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College Football 2008 : Week 2 Preview
Sep 03, 2008 | 3:17PM | report this

NCAA FootballThe fallout of week 1 is still being jeered and cheered throughout our beloved internet world.  Don't let all the smack talk and jibberish fool you.  There is an old saying that rings true year in and year out:

Nobody is as good or as bad as their last game. 

In College Football it is even more true.  Keep in mind, we are dealing with the psyche's of 18 to 23 year old kids.  Yes.  Kids.  In a game that is as physical as football, it is the mental aspect that many times separates a great team from an elite team.

So as some teams are still licking their wounds, we have others that need to curb their enthuism after a week 1 victory and get prepared for week 2 action. 

The following are the games of note as I see them in Week 2:

BCS Logo

Thursday:

South Carolina @ Vanderbilt (+ 7 1/2):  Steve Spurrier is still playing Muscial QB's with 3 guys:  Smelley, Garcia, and Beecher.  That means he doesn't have one.  This week, Smelley gets his chance to start.  The Gamecock defense on the other hand is very very good.  Jasper Brinkley headlines a unit that completely exposed NC State last week.  Vanderbilt, is fresh off of a resounding victory over Miami, OH; a decent MAC squad.  They also have a pretty good stop unit on their side of the ball.  Expect a lot of punting in this matchup, and look for a feisty crowd in Nashville since this is a rare occasion that the Commodores find themselves involved in a Nationally televised contest.  I'll side with the home dogs, and they may well upset the 'Cocks much like they did last year.  On a short week, I'll side with taking the short points..........South Carolina 20  Vanderbilt 16.

Saturday:

Texas A&M @ New Mexico (+3):  Mike Sherman entered the fray as the head man at A&M with a resounding thud.  An 18-14 setback to Arkansas State at home.  New Mexico was thumped by TCU to the tune of 26-3.  Needless to say, this is a big game for both teams, and both will likely go through a rough week of practice to prepare for this contest.  Rocky Long is a proven NCAA football coach.  Sherman had some successfull years as the head man of the Packers.  However, if we have learned anything, NFL coaches that have moved over to the college game without any prior college experience have had a tendency to struggle.  Both teams are coming off of a week in which they struggled mightily on the offensive side of the ball.  I'll side with the more talented team to come out and pound the ball right at an inexperienced and 'smallish' front seven from New Mexico.  I'm going against some of my logic, but I look for the more talented A&M to get Goodson and Lane humming again, and get a much needed win and cover comfortably in Albuquerque............Texas A&M 34 New Mexico 13. 

Louisiana Tech @ Kansas (- 20 1/2):  La Tech is fresh off of an upset win over SEC bowl game winner Mississippi StateKansas won comfortably over what is arguably the worst team in FBS football, Florida International. Taking last week's games into consideration, the 20 1/2 seems like a bundle.  I really don't have a solid feel on this game, thus I'll stay away, but the reason I mentioned it, is that it looks to be a much more important game for Kansas than anyone imagined before the season started.  The 'Hawks need to make a statement in this game and show that they belong in the top 15.  They also need to build some confidence before their scrap with South Florida next week. 

Cincinnati @ Oklahoma (-22):  Both teams are coming off of resounding victories over FCS schools from last week.  Thus not much information can be taken from those victories.  This is a statement game for both teams.  Oklahoma is looking to keep up with the Joneses in USC, Georgia, LSU, Ohio State, etc.  Cincinnati wants to prove that they are not a fluke.  The Sooners aren't the greatest home favorites, and Cincinnati has shown over the years that they are a solid road dog.  Especially when it is double digits.  I don't think the game will ever be in much doubt, but the 22 points is just too much to give..............Oklahoma 31 Cincinnati 16.

Texas Tech @ Nevada (+ 10):  Graham Harrel started up just where he left off from last year, and Nevada showed that they are ready to compete this year for the WAC title.  This is a scary game for the Red Raiders as they travel to a very tough Mid Major site.  This is some very risky scheduling for a team that is notorious for stacking up creme puffs in their non-conference slate year in and year out.  The Tech defense showed some holes against Eastern Washington last week, and Colin Kaepernick and Luke Lippincot could take advantage of these 'holes'.  I previewed this game in one of my posts earlier as a possible upset.  I haven't changed my mind.  Texas Tech has shown in season's past that they are extremely vulnerable on the road.  And Nevada is extremely tough at home.  I'll call for the outright upset in this one, in a much aniticipated shoot out in Reno..........Nevada 44  Tech 41.

Stanford @ Arizona State (-14):  Jim Harbaugh is solidifying himself as one of the best up and coming coaches.  Their victory over Oregon State last week showed that the Cardinal are much improved this year.  Arizona State struggled with an outmanned Northern Arizona squad.  But like I said earlier, no team is as good or as bad as their last game.  Look for Rudy Carpenter to take advantage of a porous Stanford secondary, and the Sun Devils to enjoy a comofortable win against the Tree...............Arizona State 38  Stanford 17.

Southern Miss @ Auburn (- 17 1/2):  The Golden Eagles are off of a surprisingly comfortable win from last week.  Auburn showed that their defense is ready to rumble this year.  Southern Miss romped for 427 yards rushing and 633 total yards last week.  That won't happen this week.  I viewed this as a possible upset a few weeks ago, but I'm sure the offensive output by the Golden Eagles has caught the attention of the Tiger coaches.  Damion Fletcher will get some yards, but he'll have to work very hard for them.  The real problem is a green QB going against one of the premier stop units in the country.  The line seems about right, thus I'll stay away, but this one could have some interesting twists and turns to it. 

BYU @ Washington (+ 9):  Ty Willingham's days in Seattle look to be numbered.  Bronco Mendenhall is one of the most overlooked coaches in the country.  Can Ty rally the troops, or are they set on cashing it in this early in the season?  After a resounding defeat to Oregon in week one, this team's psyche has to be fragile, especially when you take a peek at their monstrous schedule that lays before them.  A solid play in College Football is to always play against an embattled coach, regardless of the line at hand.  Look for BYU to continue their march towards a dream season in convincing fashion........BYU 41 Washington 24.

Georgia Tech @ Boston College (-7):  Paul Johnson opened his career at Georgia Tech in impressive fashion.  Boston College coach Jagodzinski may have likely never seen a triple option offense before in his coaching career.  The Wreck have the right athletes to run this offense, and nobody coaches it better than Paul.  I'll call for the outright upset as Georgia Tech enters the fray as ACC title contenders...........Georgia Tech 34 Boston College 27.

Central Michigan @ Georgia (- 23):  The Chippewa's weren't exactly impressive in their week one outing.  Georgia put a solid FCS team in Georgia Southern away early and let some late scores make it look closer than it really was.  This has some possibilities of a shocking upset, but since the Bulldogs relinquished their position atop the polls, look for them to be very focused.  It will be interesting to see how the 'Dawgs front four respond with the loss of stud DT Jeff Owens, but they should be fine.  This looks like another game that the line seems about right, thus I'll stay away.  However, my gut tells me that Georgia makes a statement in this game.

San Diego State @ Notre Dame (- 22):  Yes, I'm sure you are laughing at the fact that the Irish are 'laying' 22 points in this contest.  But, beware, San Diego State just lost to Cal Poly San Luis Obispo, and Chuck Long's days are extremely numbered in San Diego.  If Notre Dame is to rout anybody, this would be the week.  Look for a much improved Irish squad to score early and often, and shut down a dismal Aztec offense..........Notre Dame 45  SDSU 12.

Oregon State @ Penn State (- 16 1/2):  Interesting.  Oregon State is off of a heartbreaking upset loss to StanfordPenn State routed Coastal Carolina.  The Beavers have been a good team that travels well outside of conference.  Riley is a solid coach, and we should expect him to have the Beavers ready to play in .............Beaver Stadium?  I like Penn State to outlast Oregon State, but I expect it to be much closer than the 16 1/2 points given here.........Penn State 33 Oregon State 27.

Mississippi @ Wake Forest (- 8):  Another intriguing intra-BCS conference matchup.  Wake pounded Baylor.  But then again, everybody does.  Mississippi struggled a bit with seasonal rival Memphis.  This is a huge game for both clubs that have bowl game aspirations.  Is Wake ready to win the ACC?  Is Ole Miss ready to challenge the upper half in the SEC?  We shall see.   This is a scary game to handicap, thus I'll stay away.  Should be one of the best games to watch.

