There is some wisdom in what the Astros did during the off-season, in the trades that brought them Miguel Tejada, Jose Valverde, and Michael Bourn. While Ken Rosenthal can rail against the deals all he wants, there is one thing you need to keep in mind.
None of the players traded was really a superstar. In fact, many weren't really all that good.
Yes, I know, Chad Qualls and Brad Lidge are plenty badass. But Lidge was likely gone in a year and Qualls, while solid, isn't a lights out reliever.
And of the prospects, the only one of real note was Troy Patton, who was sent to the Orioles. Everyone else that was dealt was either a disappointment or wasn't a world beater.
Overall, the Astros likely looked at their system, didn't like what they saw, and decided to spent what little collateral they had to improve their team. So long as they draft the best player available from now on, there is every reason that the Astros can replensih the farm in a short period of time.
That's IF they spend money and IF they draft the best player available, not just who will sign.
Koby Clemens Moving To Catcher
After another year of disappointment, the Astros are moving Koby Clemens back to catcher.
Originally drafted as a catcher, the Astros moved Clemens to third base, feeling that he would his stocky frame would allow him to take the abuse of catching, and his arm would be more than adequate from behind the plate. His bat, which has been disappointing thus far, would also look a lot better from behind the bag as well.
It's clear that there was some pressure on the Astros to draft Koby due to his dad, who was on the staff, but really, the Astros would have been better off spending the six figure bonus on someone else. Anyhow, Clemens could really provide some value from behind the plate if he's able to be a adequate catcher. Catching prospects are currently lacking in the majors and if Clemens can turn into at the very least a Gregg Zaun type of player, he's got a lot of value.
Astros Need To Re-Establish International Presence
Okay, one more, because quite frankly, I've had enough.
The Astros need to figure out why their pipeline to Latin America has dried up.
In the past, the Astros were kings of the Venezuelan Talent Market, with them signing player after player that was a serious talent. Some of the former talent mined from Venezuela: Bobby Abreu, Richard HIdalgo and Freddy Garcia, all of whom have enjoyed solid big league careers.
The talent has dried up.
Part of it has been Drayton McLane's tightening of the purse strings and refusing to pay up for big money talent in the draft or abroad. But the other part is that the Astros didn't evolve They weren't able to adjust for the times and as a result, several other teams now dominate the Venezuelan market and the Domincan, areas where the Astros did relatively well.
Whatever the case, it's time for Houston to re-establish their presence on the International Market.
Because all of the patch jobs, no matter the price, won't keep the franchise stable for much longer.
A return to school and an increased workload at work due to sick leave has cut into my blogging time. Not cool.
Ah well, time for a collective group of thoughts about baseball.
Scott Rolen and Troy Glaus Traded For Each Other
Kinda a odd deal, considering that both are high priced deals with huge landmines attached to them (Health) but overall the deal does work to the favor of each team in one way or another.
WIth Rolen, the Blue Jays gain a Gold Glove defender at third base, which would help compensate for the lead glove of David Eckstein, at the cost of some offense. However, Eckstein is better than the shuffle at short the Jays had and there is the off chance that Rolen can prove himself to be semi-adequate with the bat. More than anything, however, the Jays need some type of return from Vernon Wells, who disappointed last season after signing for superstar money with the Jays.
In Glaus, the Cardinals get a big bat that is needed to help bolster the offense, which is, to be frank, pathetic outside of Pujols. More than anything, however, the Cardinals needed to diffuse the situation between Tony LaRussa and Rolen, which was made all but irreparable after LaRussa poured gas on that particular fire this off-season. The signing of Cesar Izturis does help improve the defense enough where the Cardinals can suffer through Glaus' hands of stone, and the move to natural grass and away from Toronto's turf should prove to be beneficial in the long run for Glaus.
All in all, it's a good gamble for both sides, but more importantly, it clears up some potential locker room disaster that would have exploded during the season had either player remained with their former teams.
Grade For Both Sides: B
Thoughts On The Kotsay Trade
I was going to rant about how the Braves should have just offered Andruw Jones arbitration, keeping him around for one more year, as he would have accepted, and keeping the offense together.
Instead, they pull this trade.
To be honest, I gotta give Billy Beane all the credit in the world on this one, as I think Kotsay is done. He's not the defender he once was and in terms of offense, he's not going to give you much in return. In all honesty, the Braves would have been better off just giving the job to Josh Anderson for the season and just gone with it from there. At least he's mostly paid for.
Oh wait. Oakland got two prospects, one of which, Joey Devine, the Braves' first round pick from two years ago, will likely help out Oakland in the bullpen this season. And they also got Jamie RIchmond, a right hander that could be a fifth starter. That's quite a haul for a broken player.
Anyhow, that's my take on that.
Oakland Grade - B
Atlanta Grade - D
Lost A Bet
To my friend, who's an Astros fan, on the Cowboy Game on Sunday.
So, expect the first (and only) Astros Report sometime this week.
According to Evan Grant, Jason Jennings may be a Ranger in the relatively near future.
My take on that?
I figured that the Rangers would be signing a pitcher soon, as Texas has never been one to rely on a lot of youth in the rotation as far as unproven pitchers are concerned (and, despite their service time, McCarthy and Gabbard are still relatively unproven). With Edinson Volquez now a Red, Texas was almost certain to look for a high upside vet to take over the three or four spot, depending on who it was.
The question is, is Jennings that?
Jennings was the youngest of the broken pitchers category, having undergone surgery to fix a torn flexor tendon and was said to be ready for Spring Training. However, Jennings doesn’t have the greatest control, seeing his K to Walk Ratio over the past few years and he doesn’t have a legitimate out pitch. He was remarkably durable, however, and does do a good job of inducing groundballs. Provided that Young and Kinsler are on their toes when he pitches, he could be effective. He also has experience pitching in a worse pitcher’s park than Texas in Colorado.
