Well, the national nightmare is over, as it looks like the Twins will trade Johan Santana to the Mets.
But what did they get?
As seen in my last post, Santana Circle Jerk, the Twins in essence are gambling on the upside of Carlos Gomez and Delois Guerra instead of the certainty of a Jon Lester, a Phil Hughes or a Jed Lowrie.
Guerra and Gomez could blossom into superstars. But both have massive flaws. Guerra has been pushed hard by the Mets, but is still young and has some projection. He also has trouble getting out of the high 80's on his fastball, which means the Twins are hoping he'll add velocity as he matures.
As for Gomez, he too has been rushed and needs at least another year and a half of minor league play if he's to live up to his high potential.
And really, its on Guerra and Gomez that the Twins are pinning their hopes and dreams on, as Phil Humber and Kevin Mulvey are both decent arms, but not aces and don't differ much from the Scott Baker type pitchers the Twins already have in their system.
Really, as I've stated earlier, the Twins could have had a better offer from the Red Sox (Lowrie, Lester, Crisp and likely Justin Masterson) or the Yankees (Hughes, Melky Cabrera and change.)
But I think that there is another reason why the Twins agreed to this swap.
When something of ours disappears, we as people try to replace it as closely as we can.
And in Guerra and Gomez, the Twins are trying to replace Torii Hunter and Johan Santana as best they could, by trying to find similar players that could become their second comings.
It's a human reaction, albet a flawed one.
It's possible that in three years, both Guerra and Gomez could be superstars, making the Twins look wise in their deal.
It's also just as possible that both are massive busts.
I credit Omar Minaya on this deal, as he was able to get the best pitcher in baseball without giving up his best prospect, centerfielder Fernando Martinez, who also is a rushed, but promising young player. He gave up nothing that he'll really miss and no one that isn't replaceable, as the Mets could easily go out to the Dominican and sign any remaining young prospects that haven't signed with teams to help replenish the farm.
I would feel pity for the Twins, but really, this is a mess of their own making. They're choosing the riskier, but more lucrative path of gambling on the upside of some risky prospects. It's the equivalent of playing Russian Roulette with three of the cylinders loaded for a fortune. The payoff is huge. So is the failure...
Now, after my rant for the day, let's take a look at the Rangers report, shall we...
Dinner At Hicks' House - Not A Good Sign
The past few winters, having dinner with Tom Hicks has always been the symbol of something happening on the horizon.
In 2005, it resulted in John Hart getting fired, eventually clearing the way for Jon Daniels.
In 2006, it resulted in Buck Showalter getting fired, leading to Ron Washington.
In 2007, it could mean Torii Hunter is coming to Texas.
I'm not pleased, as I've made it well known that I think Hunter will eventually be a disaster for the Rangers. I think he's lost a step defensively, that he's not going to hold up over the course of a full season and will likely be a poor player after the age of 35.
Yet there is talk of a 5 year deal with him.
I'm just hoping that the talk of him going to the White Sox is true.
Centerfield And The 2005 Draft
Speakng of centerfield, watching the Boston Red Sox during the World Series only served to remind several Rangers fans of one of the biggest mistakes in the Rangers’ drafting history.
Namely, that Jacoby Ellsbury should have been a Ranger.
Let’s go back to 2005, when gas was cheaper, the Rangers were coming off of a winning season, when I was dating Sandra Lawson, and when the Rangers were picking #19, and the prospects for a good player were good, especially with all the screwy draft activity going on. The Blue Jays famously took Ricky Romero at 7, leaving Troy Tulowitzki for the Rockies at 8 (and giving ESPN’s Keith Law a story to tell), while several other teams went in other directions, resulting in Oregon State’s centerfielder dropping to the Rangers. At the time, Texas was in need of a centerfielder, as Lanyce Nix was beginning to show the signs that he may not be able to last over the course of a full season and the farm system being a lot shallower than it is now. Taking Ellsbury was a no-brainer and, from many sources within the Ranger organization, that was exactly what they were going to do.
Except for the one guy that had the power to screw it all up.
Tom Hicks, the Rangers’ owner, had apparently taken to John Mayberry Jr., liked his power potential, and when conversing with GM John Hart, told him to draft Mayberry over Ellsbury. As a result, the selection was made, and Ellsbury fell all the way to the Red Sox at 23.
And the results, well, are what they are.
Ellsbury went through the system quickly and is now going to be player for Boston for the next six years.
Mayberry is struggling in Double A and despite hitting for power, still has a lot of holes in his swing and will likely wind up being a bust.
I know the draft is a crapshoot and hindsight is 20/20.
But damn, this was a mistake back then that is only being magnified now.
Thanks a lot Tom and John.
Gerald Laird To The Mets? What Would It Take?
Read a note on Newsday saying that the Mets are interested in Gerald Laird to fill their hole at catcher, adding at least a second team to the mix for a potential Laird trade (with the Red Sox being the other.)
Both teams would have to give up talent in order to acquire the young backstop, who had an off year but is still promising and if partnered with a mentor like Jason Varitek in Boston, could be a good catcher for several years.
But both would require talent to be exchanged back (as draft picks can’t be swapped, which I believe if they could Texas already would have had a deal done).
But anyways, we already know what the Boston offer would be (Coco Crisp straight up.) What would it take for the Mets to do an offer?
At the moment, one of the rumors I’ve checked up on over the Internet (Lonestarball.com) has the Mets are apparently dangling Lastings Milledge as a return for Laird. However, there is a catch. They want the Rangers to include Joaquin Benoit in the deal while they would enclose Ruben Gotay in exchange.
That’s a bit too rich for my blood, but I would be willing to use that deal as a starting point. Benoit I want to keep. However, if relief help is what the Mets also want, I wouldn’t be opposed to adding Frank Francisco and Scott Feldman in the deal, which would result in the Mets getting a pair of relievers with a good amount of service time while also filling their catching vacancy. The Rangers would lose a valuable piece in Francisco, but will be able to fill the vacancy from within, as Luis Mendoza and Armando Galarraga may be near ready, with other mix and match pieces able to be worked out. And, it would give them a good young player that can man center while allowing David Murphy to be the right fielder and allow the Rangers to use Marlon Byrd as the fourth outfielder.
All in all, should the Rangers go that route, here’s what the lineup would look like:
Kinsler (2B)
Cat (1B)
Young (SS)
Blalock (3B)
Botts (DH)
Milledge (CF)
Salty (C)
Murphy (RF)
Byrd or PTBNL (LF)
Not bad, and it’s a much stronger lineup, though it’s also a very young and cheap lineup. At this point, Texas does need to see what they’ve got on the team and if several of the players blossom as expected, well, then all is good.
Rangers Steal Pitcher From The Angels
Thanks to a rare screw-up by the Angels, the Rangers have netted themselves a prospect.
Apparently, the Angels were in the process of adding RHP Warner Madrigal to the 40 Man Roster and even made a announcement stating that he was added.
One problem.
They got the date wrong. And Madrigal was no longer their property, thanks to his 6 Year Free Agent Status.