West Virginia @ East Carolina (+ 8):  East Carolina is off of an emotional win over Virginia Tech.  West Virginia has their sites set on a National Championship.  East Carolina will not enjoy seeing a plodding offense like they did last week.  The Mountaineers have some defensive holes to fill, which means East Carolina should score some, but likely not near enough.  Pat White and Noel Devine should prove to be too much for the Pirates.  Look for the 'Neers to bring a solid ECU squad back down to earth..........WVU 42  ECU 23.

Game of The Week:

Florida @ Miami, FL (+ 21 1/2):  The 'Canes, along with fellow ACC brethren Wake Forest are carrying the ragged flag of the ACC this week.  Both teams need solid showings.  Miami showed some offensive explosiveness last week, but it is a far cry from the engine that runs down in Gainesville.  The Gators also showed that they may have a vastly improved defense in '08.  Both teams are superlatively talented, but the Gators are more seasoned and have the best QB in the country at the helm while Miami has a green Freshman at the controls.  The 21 1/2 seems like a bunch, but when you consider that Florida can hang 50 or more on just about anybody in the country, and it seems to make sense.  I'll stay away and simply enjoy some of the most talented athletes putting their skills on display in a Nationally televised game.  I'll look to see just how improved the Gator defense is, and just how far Randy Shannon has brought the 'Canes along.  This is must see TV, even if it is a blowout.

That is week 2 as I see it.  It will be tough to follow up a solid 8-1 week 1 ATS, but this is my best at trying to follow up a sensational Week 1

On a personal note:  Best wishes to all those affected by Hurricanes Gustav and Hanna.  I sincerely wish you and yours safety as these storms that have already hit the Gulf Coast area, and are approaching our friends and family in Florida, Georgia, and the Carolinas. 

8 Comments | Add a comment   categories: College Football, NCAA FB, Nostradomus
 
College Football 2008 : Week 1 Review
Sep 02, 2008 | 8:53AM | report this

Another sensational opening weekend in College Football is in the books. 

So what did we learn?

Orange is not the official color of fall:  Fans of Clemson, Illinois, Oregon State, Syracuse, Tennessee, and UTEP all went home with Red faces.  (You can throw Virginia Tech in as well, they have some Orange in their jerseys too.)

Tommy BowdenClemson was downright abysmal.  Thunder and Lightning (James Davis and CJ Spiller) were held to 20 yards rushing, and Clemson's offense as a whole only took 48 snaps for a grand total of 188 yards.  Their defense wasn't much better.  JPW (John Parker Wilson), the whipping boy of the SEC, was an efficient 22 of 30 for 180 yards and 2 touchdowns, while true freshman Mark Ingram ran for 96 yards against what was supposed to be one of Clemson's best defenses in years.  Once again, Clemson and Tommy Bowden fail to live up to expectations.  How much longer will Tommy be the head man at Clemson?  Weeks?  Months?  The countdown has begun.

Phil FulmerTennessee was equally pathetic.  UCLA brought their JV squad to the Rose Bowl last night, and pulled out a 27-24 overtime victory against the out-coached and outwitted Vols.  Kevin Craft, a guy formerly buried so far in the UCLA depth chart that only his family knew he played for the Bruins, made his 1st career start at QB.  In the 1st half alone, Mr. Craft threw 4 interceptions.  But, the Vols failed to capitalize, and only held a 14-7 halftime lead.  Tennessee won the turnover battle 4-2, outyarded the Bruins 367 to 290, and outrushed UCLA by a total of 190 to 37.  Looking at the statistics alone, you would have thought that the Vols would have won rather handily.  Tennessee coaches and players have absolutely no excuses for not winning that game.  How much longer will Phil be welcome in Knoxville?    

ACC:  What a catastrophic 1st weekend for the much maligned conference.  NC State and Virginia were absolutely embarrassed by South Carolina and USCVirginia Tech was upset by East Carolina, and their 'premier' team, Clemson, was manhandled by a middle-tier SEC squad.  Next week?  Ole Miss visits Wake Forest and Miami travels to the swamp.  Lose those 2 contests, and the BCS will be handing out your BCS Bowl bid to the Mountain West.

Big East:  Big East members can thank the ACC for having such a horrendous 1st weekend, because these guys didn't fare much better.  4-4 in their out of conference games to start the year, including embarrassing defeats by Pittsburgh, Louisville, Syracuse, and RutgersWest Virginia and South Florida look to be the class in the Big East, and from there we have a huge dropoff. 

Big 12, SEC, Pac 10:  Impressive starts from all 3 conferences.  The Big 12 and SEC were both 10-2 in their opening weekend, and the Pac 10 was 3-1 vs. fellow BCS schools.   These looked to be the 3 premier conferences entering the season, and after week one my opinion has not changed.

Big 10:  Michigan got beat in their home opener at the Big House for the 2nd straight year.  Illinois was soundly defeated by Missouri (don't let the 52-42 final fool you).  Beanie Wells went down with an injury for the Buckeyes, and the Badgers from Wisconsin were far from impressive in their game against Akron.  Michigan State, even though the lost, played hard against a good California team.  There is no shame in losing to Cal at Berkley.  How good is Penn State

BCS Contenders:  After one week, it looks like we can eliminate a couple of schools from being BCS contenders, and maybe even add in a couple more.  After the 1st week shuffle, here are the teams who impressed, and the list of teams that still look like they may have the goods to be playing for it all in January.

USC

USC:  This list has to start with the Trojans.  Their domination of Virginia was downright scary.  To start the game, USC held the Cavs to 3 straight 3 and outs, and scored touchdowns on all 3 of their offensive possessions with relative ease and precision.  7 minutes into this contest and it was over.  The only scoring drive put together by Virginia was aided by 40+ yards in penalties by USC.  Mark Sanchez looks like he is ready to live up to his billing coming out of high school, and this may be the best defense in all the country. 

Florida

Florida:  After a 0-0 scoreless 1st quarter, the Gators reeled off 56 straight points to take a commanding 56-0 lead over a depleted Hawaii contigent entering the 4th quarter.  The speed and athleticism of the Gator offense was on display, and Tebow will not have to do it alone in 2008.  The Gator 'D' looks to be much better, but it is hard to say just how good they are just yet.   Next week's tangle with Miami should answer a lot of questions.

Oklahoma

Oklahoma:  Hard to get real excited about a victory over Chattanooga, but at least the defense shut them out.  Next weeks game with Cincinnati should give us a bit more information about the Sooners.

Texas

Texas:  Lost in the shuffle by many this weekend was the dominating win by the Longhorns over the Fighting Schnellenbergers from Florida Atlantic.  The Owls have a pretty good offense, and were basically shut down by the 'Horns in their 52-10 victory.  If Muschamp can turn the incredibly talented Texas 'D' into a top 10 unit, the Horns will be very tough to beat this year.  

Ohio State

Ohio State:  A victory over Youngstown State was a foregone conclusion.  However, an injury to Beanie Wells was not.  The seriousness of his injury will have major implications on the Buckeyes chances this year.  WIthout him, they don't stand a chance against USC.  And with the dominance that the Trojans displayed this weekend, the Buckeyes are going to need everyone to be healthy if they are to come away with a victory in South LA.

Missouri

Missouri:  Late in the 3rd quarter Missouri held a 45-20 lead, so don't let the 52-42 final against Illinois lead you to believe that this game was ever in any danger.  But, an injury to all-everything Jeremy Maclin is a bit of a concern.  Good thing for the Tigers, their schedule is cupcakish until they travel to Lincoln, NE in October.  He should be back at full stride by that time.  Big concern?  Giving up 450+ passing yards to Juice Williams is a huge red flag, especially when you consider that his previous high wasn't even 250 yards. 

Georgia

Georgia:  The Bulldogs rolled up 535 yards of offense against a severely overmatched Georgia Southern team.  The bad news is that starting DT Jeff Owens left the game with a knee injury.  With all the devastating injuries that the 'Dawgs encountered in Spring and Fall camps, this was just another blow.  Hopefully for UGA fans, this is nothing serious and Owens will be back soon. 

LSU

LSU:  The Tigers put away any thoughts of another Appalachian State miracle very early.  The offensive and defensive lines were dominant.  Then again, against Appalachian State they should be.  We likely won't know much about LSU until their SEC slate begins.

