Cleveland Indians infielder Casey Blake, who would see the majority of his innings in the outfield if a deal does, in fact, occur.
Blake, 34, adds value as a supplemental player in an offense, at
a reasonable price of $6,100,000. He has been one of the few offensive
bright spots for the Indians—who have received almost nothing from
sluggers Travis Hafner and Victor Martinez,
and conceded their season by trading ace CC Sabathia—by putting up a
slash stats line of .287/.364/.464 and turning into Babe Ruth with
runners in scoring position. In fact, he has been perhaps the most
clutch offensive player in the game to this point, hitting
.398/.500/.711, for a 1.211 OPS, with ducks on the pond.
Considering the Rays’ recent woes of cashing in on RBI
opportunities, this seems like an ideal match. Odds are, though,
Blake’s performance with RISP will regress back to his career levels.
Still, Tampa Bay has shown an interest, as well as the Los Angeles Dodgers, Minnesota Twins and New York Mets, according to the Dallas Morning News.
Again, Friedman will strike a deal only if the price is right.
With the help of Gerry Hunsicker and the rest of the management group,
he has put the Rays in a position to sustain this success well into the
next decade. He is too smart to jeopardize this by becoming myopic to
appease the media or a growing fan base.
Davis and Hellickson have been drawn interest from other organizations, including the Colorado Rockies—who may no longer be sellers in the wide-open NL West. It is unlikely, however, that either prospect will depart.
Tampa Bay is also looking to add another arm to its bullpen, but
there are stronger internal options—Price, who is 8-0 in the minors,
most notably—in this regard.
The offensive need, on the other hand, is a different story. Justin Ruggiano, Dan Johnson and Chris Richard are putting up big numbers at Triple-A Durham, yet are unlikely to make a significant impact in the majors.
Ruggiano, who has spent some time with the big league club, is
perhaps better suited for a fourth outfielder role at the highest
level. Johnson is a left-handed hitter who has left a lot to be desired
with his offensive performance in the majors, causing some to label him
as a AAAA player. Ditto for Richard, who has 18 homers and a .902 OPS
for the Bulls.
So, if the Rays remain pat without adding a bat, Jonny Gomes
will likely receive the majority of at-bats against left-handers. Rocco
Baldelli, on a rehab assignment with the Montgomery Biscuits, could
potentially help the Rays out down the stretch as well.
This time last year, Friedman struck gold with his acquisition of Dan Wheeler,
who has proved to be a key piece to the Rays’ bullpen puzzle. The deal
went unnoticed at the time, for the most part, but has truly provided
long-term benefits. It would be ideal for a similar trade to
happen—this time involving a bat—but that is asking for a lot.
Rest assured, though, the Rays’ baseball operations department
is on the phone nearly all day. Look for the franchise to make a couple
of minor moves.
The roster for the USA Olympic Team was
announced earlier this week. The following minor leaguers will travel
to Beijing to represent their country at the 2008 Olympic Games. The
group is filled with an interesting mix of stud prospects and career
minor leaguers, all of whom have one goal: to take home the gold.
To find out more on a certain prospect, click on the corresponding
scouting reports from Scout.com. Each prospect is listed next to the
organization that they play for.
Anderson, 20, came over to the Oakland Athletics in the deal that sent Dan Haren to the Arizona Diamondbacks
this offseason. The southpaw, one of two Oakland prospects headed to
Beijing, threw a scoreless inning in the Futures Game at Yankee
Stadium. He has been effective since joining the deep Oakland farm
system, going 9-4 with a 4.14 ERA, 80-to-18 K/W ratio and opponents’
batting average of .238 in 13 starts in the California
League before getting promoted to Double-A. He is now pitching for
Midland in the Texas League, where he is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in four
starts.
Anderson, selected by the Diamondbacks in the second round of
the 2006 First-Year Draft, has shown strong command over a fastball
that sits in the low-90s, in addition to a slow curve ball, his
strongest offering, and a changeup. He is the son of Oklahoma State head coach Frank Anderson, who has an excellent track record of developing college pitchers.
Click here
for a full scouting report on Anderson, courtesy of Melissa Lockard,
who ranked him the third-best prospect in the Athletics’ farm system in
her pre-season rankings.
Arrieta, 21, was selected in the fifth round of the 2007 draft
out of Texas Christian University, where he went 23-7 over his final
two seasons and was twice named an All American. As a Scott Boras
client, he scared off several organizations with his high asking price,
dropping him several rounds. He has produced in the minors for
Baltimore, though.
Arrieta, in fact, is enjoying a fine campaign in his first
professional campaign, earning an invitation to the Futures Game at
Yankee Stadium. In 20 starts for the Frederick Keys
in the Carolina League, he is 6-5 with a 2.87 ERA and 120-to-51 K/W
ratio. The right-hander, who has earned Carolina League Pitcher of the
Week twice already this season, is leading the circuit in innings
pitched (113.0) and WHIP (1.16). For his stellar first half, he was
elected to the league All-Star team. He has a fastball in the 88-91
range, topping out at 93, which he can paint the corners with.