So, what do the Rangers have here?
They get a poor hitting outfielder that was converted to the mound last year and is looking like a promising relief prospect. He can throws a mid 90's fastball that reache sin the upper 90's while working on a slider and a changeup. All in all, he could become an effective setup man or a closer.
Nice job J.D.
Additions To The 40 Man Roster
Well, the 40 Man Roster has been set and for the most part, I was right.
Here are the additions:
Matt Harrison (LHP) – A solid number four starter, has better stuff than Gabbard and has proven to be more durable.
Thomas Diamond (RHP) – I wasn’t aware that Diamond wasn’t on the 40 Man Roster. Well, he’s back…
Max Ramirez (C) – The booty acquired for Kenny Lofton, giving the Rangers more catching depth.
Brandon Boggs (CF) – A potential dark horse centerfielder candidate for the Rangers in the next year or so.
Here are the casualties:
Victor Diaz (RF) – Diaz has legitimate 30 home run power, but the fact that he can’t walk means his fate was sealed.
And, in the event a player needs to be added, here’s who is going to be victimized:
Bill White (LHP) – White will likely be the first DFA candidate if the Rangers add any more players via trade or free agency.
Freddy Guzman (CF) – Guzman is an excellent defender, but quite frankly, the Rangers have enough speedy centerfielders already that can’t hit.
And, here who may be taken in the Rule 5 Draft:
Jesse Ingram (RHP) - The Former Cal Closer notched up 70 Punchouts this year and is likely Rule 5 Bait. He never really seemed to establish himself as a dominant closer and has average stuff. Hopefully, the Rangers will be able to keep him, or that he won't stick.
Tug Hulett Jr. (INF) - The son of a former Major Leaguer, many feel that he'll be able to eake out a career as a utility guy. The Rangers didn't add him because they likely felt that he won't be taken.
I've been an advocate for Kenny Rogers coming back to Texas and feel he never should have left.
However, it looks like it may happen soon, as the Rangers are looking into Kenny coming back, so long as he offers an apology as far as his camera incidient with a photographer two years ago.
No pitcher has ever mastered Rangers Ballpark like Rogers have and if he's able to teach that knowledge to some of the youngsters on the staff, like Kason Gabbard, who's similar to Rogers, and Edinson Volquez and Brandon McCarthy, the Rangers would be better for it.
One thing of note, however. Rogers I beleive is classified as a Type A free agent and would cost the Rangers' their second rounder.
Update: Just got word that Rogers is actually a Type B, and won't cost the Rangers a pick. My mistake.
Also, any move for Rogers would also have to be dependant on a salary dump, likely Vicente Padilla, in order to make room for him, as there is no way in hell the Rangers will demote McCarthy, Gabbard and Volquez just to make room for a vetern and Millwood is the sole reliable commodity on the staff.
So, we'll see...I'd be all for it, IMO.
Hunter Likely Not Coming Here
The Rangers are looking more and more out of the Hunter market, as the White Sox are aggressively going after him, seeing him as a way to improve their market and give them a "character guy" in the organization.
That's great news, as it means the Rangers won't be overpaying for a overrated centerfielder that maybe has two to three years left in the position and doesn't hit enough to be a corner outfielder and is likely going to be a part timer in about four years or so. And especially when said centerfielder is reportedly looking for seven years on his deal.
I'll pass, thank you very much.
Gerald Laird's Price Going Up
The catching market is now down it's two biggest names with Jorge Posada and Yorvit Torreabla off the board.
Which means the price just went up for Rangers catcher Gerald Larid.
Laird is still young, is a solid defender and is better with the bat than he was this past year. He has three years left of club control and is eligible for arbitration for the first time this winter.
He'd be a good stopgap for a club in need of a catcher.
The Rangers could decide to put out feelers, see if anyone is willing to get up an outfielder or infield prospect in exchange. It doesn't have to be a stud, just a solid regular.
Hopefully, the Rangers can get what they're looking for, while giving Laird the opportunity to start elsewhere.
The Rangers can easily find a backup catcher in house. Chris Stewart is cheap and wouldn't be a bad option.
I'd stay the hell away from the Twins' free agents, especially since their market is going to shoot through the roof tomorrow, when agents can discuss dollars and cents.
Torii Hunter and Carlos Silva are looking to cash in, Hunter by reputation, Silva by scarcity, and both will be overpaid greatly and will likely be looked at in the same way we look at the Jason Giambi/Carl Pavano deals.
Hunter is coming off of a career year and will be picked up by a team making a splash and wanting Hunter's mix of attitude and charisma on their team.
But he's not an elite centerfielder anymore. He's never hit for a lot of power and he's not a run producer in the heart of the lineup. And worse, his defense is center is beginnng to degrade, thanks to the numerous injuries and surgeries he's had on his legs. Baseball Prospectus' PETCOA system has Hunter becoming a part time player by 2010. That's not a great idea for the amount of dollars Hunter is looking for.
As for Silva, he's a groundball pitcher that is young and entering a market that is lacking in decent pitching. He'll have takers needing a innings eating starter, such as the Mets, Tigers, Reds and Dodgers, just to name a few. But he's going to get Number Two starter money for a guy that's been a Number Three at best and a Number Four for his career.
Plus, to compound the reasons on Hunter, he's a Type A free agent and unless your pick is draft protected, he's going to cost you your Number One pick, not a wise idea unless you have a Type A on your team that won't be back, allowing you to recoup the pick.
Both guys are going to get ridiculously overpaid and both will likely put up decent numbers in the beginning of the deal. But in the long run, both are like to disappoint and will break someone's heart.
Being in third place, especially considering how bleak things were the last time the Rangers Report was posted, is very awesome. Hope it lasts.
Arizona Fall League Breakdown
The Rangers announced their candidates for the Arizona Fall League, which begins play on October 9th. Here’s the list of candidates:
Josh Rupe (RHP) – The organization still feels that Rupe an become a excellent starter with time, but Rupe hasn’t been able to stay healthy. Frankly, this is looking like it’s make or break time for Rupe, else he may risk being traded to a team as a reliever.
Kea Kometani (RHP) – Kometani is another intriguing arm in the Rangers’ system that will be playing in hopes of earning a 40 man spot, as I think he is going to be Rule V eligible this off-season. Kometani was converted to relief this past season and was excellent there. If he can be stretched out to a starter again, that would be even better.
Matt Harrison (LHP) – One of the big prizes in the Mark Teixeira deal, Harrison is regarded to be a good lefty pitcher that can eat up innings and keep his team in games…or a left handed Joe Blanton, to use a comparison. Anyhow, Harrison missed the rest of the season after the trade because of injury, so his assignment means that the Rangers will be looking to see how his recovery has come along.
Danny Ray Herrera (LHP) - A short lefty, Herrera is a quality relief pitching prospect that could be an above average setup man. He got hammered late in the season, so the Rangers are likely sending him to Arizona to work on some things.