Auburn

Auburn:  These SEC West Tigers were also dominant on the offensive and defensive lines.  But like their SEC-tiger brethren LSU, they should be against La-Monroe.  Auburn fans be wary next week, Southern Miss isn't a patsy.  After the September 20th clash with LSU, we will know just how good these guys really are.

Oregon

Oregon:  The Gang Green defense was on display in Eugene this weekend as they held a pretty good offense from Washington in check for a paltry 239 total yards and 10 points.  Their QB play was very serviceable, and it looks like they will have one of the better running teams in the Pac 10.  The Ducks are contenders.

Cal

California:  Solid victory over Michigan State this weekend.  The Best/Vereen rushing attack looks tough, and Kevin Riley looks like he is ready to lead this team.  There are some things to work on, but this looks to be a pretty good football team.

West Virginia

West Virginia:  With a down Big East, the 'Neers are gonna have to impress the pollsters.  A dominating victory over East Carolina this weekend would be a start, and a win over Auburn is necessary.  WVU is going to lose a lot of SOS points in the computer polls this year.

South Florida

South Florida:  Their schedule is going to cost them even more SOS points than fellow Big East rival West Virginia.  An undefeated season is no guarantee that they will be playing for all the marbles.  They will need dominating victories over Kansas and West Virginia to sway pollsters away from other potential 1 loss schools.

Penn State

Penn State:  Hard to get real excited about a win over Coastal Carolina, (I didn't even know they had a football team.)  but the Lions did put up 66 points.  It looks like they may have a QB this year, and in the spread offense Darryl Clark's talents should shine. 

Alabama

Alabama:  Impressive win over Clemson.  Is Nick Saban in process of building Alabama into a monster?  Looks like it.  With 10 true freshman playing significant minutes for the Tide, these 'pups' look like they are ready to win, and win now.  The scariest part is that these kids will keep getting better, and if John Parker Wilson can avoid miscues, this team might be a load come November. 

On the fence:  Kansas, Arizona State, Miami, Florida State, BYU, Fresno State, Utah, Wisconsin, Texas Tech

Coaches Who Better Update Their Resumes:

Hot Seat

  • Dave Wannstedt - Pittsburgh
  • Tommy Bowden - Clemson
  • Phil Fulmer - Tennessee
  • Ty Willingham - Washington
  • Chuck Long - San Diego State
  •  

A solid start to the season that is finally here.  Best of luck to you and yours, and good luck to your team in 2008.

All scores and stats courtesy of:   http://msn.foxsports.com

11 Comments | Add a comment   categories: College Football, NCAA FB, Nostradomus
 
College Football 2008 : Week 1 Preview
Aug 26, 2008 | 11:57PM | report this

A mere 2 days before the big boys kick it off in College Football for the 2008 season. 

Thank God.

No more talk.  No more hype.  Time to put up or shut up.  This year, I'll try to continue my series of weekly previews of the biggest games of the weekend, along with some of the most intriguing matchups awaiting us in College Football.

Obviously, I'll start off with..........Week One!  As GCoach would say, "Let's Play Some Football!"

Thursday, August 28th:

NC State @ South Carolina (-12 1/2):  Tom O'Brien enters his 2nd season as the head coach of the 'Pack.  Spurrier enters his 4th in charge of the Gamecocks.  O'Brien is coming off of a very humbling 1st season leading NC State, and Spurrier needs to start proving his worth to some of the newly formed doubters, self-included.  A very intriguing matchup kickoffs our 1st BCS matchup of the season. 

South Carolina has 10 starters back on defense including stud LB Jasper Brinkley.  The defense has not been the problem in Columbia.  It has been the often times stagnant offense that has been the major reason for some of the Gamecocks struggles.  Hard to imagine a Steve Spurrier offense that has not averaged more than 27 points in any of  the 4 years he has been at USC east.  But such is the case.  Toss in the always persistent QB controversy, and we may well be on our way to witnessing the offense struggle yet again. 

You think SC's offense is a bit suspect, the Wolfpack offense was downright miserable last year.  Turnovers, turnovers, turnovers.  They came early and often for the O'Brien led 'Pack attack last year.  And if they want to be competitive with the 'Cocks in this one, they need to secure the ball.  They also need to play some better defense to boot.  But with only 4 starters returning on that side of the ball, and a lack of talent, it is doubtful there will be much improvement on that side in '08.

Tough to give 12 1/2 points with the often times inept offense of the Gamecocks, but they have a serious chance of their defense pitching a shutout.  Look for a defensive or special teams score out of the Gamecocks, some offensive spark and we have a fairly safe and easy win.  Lay the 12 1/2....  South Carolina 34 NC State 10.

Oregon State @ Stanford (+3):  Oregon State, year in and year out, is one of the most undervalued teams in the country.  Stanford is trying to claw their way out of the cellar in the Pac 10.  An interesting conference matchup to start the season is in tail for both of these teams.  And very interesting for the bowl aspirations of the Beavers.

The Tree improved by leaps and bounds under Harbaugh's 1st year guidance.  And they are even talking bowl game this year as well.  Last year the Beavers handled the Tree pretty handily at home by the final tally of 23-6.  In that game they held Stanford to -8 yards rushing, and 181 yards of total offense.  But with only 3 starters returning on defense, including the loss of their entire front 7 don't expect that to happen again.  Watch for RB Toby Gerhart from the Cardinal to pose an interesting threat in this one as the Beavers break in their defensive front seven. 

I'll call for the short-priced upset in this one..........Stanford 27 Oregon State 23.

Saturday, August 30th:

Utah @ Michigan (- 3 1/2):  We all know the story in Michigan.  New coach, new offense, and a completely new set of players to run it.  In fact, only 3 starters return on offense for the Wolverines.  However, they should have a pretty good defense even with the departures of Shawn Crable and Jamar Adams

Utah returns 14 starters from a very competitive 9-4 team, and have Mountain West conference champion aspirations.  Brian Johnson is a solid playmaker at QB, and should cause some problems for Michigan.  They also play much better defense than anyone would give them credit for. 

I doubt I'm in select company in picking this upset.  A tough 1st game for Rodriguez to begin his career at Michigan against a very tough mid-major team.  Look for a tight, low-scoring affair in Ann Arbor, and the more seasoned Utes to hold on for the victory.........Utah 20 Michigan 16.

Western Michigan @ Nebraska (-14):  Yeah, call me a homer, but this is a pretty big game for the new regime in Lincoln, NE.  Western Michigan isn't exactly a complete creme puff, and when you consider the Huskers are rebuilding the worst defense in the entire BCS from last year, and this matchup may get a little more intriguing than most would expect.

Look for some early struggles out of the Huskers, but their overall talent should prevail.  They should also be able to score some points.  The real question is if their sieve-like defense has improved to a status of respectability.  This is a fairly decent start to see just how far they have come......but in the end the Huskers have too much depth and talent, lay the 14.  Nebraska 41 Western Michigan 17.

Virginia Tech @ East Carolina (+9 1/2):  East Carolina is a pretty damn good football team.  Virginia Tech is looking to replace 7 starters on defense including Xavier Adibi, Vince Hall, and Brandon Flowers.  They are also looking for a RB and any WR that can catch the ball on a regular basis. 

Last year, East Carolina gave them all they wanted in an emotional opening game for the Hokies.  Don't expect it to be any easier, especially with it being on the road.  Skip Holtz is building himself into a pretty good coach at ECU, and returns 16 starters from an 8-5 ballclub that is coming off of a bowl victory.  Hard to call for the outright upset, but this one should be interesting till the very end........Va Tech 23 ECU 19.

Illinois vs. Missouri (- 8 1/2):  Both teams are coming off of breakout seasons.  But, Missouri returns a lot more of the key parts from last year than Illinois does.  Last year, Mizzou held on for a 40-34 win in one of  last years best games of the early season.  Don't look for it to be that close this year, as the TIgers have one of the best offenses in the entire country.  They also have the much better defense.  Unless Juice Williams and Arrelious Benn can make a ton of plays for the Fighting Illini, I really don't expect this one to be that close.  Lay the 8 1/2........Missouri 41  Illinois 13.

Michigan State @ California (-4 1/2):  This could end up being the most exciting game of the weekend.  Mark Dantonio is bringing in a very much improved Spartan squad that went bowling last year.  Cal is looking to wipe away their late season collapse from last year.  Cal is more talented, but MSU is more seasoned.  This is a tough call either way.  I really don't have an opinion on this one, other than this is a game that I will definitely try to catch.  Much like Mizzou and Illinois last year, this early season match up could have much bigger implications around it than anyone thinks.

