The Rangers could have made a better offer than what the Twins actually got for Johan Santana.
While the Twins ultimately got a decent package of high upside prospects in Carlos Gomez, Philip Humber, Deolis Guerra, and Kevin Mulvey, the Rangers had the prospects to pull off a trade. However, I won’t tell you what the trade would have been, though I can tell you it would have kicked the #### out of the Mets offer.
Santana wouldn’t have approved a trade here.
First of all, this isn’t exactly the best ballpark for a flyball pitcher to flourish. Second of all, Santana, due to his no trade clause, would have vetoed a deal, as he had tremendous leverage over where he could go.
While Santana would have given the Rangers a top of the rotation starter, there simply was no way he would have approved a trade here, even if the Rangers offered six players, many of them good ones (#### it. RHP Eric Hurley, CF Brandon Boggs, SS Joaquin Arias, 2B German Duran, C Max Ramirez and CF Marlon Byrd), the Rangers wouldn’t even have the opportunity to negotiate an extension with him. It just wasn’t feasible.
On A Side Note…
Oakland, going back to the Santana deal one more time, probably had a better package in return than the Twins got for Santana. While I’m not high on the pitchers they received, Carlos Gonzalez should be a stud once he hits the big leagues and they got a hell of a masher in Chris Carter, who will be a beast once he comes up to the majors.
God I wish the Rangers could have gotten Carter. Stupid Otsuka….
Fearing Bedard In Seattle
I am going to fear Seattle’s rotation if and when the Bedard deal is done. While I should be happy about the fact that Seattle will be parting with some solid blue chippers, Bedard isn’t going to be a treat to face. In fact, matching up Millwood and Padilla against Hernandez and Bedard would be like sending you out to a gunfight with only a pair of pistols, while the enemy is firing bazookas. You have no chance (unless a rocket misfires, blowing up your opponent. Ah Doom, how I miss thee…)
Bringing Ryan Back A Complicated Affair
Nolan Ryan is apparently interested in the vacant Rangers’ presidency gig and Tom Hicks has been active in courting Ryan to return to the Rangers.
However, actually bringing Ryan back is going to be a lot of work.
For starters, Houston might not be willing to let Ryan go, as Drayton McLane may decide to expand Ryan's role in terms of player development and decisions. Plus, he enjoys the PR boom that Ryan gives the Astros, especially considering that he owns their Double and Triple A Franchises.
Which is another complications. Would the Rangers allow Ryan to keep his two minor league teams? Or would they force him to cede control of the franchises, likely to his sons Reese and Ried, if he's to be hired.
And if Ryan is indeed made President, how would that affect Jon Daniels' power. J.D. has pretty much acted pretty autonomous and if he were to lose control over some of the minor league and player development phases (which have been vastly improved since he took over), how would that hinder his ability to run the big league club?
I love Nolan, met him once (nice guy), but as much as I love him to come back to the Rangers, I don't know if the overall impact (non-economic) would be worth it.
Bad Job Of Roster Management
If you haven’t already seen, the Rangers designated Armando Galarraga for assignment a few days ago, likely in anticipation of a Marlon Byrd deal that isn’t going to happen.
My only question is why?
I know that the Rangers have some higher ceiling pitchers on the roster, but Galarraga has plenty of upside and could wind up being a Chad Qualls type reliever in a couple of years.
Why the designation?
If anyone deserved to be DFA”d, it was Nelson Cruz, who would have made it through waivers and would have been given a Spring Training Invite along with a minor league deal.
Instead, Galarraga gets the axe and he’ll likely get claimed on waivers by a team without 40 Man space, likely the Astros, who have room in their system and 40 for him.
Unless there is a trade coming in the next few days that we haven’t heard about, this isn’t a good move and one that’s likely to blow up in the faces of the Rangers. So far, there hasn't been word on him being claimed (8 days down, two to go.) I only hope that the Rangers' luck holds out.
One Year Later, Still Irritated At Rod Barajas
I'm still pissed at Rod Barajas.
You cost us one extra draft pick after booking from your original deal with the Jays, you ########.
So full of hate that, one year later, he signs with them anyway.
Grrr.....
Will post the Prospect Six Pack Later. I got to break something. Long day....
There have been a lot of rumors recently about the Cubbies wanting to make a trade for Marlon Byrd, ideally to be their centerfielder and to help push Felix Pie. Apparently, the deal would be for Matt Murton and possibly for pitching prospect Sean Gallagher.
This deal likely doesn't have much legs on it, if any.
First of all, as good as the Byrdman's seaosn was last year, I doubt he suddenly had a breakout in his early 30's. More than likely, he'll regress to his usual fourth outfielder status come April.
Second, I wouldn't trade Murton for Byrd straight up if I were the Cubs, but if they are willing to do it, I'd pull the trigger. Hell, I'd even include a pair of relievers in the deal for Murton and Gallagher, likely Scott Feldman and Robinson Tejeda. Not only would that give the Cubs more options to sift through, it opens up space on the 40 Man for someone.
However, as promising as the deal seemed, I doubt it will happen.
Complicating things further are the fact that the Padres want Murton as well, though I'm not sure what they would give up in return. San Diego usually tries to pass off their #### on other teams (as the Rangers would find out during the infamous Chris Young deal) and their GM is a very smart man. It's very much likely that somehow or another, Kevin Towers will find a way to make any trade a three trade deal, and in return would somehow find a way to screw over the Rangers by managing to net Murton himself and leaving the Rangers on the short end of the stick.
Possible Draft Pick Compensation?
The Rangers could also find themselves enjoying a beavy of picks in next years draft if all falls right (unlikely, but it's good to hope.)
While none of the Rangers' one year commitments are going to be Type A Picks, there could be several first round sandwich picks, depending on what happens:
Jason Jennings (RHP) - Recovery from a bad year could result in a Type B pick for Texas if he proves to be healthy.
Milton Bradley (RF) - Staying sane and healthy could get him a job as a DH somewhere.
Ben Broussard (1B) - Could be the next Ryan Kelsko, getting the Rangers a solid pick without doing much.
All in all, that's potentially three picks for the Rangers if the rankings fall right, five if somehow or another Jennings and Bradley are able to rate as Type A's.
Barring any other moves, the Rotation appears as follows:
Kevin Millwood (RHP)
Vicente Padilla (RHP)
Jason Jennings (RHP)
Brandon McCarthy (RHP)
Kason Gabbard (LHP)
That makes for a solid, but unspecacular rotation. However, if Millwood, Padilla and Jennings improve to their 2006 seasons, rather than their 2007's, that's a potential playoff rotation, especially if McCarthy continues to improve and Gabbard doesn't implode. However, that's a lot to ask. If anything, at the very least, Jennings could bring back a draft pick, or pitch well enough that when Texas is out of it by May, they could begin entertaining trade talks and get back a good player or two.
Coco Crisp Deals Are Dead
There's been a lot of rumors tossed around, and a lot of talk from Red Sox fans that the Red Sox should send Coco Crisp over to the Rangers for one of their highly regarded catching prospects. Peter Gammons, in a recent chat, even had the Rangers (and Oakland) being the likely favorites for Crisp, seeing both teams as needing players.
They are delusional. It ain't happening.
Back when the off-season first started, there was talk that the Rangers and Red Sox had agreed on a potential Crisp for Gerald Laird swap. It was understandable, as it was two players who had no future in their respective organizations, had three cheap years of control left each and filled holes for each organization. The Rangers have no centerfielder and Varitek isn't going to last forever. It was a classic apples and oranges trade that should have worked.
However, the Red Sox instead decided A) to enter into the Johan Santana sweepstakes and B) change the offer for the Rangers, hoping to net more prospects and get a lot more value for Crisp than he was probably worth.
Texas backed out and instead got Josh Hamilton, who has some risk, but also a lot more of a ceiling than Crisp had and has more service time.
