Well, with pitcher's and catchers reporting soon, it's time for me to dust off the hat and start picking teams at random to preview.  Hopefully, I'll go through all 30 teams before the beginning of the season, if life doesn't get in the way.

Okay, the first team is....

Oh ####...

Team Previews 2008 – Florida Marlins

The Marlins may set a record for being the cheapest team in the modern era.

Don’t get me wrong, the Marlins are a victim of their market, but really, we should accept 2007 as probably a step back, which is inevitable with a young team.  However, this team has been gutted of it's most powerful offensive threat and the loss of Willis, which negligible right now, doesn't exactly instill confidence in the rest of the rotation, especially those nearing arbitration.  Still, this team has some potential to be a Wild Card contender in the future, especially if some of the arms in their system continue to blossom. 

Starting Rotation

• Scott Olsen (LHP) – Olsen fits the old saying of “million dollar arm, ten cent head.”  There is no question that when Olsen is on, he is perfectly capable of being a Number Two starter.  However, whether he keeps his head together enough for him to reach his immense potential is another issue altogether.  Florida looked into the possibility of moving him during the off-season, but interest was minimal.  They’ll have to hitch their fortunes to him and hope he’s able to behave.
• Sergio Mitre (RHP) – Mitre has turned out into a pretty decent middle of the rotation starter.  He doesn’t have any offering that is any better than average, but overall he’s a decent pitcher that does a solid job of taking the ball every fifth day.
• Andrew Miller (LHP) – Miller, who came over in the Cabrera-Willis swap, has the potential to become a dominant ace of the rotation.  He has good size along with a big fastball, which 93-94 mph, touching 97 with plenty of natural sink.  He also has a good slider and a changeup.  However, command has been an issue with Miller and his changeup and slider can be inconsistent.  He’s very much a project that probably should be in the minors, but won’t be due to the Marlins feeling the need to justify the trade. 
• Mark Hendrickson (LHP) – Hendrickson was an adequate swingman in LA, but other than that he’s merely back of the rotation roster filler here.
• Ricky Nolasco (RHP) – Nolasco is another arm obtained via trade, but he’s more or less a middle of the rotation guy.  The big issue is keeping him healthy enough to contribute, but if he can stay off the DL, he should be a quality third starter.

Bullpen

• Kevin Gregg (Closer) - Officially the most expensive Marlin (trade him!), Gregg enters the year as the first returning closer for the fish in years. 
• Taylor Tankersley (Setup Man) – It's looking more and more like Tankersley is going to be a long term setup man instead of a closer, which is a shame as I think he'd be a solid one.  Still, setup men are valuable and he'll help the fish either way.
• Matt Lindstrom (RHP) – Another capable setup man, Lindstrom is likely going to help in the setup duties with Tankersley.
• Eulogio De La Cruz (RHP) –  A key piece of the Tiger's trade, De La Cruz appeals to the velocity #### of Florida, as he can hit 100 mph with his fastball and off-set it with a average curveball.  He's easily got the potential to be a dynamite closer if he could just get his command under control..
• Rick VandenHurk (RHP) - VandenHurk will likely remain as a swingman, making a spot start here or too, which is good as he's stretched to what he can do as a starter.
• Reynel Pinto (LHP) – A dependable lefty, Pinto is also likely going to be the only one unless Hendrickson plays his way out of the rotation.
• Justin Miller (RHP) – Miller should be the final piece of what should be a quality pen.

Starting Lineup

1. Hanley Ramirez (SS) – Overlooked at times because he plays in Florida, Ramirez is an excellent blend of speed and power.  The biggest problem is that Ramirez is overmatched at shortstop and he’s probably the worst defensive shortstop in the majors.  He’s very much like BJ Upton, a physical freak that simply can’t handle the infield and would be best off in the outfield. 
2. Dan Uggla (2B) – Uggla actually improved last season, walking a bit more while hitting for more power than he did last year.  Strikeouts and defense are still an issue, but overall Uggla is a nice little player to have and is a solid fit here at the second spot.
3. Jeremy Hermida (RF) – Lost in last season was Hermida's blossoming into a star.  Underrated by many, Hermida is a solid middle of the order bat that can hit for power and average so long as he stays on the field.  As he puts his injury plagued rookie year behind him, I think he'll begin to get notice.
4. Mike Jacobs (1B) – An average first baseman, Jacobs hits for some power and is a competant bat, but overall he's not a star, more of a solid contributor that is convient while he's cheap.
5. Dallas McPherson (3B) – Still blessed with the potential for 30 home run power, McPherson hasn’t been able to make the most of his chances, with injuries and a balky back short circuiting him whenever he got the opportunity to be the starter back in Anaheim.  The Angels finally cut their losses with him and non-tendered him at the deadline.  Florida is hoping to cash in on McPherson, hoping that his health issues have finally cleared up.  If they have, Florida could have a Carlos Pena-type bargain on their hands, though still not enough to make fans forget Miguel Cabrera.
6. Josh Willingham (LF) - Another solid contributor, Willingham may actually see some time as a catcher again with the acquisiton of Luis Gonzalez, which would make him less of a average player and more of a solid regular that will make a couple of all star teams.  Overall, I like his bat and his overall consistent approach at the plate, but I would like to see him behind the bag.  After all, what have the Marlins got to lose?
7. Cameron Maybin (CF) – Maybin was the key part of the trade with Detroit.  He's blessed with tools galore, as he has excellent bat speed, good raw power, good range in center with a strong arm and good speed.  However, he shouldn't be starting with the Marlins,a s he's still very raw in all aspects of the game and would struggle mightily.  Unfortuantely, he'll likely be there opening day. 
8. Mike Rabelo (C) – Rabelo served as Ivan Rodriguez’s caddy last season and is a solid game caller with a good glove.  And that’s pretty much all he is, as he’s stretched as an everyday catcher.

Bench

• Matt Trenor (C) – Strictly a backup, Trenor is now the longest tenured Marlin on the squad.  Still, it’s good to be him considering he lives in a nice city and is married to a smoking hot wife.
• Jorge Cantu (INF) – The former Devil Ray was a washout with the Reds and now will try to come out of obscurity with Florida's other team.  Cantu's got some nice power on him, but little value elsewhere. 
• Jose Castillo (INF) – Castillo really isn't great anywhere and is likely only going to see utility duty.
• Luis Gonzalez (LF/1B) – Gonzalez shifts to a mentor/backup role, where he'll likely see some time in left and first base, depending on the needs of the team.  I like Gonzalez being a full time starter in left, while allowing Josh Willingham to catch.  It would be a much stronger offensive unit, though defensively it would be rather rough at first.
• Alejandro De Aza (OF) – Fourth outfielder with little offensive value.  That's about it.