Arrieta is no stranger to international competition. While in
college, he posted a 4-0 record and 0.27 ERA for the Gold-Medal winning
national team in the ’06 World Championships in Cuba.
Click here for a Q&A with Arrieta, courtesy of Michael Hollman of InsideTheWarehouse.com.
Barden was one of two players selected from the St. Louis farm system, though top outfield prospect Colby Rasmus will miss the Olympics due to a knee injury. The 27-year-old shortstop has been a key offensive player for the Triple-A Memphis Redbirds, batting .292/.358/.436 with nine home runs and 35 RBIs in 95 games. He was acquired off of waivers from the Arizona Diamondbacks, who selected him out of Oregon State in the 2002 draft, last August.
Barden is clearly too old to be considered a “prospect,” and
actually made the Diamondbacks’ Opening Day roster out of spring
training in 2007. The veteran minor leaguer, who has a career OPS of
.804 in seven professional seasons, also has the versatility to play
three infield positions. He had an excellent May, earning
organizational player of the month after hitting .377 with a .460
on-base percentage in 27 games.
The Los Angeles Angels have struggled to score runs at times.
Angels’ third base prospect Matthew Brown, though, has done nothing but
hit this season, posting a line of .331/.381/.603 with 20 homers, 63
RBIs and a .985 OPS at Triple-A Salt Lake City in the Pacific Coast
League. The 25-year-old infielder, who has played nearly every position
on the field, is ranked by Scout.com as the seventh-best third base
prospect in the minors.
Cahill is a polarizing prospect. He has posted strong numbers
since the Athletics selected him out of a California high school in the
2006 draft, but does not have an overpowering fastball. In fact, the
young right-hander, who gave up an academic scholarship to Dartmouth to
sign with Oakland, relies more on his pitching intelligence and
excellent command.
Cahill was a force in his first full campaign in ’06, going
11-4 with a 2.73 ERA and 117-to-40 K/W ratio in 105.1 innings pitched
in the Midwest League. He picked up where he left off this spring after
beginning the season in the California League, where he went 5-4 with a
2.78 ERA, 103-to-31 K/W ratio and .174 opponents’ batting average in
87.1 innings pitched. Cahill, selected a CAL Mid-Season All-Star, was
then promoted to the Texas League, where he has flourished alongside
Anderson in the Midland starting rotation. The 20-year-old has
continued to impress, posting a 5-1 record and 2.25 ERA in his first
six starts.
Overall, Cahill, who also was added to the US roster for the
Futures game, is 10-5 with a 2.64 ERA and .178 opponents’ batting
average in 119.1 innings pitched.
Click here for a scouting report on Cahill, courtesy of Melissa Lockard.
Cummings, a career minor leaguer, has one goal left in his
professional career—to reach the majors. Cummings, who began the 2008
season in Taiwan, is perhaps inching closer to that dream with every
start. After signing with Durham as a minor league free agent in May,
he has been one of the most effective starting pitchers in the
International League over the past two months, going 7-3 with a 2.95
ERA and 63-to-20 K/W ratio in 76.1 innings pitched.
Cummings has come a long way since the St. Louis Cardinals selected him out of West Virginia
University in the 1999 draft, but if he can continues to pitch
effectively, his dream of the reaching the majors may just come true
after all; if not with Tampa Bay, an organization stacked with pitching
prospects, then perhaps another franchise in the future.
After a solid but unspectacular collegiate career at the
University of Arizona, Donald has shown some surprising power since the
Phillies selected him in the third round of the 2006 draft. He has
built off a nice performance in the Florida State
League—.300/.386/.491—at the end of last season, proving that he is a
legitimate prospect by performing in Double-A. He has perhaps exceeded
expectations with Reading in ‘08, posting an .884 OPS with 14 homers
and 53 RBIs through his first 84 games in the Eastern League.
It remains to be seen if Donald—who has a rocket arm—is
athletic enough to remain at shortstop at the highest level, because
his range is below-average. Nonetheless, he is an intriguing prospect
who has made marked improvements to his game and may turn into more
than just a utility player in the majors if he can continue to produce.
Click here for a scouting report on Donald, courtesy of Chuck Hixson, who named him the 11th-best prospect in the Phillies’ farm system.
Duensing is command specialist who does not blow scouts away
with his stuff. He has effectively gotten hitters out, though, since
the Twins selected him out of the University of Nebraska—where
he missed two seasons after undergoing Tommy John surgery—in 2005.
Although he has been consistent at nearly every stop along the way, he
had his finest campaign in '07, going 15-6 with a 3.07 ERA and
124-to-37 K/W ratio combined between Double-A New Britain and Triple-A
Rochester.