GAME OF THE WEEK:

Clemson vs. Alabama (+5):  We are hearing the talk again.  'This is Clemson's year'.  The Tiger's have a ton of offensive talent at the specialty postions.  But......their offensive line has just a few questions since they are starting 5 underclassmen, and 3 new starters.  On defense, Clemson should have one of the better stop units in the country.  WIth that said, it is games like this that Clemson has the tendency to lose.  And lose late. 

Alabama is still in a bit of rebuilding mode in Saban's 2nd year, but they aren't dearth of talent.  John Parker Wilson is entering his 3rd year as the starting QB, and we should see some vast improvement in his Senior year.  They should also have a pretty good defense on their side of the ball.  I really only see two likely outcomes.  Either Clemson is ready to put a hurt on Alabama and beat them by 2 TD's or more, or it remains close throughout and Alabama pulls off the upset.  I'll side with history and take the Tide in a low scoring see-saw battle........Alabama 23  Clemson 20.

Labor Day:

Fresno State @ Rutgers (+ 5):  I'll be short and sweet.  This is a trendy upset pick.  I'm not buying into it.  Rutgers still has talent even with the departure of Ray Rice, and Fresno has to travel clear across the country for this one.  I'll take Rutgers and lay the 5.  This line will likely go down by game time to around 3 or so.  Rutgers 34 Fresno State 22.

Tennessee @ UCLA (+7):  The Vols are making that dreadful early season voyage to the West Coast again.  This time against a rebuilding Bruins squad with new head man Rick Neuheisel.  Fulmer is under some heat this year, and if he were to lose this early contest, the grumblings could start very early.  Taking history into consideration, I very much expect that to happen.  Take the money line and the Bruins as they play inspired ball for their new coach and offensive guru Norm Chow.  UCLA 27 Tennessee 24.

That's week ones biggest matchups as I see them. 

Enjoy the games, and best of luck to you and yours, and your favorite football team as the season progresses.

18 Comments | Add a comment   categories: College Football, NCAA FB, Nostradomus
 
College Football Preview 2008 : Upsets?
Aug 21, 2008 | 7:26PM | report this

In the past couple of years, College Football has seen the rise of the 'underdog'.  Never before in the entire history of College Football have we seen the mightiest of the mighty be so vulnerable as they are right now.

So as we look forward to yet another fantastic College Football season at hand, what are some of the upsets we should look for in College Football?  Who will be this year's Appalachian State, Stanford, or Louisiana-Monroe?

I'll give it my best 'college' effort at identifying 8 contests that could seriously surprise in 2008. 

NOTE:  These are games that will likely showcase teams that are at least 20 point favorites.  In no way is it any degradation of the teams playing the game, but more of a look at games that have the 'potential' to turn some heads and make you say:  WOW!

8.   Georgia vs. Central Michigan:  The Bulldogs enter the 2008 season as the #1 ranked team in all the land.  The 1st time in school history.  On September 6th they welcome CMU and their high-flying offense led by Heisman contender Dan LeFevour.  The Chippewa's will struggle to contain Knowshon and Stafford, but if LeFevour can find some time to find receivers against an incredible stop unit from Georgia, this game could be a lot closer than many expect.  A huge mismatch in the trenches, Central Michigan will need a very special game out of LeFevour to likely be even competitive.  The biggest item in CMU's favor is that Georgia has 2 road games in South Carolina and Arizona State to look forward too.  Will they be looking ahead?

7.  Colorado vs. Eastern Washington:  Colorado lost to Montana State two years ago.  Eastern Washington is every bit as good as a middle of the road FBS school that Montana State was 2 years ago.  The Buffs are still rebuilding, and if they are caught looking ahead to tilts with West Virginia and Florida State, this one has some serious upset considerations.  They will also be fresh off o####ame with in-state rival Colorado State.  The biggest ####-hummer on Colorado's schedule could also prove to be very unrewarding.  The Buffs are also notorious for being one of the biggest up and down teams in the country.  Take care of business early, or you might not like the results when this one is over in Boulder.   

6.  Pittsburgh vs. BuffaloBuffalo is a far cry from being the whipping boy of years past.  Last year they were a win away from playing in the MAC Conference title game.  They also have 18 starters returning from an up and coming team and coach.  The biggest problem in this matchup is that Pittsburgh has a bye week following this contest.  But this early in the season, and without a proven veteran at QB, Pitt could have their hands full with a Buffalo defense that may be able to key on LeSean McCoy.  With both teams coming off of 5-7 seasons, neither team has 'huge' confidence in winning with regularity.  A huge mismatch on paper, this one may not be as bad of a matchup when they line up on the field.   

5.  Penn State vs. Temple:  Historically?  Temple is one of the worst programs in the history of College Football.  Penn State is one of the best.  However, Temple returns ALL 22 starters from last years much improved 4-8 football team.  Penn State will be breaking in a new QB.  Penn State will be much better this year than most people think, but this game has a possible let-down smell about it.  Throw in the fact that the Lions may be looking forward to their conference opener against Illinois in the following week, and the Owls could prove to be quite feisty. 

4.  Texas Tech at Nevada:  The Red Raiders have HUGE expectations this year.  Expectations that they will be able to compete for Big 12 supremacy, and maybe even a National Title if the pieces fall into place.  However, this is a scary scheduling snafu that could expose a title contending team.  Nevada is one of the best non-BCS schools in the country, and are led by super soph QB Colin Kaepernick and senior RB Luke Lippincott.  This one has all the makings of a big-time shoot-out.  The Red Gun offense will likely put up more than 40 points, but the real question is if they will be able to hold the Wolfpack under 50?  As big of a mismatch as this looks like on paper, this is a dangerous game for the Red Raiders to be playing on the road this early in the season.  When you consider that Texas Tech is 5-3 in non-conference road games over the last 5 years and this one starts to get real interesting.  It may not have the Stanford or Appalachian State type appeal, but it would be a very big upset nonetheless.

3.  Auburn vs. Southern Mississippi:  Talk about an upset.  Southern Miss only has 10 starters returning from a 7-6 'average at best' football team.  Auburn is considered the favorite in the SEC West.  If La-Monroe can beat Alabama, then USM can beat Auburn.  With a 1st year head coach taking the helm in Hattiesburg, with a very bare cupboard, the Golden Eagles will be looked at as being simple fodder for the Tigers.  However, Damion Fletcher is a pretty solid RB, and if Auburn is caught looking ahead to their conference opener, this game could be much better than most would expect.   USM also has a pretty good history of playing great teams very tough. 

2.  USC @ Arizona:  Bob Stoops brother needs a hallmark victory.  And this would be it.  Willie Tuitama is a great QB, and Mike Thomas is one of the best WR's in the Pac 10.  The Wildcats have also played the Trojans very tough the last 2 years.  The scheduling snafu that Wildcat faithful would hope for is not in their favor however.  USC plays Washington State the week before, and Washington the week after.  But if Stanford can beat Pete and company, then Arizona has every reason to believe that they can do the same.  Throw in a very possible night game matchup, and the Wildcat faithful could be in a drunken frenzy when this game kicks off.  Also consider that a win in this contest could save Mike Stoops job, and it gets to be really interesting. 

1.  Florida @ VanderbiltFlorida has a bit of history in struggling with the very well coached, but outclassed, Commodores.  In 2006 the Gators escaped with a 25-19 win, and in 2005 needed 2 OT's to put the 'Dores away.  This year the Gators play the 'Dores the week after one of the biggest games on this years College Football schedule.  The annual World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party reunion with Georgia.  The following week they play former coach and rival South Carolina.  This has all the makings of a 'tweener' game for the Gators.  If Florida were to beat Georgia in the previous week and come into this game undefeated, this game has all the makings of a USC/Stanford type upset written all over it.

Will these upsets happen?  Not likely.  But if we have learned anything in College Football over the past 4 or 5 years, anything and everything can and will happen.  Would these upsets be a surprise?  No doubt about it. 

Got any of your own you are pegging as potential jaw-dropping upsets to look forward to in 2008? 