So, as you can see, there isn't room for Texas and Boston is now backed into a corner, as they have a brewing problem on their hand and the number of places they can send Crisp to is drying up fast.
So no, there will be no Coco for Texas.
Sorry.
Bottsy At First...Not A Good Idea
Jason Botts apparently is going to see time at first base and will make the team as the platoon partner for Frank Catalonotto and Ben Broussard in left and at first.
I'm not so sure that first base is a good idea. Botts was converted to left field after back issues forced him there. I don't have much experience as far as diamond experience (I was a catcher in high school), but as far as first base goes, it does involve a lot of bending and leaning. And if Botts' back is as balky as it sounds, this might not go well.
On the other hand, Texas has a fantastic medical team, so the Rangers might be able to keep him healthy. Who knows?
Where To Send Shelton To
With Shelton still passing through waivers, I think it's a fair possibility that he's going to get claimed. WIth that in mind, the Rangers should look into seeing what they could get for him.
Though streaky, Shelton is a decent player that can play the four corners and he's a young alternative to some of the usual suspects (Sean Casey anyone?) And, taking a look around the league, there are some places where he'd fit in nicely.
The most immediate fit is San Francisco, unless they want to use Rich Aurillia there. However, in terms of prospects, I don't see much that San Fran would have to offer, as all their best prospects were either just drafted or are named Angel Villalona. Sergio Romo, a live arm that is destined for the bullpen, would be the best fit.
Is there anything else I could do? I don't think so. I would say Florida, but Shelton might be too expensive for them (and I'm being serious. Florida and Oakland seem to be racing each other to see who can get the lower payroll.) The Yankees would be another alternative, but not only do they have too many roster spots taken up by the dead (Giambi), the rude (Duncan) and the Betemiet, but they also seem to be waiting for Mark Teixeira to inevitably hit the market so they can spend the Giambi savings on him.
So, I'd call up Brian Sabean and ask if he's willing to do a Romo for Shelton swap. Not only would it net the Rangers something, think of the newspaper headlines in Dallas when it's announced that the Rangers have just brought in their own Romo. It would be classic.
Rangers May Have Waited Too Long To Sell High On Luis Mendoza
I like Luis Mendoza more than most. However, I think the Rangers may have waited too long to sell on him, as I think his value has peaked.
There's been a lot of talk about Mendoza being a potential back of the rotation starter for the Rangers, and that he could even push one of the vets out of the rotation.
Please.
Mendoza has done nothing to really merit the love he has gotten. He's been rather inconsistent, has been released by an organization at least once (Boston) and despite a nice run here in Texas, that was only after a late surge.
Honestly, I would have let people know that Mendoza was available, and maybe have made a trade (possibly with Laird.)
According to Evan Grant, Jason Jennings may be a Ranger in the relatively near future.
My take on that?
I figured that the Rangers would be signing a pitcher soon, as Texas has never been one to rely on a lot of youth in the rotation as far as unproven pitchers are concerned (and, despite their service time, McCarthy and Gabbard are still relatively unproven). With Edinson Volquez now a Red, Texas was almost certain to look for a high upside vet to take over the three or four spot, depending on who it was.
The question is, is Jennings that?
Jennings was the youngest of the broken pitchers category, having undergone surgery to fix a torn flexor tendon and was said to be ready for Spring Training. However, Jennings doesn’t have the greatest control, seeing his K to Walk Ratio over the past few years and he doesn’t have a legitimate out pitch. He was remarkably durable, however, and does do a good job of inducing groundballs. Provided that Young and Kinsler are on their toes when he pitches, he could be effective. He also has experience pitching in a worse pitcher’s park than Texas in Colorado.
And, if the Rangers are out of it and Jennings is effective, he could be flipped for a young player ready to help the Rangers, perhaps an outfielder or a third baseman (as Chris Davis is inevitably going to move to first, in spite of the Rangers possibly looking to move him to right field.)
The only real question is whether or not Jennings can make it in the AL. The lineups are deeper and he doesn’t have the benefit of cruising through the lower third of the lineup, which is always a problem for NL Pitchers. Nonetheless, it’s a low risk move that could pay dividends.
Catching Situation Sorting Itself Out...In A Way
It looks like the Rangers are planning on keeping Gerald Laird, at least until midseason or until the end Spring Training should someone need a starter for the simple reason that they feel his value is at a low. It also looks like, with the recent signing of Adam Melhuse to a minor league deal with a spring training invite, that the Rangers are planning on sending Jarrod Saltalamacchia down to Oklahoma to start the season, with the intent of flipping Laird at the deadline and calling Salty back then.
In a way, it might be for the best, considering that Atlanta may have rushed Salty up to the minors and Texas kept him up here to fill in the hole left at first by Teixiera leaving town. However, I thought that Laird would have had a lot more value around the league. The two spots I thought might have worked out were:
Boston – Laird could have backed up Jason Varitek before being asked to take on starting catching duties. And Texas could have netted Coco Crisp. That was the idea that was going on until Boston reversed course and demanded Eric Hurley, Luis Mendoza and C.J. Wilson back in return.
Mets – Here was another spot that I felt would work, as Laird would have been a cheap option for Minaya, and return could have netted Texas Lastings Milledge. Instead, Milledge was sent to Washington for Brian Schneider. Weirdness.
Other Transactions
Jamey Wright is close to signing a Minor League deal with a spring training invite with Texas, bringing him back to the team. Wright was mediocre as a starter, but was solid as a reliever, though his amount of walks worries me. Still, Wright is a good guy to have in the swingman role, though a cheaper option would be to use Kameron Loe in that role, which would be a cheaper decision to use.
Another thing, the signing of Eddie Guardado (and have been for the last month, apparently), but here’s the problem. Guardado is likely going to sign a major league deal, meaning another move must be made on the 40 Man roster, which recently saw the departure of Bill White to make room for Kazuo Fukumori. My guess is that the next to go is Nelson Cruz, followed then by either Jason Botts or Travis Metcalf.
TIme when I try to forecast who will get into the Hall of Fame.
And every year, I've been wrong except for last year, when no brainers Tony Gwynn and Cal Ripken got in (I whiffed on Gossage twice already.)
No matter.
Here's this year's edition.
Cooperstown Locks
Rich "Goose" Gossage – This is the year Goose gets in. He got close last season, even with Ripkin and Gwynn on the ballot and will almost certainly make the hall of fame, barring any sort of mental lapse amongst the voters. There is no reason why it should have taken this long, but as I have said, I believe that Gossage’s years as a setup man may have hurt his case for the Hall of Fame.
Jim Rice – There’s been a lot of debate recently as to whether or not Rice truly is Hall of Fame worthy. Rice does have some good career averages, and he’s got 382 HR’s, though that isn’t good enough for a man with the reputation for a power hitter. His numbers were partially inflated by Fenway, but he did net a MVP award in 1978. He does get bonus points for being a slugger in a Pitcher’s Era, however and overall, with his support in Boston and much of the Eastern Seaboard, I say he gets in this year. I don’t agree with it, however.
Dark Horses
Bert Blyleven – A great pitcher, ranks fifth all time in strikeouts (3701), nine all time in shutouts, and 13th all time in innings. His career record is great (287-250) his ERA is solid (3.31) and has a career ERA of 2.47 in the post season. If he had better run support, he’d easily have over 300 wins. He should have been in a long time ago, but for some reason, voters are reluctant to admit him in, yet they are upset over why a lesser pitcher, Jack Morris, whom Blyleven laps in every category and is even better in the post-season than Morris, is not in. There’s been a rise of support for Blyleven. Unfortunately, it won’t be enough.
