Explaining The Rangers' Moves, Playing Russian Roulette For A Fifth Starter, And What To Do With Gerald Laird.

The Rangers Report – Offseason Edition

Rangers’ Moves Make Some Sense When You Look At It

Despite it being a rather quiet off-season for the Rangers, without the signings of some of the sexier names that were available on the free agent market, many of the moves that the Rangers did do are designed to allow for some of the youngsters in the minors some additional time to develop.

Many of the moves correlate to several of the Rangers’ rookies in the minors, designed to delay them for at least another half a season.  Let’s check it out:

• Alex Rodriguez Opts Out Of 10, Year, $252 Million Deal – A+.  This was possible the best deal that the Rangers had happen to them this off-season, as the Rangers now have $21.3 Million to spend on THEIR OWN players.  If this deal had been it, the Rangers may have had arguably the best off-seasons based on this alone.  What this deal also does for the Rangers is to allow them to toss in a bit more coin on the draft, allowing them to compete with the Yankees and Red Sox for more lower round gems, as well as allowing them to attack the International Signing Period more vigously.
• Sign RHP Joaquin Benoit To 2 Years, $6 million – A.  To add another cherry on top, the Rangers also extended the ace of their bullpen to an extension, buying out his final year of arbitration and his first year of free agency.  Benoit will now be competing for the role of closer next season.  Suffice to say, this is good news, as Benoit could have gotten a lot more coin out on the open market.
• Sign RHP Warner Madrigal To A Major League Contract – A.  This makes the list simply because of the fact that the Rangers in essence get a prospect for free, without giving up anything.  This was more thanks to the Angels’ screwing up than Texas monitoring the situation, but nonetheless, they get a relief prospect that throws hard and could be a potential closer.  All in all, it’s a great way to add to the farm without giving anything other than a 40 Man spot.  As for how he rates, think of a younger K-Rod.
• Re-Signed UTIL Ramon Vasquez For 1 Year, $810,000 – D.  Okay, Vasquez is a decent little utility man, but I think there were better options internally that could have been used, such as Tug Hulett, until German Duran is ready.  Not loving this, really, but considering the salary and that he could be DFA’d with no trouble, ehh, whatever.
• Trade CF Freddy Guzman To The Detroit Tigers For 1B Chris Shelton – B.  Guzman wasn’t going to be with the Rangers for much longer anyway.  While he is fast, his bat is rather anemic, making it hard to project him on the Rangers' as more of a fourth outfielder, pinch runner.  As for Shelton, he's a valuable bench player that will see playing time as part of a platoon with Big Ben Broussard.  More on how this helps in a minute...
• Trade INF Tug Hulett to The Seattle Mariners For 1B Ben Broussard - A.  Here's where the Shelton move comes in.  For the price of a prospect that had no future here anyway, the Rangers get themselves a stopgap first baseman in the Bris Broulton combo that will now play at first.  Broussard will take the majority of the at bats while Shleton spells him against lefties.  This gives Texas roughly the equivalent of a major league first baseman.  It also allows the Rangers to keep Chris Davis in the minors for another year, allowing him to benefit from coaching, at bats, and the opportunity to fine tune his skills until he gets the job next season.
• Sign RF Milton Bradley For 1 year, $5 million - B.  This one could blow up either way for the Rangers.  Bradley could be a model citizen like Jurassic Carl was during his tenure with the Rangers or he could be a disaster and DFA'd soon after.  However, Bradley is an elite bat that is now instantly the second best outfielder on the squad and will give the lineup a temporary boost.
• Trade RHP Edinson Volquez and LHP Danny Ray Herrera To The Cincinnati Reds For CF Josh Hamilton - A-.  For all the outcry of the Rangers trading pitching, this deal does make a lot of sense.  Texas has no outfielders.  On my top 40 Rangers prospects, only two prospects in the top 20 were outfielders, both of whom were acquired this year and both of whom are not anywhere near ready.  Volquez, while he has talent, I'm beginning to think that he wasn't going to make it, long term, as his control was just too inconsistent.  The Rangers jumped at the chance of adding a impact centerfielder and Hamilton also gives the Rangers a legitimate power presence that was lost when Mark Teixeira was traded.  Plus, when Borbon is ready, the Rangers could then slide Hamilton to right field, where he'd be a solid fit.