Duensing is 5-10 in 22 International League starts in ’08, as
opposing hitters are batting .270 against him. The record is still a
bit misleading, however. The crafty southpaw has registered a 4.18
ERA—while not spectacular, it would perhaps be good enough to put him
among league leaders in wins in the IL if he was afforded Livan Hernandez’s run support—and has posted a high BABIP and a decent K/W ratio.
Duensing has battled through several up and downs already, at 25
years old. So, although he does not have a high ceiling and profiles
more of a back-end starter in the majors, it would not be a surprise to
see him make his debut in the near future.
Brad Weiss ranked him as the 33rd-best prospect in the Twins’ organization in his pre-season top prospect list this November. Here is an old scouting report on him, courtesy of Weiss.
Fowler broke his wrist last year, ending his campaign 65 games
into his season in the California League. The speedy outfielder, who
has plenty of tools but needs needs to cut down on his strikeouts, has
made a full recovery and is enjoying a fine campaign in the Texas
League. He is batting .331/.427/.505, for a .933 OPS for the Rockies’
Double-A affiliate, the Tulsa Drillers.
The 22-year-old Atlanta native has even flashed some surprising
power—he had combined to hit only 14 homers from ’05 through ’07—by
hitting nine balls into the seats. He currently ranks second on the
circuit in walks, third in on-base percentage, fifth in batting
average, sixth in OPS and ninth in stolen bases.
Fowler, who was elected as Mid-Season All-Star by Baseball America,
is a potential star who will benefit from playing in Coors Field when
he reaches the show. Like many of his teammates on the US roster, he
played in the Futures Game at Yankee Stadium.
Gall is 30 years old, so the prospect label clearly does not apply to him. In fact, he was a College World Series hero at Stanford
before the turn of the century. A Triple-A mainstay, he was elected to
the Pacific Coast League All-Star team following an excellent first
half at Albuquerque. He is currently batting .313/.370/.496 with 12
home runs. The journeyman has been clutch as well, posting a .384
batting average and .987 OPS in 112 at-bats with runners in scoring
position. With his prolific production and the opportunity to hit with
runners on, it is no surprise that he is among circuit leaders with 74
RBIs.
While Gall is a nice organizational bat, he is most likely not
going to have an impact on the Marlins’ march towards the postseason.
Hessman is a big, burly third baseman who is having a monster season for the Toledo Mud Hens.
The 30-year-old infielder, in fact, is leading the International League
with 30 homers, sitting fourth in the circuit with a .958 OPS as well.
He is batting .264/.394/.567, was elected to the league All-Star team
and is coming off an ’07 campaign in which he won the league’s Most
Valuable Player. Regardless, it is unlikely that he will stick in the
majors for good—he has eight career homers in the bigs in a brief cup of coffee with the Atlanta Braves and Tigers— in the future, though he will get a shot if he continues to mash.
Mark Anderson of TigsTown.com decided to give Hessman another look in this article.
Drafted out of a Nevada high school in the 2002 First-Year
draft, Jepsen was one of the most effective closers in the Texas League
before earning a recent promotion to Triple-A. The 24-year-old
right-hander racked up 11 saves, striking out 35 while posting a 1.42
ERA in 25 appearances. For his performance, he was named to the
league’s All-Star team.
With Salt Lake City, Jepsen has limited hitters to a .211
batting average, posting a 2.79 ERA in 12 appearances. However, he did
not even crack the top 20 in nearly every Angels’ pre-season prospect
list.
Brandon Knight: RHP, New York Mets—
Knight is another journeyman, hanging onto the dream at
32 years old. He nearly retired at the end of 2006, has spent three
seasons in Japan and was drafted (’95) long before steroids were on the
radar as a major issue in baseball. Through it all, though, he has
remained effective at the minor league level, currently sitting with a
5-1 record and 1.60 ERA in 39.1 innings since he signed with Triple-A
New Orleans on May 21. Still, his claim to fame is perhaps being
included in a trade for former major leaguer Chad Curtis, making it
unlikely that he will ever latch onto to a consistent role in the
majors. However, a Gold Medal in the Olympics will make all of the
struggles worth it, he says.
Koplove is a reliever for the Dodgers’ Triple-A affiliate, the
Las Vegas 51s. The 31-year-old has posted a 3.26 ERA and 40-to-16 K/W
ratio in 37 appearances so far, using his unique arm angle to fool keep
hitters off balance. He had a few effective stints in a six-year tenure
with the Arizona Diamondbacks from 2001-’06, going 6-1 with a 3.36 ERA
in 55 games as one of the strongest setup-men in the game back in his
career-best campaign back in ’02. He spent most of last year at
Triple-A Buffalo in the Cleveland organization, before signing with Los
Angeles in December.
Matt Laporta: INF, Cleveland Indians—
LaPorta will forever be linked to CC Sabathia. The former University of Florida star was the key prospect involved in the deal that sent Sabathia to the Milwaukee Brewers
for three months, the blockbuster deal of the ’08 trade deadline
season. LaPorta has the offensive skill set, though, to reach a point
where that tidbit becomes just a site note on his player profile page
on the Indians’ website.
