The World According to Garp
by: Nostradomus
College Football 2008 Preview : ACC
Jun 22, 2008 | 10:14AM | report this

" Dear lord, we pray that we may win this game today. We ask that you give us the strength and the courage to win our 2nd straight state championship. We ask lord that nobody on our side is seriously injured. We know that we are the best team. We ask that you allow us to win this game. The lord wants you to put your foot on their balls and believe in it, because that's what wins football games. Not jumping offsides like a bunch of wimps and ####. Alright lift your heads boys, prayers over. I talked to god. I'm thru talking to god, now I'm talking to you. You're gonna be out there in front of your families, the student body, every girl you ever had a hard on for is gonna be out there today but you will not be going to no sock-hop tonight boys, you will not get no honey on your stinger if you don't go out there and bust your ####. Because this is it. This is the big one. I want you to taste it. I want you to smell it son. There's winners and there's nothing else. I don't give a #### what those pinkos over in Russia say. You want to be a loser you go live in Russia. I'm not a loser. I'm a winner. I'm an American. Who wants to be John Wayne? Who wants to grab a root and hang on? Who wants to get a mean on? Get a mean on son. Let me see you get a mean on son. Now who wants it? I want to know, who wants this? Who wants to get a mean on? Who wants it? Let's go!"

I'd like to thank Paul Gleason (Coach Wayne Hisler) from the 1988 movie "Johnny Be Good" for this marvelous quote

The NBA Finals are over, and golf is now finished since Tiger is on an injury sabbatical.  What do we have left?  Football.  Real football.  College football to be exact.  Time to get your mean on.

In the next 60-some days before the college football season kicks off on August 30th, I'll try to give you the low down about the season at hand.  (At least as good as I can.) The 2008 College Football season that is.

BCSTo kick it off, I'll start with the ACC Conference, and start dwindling down the other 5 BCS conferences behind them.  Why the ACC 1st you ask?  Well, I'll start with what I believe to be the weakest conference and then work my way up to what I consider the strongest BCS conference.  And until the ACC can win a BCS game, they will get 1st.........er, last........ billing in this blog.

ACC

  
With the additon of Boston College in 2005, coupled with the addition of Miami and Virginia Tech in 2004, many pundits were looking for the ACC to the be the next 'power' football conference.  Self included. Unfortunately for ACC fans, it just hasn't happened.  Donning a 1-9 career record in the BCS (and 0-4 since the realignment), the ACC is finding themselves as the red-headed step child of the entire BCS formula.  In fact, the BCS instigated a rule that a BCS conference champion must be ranked in the top 16 to earn a bid.  This was put in place due to the movement of Miami and Virginia Tech from the Big East to the ACC.  Little did many punidits predict that it would be a factor for the ACC.  But such is the case when you have gone 1-9 throughout the history of the BCS Championship Bowl series for an entire conference.  (The only win being Florida State in the 1999 season in which they beat a Big East member, and current ACC member, Virginia Tech.) 

But lets let bygones be bygones.  What does the ACC have in store for us in 2008?

I foresee the rise to power of this once predicted great conference.  Miami and Florida State should start to get their feet back under them, and Clemson looks to be a legitimate National Title Contender.  North Carolina should be vastly improved, and the supposed bottom feeder from years of lore, Wake Forest, may well be a title contender again as well.  Throw in Duke's assumed improvement, and you likely don't have a patsy in the entire conference.   

How do I see it panning out?

Atlantic Division:

  1. Clemson
  2. Florida State
  3. Maryland
  4. Wake Forest
  5. Boston College
  6. North Carolina State

Coastal Division:

  1. Miami
  2. North Carolina
  3. Virginia Tech
  4. Georgia Tech
  5. Duke
  6. Virginia

I'll look for Clemson and Miami to meet in the title game with Clemson as the eventual BCS representative from the ACC.  In the following I'll give you my team capsules and reasons why I foresee the teams finishing where I predict them to finish.