All in all, that's my take on the Rangers' off-season activity.  This Rangers' team is vastly improved from what the Rangers ended the year with, so with some luck, the Rangers will keep things respectable, but won't contend for the most part.  However, with the kids arriving soon, the future does look like it will swing for the better.

However, Volquez's trade does leave the rotation short an arm.  What to do about that?

Playing The Free Agent Russian Roulette For Starters…

Despite the Rangers publicly saying that they will likely fill in the hole in the rotation created by the Josh Hamilton trade, I do expect the Rangers to make a play for one of the free agent starters looking for a bounce back year due to injury.  This is a good way to either waste money (which usually happens) or to cash in on a suddenly viable asset if a pitcher were to suddenly return to form (see Paul Byrd’s last stint with the Royals).   This is also meant to give two prospects, Eric Hurley and Matt Harrison, more time to develop in the minors to ensure that they won’t get torched immediately once they get promoted.  For the most part, the Rangers are doing their homework on the options available.  Mark Prior was recently shot down by the Rangers after deeming his medicals a mess along with his refusal to take a club option with his deal.  Kyle Lohse is also not going to be an option, especially when you consider just how inconsistent he was in the American League when he was in Minnesota and that his agent, Scott Boras, is going to hold out until teams get desperate and start to jump all over themselves for a pitcher.  Lohse is a option I would not take if I was Tom Hicks, nor is it a contract I would want, when you consider, again, Harrison and Hurley’s near readiness for the majors.  That means that the Rangers will be looking for a pitcher willing to take a one-year deal, likely with a club option if they can get it.  This would also rule out starters like Livan Hernandez and Josh Fogg.  With that in mind, here’s who is available:

• Jason Jennings (RHP) – Pass.  Jennings is going to get the most run because of his Baylor roots and because of his ability to pitch at hitters parks, as well as his age.  However, Jennings really is a guy without any real out pitch who can eat innings and keep you in games.  Basically, he’s the embodiment of a Number Three starter, not an ace.  With that said, he’s probably better off staying in the National League and recently, his agent has made noise that Jennings will be at full strength by opening day and isn’t going to be willing to take a one-year deal, with lots of incentives. 
• Bartolo Colon (RHP) - Already Ruled Out.  The Rangers have already ruled out Colon, who despite looking strong in winter ball so far, but apparently, not only are his medical reports a nightmare, he also wants a long term deal. 
• Freddy Garcia (RHP) – Strongly Consider, But Won’t Come To Texas.  Garcia would be an option I would consider strongly.  He has success pitching in the American League, as well as in a pitchers park, and is still reasonably in his prime as far as a starting pitcher could be considered.  However, he likely wouldn’t be an option for the Rangers for two reasons:  first off, he’s considering holding himself out of the market until June, allowing him to sell himself to the highest bidder, and second, there’s been a lot of smoke signals that he will likely end up with the Mets.
• Kris Benson (RHP) – Strongly Consider.  My crush on the wife with the big ta-ta’s aside, Benson would be what the Rangers would consider as far as a guy hoping to be brought in as a 4th/5th starter.  He’s able to keep you in games, can flash a little more at times and may be willing to take a one-year deal in an attempt to build up his value.  I’d be fine with him as a one year option in the back of the rotation.
• Roger Clemens (RHP) – Pass.  In spite of the Mitchell Allegations, Clemens may be willing to return for one more year, just to try and prove the doubters wrong in an attempt to prove that he’s clean.  Hicks may choose to consider Clemens due to his Texas roots and because Clemens was still able to dominate in games last season.  However, the negatives outside of the Mitchell investigation outweigh any benefits from Clemens.  First off, he will undoubtedly want to come back on a shortened season, which does Texas no good whatsoever, and he broke down late last year, as his body began to break down.  Finally, in spite of some dominating performances, Clemens for the most part looked average against American League lineups.  While the Rangers wouldn’t be looking for an ace, Clemens’ agents would demand a paycheck worthy of the Clemens of old, not the Clemens of the present.
• Jon Lieber (RHP) - Pass.  Lieber should stick to the NL.
• Josh Towers (RHP) - Strongley Consider.  Towers' stats, on the surface, do match up a lot to Carlos Silva, who the Mariners paid a lot for.  He's a groundball pitcher that won't walk a lot, nor strike out a lot, but he'd be a reasonable option as a fourth or fifth starter, provided that the defense keeps runs off the board.  He'd be a smart signing.
• Jamey Wright (RHP) – Last Choice.  There is always the return of the Jamey Wright experience.  Wright was tolerable as a starter for the most part and was excellent in relief.  He’s still got good stuff and may be amendable to taking another one year deal from the Rangers.  But at this point, you have to wonder if maybe it wouldn’t be better just leaving Kameron Loe back in the rotation and hoping it goes well.
• Jeff Weaver (RHP) – Oh Hell No!  This is really only here as a comparison to where the market is at.  Weaver will get consideration because he’s a live body. 
• Mike Maroth (RHP) – Are You #### Kidding Me?  Yes, the Rangers have looked at him for a possible minor league deal with a spring training invite.  No, I don’t think it’s a good idea.  The last thing the Rangers need is for a washed up vet like Maroth to take up space in the minors. 