The seventh overall pick of the 2007 draft after a standout
career for the Gators, some scouts compare him to a right-hander
version of Travis Hafner.
At the time of the deal, he was among Double-A leaders with a .978 OPS,
batting .288/.402/.576 with 20 home runs and 66 RBIs in the Southern
League. Moving to Cleveland, he may have the opportunity to switch back
to the infield, where is expected to play with Team USA. He has the
skills to turn into a plus defensive first baseman. The 24-year-old
also has strong enough arm strength—he was once clocked at 88 MPH in
the Cape Cod League All-Star game a few summers ago—to remain in the
outfield, but will hit enough to remain at first base.
In his first 10 games with the Indians’ Double-A affiliate in
Akron, he is batting .237/.250/.342/ in a small sample size. Some
scouts project him to hit for 30-plus homers in the majors. Although
the Brewers were criticized for selecting him, as a college senior, so
early back in the ’07 draft, he has truly emerged into a legitimate
hitting prospect. Look for him to make his debut in Cleveland when
rosters expand in September.
Click here for a scouting report on LaPorta and the rest of the prospects included in the Sabathia deal, courtesy of Chuck Murr.
Lou Marson: C, Philadelphia Phillies—
Marson, one of two catchers on the USA roster, is one of the
premier young backstops in the minors. His name has surfaced in trade
rumors, but do not expect Philadelphia to move him.
Marson, 22, has been a key cog in the Reading Phillies’
lineup, batting .322/.438./.431 with five home runs and 46 RBIs in 89
games. He is a solid defensive catcher with an above-average arm as
well, making it likely that he will turn into a capable major league
catcher by century’s end.
Click here for a scouting report on Marson, courtesy of Chuck Hixson.
Neal is the closer for the Toledo MudHens, for whom he has
picked up 24 saves for while posting a 1.31 ERA in 34.1 innings pitched
this season. The 30-year-old journeyman has posted a 5.08 ERA in 113
career appearances in the majors.
Neal and a teammate will be heading to Beijing, writes Paul Wenzer.
Jayson Nix: INF, Colorado Rockies—
Nix batted .125 in a brief stint with the Rockies earlier
this season. The former sandwich pick has spent the majority of the
year at Colorado Springs, though, where he has posted a line of
.300/.371/.583 with 15 homers and 46 RBIs. He was a key producer for
Team USA at the World Baseball Cup in November, helping the US end
their 33-year championship drought at the event. The 24-year-old second
baseman was awarded with the Richard W. “####” Case Award given to the
USA Baseball Athlete of the Year.
Schierholtz is enjoying a nice season in the Pacific Coast
League, where he has posted a line of .309/.355/.552 with 13 home runs
and 62 RBIs. The former second-round pick also is among league leaders
with a .908 OPS. Schierholtz took the roster spot belonging to Rasmus,
who is expected to be out for at least a month with a knee injury. He
batted .304/.316/.402 in 39 games in two stints in the majors in 2007.
While he has flashed excellent power, he needs to cut down on his
strikeouts and improve his plate discipline.
Click here for a scouting report on the San Francisco prospect.
Jeff Stevens: RHP, Cleveland Indians—
Stevens went 5-1 with 2.51 ERA with one save in 17
appearances with Double-A Akron before earning a promotion Triple-A. In
25.0 innings in the International League, he is 0-2 with a 4.32 ERA,
36-to-13 K/W ratio and .182 opponents’ batting average. The 24-year-old
was originally drafted by the Cincinnati Reds, who sent him to
Cleveland as the player-to-be-named later in the Brandon Phillips
trade. The organization thinks that he can make an impact in the
bullpen at the major league level, making it likely that he will make
his debut in the majors sometime in the near future.
Strasburg was the only amateur player selected to the US team.
He is coming off a dominant season in which he captivated the nation
with a 23-strikeout performance against Utah on April 11. The sophomore
right-hander was dominant on the mound all spring for the Aztecs, going
8-3 with a 1.57 ERA, 133-to-16 K/W ratio and opponents’ batting average
of .181 in 13 starts. The local San Diego product, who turned 20 this
week, is a lock to go in the first round in 2009, thanks to a
devastating four-seam fastball that has hit 100 MPH on the radar gun.
Taylor Teagarden: C, Texas Rangers—
Teagarden is an excellent defensive catcher with plus arm
strength, which will allow him to stick in the majors even if he does
not turn into even a league-average hitter. He was drafted out of the
University of Texas in 2005, falling to the third round. He then missed
a large chunk ’06 season following Tommy John surgery, which hindered
his development offensively. He had solid bounce back year in ’07,
finishing the season with a line of .294/.357.529 in 115 plate
appearances at Double-A. He was tearing up the California League before
his promotion, making the jump after posting a 1.054 OPS with 20 homers
in 81 games.