Atlantic:

Clemson

Clemson:  You will likely not find a better offensive attack than the one assembled in Clemson, SC.  Cullen Harper, James Davis, CJ Spiller, and Aaron Kelly are the best set of QB, RB's, and WR in the country.  End of statement.  Throw in a backup QB in Willy Korn and some solid incoming freshman for the Tigers, and they are absolutely loaded on offense.  Problem?  With all the talent the Tigers have at the skill positions, they aren't exactly polished up front on the offensive line.  With only 1 returning starter amongst the front 5, the Tigers will have their hands full in making these incredibly talented individuals able to showcase their talents.  With a likely starting lineup of 3 Juniors, a Sophomore, and a redshirt Freshman, Tommy Bowden will need to have some early production to iron out his concerns up front.  A game against Alabama on August 30th will let us know exactly what they have in the 1st contest of the season.  On the defensive side it will be hard to replace Nick Watkins and Philip Merling, but the Tigers have a ton of talent to shore up those concerns.  Primarily it starts with TRUE freshman Da'Quan Bowers to fill Philip Merlings DE spot.  At 6'5" and 265 pounds, Bowers is ready to play right away.  Coupled with his appearance on campus in the spring, this is an AA in waiting.  Clemson has 16 starters returning from a 9-4 ballclub that was competitive with everyone on their schedule last year.  Another problem in front of the Tigers is a fairly tough schedule, including two quality BCS schools amongst their non-conference slate.  Games against Alabama, @ Wake Forest, @ Florida State, and South Carolina loom, along with the rest of their ACC slate.  If the Tigers were to run the table, then they will have rightly deserved their slot in the National Championship game.  On the other hand, we have heard the Clemson 'National Title Contender' outlooks before, and until they can go an entire season with less than 3 losses, we should all be a bit skeptical.  I have them winning the ACC, but lets just say I'm just a bit hesitant in selecting a team that has not won a conference championship since 1991, and has not been in the ACC Championship game since it has been in place. 

Florida State

Florida State:  This is a team that has pretty much underperformed in the entire decade of the 2000's.  Following a decade in which they were the team of the '90's the Seminoles haven't had a whole lot to cheer about in the past 8 years.  And it hasn't been due to a lack of talent.  Bobby Bowden supposedly has a succession plan in place, and I wouldn't be surprised if many a 'Noles fan that can't wait until his eventual departure.  With that said, Florida State returns 15 starters from a 7-6 ballclub.  The 'Noles can still play some defense, and if they can get any kind of consistent play out of their much maligned signal caller, Drew Weatherford, they can compete with anybody.  Preston Parker is absolutely a star in the making, and I have to believe that Florida State will do whatever they can to put the ball into his hands as much as possible.  They will have a young and inexperienced offensive line, but they are ridiculously talented.  On the defensive side of the ball Derek Nicholson is another stud linebacker in a long cast of stud linebackers out of FSU.  Couple Nicholson with one of the best secondaries and best defensive lines in the country, and this could be a special stop unit.  Ala, the 90's type dominating defenses of Seminole lore.   Flatly put, there is too much talent on this team to not win at least 9 games.  And if Bobby and staff can put it together along with Weatherford, this is a potential sleeper for a National Title run.  The schedule is tough with games against Wake Forest, Colorado, @ Miami, Virginia Tech, Clemson, and Florida, but they have enough talent to win or at the least be competitive in every game.   Look for Florida State to start their comeback to national prominence in 2008.

Maryland

Maryland:  Ralph Friedgen ushered in his Maryland coaching career with a ####.  Three straight seasons with at least 10 or more wins and an appearance in the Orange Bowl started his career in College Park.  However, since 2003 there hasn't been much to shout about for Terps fans.  Ralph has some talent on hand.  Darrius Heward-Bey is a lightining receiver, and he has one of the best Offensive Lines in the entire ACC, if not THE best, to protect whoever it is that will throw the ball to him.  Replacing Keon Lattimore and Lance Ball at RB is a concern, but they have more talented guys to replace them, although they are obviously less experienced.  The defensive side of the ball will be their largest concern.  You can't replace a talent like Erin Henderson at LB.  At least not at Maryland.  The defensive line will have to step up big time if the Terps want to compete with the elite in the ACC.  Their secondary could be special, led by Kevin Barnes, and the addition of Antwine Perez from USC.  All in all it should be an exciting year in College Park, and we should fully expect the "Fighting Fridges" to go bowling yet again.  Competing for an ACC Championship is likely out of reach due to road games at Clemson, and Virginia Tech.  They also play California in the non-conference and have Florida State, Wake Forest, and North Carolina on the schedule as well.  They will be better than last years squad, but the record may not indicate the improvement. 