Gerald Laird’s Situation Getting A Little Ugly

Gerald Laird’s situation is starting to get a little…annoying actually.

Two months into the off-season, Laird is still a Ranger and the situation has the potential to get ugly.  Laird has already made several comments about how he feels that the Rangers have never given him the opportunity to play full time and that it seems he has always had to fight for what he’s been able to get in the majors.

Laird could start for about ten teams and backup for another five if he were shopped, but the Rangers aren't able to find a buyer yet.  There was a mention of Laird being traded for Coco Crisp, which made sense at the time, but Boston killed the deal by changing course and demanding Eric Hurley and Luis Mendoza in the deal as well.

Texas could flip him to the Yankees, but New York would demand the Rangers accept a lesser prospect in return, or worse, demand more in return for one of them lesser prospects, which would be a good way to just #### me off.

The Mets were rumored to be interested, but rejected a trade of Laird and Benoit for Lastings Milledge.  They then traded Milledge for Brian Schneider's carcass and Ryan Church.

The Pirates would be an option, seeing as how they want Paulino out of the starting role, but what would the Pirates send back in return?  Would it be an Xavier Nady deal, with the Pirates possibly accepting Robinson Tejeda in return? 

I'll work out a more detailed list next week, as the Rangers not only need to move Laird, but need to make some decisions on other 40 Man Roster spots soon.

Draft Nugget I Missed

The Rangers have apparently scored well in Baseball America’s Draft Scores, with them receiving the second best grade of all,

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Red Sox Top 15 will be up later, right now I have something that just set me off that I saw on Sportscenter (had no choice, was at the Gym and it was either that or reruns of ER.  And I hate ER.)

Steve Phillips was asked for his recommandations to the Dodgers on how he would make their team a World Series contender.  After hearing him talk, I quickly wondered what reality he was talking about. 

Here are Phillips' takes, more or less, and my own, in full unedited glory.

Step 1 – Trade for Miguel Cabrera or Sign Alex Rodriguez

First off, I will credit Phillips with correctly identifying the Dodgers' need for power in the lineup.  However, this is the wrong way to go with it.  If you take Phillips’ later assumptions into account, it’s going to have to be Rodriguez or nothing, as the Marlins currently are assembling a list of players that they are targeting from different organizations that they would want in return for the potential Hall of Fame hopeful.  One of those is almost certainly going to be Clayton Kershaw, a young lefty that is going to be as good as Red Sox pitcher Clay Buchholz. 

Kershaw would have to be sent back in any deal that for Cabrera, that's a given.  It was Kershaw that was a sticking point in the Dodgers' failed negotiations this past summer for Mark Teixeira.  

As for A-Rod, he'll cost nothing but money, but it'll be a WHOLE LOT of money. 

My Solution - Why Not Settle With What you have in house?  The Dodgers have a perfectly good third base prospect in Andy LaRoche, who has hit the batting line of .295/.525/.901 in the minors and has averaged 18 Homers and 61 RBIs in an average of 90 games per season.  Why not give him a full season to prove that he can hit?  He's a lot cheaper than Rodriguez or Cabrera and would give a power boost to the lineup as well.

And if you must get rid of LaRoche, go after a cheaper first baseman to save some money for what is about to come next.  The Rangers would be happ to give up Hank Blalock straight up for LaRoche.  The Pirates would be willing to give up Freddy Sanchez if it meant getting LaRoche. 

