Today, the hat says...we're going North of the Border.
Team Previews 2008 – Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays have in recent years made the setp toward respectability, but that has come in spite of of bad signings, bad drafts and bad personnel decisions overall by management, specifically J.P Riccardi. To put it bluntly, the Jays are in a tough spot, as they don't suck as bad as some of the other teams in the AL, but they aren't as good as the cream of the crop.
Starting Rotation
Roy Halladay (RHP) – Halladay is still an effective pitcher, though he has begun depending more on groundballs these days instead of flat out dominating hitters like he used to. He’s still a bit of a health risk, but as long as that knuckle-curve of his remains solid and the fastball low, he should be dominant again.
A.J. Burnett (RHP) – Gifted, but injured, Burnett is entering his walk year, as he’s likely to opt out of his current contract to hit free agency this coming off-season. Burnett could be a legitimate top of the rotation starter, but he either gets injured or struggles just when it looks like he’s turned a corner. However, because of the money at stake, look for him to actually pitch nearly a complete season, with decent numbers.
Dustin McGowan (RHP) – Best pure stuff of the young starters, McGowan should be able to elevate his status enough to where he can be considered a capable number two. He’s got four good pitches, including his fastball that can reach the mid 90’s and has some ink to it. His only real weakness is lefties, but aside from that, he could effectively replace Burnett as soon as next season, provided that the Jays have some help to replace his spot in the rotation.
Shaun Marcum (RHP) – I’m not sold on Marcum, as I feel he gets by more on the command of his average stuff than anything else. That doesn’t mean he can’t be an effective fourth starter, it just means don’t expect him to be lights out. Last year is probably the best case scenario for him.
Jesse Litsch (RHP) – Litsch is an average fifth starter that depends on his defense to help him pitch effectively.
Bullpen
B.J. Ryan (Closer) – Ryan’s injury and subsequent Tommy John Surgery were probably a prime example of some of the worst
Jeremy Accardo (Setup Man) – The fact that the Jays were able to get him for a declining Shea Hillenbrand amounts to Highway Robbery. Accardo will likely be moving back to the setup role, as it appears that Ryan will be ready at the start of the season.
Casey Janseen (RHP) – Janseen is likely going to remain in the pen as the primary 7th inning man, a role that he succeeded in last season, though the Jays have made note that they haven’t given up on him as a starter.
Gustavo Chacin (LHP) – I’m not sure why Chacin is still on the roster, but it looks like he’ll remain in the bullpen as a swingman unless Litsch or someone else plays their way out.
Jason Frasor (RHP) - Only as good as his command takes him.
Brandon League (RHP) – League failed to establish himself as a setup man last season, but he still has a lot of use as a middle reliever, with the chance to setup later.
Scott Downs (LHP) - Dominant lefty reliever completes the pen.
Starting Lineup
Reed Johnson (LF) – Johnson was effective as a leadoff man in 2006, but injuries killed his season last year and resulted in the lack of effectiveness. Johnson will likely share time with Matt Stairs this season.
Lyle Overbay (1B) - Not a great power hitter, Overbay has at least done a decent job of getting on base before injuries hit.
Vernon Wells (CF) - A disappointment, Wells needs to bounce back from a terrible year at the plate. With the departure of Glaus, a lot more is riding on Wells' ability to drive in runs.
Frank Thomas (DH) - Still a capable masher, Thomas will see the bulk of at bats at DH. It looks like his health issues are behind him, but keep in mind he is older and will need regular rest.
Alex Rios (RF) - Rios is rapidly turning into a solid all around player. He's able to hit for power and a decent average and isn't a slouch on the basepaths either. He's a great right fielder. All in all, here is one long term commitment I wouldn't mind the Jays making.
Scott Rolen (3B) – Rolen is now in the fold and frankly, this is a bad trade. There is a difference between "passionate" and "high maintenence." Rolen is the later. He's a decent defender, but there is no guarnatee that he'll stay healthy, especially now that he's playing on turf.
Gregg Zaun (C) – Zaun is rapidly declining as a catcher. The only thing he really can do now is hit lefties.
Aaron Hill (2B) - A nifty second baseman, Hill should be on an All Star squad in the near future. His defensive value will help make up for the questionable signing up next...
David Eckstein (SS) - The Blue Jays are betting that Eckstein and Rolen will bring in some of that "gritty" atmosphere from St. Louis. Eckstein is old, not a great bet to stay healthy and can't hit. That spells winner!
Bench
John McDonald (SS) - A defensive shortstop, McDonald will likely spell Eckstein late in games.
Matt Stairs (UTIL) - There is still some life in that bat, as Stairs enjoyed one of his best seasons last year. You'll see him pop up all around the diamond, spelling Johnson, Overbay and Thomas when necessary.
Rod Barajas (C) - Barajas signs up with the very team he spurned last season. Regardless of my personal feeligns of Barajas, he may have at least another solid year left in him. All he needs is the chance to sieze it.
Marco Scutaro (INF) – Scutaro may wind up beating out Eckstein for the starting gig at short this season. Scutaro can play short and second and has a bit of pop to his bat. But that's really about all he can do.
Minor League Notables
Curtis Thigpen (C) – Thigpen did well enough in limited action last season that he’ll likely be the starter come 2009. While he’ll likely spend the year in the minors, should injuries decimate
Ricky Romero (LHP) - Famously picked ahead of Troy Tulowitzski, Romero may be ready to contribute at the end of the season. His ceiling is a Number Four starter.
Final Thoughts
This is really Toronto’s last shot at contending, as this team was built to win now. After this season, there will be a lot of people leaving the organization via free agency and Toronto lacks the major pieces in the farm other than Travis Snider that will help out long term. Even then, unless Toronto gets the benefit of a lot of injuries among their division mates, they are, at best, the third best team in the division.
Final Prediction - 3rd Place, American League East.
I'm a long time Texas Rangers fan who has come to love baseball as a whole. I recently began this blog as a way for me to showcase my opinions, provide some analysis, and hopefully entertain those who happen to stumble upon my little soapbox online. I'll toss in an NFL, College, or NBA nugget every now and then. Enjoy the posts everyone, and yes, getting a little love in a Deadspin post was probably the highlight of the year, blogwise.
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