Tim Raines – Raines merits induction, as he was one of the best Leadoff Men in baseball for much of his career. He hit .294 lifetime, tallied 2605 hits, has a career on base percentage of .385, and scored 1571 times. People crack on his stolen bases, saying that he was afraid to drop his stolen base percentage when in reality, Raines stole bases only when necessary, not just to pad stats. He also walked more than he struck out. However, Raines won’t get his due, as people will again feel he wasn’t as good as Henderson, his rival as far as leadoff men are concerned, plus his cocaine use. Raines may have lasted even longer in baseball if he hadn’t played much of his career on the hard Astroturf in Montreal. I feel she should get in. The voters are divided so far.
Screwed
Lee Smith – A good closer, is number two on the All-Time Saves List (478), and truckload of innings logged in. His career ERA is good (3.03) and he was usually consistent. However, what kills Smith is that most people see him as a compiler and is regarded by many to be consistent, but not dominant. The fact that he only played on two playoff teams and was 0-2 with an 8.44 ERA in the postseason doesn’t help him much. Still, accumulating 478 saves is amazing (just ask Trevor Hoffman), but unfortunately, it’s looking more and more like Smith will be at the mercy of the Veteran’s committee and won’t be elected by the BBWAA.
Tommy John – Almost as good as Blyleven, in terms of Wins (288-231) and ERA (3.34), John would have been a lock if he had just won 300 wins. However, people don’t realize that had it not been for the procedure that now bears his name, he wouldn’t even be close to his numbers. John was a great pitcher for some time. Why he’s not in is beyond me.
Dave Concepcion – The last member of the Big Red Machine not in the Hall (not counting Pete Rose), Concepcion was probably one of the best shortstops of his time. Many remember him for his glove work, but his career averages (.267/.322/.357) and his 2326 hits aren’t enough to get him in. It’s possible that many could point to Ozzie Smith as a possible induction into the Hall of Fame from Concepcion, but unfortunately, I don’t think he’ll get in, leaving him as a option for the veteran’s committee.
Andre Dawson – Blessed with a long, steady career that lasted 21 seasons, Dawson tallied 438 homers, 2774 hits, 314 steals, and was the 1987 NL MVP. Dawson was a great defender at both right and centerfield and hit with good power. He didn’t walk much, which is why he’s got a #### OBP, but he does have some favorable stats to some Hall of Famers already in. He was also one of the classiest men to play the game, another reason why I like him, though that’s beside the point. But unfortunately, he's seen as a complier, and most likely won't be allowed in anytime soon, which sucks for him.
Alan Trammell – Trammell totaled 2,365 hits, 185 homers, 412 doubles, 236 steals and a World Series MVP to his name. Those are solid stats and should be Hall of Fame worthy when you consider that Trammell played in an era when shortstops were expected to defend, not him. However, shortly after Trammell retired, the rise of offensive shortstops, such as Ripken, Jeter, Garciaparra, Rodriguez and others have made his numbers look quite pedestrian when compared to how they will finish. Because of that, Trammell isn’t getting in, even though he probably should.
Harold Baines – Seemingly ageless, as he played for over 20 seasons, Baines is probably regarded as one of the best hitters in White Sox history. As a whole, he was a very good hitter for a very long time, with a career .289 Batting Average and totals of 2,866 hits and 384 home runs. He played on six postseason teams but never won a ring. Not at all shabby. However, Baines was a terrible defender and never had a monster season. He also never really took walks either, meaning he’s out.
The Hall of Very Good
Dave Parker – The Cobra has a lot of good credentials. He’s got 2712 hits, led the league three times in scoring, is in the top 30 of all time in doubles and was the 1978 NL MVP, three Gold Gloves. He also won two batting titles. Those are good numbers, but not great ones, and Parker’s cocaine use has turned off several of the more self righteous voters, which means Parker is likely going in that class of Very Good, but not Hall Worthy players.
Jack Morris – Morris is a somewhat lesser version of Tommy John. He has pitched well in the postseason, and averaged at least 14 wins per season. However, Morris has an ERA of 3.90 and going through some of his career numbers, many of his wins are the result of good run support and a strong defensive unit. I don’t think he should be allowed in, even though many of the old school media are pushing hard for him to go in. He’d easily be the worst Hall of Fame pitcher ever elected.
Mark McGwire – 500 Home Runs used to guarantee you admission into the hall of fame, but times have changed and McGwire has been made the posterboy of the era. It’s not fair, but unfortunately, it happens. He won’t get in, but will likely hang around the ballot. He could get in during his final year of eligibility.
Don Mattingly – One of the most popular Yankees in history, a nine-time Gold Glover, a six time All-Star, and the 1985 MVP. A good man and a great leader, who stuck with the Yankees through the lean years and retired just before all the fun started. Early in his career, Mattingly seemed like a lock, but lingering back problems would eventually claim his career. Again, as with another 80’s era first baseman, Will Clark, Mattingly had good career averages (.307-.358-.471), but his overall numbers (222 HR’s, 2153 Hits) aren’t enough to get him in, though he’ll be immortalized in Legends Park sooner or later. To put it bluntly, Yankee fans, let it go. Unfortunately, he’ll hang around for the next few years, making this a perennial comment.
Dale Murphy – Murphy has two MVP awards and 398 homers. But other than that, he's not Hall Worthy.
Chuck Finley – Finely made quite a few All-Star teams based on raw win totals alone, but his control was average and his ERA doesn’t fairly show that he could be god-awful a great deal. He did have a reputation as an innings eater, but other than that, what else can you say except that he’s a slightly above average pitcher who likely would be vastly overpaid if he played today and isn’t worthy of Hall of Fame consideration.
Robb Nen – A former Ranger Draft Pick, Nen was traded to Florida for Cris Carpenter (the bad one) and became one of the better closers in baseball, finishing his career with 314 saves, a 45-42 record, a career 2.98 ERA and a WHIP of 1.213. However, that’s not hall worthy, meaning Nen is out.
No Chance In Hell
Chuck Knoblauch – Knoblauch certainly looked like a Hall of Fame caliber player back when he was in Minnesota. However, a neurosis that affected his glovework and eventually his hitting ended his career. Many felt that the pressure of playing in New York finally got to him. However, the fact is that what’s done is done and in the end, Knoblauch doesn’t deserve to be bronzed in Cooperstown. His mention in the Mitchell Report will also mean he falls off the ballot.
Todd Stottlemyre–An okay pitcher for the most part, I remember him mostly from his brief time with the Texas Rangers. He shouldn’t be on here. Who screens these things?
Rod Beck –Sorry, I know Beck is very much beloved by many fans, but realistically, he had a 7 year run in which he was good, after which he flamed out spectacularly. This may be his first and only time you’ll see him on the ballot.
David Justice – Justice is going to be one and done on the ballot. He was good for a long time, but was never great. His numbers (1571 Hits, 305 HR, .279 Career BA) just aren’t special enough, though he’ll likely get credit for all of his playoff experience. But, to be quite honest, he just doesn’t belong on the ballot.
Travis Fryman – Fryman played for a long time, both in Detroit and in Cleveland, and was an All-Star five times, but for the most part he was just a solid contributor and nothing more.
Brady Anderson – Another solid contributor, nothing more, Anderson shouldn’t be on the ballot.
Shawon Dunston – Dunston had a decent start to his career, but injuries and ineffectiveness turned him into a very good bench player for the most part. He was also named as one of “Barry’s Guys” in the book Love Me, Hate Me, who defended Eric Davis, who was being berated by Bonds and the time, only to shut him up by grabbing Davis’ World Series ring and asking him “Have one of these?”
Explaining The Rangers' Moves, Playing Russian Roulette For A Fifth Starter, And What To Do With Gerald Laird.
The Rangers Report – Offseason Edition
Rangers’ Moves Make Some Sense When You Look At It
Despite it being a rather quiet off-season for the Rangers, without the signings of some of the sexier names that were available on the free agent market, many of the moves that the Rangers did do are designed to allow for some of the youngsters in the minors some additional time to develop.