37 Comments | Add a comment   categories: College Football, NCAA FB, Nostradomus
 
College Football Preview 2008 : 10 Best Coaches in College Football Today
Aug 19, 2008 | 9:15PM | report this

Anticipation getting the better of 'ya right now?  Me as well.  (Nice grammar, eh?). 

Either way, the College Football season kickoff is a mere 9 days away.  Only a weekend and some change.

To stir the pot before the season starts, I'll partake in a list of my most respected coaches in all the land of College Football.  Question my list, differ amongst yourselves, even get angry if you want, here it is:

Mangino10.  Mark Mangino:  Kansas:  Go ahead, call him fat.  Call him a donut away from a heart attack, and Jayhawk fans are simply laughing their way to an Orange Bowl victory last year.  When the 'big guy' stepped on campus in Lawrence in 2002, the Jayhawks had not been to a bowl game since 1995.  They had also only been to 8 bowl games in the entire history of the program.   The biggest bowl win in Kansas history before the 'big guy' stepped on campus?  The Bluebonnet Bowl in 1961.  Now they can claim an Orange Bowl win to their resume.  WIthout a doubt the biggest bowl victory in the history of the much maligned Jayhawk program.  The Jayhawks are also coming off of the greatest season in the history of the program.  In 6 years Mr. Mangino owns a 37-36 record as the head man of the Jayhawks.  The scariest thing about that is he is the 3rd winningest coach in KU football history.  In 2008, he only needs 11 more victories to surpass Glen Mason as the winningest head coach in Jayhawk football history.  Unless he leaves for greener pastures, consider that one done. 

We must also respect Mark for the way he has rebuilt the 'Hawks.  He has done it the right way, rebuilding through solid recruiting of high school kids, patience, and without a doubt some of the best X's and O's coaching in the entire country.  Now the Jayhawks are getting notice from some of the best up and coming talent in the country.  No longer are they privy to 1 and 2 star talent, they are bringing in solid 3 and 4 stars to Lawrence.  Don't expect the Jayhawks to simply fade away anytime soon.  One also has to recognize the serious amount of money that boosters and fans are starting to throw at the KU program.  They have serious upgrades in place for their stadium, practice facilities, and weight room in tow.  If the 'Hawks can keep this coaching 'giant' in Lawrence for a while, he may well be on his way to building a solid program at Kansas.  That has to be respected.

 Leavitt

9.  Jim Leavitt:  South Florida:  Consider this.  South Florida did not have a football program in 1996.  In 1997 they ushered in football with their still reigning head coach, Jim Leavitt.  After 4 seasons as a Division I-AA also-ran, the Bulls became a Divsion I-A football team. 

From a start up program in 1997 till now, Mr. Leavitt owns a 79-47 record.  That is absolutely unbelievable for a program that was not even playing football in 1996.  Now entering his 12th season as head coach of the Bulls, Mr. Leavitt is staring at a team that has some serious considerations of contending for the National Title.  That is almost sarcastic in that fact that in-state schools, and former powers Florida State and Miami don't quite have those kinds of hopes.   Since joining the Big East, the Bulls own a 24-14 record.  They were supposed to fold under the immense pressure of playing in a BCS conference.  Quite simply, they haven't.  Not only have they not 'folded', they are in place to make a serious run at being conference champions, and yes, even National Champions.  I almost feel ashmamed at ranking this incredible story and coaching job so low.  In a few years, this guy may well rank as #1.  Time will tell. 

Mack Brown

8.  Mack Brown : Texas:  Go ahead, laugh.  But before Mack Brown stepped on campus at Texas, the Longhorns were a former shell of their '60's, '70's, and '80's greatness.  In his 10 years at Texas, the 'Horns hold a 103-25 record.  They have also never won less than 9 games in his 10 seasons in Austin.  Consider in the 10 previous seasons since Mack came to Texas, the 'Horns had only won 70 games, with only 2 seasons of 10 wins.  Mr. Brown has brought some serious pride back to the Longhorns, and rightfully so.  He has also led the 'Horns to their 1st National Championship since Darrell Royal in 1970.  In the long storied tradition of Texas football, only 2 coaches have led the steers to a National Title.  Mr. Brown is one of them.

Want to give him some smack about being a 'choker'?.  Go right ahead.  When push comes to shove, he has recruited some of the best talent in the country to the almighty University of Texas.  Sure he is a great recruiter, and people hold that over his head that he can't win without supreme talent.  So what?  What was Texas before he was there?  Poorly coached, and less talented.  He may not be the greatest X's and O's coach, but recruiting is as much a part of being a great coach as anything else you can lay on the table.  And Mack does that about as good as anybody in the country.  Does he have an advantage as the head man at the premier school in Texas?  Sure. But so did everybody else that was at Texas after Mr. Royal.  And what did they do?  NOTHING.  At least Mack has made it a point of bringing in the best that Texas can offer to their beloved University.  And it has been very productive.

Stoops

7.  Bob Stoops : Oklahoma:  He has to be in front of Mack.  No doubt about it.  He also owns a National Title to his claim, and year in and year out, simply 'owns' the biggest rivalry in Oklahoma lore over Texas since he has been in Norman.  Rolling into his 10th year at OU, Mr. Stoops owns a 97-22 record.  That is averaging over 10 wins a season.  Including his 7-4 season in his 1st year as head coach.  When you notice that OU only won 12 games in the previous 3 seasons at OU before he came to Norman, and you realize what an incredible job he has done at Oklahoma.  Mr. Stoops also owns 4 seasons with 12 or more wins.  In his 9 seasons in Norman, Mr. Stoops has only won less than 11 games TWICE.  The 7-5 season in his 1st year, and the 2005 disaster due to injuries and suspensions of prized starters, are his only blemishes to that record. 

The Sooners have been in 3 National Championship games since his arrival.  Sadly, for OU fans, they are 1-2 in those contests.  With a huge blowout loss to USC on the ledger, and a  dismal 3-6 record in bowl games since he has been in charge, Mr. Stoops rank at or near the top is beginning to be questioned.  If the bowl game W/L  were different, 'Big Game Bob' would have been much higher.  Frankly put, Mr. Stoops needs to recoup much of the respect he gained in his earlier reign at OU in the years to come if he wants to keep such a high ranking.  I'm pretty confident that he will. 

MIles

6. Les Miles : LSU:  A bit high?  Likely.  But you can't argue with his record at LSU.  34-6 has to be respected.  Along with last year's National Title.  Over the next 5 years, Mr. Miles will earn his ware's on being considered one of the best coaches in all the land.  But......right now as it stands, he has to be considered as one of the best.  Without a doubt, Mr. Miles has stepped into one of the biggest gold mines in all of College Football.  Head coach at LSU.......... after recruiting guru Nick Saban skated town.  The talent in Baton Rouge has been simply phenomenal.   And Les has definitely taken advantage.  Dog his coaching antics, and brash coaching style all you want, but the guy simply wins.  And right now, he is winning a lot.  Whether he stays this high on the list will be determined over the next 5 years.  But if the recruiting that he has done since he has been on campus since arriving, don't expect him to fall much.  He may likely rise, and compound some 'interest' on a very fruitful situation he arrived upon. 

Mark Richt

5.  Mark Richt : Georgia:  The former FSU offensive guru has defenitely brought about a brand of toughness to the Bulldog program that nobody has ever seen.  Not since the days of Herschel Walker have the 'Dawgs been this tough in the SEC.  And his recruiting has been fabulous.  Never before have the 'Dawgs enjoyed such fruitful recruiting since Mark stepped on campus in Athens.  He is keeping the talented in-state kids at home, and is delving into the talents of many of the SEC states around him as well.  When it comes down to it, the Bulldogs don't need much more to be seriously competitive.  And Mr. Richt has proven that fact.  Since Mr. Richt came to Georgia they own a gaudy 72-19 record.  That is an average of more than 10 wins a season.   This year, they are pre-season ranked #1 for the 1st time in the long history of the program. 

The biggest question for Mr. Richt is, can he handle the pressure of the being the top 'dog'?  We shall see, but if his previous 7 years at the helm have shown anything, he will likely be up to the challenge.  Not since Vince Dooley was roaming the sidelines have Bulldog fans been this frenzied.  In all, he will have to overcome one of the toughest schedules in the country this year, if his 'Dawgs are to prevail.  History is against you Mark, if you can pull it off, you will rise to a VERY high standard on this list.  Not that you haven't impressed me already.