And, if the Rangers are out of it and Jennings is effective, he could be flipped for a young player ready to help the Rangers, perhaps an outfielder or a third baseman (as Chris Davis is inevitably going to move to first, in spite of the Rangers possibly looking to move him to right field.)
The only real question is whether or not Jennings can make it in the AL. The lineups are deeper and he doesn’t have the benefit of cruising through the lower third of the lineup, which is always a problem for NL Pitchers. Nonetheless, it’s a low risk move that could pay dividends.
Catching Situation Sorting Itself Out...In A Way
It looks like the Rangers are planning on keeping Gerald Laird, at least until midseason or until the end Spring Training should someone need a starter for the simple reason that they feel his value is at a low. It also looks like, with the recent signing of Adam Melhuse to a minor league deal with a spring training invite, that the Rangers are planning on sending Jarrod Saltalamacchia down to Oklahoma to start the season, with the intent of flipping Laird at the deadline and calling Salty back then.
In a way, it might be for the best, considering that Atlanta may have rushed Salty up to the minors and Texas kept him up here to fill in the hole left at first by Teixiera leaving town. However, I thought that Laird would have had a lot more value around the league. The two spots I thought might have worked out were:
Boston – Laird could have backed up Jason Varitek before being asked to take on starting catching duties. And Texas could have netted Coco Crisp. That was the idea that was going on until Boston reversed course and demanded Eric Hurley, Luis Mendoza and C.J. Wilson back in return.
Mets – Here was another spot that I felt would work, as Laird would have been a cheap option for Minaya, and return could have netted Texas Lastings Milledge. Instead, Milledge was sent to Washington for Brian Schneider. Weirdness.
Other Transactions
Jamey Wright is close to signing a Minor League deal with a spring training invite with Texas, bringing him back to the team. Wright was mediocre as a starter, but was solid as a reliever, though his amount of walks worries me. Still, Wright is a good guy to have in the swingman role, though a cheaper option would be to use Kameron Loe in that role, which would be a cheaper decision to use.
Another thing, the signing of Eddie Guardado (and have been for the last month, apparently), but here’s the problem. Guardado is likely going to sign a major league deal, meaning another move must be made on the 40 Man roster, which recently saw the departure of Bill White to make room for Kazuo Fukumori. My guess is that the next to go is Nelson Cruz, followed then by either Jason Botts or Travis Metcalf.
The Rangers have acquired Chris Shelton from the Tigers, in exchange for Fast Freddy Guzman.
Shelton likely will figure into the first base/dh equation, though I think he'll more than likely be the Opening Day first baseman. It makes no sense to sign Sean Casey for $3 million when you can instead pay Shelton more or less the major league minimum for better production.
All in all, it's a solid pickup, and Shelton will be much more useful than whatever Guzman would have provided.
Rule 5 Shennanigans
I'm a little disappointed that Texas didn't participate in the Major League Phase of the Rule 5 draft, especially considering that Brian Barton was there to be had. On the bright side, the Rangers didn't lose anyone, so there's some good news. Texas was active in the minor league phases of the draft, nabbing several pitchers
Overall, here's who Texas acquired:
Levi Romero (RHP) - Not a damn thing can be found right now.
Dustin Majewski (OF) - A former Longhorn and I believe one of Oakland's moneyball draft guys, Majewski likely is just organizational filler at this point.
Clayton Hamilton (RHP) - Hamilton has good size and could be a solid bullpen arm in the future. A lot of his stats from this past year must be taken with a grain of salt, as he was pitching for most of the year with a broken rib, thanks to a misdiagnosis from the Pirates.
Jaime Trejo (3B) - Potential backup.
Francisco Cordova.(RHP) - Ick. Next...
Quick Hits
Kevin Mench is likely going to be non-tendered by the Brewers. If the Rangers are interested, they could try and bring back him back. Mench still has fans here and for the most part would be happy to come back, but salary concerns may get in the way. Another thing, who would he replace on the 40?
Texas actually was in on the Andruw Jones deal, but was thwarted when Scott Boras gave Texas the runaround. Specifically, he told Texas that it would take a longer term deal, seeing as how Jones would be switching leagues and all. You remember, that kind of ####
Texas has a one year contract offer with a club option out to LaTroy Hawkins, who is still looking for a two year deal from the Rockies. Hopefully, something can get resolved soon, though I would prefer to go itnernal on the pen. Usually, that ends up being a lot more cost effective and allows you to protect yourself in terms of being screwed over in terms of long term deals.
Eric Gagné is still out there and apparently wouldn't mind coming back to Texas. I'd do it, as he was a lot of fun to watch and he has his fans here. He would also be flipped again at the deadline for more prospects, which is always nice. Knowing the Rangers' luck, Boras will push for a full no-trade clause this time.
The acqustion of Andruw Jones means that Andre Ethier and potentially Juan Pierre are available. Ethier I'm all about, as I think he'd be an above average option in left field. Pierre is interesting, but the Dodgers would have to eat a lot of the salary for me to consider it. Pierre isn't a great outfielder and is one of the most overrated players in the sport.
Apparently, the Rangers are hot and heavy after...Mark Prior? Okay, I know that when Prior is healthy, he can easily be one of the best pitchers in baseball. The problem is, when was the last time we could say that?
There are some other trade options I'd be looking at, with the Astros being one of the teams I'd look at. The Rangers need a legitiamate utilityman and Chris Burke is there for the taking. He's a better option that Ramon Vasquez and can play any position except for catcher. I'd ask if they'd be interested in a straight up swap for Scott Feldman.
And, on a side note, the Rangers are debating about moving Chris Davis to right field, where his bat would not only be a good fit, but he has a strong enough arm to handle the change. My only question about that is whether or not Davis is athletic enough to handle right field.