Many of the moves correlate to several of the Rangers’ rookies in the minors, designed to delay them for at least another half a season. Let’s check it out:
Alex Rodriguez Opts Out Of 10, Year, $252 Million Deal – A+. This was possible the best deal that the Rangers had happen to them this off-season, as the Rangers now have $21.3 Million to spend on THEIR OWN players. If this deal had been it, the Rangers may have had arguably the best off-seasons based on this alone. What this deal also does for the Rangers is to allow them to toss in a bit more coin on the draft, allowing them to compete with the Yankees and Red Sox for more lower round gems, as well as allowing them to attack the International Signing Period more vigously.
Sign RHP Joaquin Benoit To 2 Years, $6 million – A. To add another cherry on top, the Rangers also extended the ace of their bullpen to an extension, buying out his final year of arbitration and his first year of free agency. Benoit will now be competing for the role of closer next season. Suffice to say, this is good news, as Benoit could have gotten a lot more coin out on the open market.
Sign RHP Warner Madrigal To A Major League Contract – A. This makes the list simply because of the fact that the Rangers in essence get a prospect for free, without giving up anything. This was more thanks to the Angels’ screwing up than Texas monitoring the situation, but nonetheless, they get a relief prospect that throws hard and could be a potential closer. All in all, it’s a great way to add to the farm without giving anything other than a 40 Man spot. As for how he rates, think of a younger K-Rod.
Re-Signed UTIL Ramon Vasquez For 1 Year, $810,000 – D. Okay, Vasquez is a decent little utility man, but I think there were better options internally that could have been used, such as Tug Hulett, until German Duran is ready. Not loving this, really, but considering the salary and that he could be DFA’d with no trouble, ehh, whatever.
Trade CF Freddy Guzman To The Detroit Tigers For 1B Chris Shelton – B. Guzman wasn’t going to be with the Rangers for much longer anyway. While he is fast, his bat is rather anemic, making it hard to project him on the Rangers' as more of a fourth outfielder, pinch runner. As for Shelton, he's a valuable bench player that will see playing time as part of a platoon with Big Ben Broussard. More on how this helps in a minute...
Trade INF Tug Hulett to The Seattle Mariners For 1B Ben Broussard - A. Here's where the Shelton move comes in. For the price of a prospect that had no future here anyway, the Rangers get themselves a stopgap first baseman in the Bris Broulton combo that will now play at first. Broussard will take the majority of the at bats while Shleton spells him against lefties. This gives Texas roughly the equivalent of a major league first baseman. It also allows the Rangers to keep Chris Davis in the minors for another year, allowing him to benefit from coaching, at bats, and the opportunity to fine tune his skills until he gets the job next season.
Sign RF Milton Bradley For 1 year, $5 million - B. This one could blow up either way for the Rangers. Bradley could be a model citizen like Jurassic Carl was during his tenure with the Rangers or he could be a disaster and DFA'd soon after. However, Bradley is an elite bat that is now instantly the second best outfielder on the squad and will give the lineup a temporary boost.
Trade RHP Edinson Volquez and LHP Danny Ray Herrera To The Cincinnati Reds For CF Josh Hamilton - A-. For all the outcry of the Rangers trading pitching, this deal does make a lot of sense. Texas has no outfielders. On my top 40 Rangers prospects, only two prospects in the top 20 were outfielders, both of whom were acquired this year and both of whom are not anywhere near ready. Volquez, while he has talent, I'm beginning to think that he wasn't going to make it, long term, as his control was just too inconsistent. The Rangers jumped at the chance of adding a impact centerfielder and Hamilton also gives the Rangers a legitimate power presence that was lost when Mark Teixeira was traded. Plus, when Borbon is ready, the Rangers could then slide Hamilton to right field, where he'd be a solid fit.
All in all, that's my take on the Rangers' off-season activity. This Rangers' team is vastly improved from what the Rangers ended the year with, so with some luck, the Rangers will keep things respectable, but won't contend for the most part. However, with the kids arriving soon, the future does look like it will swing for the better.
However, Volquez's trade does leave the rotation short an arm. What to do about that?
Playing The Free Agent Russian Roulette For Starters…
Despite the Rangers publicly saying that they will likely fill in the hole in the rotation created by the Josh Hamilton trade, I do expect the Rangers to make a play for one of the free agent starters looking for a bounce back year due to injury. This is a good way to either waste money (which usually happens) or to cash in on a suddenly viable asset if a pitcher were to suddenly return to form (see Paul Byrd’s last stint with the Royals). This is also meant to give two prospects, Eric Hurley and Matt Harrison, more time to develop in the minors to ensure that they won’t get torched immediately once they get promoted. For the most part, the Rangers are doing their homework on the options available. Mark Prior was recently shot down by the Rangers after deeming his medicals a mess along with his refusal to take a club option with his deal. Kyle Lohse is also not going to be an option, especially when you consider just how inconsistent he was in the American League when he was in Minnesota and that his agent, Scott Boras, is going to hold out until teams get desperate and start to jump all over themselves for a pitcher. Lohse is a option I would not take if I was Tom Hicks, nor is it a contract I would want, when you consider, again, Harrison and Hurley’s near readiness for the majors. That means that the Rangers will be looking for a pitcher willing to take a one-year deal, likely with a club option if they can get it. This would also rule out starters like Livan Hernandez and Josh Fogg. With that in mind, here’s who is available:
Jason Jennings (RHP) – Pass. Jennings is going to get the most run because of his Baylor roots and because of his ability to pitch at hitters parks, as well as his age. However, Jennings really is a guy without any real out pitch who can eat innings and keep you in games. Basically, he’s the embodiment of a Number Three starter, not an ace. With that said, he’s probably better off staying in the National League and recently, his agent has made noise that Jennings will be at full strength by opening day and isn’t going to be willing to take a one-year deal, with lots of incentives.
Bartolo Colon (RHP) - Already Ruled Out. The Rangers have already ruled out Colon, who despite looking strong in winter ball so far, but apparently, not only are his medical reports a nightmare, he also wants a long term deal.
Freddy Garcia (RHP) – Strongly Consider, But Won’t Come To Texas. Garcia would be an option I would consider strongly. He has success pitching in the American League, as well as in a pitchers park, and is still reasonably in his prime as far as a starting pitcher could be considered. However, he likely wouldn’t be an option for the Rangers for two reasons: first off, he’s considering holding himself out of the market until June, allowing him to sell himself to the highest bidder, and second, there’s been a lot of smoke signals that he will likely end up with the Mets.
Kris Benson (RHP) – Strongly Consider. My crush on the wife with the big ta-ta’s aside, Benson would be what the Rangers would consider as far as a guy hoping to be brought in as a 4th/5th starter. He’s able to keep you in games, can flash a little more at times and may be willing to take a one-year deal in an attempt to build up his value. I’d be fine with him as a one year option in the back of the rotation.
Roger Clemens (RHP) – Pass. In spite of the Mitchell Allegations, Clemens may be willing to return for one more year, just to try and prove the doubters wrong in an attempt to prove that he’s clean. Hicks may choose to consider Clemens due to his Texas roots and because Clemens was still able to dominate in games last season. However, the negatives outside of the Mitchell investigation outweigh any benefits from Clemens. First off, he will undoubtedly want to come back on a shortened season, which does Texas no good whatsoever, and he broke down late last year, as his body began to break down. Finally, in spite of some dominating performances, Clemens for the most part looked average against American League lineups. While the Rangers wouldn’t be looking for an ace, Clemens’ agents would demand a paycheck worthy of the Clemens of old, not the Clemens of the present.
Jon Lieber (RHP) - Pass. Lieber should stick to the NL.
Josh Towers (RHP) - Strongley Consider. Towers' stats, on the surface, do match up a lot to Carlos Silva, who the Mariners paid a lot for. He's a groundball pitcher that won't walk a lot, nor strike out a lot, but he'd be a reasonable option as a fourth or fifth starter, provided that the defense keeps runs off the board. He'd be a smart signing.