The only possible way of getting Cabrera might be asking the Marlins if they'd be receptive to a deal of a paid for Juan Pierre (solving their centerfield issue), LaRoche (solving third while improving the infield defense) and including Andre Ethier and Jonathan Broxton.  That woudl be the only way I could see a deal for Cabrera working, though I would prefer to just use LaRoche.

Step 2 – Sign Andruw Jones, Aaron Rowand, or Torii Hunter to play centerfield and move Juan Pierre to left

Yikes.  Here's another bad idea.

Pierre is a terrible outfielder and has a weak arm as well.  He's probably one of the worst contracts signed in the Ned Colletti era. 

Philips said that acquriing one of the three centerfielders mentioned above would not only improve the offense, but also improve the defense as well.

Here's an idea, which would work with Philips' plan and would still have the desired effect.

Trade Pierre for whoever you can get, preferrably a reliever or a swingman to help the pen and the rotation if necessary.  Second, play Etheir (provided he's not traded, of course) in left, and play Matt Kemp, a blossoming young monster, in right.  If you get Andruw Jones, which would work, in center, congradulations.  You just improved the outfield defense and upgraded the offense to boot.

Step 3 – Trade For Johan Santana

Ooookay, where to start.

Provided you haven't already traded Kershaw, going after Santana creates more problems than it does solve any.

First off, you would immediately open a hole in right field, as it would likely require a package of Kershaw, Kemp and LaRoche to get Santana, even if you do get him to agree to a contract extension. 

Guess what, you just opened a hole in right and third base.

You could play Ethier at right, but I like his bat better in left field.  And it would make the necessary the addition of a Rodriguez and a Andruw Jones in order to fill those holes, leaving you with a much more expensive roster which wasn't necessary in the first place.

The Dodgers could enter next season by making only one foray into the free agent market and that would be it:

Starting Lineup

• Furcal (SS)

• Martin (C)

• Kent (2B)

• Loney (1B)

• Kemp (RF)

• Jones (CF) - Brought In Via Free Agency

• LaRoche (3B)

• Ethier (LF)

Rotation

• Penny (RHP)

• Lowe (RHP)

• Billingsley (RHP)

• Schmidt (RHP)

• Wolf (RHP) - Brought Back

Contracts Traded For Bullpen Help - Pierre (CF) to Marlins For Kevin Gregg (RHP), Nomar Garciaparra (1B) To Texas For Akinori Otsuka (RHP)

And there you have it.  I'm done.  That team I just put together should win 88 games, maybe 90 if the team stays healthy and the youngsters develop.  There was no need to go spend foolishly on several players that may not have been worth it.  That's the reason why you have a farm system.  So you can eventually have young, cheaper, higher upside pieces to build around and eventually contend with.

And all without having to mortgage my best pieces in the farm and to keep the payroll more or less reasonable in the long run.

I'm beginning to understand why Phillips was tossed out so quickly by the Mets.

He just sucked.

The Rangers Report - Offseason Edition

A Ranger Fan's Perspective On A-Rod's Opt Out

When I heard that Alex Rodriguez was going to opt out of his contract, I felt two ways about it.

The first was annoyance, wondering why couldn't he have waited the four more hours to announce it.

The second was elation, and joy that the poorly constructed deal was finally over, and that the Rangers were free of that albatross.

The Rodriguez deal is one of the biggest mistakes in the Rangers' tenure and the subsequent deal that sent him to New York is one of the bigger screwings the Rangers got.

Not only did the Rangers get shafted by having to pay off part of the contract, but they also got little in return, with a Arbitration Eligible Alfonso Soriano and only one Player To Be Named Later (which was even worse considering that John Hart passed up on Robinson Cano to get Joaquin Arias.  How does that one look?)

With A-Rod's obligation finally over, the Rangers will now have $21 million to go and bid on a player that acutally plays for the #### team!

Time to call Aaron Rowand's agent...

Ohyo Victor Diaz-san!!

