In the wake of Shakeout Saturday, several members of the BCS Top 10 bit the dust. Many previously unbeaten or one-loss teams like Louisville, Texas, California, and Auburn all fell out of contention for the National Championship Game.

Now that we head down the home stretch in the 2006 college football season, only six teams realistically have a shot at playing for the national title. Here they are, in the order they should be ranked this week:

1. Ohio State
2. Michigan
3. Florida
4. Southern Cal
5. Arkansas
6. Notre Dame

Fortunately for the BCS, the participants in this year's championship game will again be decided on the field. Let's analyze how that will happen:

Arkansas probably has the hardest case to make and maybe the toughest row to ####. Like it or not, their double-digit loss to Southern Cal in the first game of the season really put them behind the 8-ball in getting back into title contention. However, if they beat Mississippi State, LSU, and then Florida in the SEC Championship Game in Atlanta, they will deserve a shot at it all IF Southern Cal stumbles along the way. If Southern Cal runs the table, however, there is no way the Razorbacks will be picked to play for the title over the Trojans, simply due to their head-to-head results, and that is as it should be.

Notre Dame, always the darling of the media, has to beat Army and Southern Cal to claim their chance at a national title shot. If they do that, they will most likely get the slot unless Florida wins out. The overall strength of the SEC ought to trump Notre Dame's weak schedule that is laced with patsies, as it is every season.

Southern Cal has three big games remaining, California, which will surely bounce back from their loss at Arizona, Notre Dame, and UCLA, with all of them basically being home games, even though they will play UCLA in the Rose Bowl Stadium across town. If they win all three, it will be hard to keep them out of the title game. The question then becomes whether their loss at Oregon State is viewed as worse than Florida's loss at Auburn.

Florida most likely is the only team outside of the winner of the Ohio State-Michigan game that truly has its destiny in its own hands. It would be a huge feather in Head Coach Urban Meyer's cap to get his Gators into the title game. If he were to win it all, he might even make the jump to the NFL, as he would have little else to prove in Gainesville and his meteoric rise in the coaching ranks would make him very attractive to many NFL teams, perhaps the Miami Dolphins for one. They only have what will most likely be easy games left against Western Carolina and Florida State in the regular season, and then will most likely face Arkansas in the SEC title game in Atlanta.

Of course the winner of the Ohio State-Michigan game this coming Saturday is the odds-on favorite to win the national title. Will the loser get a rematch in Arizona? I just can't see that happening. The clamor from fans, coaches, media, etc., would be too great to make it an all-Big 10 rematch for the national championship. On top of that, the Rose Bowl will most definitely want the loser of this game to come to Pasadena. The politics of things will most likely keep the loser from having a shot at a rematch, even though that might be deserved.

Besides the loser of the Ohio-State-Michigan game being out of title contention, obviously the loser of the Southern Cal-Notre Dame game falls out as well. The same goes for the loser of the Florida-Arkansas SEC Championship Game in Atlanta.

Thus, your national title this year will be settled as it should be, on the field. The Ohio State-Michigan winner will play either the Southern Cal-Notre Dame winner or the Florida-Arkansas winner, assuming the winners of those games win all their other remaining games.

Since Arkansas is the weakest name with the least star power on the national scene, it will be very hard for them to get into the title game over the Southern Cal-Notre Dame winner, despite the strength of the Southeastern Conference and their dominance of the SEC Western Division so far, in addition to their big wins over South Carolina and Tennessee.

The real rub is going to come if Florida runs the table and is denied a title shot. Is the Southern Cal-Notre Dame winner more deserving than the Gators? Florida's victories at Tennessee and over LSU are their biggest wins. They would certainly deserve to be in the national title game over Notre Dame, but if Southern Cal were to whip both California and Notre Dame down the stretch, the bias for Pac-10 teams might result in the SEC being frozen out of national title contention again, just as Auburn was previously.

One of the weaknesses that still exists in the BCS formula is not taking into account strength of schedule adequately. It is somewhat measured by the computers, but strength of schedule ought still be a separate specific component of the BCS rankings again, as it once was. How do you measure the overall strength of the SEC vs. the Pac-10 vs. the Big 10? Since it is settled in everyone's mind that the SEC is the nation's strongest conference, year-in and year-out, there needs to be a strength of schedule component added back into the mix outside of the polls and computer rankings to make things fairer in the overall BCS rankings.

By the way, spare me any talk at all that a Big East team, even Rutgers if they go undefeated, deserves to be in the national title game. That conference simply isn't in the same league as the big boys. They may still deserve to participate in the BCS, but it will be rare that any of that conference's members are strong enough to compete in any other league.

The Southeastern Conference has long been known as a league that has an abundance of bowl tie-ins. This season may be the year that they fill out more bowl slots than ever before, and certainly more than any other league.

