Now, many of you who are still here may remember the "MrNFL's NFL PREVIEW EXTRAVANGANZA" which created the Flawed System and the Flawed Predictions.
Before the beginning of the NFL Season, I had created what I call the "Flawed System" Basically, I ranked each team by position, and put it against the actual schedules.
Now obviously, getting these type of predictions right are hard to do, but I want to see how wrong I was.
Red = Dead on
NFC
NFC NORTH Bears 13-3 (1 seed) My prediction 11-5 (3 seed)
Well I was somewhat close. I may have undervalued the offense
slightly, and I didn't expect Gould to be good, or Hester's crazy year,
so they likely didn't get all of the ST points they deserved.
Packers 8-8 My prediction 2-14
Ok, I didn't expect anything from the Packers. Whoops.
Vikings 6-10 My prediction 8-8
I thought the D would be solid, and the O decent. The D couldn't stop the pass, and the O was ####.
Lions 3-13 My prediction 3-13
DING DING DING! I CALLED IT!!! WOOOO!! (Not that tough to predict the LIONS)
NFC SOUTH Saints 10-6 (2 seed) My prediction 2-14
Wow, swing and a miss here. I thought the offense could be good,
however I didn't trust their O-Line. Proved me wrong. Plus, I thought they
could have the worst defense in football. But I think they surprised
everyone.
Panthers 8-8 My prediction 8-8
I'm really proud of this one. Everyone had the Panthers in the
Super Bowl, but I had them out of the playoffs. I got that right.
Falcons 7-9 My prediction 9-7
Injuries killed the defense, which I thought would be improved enough to win 9. The offense did what I expected, which was very little.
Buccaneers 4-12 My Prediction 10-6 (4 seed)
Whoops. Well they were in the playoffs last year. The strong D from last year got old very fast. And so much for Cadillac Williams
being great, he was average, they needed big things from him in that offense.
NFC EAST Eagles 10-6 (3 seed) My prediction 11-5 (3 seed)
When it spit out Philly as the division winner, everyone called me
a complete fool. Most didn't give the Eagles 6 wins. People forget that
last years Eagles D had tons of injuries that killed them, and they still had a great team.
Cowboys 9-7 (5 seed) My prediction 10-6 (5 seed)
Only one game off again, and got the seed right again. I figured them out pretty well.
Giants 8-8 (6 seed) My prediction 8-8
I got this one right, except 8-8 wasn't enough to get into the playoffs.
Redskins 5-11 My prediction 9-7 (6 seed)
Well....I suppose I can't get ALL 4 teams that close. This offense majorly underachieved.
Defense should have been better as well.
NFC WEST Seahawks 9-7 (4 seed) My prediction 11-5 (1 seed)
Meh, if Alexander/Hasselbeck weren't hurt early, they probably could have hit that mark, that damaged the offense largely.
Rams 8-8 My prediction 7-9
Pretty close on the Rams
49ers 7-9 My prediction 2-14
I didn't expect Frank Gore to become what he was for me on Madden...a total beast. He alone made this team better offensively.
Cardinals 5-11 My prediction 8-8
Wait, wasn't this offense supposed to be good? If the O-Line didn't
totally blow.
Defense sucked as expected.
AFC
AFC NORTH Ravens 13-3 (2 seed) My prediction 9-7
Well, I expected the D to be a bit weakened this year. Whiff.
What's sad is that if they do win it all, the credit will ALL go to
McNair, when that offense still stinks, and the D is the reason for the
success.
Bengals 8-8 My prediction 9-7
Pretty close. Poor Bengals...their special teams killed them in the end.
Steelers 8-8 My prediction 15-1 (1 seed)
I thought the Steelers D would be great, boy was I wrong. Early
they stopped running the ball, and it killed the offense completely, turnovers were their demise.
Browns 4-12 My prediction 3-13
Browns stunk, pretty easy to get that right..
AFC SOUTH Colts 12-4 (3 seed) My prediction 14-2 (2 seed)
Well, the D was worse than I expected. Maybe if Bob Sanders could ACTUALLY PLAY A GAME SOMETIME THIS YEAR!!!!
Jaguars 8-8 My prediction 8-8
DING DING DING!!!
Titans 8-8 My prediction 3-13
Well, they surprised everyone with that second half of the year. Defense came on very strong late.
Texans 6-10 My prediction 4-12
A bit better than I thought on D.
AFC EAST Patriots 12-4 (4 seed) My prediction 12-4 (4 seed)
Wow, I couldn't have gotten the Pats more correct.
Jets 10-6 (5 seed) My prediction 1-15
Ok...so I had the Jets as football's worst team. My bad...
Bills 7-9 My prediction 5-11
Bills somewhat did better than I thought
Dolphins 6-10 My prediction 12-4 (5 seed)
Stupid Dolphins made me look like a fool. That offense turned out to be a total sham.
I bought the Ronnie Brown and Chris Chambers hype...bad choice on my part.
AFC WEST Chargers 14-2 (1 seed) My prediction 12-4
Well, even though I predicted 12-4, they lost the tiebreaker with the Chiefs and missed. I got the record close though...
Chiefs 9-7 (6 seed) My prediction 12-4 (6 seed)
Got the seeding right, altough they didn't do nearly as good as I thought they could've.
Broncos 9-7 My prediction 13-3 (3 seed)
Perhaps Shanahan is now on the hot seat?
That team underachieved big time.
Raiders 2-14 My prediction 5-11
Wow, I can't believe I was that generous to the Raiders...
In the end, out of 256 games played, The flawed system's record was...
153-103
Actually, considering, that wasn't completely terrible. Altough it
did predict a Super Bowl repeat...(Hey, Seattle could still shock
everyone)
In a group of 44, the Flawed System finished 13th in Pick'Em. Not
terrible. I shall seek ways to improve the system in order to make it
more accurate for next year.
Nice recap. Though I'm picking the Ravens to go far and possibly win it all, I think you bring up a good point about the credit going to McNair. I knew he would make a huge difference this year, since they haven't had a QB of his quality before, but their defense is still the reason they are contenders.