What a terrible system, let's get this show on the road quickly...
Houston Astros – Prospect Report
Long considered to be one of the top farm organizations in baseball, the Astros have fallen on hard times since they were rated the Number 3 Farm System by Baseball America in 2002.
So what the hell happened?
Several things.
Part of it is simply bad drafts. The Astros have had several busts in the first round, most notably Mike Rosamond (1999), Robert Stiehl (2000) and Derick Grigsby (2004), along with a lower position in the draft thanks for winnings seasons, which resulted in a lot of top talent being picked. However, the biggest reason why the Astros have been slacking on their farm system is because of the fact that they’ve sacrificed high picks in exchange for big-ticket free agents such as Jeff Kent, Andy Pettitte, Carlos Lee and Woody Williams. That would be fine and dandy, but only if they would have offered salary arbitration to Kent, Pettitte, Roger Clemens, Aubrey Huff and Russ Springer, which would have merited compensatory picks for the Astros to be able replenish the farm.
The other problem has also been the fact that the Astros have refused to pay above slot when they have lost picks. This season was no better, as the Astros nabbed a pair of high ceiling talents in the third and fourth round, but failed to sign both of them, thanks to Bud Selig’s dislike for above slot payments. All in all, this past draft only had a bonus total of about half a million dollars.
Along with the failure at the draft, Houston has also begun to fall behind in their Latin American signings. While Houston was once the king of the Venezuelan market, the Astros have fallen out of the pack of their once proud stomping grounds and missed on out several of the top prospects, in spite of the fact that they are spending more on bonuses for talent.
While there is some hope for the future, with some of the Astros’ less heralded players taking steps forward, all in all this has to be one of the worst organizations in baseball.
Astros Top 15
1 – Troy Patton (LHP)
DOB: 9/3/85
Drafted: 9th round, 2004, Texas High School
2008 Club: Roundrock Express (Triple A)
Height/Weight: 6-1/185
Bats/Throws: S/L
The Skinny: A late round gem, Patton has developed quite nicely for the Astros and is now currently not only their top pitching prospect, but he's probably their best prospect period. Flying under the radar has helped him in a way that it's allowed him time to develop away from the hype that surrounded other prospects, such as Jason Hirsh. Unfortunately, Patton isn’t quite ready for the big time yet as he struggled in Triple A and looked overmatched in the Majors in a late call up.
The Good: Patton's stuff is excellent. His fastball clocks in the 89 to 92 mph range and he partners this with a hard curveball, which is a plus pitch as well. His delivery appears to be rather effortless and the changeup has gotten to be a more consistent pitch.
The Bad: Patton has pitched through arm soreness through parts of his career, never a good sign. He's also a smaller pitcher, which leads to further questions about his durability.
Projection: Fair. Patton may have been victimized by his own success, as seen by his struggles, but it’s likely that his late season problems were due from an aggressive promotion.
What He Can Be: A Number Three Or Four Starter
2008 Course Of Action: Patton will likely be invited to Spring Training, where he may be able to make the rotation should he be lights out, though I feel that personally, he needs another year down in Triple A.
2 – J.R. Towles (C)
DOB: 2/11/84
Drafted: 20th Round, 2004, North Central Texas Junior College
2008 Club: Roundrock Express (Triple A)
Height/Weight: 6-2/195
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: Towles had been long regarded to be a solid prospect that was hampered by injury, resulting in his progress being stagnated. Promoted to High A, where the Astros expected him to stay, Towles was suffering through a rough stretch until the suspension of Corpus Cristi catcher Lou Santangelo for steroids forced the Astros to push Towles to Double A in order to provide for the required amount of catchers. Towles wound up tearing up the Texas League and has since vaulted his stock in the eyes of the organization, enough to where they are beginning to feel that the eventual successor to Brad Ausmus might lie within.
The Good: Towles has good pitch recognition skills and is really athletic. He has decent speed on him for a catcher and can steal a base or two when the opportunity presents itself. His defensive skills at the plate are excellent and he's a solid receiver that calls a good game and handles his pitchers well. He even boasts an acceptable strikeout to walk ratio and will get on base as well. Towles' biggest tool, however, is power, as he has added muscle to his frame and could develop into a 20 home run hitter. That’s good news for the Astros, who could always use more power.
The Bad: The power is still a bit lacking behind Towles, and there is the worry that his injury concerns will come back in the future to haunt him.
Projection: Low. Towles has put a lot of the doubts to rest about his ability and proven that his breakout is real. He's likely going to be the Astros' starting catcher, with Brad Ausmus remaining as a suitable backup option.
What He Can Be: Similar to Jason Kendall, but with more power and a better glove.
2008 Course Of Action: Towles is going to be the Opening Day starter, meaning that he's not going to appear on this list come midseason.
3 – Felipe Paulino (RHP)
DOB: 10/5/83
Signed: 2001, Venezuela
2008 Club: Roundrock Express (Triple A)
Height/Weight: 6-2/180
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: One of the many talented Venezuelan products that Houston has been able to pick up over the years, Paulino has, simply put, one of the best arms in the whole system.
The Good: Paulino has one of the best heaters in the Astros’ system, throwing in the high 90’s and hitting 100 mph at times. He compliments it well with a plus curveball that has good movement. His mechanics are said to be pretty good and he has the makings for an innings eater, as he has been able to last deep into games.
The Bad: Control is an issue and has always been with Paulino, as he gives up a lot of walks, which hampers his effectiveness. He also needs to refine the changeup in order to remain as a starter.
Projection: Average. Paulino has the stuff to succeed as a starter, but the changeup’s lack of progress hurts his stock, somewhat. Nonetheless, I still remain high on him.
What He Can Be: A solid starter or closer.