Disabled List

• Josh Johnson (RHP) - Johnson went down early with Tommy John surgery and likely won't be ready till roughly May or so.  Johnson is a fully capable Number Two starter when he's right, but it'll take him until at least July or early August to get back to the promising young pitcher he was at the end of 2006.
• Anibal Sanchez (RHP) - Sanchez also shows flashes of greatness, but shoulder surgery killed his year.  Now, he'll likely be held out until perhaps May or so.  Sanchez also has a Number Two starter ceiling when healthy and both him and Johnson would knock back Mitre to the number four spot in the rotation and Hendrickson and Nolasco into the bullpen.

Minor League Notables

• Gaby Hernandez (RHP) - Hernandez has middle of the rotation horse potential, though none of his offerings are really plus pitches.  Still, he's valuable to have and will greatly benefit from that large ballpark.  He'll likely make his debut in late August.
• Dallas Trahern (RHP) - Another pitcher from the Tiger deal, Trahern is a groundball machine without a dominant offering, but still, a groundballer with lots of stamina makes for a good combination with a solid defense.  He's also likely to make his debut late in the year.

Final Anaylsis

The Fish will likely be better than expected, but in reality that may not be saying much.  As Sanchez and Johnson get worked back in, the Fish should improve themselves with more experience and hopefully more promise from some of their gambles on the free agent market (McPherson.)   Overall, this is an interesting team going foward, but management does need to show a commitment and start extending some of their players in order to continue taking the necessary steps foward, and not just continue dismantling the team every three years because it becomes more expensive than the luxery tax subsidies.

Final Analysis - 5th Place, National League East

Since I've still getting emails about why certain farm systems weren't reviewed (you didn't review this system, you ignored this prospect, you suck you Yankee/Red Sox hater, etc), I figured, what the hell, let me just start a regular feature.

Introducing The Prospect Six Pack, where I'll pick six random prospects and post up the mini scouting reports, semi-inspired by Kevin Goldstein.  Enjoy.

Prospect Six Pack

Carlos Gomez (CF) – Mets

• DOB:  12/4/85
• Signed:  2002, Dominican Republic
• 2008 Club:  Birmingham Mets (Double A)
• Height/Weight: 6-2/170
• Bats/Throws:  R/R
• The Skinny:  Gomez has been aggressively promoted by the Mets for quite some time, but when Lastings Milledge, Moises Alou and Shawn Green all got hurt around the same time, the Mets were forced to call up Gomez and put him into service.  The result was predictable, as Gomez was undisciplined, raw and clearly not ready.
• The Good:  Part of the reason why Milledge was dealt was because the Mets feel that ultimately, Gomez will be better.  He’s a great athlete with remarkable speed, a solid defender, and good power potential.
• The Bad:  As I said, Gomez was rushed and the result was poor plate disciplined, power potential that is undeveloped and some rawness in the field as well.  The Mets need to have him in the minors, as he shouldn’t be on a major league bench. 
• Projection:  Average.  Gomez really had no business playing in the majors last year and the Mets gambled on him not getting his development stagnated by promoting him.  That said, he could still be a quality prospect if the Mets don’t do anything stupid.
• What He Can Be:  An above average centerfielder with an exciting speed and power combination.
• 2008 Course Of Action:  Gomez will likely be back in Double A, where regular playing time against appropriate competition should help him continue his development process.  I’m hoping the Mets don’t pull a stunt like they did last year again.

Rick Porcello (RHP) – Tigers

• DOB: 12/27/88
• Drafted:  1st Round, 2007, New Jersey High School
• 2008 Club:  West Michigan Whitecaps (Low A)
• Height/Weight: 6-5/195
• Bats/Throws: R/R
• The Skinny:  Regarded to be the best prep pitcher since Josh Beckett, Porcello certainly looked it at times during his senior year at Seton Hall Prep and was reportedly considered by the Royals at two.  However, what happened was that Porcello’s advisor, Scott Boras, demanded Beckett’s contract, which was a 4 year Major League Deal, plus a bonus adjusted for inflation.  The result was that Porcello fell until the Tigers picked at 27, where they took the chance on him and gave him what Boras wanted, drawing the ire of Major League Baseball in return.
• The Good: Porcello was described to be the best prep prospect in the class and has drawn Josh Beckett like comparisons.  He throws a fastball that sits around 94-95 mph and hits 96, all with good movement on both his two and four seamer.  He throws a curve in the low 70’s and a slider that sits at around 80.  Finishing it all is his changeup, which is already a plus pitch and complements his curve well.  All in all, that’s a hell of an arsenal, especially when you consider that most high school prospects only have two pitches when drafted.
• The Bad: Porcello's command and control have been inconsistent.  Many also wonder about his durability, as he hasn’t pitched as much because of the weather in the Northeast.  The final flag is that because of his deal, Porcello has four years to develop and get to the Majors, whether he is ready or not.
• Projection:  Very High.  Porcello could be the next Beckett, but he could also be god awful, as the contract is a contract that could stunt his development, especially if he struggles.  So, he had better be what Boras has advertised.  And, to be quite honest, I’m not sure that Porcello is much better than Jarrod Parker, whom the Diamondbacks took higher up and got for a less money than Porcello.
• What He Can Be:  A bonafide Ace.
• 2008 Course Of Action: Like it or not, the clock is ticking and Porcello will likely begin the season with the White Caps, where hopefully he’ll be ready for action.