Joaquin Arias (SS) - Arias is probably the most disappointing prospect out of all these listed. Once throught to be a superstar, Arias is now being viewed to be a utilityman prospect, not at all what the Rangers hoped he'd be when they selected him over Robinson Cano in the Alex Rodriguez trade.
John Mayberry Jr. (RF) – Mayberry has been brought about very slowly by the Rangers, and he hasn’t nearly shown the progress that many have felt he should have shown by now. While he can hit for power, Mayberry’s
Chris Davis (3B) – Davis has recently been added to the AFL roster, but don’t expect to see too much of him though. As a “taxi squad” member, he is only available to play Wednesday and Saturday.
Taylor Teagarden (C) – Teagarden is likely going to be sent to the AFL to get some work in on his defense. Don’t expect to see too much of him though. As a “taxi squad” member, he is only available to play Wednesday and Saturday.
German Duran (2B) – A prospect that most prospect heads whiffed on (But not me, as I listed Duran on my top 30 Rangers Prospects) Teagarden is likely going to be sent to the AFL to get some work in on his defense. Don’t expect to see too much of him though. As a “taxi squad” member, he is only available to play Wednesday and Saturday.
Morisato's Minor League Positiional And Pitching Players Of The Year
Pitcher - Eric Hurley (RHP).
Hurley has done nothing but perform since he began the year and after dominating the Texas League, he was promoted to Oklahoma, where he held his own. Hurley is likely entering his last year on the farm and could be in Arlington as soon as June.
Also Considered...
Omar Poveda (RHP) - The big Venezuelan was the Lumberkings Ace before he was promoted to Bakersfield. All in all, he made great strides and could be on the way up, especially since his stuff has gained velocity.
Kasey ####r (LHP) - Last year's number one pick has done nothing but domiante. While he's been wild at times, he's also been very good. It should be interesting to see what he does in Bakersfield next year.
Zach Philips (LHP) - Another Bakersfield bound lefty, Philips has quietly had an excellent season and helped provide Clinton with another solid lefty in the middle of the rotation.
Brendan Garr (RHP) - Once thought to be an intruiguing arm, Garr is looking more and more like a bonafide closer candidate in the future.
Michael Main (RHP) - Main has been very good and has vaulted himself higher in the eyes of the organization than local boy Blake Beaven.
Positional Player - Chris Davis (3B)
Davis has rapidly turned into Texas' top positional player and power hitter. While the Strikeout totals and defensive errors are a bit of a concern, the power is real and in time, he could turn into a beast at first base.
Also Considered...
Taylor Teagarden (C) - Teagarden lost a year due to Tommy John, but has since returned to show that his Gold Glove defense is still intact. Even better, his bat has come to life and he's shown legitimate power to go with his high walk totals. It could get interesting a can couple of years between Teagarden and Saltalamacchia, a nice problem to have.
John Whittleman (3B) - Another talented third baseman, Whittleman was the Rangers' American Rep in the Future's Game and has made enormous strides with the bat. The power has come in as expected, though it has resulted in a strikeout increase. Still, all in all, Whittleman is looking very different from how he finished a year ago.
German Duran (2B) - A sleeper candidate, Duran has emerged to be one of the most unheralded middle infield prospects in the minor leagues. He's shown good range and solid hands along with a lot of thunder in his bat. Potentially, he's Jeff Kent, but without the stone hands.
Brandon Boggs (CF) - Boggs has also blossomed into a potential centerfielder of the future. While his age somewhat clouds his achievements, his numbers are good and should be taken seriously.
Potential Free Agent Musings
All signs are pointing for Torii Hunter to possibly head to Texas in the future via free agency, especially since he wants a five year deal worth $70 million. While I would be up for potentially sacrificing the second rounder for a need, Hunter isn't it.
Kosuke Fukudome, on the other hand, I'd be very interested in bringing over. The bat is legitimate and he'd be able to play centerfield for a couple of years, until first rounder Julio Borbon is ready, then he'd be able to slide over into a outfield corner. Fukudome would not only allow the Rangers to potentially move into the Asian Market, but also wouldn't cost a second round pick, allowing the Rangers to be able to still splurge in the draft.
Another Option I'd consider is possibly Mike Cameron, who would also be a short term solution that wouldn't break the bank, plus could see his numbers improve leaving Petco Park.
As for current Rangers, Brad Wilkerson and Jamey Wright, I would be okay bringing them back, a different stance then I had a couple of weeks ago. However, I would bring them back only on the condition that Wilkerson plays only first base and that Wright remains in the pen, where he's been...surprisingly competent.
Note: These Rankings Will Not Include The Recent Draft Candidates
16 – German Duran (INF)
DOB:8/3/84
Drafted: 6th Round, 2005, TCU
2007 Club: Frisco (Double A)
Height/Weight: 5-10/185
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: Duran hit .284 last year at Bakersfield, while hitting 13 homers and 72 RBIs. He did all of this playing mostly shortstop and finished strong with a huge August, where he hit six homers and drove in 23 runs. He's versatile and will turn 23 this summer.
The Good: Duran has some power to him as well as some speed on the baselines. His biggest trait is that he’s flexible and can play shortstop and second base well, and has recently been learning how to play third as well. His defense is excellent and many love his work ethic.
The Bad: Duran may not be able to be a regular at any position in the majors. Hence, he may be a utilityman in the future, though he could be a very good one. He also needs to work a bit more on his plate discipline.
Projection: Medium. Duran is an interesting prospect in that he’s excelled in wherever he’s played, mostly on grit and determination. It’s very possible that he could play his way out of a superutility role and into a starting shortstop role.
In A Perfect World, He Is: A super utility player
2007 Course Of Action: Duran entered the year as sort of a fringe prospect, but his dominance of Double A has elevated his stock. It will be interesting to see what happens to him next year.
17 – Michael Schlact (RHP)
DOB: 12/9/85
Drafted: 3rd Round, 2004, Georgia High School
2007 Club: Bakersfield (High A)
Height/Weight: 6-8/220
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: Selected in the 3rd round of the 2004 Draft along with Thomas Diamond and Eric Hurley, Schlact bears watching. He was 10-7 with a 4.17 ERA at Clinton in 2005 and helped the Lumberkings, along with Hurley, to go into the playoffs. Many expected that Schlact would be able to make a seamless transition to Advanced A ball like Hurley did, but instead, he was hammered throwing too many pitches and going 4-13 with a 5.99 ERA. The opposition hit nearly .320 against him and he walked 61 in 138 innings. so he'll be back in Bakersfield, at least at the outset. However, this doesn’t mean he can’t rebound. The California is very hitter friendly and Schlact is still only 20.
The Good: Rangers Minor League Pitching Coordinator Rick Adair raves about how Schlact is now hitting 93-94, as a result of adding mass, and thinks that he can add a couple of more miles to his fastball. John Lombardo, the Rangers’ director of Minor League Ops speaks highly of Schlact’s maturity and his makeup. Schlact also has a great sinker to go along with the four seamer and he’s got a promising curveball & changeup, both of which could become plus pitches. He’s also got a nice clean delivery as well.