The Rangers have talked with some Japanese teams about outfielder Victor Diaz playing over there next year.  This is significant for two reasons.  One, it says that the Rangers’ aren’t completely confident in whether or not Diaz will make the roster, as I believe he used up his last option this past year, and two, that the Rangers have some interest in finding a place for him to play full time, as they still believe he can be a everyday player.  What isn’t clear, however, is if the Rangers will retain control over Diaz if he does indeed go over to Japan.  I’m not sure that they can, as I believe he would have to be sold to the Japanese leagues, subsequently relinquishing any control over him.  I’ll have to research this some more when I got time.

 

The Return Of Gagne?!?

The former Rangers closer, Gagne was an out and out disaster in Boston and isn’t likely to return.  He cost himself millions of dollars on the free agent market and is going to be looked at as damaged goods once again. 

However, Gagne may have been hurt, could have been inconsistent due to his not being in the closer role, or maybe just wasn’t cut out for Boston.  It’s happened before.  However, Gagne is still fond of the Rangers and has said that he wouldn’t mind a return.  If he could be had for roughly the same contract as last season, I wouldn’t hesitate on bringing him back.

Keeping An Eye On Adan Dunn

I've been keeping an eye on the Adam Dunn situation over in Cincinatti in hopes that the Reds will decline his options and the Rangers will try to swoop in and get a hold of him.

Dunn would be a solid addition and would give the Rangers a young power hitter that would fit in well in the middle of the order.  The only thing that would really hurt would be the strikeouts.

One More Thing...

The Farm System Previews will begin on Monday, in alphabetical order.  Mark it on your calendars...

See you all tomorrow!

And now, what's replacing Friday Morning Closer...Sunday Strikeouts.  Enjoy!

Pelfrey As A Reliever And The Impact On The Mets' Starting Rotation

Mike Pelfrey made his first career relief appearance on Friday, leading to talk that Pelfrey could be done as a starter and will begin to be groomed into that of a bullpen role.  Tentatively, however, the Mets appear to be devoted to keeping Pelfrey as a starter, for the time being.

But, let’s take a look too see whether the idea has merit.

Pelfrey, since he was taken from Wichita State nearly two years ago, was regarded to be a talented pitcher that lacked any sort of breaking ball to compliment his impressive heater. 

At the moment, Pelfrey has since seen his once promising secondary pitches abandon him, making him a one pitch pitcher.

What could happen is that the Mets could instead try to bring back Pelfrey's confidence by making him a late innings setup man, maybe even giving him the opportunity to spot close every once in a while.  In the meantime, the Mets would be able to force Pelfrey to stop overrelying on his fastball and get him to focus working on his changeup and slider, which could be solid  pitches once he gets them going.

It's a gamble that could be worthwhile and could help improve the formitable Met setup corps, but it doesn't solve the process of the Mets' starting pitching situation.  With the lack of starting pitchers for the Mets, the Mets are going to be severely shorthanded for the rest of the year, as the Mets' rotaiton stands like this:

• Tom Glavine (LHP)
• Orlando Hernandez (RHP)
• John Maine (RHP)
• Oliver Perez (LHP)
• Miscellanious

That's not an imposing lineup and it looks weak considering that the Mets could have acquired an innings eater during the year instead of sitting back and hoping the bullpen would be spectacular again.

The trade market offers almost nothing unless you want to try and go after a pair of right handers that are locked into long term deals, Jose Contreras and Roy Oswalt.  Oswalt has said that he may consider dropping the no-trade clause on his contract if the Astros were able to get a good deal in return, but I don't think it'll happen, as the Mets have become reluctant to part with any talent whatsoever, this deal will be hard, as I don't think either side will be able to match up with a deal that meets their satisfaction.  That and I doubt the Astros would trade Oswalt, as he's locked in a club friendly contract and parting with an ace of his caliber is insane.

Contreras, on the other hand, is a name that could work, as it would involve parting with a part of the system that Minaya is very well stocked with, outfielders, in exchange for him, provided that Contreras' contract is nearly all paid by the Mets.  The White Sox would be able to clear a spot for Gio Gonzalez, a stud lefty that is tearing up Triple A at the moment, and would gain a piece of their future outfield to replace the awful combination of Darin Erstad/Scott Podsednik.  The only real issue is who the Mets will want to send back in return.  Williams will likely want Lastings Milledge, while Minaya will want to offer back Carlos Gomez instead.

Still, regardless of what happens with Pelfrey, he was another failure of the Mets not signing a free agent during the summer.  Instead of targeting the currently injured Moises Alou, had Minaya instead gone after Jeff Suppan or Jason Marquis, this wouldn't be an issue.