Jay Bruce (CF) – Reds

• DOB: 4/3/87
• Drafted: 1st Round, 2005, Texas High School
• 2008 Club:  Louisville Bats (Triple A)
• Height/Weight: 6-3/195
• Bats/Throws: L/L
• The Skinny:  Drafted by the Reds in the first round, Bruce has been compared by scouts to former major leaguer Larry Walker.  Since coming into the system, Bruce has done nothing but hit for power and play some mean defense and is now on the fast path to the majors for the Reds.  He’s already jumped from High A to Triple A and didn’t even stay long in Double A because he was so dominant. 
• The Good:  Bruce has great tools all around the board.  He’s got 30 home run potential and hits to all fields.  Though he’s got only average speed, he’s a great base runner.  He's got a strong arm and he has the range to play centerfield.  He does have some issues hitting lefties, but he’s improved enough where he shouldn’t have many issues with them.
• The Bad:  His swing can get long, resulting in lots of strikeouts.  And, while Bruce is average as a centerfielder now, it’s likely that he’ll eventually move to right field as his body fills out.
• Projection:  Average.  Bruce has been translating his tools into performance for the past couple of seasons and he's moving faster than expected.  He’s moved a lot faster than anyone could have anticipated.  He’s also got the potential to get a lot better than he already is, a sobering thought.
• What He Can Be:  An All Star Quality Right Fielder, Like Larry Walker.
• 2008 Course Of Action:  Josh Hamilton was traded to the Rangers to eventually open up a job for Bruce, should he win one in Spring Training.  However, it’s more than likely that Bruce will start the season in the minors before being called up at midseason, depending on where the Reds are in the standings as well as when Ken Griffey Jr. makes his inevitable trip to the DL.

Colby Rasmus (CF) – Cardinals

• DOB: 8/11/86
• Drafted: 1st round, 2005, Alabama High School
• 2008 Club:  Memphis Redbirds (Triple A)
• Height/Weight: 6-2/185
• Bats/Throws: L/L
• The Skinny:  Rasmus, the top prospect in the Cardinals system, enjoyed a breakout year in Double A and has rapidly developed faster than a lot of people may have thought possible, but it really shouldn’t be a surprise considering all the excellent prep outfield prospects drafted in 2005 (Jay Bruce, Cameron Maybin, Andrew McCutcheon, just to name a few).
• The Good: Rasmus is one of the most athletic players in the Cardinals system with loads of tools.  He’s got a quick bat and solid power potential to make him a 25-homer threat in the majors.  He’s got good pitch recognition and should draw a good amount of walks in the majors.  He’s also a dynamic centerfield, with good range and a strong arm. 
• The Bad: Rasmus has some problems with lefties and he can be over aggressive, leading to strikeouts and being caught stealing. 
• Projection:  Average.  Rasmus is nearly ready for the show and he’ll only get better as time goes on.  Given time, he should be all that and more than what Jim Edmonds was for the Cardinals.  Long term, Rasmus gives the Cardinals another middle of the order bat to plug in behind Albert Pujols, which should help the big man’s chances to see some pitches.
• What He Can Be:  A star center fielder.
• 2008 Course Of Action:  In spite of what the Cardinals are saying about Rasmus being in the mix for their starting centerfielder job, that’s a hell of a jump to go from Double A to the Majors.  Rasmus is going to be starting for the Redbirds, where he’ll get some more seasoning, and could perhaps see some action with the Cardinals come August, as he’s not ready yet.

Will Middlebrooks (SS) – Red Sox

• DOB:  9/9/88
• Drafted:  5th Round, 2007, Texas High School
• 2008 Club:  Lowell Spinners (Short Season)
• Height/Weight: 6-4/200
• Bats/Throws: R/R
• The Skinny:  A Top baseball and football prospect (QB), Middlebrooks' two-sport status may have lead to his falling down to the 9th round of the draft.  Boston, never a stranger to taking high ceiling talent in the lower rounds, pulled the trigger and signed him for almost a million dollars.
• The Good: A fantastic athlete with potential on the field and on the mound, Middlebrooks has good power potential and makes good, solid contact with the bat.  He’s got good speed and is an excellent baserunner as well.  Middlebrooks also has a strong arm and exceptional hands defensively.
• The Bad:  Middlebrooks lacks range, making a move to third base all but inevitable.  And while his speed is solid now, that could change as he continues to fill out and mature. 
• Projection:  High.  I like Middlebrooks and felt that Boston stolen him in the 5th round, which more than made up for their lack of a first rounder in 2007.  While he didn’t make my top 15 of Sox Prospects, he could easily rise up that list, depending on his campaign.
• What He Can Be: A power hitting third baseman in the mold of Troy Glaus.
• 2008 Course Of Action:  I think Middlebrooks will be kept at shortstop for now and will be worked with in extended Spring Training until Lowell starts their season, after which, he’ll being the year as the Spinners’ starting shortstop.

Daniel Moskos (LHP) – Pirates

• DOB:  4/28/86
• Drafted: 1st round, 2007, Clemson
• 2008 Club:  Hickory Crawdads (High A)
• Height/Weight: 6-1/200
• Bats/Throws: L/L
• The Skinny:  Moskos was one of the top left handed college talents in the country that’s money as a closer.  However, there’s so much more to Moskos that just that.  There is the potential for more if he gets drafted in the right organization.  Because of the financial concerns that came with the Boras clients, the Pirates shied away from the mass of Boras arms available and instead took Moskos, who was a massive overdraft. 
• The Good:  Moskos has good velocity, throwing in the low 90’s while working up as high as the mid 90’s as a closer.  His fastball has great movement and he’s got a nice delivery.  He compliments this fastball with a filthy slider.  He’s also working on a changeup as a third pitch and many feel that he could be an excellent starter.
• The Bad:  The changeup is still a work in progress, so there’s no guarantee that he can get it up to a major league level pitch.  Plus, at his size, with a max effort delivery, Moskos is probably best-suited for the bullpen long-term.
• Projection: Low if he’s a closer.  He could probably setup in September, similar to what Andrew Miller did.  As a starter, I would say he’s going some average projection left.
• What He Can Be: A dominant closer
• 2008 Course Of Action:  Moskos has been told by the Pirates that he will remain as a reliever and he could very well enter the season as the Pirates' closer if they choose to go that route.  It’s more likely, however, that he’ll begin the season in Hickory.

   

Hope you enjoyed it.  If you want to see anyone in particular, leave a comment or send me a line at the email of FoxMail. 

It’s that time again…

TIme when I try to forecast who will get into the Hall of Fame.

And every year, I've been wrong except for last year, when no brainers Tony Gwynn and Cal Ripken got in (I whiffed on Gossage twice already.)

No matter.

Here's this year's edition.

Cooperstown Locks

Rich "Goose" Gossage – This is the year Goose gets in.  He got close last season, even with Ripkin and Gwynn on the ballot and will almost certainly make the hall of fame, barring any sort of mental lapse amongst the voters.  There is no reason why it should have taken this long, but as I have said, I believe that Gossage’s years as a setup man may have hurt his case for the Hall of Fame.