The Bad: As with all large pitchers, Schlact needs to keep all of his moving parts in check in order to make sure he won’t break down. He also needs to make sure the breaking balls solidify, though he may be able to succeed with just the four seamer and sinker, much like Brandon Webb. Plus, he needs to maintain his command, so he won’t get hammered hard.
Projection: Medium. Schlact is still young and he could stand to add more weight to his frame. He could wind up being, at the very least, a slightly shorter version of Chris Young. He’s also grown an inch, as seen from his jump from 6-7 to 6-8.
In A Perfect World, He Is: A number two starter.
2007 Course Of Action: The Rangers are hoping that it was only because he was playing above his age group that resulted in Schlact’s horrid season. So far, he's done pretty well for himself, but with the lack of rotation spots in Frisco, the Rnagers will probably leave him in the California
18 – Paul Kometani (RHP)
DOB:12/24/82
Drafted: 15th Round, 2005, Pepperdine University
2007 Club: Frisco (Double A)
Height/Weight: 6-4/200
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: Drafted in the 15th round by Texas in 2005 draft, Kometani is overlooked most of the time whenever prospects are evaluated. However, Kometani has had nothing but success every stop he’s made and may be one of those prospects that just happens to fly under the radar until he bursts on the scene. If Kometani becomes an above average major leaguer, he’ll be one of the biggest steals in the draft.
The Good: When he was first drafted, Kometani was reported to top out at 86-87. He’s now added at least four miles per hour as he’s filled out (he was rail thin when he came into the system) and is now sitting at 92. Scouts and trainers thing that he may be able to get up to 94 in another year. As for his other pitches, Kometani has an excellent splitter, a promising slider and he could benefit from being taught a sinker as well. He induces a lot of groundballs, a plus in Arlington and he has also begun to overcome one of his biggest criticisms when he was drafted, his fastball.
The Bad: The biggest criticism of Kometani is that he’s very hittable. However, his control is excellent and despite the hits, he doesn’t give up the long ball often and he works low in the zone.
Projection: Medium. It will be interesting to see if Kometani gets any more velocity on his fastball to go with the splitter and sinker. But aside from that, he seems to be progressing well and has just a bit of development left.
In A Perfect World, He Is: A Solid Starter
2007 Course Of Action: Kometani is currently in the bullpen thanks to Doug Mathis and he's excelled in the role. Nonetheless, I do expect the Rangers to move him back into the rotation once the promotions after the various Minor League All-Star games are done.
19 – Tim “Tug” Hulett Jr. (INF)
DOB: 2/28/1983
Drafted: 2004, 14th Round, Auburn
2007 Club: Oklahoma (Triple A)
Height/Weight: 5-10/185
Bats/Throws: L/R
The Skinny: The son of former major leaguer Tim Hulett, who played for 12 seasons with the White Sox, Orioles and Cardinals, Tug Jr. was drafted by the Rangers back in 2004 and since then he’s pretty much done nothing but succeed, rising through the ranks quickly enough that the Rangers felt no reservations about sending him to Triple A in essentially his third season of pro ball (we’ll see how that works out.) Tug impressed the Rangers staff enough during Spring Training with his moxie and work ethic that he’s very highly regarded among the organization.
The Good: Hulett has the best plate discipline in the minors, simply put, and is extremely selective of his pitches and draws walks. He’s immensely versatile and has played second, third, and shortstop in the minors. The Rangers love his grit and determination and his work ethic is second to none.
The Bad: The same thing as German Duran. Size. Hulett Jr. isn’t the biggest player around and it’s likely that that could result in him being overlooked as anything but a utilityman. However, Hulett’s determination and work ethic, plus luck, could have him become another David Eckstein type. Hulett also has little power.
Projection: Low. There is little else that Hulett can develop in the minors. What you see is what you get with him.
In A Perfect World, He Is: As much as I hate to say it, a scrappy, gritty David Eckstein type player.
2007 Course Of Action: Hulett has booted Drew Meyer to the bench and is currently the Redhawks’ starting second baseman. A good year will land him in the big leagues in September.
20 – Ben Harrison (LF)
DOB:9/18/81
Drafted: 7th Round, 2004, Florida
2007 Club: Frisco (Double A)
Height/Weight: 6-4/200
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: A 7th Rounder back in 2004, Harrison has always had good tools to work with. The main problem is that he’s never been able to stay on the field long enough to work with them. Hamstring and vision problems limited him in 2005 and a broken hand cut his season short that same year. Last year was his first full season and he showed some impressive numbers. In a season spend with Frisco and Bakersfield, Harrison hit .289 with 26 home runs and 101 RBI’s, while boasting an OPS of .889.
The Good: Harrison’s best tool is power and he’s got enough of it be a decent threat in the majors in the future. He’s got some speed and he crushes fastballs. He’s also beginning to catch breaking balls more and more. He’s also got a good arm in the outfield as well. He plays the game hard and emerged as a clubhouse leader this past season.
The Bad: Harrison is limited in his range in the field, making him pretty much a fit in left. He still has problems with the strike zone, as seen from his 117 strikeouts.
Projection: Low. At Harrison’s age, there’s probably little chance of a breakthrough.. He’s as good as he’s going to get, though if he can serve as a power bat off the bench, it wouldn’t be a bad thing.
In A Perfect World, He Is: A Power Bat Off The Bench
2007 Course Of Action: Harrison has done well so far until he was injured,
Explaining To Jim Reeves Why The Rangers Didn't Draft Porcello
Jim Reeves took his shots at the the Rangers' draft on Sunday. Oddly enough, he really liked the draft.
But there was one thing that he really ripped Texas on.
Passing up on Rick Porcello. Here's the quote that bugged me:
For $7 million-$8 million, the Rangers might have had their ace of the future. Seems like a lot of money until you stop and think: Hmmmm, didn't the Rangers cough up their own No. 1 draft pick, 16th in the country, to Toronto to sign free agent Frank Catalanotto over the winter? And didn't they sign him to a $13.5 million contract over three years?
It wasn't the Signing Bonus that was the problem. If it was just money, I think the Rangers would have gladly paid up to take him. Tom Hicks has been a little more generous as the years have gone by with the draft. It was the contract that Boras wanted for him.
Boras wanted Porcello to sign a major league contract, similar to what Josh Beckett signed when he was drafted a few years ago. That is what turned off a lot of teams.
A major league contract starts a players options automatically and guarnatees them a spot on the 40 man roster. As a result, you quickly burn through the options as the player develops and you lack any options to send the player down if he's struggling and if he's out of options.
Had Rick Porcello had been Rick Porcello, University of Conneticut, instead of Rick Porcello, Conneticuit High School, I think the Rangers would have gladly pulled the trigger. But it was the major league contract that turned off every team except the Tigers, who now have the dubious task of trying to sign him while hoping that Boras backs off the major league contract.
Oh, here's one other example that cracked me up:
Let me give you another example, though it's apples and oranges. The Cowboys just cut guard Marco Rivera after paying him an $8.5 million signing bonus for two injury-plagued seasons. That's a team that's doing whatever it takes to win.