Jamey Wright (RHP) – Last Choice. There is always the return of the Jamey Wright experience. Wright was tolerable as a starter for the most part and was excellent in relief. He’s still got good stuff and may be amendable to taking another one year deal from the Rangers. But at this point, you have to wonder if maybe it wouldn’t be better just leaving Kameron Loe back in the rotation and hoping it goes well.
Jeff Weaver (RHP) – Oh Hell No! This is really only here as a comparison to where the market is at. Weaver will get consideration because he’s a live body.
Mike Maroth (RHP) – Are You #### Kidding Me? Yes, the Rangers have looked at him for a possible minor league deal with a spring training invite. No, I don’t think it’s a good idea. The last thing the Rangers need is for a washed up vet like Maroth to take up space in the minors.
Gerald Laird’s Situation Getting A Little Ugly
Gerald Laird’s situation is starting to get a little…annoying actually.
Two months into the off-season, Laird is still a Ranger and the situation has the potential to get ugly. Laird has already made several comments about how he feels that the Rangers have never given him the opportunity to play full time and that it seems he has always had to fight for what he’s been able to get in the majors.
Laird could start for about ten teams and backup for another five if he were shopped, but the Rangers aren't able to find a buyer yet. There was a mention of Laird being traded for Coco Crisp, which made sense at the time, but Boston killed the deal by changing course and demanding Eric Hurley and Luis Mendoza in the deal as well.
Texas could flip him to the Yankees, but New York would demand the Rangers accept a lesser prospect in return, or worse, demand more in return for one of them lesser prospects, which would be a good way to just #### me off.
The Mets were rumored to be interested, but rejected a trade of Laird and Benoit for Lastings Milledge. They then traded Milledge for Brian Schneider's carcass and Ryan Church.
The Pirates would be an option, seeing as how they want Paulino out of the starting role, but what would the Pirates send back in return? Would it be an Xavier Nady deal, with the Pirates possibly accepting Robinson Tejeda in return?
I'll work out a more detailed list next week, as the Rangers not only need to move Laird, but need to make some decisions on other 40 Man Roster spots soon.
Draft Nugget I Missed
The Rangers have apparently scored well in Baseball America’s Draft Scores, with them receiving the second best grade of all,
Yesterday I previewed the Rangers' lower division talent, which could potentially be rated high up in other organizations' top talent rankings, which is a testament to not only how well Jon Daniels has done to restock the Rangers' farm system, but also the renewed emphasis on the draft and on international signings. However, the near future isn't as promising, due to the Rangers' during the early part of the decade, which has resulted in the Rangers' current fortures. Things won't be pretty for the next year, but the future is bright, with many of these young players possibly ready to contribute in 2009. Now’s about the time where it’s time to evaluate the top prospects of the organization.
Rangers Top 20
1 – Eric Hurley (RHP)
DOB: 9/17/85
Drafted: 1st round, 2004, Florida High School
2007 Club: Oklahoma Redhawks (Triple A)
Height/Weight: 6-4/195
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: One of the Rangers’ two 2004 first rounders, Hurley remains the top prospect within the organization and he hasn’t disappointed. After dominating the Texas League, Hurley was promoted to Oklahoma, where he did well, but remained with the Redhawks for the remainder of the season. Hurley will likely get a shot to contend for a starting job in Spring Training and he may get it if he continues his progress.
The Good: Hurley’s got a true power arm and has yet to stumble at any level at which he's pitched. He has a fastball that sits in the 92 to 95 mph range that touches 97 later in the innings. He compliments this with a filthy slider that just moves through the strike zone. His Vulcan changeup has developed enough to give him a third useable pitch. His command and control are excellent and his mechanics are clean and his maturity level is excellent.
The Bad: Hurley also tends to elevate his fastball at times, leading to him getting hammered.
Projection: Fair. Hurley was pretty much ignored thanks to the DVD trio, but he’ll likely be better than any of that trio, and that includes Volquez, who may have a better arm.
What He Can Be: A number two starter
2007 Course Of Action: Hurley will be given a shot to win the fifth starters job in Spring Training. However, it’s more likely that the Rangers will allow him to return to Triple A for a little more polishing up before giving him a call in July or so, which also delays his service time clock.
2 – Chris Davis (3B)
DOB: 3/17/86
Drafted: 5th Round, 2006, Navarro Junior College (TX)
2008 Club: Frisco Roughriders (Double A)
Height/Weight: 6-3/210
Bats/Throws: L/R
The Skinny: After a solid year for the Spokane Indians, Davis was switched to third base by the Rangers and skipped a level, passing Clinton completely and heading to Bakersfield. What happened was that after a slow start, Davis began to mash, hitting for power as well as for average, even tying the California League’s all time hit record with 35 and finishing with a .297 average, 36 home runs, 118 RBI’s an on base percentage of .347 and a .945 OPS between Bakersfield and Frisco.
The Good: Davis has the best power potential in the system, Davis hits for power and lots of it. He’s also gotten rave reviews for his work ethic and it’s clear to see that he’s farther along than the Rangers could have hoped. He should also hit enough for a fair average. He’s got a strong arm, which makes many wonder if he could possibly play right field.
The Bad: In spite of reports that Davis was improving on his defense, he was still god awful and will likely end up at first base by the time he heads to the majors. Also, Davis continues to strikeout a whole lot, though he did shrink his strike zone upon reaching Frisco.
Projection: Average. Davis is closer to the majors than you think and given time, should be an average first baseman and a solid run producer in the heart of the order. He’s no Teixeira, but he’s going to be very good.
What He Can Be: A monster first baseman
2007 Course Of Action: Davis went to the Arizona Fall League to work on his defense and plate discipline and will likely get a non-roster invite to Spring Training. He’ll likely be back in Frisco this coming year, but could finish in the Majors if he keeps mashing.
3 – Taylor Teagarden (C)
DOB: 12/21/83
Drafted: 3rd round, 2005, University Of Texas
2008 Club: Frisco Roughriders (Double A)
Height/Weight: 6-1/200
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: Teagarden has resurrected himself this season thanks to his finally staying healthy and his offensive abuse of the California and Texas Leagues. Originally projected to be a first rounder based on his defense alone, super agent (Satan) Scott Boras’ affiliation resulted in Teagarden falling to Texas in the third round, making him an absolute steal now that the 2005 draft has had time to percolate.
The Good: Teagarden’s defense, as I said, was thought to be first round caliber and he is probably a future Gold Glover in the making. He calls a good game, handles pitchers well, and blocks the plate well. His arm strength has also appeared to return as well. What’s come alive is his bat. Teagarden always had outstanding plate discipline and is very patient. He draws a lot of walks and can be an OBP machine. What has changed is that his power has blossomed, as he hit combined to hit .310 with 27 dingers between Bakersfield and Frisco. There is thought that he could hit for average while supplying power later in the lineup. That’s a hell of a thing to get from your catcher.
The Bad: The biggest problem is that Teagarden struggled to make contact at times, resulting in his 128 strikeouts. There are some durability issues to clear up, as Teagarden was limited in his games behind the plate, splitting his games between catching and DH, but other than that, that should be it.
Projection: Fair. Teagarden is where he should be and is going to create a uncomfortable situation in Arlington this year. Teagarden is potentially a franchise catcher. That’s fine and good, except for one problem. The Rangers have a franchise catcher in Jarrod Saltalamacchia.
What He Can Be: A Gold Glove catcher that’s dangerous in the middle of the lineup.
2007 Course Of Action: Teagarden will begin the year in Frisco and will eventually make his way to Oklahoma before getting a look at the end of the season. He’s nearly ready and what we could see in Texas is a Catcher/Designated Hitter tandem designed to keep both catchers’ bats in the lineup, while allowing them rest.
The Skinny: After a satisfactory performance up in Short Season Spokane, ####r was retained in extended spring training to allow him to enter on a strict innings limit program in order to allow him to be able to build up arm strength and endurance. ####r was promoted in May and has really taken off since then, partnering up with Clinton ace Omar Poveda (before he was promoted to Bakersfield) to lead the Lumberkings to the post-season.