Jim Rice – There’s been a lot of debate recently as to whether or not Rice truly is Hall of Fame worthy.  Rice does have some good career averages, and he’s got 382 HR’s, though that isn’t good enough for a man with the reputation for a power hitter.  His numbers were partially inflated by Fenway, but he did net a MVP award in 1978.  He does get bonus points for being a slugger in a Pitcher’s Era, however and overall, with his support in Boston and much of the Eastern Seaboard, I say he gets in this year.  I don’t agree with it, however.

Dark Horses

Bert Blyleven – A great pitcher, ranks fifth all time in strikeouts (3701), nine all time in shutouts, and 13th all time in innings.  His career record is great (287-250) his ERA is solid (3.31) and has a career ERA of 2.47 in the post season.   If he had better run support, he’d easily have over 300 wins.  He should have been in a long time ago, but for some reason, voters are reluctant to admit him in, yet they are upset over why a lesser pitcher, Jack Morris, whom Blyleven laps in every category and is even better in the post-season than Morris, is not in.  There’s been a rise of support for Blyleven.  Unfortunately, it won’t be enough.

Tim Raines – Raines merits induction, as he was one of the best Leadoff Men in baseball for much of his career.  He hit .294 lifetime, tallied 2605 hits, has a career on base percentage of .385, and scored 1571 times.  People crack on his stolen bases, saying that he was afraid to drop his stolen base percentage when in reality, Raines stole bases only when necessary, not just to pad stats.  He also walked more than he struck out.  However, Raines won’t get his due, as people will again feel he wasn’t as good as Henderson, his rival as far as leadoff men are concerned, plus his cocaine use.  Raines may have lasted even longer in baseball if he hadn’t played much of his career on the hard Astroturf in Montreal.  I feel she should get in.  The voters are divided so far.

Screwed

Lee Smith – A good closer, is number two on the All-Time Saves List (478), and truckload of innings logged in.  His career ERA is good (3.03) and he was usually consistent.  However, what kills Smith is that most people see him as a compiler and is regarded by many to be consistent, but not dominant.  The fact that he only played on two playoff teams and was 0-2 with an 8.44 ERA in the postseason doesn’t help him much.  Still, accumulating 478 saves is amazing (just ask Trevor Hoffman), but unfortunately, it’s looking more and more like Smith will be at the mercy of the Veteran’s committee and won’t be elected by the BBWAA.

Tommy John – Almost as good as Blyleven, in terms of Wins (288-231) and ERA (3.34), John would have been a lock if he had just won 300 wins.  However, people don’t realize that had it not been for the procedure that now bears his name, he wouldn’t even be close to his numbers.  John was a great pitcher for some time.  Why he’s not in is beyond me.

Dave Concepcion – The last member of the Big Red Machine not in the Hall (not counting Pete Rose), Concepcion was probably one of the best shortstops of his time.  Many remember him for his glove work, but his career averages (.267/.322/.357) and his 2326 hits aren’t enough to get him in.  It’s possible that many could point to Ozzie Smith as a possible induction into the Hall of Fame from Concepcion, but unfortunately, I don’t think he’ll get in, leaving him as a option for the veteran’s committee.

Andre Dawson – Blessed with a long, steady career that lasted 21 seasons, Dawson tallied 438 homers, 2774 hits, 314 steals, and was the 1987 NL MVP.  Dawson was a great defender at both right and centerfield and hit with good power.  He didn’t walk much, which is why he’s got a #### OBP, but he does have some favorable stats to some Hall of Famers already in.  He was also one of the classiest men to play the game, another reason why I like him, though that’s beside the point.  But unfortunately, he's seen as a complier, and most likely won't be allowed in anytime soon, which sucks for him.

Alan Trammell – Trammell totaled 2,365 hits, 185 homers, 412 doubles, 236 steals and a World Series MVP to his name.  Those are solid stats and should be Hall of Fame worthy when you consider that Trammell played in an era when shortstops were expected to defend, not him.  However, shortly after Trammell retired, the rise of offensive shortstops, such as Ripken, Jeter, Garciaparra, Rodriguez and others have made his numbers look quite pedestrian when compared to how they will finish.  Because of that, Trammell isn’t getting in, even though he probably should.

Harold Baines – Seemingly ageless, as he played for over 20 seasons, Baines is probably regarded as one of the best hitters in White Sox history.  As a whole, he was a very good hitter for a very long time, with a career .289 Batting Average and totals of 2,866 hits and 384 home runs.  He played on six postseason teams but never won a ring. Not at all shabby.  However, Baines was a terrible defender and never had a monster season.  He also never really took walks either, meaning he’s out.

The Hall of Very Good

Dave Parker – The Cobra has a lot of good credentials.  He’s got 2712 hits, led the league three times in scoring, is in the top 30 of all time in doubles and was the 1978 NL MVP, three Gold Gloves.  He also won two batting titles.   Those are good numbers, but not great ones, and Parker’s cocaine use has turned off several of the more self righteous voters, which means Parker is likely going in that class of Very Good, but not Hall Worthy players. 

Jack Morris – Morris is a somewhat lesser version of Tommy John.  He has pitched well in the postseason, and averaged at least 14 wins per season.  However, Morris has an ERA of 3.90 and going through some of his career numbers, many of his wins are the result of good run support and a strong defensive unit.  I don’t think he should be allowed in, even though many of the old school media are pushing hard for him to go in.  He’d easily be the worst Hall of Fame pitcher ever elected.

Mark McGwire – 500 Home Runs used to guarantee you admission into the hall of fame, but times have changed and McGwire has been made the posterboy of the era.  It’s not fair, but unfortunately, it happens.  He won’t get in, but will likely hang around the ballot.  He could get in during his final year of eligibility. 

Don Mattingly – One of the most popular Yankees in history, a nine-time Gold Glover, a six time All-Star, and the 1985 MVP.  A good man and a great leader, who stuck with the Yankees through the lean years and retired just before all the fun started.  Early in his career, Mattingly seemed like a lock, but lingering back problems would eventually claim his career.  Again, as with another 80’s era first baseman, Will Clark, Mattingly had good career averages (.307-.358-.471), but his overall numbers (222 HR’s, 2153 Hits) aren’t enough to get him in, though he’ll be immortalized in Legends Park sooner or later.  To put it bluntly, Yankee fans, let it go.  Unfortunately, he’ll hang around for the next few years, making this a perennial comment.