Beamer

4.  Frank Beamer : Virginia Tech:  He should be higher.  He IS Virginia Tech football.  Before he stepped on campus 22 years ago in Blacksburg, NOBODY knew who Virginia Tech was in College Football.  Now?  Everybody does.  And they are considered serious threats to win it all year in and year out. 

The best combined special teams and defense in the country year in and year out.  That IS coaching to a premium.  When he has had special talent like Michael Vick, the Hokies have been legit contenders.  The Hokies have won 10 or more games in 7 out of the last 9 years.  Over the long haul, Mr. Beamer has won a ton of games with what is considered lesser talent than his foes.  Without a doubt, there is nobody better in getting the most out of his talent on hand.  IF, Mr. Beamer were a big-time recruiter he could easily notch his way up.  But that isn't his style, and likely never will be.  Kudos, to a sure-fire Hall-of-Fame College Football coach.  And he does it the right way to boot.  Much more than many of his brethren can hold claim to.  May not be a more respected coach in all the land by his peers right now in College Football than Mr. Beamer. 

Urban Meyer

3.  Urban Meyer : Florida:  If you can sum up this guy in one word it is:  WINNER.  Bowling Green, Utah,  and now......Florida, all this guy has ever done is win.  And win a lot.  Personable, tactical, smart, ingenius, etc.  This guy has it all.  In the next couple of years he will definitely challenge my top 2. 

In only his 2nd season as head coach of the Gators, he led them to a National Title.  Now in his 4th year, he has them on a solid pace to go after that same elusive trophy.  His recruiting is almost 2nd to none, and his offensive genius may well be 2nd............ to nobody.  An inspired and beloved coach by his players, he gets the most out of them on a given Saturday.  His game day decisions are relatively unquestioned thus far.  Players love to play for him, and players love to get recruited by him.  That is a superb talent.  He is also excellent with the press.  The CEO of the Gator team is on his way to the top.  It may take some time to overcome the two in front of him, but he has the talent to do it.  At his current pace, as only a 4 year vet in the BCS ranks to get this high, obviously the sky is the limit.  However, the top 2 will be VERY tough to overcome.   

Pete

2.  Pete Carroll : USC :  Talk about tough.  How hard is it to put this guy into the 2 slot?  Easily the most respected team in the country amongst his coaching brethren, year in and year out.  Pete has built an absoulute MONSTER in South California since his arrival 8 years ago.  In his 7 years as head coach, the Trojans are merely 76-14.    And that includes his 1st year with a 6-6 record with a very poor team.  Take away the 1st year dagger, and Pete is 70-8 over 6 years.  He also has 2 National Titles to claim (although LSU fans will debate that).  Since his 2nd year in LA, Pete has held the Trojans as serious National Contenders in EVERY SINGLE YEAR.  Bar none.  His recruiting has been 2nd to none.  His coaching, could be questioned, but I don't know that I could.  The absolute talent that he has brought into LA is unquestioned.  Simply the best of the best in the country. 

Now, is the time that people are starting to question Pete and all his greatness.  "The talent you bring in is by far the best",  "you lose to lesser talented teams all the time", and...........Stanford, last year.  If USC can simply beat the red-headed step-child that is Stanford last year.........at home mind you, LSU is nowhere to be found in the National Title game.  Such is the Karma surrounding Pete right now in LA.  Question Pete all you want, but he has built the single biggest empire in all of College Football over the last 8 years.  Deny it all you want, but you would simply be wrong.  Sure, recruiting has played a large part into it, but so has every other top notch teams rise to glory.  Simply put, NOBODY recruits better than Pete.  And likely, nobody will for quite some time. 

Tressell

1.  Jim Tressel : Ohio State :  The man, the myth, the legend.  Nobody does it better, cleaner, and more right than Mr. Tressel at Ohio State.  He has recruited great players to OSU, but he has also kept them pretty well in line.  All that while garnering a 73-16 record since arriving in Columbus, OH.  And that includes 4 Big 10 titles in the 7 years he has been at OSU, including the last 3.  And, oh by the way, a National Championship win over the "Best Team in College Football History" at the time in Miami. 

Pete's record at USC may look to be more impressive, but his legacy has some certain conspiracy rivaled around it right now as well.  Mr. Tressel has no contenders to the cleanest and best run program in the nation right now.  NONE.  Sure, he has had his few stragglers, but for the large part, "The Vest" has brought in solid young men who want to play football and get an education at the same time.  That has to be respected. 

They are also the best coached X's and O's team in the country, year in and year out.  They rarely get outcoached.  The 'Vest', to me, is the best in the business......bar none.  If I were to pick a coach to lead my team, he definitely heads the list.  Respectable, honorable, a recruiting stud, and a man that leads a team with dignity.  To me, there is none better than Jim. 

Love 'em or hate 'em.  That is how I see it.  Time for you to disagree, and I'm sure you will.  

Just found this link.  Amazed at how close the lists are.  Best College Coaches, and this list posted 3 days merely after my unpaid entry. 

 

109 Comments | Add a comment   categories: College Football, NCAA FB, Nostradomus
 
College Football Preview 2008 : The Heisman Short List
Aug 11, 2008 | 6:59PM | report this

In my local paper today, I was shocked to see that it is a mere 19 days away from my beloved Husker's kickoff to the '08 football season.  As one of my favorite bands, The Replacements, would say:  "I Can't Hardly Wait".

In this preview of the greatest spectacle in all of sports (College Football), I'll take a peek at who should really be considered on the short list of Heisman candidates and why.  Regardless of position, the BEST player deserves the award.  Afterall, isn't it considered the award for "The Best Player in College Football"?

Love 'em or Hate 'em, here they are:

10.  LeSean McCoy RB, Pittsburgh:  Better than Knowshon?  Yes.  Better than the Spiller and James gang in Clemson?  Yes and yes.  Only a Sophomore, LeSean simply broke Tony Dorsett's long-standing freshman RB record last year in tallying 1,328 yards rushing.  That after not even beginning the season as the starter.  This is the biggest reason why Pitt fans are anxiously awaiting this years season.  And with good cause.  Rarely do you see a guy that is 210 lbs with the speed, vision, and cutting ability that you see in McCoy.  No doubt Moreno at Georgia is good, but I'll take McCoy every day of the week and twice on Sunday.  The day he is destined to play for many a year to come.  Only a Sophomore, this guy will skyrocket up draft boards, and may well be the #1 guy on Mel's big board entering his Junior year. 

9.  Malcolm Jenkins CB, Ohio State:  The best player in a secondary that can be considered the best in the country.  At 6'1" and 201 pounds Jenkins has the size and physicality to play pressure bump n' run coverage.  He also has enough speed and hips to cover even the 'scattiest' of receivers.  This is your prototypical NFL corner, and for good reason.  He can also tackle in the open field, and make the bone-jarring hit when necessary.  With a solid front 7 in front of him, Jenkins will have the opportunity to make a lot of big plays in the secondary this year, even when QB's don't throw his way. 

8.  Tyson Jackson DE, LSU:  Simply put, this guy is a beast.  At 6'5" and 292 lbs, he is virtually unblockable one on one.  Glenn Dorsey didn't do it alone on the Tiger front four last year, and this guy was as much a part of the most dominant defensive line in all of College Football last year as was Dorsey.  Having Kirston Pittman on the other side won't hurt much either.  A scary stat was that Jackson had 10 PBU's (Pass Break Ups) last year.  At Defensive End!  Look for a monster season out of this incredibly talented, and yes rather large fella on the defensive side of the ball for the Tigers.  His 3 1/2 sacks last year should skyrocket in '08, unless he faces an immense amount of double teams.  And that just might happen.

7.  Dan Lefevour QB Central Michigan:  Impressed with Tebow's statitistics from last year?  Try these on for size:  3,652 yards passing, 65.4% completion percentage, 27 TD's and 13 int's.  1,122 yards rushing and 22 TD's.  He outyarded Tebow (in total yards)  4,774 to 4,181, and only accounted for 6 less TD's.  His 13 int's is rather large, but he also doesn't have quite the caliber of WR's to throw to as Tebow enjoy's.  HOWEVER, and a big however, he doesn't play near the competition that Superman does.  With that said, Central Michigan likely doesn't win more than 4 games last year on a team that gave up nearly 37 ppg on defense without Lefevour.  I doubt Florida would have won less than 7 without Tebow, and maybe wouldn't have lost anymore than they did with him?  For Lefevour to have a serious shot, the Chippewas must be somewhat competitive in clashes with BCS schools Georgia, Purdue, and Indiana.  If he can put up solid numbers against those schools (especially Georgia) this is a for real dark horse contender.  A reduction in INT's is a must, and a jump in production must be seen as well.  But in a weak MAC conference, this offense could rev up some gaudy numbers against some pathetic defenses.  Could we have our 1st 4,000/1,000 QB in the history of College Football? 