The Good: ####r’s similar to Lincecum in that he’s a big arm in a small package and has drawn a lot of similarities for Billy Wagner. ####r has a polished delivery and he has three good pitches, a fastball that sits in the mid 90’s, hitting 97-98 at times, along with a hammer curve and a developing changeup. His control over his pitches is excellent.
The Bad: ####r is far too dependant on his fastball and doesn’t mix his pitches well. He also needs to improve his command.
Projection: High. ####r was challenged by the Rangers, who though that he was far enough along to skip a level after all of the high school competition he went through and they were right. ####r also has another motivation for himself to succeed. He’s promised that he would arrive in Arlington no latter than 2009.
What He Can Be: A middle of the rotation starter or a power closer.
2007 Course Of Action:####r will probably be retained in extended Spring Training for a bit, but I’m not sure if it’s a good idea to promote him to Bakersfield just yet, judging by how dangerous the California League is. However, ####r has nothing more to prove in Clinton, so it’s likely that he will be with the Blaze come April.
5 – Michael Main (RHP)
DOB: 12/14/88
Drafted: 1st Round, 2007, Florida High School
2008 Club: Clinton Lumberkings (Low A)
Height/Weight: 6-2/170
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: Rated Baseball America's top 15-year-old in the nation in 2004,Main’s stock fell in 2006 when he battled tendonitis in his rotator cuff, but he was able to come back strong and become the 24th overall player selected in June. Main signed quickly and was assigned to the Arizona League Rangers, where he performed better than expected and was subsequently sent to the Spokane Indians, where he also had a fairly good year.
The Good: Main is an outstanding athlete that was considered to be a first rounder as a outfielder, but the Rangers drafted him as a pitcher, even though they let him DH a bit in the AZL. His best pitch is his fastball, which has been touching 94 mph and can hit 97, with late movement. Main also has a good curveball, with lots of movement and sinking action, and it’s already being rated a plus pitch. His mechanics are pretty clean and many feel he draws comparisons to Tim Hudson.
The Bad: Main has some trouble with his chnageup. Though it clocks up to 84, it tends to flatten out at times and become very hittable, though many feel it will be a solid pitch. He’s also still rather unpolished and needs to tone down his delivery a bit, as some feel he has a bit much in terms of effort in it.
Projection: Very High. Though fellow first rounder Blake Beaven was held in higher regard before the draft, Main has done nothing but dominate since he signed earlier and is now at least a year ahead of Beaven in terms of development and goodwill with the fans. Main is a prime example of another high ceiling prospect in a suddenly stocked system. Interestingly enough, he was also regarded as a first round talent as a centerfielder, but the Rangers prefer his future on the mound instead.
What He Can Be: A front of the rotation starter.
2008 Course Of Action: Main did better than expected, dominating the Arizona Rookie League and heading to do good things in the Northwestern League. Thus, with Main now having elevated himself to the next level, the Rangers will hold Main in extended before sending him to make his full season debut with the Lumberkings in Clinton.
6 – Blake Beavan (RHP)
DOB: 1/17/89
Drafted: 1st Round, 2007, Texas High School
2008 Club: Spokane Indians (Short Season)
Height/Weight: 6-7/210
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: Beavan went 9-2, 0.19 for Irving High this spring, striking out 139 hitters in 73.1 innings and walking only four. On March 6, he struck out 18 in a perfect game against Irving MacArthur. Last summer he pitched for Team USA in the quarterfinals at the IBAF World Junior Championships, and pitched a 11 strikeout, complete-game shutout of Cuba front of a crowd that included 40 armed guards and members of Fidel Castro's family. However, negotiations grew slightly contentious as Beaven wanted a large signing bonus. In the end, Beaven signed for roughly slot money and began his Rangers career.
The Good: Beaven is a flamethrower, pure and simple. He fires a mid 90’s fastball that touches 96 and commanded his fastball to both sides of the plate extremely well, rare for a pitcher his age and size. His slider clocks in the low 80’s and touches 84 with good break. It has the potential to be a plus pitch. His changeup has the same velocity and overall, he’s got good poise on the mound. All in all, he’s got the makings on an intimidating as hell starter.
The Bad: Beavan has a funky delivery, not unlike Tim Lincecum where he catapults the ball instead of pitching it. It may need to be refined. Beaven’s secondary pitches are also developing and right now are raw, though they could be plus in time. He’s also an arrogant son of a #### as well.
Projection: Very High. Though there is more risk with Beavan than past Rangers draft picks, Beavan’s also got high potential and could be an ace, provided that he doesn’t let his confidence screw him over.
What He Can Be: A Number 1 starter.
2008 Course Of Action: Beaven’s career started late, so he’ll likely be retained in extended, where the Rangers will likely work with him on his delivery and try not to have it as complex as it is right now. Afterwards, the Rangers will likely send him to Spokane, where they feel he’s ready enough to face the competition there in the more advanced Northwestern League.
7 – Elvis Andrus (SS)
DOB: 8/6/88
Signed: Venezuela, 2005 (Braves)
2008 Club: Frisco Roughriders (Double A)
Height/Weight: 6-0/185
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: The Rangers just missed out on signing Andrus when he was a free agent signed out of Venezuela by the Braves, but they got him anyway when Andrus became one of the main pieces of the Mark Teixeira Deal. Andrus is regarded to be one of the best players in terms of tools that could potentially blow up into something huge. So far, it hasn’t happened, but you have to keep his age in mind when evaluating him. After hitting.295/.377/.398 in the Gulf Coast League in 2005, Andrus was promoted to full season ball as a 17 year old and held his own. While he struggled early on, the trade did him well, as he put up some nice numbers once he arrived in California to join the Blaze.
The Good: A toolbox, Andrus is already regarded to be a solid defender, as he has excellent hands, range and arm. He’s quick and steals bases rather well. His body also projects some power. He has good plate discipline and with time, could develop into a disciplined hitter who works the count. All in all, it’s a solid package.
The Bad: He’s rough offensively, though his numbers improved once he moved to the California League once moved to Texas. He hit for a mediocre average, no power, few walks, and he needs to hone his base stealing. To put it bluntly, he has to gain strength further harness his hitting ability in order to become anything more than a back of the lineup starter.
Projection: Very High. Again, he's very young, and some in the industry see superstar potential. There are also some that see him to be another Joaquin Arias, but if he develops as projected, the Rangers will have a potential superstar on their hands.
What He Can Be: An All-Star if the tools turn into offensive performance.
2008 Course Of Action: The Rangers have clearly bought into his Bakersfield numbers and will have him in Frisco to start they ear. Honestly, I felt that he should have remained in Bakersfield for another year to allow him to continue to develop. This sounds more like he’s being promoted to allow Marcus Lemon to go to Bakersfield, though I wouldn’t count on it.
8 – German Duran (2B)
DOB: 8/3/84
Drafted: 6th Round, 2006, Texas Christian University
2008 Club: Oklahoma Red Hawks (Triple A)
Height/Weight: 5-10/185
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: Duran has burst onto the scene of a lot of prospect radars this year, though I had him pegged as a solid prospect last year during my Rangers Top 30, where I believe he was 13. He hit .284 last year at Bakersfield, while hitting 13 homers and 72 RBIs, hitting as a shortstop. After a move to second base, Duran had another good season, hitting .300 with 22 Homers, 84 RBI’s, and posting Slugging And OPS’ of .525 and .877 respectively. All in all, Duran is one of the better second base prospects in the minors and is rising fast.
The Good: Built like a fire hydrant, Duran has some solid power, generated by his quick bat speed and stocky build, as well as some speed on the basepaths. He kills left handers, but isn’t a platoon liability as he hit well against right handers. His defense is good and he’s worked at short, second, third, the outfield corners as well as first base, leading one to believe that the Rangers are going to make Duran into a super utility man along the lines of Chone Figgins, only with less speed and more power. He’s also been remarkably durable and his work ethic is excellent.