Dale Murphy – Murphy has two MVP awards and 398 homers.  But other than that, he's not Hall Worthy.

Chuck Finley – Finely made quite a few All-Star teams based on raw win totals alone, but his control was average and his ERA doesn’t fairly show that he could be god-awful a great deal.  He did have a reputation as an innings eater, but other than that, what else can you say except that he’s a slightly above average pitcher who likely would be vastly overpaid if he played today and isn’t worthy of Hall of Fame consideration.

Robb Nen – A former Ranger Draft Pick, Nen was traded to Florida for Cris Carpenter (the bad one) and became one of the better closers in baseball, finishing his career with 314 saves, a 45-42 record, a career 2.98 ERA and a WHIP of 1.213.  However, that’s not hall worthy, meaning Nen is out.

No Chance In Hell

Chuck Knoblauch – Knoblauch certainly looked like a Hall of Fame caliber player back when he was in Minnesota.  However, a neurosis that affected his glovework and eventually his hitting ended his career.  Many felt that the pressure of playing in New York finally got to him.  However, the fact is that what’s done is done and in the end, Knoblauch doesn’t deserve to be bronzed in Cooperstown.  His mention in the Mitchell Report will also mean he falls off the ballot.

Todd Stottlemyre–An okay pitcher for the most part, I remember him mostly from his brief time with the Texas Rangers.  He shouldn’t be on here.  Who screens these things?

Rod Beck –Sorry, I know Beck is very much beloved by many fans, but realistically, he had a 7 year run in which he was good, after which he flamed out spectacularly.  This may be his first and only time you’ll see him on the ballot.

David Justice – Justice is going to be one and done on the ballot.  He was good for a long time, but was never great.  His numbers (1571 Hits, 305 HR, .279 Career BA) just aren’t special enough, though he’ll likely get credit for all of his playoff experience.  But, to be quite honest, he just doesn’t belong on the ballot.

Travis Fryman – Fryman played for a long time, both in Detroit and in Cleveland, and was an All-Star five times, but for the most part he was just a solid contributor and nothing more. 

Brady Anderson – Another solid contributor, nothing more, Anderson shouldn’t be on the ballot.

Shawon Dunston – Dunston had a decent start to his career, but injuries and ineffectiveness turned him into a very good bench player for the most part.  He was also named as one of “Barry’s Guys” in the book Love Me, Hate Me, who defended Eric Davis, who was being berated by Bonds and the time, only to shut him up by grabbing Davis’ World Series ring and asking him “Have one of these?”

Jose Rijo – Okay, but never great.  Out.

The Rangers Report – Offseason Edition

Rangers Acquire Chris Shelton

First base seems to have been filled, for now.

The Rangers have acquired Chris Shelton from the Tigers, in exchange for Fast Freddy Guzman.

Shelton likely will figure into the first base/dh equation, though I think he'll more than likely be the Opening Day first baseman.  It makes no sense to sign Sean Casey for $3 million when you can instead pay Shelton more or less the major league minimum for better production.

All in all, it's a solid pickup, and Shelton will be much more useful than whatever Guzman would have provided.

Rule 5 Shennanigans

I'm a little disappointed that Texas didn't participate in the Major League Phase of the Rule 5 draft, especially considering that Brian Barton was there to be had.  On the bright side, the Rangers didn't lose anyone, so there's some good news.  Texas was active in the minor league phases of the draft, nabbing several pitchers  

Overall, here's who Texas acquired:

• Levi Romero (RHP) - Not a damn thing can be found right now.
• Dustin Majewski (OF) - A former Longhorn and I believe one of Oakland's moneyball draft guys, Majewski likely is just organizational filler at this point.
• Clayton Hamilton (RHP) - Hamilton has good size and could be a solid bullpen arm in the future.  A lot of his stats from this past year must be taken with a grain of salt, as he was pitching for most of the year with a broken rib, thanks to a misdiagnosis from the Pirates.
• Jaime Trejo (3B) - Potential backup.
• Francisco Cordova.(RHP) - Ick.  Next...

Quick Hits

• Kevin Mench is likely going to be non-tendered by the Brewers.  If the Rangers are interested, they could try and bring back him back.  Mench still has fans here and for the most part would be happy to come back, but salary concerns may get in the way.  Another thing, who would he replace on the 40?

• Texas actually was in on the Andruw Jones deal, but was thwarted when Scott Boras gave Texas the runaround.  Specifically, he told Texas that it would take a longer term deal, seeing as how Jones would be switching leagues and all.  You remember, that kind of ####

• Texas has a one year contract offer with a club option out to LaTroy Hawkins, who is still looking for a two year deal from the Rockies.  Hopefully, something can get resolved soon, though I would prefer to go itnernal on the pen.  Usually, that ends up being a lot more cost effective and allows you to protect yourself in terms of being screwed over in terms of long term deals.

• Eric Gagné is still out there and apparently wouldn't mind coming back to Texas.  I'd do it, as he was a lot of fun to watch and he has his fans here.  He would also be flipped again at the deadline for more prospects, which is always nice.  Knowing the Rangers' luck, Boras will push for a full no-trade clause this time. 

• The acqustion of Andruw Jones means that Andre Ethier and potentially Juan Pierre are available.  Ethier I'm all about, as I think he'd be an above average option in left field.  Pierre is interesting, but the Dodgers would have to eat a lot of the salary for me to consider it.  Pierre isn't a great outfielder and is one of the most overrated players in the sport. 

• Apparently, the Rangers are hot and heavy after...Mark Prior?  Okay, I know that when Prior is healthy, he can easily be one of the best pitchers in baseball.  The problem is, when was the last time we could say that?

• There are some other trade options I'd be looking at, with the Astros being one of the teams I'd look at.  The Rangers need a legitiamate utilityman and Chris Burke is there for the taking.  He's a better option that Ramon Vasquez and can play any position except for catcher.  I'd ask if they'd be interested in a straight up swap for Scott Feldman.

• And, on a side note, the Rangers are debating about moving Chris Davis to right field, where his bat would not only be a good fit, but he has a strong enough arm to handle the change.  My only question about that is whether or not Davis is athletic enough to handle right field.