2008 Course Of Action: Paulino will be in Round Rock at the start of the season, where the Astros will likely continue working on his starter’s repertoire. However, should he struggle, expect the Astros to finally move him into the pen for good.
4 – Collin DeLome (LF)
DOB: 12/18/85
Drafted: 5th Round, 2007, Lamar University
2008 Club: Lexington Legends (Low A)
Height/Weight: 6-3/195
Bats/Throws: L/R
The Skinny: Capping off the disaster that was the Astros’ 2007 season was their loss of their first and second round pick (though they could have easily gained a first and supplementary round pick had they simply offered arbitration to Pettitte), and their failure to sign their third and fourth rounders, making DeLome their highest pick. At the very least, he was cheap, but overall this was a disaster. The Astros had a shot at Matt Harvey, whom they could have signed, and would have had him at the top of their system. He was easily that good, but DeLome, for better or worse, will have to live as the face of the Astros’ 2007 draft.
The Good: A solid athlete in a system needing more, DeLome has some good tools, showing above average speed, solid defense, and some gap power that could evolve into eventual home run power.
The Bad: DeLome needs to tighten his strike zone and increase his walk totals. He also needs to continue developing his power, as right now, he doesn’t have the power for an outfield corner, nor does he have the range for centerfield.
Projection: Average. DeLome could rise quickly if he continues to hit like he has. The difference between him being a solid contributor and a bust depend on him continuing to develop his power.
What He Can Be: A starting left fielder.
2008 Course Of Action: It’s onto Lexington, which should allow him a chance to rotate at all three outfield positions, but he’ll likely get the bulk of the time in left.
The Skinny: A second round pick back in 2005, Constanzo had a heck of a year, batting .270/.368/.490 for Double A Reading and finishing up the year hot, hitting .364/.445/.607 in September. He also finished second in the Eastern League in home runs with 27. He was later included in the Brad Lidge trade, which gives Houston some farm system depth, from a team shallow in talent.
The Good: Costanzo is regarded to be a potential major league and should be able to hold his own at third. He as how the ability to take walks, as well as thunde rin his bat. .
The Bad: Costanzo has a big swing, meaning lots of strikeouts, and is also significantly weaker against lefties, though not enough to require a platoon partner.
Projection: Moderate. Costanzo isn't a blue-chip prospect at third, but he's a very solid one.
What He Can Be: A Hot Corner Power Threat, IF he develops as planned.
2008 Course Of Action: Costanzo will likely be the starting third baseman in Roundrock, with a potential call up in the season if he does well.
6 – Mitch Einertson (OF)
DOB: 4/4/86
Drafted: 5th Round, 2004, California High School
2008 Club: Corpus Christi Hooks (Double A)
Height/Weight: 5-10/178
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: After he tied the Appalachian League record with 24 home run in 63 games in 2004, Einertson all but fell off the radar due to bad performance, injury problems, and personal troubles.
The Good: Einertson is back to where he once was, showing solid plate discipline as well as putting the ball into play. He’s hitting with some power and he’s got some decent speed on him.
The Bad: That’s a whole lotta #### to go through in just three years time! The red flags are all over the place, with his personal issues and injury problems kinda making you wonder if he’ll continue on this run he’s been on. Plus, the power that he once had in his bat is now just that of the doubles flavor, which isn’t what you had in mind when you saw him years ago.
Projection: Average. I really don’t know what to make of him, and I probably wouldn’t have ranked him this high if only for the fact that so many of the Astros’ former prospects have just been so much worse.
What He Can Be: A starting corner outfielder that can function as a leadoff hitter.
2008 Course Of Action: Still just 21, Einertson will now head up to Corpus Christi, which should feature some interesting names in the outfield come Spring.
7 – Max Sapp (C)
DOB: 2/21/85
Drafted: 1st Round, 2006, Florida High School
2008 Club: Lexington Legends (Low A)
Height/Weight: 6-2/220
Bats/Throws: L/R
The Skinny: Many questioned this choice as far as a catching standpoint is concerned, considering that Hank Conger was still available and is a superior catcher, but at the time, people felt that the bat was legitimate. Scouts in Florida were split on whether Sapp's catch and throw skills play behind the plate, but many also felt that there was no question that his bat would play anywhere. Unfortunately for him, Sapp’s year sucked.
The Good: Sapp's biggest tool is his bat. He's got great power potential, a sweet swing, good pitch recognition, and solid plate discipline.
The Bad: Sapp didn’t display any of that power potential and his defense, despite his efforts to improve behind the bag, is still below average, making it likely that Sapp will move to first base at some point.
Projection: High. It may be that Sapp simply struggled with making the adjustment to full season ball. It may also be that he’s nowhere near the talent Houston thought he was. Still, I think he’s got some time to develop and given time, he could eventually be the masher he was thought to be. Catchers’ bats typically are the last thing to develop, though the Astros may start moving him to first at times in hopes of jumpstarting the offense.
What He Can Be: A Middle Of The Order Hitter, Whether He's A Catcher Or At First Base
2008 Course Of Action: With the season now starting over, Sapp will head back to Lexington in hopes of improving his dismal numbers and maybe hit some more dingers.
8 – Juan Gutierrez (RHP)
DOB: 7/14/83
Signed: 2000, Venezuela
2008 Club: Roundrock Express (Triple A)
Height/Weight: 6-3/200
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: Another prospect from the Astros' favorite scouting stomping grounds, Gutierrez is a solid arm that is still pretty projectable and should help the Astros in some capacity in the near future. Gutierrez was recalled to make a spot start in place of the injured Roy Oswalt. Still, he was pretty poor afterwards, meaning he’s likely headed back down.
The Good: A big pitcher, Gutierrez has a big fastball, throwing in the low to mid 90's and reaching 96 often during a game. He's got a solid curve and his control and command are excellent. . The 24-year-old offers a mid-90s fastball and an impressive breaking ball.