6.  Herman Johnson G, LSU:  At 6'7" and 351 lbs, this guy is a behemoth.  NFL scouts are salivating over this guy, and for good reason. Not even your biggest, strongest or quickest DT's can get through, around, or over this guy.  If he improves on his footwork  this year, this guy will leap up NFL draft boards.  And if he doesn't, he is still a mainstay as a 1st round selection next year.  Anyone who can get a sack off this guy should get serious consideration for the Lombardi Award based on a single play.

5.  Phil Loadholt LT, Oklahoma:  Another giant at 6'8" and 350 lbs.  Alex Boone at Ohio State is solid at LT for the Buckeyes, but this guy is better.  Like Herman, he needs to work on some footwork, but he is severely talented.  At the prized OL position of LT, there is nobody tougher to get around in College Football on that side of the ball than Mr. Loadholt.  A big reason why a little known Sam Bradford last year was so confident in the pocket when this guy was guarding his blindside.  A solid season out of Phil, and millions of NFL dollars are waiting.  I definitely see that happening.

4.  Rey Maualuga LB, USC:  I almost feel ashamed at rating this guy this 'low'.  At 6' 3" and 255 lbs this is the most feared LB in all of College Football.  And yes, he IS better than James Laurinaitus at Ohio State.  Next year's NFL draft will prove that.  He is also the most feared hitter in all of College Football, BAR NONE..  TE's, WR's and RB's tip-toe when this beast is in the neighborhood.  Bigger, faster, and stronger than James, Rey Rey is simply a wrecking machine on the defensive side of the ball.  Sure, he will miss Sedrick Ellis at DT in front of him, but USC will simply plug in another AA anyway.  His Rose Bowl performance last year was his big time National TV breakout.  Not that he had any bad games last year, but that one set the mark.  Only differing by a single vowel, Rey may be the next coming of Ray Lewis.

3.  Taylor Mays S, USC:  6' 4"and 225 lbs.  And no, he is not a LB.  He is a Free Safety.  He can also run a legit NFL Combine 4.5 40.  This guy could have the most upside talent potential in the entire country.  When you consider most 'big' safeties are 6'0 or 6'1' and 200 pounds, this guy is simply a freak.  He also hits like a truck.  Look for his PBU's and INT's to rise dramatically in '08, and expect him to be making plays all over the field once again.  Only a Junior, he will likely leave after this season to the Millions that are awaiting him in the NFL next year.  He has the size, speed, and talent to make a change in how this position is played.  Even at the next level.  The Trojans will dare people to throw the ball over the middle this year.  Between Taylor and Rey, it is a virtual toss up.  I'll put the never before seen talents of Mays in front of Rey.  I'm likely wrong.

2.  Tim Tebow QB, Florida:  Last year's Heisman winner put up Nintendo stats on his way to garnering the trophy.  A year in which he became the 1st Sophomore to ever win the award.  I would have had him on top, but the emergence of Chris Rainey, and the transfer of Emmanuel Moody from USC, makes the Gator backfield a lot more reliable upon a RB to run the ball than the superlatively talented Tebow.  Not too mention, even Urban Meyer knows that his bread and butter QB cannot keep running the ball like a FB if the Gators are to be successful in the long run.   An improvement on last year's win-loss column is a must for him to repeat.  But..... if the mighty mighty Tebow can carry the Gators to an undefeated regular season,  he very well may be hoisting the trophy once again.  Hard to see him not earning a trip to New York unless injuries are a part of his year.

1.  Chris Wells RB, Ohio State:  Not quite as fast as the top end speed of Bo Jackson or Herschel Walker from SEC lore, Beanie Wells is almost as talented, and not exactly slow by any stretch of the imagination.  At 6' 1" and 237 lbs he is a downhill running nightmare for any LB or defensive back in the country.  He can also make people miss.  One of his often missed talents is that defensive players rarely get a good lick on him.  Running in an offense that will revolve around his talents, and it looks like a possible 2,000 yard season may be in store for Mr. Well's in 2008.  Last year, he only ran for 1,609 yards from scrimmage.  That number will grow.  With one of the best offensive lines in front of him, and one of the best defenses in the country to back him up, Beanie is due for a MONSTER year.  Only a Junior, Buckeye fans should enjoy his final year in Columbus, as Mr. Wells is undoubtedly headed to the NFL after this season is over.  Throw in a possible undefeated season and Beanie heads my class of 'true' Heisman contenders. 

Laugh, disagree, chuckle.  Let 'er rip.  If you disagree, who is YOUR true talent to win it all?  That is of course, if the voters actually voted for the BEST player in all of College Football?

Special Note:  Sorry about the lack of statistics and wherewithall on Offensive Lineman, but those are hard to come by, and nobody tracks many stats on these all important players.

19 Comments | Add a comment   categories: College Football, NCAA FB, Heisman Watch, Nostradomus
 
College Football Preview 2008 : 10 Teams That Could Surprise
Aug 05, 2008 | 9:55PM | report this

Less than 4 weeks till the kickoff of the 2008 season, and the hype is just beginning.  Many teams have started their fall camps this week, and EVERY fan has huge expectations for their team(s) at hand.

Can we stay on top?  Can we get better?  Who will be the guys that step up?  Who will fall on their face?

The eternal questions entering any College Football season.  In this post I'll take a peek at the 10 teams I believe that could step up and surprise........and may even.... win it all? 

10.  Colorado:  Dan Hawkins returns 14 starters from last year, but more importantly 8 on defense, and his own son as the starting QB.  Unfortunately for Buffs fans, they play one of the toughest schedules in the country.  On the bright side, they bring in the AA blue-chip RB recruit Darrell Scott.  We should also expect the WR corps to be much better in Hawkins 3rd year at the helm.  If the defense can stop anybody on a regular basis, they have a good enough offense to score 30 or more per game.  Games against West Virginia, Florida State, Texas, @ Kansas, @ Missouri, and @ Nebraska look to be some big cogs to overcome.  If they get hot...... they could go 4-2 against that tumultuous schedule.  IF NOT?  They could go 4-8.  Either way, it should be an exciting year in Boulder with virtually a quality opponent lining up against them each and every week. 

9.  Pittsburgh:  Dave Wannstedt has been under some heat to produce in Pittsburgh.  He has also enjoyed some of the best recruits in the BIg East over the past few years to matriculate to the Pennsylvania campus as well.  The QB competition is a bit of a concern, but the return of both WR Derek Kinder, and AA candidate LeSean McCoy at RB should help that postition out tremendously.  With 15 starters returning, and what looks to be a much improved defense in tow, the Panthers could be a solid surpise Big East conference champion.  WIth a manageable non-conference schedule ( Bowling Green, Buffalo, Iowa, @ Navy, @ Notre Dame), Pitt has an honest chance to run the table with a couple of upsets over South Florida and West Virginia.  (Not asking for much, am I?)  They should be favored in 8 games this year.  Throw in some good mojo and solid special teams play, and this team could definitely surprise some people.

8.  Notre Dame:  Yeah, give me some heat.  I should probably deserve it on this one.  But.......the 'Domers have one of their easiest schedules we have seen for quite some time.  Even including their BCS years when Brady was at the helm.  To start out the season with 2 solid wins would go a long ways.  A loss to a rebuilding Michigan team at home could also spell their doom in week 2.    Throw in road games to Michigan State, North Carolina, Washington, and USC, and it is HIGHLY unlikely the Irish can pull off 10 or more wins.  But I don't think there is a single person in the country that honestly believes the Irish will be one of the worst offenses in the country again in 2008.  WIth 16 starters returning, including 9 on offense, the Irish should expect to see some huge strides gained this year.  Can they return to BCS bowl game notoriety?  If they can win 9 games, they could very likely return to that echelon.  The real question is whether they can win 9 games.  I'll give them a 33% chance of doing just that. 