No it's not. It's called a bad free agent deal. If that was the case, then wouldn't Chan #### Park's contract, Alex Rodriguez's contract, and the Phil Nevin debacle all be prime examples of a team doing whatever it takes to win?
507
Mark Teixeira went on the 15-day disabled list with a strained left quadriceps muscle Saturday afternoon, ending his consecutive games streak at 507, a club record. Though it was thought that Teixeira may have been aiming to beat Cal Ripken Jr.'s consecutive game streak, Teixeira said he had no visions of beating it. To help fill the void, Michael Young will now be batting third with Marlon Byrd hitting in Young's normal second spot. Brad Wilkerson will now take over first base in the meantime, and Travis Metcalf will be recalled to fill Wilkerson's spot on the bench.
The Implications Of The Borbon Pick
The drafting of Borbon has one other important implication on the Rangers.
It means that Torii Hunter will almost certainly not be coming to Texas.
Drafting Borbon that high means that the Rangers are pretty much signaling that Borbon will be their centerfielder of the future. It would make no sense to roadblock him with a long term deal given to Hunter. Instead, expect the Rangers to sign another player as a short term solution, either Eric Byrnes of Arizona or (maybe) Ichrio Suzuki from Seattle, though I doubt that the Mariners would allow him to walk.
Rangers Notes
Congrats to Justin Verlander on the No-No. Also, congrats to Ivan Rodriguez, who also caught Kenny Rogers' Perfect Game nearly 13 years ago.
One other note about Blake Beavan: he's confident. He also riled some feathers when he made some comments after being drafted that his slider was the "filthiest" he'd ever seen and he'd seen some pretty good pitchers. Another one is that, given the state of the Rangers' current rotation that he could "do as bad" as some of them right now. It didn't take long for those comments to make their way around the Rangers clubhouse and general offices. Jon Daniels said that he felt Beavan used some bad judgement and Brandon McCarthy, said he understood Beavan's confidence, but he thinks the natural process of working through the minor leagues will help Beavan separate confidence from cockiness. My take is this: Beavan is going to be provide some entertainment while he's down in the minors.
Immediately following their victory over the Giants on Saturday afternoon, the A's announced that they had traded backup catcher Adam Melhuse to the Texas Rangers for cash considerations. Melhuse wasn't being played in Oakland, as he's appeared in only 12 games this year and has gotten just 26 at-bats. Melhuse isn't being brought in because of his bat, as he was hitting .231 prior to the trade., but rather for his game calling skills, as there has been some question as to how starting catcher Gerald Laird has been calling games.
To make room for Wilkerson, the Rangers optioned pitcher Kameron Loe to Triple-A Oklahoma. Loe doesn't blame the team, but rather acknowledges that he's screwed things up for himself. The Rangers are hoping that Loe would work on controlling his sinker, as well as to further develop his two secondary pitches, a changeup and a slider. The only real question that I ask is that Loe has really had some awful outings the past couple of years as a starter and he gets hammered the second time through a lineup. I'm wondering if maybe it's better to leave Loe in the bullpen.
With Loe now in Oklahoma, Washington said starter Jamey Wright could come off the disabled list and start next Saturday at Cincinnati. Wright is scheduled to start on a rehab assignment Sunday at Oklahoma. This may be simply a way of putting warm bodies out there in order to allow the prospects to develop, but surely there are better options than Wright? Like, ummm, Mark Redmond, and ummm, John Koronka, and ummm, John Rheinecker, and ummm.....oh screw it.
Don’t be surprised to see not only Eric Gagne traded at the deadline, but also Akinori Otsuka, Willie Eyre and Joaquin Benoit traded as well. There is a high demand on relief pitching and the Rangers have seemed to have identified a solid core of young relievers in C.J. Wilson, Frank Francisco, and Wes Littleton. Eyre’s value appears to be peaking after a terrible year in Minnesota and Benoit is slowly developing into a lights out reliever, but his price tag is becoming expensive. All four would be able to net some nice prospects if they are deal, with Atlanta, Detroit and Cleveland all looking to upgrade if any of them are made available.
I was going to produce a long, drawn out effort in the pluses and minuses of the Rangers in April.
Instead, I’ll just be blunt.
We suck.
Possible Centerfielder’s For The Future
This is probably the deepest position on the free agent market, where there are a total of nine players that can legitimately play center.
Andruw Jones (Braves) – Jones is the sexy name on everyone’s list and it’s no wonder why. He’s a incredible hitter and plays a decent centerfield as well. Unfortunately, expect to see Jones priced out of the Rangers’ range, even though I would recommend that the Rangers make a strong run at him.
Ichiro Suzuki (Mariners) – Ichiro has stated that he would like to test the market for the first time in his career, as he has never had a chance to actually choose his own destiny. Should Suzuki choose to become Ronin, he would be a quality lineup presence in the Rangers, able to provide solid leadoff ability as well as provide solid defense in center. The only question is whether or not Suzuki is willing to play against his former team.
Torii Hunter (Twins) – Hunter looks more and more like a plausible option in that he lives in Arlington, has a good relationship with Rangers Manager Ron Washington and that he’s a premier defender that would benefit from moving from turf to grass. However, Hunter also is prone to injuries and of the players on this list is the largest risk to break down. Whoever acquires Hunter is going to be at a large risk of overpaying for him and I don’t think he’s going to age well after this year.
Kosuke Fukudome (Chunichi Dragns - Japan) – Fukudome is a five-tool centerfielder in Japan that plays for the Chunichi Dragons. He's going to be a free agent after 2007 and apparently has stated that he’s intends to come to the United States to finish his career. He was also a member of Team Japan in the World Baseball Classic and was the 2006 Central League MVP and batting champion, hitting .351-31-104. He's a career .306/.393/.545 hitter with 179 homers, 599 RBIs and 66 steals in 993 Japanese games. If I had to classify him as anything, he’s a more mobile Hideki Matsui lite. He’ll be 31 when he comes over and should be a lot of fun to watch. In fact, it wouldn’t surprise me to see Seattle allow Ichiro to leave in order to replace him in center with Fukudome as a short term fix until top prospect Adam “I’m Not Pacman” Jones is ready. Personally, Fukudone looks to be the best bet out of the lot, but again, there is no guarantee that he’s coming.
Eric Byrnes (Diamondbacks) – A personal favorite, Byrnes is a solid guy that can hit late in the lineup and has done pretty well for himself fin Arizona. With the Diamondbacks not likely to bring him back, he’d be a solid short term option for Texas until some of the kids begin to develop.
Corey Patterson (Orioles) – Of all the centerfielders on the market, Patterson is the youngest at 28, always a good thing for such an athletic position. The Orioles made a rare deal in which they came out the biggest winners last year when they traded for Patterson, giving up Jerry Hairston Jr. and a pack of cigarettes. Patterson is a Scott Boras client, which the Orioles have had trouble dealing with in the past. Plus, people are going to wonder if Patterson is a one-year wonder, which is why they Orioles have said they’ll address his situation after the season. With Patterson entering his last season, the Orioles are in a quirky position. If the Orioles wait and Patterson against boats a decent average with some power and some flashly defensive plays (a la Gary Matthews Jr. last year.), Boras will almost certainly price him out of their range, as I firmly believe that Patterson will get a Matthews-like contract at the end of the season.