The Bad: Gutierrez lacks a third pitch, and even though he also throws a changeup, it's still sorely lacking. The Astros would love to have Gutierrez as a starter, but most see him as a reliever. Although he walks a few too many batters and has also been criticized for a strikeout rate that seems insufficient for a pitcher with his stuff, Gutierrez's biggest problem is his failure to improve his changeup. If he never learns to change speeds he could wind up in the bullpen permanently.
Projection: Low. At this point, Gutierrez may have to move to the pen, as he’s getting older and time is running out for him to find a usable third pitch. It may not be a bad thing, as the Astros have a set rotation next year and could use help in the rotation.
What He Can Be: A Power Reliever
2008 Course Of Action: Gutierrez will enter the season competing for a chance to get a role in the Astros' rotation or bullpen. If he doesn't make the cut, he'll likely serve as some intruiging trade bait. There's plenty of opportunity in Houston for both starters and relievers.
9 – Paul Estrada (RHP)
DOB: 9/10/82
Signed: 1999, Venezuela
2008 Club: Roundrock Express (Triple A)
Height/Weight: 6-1/220
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: Estrada has a live arm and has often been overlooked by many during his career. For the most part, Estrada spent several seasons in Rookie Ball until he was finally promoted to Double A in 2006, where he flourished with the Hooks.
The Good: Estrada has arguably one of the minor leagues' best curveballs that is a plus pitch, while complimenting it with a 92=94 mph fastball that has a lot of sink as it goes through the strike zone. He has a third pitch, a splitter, which he can also throw for strikes.
The Good: Estrada doesn't trust his fastball as often as he throws his off-speed pitches. As a result, he tends to underutilize his fastball and overthrow his off-speed stuff, which won't work in the majors. Another thing is that Estrada doesn't have the same explosiveness to his stuff if he comes in on consecutive days.
Projection: Low. Estrada actually could have helped the Astros in their pen last year, but didn't get the chance. He will at some point this year.
What He Can Be: A Solid Closer
2008 Course Of Action: With Dan Wheeler not a long term option at closer and Brad Lidge likely gone after the season, there isn't much holding Estrada back from arriving to the big club in some capacity this year.
10– Jordan Parraz (CF)
DOB: 10/8/84
Drafted: 3rd Round, 2004, Community College of Southern Nevada
2008 Club: Corpus Christi Hooks (Double A)
Height/Weight: 6-3/190
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: The Astros drafted Parraz in the same year that they selected Hunter Pence, as the Astros loved his upside. However, Parraz has stagnated a bit and only last season did he enter full season ball. This season, he posted a line at .281/.364/.446 at Low A Lexington, not bad, but not what you expected out of someone older than the age group.
The Good: Parraz is loaded with tools galore and makes good contact with the ball. He's got great speed on the bases and has some solid plate discipline.
The Bad: Not a whole lot of power and there is some doubt as to his ceiling considering that he's been in the low minors for quite some time.
Projection: Average. Parraz is behind on his development, but the tools are there for success.
What He Can Be: A starting outfielder.
2008 Course Of Action: The Astros will probably promote Parraz to Double A to try to jump-start his development. He needs to have a big year to continue being considered a prospect.
11 – Joshua Flores (CF)
DOB: 11/18/85
Drafted: 4th Round, 2005, Triton College
2008 Club: Roundrock Express (Triple A)
Height/Weight: 6-0/195
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: Originally drafted in 2004 by the Braves in the 24th Round, Flores refused the Braves' six-figure bonus and re-entered the draft, where he settled with the Astros as a 4th Rounder. Since then, Flores has been one of the more exciting players to watch in the Astros' minro league system, as his speed and explosiveness make for an entertaining trip out to the ballpark.
The Good: Flores has tremendous range and speed. Originally drafted as a shortstop, Flores is more than capable of manning center. His speed makes him a dangerous on base threat.
The Bad: What Flores has in speed, he lacks in power. He also needs to develop some semblance of plate discipline as well.
Projection: Low, as Flores really doesn't have much of a frame to fill out and only by learning to pick his pitches better will he be able to hit higher in the lineup. I do have the feeling that in the majors, Flores will be miscast as a leadoff man because of his speed. Willy Taveras redux, anyone.
What He Can Be: A starting centerfielder that hits in the back of the order.
2008 Course Of Action: Flores will likely be the starting centerfielder in Roundrock, but with the outfield set for the next four years or so with Lee, Pence, and Scott, Flores is blocked and would have to edge out Jason Lane for the backup role if he wants to make the majors anytime soon.
12 – Chad Reineke (RHP)
DOB: 4/9/82
Drafted: 13th Round, 2004, Miami Of Ohio
2008 Club: Roundrock Express (Triple A)
Height/Weight: 6-6/210
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: The Astros have typically had success in the later rounds of the draft and Reineke looks like he could be another one. After going 13-9 in his senior season for the Redhawks, Reineke has done fairly well alternating between starting and relieving, though he has been much more successful doing the later. However, he was inconsistent last year and time may be running out for his career as a starter.
The Good: Reineke has a very intimidating presence on the mound thanks to his height and he uses it to his advantage, throwing at 93 to 95 mph with his fastball. He's got a nice, hard slider that has late life and is a out pitch. His delivery has improved since he was drafted and is now nice and effortless.
The Bad: Reineke's changeup is inconsistent and as a result, he's very relunctant to throw it. However, his changeup will need to improve if he wants to remain a starter. He’s also inconsistent as hell.
Projection: Low. It's all up to the changeup.
What He Can Be: A 5th Starter/Solid Middle Reliever
2008 Course Of Action: Reineke will compete for a job in Spring Training, but it's more and more likely that he'll be headed back to Roundrock for another year.