7.  North CarolinaButch Davis can coach.  Just not in the NFL.  The job he did at Miami has to be respected, and the recruiting, thus far, that he has done at Carolina also shows much promise for the Heels in '08.  Throw in the fact that the Tar Heels lost 6 closely contested games last year, and the future looks to be bright in Chapel Hill.  TJ Yates is one of the better QB's that most people don't know about, and they return 18 starters from last years much improved team.  If they simply split the close games that they had last year they were 7-5.  Keep in mind, in the same ACC conference, Virginia WON 6 games by a grand total of 12 points last year.  Speed and playmakers have been the biggest influence that Butch has brought to North Carolina.  Look for that speed and talent to start to take hold this year.  With their 5 road games involving Rutgers, Miami (FL), Virginia, Maryland, and Duke, the Heels should be able to compete in every single game in 2008.  In a much depleted ACC conference this year, don't be surprised if the Tar Heels make some serious noise, and a possible run to a conference championship.  The 3 game stretch (after the opener against McNeese State@ Rutgers, vs. Virginia Tech, and @ Miami (FL), will likely go a long ways in proving just how good the Tar Heels could be this year.  A solid start, and this team could be a serious contender.

6.  Michigan State:  Another coach that I like is Mark Dantonio.  In his 1st year in East Lansing he improved a Spartan squad from a 4-8 disaster,  to a 7-6 bowl team.  He also returns 13 starters including underrated QB Brian Hoyer.  With him on offense will be another underrated player in RB Javon Ringer.  Look for Dantonio to open up the Spartan offense a bit more this year, and if the defense can improve in the secondary, this is another team that can surprise some people in '08.  The schedule is tough, and if they can pull off the 'upset' in California in week 1, this team will gain a ton of confidence to start the year.  Ohio State, Wisconsin, and Penn State are all on the schedule, but the Spartans don't see them until their 8th, 10th, and 12th games respectively.  Other important clashes include Notre Dame at home, Iowa at home, and Michigan on the road.  Those games are all winnable.  A 9 or 10 win season isn't out of the realm of possibilities......... could it be more? 

5.  Kansas:  Kansas?  Yes, Kansas.  A pre-season ranked top 15 team is fully expected to fall on their face by many pundits.  Self-included.  But one has to greatly appreciate the job that Mark Mangino has done in Lawrence, KS.  Proverbial bottom-feeder Kansas has just come off of a spectacular 12-1 season including an Orange Bowl win over Virginia Tech.  They also return 9 starters from one of the stingiest defenses in the country from last year including one of the most underrated LB corps and secondaries in the nation.  What the 'Hawks will have to overcome is their defenciencies in the trenches this year.  Road games at South Florida, Oklahoma, and Nebraska loom.  Along with dates against Colorado, Texas Tech, Texas, and Missouri.  Outside of Nebraska and Colorado, those are all teams with top 10 and possible National Championship aspirations.  Many people are predicting 5 or 6 losses for Kansas this year.  But, the Jayhawks have every right to expect that last year was not a fluke.  You don't average over 42 ppg on offense and 16 ppg on defense because you were a 'bad' team; regardless of your schedule.  You may laugh at this being a surprise team, but I'm sure most would be more surprised if the Jayhawks ended up with 8 or more wins this year in the regular season.  Thus the reason I peg them in here.

4.  Auburn:  Should Auburn be considered a surpise?  Maybe not.  But when I can see them running the table and going undefeated, I don't think so.  Yes, the coaches and media predicted them to win the SEC West, but most don't consider them LEGIT National Title contenders.  I do.  The loss of Brandon Cox may prove to be a blessing at QB, and the influx of a rejuvenated 'spread' attack could spring some life into an often criticized Tiger attack.  The defense will be stellar as always, and the special teams will be top notch once again.  Hard to put a team considered by many as an SEC contender into the mix, but when you consider they are not ranked in most pre-season top 10's, and the Tigers could very well end up playing for it all this year.  That to me, means they are a surprise team.

3.  South Florida:  I'll put it to you this way; you SHOULD NOT be surprised if South Florida is undefeated heading to Morgantown, WV on December 6th.  The toughest games facing USF before then?  Kansas at home, Pittsburgh at home, @ Louisville, and Rutgers at home.  South Florida will likely be favored in every contest before they travel to West Virginia.  Throw in 17 returning starters and one of the best defenses you give absolutely no credit to, and the Bulls SHOULD be absolutely no surprise.  But they will be.  Most pre-season polls don't have them ranked in their top 20.  George Selvie is a stud on defense, and Matt Grothe and Mike Ford should be formiddable on offense.  This offense could average more than 40 points this year, and the defense could give up less than 20.  That is a pretty good recipe for success.  Throw in a very unheralded coach in Jim Leavitt, and the Bulls are a force to be reckoned with in 2008.

2.  Oregon:  Sure, we all know about Dennis Dixon's injury last year and the fall from grace of the Ducks.  Sure, Jonathan Stewart is gone.  But what makes the Ducks special this year is their 'Gang Green' defense.  With nothing less than 4 AA candidates on that side of the ball including stud DE Nick Reed and S Patrick Chung, the Ducks should be in every game due to their ball-hawking defense.  They only return 12 starters, but with a solid OL, and a QB tandem that will be better than most expect, the Ducks should be considered as dark horse title contenders.  Jaison Williams is a stud WR, and Jamere Holland should relieve some of the double coverage thrown his way.  And at RB we should not see a huge dropoff, if any.  Remember the name LeGarrette Blount.  The JUCO transfer could prove to be very special.  If the Ducks can get any consistent play out of their QB, they will be very feisty to say the least.  Throw in a VERY manageable 1st 5 games before a visit to USC and the Ducks should be contenders. 

1.  Nebras...... No I'm not that big of a homer.  This year my #1 surprise team is.........??

1.  Florida State:  Talent. Talent. Talent.  The 'Noles have a ton of it.  They also lose the disastrous debacle of the two-headed QB chase in Xavier Lee and Drew Weatherford.  They will finally have a clear cut #1 (maybe).  In all, the Seminoles return 15 starters, and more importantly 8 on defense, including Derek Nicholson.  Look for a monster year out of the MLB.  Along with Nicholson is what I consider will be one of the best stop units in all of College Football.  The secondary, will likely be the most unheralded bunch in the country.  The LB's will be one of the nation's best, and the front 4 should return to some of the dominance of years past.  On offense, Drew Weatherford can only get better knowing that he no longer has to look over his shoulder at #2.  He is THE #1.  Preston Parker is a twin of Percy Harvin, and Antone Smith should enjoy a solid Senior campaign at RB.  The big ticket will come down to solid OL play.  There is absolutely no doubt about it.  But....... the 'Noles enjoy a VERY manageable schedule.  Much more than they have enjoyed in season's past.  Starting at home with Western Carolina, followed by Chattanooga.  They then get Wake Forest (a team who has embarrassed them the last 2 years, at home), and confidence should be running abound in Tallahassee.  From there they get Colorado at home, and a road trip to Miami.  A 5-0 start should not be out of the realm of possibility (and should likely happen).  Then?  @ NC State, vs. Virginia, @ Georgia Tech and the 'Noles could very well be 8-0 with Clemson rolling into town.  IF........ and I mean IF they win that game they have Boston College and @ Maryland before.......... THE GATORS......AT HOME.  Don't be shocked if the 'Noles are 10-1 or maybe even 11-0 when their in-state rival Gators come calling.  And if that is the case, "Katie bar the door."  

The Seminoles.  My top team to surprise this year in 2008 College Football.   

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The State of College Football? Is it Really Better?
Aug 01, 2008 | 6:01PM | report this

In the eyes of many College Football fans, and even the casual fan, College Football has never been better.  During any week, one has the opportunity to view just about any game involving any BCS school at merely the touch of a remote control....... and splash.......there it is on your 60" big screen tv.

Cable TV, and more importantly, ESPN has been monumental in the uprise of College Football over the past 2 decades.  Growing up in the '70's and '80's I was lucky to catch 2 to 3 games a year on my local #### tube involving my beloved Huskers.  Nowadays, as fans, we complain when a game is NOT on television. 

Are we spoiled?  There is absolutely no doubt about it.  Has it made us better fans?  That I seriously question.

Just look at any College Football blog here on FoxSports, and you will likely see a war of words amongst our nations fans.  Go to Rivals or Scouts websites, and it really starts to get ugly.  Conference