Porcello, Harvey Likely To Go To North Carolina

During the draft, a lot of people gave Detroit and Los Angeles credit for pulling the trigger on Boras Clients Rick Porcello and Matt Harvey, citing them as organizations that got it and were willing to invest in talent, regardless of the price tag.

It looks like both players will probably wind up at North Carolina, for vastly different reasons.

For Porcello, it’s not the money.  It’s the contract.

Scott Boras feels that Porcello is deserving of a major league contract, saying that Porcello is the second coming of Josh Beckett.

At last count, only two high school players ever got MLB contracts from the get-go.

Beckett was one.

The other was Todd Van Poppel, who was rushed through the system and wasn’t ready for the majors once the options on his contract ran out.

And, even though the Tigers have been willing to gamble, I don’t think they’ll compromise a player’s development cycle because of an agent’s outrageous demands.  Besides, they’ve got a young staff already and if they don’t acquire Porcello, they’ll gain an extra first rounder next year. 

As for Harvey, it’s going to be about money.

Even though the Angels have been willing to pay good money for talent in the lower rounds, Boras is going to demand a LOT of it to sign Harvey.  It was surprising to see him fall as far as he did, mostly because of the price tag, but the price to sign Harvey, rumored to be around $2 million dollars, may be too much for the Angels to want to pay.  Another reason is that Harvey, if he chooses to go to Chapel Hill, would be a first round pick in three years anyway and would get more than that as a Top Ten pick, assuming he progresses as planned.

So, really, when I think of all of these factors, I don’t think either player will be heading to the minors anytime soon.

2008 Free Agency – Corner Infielder

Unfortunately, there are no first basemen of note coming out.  Hence, I lumped first and third base all together, partially because there is also a first baseman that can double as a third baseman as well.  Anyhow, this is a very thin class unless Alex Rodriguez decides to opt out.  Then, we would really have a frenzy of people that would love to get their hands on the too vocal for his own good Rodriguez in order to plug him into their lineup.  For the sake of argument, we’ll assume that A-Rod opts out, inciting riots on message boards everywhere.  Here’s who you got to choose from:

• Alex Rodriguez (Yankees) – Yankee fans and the New York media have all pretty much come to terms with the fact that Rodriguez will likely opt  out of his deal, as he’s one of the more fanatically loyal Boras clients and will pretty much do what he says, no matter how much he says he likes New York.  Rodriguez would get a lot of interest, as both LA Teams, The Red Sox, and a few other contenders would be more than happy to overpay to get his production into the lineup. 
• Mike Lowell (Red Sox) – Lowell is having a fine season so far, flashing his trademark defense, but he’s also faded badly down the stretch last year and faded in May this year, leaving one to wonder about his long term durability at the position.  I figure he’ll be the second most attractive corner this year.
• Mike Lamb (Houston) – Lamb is a fine backup corner infielder that fields the position well and hits for some contact and can draw some walks.  I don’t know if he’s starting material though, as neither the Rangers, Yankees, or Astros have thought so.  Someone will give him a shot, however, if the need arises that a sure handed first or third baseman is needed.
• Sean Tracy Casey (Tigers) – Tracy has excellent plate discipline, is sure handed at first and is a good team player.  He’s also entering his mid 30’s, doesn’t hit for power and is going to be entering his decline phase sooner rather than later.  Unless the team already is stacked with power bats, I would pass.
• Pedro Feliz (Giants) – I really don’t know what’s going to happen to Feliz.  He’s likely to stay in Frisco, mostly because there really isn’t many options out there at the hot corner, unless they decide to go crazy and pursue Alex Rodriguez.  Feliz has some value in that he can contribute some power late in the lineup and can play multiple positions, but he’s a subpar defender and K’s enough to the point in that he negates his power.  Pursue at your own risk.
• Shea Hillenbrand (Angels) – He’s as close to done as done gets.

Rangers Report Is Tomorrw.  See ya then.

Friday Morning Closer

2007 Shortstop Class

I thought it would be fun to check out the market for next year's free agent class.  I'll update the list as the season goes on, but first, I figured we'd start with the shortstop market. This class is thin with no real stars and only two players being really of any sort of long-term value.  This class got a lot thinner when Carlos Guillen re-signed wtih the Tigers today.