Top 15 Mariners Prospects up tomorrow!!!

The Rangers Report - Offseason Editions

Rogers Coming Back?

I've been an advocate for Kenny Rogers coming back to Texas and feel he never should have left.

However, it looks like it may happen soon, as the Rangers are looking into Kenny coming back, so long as he offers an apology as far as his camera incidient with a photographer two years ago.

No pitcher has ever mastered Rangers Ballpark like Rogers have and if he's able to teach that knowledge to some of the youngsters on the staff, like Kason Gabbard, who's similar to Rogers, and Edinson Volquez and Brandon McCarthy, the Rangers would be better for it.

One thing of note, however.  Rogers I beleive is classified as a Type A free agent and would cost the Rangers' their second rounder. 

Update:  Just got word that Rogers is actually a Type B, and won't cost the Rangers a pick.  My mistake.

Also, any move for Rogers would also have to be dependant on a salary dump, likely Vicente Padilla, in order to make room for him, as there is no way in hell the Rangers will demote McCarthy, Gabbard and Volquez just to make room for a vetern and Millwood is the sole reliable commodity on the staff.

So, we'll see...I'd be all for it, IMO.

Hunter Likely Not Coming Here

The Rangers are looking more and more out of the Hunter market, as the White Sox are aggressively going after him, seeing him as a way to improve their market and give them a "character guy" in the organization.

That's great news, as it means the Rangers won't be overpaying for a overrated centerfielder that maybe has two to three years left in the position and doesn't hit enough to be a corner outfielder and is likely going to be a part timer in about four years or so.  And especially when said centerfielder is reportedly looking for seven years on his deal.

I'll pass, thank you very much.

Gerald Laird's Price Going Up

The catching market is now down it's two biggest names with Jorge Posada and Yorvit Torreabla off the board.

Which means the price just went up for Rangers catcher Gerald Larid.

Laird is still young, is a solid defender and is better with the bat than he was this past year.  He has three years left of club control and is eligible for arbitration for the first time this winter.

He'd be a good stopgap for a club in need of a catcher.

The Rangers could decide to put out feelers, see if anyone is willing to get up an outfielder or infield prospect in exchange.  It doesn't have to be a stud, just a solid regular.

Hopefully, the Rangers can get what they're looking for, while giving Laird the opportunity to start elsewhere.

The Rangers can easily find a backup catcher in house.  Chris Stewart is cheap and wouldn't be a bad option.

That's all for now.  Prospect Report Tomorrow!!!

I'd stay the hell away from the Twins' free agents, especially since their market is going to shoot through the roof tomorrow, when agents can discuss dollars and cents.

Torii Hunter and Carlos Silva are looking to cash in, Hunter by reputation, Silva by scarcity, and both will be overpaid greatly and will likely be looked at in the same way we look at the Jason Giambi/Carl Pavano deals.

Hunter is coming off of a career year and will be picked up by a team making a splash and wanting Hunter's mix of attitude and charisma on their team. 

But he's not an elite centerfielder anymore.  He's never hit for a lot of power and he's not a run producer in the heart of the lineup.  And worse, his defense is center is beginnng to degrade, thanks to the numerous injuries and surgeries he's had on his legs.  Baseball Prospectus' PETCOA system has Hunter becoming a part time player by 2010.  That's not a great idea for the amount of dollars Hunter is looking for. 

As for Silva, he's a groundball pitcher that is young and entering a market that is lacking in decent pitching.  He'll have takers needing a innings eating starter, such as the Mets, Tigers, Reds and Dodgers, just to name a few.  But he's going to get Number Two starter money for a guy that's been a Number Three at best and a Number Four for his career.

Plus, to compound the reasons on Hunter, he's a Type A free agent and unless your pick is draft protected, he's going to cost you your Number One pick, not a wise idea unless you have a Type A on your team that won't be back, allowing you to recoup the pick.

Both guys are going to get ridiculously overpaid and both will likely put up decent numbers in the beginning of the deal.  But in the long run, both are like to disappoint and will break someone's heart.

The problems with rushing draft picks, Southside Eckstein, Pods Back On The Market, and the Price On Dontrelle Willis.

The Problems With Rushing Draft Picks

One of the things that I’m noticing in recent years is the rushing of draft picks.

Usually, this is done with relievers, who are viewed to be almost ready made, a practice that has gone back since the Nationals brought up Chad Cordero months after being drafted.  However, this practice is taking it's toll on the prospects, mostly because teams feel that these college kids should be ready to start immediately.

This has recently been found out the hard way by the Detroit Tigers, who are now paying the price of rushing Andrew Miller, who has been awful his last few starts.  The warning signs were there with Miller, who has walked more batters than he struck out and was regarded to be still raw coming out of college.

A better example would be Craig Hansen and Joey Devine, two players selected in the 2005 draft that were called up to the Majors quickly.  Too quickly.

Devine was destroyed in limited time with the Braves and only recently has begun to show signs of coming out of his shellacking.  Hansen isn't as fortunate and is in danger of possibly being dealt or cut by the Red Sox, who made the mistake of calling him up too soon.

Often times Clubs will be a bit overdependant on their system to provide them with help in their hours of need, oftentimes too soon for the kids to do much good.

And often times, those kids may never recover.

So, let it be a lesson, even a cautionary tale, of why sometimes you might need to look elsewhere rather than within, less you render your own internal asset useless for the rest of the future.

Eckstein Southside?  Sounds Like A Disaster.

According to Joe Cowley of the Chicago Sun-Times, shortstop David Eckstein has become the top off-season target of the White Sox, who are now tired of Juan Uribe’s lack of production (is it possible to be out hit by Adam Kennedy?  It’s starting to look like it.) 

I’m not sure if that’s a great idea, even if the shortstop market is looking dismal.  Eckstein will be 33 heading into next season, and he’s begun to break down, with more and more time on the DL due to injuries.  Big money would be a mistake, especially when you consider that Eckstein lacks lower and as a leadoff man is very depended on slapping the ball and hoping his speed will let him beat it out.  That’s not going to last much longer, especially as he begins to lose speed next year.

Another nugget to consider is that Eckstein may be classified as a Type A Free Agent, and would warrent the White Sox surrendering their Second Round Pick, something that the Whtie Sox may give pause to, especially as they begin what is likely a rebuilding process that will require all the high picks it needs.