The Bad: Duran needs to work on his plate discipline, as he doesn’t draw many walks. There is also some question as to what his permanent position would be in the majors. Many see him as a potential everyday utilityman, though I do think eventually, he’s likely the successor to Hank Blalock at third base.
Projection: Fair. Duran is rapidly progressing up the Rangers’ totem pole of prospects and is starting to get some recognition for his abilities and accomplishments. The Rangers are beginning to experiment with Duran, as I said, as a utility man, and I think he’d do very well there, as he’ll probably be able to play every position except for catcher and centerfield for the Rangers by the time he’s ready, and would allow Texas to give Michael Young some days off as DH without losing offense at short.
What He Can Be: An everyday player without a set position
2007 Course Of Action: Now that the AFL is over and Duran has gotten work all across the diamond, it’s almost a given he’ll be given a shot at the Rangers’ utility job during Spring Training with the big league club. It’s more likely though, the Rangers will send Duran to Oklahoma for some last minute polishing up and to give him a chance to play everyday. He’ll probably stay down all year unless someone gets hurt, then he’ll be called up in September for good.
9 – Matt Harrison (LHP)
DOB: 8/16/85
Drafted: 3rd Round, 2003, North Carolina High School
2008 Club: Frisco Roughriders (Double A)
Height/Weight: 6-5/205
Bats/Throws: L/L
The Skinny: Harrison was rated as one of the Braves’ top prospect and he was the hold-up in the deal being announced, due to a velocity drop that prompted the Rangers to check into his injury history. Texas checked him out and decided that his injury wasn’t a long term issue and, when given a few other prospects in return, pulled the trigger. Harrison didn’t pitch for the Roughriders, but he was excellent in Arizona Fall League action and has elevated his stock back to what it was.
The Good: A big lefty, Harrison has good stuff, with a fastball that clocks in the low 90s and has touched 93-95 at times. His curve and changeup are both plus pitches, giving him an excellent repertoire to work with. He induces groundballs and keeps the ball in the park. All in all, it’s what you would hope for in a prospect.
The Bad: Harrison doesn’t miss many bats and can be a bit too hittable at times. As a result, he’s going to be consistent, but he’s never going to be a dominant starter.
Projection: Average. Harrison needs to work more on refining his stuff, but the potential is there for him to rise quickly and become an option for Texas late in the season if they choose to go that route.
What He Can Be: A Number 3 or 4 Starter.
2008 Course Of Action: Harrison is likely headed back for Frisco, but he will be up in Oklahoma at some point in the season. Potentially, the Rangers could have at least two of their top starting pitching prospects fighting for time in the big league level, which creates an enviable problem for the Rangers.
10 – Omar Poveda (RHP)
DOB: 9/28/87
Signed: 2004, Venezuela
2008 Club: Bakersfield Blaze (High A)
Height/Weight: 6-4/200
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: Poveda first became a name when at the age of 18, gave up only 1 run in 5 innings during a spot start in Frisco in 2006, but his record was ugly after going 4-13 with a 4.88 ERA in at Low A Clinton. However, he did fan 133 while walking 37, a signal of better things to come. Much of this can be blamed on an awful team as well as Poveda competing against prospects far ahead of his age group (the average Midwestern league age is 21).
The Good: Poveda’s fastball originally only clocked into the high 90’s, but he was sitting in the 92-94 mph range in Bakersfield (which absolutely has the shittiest ballpark I’ve ever been to.) His changeup is a plus pitch and he also throws a slider that is coming along nicely. There is also a rumor that he may throw a curveball. He also has very good command and control.
The Bad: Many feel that Poveda just doesn’t have the ace quality stuff to match his hype. He also tends to fall in love with the changeup and will overthrow it at times.
Projection: Moderate. Poveda has shown a great deal of improvement and has been downright impressive when you consider where he’s at and his age. And the fact that he’s still growing only adds to the total package. The problem is that he needs to learn to mix his pitches better and should learn to do this as he gets older.
What He Can Be: A Number Three Starter
2007 Course Of Action: Poveda will likely return to Bakersfield next season, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he ended the year in Frisco in time for a playoff push.
11 – John Mayberry Jr. (RF)
DOB: 12/21/83
Drafted: 1st round, 2005, Stanford University
2008 Club: Frisco Roughriders (Double A)
Height/Weight: 6-6/230
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: Mayberry was promoted early on to Bakersfield, but was forced up to Frisco due to injury and remained there the rest of the season. He belted 30 bombs total, but also finished the season hitting .235 with 126 strikeouts.
The Good: Mayberry has light tower power that would make him a 30 home run threat in the majors. He’s one of the best athletes in the system and has some decent speed on the bases. He’s got a true right fielder’s arm and has a solid approach at the plate.
The Bad: Mayberry’s swing is long, which is why he racks up the strikeouts. He still makes some mistakes while in the outfield, taking bad reads on balls. Mayberry also tends to get exploited by more advanced pitchers, which is something that is alarming to say the least. Ultimately, it’s the worry about his strikeouts that gets people, though K’s have done nothing to stop Ryan Howard and Adam Dunn.
Projection: Fair. Mayberry needs to take a big step forward this year and continue to develop. Texas is feeling that they need to justify his selection, especially when you consider the guy management wanted to draft, Jacoby Ellsbury, is now in Boston.
What He Can Be: A power-hitting outfielder that has trouble hitting for a decent average and strikes out a whole lot.
2007 Course Of Action: Mayberry will return to Frisco to begin the year, and hopefully, he’ll give the Rangers reason to promote him to Oklahoma, with a potential big league call up in his future.
12 – Julio Borbon (CF)
DOB: 2/20/86
Drafted: 1st Round (S), 2007, University Of Tennessee
2008 Club: Clinton Lumberkings (Low A)
Height/Weight: 6-1/190
Bats/Throws: L/L
The Skinny: Regarded to be the top college outfielder, Borbon missed time due to an ankle injury and as a result hurt his draft stock because he simply wasn’t able to perform at the top of his game. However, many felt that Texas, which needed a centerfielder of the future, would draft him to fill a need, perhaps even with their top pick. Borbon was drafted, but in the supplemental round, and after some tough negotiations, finally signed.
The Good: Borbon was largely drafted because of his best tool, speed, which he incorporates into all facets of his game plan. He’s an excellent defender and covers the outfield well and he’s got excellent outfield instincts as well. He can steal bases and can beat out bloopers for singles. He has shown some power in the past and is an excellent bunter, allowing him to advance the baserunners.
The Bad: Borbon’s arm is below average, but should be just enough for center. He likely won’t hit more than the low double digits in terms of Home Runs as a pro and his plate discipline needs some work.
Projection: Average. Borbon needs work on several facets of his game, plate discipline being the one that is needed the most. He also may have a little pop coming in the future, depending on how well he develops. All in all, Borbon should be a starter, similar to Juan Pierre that can be a productive player in his early career, but could be below average in value once he hits free agency.
What He Can Be: An average centerfield that can function as a leadoff man.
2008 Course Of Action: After a disappointing debut with the Spokane Indians, Borbon will likely be sent to Full Season Ball in Clinton, where he should remain throughout the year. In the meantime, Texas will likely look for a temporary stopgap in order to allow Borbon to eventually take over.
13 – Engel Beltre (CF)
DOB: 11/01/89
Signed: 2006, Dominican Republic (Red Sox)
2008 Club: Spokane Indians (Short Season)
Height/Weight: 6-1/169
Bats/Throws: L/L
The Skinny: Beltre was one of the two top prizes that Boston signed during the 2006 International Signing Period. Signing for for $600,000, Beltre showed lots of promise during his stint with the GCL Red Sox. The Red Sox were reluctant to give him up in the Eric Gagne trade, but eventually included him, only to see Gagne begin to flame out and Beltre begin to blossom.