Of course, the SEC was a charter member of the Bowl Championship Series (BCS). Their former commissioner, Tennessean Roy Kramer, was the architect and guru of the Football Bowl Association's Tostitos National Championship Game. Now his successor, Mike Slive, heads up the BCS, too.

The SEC may very well get two of its member teams in the BCS year, now that the number of available slots in BCS Bowls and the National Championship Game have been expanded from 8 to 10 in the new "Plus One" format that adds an extra game to the equation. The SEC's strength as the #1 conference in America just might get them an extra BCS slot.

No matter how many SEC teams get BCS bids, however, the SEC has a whopping nine teams that will most likely be bowl eligible at year's end. I could see Florida playing in Phoenix for it all while another SEC team gets a Sugar Bowl slot.

Now that everyone plays a total of 12 games in the regular season, you only have to win half your games and go 6-6 in order to qualify for a bowl. This means that many teams going to bowls will wind up their seasons with a losing record, an anomaly that certainly should not have been a consequence of this new policy.

Florida, Tennessee, Auburn, LSU, and Arkansas all have strong records. Even after the Vols' embarrassing loss to Arkansas in Fayetteville, odds are they will finish 9-3. The Hawgs, Gators, & War Eagles will battle for the Capital One Bowl berth in Orlando if none of them get into the BCS. LSU or Arkansas, if they don't make it into the BCS, will most likely get the Cotton Bowl bid to Dallas, with the other one getting the Chick-Fil-A Bowl nod in Atlanta.

Georgia and Alabama already have the 6 qualifying wins to go to a bowl and one of them may get the Outback Bowl bid to Tampa, but will most likely have to settle for either the Autozone Liberty Bowl in Memphis or the ####lord Hotels Music City Bowl in Nashville.

That leaves South Carolina needing only one win to go bowling. Kentucky qualified for a bowl by beating Vanderbilt. One of them will most likely be picked to go to either Memphis or Nashville, and the other will get the Independence Bowl bid in Shreveport. If this scenario develops, only Vanderbilt and the two Mississippi schools, Ole Miss and Mississippi State, will be left at home for the holidays.

For any conference to have 9 of its 12 members in bowls would be a major accomplishment. We all know the SEC is the strongest football conference in America and may be the best in basketball, too. Look for the bowls to have a huge SEC flavor in 2006.

Georgia and Alabama are big-name schools with large followings, so they will certainly get bids, but at least one school with at least a 6-6 record may get left out if the SEC doesn't get 2 BCS slots, South Carolina or Kentucky.

The Wildcats might muster a 7-5 season if they beat Louisiana-Monroe next week. However, would the Independence Bowl take them over a 6-6 South Carolina Gamecock team with Steve Spurrier's star power as head coach?

There's always the possibility that the SEC could negotiate a slot with another bowl should that eventuality occur. However, it would take a lot of maneuvering to get that done.

One thing that isn't generally known about the Chick-Fil-A Bowl is that it gets the 4th or 5th pick of teams from the SEC, depending on how many SEC teams make it to the BCS. After SEC BCS slots are filled, the Capital One Bowl picks next, & then the Outback Bowl gets to pick the SEC Eastern Division team it wants & the Cotton Bowl gets to pick the SEC Western Division team it wants. Only after those selections are made, with the proviso that the Outback can take the next Western team & the Cotton can take the next Eastern team instead of one from the division they have first choice over, does the Chick-Fil-A Bowl get to make its pick.

However, the Chick-Fil-A Bowl is tied to the Atlantic Coast Conference in a much stronger way, getting the second pick overall in that league. Thus, the SEC teams that play in that bowl are almost always at a disadvantage by playing a team from the ACC that is ranked higher nationally & probably stronger. There is also a disparity in payout, as the Chick-Fil-A pays the ACC school more than the SEC school, the only bowl I know of in which the payouts aren't equal to each participating team.

Something needs to be done in the new bowl contracts to correct that inequity. It makes the SEC a second-class team in that bowl & creates an unfair disadvantage & distribution to that conference team. While the SEC must always keep its slot in the prestigious Capital One Bowl, it ought to start letting the Chick-Fil-A Bowl pick next & demand an equal payout with the ACC.

One more thing that SEC Commissioner Slive needs to do is get the SEC involved again in the Gator Bowl. It is a natural for the SEC & has hosted most every SEC school in the past. It is a tragedy that no SEC team has played there for many years. The bowls in general ought to do some trading so that they don't always match up teams from the same conferences each year. The SEC was fortunate to get involved again with the Liberty Bowl, also a natural venue for the SEC, but getting some sort of tie-in with the Gator needs to be a top priority.

What does the future hold for Southeastern Conference football coaches? Here's a look at them and an analysis of who's on the hot seat and who may be moving on for other reasons:

1. Rich Brooks at Kentucky – Even though the Wildcats have improved somewhat, it’s all just taking too long. Surely UK Athletics Director Mitch Barnhart will want to pull the trigger and try to offer the job to his friend, David Cutcliffe, before Cutcliffe pulls up stakes and takes an offer from UNC in Chapel Hill. The big win over Georgia will help Brooks, though.