13 – Eli Iorg (CF)
DOB: 03/14/1983
Drafted: 1st Round, 2005, Tennessee
2008 Club: Corpus Christi Hooks (Double A)
Height/Weight: 6-3/200
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: The son of former major leaguer Garth Iorg, Eli is evolving into a prospect in his own right after a breakout season with the Salem Avalanche last season, though it wasn’t a full season. Still, it’s much better than Iorg’s disappointing 2006 campaign and more along the line of what you expect from a number one pick. Complicating matters is also the fact that Iorg will be out until the middle of next year thanks to his need for Tommy John.
The Good: Iorg has a very nice tool set and is somewhat comparable to Hunter Pence. He’s got a nice blend of speed and power and has the potential to be a 25 homer/25 steal guy in the majors. His arm is strong, making him a fit for right field and he can play all three of the outfield positions.
The Bad: Iorg lacks place discipline and strikes out way too much for him to be a middle of the order threat. He also is quite raw for a former college player.
Projection: Fair, due to the fact that Iorg was underdeveloped. However, he’s beginning to progress now and represents a much needed addition to what is a very weak farm system.
What He Can Be: An average centerfielder
2008 Course Of Action: Because of the fact that Houston's outfield is pretty much set, Iorg will have to wait his turn in the minors. Expect him to remain at Double A for most of the year once he recovers from TJ.
14 – Thomas Manzella (SS)
DOB: 4/16/83
Drafted: 3rd Round, 2005, Tulane
2008 Club: Roundrock Express (Triple A)
Height/Weight: 6-2/190
Bats/Throws: R/R
The Skinny: Another product of the Tulane Greenwave, Manzella was regarded to be one of the best shortstops available in that draft. However, there are some doubts about him, though it's possible he could be a diamond in the rough as well.
The Good: One of the best defenders, Manzella has great range and a sold glove. He also makes decent contact with the bat as well.
The Bad: The bat is still just projection and his low batting average and slugging percentage make one wonder if he'll ever hit enough to be a regular.
Projection: Average. It all depends on the bat.
What He Can Be: A solid utilityman...or Adam Everett
2008 Course Of Action: Manzella will likely be heading up to Triple A Round Rock, where they hope the bat finally..FINALLY…arrives.
15 – Brian Bogusevic (LHP)
DOB: 2/18/84
Drafted: 1st Round, 2005, Tulane
2008 Club: Corpus Christi Hooks (Double A)
Height/Weight: 6-3/215
Bats/Throws: L/L
The Skinny: Drafted out of Tulane, Bogusevic is a tremendous athlete that had five tool potential as an outfielder, though the Astros felt that his future was on the mound. However, Bogusevic was also generally regarded to be not worth his selection as a first rounder, and is generally regarded to be a money pick. Last season was a confirmation of that, as he was only average in High A and miserable in Double A.
The Good: Bogusevic has some talent. He’s got surprising velocity, throwing in the 90 to 93 mph range. He pairs his heater with an excellent slider and a very good changeup. His command and control are said to be very good. Oddly enough, he hit for some power at Tulane, making him an interesting project should pitching not work out for him.
The Bad: Bogusevic has had problems staying healthy ever since he signed, meaning that he has lost development time and experience. He is also far too hittable, as batters were hitting .296 off of him.
Projection: Fair. Really, it's all about the health and whether or not he can find some sort of consistency.
What He Can Be: A back of the rotation lefty
2008 Course Of Action: Bogusevic will begin the year most likely in Double A Corpus, but the Astros hope he'll finish in Triple A Roundrock, where they'll evaluate him with a big league call up.
Final Thoughts
This has been one of the worst systems I've reviewed and probably is the worst of the roughtly twelve to thirteen systems I previewed. Much of the list is based on projection, some of it on wishcasting, which results in the following conclusion: aside from Patton, Costanzo and Towles, there really isn’t much coming to help Houston anytime soon.
Fortunately, the Astros have a golden opportunity to add to their minor league stable. Their first rounder, 10th Overall, is protected, which would allow them to sacrifice their second rounder if they wanted to go after a free agent target, plus they have several players heading into free agency. They're going to get at least a second first rounder if they offer arbitration to Loretta and all in all could have a beavy of prospects if they decide to actually spend money on the draft this year.
All in all, any help via trades or the draft would go a long way to adding to a list that needs a great deal of improvement if the Astros ever hope to return to the post-season.
Today was the Final Day of Craig Biggio's long career with the Astros. As Biggio finally took of his cap to salute the fans, who gave him one last show of love and support for the man that has virtually symoblized Astros baseball for the last two decades, I recalled the day I saw Nolan Ryan step out of the dugout one last time, back in Old Arlington Stadium, to recieve his final curtain call in his final game as a Ranger.
As I saw Biggio's eyes well up in tears of joy and emotion, I had only one real thing to say about it.
This, truely, is how a baseball career should end.
Not with a suspension.
Not due to injury.
Not because you were asked to leave or were cut or indicted in the court of public opioning because you may have used performance enhancing drugs.
But like this.
Surrounded by the fans who showed up during the good times, the dark times, who cheered for you and gave you their love and support for all that you did for their team.
Cheered for the sacrifice you gave, year in and year out, as you pushed your body beyond it's limits and took hits and pitches, bruising body and mind at times, but the force of will wouldn't allow you to ask out of the lineup.
Applauded by the men whom you called brother for various stretches of time, with whom you have spent almost as much time with as your own flesh and blood.
And applauded by the entire baseball world, who respects and wishes there were far more men like you who played the game and left it for the better, as you have.
Congrats to a hell of a career Mr. Biggio.
And enjoy the ride into the sunset.
Both Teams in the state of Texas thank you for honoring our Ballparks with your presence.
Bah, work blocked Foxsports.com. Fortunately, my laptop came in and it is sweet. Windows Vista does take some getting used to, however.