In 2008, Teagarden has spent most of the year at Triple-A
Oklahoma, where he has struggled at the plate. He is batting only
.235/.349/.404 with six homers. While he needs to cut down on his
strikeouts—241 strikeouts in 214 career minor league games—the local
product is still one of the premier defensive catchers in the minors.
In what he referred to as a “whirlwind of a week,” he went from the
Futures Game at Yankee Stadium to playing in the Metrodome, where he
made his major league debut. In his brief stint with Texas—which also
has rookie catcher Max Ramirez—he
went 1-for-6, breaking up Minnesota starter Scott Baker's bid for a
no-hitter with his first career home run, before getting shipped back
down to Triple-A on Monday. The demotion allowed him to be included on
the USA roster.
Click here for a report on all of the catching prospects in the Texas organization, including Teagarden.
Terry Tiffee: INF, Los Angeles Dodgers—
Tiffee made his major league debut four years ago with
the Minnesota Twins. He has bounced around the minors since then, as he
has does not hit for any power and has struggled to get on base
consistently enough in the past. The 29-year-old has been a force for
Las Vegas this year, though, hitting a league-leading .378 with a .415
OBP and .567 slugging percentage. For his performance, he earned an
invitation to represent the Pacific Coast League at the Triple-A
All-Star Game in Louisville last week. With Blake DeWitt blocking Andy LaRoche until recently—despite DeWitt’s .688 OPS—Tiffee will most likely not make an impact at the majors in the Dodgers’ organization.
Casey Weathers: RHP, Colorado Rockies—
Weathers is perhaps the highest-profile prospect making
the trip to Beijing. The Rockies selected him with the eighth pick of
last June's draft out of Vanderbilt University, which produced two
first-round pitchers, including number one overall pick David Price. As
a senior and a relief prospect, many predicted him to make a fast track
to the majors, but he is still pitching in Double-A Tulsa. In 39
appearances with the Drillers, the 23-year-old converted outfielder is
2-1 with a 2.82 ERA and 45-to-24 K/W ratio.
Weathers consistently sits in the 95-97 range with his
fastball, even reaching triple digits on occasion. If he can continue to
miss bats and improve his command, look for him in the next few years
to turn into a high-impact closer for the Rockies, who are currently
dangling soon-to-be free agent Brian Fuentes on the trade market.
Milwaukee officially added the larger-than-life left-hander to its starting rotation on Thursday, sending three prospects—slugging minor league outfielder Matt LaPorta highlights the group—to the Cleveland Indians in exchange for Sabathia. Thus, it is evident that the Brewers are making a run at this thing right now.
In the weaker league, anything is possible, and Milwaukee strongly increased its chances of reaching the postseason by adding a front-line starter to join Ben Sheets at the top of its pitching staff. Headed into Sabathia’s debut, the Brewers are 49-40, four games back in the NL Central. Their +10 run differential, however, indicates that they have been lucky at times so far this year, causing me to label the club as a pretender in a recent second-half prediction article.
While many are skeptical of the impact that a single pitcher can have on a team, there is no question that the addition of Sabathia, entering the inferior league, dramatically improves the Brewers’ postseason chances.
The Chicago Cubs—the club responded to the Sabathia trade by acquiring Rich Harden, the oft-injured Oakland Athletics starter—are still the favorite in the division. With the best record and run differential (+112) in the league, the Cubs’ playoff chances remain strong.
The St. Louis Cardinals are in the mix as well. St. Louis is 50-40, despite a +10 run differential and the absence of ace Chris Carpenter and a recent injury to slugger Albert Pujols, who is enjoying another MVP-caliber season. Dave Duncan, it seems, has done it again, turning pitchers such as Kyle Loshe and Todd Wellemeyer into effective options in the Cardinals’ starting rotation. Ryan Ludwick has been a nice surprise as well, earning an invitation to the All-Star game next week after a monster first two months. Ludwick has posted a .944 OPS, batting .290/.367/.577 with 17 home runs and 58 RBIs entering Tuesday night. He has struggled recently, however, and his high batting average on balls in play points toward regression for him in the second half.
While St. Louis still has a strong chance—as every team in the West currently boasts a sub-.500 record—to take home the Wild Card, its odds of reaching the playoffs for the first time since the Cards surprised us all to win the 2006 World Series undoubtedly took a hit with the Brewers’ acquisition of Sabathia.
Also boding well for Milwaukee and St. Louis, the Florida Marlins and New York Mets appear to be pretenders. This means that is more than likely that the Wild Card ticket will be punched from the Midwest.
Sheets has been a true ace for the Brewers to this point, going 10-2 with a 2.77 ERA, 97-to-26 K/W ratio, 1.11 WHIP and an opponents’ line of .235/.275/.388. However, the risk of injury has always been an issue with Sheets, who, like Sabathia, will bolt for free agency once the season ends.