2. Ed Orgeron at Ole Miss – You’ve got to know that this season is absolutely killing the Rebel faithful, seeing the success Cutcliffe has brought back to UT…ouch! The season Ole Miss is having also vindicates Tennessee Head Coach Phillip Fulmer for taking a stand and pulling the plug on the troublesome QB, Brent Schaefer…Don’t you know that the Ole Miss fans would love to swap their QB for UT's OC again?

3. Sly Croom at Mississippi State – Although this will be a quiet hot seat, realistically any coach has to be minimally successful or at least competitive at MSU. They’re used to being a factor in the West, and unless they can pull off some miracle wins at the end of this year, he may only have one season left. The big win over Bama, though, might give him an extension.

4. Bobby Johnson at Vandy – He and his staff came from Furman cocky and brash like they had some magic formula for making expensive private schools competitive in tough football conferences. The thing is, he inherited success at Furman…but can he build it at Vandy? We’ll see how it goes without Cutler there to make him look good. He probably should capitalize on his win over Georgia and get a better job while he can. He played Florida tough.

5. Les Miles at LSU – The Bengal Tiger fans were ruined by Nick Saban, who would probably love to be back in Baton Rouge. And to be fair, Miles inherited a ton of talent and hasn’t really pushed them up and over that hump. If he has another multi-loss season next year, he could start to hear serious rumblings from the Cajuns, even though he finally won a big one on the road at UT.

6. Mike Shula at Alabama – He’s got the luxury of an obviously talented freshman QB to point to as hope for the near future. What he doesn’t have is any hardware to hold up as evidence that he’s going to restore Alabama to SEC prominence. He's 1-3 vs. Tennessee and is headed for a drubbing from Auburn again & an abysmal 2-6 SEC record. He certainly won’t get any big wins this year. Another year without seriously contending for the SEC West in 2007 and restless Bama faithful will be looking for a change, maybe someone else willing to cheat again to get them back on top.

7. Phillip Fulmer at Tennessee – No doubt there was a lot of loose talk over this past off season. No doubt the fact that the Vols were one point away from being 8-0 going into the LSU game (with that one loss coming against perhaps the eventual national champion) has Fulmer, the dean of SEC coaches, back in the saddle again…with a HUGE assist from his friend Cutcliffe. The Vols are a fun team to watch again!

8. Houston Nutt at Arkansas – He's surprisingly leading the SEC West and has the Hog fans going crazy. Another rough Southern Cal loss notwithstanding, the Hogs are playing tough physical football…just ask Auburn. If he can beat Tennessee, they will try to extend his contract. The big win over Spurrier on the road helped him, too.

9. Steve Spurrier at South Carolina – The Gamecock Nation still thinks that Spurrier’s going to lead them to the promised land of an SEC/National Title. If nothing else, he’s raised the level of expectations and has built on what Lou Holtz did to pull SC more into the national spotlight. But the Ole Ball Coach is a victim of his own success. He changed the SEC with his offensive innovations in the 1990’s, and when he did, he took away his own advantage. As long as he keeps the Gamecocks in a minor bowl annually, he can stay in Columbia as long as he wants. If he beats Clemson once in awhile, he’ll be a hero. Odd that he’d find himself pitted against a Bowden again in an in-state rivalry. If he doesn’t have the '#### in the SEC championship game by 2008, however, he won't hang around another season – and it will be his own call, since he won't be able to stand not being on top again any longer. Fulmer may outlast him at 2 separate league schools.

10. Mark Richt at Georgia – “Defending SEC Champs” had a nice ring to it for Bulldog fans. A 51-33 loss to the hated Vols, when they got their nose broke & their face stomped on by a hobnail boot, really hurt, but they know they’re unsettled at QB and David Greens don’t grow on trees. There’s no panic for the Bulldawg faithful that suffered through the Goff and Donnan years, but the losses to Vandy & UK were embarrassing.

11. Tommy Tuberville at Auburn – Consistently challenging for the SEC West title and the SEC Crown, Auburn is relevant again and the Tiger fans are happy. If he keeps doing that and beating Alabama every year, he’s going to be fine for as long as he wants to be a War Eagle. He may be in a BCS bowl without even going to the SEC Championship Game this year.

12. Urban Meyer at Florida – Gator fans will suffer another jilted heartbreak in 2008 when he leaves Gainesville for the $$$ and the fame of the NFL. I know his offense doesn’t translate well to the pro game, but that will be overlooked due to his wins and losses and his youthful energy. Don’t be surprised to see him come in and replace Jeff Fischer in Nashville with the Titans. Meyer never stays in any one place too long.