Wake Forest

Wake Forest:  There may not be a better coaching job being done in all of College Football than the one we find in Winston-Salem, NC.  Jim Grobe has turned an eternal bottom-feeder in Wake Forest, into legit ACC title contenders over the past 2 years.  Now make that 3.  I have Wake behind Maryland in my standings, but I feel that Wake is the better team.  Their biggest problem is that they play all the heavyweights.  @ Florida State, Clemson, @ Miami, and @ Maryland.  They also play a tough Mississippi squad in non-conference play, allbeit at home.  Riley Skinner is a gamer at QB.  But they have to replace all-everything Kenny Moore at wideout.  That won't happen.  The defense gets 9 starters back, and they will need to compete in order for the Deacs to challenge for an ACC title.  The lack of a strong Offensive Line in front of Skinner, coupled with the loss of Moore will likely prove to be too great for the Deacs to overcome this year.  They will compete, but it is hard for me to find anything better than a 4th place finish in the Atlantic.  

 

Boston CollegeBoston College:  Matt Ryan is gone, and so is the dream 2007 season for the Eagles.  Jeff Jagodzinski only returns 10 starters, and is without the 2nd greatest QB in Boston College history.  (Yes, Doug Flutie would be #1).  Along with Ryan; Andre Callender, LV Whitworth,  and Jamie Silva are gone as well.   I hate to say a 'rebuilding' year, but that is exactly what Eagles fans are in store for this year.  They will likely get some glimpses of the future out of Josh Haden at RB, but the loss of Ryan will just be too great to replace.  Losing a guy that threw the ball 654 times last year will be just too much to overcome.

 

NC StateNorth Carolina StateTom O'Brien's move from BC to NC State wasn't exactly a raging success.  And don't look for it to get any better in 2008.  With only 10 starters returning to a team that went 5-7, the outlook for 2008 doesn't look real bright.  The defense gave up 28.3 points per game last year, and it will likely get worse before it gets better.  The 'Pack' lost their 3 top tacklers from last year, and don't have much talent to replace them.  Whatever the offense might be able to offer, which won't be much, the defense will give it up, and then some.  With a non-conference schedule that includes South Carolina, East Carolina, and South Florida, the Wolfpack could be on their way to a 2 or 3 win season........ at best.   

Coastal:

Miami

Miami:  Will the swagger be back?  I think so.  I really like what Randy Shannon is doing at Miami, and he has a ton of young fast talent around him.  Javarris James is on the brink of a national break-out year, and their QB position can only get better with the departure of Kyle Wright.  Throw in Graig Cooper as a backup tailback, Sam Shields as a breakaway receiver, and the Canes could have a pretty good offense.  Something that hasn't been around for quite some time in Coral Gables.  The defense will take some huge hits in the losses of Calais Campbell, Kenny Philips, and Tavares Gooden, but defense has never been a problem at Miami for well over 3 decades.  Look for Marcus Forston to have a break-out freshman year on the DL for the 'Canes, and Colin McCarthy will keep the LB tradition at Miami alive and well.  The secondary is a bit of a concern, but they have enough 'oldies' to get it done.  This will be one of the most improved teams in the country, and I look for the 'Canes to unseat the Hokies as the Coastal Champions in 2008. 

North Carolina North Carolina:  Ahead of Virginia Tech you ask?  Absolutely.  This is one of my huge surprise teams for 2008.  The Tar Heels were 4-8 last year under Butch Davis's 1st year guidance.  But what is missed in that record is 6 losses that were by a touchdown or less.  Much like Illinois in 2006 when they went 2-10, the Tar Heels were very competitive in 2007.  They also return everything but the kitchen sink in 19 starters, including the vastly improving TJ Yates at QB.  There were only 2 QB's who threw for more yards than TJ Yates in the ACC last year.  Matt Ryan and Cullen Harper.  WIth 10 starters returning on offense, we should see a serious spike in the point output from Carolina.  Last years 21.2 points per game should easily stretch up into the 30's and if they can improve on a defense that gave up 24.5 points per game, which is very much expected, this will be an extremely dangerous team.  At the very least, this team will be even more competitive than they were in 2007.

 Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech:  It is hard to put the Hokies in the 3 hole in the Coastal, but I feel that they lost way too much talent to the NFL last year.  Xavier Adibi and Vince Hall have been mainstays in the Hokie LB corps for the past 3 years.  Their talents just can't be replaced overnight.  On the offensive side, the tough plugging RB Branden Ore has been dismissed from the team, and their top 4 receivers from last year are gone.  They also only return 10 starters to the defending ACC Championship squad.  Unless Sean Glennon or Tyrod Taylor has an extremely special year, we should fully expect the Hokies to incur their 1st 4 or more loss season since 2003.  I have huge respect for Frank Beamer and Bud Foster, but the improvement of other teams, and the extremely large losses of the Hokies equals out to a rebuilding year in Hokieland.  Throw in road games to North Carolina, Florida State, and Miami in conference play and it gets even tougher. 

DukeDuke:  Duke?  Yes, I have Duke in 4th place in the Coastal Division.  One of the best QB's you have never heard of is Thaddeus Lewis.  He also has a solid target to throw to in Eron Riley.  The cupboard for 1st year head coach David Cutcliffe (ex-Mississippi head coach and Tennessee Offensive Coordinator) isn't as bare as people would expect in Durham, NC.  Sure they only won 1 game last year, but they were competitive with bowl teams last year in Navy, Virginia, and Wake Forest.  They were also very respectable in contests against Northwestern (only win), Miami, and North Carolina.  They also return 7 starters including 10 on defense.  And defense is where they should improve the most.  Look for the brainiacs from Duke to pull out 5 or 6 wins in 2008.

Georgia Tech

Georgia Tech:  The 'Rambling Wreck' only returns 9 starters from a 7-6 campaign.  They are introducing a new coach in Paul Johnson, allbeit a good one, and they will be breaking in a new QB, RB, and an entire secondary.  Josh Nesbitt and Jonathan Dwyer (QB, RB) could be something special, but they are only sophomores amongst a very inexperienced team.  Just ask Notre Dame how well that went for them last year.  Throw in the loss of stud LB Philip Wheeler, along with their top 4 tacklers from last year, and this has nothing but rebuilding year written all over it.  Paul Johnson will get these guys to compete, but there are too many more talented and experienced teams in the ACC than coaching can overcome.  They also play Virginia Tech, Clemson, North Carolina, AND Georgia on the road.  A .500 season should put Coach Johnson in line for "Coach of the Year" honors.  I don't see that happening.

VirginiaVirginia:  Last year, Virginia was a game away from playing in the ACC Championship game.  They also set an NCAA record for most games won by 6 points or less.  (That would be 6 for those that are counting.)  The Cavs were only 18 points away from being 3-10 instead of 9-4.  They also lose one of the best players in the history of the progam in Chris Long.  With only 11 starters returning, and the loss of Jameel Sewell (QB) to academics, this looks like a very long season for the Hoos.  Starting out the season with USC won't help matters much either.  Outside of a date with Richmond, this could very likely be an 11 loss season for Virginia.  It probably won't be that bad, but a struggle for 3 or 4 wins is the expectation I have for the Cavaliers this year.

quotes, stats, and other material courtesy of:  http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0095409/<
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http://www.philsteele.com/; http://msn.foxsports.com; and the movie "Johnny Be Good"

13 Comments | Add a comment   categories: College Football, ACC, Nostradomus
 
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patsrock07
Jun 22, 2008
3:57 PM
Call me a homer but I don't think BC will finish 5th in the Atlantic. The defense could be the best unit in the league. BJ Raji and Brian Toal return to the team after injuries and academic problems. They should have one of the top DT tandems in college football, plus one of the best LB units in the league. On offense nobody knows what to expect with new players across the board. With the lack of firepower I think they will return to the grind it out days of old. However, I can easily forsee them being better than Maryland and Wake Forest, and possibly Florida State if they tank again. I think an 8 win regular season is in store.

bluegrassLady
Jun 22, 2008
7:48 PM
Hi sweetheart! Just wanted to drop by and say luv ya anhd really miss ya!!

CavTrooper
Jun 24, 2008
4:36 AM
I agree with you on some of your points about the ACC. What I have the biggest issue with is the pick of UNC for second in the Coastal division. Granted this is a team that has nearly all of its starters returning, but it is also a team that went 0-7 on the road last year. It is completely possible that this team will be 1-5 by the time the go to play UVa.

mattp908
Jun 24, 2008
8:34 AM
Well Nost, you have done it again, great write, I agree with ya to a point. Wake Force is going to be better, I put them third. Virginia Tech will be tough even with the lost of key players, defense is very good at this place. I don't know what to expect from Florida State, that's a question mark. Clemson does lead the way.