The Good: Beltre is loaded with tools, the biggest of which is power potential. He’s loaded with power already and it’s going to be better as he gains mass and matures. He’s also got good speed, a strong arm and is developing plate discipline in ####s. He makes solid reads on the ball in the outfield and many feel that, even if he loses speed as he matures, he could actually have the tools to remain in center. All in all, this is impressive for a kid who just started playing pro-ball.
The Bad: The only real downside on Beltre is that he’s just so raw, so he’s going to be years away. However, Ranger fans have learned to wait and should be following his career with great interest.
Projection: Crazy High. Beltre is drawing comparisons to Darryl Strawberry, a roid-free Barry Bonds and Ken Griffey Jr. That’s a huge ceiling and it’s too early to tell, but watching his progress since he arrived to the Rangers makes me feel that those comparisons are, so far, kinda justified. We’ll see what happens. Clearly, however, outside of maybe Font and Castillo, Beltre far exceeds any of the Rangers’ international signings in the past few years.
What He Can Be: An All-Star Caliber Outfielder.
2008 Course Of Action: Beltre will be held back in Extended with several of the top prospects before he’s sent to Spokane. With Beltre still raw, there’s no reason to rush him and he should be the Indians’ everyday centerfielder.
14 – Wilmer Font (RHP)
DOB: 5/24/1990
Signed: 2006, Venezuela
2008 Club: Spokane Indians (Short Season)
Height/Weight: 6-4/210
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: The big prize out of the 2006 International Signing Period, Texas has high hopes for Font and decided that he would be best suited for pitching during the Arizona Rookie League, where he showed both dominance and inconsistency during his first season of professional stateside ball. Still, the numbers are impressive, even more so when you consider his age and the fact that he has gone up against some college aged players in that league.
The Good: The Rangers love the arm strength on Font and he has a good size and frame to project a power pitcher’s build. He throws already in the mid 90’s and showed a lot of poise.
The Bad: Font is as raw of a product as can be. His command and control need to be refined some for him to continue his success. Both of his breaking pitches need refining.
Projection: Very High. Font is one of the prospects the organization really likes in their minor league system and many within the front office are closely monitoring his progressing, seeing him and Fabio Castillo to be some of the crown jewels in the Rangers’ minor league system.
What He Can Be: Number Two Starter
2007 Course Of Action: Font will likely be retained in extended before the Rangers decide to likely send him to the Spokane Indians, similar to what Fabio Castillo went through.
15 – Thomas Diamond (RHP)
DOB: 4/6/83
Drafted: 1st Round, 2004, University of New Orleans
2008 Club: Bakersfield Blaze (High A)
Height/Weight: 6-3/245
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: Once thought to be the Rangers’ answer to Roger Clemens (I’m dead #### serious), Diamond hasn’t lived up to the hype that followed the “DVD” trio through the minors. Tommy John surgery wiped out his 2007 season and because of all the recent draft picks and talent acquired via trades and international signings, Diamond suddenly finds himself with a much diminished stock, without him doing anything to drop it.
The Good: Blessed with a power pitchers’ frame, Diamond throws a powerful fastball that sits in the 92-94 mpg range that hits 97 and has good movement. He couples this with an excellent changeup, thought to be the best in the organization. He’s also a competitor on the mound that is not afraid to go headhunting as well, hence the Clemens comparisons (though Vicente Padilla is another.)
The Bad: Command is going to be an issue for a little while, but another thing to keep in mind is that Diamond has never had a usable breaking ball, which is why he’s tinkering with a slider, which may or may not be a potential third pitch. This has led to many wondering if he’s destined for relief work.
Projection: Low. Diamond can remain a starter if he masters a slider and begins to bring back his command and control, but to be quite honest, it might be time to leave him in the pen for good.
What He Can Be: A nasty closer, potentially like Brad Lidge BP (Before Pujols)
2007 Course Of Action: I expect Diamond, after a stint in extended, will likely be started on what was the Volquez plan, where he’ll begin the year in Bakersfield and gradually make his way up to Oklahoma by the end of the year. Provided he isn’t worked too hard, the Rangers could call him up in September to help out in the pen and get a better gauge as to where he’s at.
16 – Neftali Feliz (RHP)
DOB: 5/2/88
Signed: 2005, Dominican Republic (Braves)
2008 Club: Clinton Lumberkings (Low A)
Height/Weight: 5-11/175
Bats/Throws: S/R
The Skinny: Feliz was another highly touted young arm that was received from the Braves in the Mark Teixeira deal. He was a beast in relief for the Indians last year and should be a name you should keep an eye on.
The Good: Feliz throws one of the best fastballs in the minors, sitting in the 93-95 mph range while hitting 98 several times. He often draws comparisons to Yankee Closer Mariano Rivera and he has some idea of a breaking ball (throws a slider and changeup.)
The Bad: There are lots of flamethrowing teenagers that have flamed out spectacularly, and there is a lot of work to do with Feliz. His secondary pitches are still a work in progress. Command and control also need to be harnessed if he’s to progress.
Projection: Very High. Feliz is a teenager with a lightning arm who could turn into a frontline starter or a dominant closer. He’s got a sizable gap between what he is and what he can be, a gap the size of the state of New Mexico, but he should be exciting to watch.
What He Can Be: A Power Starter Or A Power Closer.
2008 Course Of Action: Feliz, to put it quite simply, has one of the best arms in the system and is one of many Rangers minor leaguers to keep an eye on. I’ll be watching with particular interest. The Rangers are going to put him the rotation, so he’s likely going to be another member of what should be a talented Clinton rotation.
17 – Max Ramirez (C)
DOB: 10/11/84
Signed: 2002, Venezuela (Braves)
2008 Club: Bakersfield Blaze (High A)
Height/Weight: 5-11/170
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: Originally signed by the Braves, Ramirez has been tossed back and forth in an exchange of hot potato by several organizations. First, he was sent to the Indians in exchange for the departed Bob Wickman, and then he came to Texas in exchange for Kenny Lofton during Cleveland’s stretch run. Ramirez was subsequently assigned to Bakersfield, where he was able to fill the hole left in the lineup by the departure of Taylor Teagarden.
The Good: Ramirez is one of the best pure bats in the system, as he’s been able to hit for average, draw walks and now, power. He has great plate discipline and has managed to maintain his numbers throughout his minor league career.
The Bad: Ramirez is thought to have an overcomplicated swing, which creates some worries if he’ll be able to produce in the majors. His arm is average, but his receiving skills are still below average, though there are worse catchers out there.
Projection: Average. Ramirez has come a long way and is still improving. I think the questions about his offense are unfounded, as he’s done well and has a track record of performance and as long as his defense is okay, he could be a potential Victor Martinez or Michael Barrett style catcher. I also think that, should the backstop position not be enough, he could be athletic enough to move to a corner infield or outfield position, as well as being a DH.
What He Can Be: An offensive minded catcher.
2008 Course Of Action: Ramirez’s progress will be held back thanks to the progress of Taylor Teagarden. Hence, I think he’ll be back in Bakersfield to start the year, and will get the call to Frisco as soon as Teagarden packs his bags for Oklahoma City.
18 – Beau Jones (LHP)
DOB: 8/25/86
Drafted: 1st Round (S), 2005, Louisiana High School (Atlanta)
2008 Club: Bakersfield Blaze (High A)
Height/Weight: 6-1/195
Bats/Throws: L/L
The Skinny: Acquired from the Braves in the Mark Teixeira trade, Jones seems like almost an afterthought. Jones had a decent run in the early minors before he was torched when promoted to Myrtle Beach (High A). Demoted back to Rome (Low A), the Braves converted him to relief work before the trade. Afterward, Texas tried him out in the rotation again, bringing out much improved results for Low A Clinton.