The White Sox, really, should begin to look around at the various farm systems in the league (Kenny Williams has scouted several systems and knows the prospects he wants from each one religiously) to see if there is any way to net a shortstop prospect that is near ready, but blocked.  A young player would be much better as it would give the White Sox payroll flexability and the potential to groom another face of the franchise around them.

Pods Back On The Market

Scott Podsednik is going to be available soon.

The White Sox have begun playing Josh Fields in left field.  This likely means that

Joe Crede will be brought back for his final season.

Podsednik is out of a job, as the White Sox have fallen in love with Darin Erstad (big mistake) as their fourth outfielder.

Does Pods have any value?

Some, but not enough to start him.  He'd make a decent fourth outfielder on a team that has several established ones and he's got the speed to be a decent pinch runner.  With his stock down, his price will be cheap as well.

Pods has really had only one good year, but beyond that, he's prett y much useless as a starter.

And to think, I got the most hate mail over my view of Pods as a backup.

Heh.

The Price On Dontrelle

Dontrelle Willis has had a difficult season in Florida, and with his price increase coming in arbitration, followed by Miguel Cabera's impending raise, Willis could finally be out there for the taking.

The Marlins have kinda messed up this situation a bit, as Willis was at the peak of his value last off-season and would have netted a nice haul.  However, Willis has lost some of his luster and teams may be less willing to give up the farm for him.

However, there still will be a great deal of suitors, as Willis is a power pitching lefty on the right side of 30 and has a reputation for being a horse as well as an innings eater.  Someone will bite.

The Marlins have indicated that they want pitching and catching in return in exchange for Willis.  Is there a match?

Somewhat.

The Mariners have catching prospect Jeff Clement to offer up and potentially Wladmir Baltentin, a centerfielder, that they could offer back, but no real pitching of consequnce.

The Mets could offer up an outfield prospect and potenitlally Philip Humber and Mike Pelfrey, but no real catching prospects exist in that organization.

The Rangers could offer back Gerald Laird, who has been displaced by Saltalamacchia, but the Marlins would demand Salty instead, along with top prospect Eric Hurley, a package that would scare off the Rangers.

The Yankees will likely be mentioned, but will only offer up end of the rotation starters such as Tyler Clippard and Jeff Marquez, while the Marlins would demand either Ian Kennedy or Joba Chamberlain.

The Dodgers could be interested, but their only real prospect of value of Clayton Kershaw and he's untouchable.

Perhaps the Rockies and Diamondbacks, teams in need of starting pitching, could make an offer with some of their depth of positional prospects, but no pitching options are available to make a fit possible.

The Marlins are thus in a touchy spot.  They could let Willis leave after this year and reap the two comp draft picks, but if he's signed by a crappy team, all they'll get is a second rounder and a sandiwch pick.  If they trade him, they'll want to get what Willis was worth last season, and not what he's worth then.

So, it's going to be interesting to see how the Marlins operate this, to put it lightly, delicate situation when they've handled so many of their public relations issues with bazookas.

Potential Edgar Renteria Scenarios, A Former Wideout Might Be Coming Up And A Potential Rick Ankiel - In Reverse...

Possible Stops For Edgar Renteria

The Braves were really serious about looking to unload Edgar Renteria and replacing him with Yuniel Escobar at the deadline, but the right trade couldn’t be made.  Now, the Braves will look to move him in the off-season.

Renteria has been excellent for the Braves and has regained his All-Star form.  He's basically an $8 million a year player since Boston is foothing a large part of the bill on his contract and would bring in two draft picks if allowed to leave via free agency.  The Braves are looking for some sort of pitching, or a centerfielder.

Is there a fit?

Sort of.

Take a look

1. Chicago White Sox - The Sox could offer Jon Garland and Brian Anderson and change in exchange for Renteria, who would fill a hole if the White Sox allow the awful Juan Uribe to leave.  The only problem is would the Braves believe that Anderson is a talent that just needs a change of scenery, or is he a disaster waiting to happen.
2. Oakland Athletics - Bubba Crosby looks done and there aren't a lot of shortstop options available.  The A's could potentially move parts in exchange for Renteria, but as far as any sort of impact talent, there isn't much on this roster that fits the bill.
3. Minnesota Twins - The Twins could be on the move, as Jason Barlett would be able to move over to Third Base and allow Renteria to take over short, plugging two holes at once.  The only issue is this...The Twins won't trade pitching, and even though they have some in the minors, they aren't going to move it.
4. Detroit Tigers - The Tigers have been looking for a way to move Carlos Guillen to first in order to manage the wear and tear on him.  They have the farm system to do the move and could afford the contract.  There is a fit here, especially since they have a centerfield prospect in Gorkeys Hernandez that Atlanta would find very tempting.  I like this move a lot.
5. Toronto Blue Jays - The Jays would like to add Renteria and would love to find a way to get him, but there isn't a lot to move here and the Jays would balk at any package surrounding Alex Rios.  There also isn't any farm products even near ready to be traded.

So all in all, the potential is there for a move, but really there isn't a lot of players that Atlanta would be able to come away with and claim victory for the trade.  Personally, I'd be all over a deal for the Tigers, as Hernandez could really be that good.

The Next Rick Ankiel? - Sort Of

Lance Niekro is a bad positional player for the Giants.

That much is known.

He was pretty much drafted by the Giants because of his bloodlines and the fact that his father played for the Giants.

Apparently, Niekro is going to give something else a try.

Pitching.

Niekro has been working on a knuckleball.  Should he feel up to it (and if the Giants feel, what the hell, can’t be much worse), he could try and pull a Rick Ankiel and come back…as a pitcher.

The idea isn’t unheard of.  Trevor Hoffman was a weak hitting shortstop before he became a hall of famer.  Ron Mahay was originally an outfielder before becoming a decent pitcher.  Troy Percival was originally a catcher before he became a pitcher.  First round bust Matt Bush was having success as a pitcher until he blew his arm out.  So the track record is there.

Who knows?  Niekro could wind up being very good.  He could also wind up being an even worse disaster than he already is.  We’ll see..

Samardzija Coming To Chicago?

The Cubs are considering bringing up Jeff Samardzija when the rosters expand on September 1.  Samardzija may get a start and appear in relief, depending on how far the Cubs are ahead or behind in the divisional race once the 1st rolls around.