hook'emhorns
Jun 24, 2008
9:22 AM
I think the Coastal will be very weak. Miami still has work to do. I would give the nod to VT b/c there is nobody else worth a damn. I also would not say Florida State finishes second. They will be awful again. Time for Bowden to go. I do agree that Clemson wins it this year and the fans deserve it!

kn2insur
Jun 24, 2008
11:50 AM
Well as a die-hard Clemson fan, I hope to God these predictions are correct. It all rests on the Offensive line play and how quickly they can gel as a unit. Linebacker is also a concern...All that aside, I personally cant wait to see Da'Quan Bowers play. This kid is gonna be a freaking machine!! I think when his career is done, he will have far out-done Gaines Adams. All the pieces are in place, so Finish the Job this year boys!! GO TIGERS!!

GOBLUE92
Jun 24, 2008
12:23 PM
I don't really think Virginia Tech will be out of the ACC Coastal Division. VT still has a good coach, and VT probably has the best recruiting outside of Miami in the conference.

Georgia Tech and Duke might be competing for the bottom feeder because non of them showed any signs of offense last year. Also GT has had lost some scholarship players and will have to play some young people.

I also will agree with PatsRock on this one. I don't think Boston College will fall too far down. Matt Ryan and Andre Callendar are gone but BC has been a consistent program even with their sophomore coach.

Clemson will dissappoint every year. They have a young offensive line, and that will hurt. Tommy Bowden has been somewhat of the Lloyd Carr, but Carr has won several conference titles.

flhype
Jun 24, 2008
3:26 PM
GOBLUE92 is dead wrong look at the past few years its always FSU and MIAMI on top of recurting. I think that all the Florida talent will pay off for both of them and they will have bouce back seasons

SKCUBOG
Jun 24, 2008
3:47 PM
Nostra, great in depth analysis. I agree with both of your division picks. Clemson appears to be the class of the Atlantic Division with only Tommy Bowden standing between them and a BCS game. Not sure I would put FSU at #2. The only coach in the ACC who can't outcoach Tommy Bowden is Bobby Bowden. Wake has better coaching and a more disciplined team. They will compete with Clemson for the Atlantic Division title. Miami does look like they are on the comeback trail. Good recruiting over the past few season should elevate them to the Coastal Division title. That said, unless they start wearing shorts and using a round ball I just can't see North Carolina finishing ahead of VT. VT is in a serious rebuilding year but Beamer will continue to outcoach his opponents through good preparation in all phases of the game. Really enjoyed your blog.

maynorman
Jun 25, 2008
7:23 AM
your right..carolina should be a improved team but to expect a second place finish in the coastal division just might be a little far fetched..coach davis has put this team in position to compete with miami and va. tech but the task at hand will be increasingly difficult if the linebacker situation does not improve. coach davis' ability to recruit players with better overall speed has made quite a difference on both sides the ball on the line but this group of linebackers must improve in their lateral speed to the ball along with better special teams defence . few teams have the overall depth at the wide out position and with a excellent group of young running backs, carolina seems poised to at least finish above five hundred this year with maybe even a suprise win over notre dame...

SLOgator
Jun 25, 2008
8:53 AM
What a joke of a conference - classically, underacheiving Clemson vs. scUM, a team without an OL and a QB.
Look for VT to pick up the marbles at the end of the season.
As usual with the ACC, the champ won't be the one winning the most games, but rather the one losing the least. Btw, 9-3 oughtta do it.

mllkn6
Jun 25, 2008
9:10 AM
I'd like to see Clemson finally get over the hump, but with Tommy still there I think they might be out on a limb. Bowen has failed to produce in past years when he had all the talent, he has had a problem with special teams play, unless he gets that problem corrected, the offensive line ready quickly and keeps the team fired up for all the games, Alabama might end any title hopes he has early and Bowens season as well. Watch out for Wake Forest, they might be the sleeper in the bunch.

Last edited by mllkn6 on June 25th at 9:11 AM.

ups13
Jul 6, 2008
5:35 PM
Must agree with you on several points. Clemson is loaded, but i like Wake in the tiebreaker. With FSU and BC next. Disagree with you bout Maryland. The Coastal still goes thru Blacksburg. Do like what Randy has done in Miami. Unc finishes 3rd and a tie with Virgina, GT and Duke at 4-8.
You do a great job with this, keep it up.

Last edited by ups13 on July 6th at 5:36 PM.

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