Milton Bradley (Athletics) – Bradley is an intriguing option in that he’s still pretty young, athletic and can be productive as a centerfielder. He’s also a headcase and not a sure bet to stay healthy for much of the year.
Aaron Rowand (Phillies) – Rowand’s style of play reminds many fans of former Ranger Rusty Greer. Unfortunately, that also means he may be in for a Greer style breakdown, which doesn’t do you any good long term.
Mike Cameron (Padres) – I thought that there would be a chance that Cameron would stay with the Padres, but unfortunately, it looks as if Cameron will be moving on from San Diego after this season. Cameron wants a three year deal, which the Padres were unwilling to do, and will now hit the market at the age of 35. PETCOA has Cameron being worth somewhere in the neighborhood of $21 million from 2008 too 2010. He’s likely going to want 3 years, $30 million, which isn’t too unreasonable.
Kenny Lofton (Rangers) – Lofton still looks pretty good for the most part as far as his play, but he’s really not going to be much of a factor as far as a impact player. Texas signed him in order to give them a stopgap in center until the next year. If he’s willing to accept a backup role, there’s no reason to believe he can’t be a good one.
Ranger Notes
A surprising bit of news here. Bruce Chen cleared waivers and has accepted a assignment to Triple A Oklahoma. The Rangers had thought that Chen would be claimed and talked to a number of teams about a trade, including the New York Yankees.
Edinson Volquez is not making things easier for himself. Though he was excellent in his third start, Volquez in his fourth start had just one hit in five-plus innings and eight groundouts, but permitting three runs as he issued five walks and unleashed two wild pitches before being ejected by the home plate umpire about arguing the strike zone. The Rangers had hoped that Volquez would be able to last five starts in High A Bakersfield, where he would hopefully find his command, and then gradually work his way up, but Volquez has been very wild and may dash those plans for now.
C.J. Wilson continues to draw interest from the Tigers, who want a solid lefty reliever for their bullpen. I would trade C.J. in the right deal, but it would have to involve a pitching prospect that’s got a shot at being a starter.
Ian Kinsler – Kinsler keeps on rolling and at the moment is looking like he’s going to be a rising star.
Sammy!!!! – Yeah, the offense has been bad and the average looks ####, but Sosa has actually been on somewhat of a hot streak.
The Fourth And Fifth Spots In The Rotation– Kameron Loe and Robinson Tejeda have been dealing lately and that’s great news.
The Bad
Everyone Not Named Kinsler, Cruz, Lofton and Blalock– The offense has got to get it together people.
Taylor Teagarden On The D.L. – Elbow injury. That’s not good for a catcher.
Gagne On The D.L. – Big surprise, but at the very least this means that Frank Francisco is returning to the majors. Quite honestly, this isn't really ugly, as there is bullpen depth to help out.
The Ugly
Daniel Haigwood Traded – Here’s another thing you can lay Jamey Wright’s doorstep. His addition cost the Rangers Daniel Haigwood, a Jamey Moyer-esque lefty that had to be Designated For Assignment in order to add Wright to the 40 man roster. Haigwood was traded to the Boston Red Sox on Friday for RHP Scott Shoemaker, a tall right hander with a solid fastball and plus slider, but little else and will likely be a swingman. #### this trade! #### Jamey Wright!
Deals That Best Didn’t Go Down – The 2004 Larry Walker Trade
It’s great to watch Ian Kinsler blossom into a superstar second baseman, as it makes the Alfonso Soriano trade more and more justifiable considering that it was done to clear a spot for this great young talent.
It’s also great that Larry Walker vetoed a trade that would have sent the young slugger to the Rockies back in July of 2004.
You see, back in 2004, the Rangers were suddenly in the thick of the AL West race and, seeking to add extra punch to a lineup that was already strong and just needed a capable DH, then General Manager Jon Hart negotiated a deal with the Rockies that would have sent Kinsler and pitching prospect Erik Thompson in exchange for the brittle, but still potent bat of Walker.
However, Walker exercised his no trade clause and killed the deal. The Rangers were left with having to use Eric Young and others in the DH role and Walker was traded the next month to the St. Louis Cardinals.
Would it have been worth it?
Well, after losing Soriano to injury in the last part of the 2004 season, Walker would have made up for the difference in offense that would have been lost. It could have been enough to put the Rangers over Oakland and LA to get to the playoffs, where they would have played…the New York Yankees and former Ranger, Alex Rodriguez.
More likely, it would have resulted in Soriano remaining a Ranger, only to see him leave elsewhere and the Rangers would likely have had to re-sign Mark DeRosa, assuming his breakout remained the same, or possibly have rushed Joaquin Arias up to second base.
In retrospect, the deal is great. But who knows what would have happened had Walker not killed the trade?
Just a thought.
Danks And Masset Incorrect About Rangers Fanbase
In recent interviews, former Rangers prospects John Danks and Nick Masset took some shots at the organization that drafted them.
In his first interview since being traded, Danks expressed his dislike for the DVD moniker that was attached to him, Thomas Diamond and Edison Volquez, who were hyped under the moniker as the Rangers’ pitching rotation of the future. He said that “We hated it." He expressed some anger about the hype that followed him, in particular when he was in Double A Frisco, close to the Rangers’ fan base, and replied that "fans came over and expected great things, (and) If I got shelled, they'd say, 'Oh, that guy isn't very good. It was all hype. It was one of those things where they build you up. You have one rough game and people write you off. Rangers fans are pretty fair-weathered anyway. Early on it was cool to get some attention, but after a while it just wore on us," he said.
Hold on there, cowboy!
First of all, Ranger fans can be grouped into two factions: the die hards, like myself, the guys that hang out at Rangerfans.com and Lone Star Ball, and then there’s the faction that really aren’t Ranger fans, that simply followed the team because they were in the area, came aboard because of A-Rod, and have criticized the team because of mismanagement that has ensued almost since the inception of the franchise. As far as Ranger fans being fair-weathered, I’d say “angsty” is a better term. Ranger fans have seen so many pitching prospects implode, and so many poor scouting decisions, that to say that they hold a pessimistic view of their team is, suffice to say, an understatement. There are several fans that followed Danks since he was drafted and throughout much of his career, were pretty even handed with the remarks and criticism about him. All in all, it was the latter section of fans that I described that seemed to take the whole DVD thing out of proportion. I can understand how that can wear on a kid.
But, that doesn’t stop Danks from sounding slightly bitter about how he left, and that’s unfortunate. There are many Ranger fans that would have loved to have kept him and still follow his career with great interest. Comments like these kind of change people’s opinion about a player and as a result causes a loss of some a player’s fanbase.