I’m not exactly sure if this is a great idea.  I understand that Samardzija is classified as a power pitcher, but his lack of strikeouts for the year disturbs me.  I’m really not sure if this is a great ideal at all.  This idea seems #### horrible to me.

Adam Dunn's time is running out, Rowand in DC, Jack Wilson heading to Detroit, More Trouble For Matt Bush, and the end of Gerald Laird's Ranger career, all coming up!

Adam Dunn May Be Done In Cincinnati

Adam Dunn may be in his last season with the Reds.   It's not because of the strikeouts, or because of the Reds' woes, or even the fact that the Reds want to cut payroll to help supplement other areas of the staff.

It's because of Jay Bruce and Joey Votto.

Bruce is a talented Reds prospect is nearly ready after jumping several levels in the minor leagues and now holding his own in Triple A.  He's got power, a solid eye, a capable defender and a good arm, all things that the Reds could use.  As far as who he projects to be, Larry Walker is a common comparison.

Josh Hamilton has already established himself as the Reds' centerfielder, with Griffey holding down right field, which leaves left field as the only place for the uber-talented Bruce to start.

First base isn't an option either, beucase of Votto, a solid hitting first baseman that plays better defense than Dunn at first and blocks him.

Without the DH rule, that would render Dunn a very expensive bench player at $12 million.

However, the Reds won't let him leave without them getting something valuable back.  It's possible that the Reds could pick up the option and look to trade Dunn this off-season, hopefully for much less than they asked the Angels when they looked into getting him.

A trade with the Rangers is possible because of the Rangers' needs for a first baseman/outfielder.  However, the Rangers won't give up much for a one year rental, unless Dunn consents to an extension, which won't happen with free agent prices skyrocketing.  Nor would the Rangers part with valueable prospects in return, in particular Eric Hurley and Taylor Teagarden, two of Texas' top prospects that the Reds would demand in return.

San Francisco may be a fit, as the Giants will need a power source on the team with Bonds not likely to return, however, prospects will be hard to exchange because the Giants have none and they will not consent to trading Jonathan Sanchez, a talented lefty that may be able to start that the Reds would target in return.

Were I to hazard a guess, the best fit for Dunn could be the Yankees, who need a first baseman not named Andy Phillips or god knows what else they've been running out there.  They have the prospects to spare for Dunn, as they have several starting pitchers that could succeed in the National League that are of no use to them, and it wouldn't be a long term commitment, as the Yankees would be able to let Dunn go in order to pursue Braves first baseman Mark Teixeira.

Should be an interesting off-season in Cincinnati.

Monroe For Wilson Swap In The Works?

Detroit wants to find an NL club that is willing to take Craig Monroe, who was DFA'd, in parts of keeping him out of the AL. 

Pittsburgh has been interested in Monroe in the past and would be willing to trade shortstop Jack Wilson if the Tigers pick up all of the $14.35 million remaining on the final two years of his three-year, $20.2 million contract.

The Tigers inquired about Wilson and nearly had a deal done for him at the deadline before talks fell apart becaue the Pirates asked for...Craig Monroe.

Surely the two clubs could work something out.

Rowand To DC?

Phillies center fielder Aaron Rowand is a free agent after the season, and while he hasn't revealed much on what he's doing after the season, he does like Washington, whom he feels is a up and coming team and will be a contender in a couple of years. 

Rowand would be a solid addition to Washington and would be marketed as a face of the franchise and would be a team leader there. 

However, I don't see it happening.

Washington is already experiencing a logjam in the outfield, with Wily Mo Pena, Ryan Church, Nook Logan, Austin Kearns and potentially Dmitri Young all vying for playing time.

Furthermore, Rowand will likely recieve more lucrative offers from his three top suitors, the Rangers, the Phillies, and the White Sox (not in that order.)

So as nice an idea it is, it won't happen.

More Trouble For Matt Bush

The Padres have confirmed that Matt Bush, the first overall pick in 2004, will need Tommy John Surgery on his pitching elbow, saying he should be good to go again in a year. 

This is only the latest setback for Bush, who has been injury prone and under performed by the Padres, who took him instead of Tigers Ace Justin Verlander (fear of a holdout) and then Florida State shortstop Stephen Drew, who the scouts recommended to take, but were overruled because of cost.  Also passed up was Jered Weaver, who fell to the Angels.

Bush was converted in June to pitching and has posted good results until recently, when in his Single-A debut for Fort Wayne, Indana on Thursday, Bush threw a pitch and reportedly ruptured a ligiment in his elbow and left. 

It's unfortunate because Bush actually seemed to respond to the change, throwing a upper 90's fastball along with a promising curve. 

Oh well.

Gerald Laird Is Available

Gerald Laird, the current Rangers catcher, is likely headed out of Arlington and headed elsewhere.

Laird likely was headed out anyhow, with the Rangers already having highly regarded catching prospect Taylor Teagarden coming on nicely, plus catcher Max Ramirez coming over in the Kenny Lofton deal.

However, with the acquisition of Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Laird's fate was sealed earlier.  Salty has a solid bat, but it profiles better at catcher and ultimately, that's where he will remain, as the Rangers have put an emphasis at looking elsewhere for a first baseman.  That means that Laird will be out of a job and likely out of Texas.

Laird should be very highly coveted, as there are very few young backstops available on the market.  There will likely be interest from several teams, including Detroit, Pittsburgh, the Mets and Yankees, as well as the Cubs, who inquired about Laird shortly after the trade of Teixeira was made.

See you all tomorrow for the Rangers Report!

The Detroit Tigers have reportedly signed New Jersey prep righthander Rick Porcello to a major league contract for 4 years, $7.7 million dollars, beating the original major league contract Josh Beckett recieved as the Number 2 overall pick in 1999.

Madness.

Porcello's deal is the fourth highest deal ever given to a draft pcik, with Mark Prior (No. 2 overall, Cubs, 2001, $10.5 million MLB contract), Mark Teixeira (No. 5, Rangers, 2001, $9.5 million MLB contract) and Pat Burrell (No. 1, Phillies, 1998, $8 million MLB Contract), but he's only the third prep prospect to get a major league contract since Todd Von Poppel and Beckett.

It's an insane deal and one that will play hell with Porcello's development if he's not as highly touted as Boras says he is.  Porcello will be immediately added to the 40 Man roster and will being using his minor league options starting next season. 

Good luck to you Detroit.  Hope it works out.