However, with Manny Parra, Jeff Suppan—recently sent to the disabled list—Dave Bush and Seth McClung—the former Tampa Bay Rays starter who has struggled in a relief role—the Brewers have some decent arms at the back of the pitching staff as well. Parra has limited hitters to a .743 OPS, going 7-2 in 18 starts. While his 3.65 ERA is a bit misleading, he is a solid piece to the Brewers’ rotation, and will need to pitch effectively down the stretch. McClung is unlikely to remain effective, and could be moved back into the bullpen when Suppan returns.
Therefore, the Brewers’ staff will now ride the back of Sabathia, who immediately becomes one of the strongest starting pitchers on the Senior Circuit—perhaps outside of Johan Santana. If he can remain healthy enough to make around 16 starts, he could really make a save the Brewers from giving up a lot of runs, as he will now have the luxury of facing the pitcher every nine hitters.
Along with Fausto Carmona, Sabathia pushed Cleveland into the postseason in 2007, going 19-7 with a 3.21 ERA and 65.2 VORP to edge out Josh Beckett and his teammate for the American League Cy Young Award.
After a poor April, Sabathia has returned to his dominant self recently, lowering his ERA to 3.83. His 6-8 record is misleading, too, as he has posted a stellar 123-to-34 K/W ratio in 122.1 innings for the Indians, who have now thrown in the towel for this season.
Sabathia is only one pitcher, though, and it is easy for some skeptics to point towards Santana, who has been the Mets’ strongest pitcher but has not dominated the National League in the fashion in which many expected he would. Sabathia and Sheets will not be with the Brewers next year, so the summer is crucial for Milwaukee, which has not reached the postseason since the Paul Molitor and Robin Yount era. While the playoffs are certainly not a sure thing, Milwaukee has officially improved upon its pretender status with the addition of Sabathia, who will now get to swing the bat as well. Considering he nearly hit a ball out of Dodger Stadium a few weeks ago, perhaps he will give Micah Owings a run for his money as the best slugging pitcher in the game.
The Brewers also have a strong core of offensive stars—led by Prince Fielder and last year’s Rookie of the Year, Ryan Braun—and will not struggle to score runs. Not to mention, Milwaukee is catching the ball better than ever before, as they has improved defensively as a team as well. Moving Braun, a butcher at third base, to the outfield has helped alot, especially in the infield. Milwaukee, in fact, now ranks 11th out of 30 teams in defensive efficiency—the rate at which balls put into play are converted into outs.
Indians' Side:
The centerpiece for Cleveland is Laporta, the seventh overall pick of the 2007 draft out of the University of Florida. Some scouts compare him to a right-hander version of Travis Hafner—one of the reason’s for the Indians’ inability to score runs—in his prime. At the time of the deal, he was among Double-A leaders with a .978 OPS, batting .288/.402/.576 with 20 home runs and 66 RBIs in the Southern League. Moving to Cleveland, he will get to switch back to the infield, and he has the skills to turn into a plus defensive first baseman. He has strong enough arm strength—he was once clocked at 88 MPH in the Cape Cod League All-Star game a few summers ago—to remain in the outfield, but will hit enough to remain at first base. Look for him in the Futures Game next week at Yankee Stadium, as he is one of the strongest bats on the USA squad’s roster.
Even with surprise dominance of Cliff Lee— my mid-season pick as the Cy Young in the American League—the Indians have struggled to score runs, posting a -6 run differential as of Tuesday afternoon. At the time of the trade, the Indians had posted a 37-41 record, 14 games back in the Central. Slugging catcher Victor Martinez, yet to hit a home run, has been hurt, an unhealthy Hafner, with a .677 OPS, appears to be on the decline and Grady Sizemore is the only regular with an OPS above .900. Sizemore, though, has been one of the premier outfielders yet again so far, hitting .269/.372/.541 with 22 home runs from the leadoff spot—do not get me started on this, he should be batting third—while playing his usual excellent defense in center field.
Major League Baseball is now officially halfway through its season. Which only means one thing—it is time to hand out the Mid-Season Awards in each league.
From Chipper Jones to Dan Uggla, Milton Bradley to J.D. Drew, several offensive players deserve some serious consideration for their outstanding offensive production in the season's first 81 games, making the midway MVP selection in each league a difficult decision.
None of the aforementioned players, however, cracked the list.
So, without any more delay, here are my picks for the Mid-Season Awards.
American League
MVP: Josh Hamilton, OF Texas Rangers—Hamilton's teammate, Milton Bradley, has a higher batting average, OBP, slugging percentage and OPS, but the former number one overall pick has been more valuable to his team. First of all, he adds value with his defense in the outfield, unlike Bradley, who is the Rangers' full-time designated hitter. Second, the sweet-swinging slugger has been able to remain on the field, which has been difficult for him ever since the then-Tampa Bay Devil Rays selected him with the first overall pick, ahead of Josh Beckett, in the 1999 First-Year Draft. Hamilton, in fact, has played in 80 games, only 10 fewer than his season total in 2007, when he hit 19 home runs as a rookie for the Cincinnati Reds.