• Juan Uribe (White Sox) – Uribe is 28 and is going to be a free agent for the first time this season.  He's one of the better defenders in the league and he's got a strong arm and soft hands.  Uribe has some speed, but he's a poor baserunner and gets caught often and he's got poor plate discipline, which negates his above average power for the position.  He's also injury prone, which means that he's almost a lock to miss time.  Uribe isn't likely to be back next season and while he's flawed, he's one of the best long term options available at the position.
• Omar Vizquel (Giants) – Here's another shortstop I'm not sure should be starting much longer.  The Giants seem to be determined to build the oldest roster known to man and the though of extending Vizquel has crossed their minds.  He's an adequate defender (and stole the Gold Glove from Adam Everett) and a decent hitter.  But at the age of 40, how much longer do you want to push your luck?
• Cesar Izturis (Cubs) – [If $5.45MM club option is declined].  One of the most useless stats on a resume is former All-Star, which is used a lot by Cubs media when talking about Izturis .  Mark Redman is a former All-Star.  It doesn't mean I want his #### on my team.  Izturis is a fantastic defender and is quick, but he can't hit to save his life.  He's a backup, but for some reason gets played as a starter.  Someone will take a chance on him, as he's a lot better than the next guy
• Neifi Perez (Tigers) - Perez can play defense, like Izturis, and his bat is questionable as well.  Perez has a higher career batting average,. slugging percetange, On Base Percetnage and OPS than Izturis, but he's also almost six years older than Izturis.  I don't see how he can be a starter anywhere but you never know.
• David Eckstein (Cardinals) – I'm going to get even more Cardinals hate mail than I do already, but what the hell.  Eckstein really isn't a long term option at shortstop anymore.  He's 32 and while he's managed to surpass all the problems had as far as height thanks to a lot of intensity and determination.  However, durability is going to be an issue with him as far as I'm concerned and despite his excellent range at shortstop, he really doesn't have all that strong of an arm.  He does, however, get on base and is willing to do whatever it takes to do it, even if it means getting hit, but Eckstein will be entering his decline phase sooner rather than later.  He may be able to justify a three year deal, but any more is pushing it.

Where Will Rodriguez Land If He Opts Out.

A-Rod and his scuzzy agent appear to be laying the groundwork for an Escape From New York and thus far has attempted to put the onus of the blame on the Yankees if he does leave.  Brian Cashman didn't bite and instead publically stated that while he would love Rodriguez to stay in New York, if he opts out he will not bid for his services, putting Rodriguez back in the drivers seat of the blame train. 

If Rodriguez does leave, where will this Hall Of Fame Headcase go?  Let's take a look...

Here’s Who Won’t Bid On Rodriguez if he opts out:

• Seattle Mariners – The Mariners still haven’t gotten over the fact that A-Rod left them for an insane amount of money.
• Texas Rangers – Ranger fans still won’t let Rodriguez’s demand for a trade, after seeing the team was going to rebuild, go either.
• Arizona Diamondbacks - There isn't a place for him, with Chad Tracy there for the long haul.
• Atlanta Braves - The Braves are having trouble holding onto the talent they have.  Plus, Chipper is there.
• Cincinnati Reds - Uhhh, no.
• Cleveland Indians – The Indians have made it clear that Andy Marte is the future at third for the franchise.
• Colorado Rockies - Garrett Atkins is there and he's not only as productive, he's a lot cheaper as well.
• Florida Marlins – As much as both clubs would like a reunion of Miami’s native son in his hometown team, the Marlins have Miguel Cabrera (for how much longer remains to be seen) at third base and it’s unlikely that a team that has already blown itself up twice for financial reasons will make a strong effort for a $100 million player.
• Kansas City Royals – For once, there is a reason other than financial ones on why the Royals won’t be bidding on Rodriguez.  They have Alex Gordon, a player that already seems a lock for the Hall Of Fame at the end of his career, at third.
• Los Angeles Dodgers - There were rumors that the Dodgers inquired about A-Rod's availability, but acquiring him would mean blocking talented prospect Andy LaRoche.
• Milwaukee Brewers – Ryan Braun is the future at third.  There’s no way Rodriguez has a fit here.
• Minnesota Twins – Umm, no.  Paying through the roof for free agents isn’t the way Minnesota goes about building it’s team.
• New York Yankees – The fans hate him and Yankee management has already made it clear that if Rodriguez opts out, they will not bid for his services.
• Oakland Athletics – Chavo is still at third and besides, it would be unlike Billy Beane to get in on the bidding for him.
• Philadelphia Phillies - If Rodriguez has problems already withthe New York crowd, can you imagine what Philly fans would do to him.  They booed Mike #### Schmidt for crying out loud.
• Pittsburgh Pirates - The Pirates may try and tempt A-Rod to come over and play third for them.  But, it probably won't happen.
• San Diego Padres - Kevin Towers loves to add players on the cheap.  This won't be cheap at all.
• St. Louis Cardinals - Scott Rolen is locked up there long term, unless things really just deteriorate between Rolen and Tony LaRussa.  And even then, I can't see the Cardinals justify paying up the nose for a player. 
• Tampa Bay Devil Rays - No.  There's too much talent here to find a capable third baseman that's a lot cheaper and about as productive.
• Toronto Blue Jays – Unfortunately, Troy Glaus is locked up at third base for the long haul and unless A-Rod is willing to switch to first base (allowing Toronto to deal Lyle Overbay) or switch back to shortstop (a position I don’t think he’s able to play anymore), this ain’t happening.
• Washington Nationals – You’re kidding me right?