Anyhow, here's what I was going to post on Friday. The Rangers Report will be up later.
So, to borrow from Will Carrol, powered by Dell, onto the show...
On The Block – Jon Garland
I decided to bring back On The Block, partially because I missed doing it, partially because the trade market has become a bigger factory nowadays, especially since free agency is starting to suck in terms of sexy names. It just won't appear as often. So, let's check it out.
The Why: Garland has actually been heavily shopped as far as last off-season, and was mentioned in a trade to Texas (for John Danks and Nick Masset, which ultimately was done for Brandon McCarthy) and was nearly traded to the Astros for Jason Hirsh, Wily Taveras, and Taylor Buchholz (until Kenny Williams blew the deal by asking for Hunter Pence at the last minute, when the deal was done.) Now, however, there is more of a movement to move Garland, who is entering his walk year and has been displaced in the rotation by Javier Vazquez and Mark Buehrle, the Sox’s two co-aces. Garland himself has already announced that he doesn't expect to be in Pale Hose next season.
The Rumored Asking Price: Apparently, all that Williams is asking for is two relievers, though one of them has to be a proven commodity and needs to have closer potential. Evidently, Williams feels that he was burned when he acquired Masset, Andy Sisco, and David Aardsma.
Can A Trade Be Done: Yes. With the coming winter being bare in starting pitching, Garland, despite a bit of a collapse after the All Star break, will be very attractive, especially with that asking price, which is likely going to be improved upon as the market develops.
The Good: Garland has proven to be a major league innings eater, something that is becoming quite valueable with pitchers spending more and more time on the DL due to various ailments. However, one other thing that makes Garland attractive is that he is a groundball pitcher and keeps the ball in the park, a benefit for many teams, especially those that have homer friendly parks. Overall, he’d be a quality middle of the rotation guy for most of the teams around the league.
Potential Hang-ups:
Money –Garland is due $12 million dollars in his final year.
Health – The only other one I can think of is that the two White Sox pitchers moved last off-season, McCarthy and Freddy Garcia, have both spent time on the DL, making one wonder if Garland may be headed to the DL at some point in the season.
Kenny Williams – Williams is ambitious to a fault. No, that's not quite right. I feel he tries to screw you as royally as possible (which is why the Astro deal imploded). He's not a stupid man by any means, I just think that he tries to go for the big splash far too often.
Potential Suitors – In Alphabetical Order
Arizona Diamondbacks –The Dbacks have a surplus of talent in the farm system and lack any sort of reliable starting pitching coming into next year, with both Doug Davis and Livan Hernandez heading into free agency. Plus, as a sinkerballer, Garland will thrive with a Gold Glove caliber middle infield behind him.
Colorado Rockies – Rumor has it that the Rockies could offer Brian Fuentes in exchange for Garland, in an attempt to make the salaries balance out. It’s going to take a lot more than that in my opinion, as Williams won't take a one year rental of Fuentes. He'll probably insist on 3B Ian Stewart in the deal as well (who would fill a hole, allowing Williams to trade current 3B Joe Crede for the actual relief help) or 23 year-old reliever Juan Morillo, who has closer potential and, according to Baseball America, was reportedly clocked at 104 mph a few years back, to complete the deal. There could be something here.
Houston Astros – Ah yes, the Astros. While I don't think the Stros need another starter (They could have a decent rotation of Oswalt, Backe, Williams, Wandy, and Sampson next year, which isn't bad), ownership may decide that they don't trust the young kids enough to compete, which would be a shame. However, a deal involving Chad Qualls and RHP Paul Estrada, who many feel is a closer in the making, would work, though the Astros would likely insist on a window to negotiate a contract extension.
Los Angeles Dodgers – The Dodgers may need some pitching depth, depending on how Derek Lowe and Jason Schmidt are doing, along with the troubles that have come with Esteban Loaiza. Garland not only could be a horse in that lineup, he would also allow them to acquire a pair of picks by letting Garland leave. While Kenny Williams would likely demand Jonathan Broxton in any deal, the Dodgers could instead offer him Rafael Furcal and Takashi Saito, filling two needs at once, along with allowing the Dodgers to allow their top shortstop prospect, Chin-lung Hu, to move into Furcal’s place at short.
New York Mets – El Duque is likely done, leaving a potential rotation of Glavine, Martinez, Maine, and Perez, with some semblance of Mike Pelfrey or Philip Humber attempting to be the fifth starter. Minaya likes to go for the big splash and, to be fair, Garland isn't a bad fit here. However, New York doesn't have anything that fits with what Williams was asking for, unless a deal can be done for Aaron Heilman and Humber/Pelfrey.
Seattle Mariners – Oddly enough, I do like the fit here with the Mariners. Garland would move to a nice, spacious ballpark, would have an excellent infield defense behind him with Gold Glove candidates everywhere but first and he'd be an improvement over Horacio Ramirez, likely to be a non-tender candidate this winter. One problem - The Mariners won't trade Brandon Morrow, who would likely have to be a part of any deal to work, though the Mariners could intrigue Williams by offering him Wladimir Valentin, a young outfield prospect that could handle centerfield, but would be a supurb outfield corner thanks to his huge power potential.
If I Had To Make A Deal - I would do the following:
Seattle Gets - RHP Jon Garland
Chicago Gets - OF Wladimir Valentin (he's blocked anyway PF), LHP Eric O'Flaherty, RHP Sean Green
It's not a sexy trade, but it gives Chicago some decent relief help in the bullpen while giving them a potential centerfielder of the future, since it's looking like Ryan Sweeney's power won't ever come and that he might now be able to handle center.
After watching yet another lineup consisting of Jerry Hairston Jr., Sammy Sosa and company, it’s becoming painfully clear that one of the biggest weaknesses on the Rangers this year is the lack of any sort of bench players.
