I'd stay the hell away from the Twins' free agents, especially since their market is going to shoot through the roof tomorrow, when agents can discuss dollars and cents.
Torii Hunter and Carlos Silva are looking to cash in, Hunter by reputation, Silva by scarcity, and both will be overpaid greatly and will likely be looked at in the same way we look at the Jason Giambi/Carl Pavano deals.
Hunter is coming off of a career year and will be picked up by a team making a splash and wanting Hunter's mix of attitude and charisma on their team.
But he's not an elite centerfielder anymore. He's never hit for a lot of power and he's not a run producer in the heart of the lineup. And worse, his defense is center is beginnng to degrade, thanks to the numerous injuries and surgeries he's had on his legs. Baseball Prospectus' PETCOA system has Hunter becoming a part time player by 2010. That's not a great idea for the amount of dollars Hunter is looking for.
As for Silva, he's a groundball pitcher that is young and entering a market that is lacking in decent pitching. He'll have takers needing a innings eating starter, such as the Mets, Tigers, Reds and Dodgers, just to name a few. But he's going to get Number Two starter money for a guy that's been a Number Three at best and a Number Four for his career.
Plus, to compound the reasons on Hunter, he's a Type A free agent and unless your pick is draft protected, he's going to cost you your Number One pick, not a wise idea unless you have a Type A on your team that won't be back, allowing you to recoup the pick.
Both guys are going to get ridiculously overpaid and both will likely put up decent numbers in the beginning of the deal. But in the long run, both are like to disappoint and will break someone's heart.
I'm a long time Texas Rangers fan who has come to love baseball as a whole. I recently began this blog as a way for me to showcase my opinions, provide some analysis, and hopefully entertain those who happen to stumble upon my little soapbox online. I'll toss in an NFL, College, or NBA nugget every now and then. Enjoy the posts everyone, and yes, getting a little love in a Deadspin post was probably the highlight of the year, blogwise.
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