Plus, while Bradley only nearly has as many homers as his fellow slugger in nearly 100 fewer at-bats, Hamilton was one of the most productive hitters in the majors through in the first half in his own right. He posted a line of .312/.362/.565, for the sixth-highest OPS in the league. Not to mention, the 27-year-old is currently tied with Grady Sizemore for the circuit lead with 19 homers and is the majors’ leader in RBIs. In fact, with 79 RBIs, he is on pace to drive in 157 runs this season. With Ian Kinsler and Michael Young batting in front of him, he will get plenty of RBI chances in the second half, making it likely that he will get close to that lofty total.
With his tremendous arm and athleticism, Hamilton has been invaluable to the Rangers, who, despite a relatively thin starting rotation, remain in contention in the West. Texas is a pretender for 2008. In the near future, though—with Hamilton and several up-and-coming prospects—the club has a strong chance to make its first appearance in the postseason since the Juan Gonzalez era in Arlington.
Cy Young Award: Cliff Lee, Cleveland Indians—Scott Kazmir is ineligible because he missed all of April, though the Tampa Bay left-hander was the best pitcher in the league from May on. Kazmir, who posted the lowest opponents' OPS (.577) and a ridiculous ERA+ of 178 in the first half, has won seven of his 11 starts, guiding the Rays to the majors’ best record at the season's halfway mark.
Lee, though, has come a long way in the past year, going from the minors to perhaps starting the last-ever All-Star game at Yankee Stadium in less than 10 months. While the Indians' anemic offense has prevented the club from making a first-half push in the wide-open AL Central division, Lee and the rest of his rotation mates have done their part to keep the team afloat. It is hard to argue with his numbers so far: he is 11-1 in 15 starts, posting a 2.34 ERA, 177 ERA+ and .597 opponents’ OPS in 103.7 innings pitched. Many writers were skeptical of Lee's torrid start in April, but he has silenced the critics, limiting opposing hitters to a line of .237/.267/.330 while compiling a 90-to-16 K/W ratio. His surprise pre-midpoint performance has been of the season’s best stories..
Rookie of the Year: Evan Longoria, Tampa Bay Rays—Since his call up from Triple-A Durham on April 12, Longoria has been invaluable to the best-in-baseball Rays, batting .270/.342/.529 with 15 homers and 47 RBIs. A Gold Glove candidate and a regular on the highlight-reel, he has also upgraded the team's infield defense by playing an excellent third base.
With his production at the plate, he is showing why he was dubbed the top prospect in the minors in numerous offseason publications, as he is leading American League rookies in nearly every offensive statistical category—extra-base hits (37), homers, slugging percentage and OPS (.871). His call-up has coincided with the Rays’ turnaround from a poor start. In fact, since the former first-round pick joined the club two weeks into the season, Tampa Bay is 44-27. This is not a coincidence, folks. Longoria, leading his team in homers and RBIs, has been one of the most productive hitters in a lineup that has struggled to score runs at times.
Outfielder David Murphy has gotten some publicity, as he is top among major league rookies with 52 RBIs. He has had numerous opportunities to drive in runs down in Texas, however, and needs to improve upon his .306 on-base percentage. Boston center fielder Jacoby Ellsbury, an excellent defender, has swiped 34 bases in 38 attempts while hitting .272/.349/.389. He is leading AL newcomers with 54 runs scored, but the ’07 World Series hero has not been as productive as Longoria.
Honorable Mention: Joba Chamberlain, New York Yankees; Jacoby Ellsbury, Boston Red Sox; Greg Smith, Oakland Athletics
National League
MVP: Lance Berkman, Houston Astros—This was easily the most difficult award to pick. Chipper Jones is flirting with .400. A pair of second baseman in the NL East, Chase Ultey and Dan Uggla, have combined to hit 46 homers already. Utley is also playing stellar defense at the keystone for a first-place team. And then there is St. Louis stud Albert Pujols, who has 17 homers and a stellar 1.123 OPS.
Nonetheless, Berkman is the Mid-Season Most Valuable Player on the Senior Circuit, in my eyes.
The Houston Astros are 10 games back in the NL central, perennially one of the weakest divisions in the weak National League. Thus, my selection may come as a surprise. Many people associate this award with winning. As a result, therefore, many writers fail to recognize the actual best performer—see Rollins, Jimmy, 2007. Berkman, however, had the strongest first half, as he put together one of the best 81-game performances baseball has seen in some time. The Houston first baseman, in fact, was an absolute monster during that stretch, batting .364/.444/.690 in 313 at-bats. He has also posted the majors’ highest OPS (1.135), OPS+ (198) and slugging percentage, is second in the NL in batting average and RBIs and third in homers (23). If it was not for Jones, who is leading baseball with a .394 batting average, Berkman would have a legitimate shot at the circuit’s Triple Crown, more so than Josh Hamilton in the other league.