Danks did sound a little better in another interview about Rangers management. ''We left, everything was all clear, all good. 'I understood that it was part of the business. Jon Daniels, all those guys over there, had nothing but great things to say to me. So I want nothing but good for them. ''I have no anger toward them. 'I wish them the best, and I hope they win every game ... except when they play the White Sox.''
Suffice to say, the damage has still been done.
Masset sounds even worse in another interview.
"Pitching is a big thing over there, tThat's a big question for them all the time. The funny thing is there is a lot of good talent over there. I don't think they put together the right combinations when they needed to. I don't know what happened.”
I can actually answer that.
Poor scouting, poor drafting, free agency losses and signings have created a loss of talent in the Rangers’ farm system. He’s right about there being talent, it’s just said talent took a collective step back last season.
"I couldn't be in a happier situation or a better situation," Masset said. "I'm happy where I am and with what I'm doing for the team."
When asked if he'd like to face his former organization and have a chance to stick it to them, Masset replied: ''A little bit because you think, 'Why did they get rid of me?' If I get a chance against them, I'll bring a little extra, show them what they're missing out on.''
In all honesty, I can answer that question as well.
Masset was a part of a huge collection of relievers, which Texas is still plagued with and needs to purge at the deadline in order to restock the organization with useful prospects that have a future with the team. Masset, unfortunately, was simply caught in a glut of relievers and was far enough down the food chain where he wouldn’t be missed.
Masset always had great stuff, but could never put it together and really, only last season was he able to emerge as a prospect that was more interesting than much.
I wish both guys all the luck in the world, but quite frankly, after reading the interviews, I won’t miss them. The Rangers need to have players that want to be there. And in this case, they may be better off.
Ranger Notes
Eric Chavez had originally given Rangers Manager Ron Washington his 2004 Gold Glove trophy. Unfortuantely, the award was one of Washington’s belongings that had been lost during Hurricane Katrina. However, the Rangers had a replica of the award made and asked Chavez to present it to Washington once again, which he did before Saturday's game at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington.
Mark Connor feels that the problem with Brandon McCarthy is not mechanics, but rather with his head. He advised McCarthy to relax, as he feels that McCarthy is trying hard to prove that the trade that brought him to Texas was worthwhile.
The Bruce Chen era of the Rangers is over. To make room for Eyre, Chen was designated for assignment. Chen had five outings and is currently 0-0 with a 7.20 ERA (8 ER/10.0 IP) on 11 hits. He has struck out seven and walked six and has finished three games. With the starting pitching market in disarray at the moment, Chen will likely be traded within the ten day period that is specified, as it seems unlikely he'll make it to Oklahoma, where he has accepted a assignment to, as someone will claim him. Hopefully, the Rangers will get something useful.
The Tigers during the off-season were worried enough about the lack of a lefty in their bullpen that they inquired to see if LHP C.J. Wilson was available, but were told no. That not only speaks volumes about how the organization feels about Wilson, who wants to close at some point, but it also means that for once, the Rangers have something that someone actually wants. I wonder if they'd be interested in Chen or LHP John Rheinecker, who is currently on the DL.
Torii Hunter is apparently looking for a 4 year deal worth $50 million dollars. Looking at Hunter, the injury issues are a bit concerning, plus the fact that he’s going to be entering his decline seasons at the age of 32. PETCOA’s projections are not very big on Hunter, frankly have him looking more or less like a backup player by the year 2009. We’ll take a look at the centerfield market next time and see who the Rangers should head after.
Torii Hunter said recently about the Jackie Robinson tribute of wearing 42 this sunday as this: "This is supposed to be an honor, and just a handful of guys wearing the number. Now you've got entire teams doing it. I think we're killing the meaning. It should be special wearing Jackie's number, not just because it looks cool. "
Really.
And who should this handful of guys be?
I'll admit that the decision of the Pirates, Cardinals, Phillies, and Astros all wearing the number is odd (realistically, I think only the Dodgers should be allowed to all wear the number), but honestly, Robinson's impact on the game of baseball had a lasting impact on the game, not just for African Americans, but also for Hispanic Americans, and Japanease Americans.
Without Robinson, we would never have been exposed to some of the legends that have been in the game had the sport stayed just white, with only the rare player being allowed in because his skin happened to qualify.
Without Robinson, we would never have been graced wtih Willie Mays. We would never have had the pleasure of watching Hank Aaron, one of the most honorable and distinguished gentlemen ever to play the game. We would never have met players such as Joe Morgan, the Alou Clan, Roberto Clemente, and others had it not been for Robinson.
So, Torii instead of poo-pooing on the decision of players wanting to wear the number, keep in mind that it isn't a fashion statement, or a way to look cool.
It's a simple method of players and fans, young and old, saying Thank You, one of of the greatest men to have graced the social landscape of the country. We would all be worse off without him.
Finding An Heir To Rivera
With the latest talk that Mariano Rivera may or may not be a Yankee at the end of the season, does the system have a pitcher that can step up to the task of taking the role that has been held by possibly the greatest post-season closer in the history of baseball? Or does the team look for a source from outside the system?
Here’s a list of who the Yankees may ask to take over the role in the future:
Scott Proctor (RHP - Yankees) – Proctor is the odds on favorite to take over the role. He’s got good stuff, some experience closing in limited roles, can dominate and is young enough to build a pen around. Working against Proctor’s favor, however, is the thought that the Yankees still view him as a starter and will eventually shift him into the rotation. Plus, there’s also the possibility of Proctor breaking down, as Torre was absolutely brutal with his use last season. Still, he’s the favorite for the job.
Francisco Rodriguez (RHP – Angels) – Or Is He? The Yankees have long coveted the Angels closer as the successor to Rivera and he hits free agency in two years, about the time it's expected for Rivera to finally retire. Rodriguez is an electric closer and could more than satisfy the needs of a lights out closer. The only problem is that his delievery, motion, and everything about the way he pitches kind of screams for a breakout at some point.
J.B. Cox (RHP - Yankees Farm System) - The Former University Of Texas Closer was one of the more dominating farm system closers in baseball until Tommy John shut him down, but there is a fear that his stuff falls just below closer's material and that he may be a setup man long term.
Joba Chamberline (RHP - Yankees Farm System) - Chamberline, one of the more impressive pitchers in the low low minors, has great raw stuff that more than fits the bill as a closer's role. Plus, his body type, which is BIG, may be better off for that role. However, the Yankees, like Proctor, also view him as a starter, and they will hold off on making the transistion in the near future.
Someone Outside The Organization - Again, the Yankees could also make a trade in the next couple of years for a blocked reliever that could close. C.J. Wilson of the Rangers and Jesse Crain of the Twins are immediate candidates that come to mind. The problem is that both teams also like their pitchers and would demand a good prospect in return for their relievers, which is something the Yankees might not want to give up.
Someone Yet To Be Drafted - There's also the possibility that the Yankees could draft a college closer, but the record on college closers so far is rather spotty, with Huston Street and Chad Cordero being the exceptions.