Unlike last year, when the Rangers were able to use Mark DeRosa almost anywhere on the field, from right and left field to second, third and first base, there hasn’t been that sort of utility guy that’s able to hit enough that he just won’t kill you. And while you may say that a utility guy is supposed to be an excellent defensive stopgap/pinch runner, only one of these guys, Travis Metcalf, is a plus defender. Everyone else on the Ranger bench is mediocre.
I would be okay with a bench featuring the following:
Backup Catcher To Be Named Later
David Murphy/Marlon Byrd (OF) - One of these guys will likely be sent to the bench.
Raul Vasquez (CINF) - He hasn't been real awful and I wouldn't mind him coming back next year.
And this is assuming that Metcalf gets sent back to Triple A to work on his bat a bit more.
With the Rangers likely going with a 12 man staff and bullpen, plus the regular starting nine, this allows for one more, true utilityman type to be added.
Is there such a person available?
I'm not sure.
Usually, utilitymen are players that either had the potential to be starters, but were derailed by injury (such as Rosie), or are former starters entering their decline phases, such as the player the Rangers were looking at, Mark Loretta, who has gotten regular playing time with the Astros (and would have with Texas.)
The Rangers could go inhouse with their decision. Joaquin Arias is near ready, can play the entire infield and likely most of the outfield positions except for center, and does have some offensive talent as well. He's also speedy, which would allow him to be used as a pinch runner as well as serving as that defensive replacement.
Jack Wilson could also be an option, provided he comes cheap, though I'm not sure either Pittsburgh or Texas could come up with a suitable compromise for him.
Tampa Bay's Brendan Harris could also be an option, especially when you consider the infield talent coming up for Tampa soon. Texas may be able to try and swap him for the unfortunate Robinson Tejeda (see below), and potentially something else as well. Laird could be inserted into the deal if the Rangers want to try and see if they could swing a deal to include Rocco Baldelli or maybe even Jonny Gomes.
Washington’s Wish List
Ronny’s got a wish list for the Rangers to go after this off-season.
His three priorities for improving the Rangers this year are center field, first base and right field and in that order.
Left field isn’t a problem for Wash, as he feels that he could get an ideal left field performance out of combining both the Byrdman and Cat in left field, which would be cool, as it would allow the Rangers to be able to keep Byrd in his utility outfielder role that works best. It also sounds like David Murphy will be starting in either center or right, making the future bleak for Nelson Cruz.
As for options, there are plenty of centerfielders on the free agent market, namely Torii Hunter, Andruw Jones, Aaron Rowand, Mike Cameron and Corey Patterson.
Of that bunch, Hunter is the one that's made the most noise about coming here and will try to get 5 years, $75 million out of the Rangers. To that, I say hell no. I would love Rowand, but I think he's headed back to Philly and Cameron is likely headed to Atlanta unless the Rangers can convince him to come here by moneyfight.
Jones is a name I think we should probably keep an eye on. After the hellish season he's had, Scott Boras will likely try a one year deal for Jones to re-establish his value before Jones would re-enter free agency, on a much reduced market for centerfielders.
As for First base, Washington has stated taht he wants a defensive guy at first. That would mean Sean Casey, which I'm not all about. Resigning Wilkerson would be a bit more prefferable over that. I think that's lightly what you're going to see at first next year, unless the Rangers are able to pull a rabbit out of their hat for a temporary fix from somewhere.
Hawaiian Baseball League Candidates
The Rangers have also announced who their Hawaiian Baseball League Candidates are.
Craig Gentry (CF) – Gentry ranked high on my prospect lists, as I felt he'd be a good leadoff man, similar to Jacoby Ellsbury in the minors. Instead, Gentry was hurt and was mediocre at best. So, I'm willing to give him a mulligan and hope that his Hawaiian campaign shows more of what I thought he'd be instead of what he was.
K.C. Herren (OF) – Herren is regarded to have the range and speed to play center, but he doesn't have the bat for it.
Chad Tracy (LF) – Tracy struggled this year after switching to the outfield full time. The Rangers are hoping that he'll be able to re-establish himself as a solid prospect, as well as improve defensively.
Ian Gac (1B) – Gac's been a disappointment of sorts since he's been drafted. He's shown good power potential, but not much else.
Jose Marte (RHP) – A reliever with good stuff, Marte was destroyed in the california league this year and will try to resurrect his year in Hawaii.
You probably won't see any of these guys on the Rangers list, well, maybe Gentry, as the system is much, much deeper. Needless to say, this list doesn't leave me as jazzed as the Arizona one did.
That's all for now, I've got something cooked up for tomorrow.
Sorry for the lack of postings, my Laptop finally gave up the ghost, so I'm posting from work or school for the next two weeks, which means no Sunday Night Strikeouts for the rest of the season, though the feature will live on in the off-season.
Anyhow, this is a simple request? Since not everyone is going to want Farm System Previews for all 30 teams, which ones do you want so I can focus more towards those. I don't think we'll get many requests for Royals or Reds prospects, though I have a sneaking su####ion that Red Sox and Yankee requests will be requested.
Anyhow, just post the ones you want and I'll put them up after the World Series, along with the only sure thing, those of the Rangers.
So, request away. Feel free to fire to my email or blog email.
I'm a long time Texas Rangers fan who has come to love baseball as a whole. I recently began this blog as a way for me to showcase my opinions, provide some analysis, and hopefully entertain those who happen to stumble upon my little soapbox online. I'll toss in an NFL, College, or NBA nugget every now and then. Enjoy the posts everyone, and yes, getting a little love in a Deadspin post was probably the highlight of the year, blogwise.
Do You Have Comment You Don't Want All To See? Just Want To Talk Baseball? Email Me at morisatos_blo g AT yahoo.com. Email's edited to keep away the Spam.