Cy Young Award: Edinson Volquez, Cincinnati Reds—Volquez, who came to the Reds in the Josh Hamilton deal, had a breakout first half, going 10-3 with the best ERA (2.08 ERA) and ERA+ (214) in the National League at the midpoint. In 16 starts, the 24-year-old right-hander has posted a stellar 113-to-43 K/W ratio (those Ks ranks second in the league) while limiting opposing hitters to a line of .202/.308/.281 and only four homers. With such a strong nucleus of young stars—Jay Bruce, Jonny Cueto, Volquez and Joey Votto—the Reds should be a force in the Central for years to come.
Tim Lincecum was stellar in the first half as well, going 9-1 with 2.38 ERA, league-best 114 Ks and a 1.24 WHIP. The San Francisco Giants received a good amount of grief for selecting the right-hander so early in the 2006 draft, because of the then-University of Washington star's unorthodox mechanics. But Lincecum, who broke the Pac-10 record for strikeouts during a standout collegiate career, has silenced the critics with his tremendous performance over the past two seasons, emerging as one of the premier young starting pitchers in the National League. In 40 career starts, he is 16-6 with 264 punchouts and a 3.30 ERA.
Honorable Mention: Dan Haren, Arizona Diamondbacks; Tim Lincecum, San Francisco Giants; Ben Sheets, Milwaukee Brewers; Brandon Webb, Arizona Diamondbacks
Rookie of the Year: Geovany Soto, Chicago Cubs—Odds are pretty high that this award will end up in Chicago at the end of the season, with Cub rookies Kousuke Fukudome and Soto the leading candidates in the race right now. Soto was better than his teammate in the first half, though, establishing himself as one of the majors’ most promising young catchers. The Pacific Coast League MVP in '07, his success from his September call-up in ’07 carried over in the spring. A late bloomer at 25, he finished the first half with a line of .281/.367/.513 for the first-place Cubbies. His .880 OPS is the highest rookie total in the majors, and he is second among the group, behind Longoria, with 13 home runs and 47 RBIs.
Fukudome has been a tremendous addition for Chicago, posting a .405 on-base percentage in the season’s first 81 games while playing above-average defense in right field. A versatile player with tremendous athleticism, he is leading rookie-eligible players with 55 runs scored and ranks second with 83 hits. Just like Akinori Iwamura, however, his power has not translated to the American game as expected, with deeper ballparks and advanced pitching. Plus, at 31, he is hardly a true rookie. He had an excellent first half, but, as a decent defensive catcher with above-average arm strength, Soto is more deserving of the award at this juncture.
Atlanta Braves rookie starting pitcher Jair Jurrjens is enjoying an excellent season as well. Jurrjens, who was acquired by Atlanta in the deal that sent Edgar Renteria to Detroit, offered a huge boost to the Braves’ rotation in the first half, going 8-3 with a 2.94 ERA in 16 starts. If he can continue to be effective the remainder of the summer, he will pose the biggest threat to the Cubs’ chances of producing a Rookie of the Year for the first time since Kerry Wood earned the award back in 1998.
Honorable Mention: Kosuke Fukudome, Chicago Cubs; Jair Jurrjens, Atlanta Braves
Major League Front Office of the Year: Tampa Bay Rays—While managers are important—Joe Maddon is a good match for the Tampa Bay clubhouse and has done a fine job guiding his team—personnel decisions make more of a direct impact in the standings and are far more important than any manager's “leader of men” qualities or abilities as an in-game strategist. With that being said, Andrew Friedman, Gerry Hunsicker, Matt Silverman and crew have done a tremendous job putting together a winning product on the field down in St. Petersburg, finding the right mix of young talent and quality veterans, such as closer Troy Percival.
No, I do not buy the “any team could be good if they got to pick early in the first-round for 11 straight years” mindset. First of all, look at the Pittsburgh Pirates, who have had the same luxury of picking early in the draft but are still miles away from relevance in the inferior league. Plus, in the Rays’ 2008 starting lineup, Longoria and B.J. Upton are the only former first-round picks selected by Tampa Bay. Granted, the trade of Delmon Young, the first pick of the 2003 draft, brought the club’s number three starter, Matt Garza, and starting shortstop, Jason Bartlett, to St. Petersburg. If anything, though, Friedman deserves credit for pulling the trigger on that risky deal, which has helped shore up Tampa Bay's infield defense and starting rotation.
I just graduated from Eckerd College in St. Petersburg, Florida. During my days down in St. Pete as a student there, I began to follow and cover the Tampa Bay Rays for Scout.com. Fittingly, the franchise begins to win as soon as I leave.
I enjoy reading, watching and writing about baseball, taking BP and playing golf.
For me, Buster Olney's blog is a daily must read, though Rob Neyer is up there as well.