2007 Free Agency – Second Basemen
This market is going to be thin after an abundance of second baseman this year. There’s going to be several utility players that may be able to play the position, but that’s a article for another day.
Luis Castillo (Twins) – Castillo is the best option available on the market and he’s still a capable defender and a solid hitter. His power is diminishing as he gets older, but he still has great speed and plate discipline and is a asset in the number two spot if he’s not hitting leadoff. Castillo should cash in a rather scarce market for second baseman.
Marcus Giles (Padres) – [If $4MM club option is declined]. Though I expect Giles to remain in San Diego, as his option is relatively affordable, Giles is a decent performer with some power and defense, but the increasing strikeout totals and his decreasing power over the past couple of years is a concerned.
Tadahito Iguchi (White Sox) – Iguchi is a free agent after this season because of his age and lack of power, he’s not going to be a hot name on the market. He’s got a great glove at second and has some speed on the bases and he hits for decent contact and has good plate discipline. I think he’ll likely stay, as he’s a cheap date.
J#### Kent (Dodgers) – [If he fails to make 550 PA to trigger $9MM Club Option.] Kent still has got solid power and can be a solid middle of the lineup presence, but he’s not a great option at second and may be better as a DH. Still, he may get a shot somewhere, as I think he wants one more season to pad his Hall Of Fame resume.
Danny Almonte Joins The Frontier League
Danny Almote has signed with the Southern Illinois Miners of the independent Frontier League. In case you all don't remember, Almonte pitched his Bronx, New York, team to a third-place finish in the 2001 Series, tossing a perfect game along the way, but documents later revealed that Almonte was 14 years old at the time of the competition, two years too old for the tournament. His records were removed and his team stripped of their finish.
Almonte went on to help James Monroe High School in New York win two Public School Athletic League championships. He was named MVP of the 2004 title game. He was eligiable to be drafted in last year's Rule 4 Amateur Draft, but wasn't taken in any of the 50 rounds.
As far as his stuff is concerend, Almonte is a lefty pitcher that has a fastball that sits in the low 90's that couples with a plus slider. Ehh, not bad. Who knows? A dominant season could get him on the draft boards again.
Wow, I go off for training and the Baseball World goes bananas. Well, I'll update the Kris Benson situation later, but for right now, let's check out the next team drawn out of the hat...
Hmmm, the hat chose to stay in the AL.
Minnesota Twins
I thought I was right last year when I predicted that the Twins would fall off last season and finish third in the division last year.
Then the Twins went out and won the AL Central.
So you wouldn’t think that I would go with them to win this year.
Nope. Ain’t happening.
Here's why...
The Twins are now wihtout two-fifths of that rotation from last year, with Francisco Liriano out for the season and Brad Radke retiring. Plus, with the other powers vastly closing the gap between the Twins, plus the amount of youth and inexperience that the Twins will be putting in, things could get ugly really fast.
Starting Rotation
Johan Santana (LHP) – He’s the one sure bet among the Twins pitchers, with most of the rotation being made up of question marks or youngsters. Santana should continue to dominate the American League and will probably be among the league leaders in ERA, Wins, and Strikeouts. But none of the will matters, as the Twins are in some trouble as far as the rest of the rotation is concerned.
Matt Garza (RHP) – I would prefer that Garza spend another year in Triple A before heading into the rotation, but with the losses of Radke and Liriano, Garza will be forced to be the Number Three starter for the Twins. Garza was forced to step up for the Twins midway through the season, and was hit hard, as expected for a starter with only one year of pro experience, which was said to have exhausted his arm. He is also still learning how to mix in all of his pitches, also chalked up to inexperience. Theoretically, Garza has enough skills to become an All-Star. The only thing left for him is to learn by the seat of his pants.
Carlos Silva (RHP) – Liriano’s unfortunate need for TJ resulted in Silva having to return for another year. Silva doesn’t look like he’s going to be much more than a pitcher that will rack up some innings, maybe break .500, and will look very ugly doing it.
#### Bonser (RHP) – Bonser has been underrated for years and is in reality a very good pitcher that has a lot of upside. Inexperience will hurt early on, but he’ll likely be a useful pitcher that can eat innings in the back of the rotation that could provide a dominant performance every now and than. My long term forecast is that he is on average a 13.12, 4.20 pitcher per year, very similar to Joe Blanton of the A’s.
Glen Perkins (LHP) – Perkins is a power lefthander, throwing a fastball that sits at 90-94 mph and striking out more than 10 batters per nine innings. He complements the heater with a hard curveball. The problem is that Perkins is VERY flyball friendly, which will give the outfield defense a workout. With the Twins needing starters (and does anyone really expect Sidney Ponson to make the team), Perkins will likely be in the final rotation spot.
Bullpen
Joe Nathan (Closer) – One of the best closers in the business, Nathan has dominated baseball without much fanfare. Nathan has been pretty healthy the past few years and I doubt that will change anytime soon. Minnesota needs to get something done with him in order to keep him around for the remainder of his career.
Juan Rincon (Setup Man) – One of the best setup men in the business can spot close if Nathan needs a day off.
Jesse Crain (RHP) – Teams continue to contact Minnesota about the availability of this 7th inning performer, as he is could enough to close on most teams.
Pat Neshek (RHP) – This sidearm pitcher gives a different look to complement quality setup men Rincon and Crain.
Matt Guerrier (RHP) – Guerrier had a solid season by the numbers, but looking closely, he was lights out in May and August, lit up in April and June, and average in September. Weird.
Dennys Reyes (LHP) – Solid lefty finishes off a very strong bullpen.
Projected Lineup
Luis Castillo (2B) – Castillo was a solid addition to this team, bringing Gold Glove defense at second while serving well as a lead off man. His only flaw is a lack of power, but with his solid hitting skills and his base stealing ability, he should continue to provide on base skills at the top of the order.
Nick Punto (3B) – After spending almost his entire career as a middle infielder, Punto will most likely be the Twins’ starting third base option. Punto doesn’t have the power usually associated with an infield corner, but he’s a solid hitter and can get on base.
Joe Mauer (C) – The best young catcher in the game today. Mauer comes into the season as the defending AL Batting Crown holder and continues to establish himself as one of the games elite catchers. He should continue to hit well above the .300 mark and could continue to improve his power. Mauer emerged as a run producer last season and should help set up the mashers behind him. The Twins were smart enough to lock him up for the next four years.
Michael Cuddyer (RF) – Cuddyer finally developed into the run producer Minnesota hoped he would and is entering his prime as a hitter. He seems to have found his niche in right field and should help anchor a solid Twins offense for the next few years, until he begins to get expensive around arbitration time.
Justin Morneau (1B) – The AL MVP (should have been Mauer), Morneau also developed the power that Minnesota had hoped he would exhibit, batting .345 with 28 homers and 113 RBI’s after May 9th. He’s likely to continue growing as a hitter, as he’s only 25, and will give the Twins another solid slugger in the heart of the order. Like Cuddyer, there is also a question of whether or not Morneau will be moved as he becomes more and more expensive during arbitration.