Here’s who may make an offer, but really has no shot in hell to get him:

• Houston Astros - Houston would add some great depth at third with Rodriguez playing there and A-Rod would not only take advantage of the Crawford boxes, he could also play in the National League in a lower pressure environment.  Unfortunately, Houson has several big money commitments coming up and unless they free up some money fast, this probably won't happen.
• Detroit Tigers - The Tigers have dealt with Boras clients before and have a few of them on their team at the moment (Pudge, Kenny Rogers, and Mags).  However, this isn't going to be a great fit, considering that Brandon Inge just signed an extension, unless the Tigers were to move him to first base when Sean Tracey leaves.  Even then, I have a hard time seeing the Tigres adding that much payroll.

So Here’s Who’s Left

• Chicago White Sox – For starters, Kenny Williams hates Scott Boras with a passion and refuses to deal with him unless it’s absolutely necessary.  Second of all, the White Sox have Joe Crede until the end of next season, plus they have Josh Fields in the minors almost ready to step in for Crede.  However, Kenny Wiilliams inquired into Rodriguez's availability during the off-season (as he loves to buy on the cheap).  We'll see how this goes, as Chicago has some money coming off the books this season with Uribe's, Taguchi's, Dye's, and Buehrle's contracts all coming off the books.
• Baltimore Orioles - This is a fairly tempting option.  Rodriguez idolizes Cal Ripken.  Here, not only would he be able to play in Ripkins' park for Ripkin's team, he would also be able to move to shortstop, Ripkin's position.  The only problem is that owner Peter Angelos may hold up and kill any deal.
• San Francisco Giants – This could happen.  Here's why:  Barry Bonds is likely not going to be with the team next year and this team has a void at third base where Pedro Feliz is currently taking up space.  San Francisco will need a new bat in the middle of the lineup and they will also need a new face of the franchise.  Enter A-Rod.  The Giants inquired about him during the off-season, but were turned down.  Rodriguez would get a fresh start in a new enviornment.  It makes too much sense for it not to happen.  Plus, as a bonus, the Giants would not lose their 2008 1st Round Draft Pick, which is almost certain to be in the top 10, and would lose only their second.
• Boston Red Sox - Yes, Boston and Rodriguez have a troubled past.  But that doesn't mean that the fans wouldn't be willing to push out A-Rod if he were to play in Boston.  Adding Rodriguez would allow Boston to field a lineup of the following:
• Julio Lugo (SS) 
• Coco Crisp (CF)
•  Alex Rodriguez (3B)
• David Ortiz (DH)
• Manny Ramirez (LF) 
• J..D. Drew (RF)
• Kevin Youkilis (1B)
• Jason Varitek (C)
• Dustin Pedroia (2B)

That's a stronger lineup, much stronger than what Boston has now.  However, Boston could also try and go after Andruw Jones and could spin off Crisp in a different deal.  We'll see how this develops.

• Chicago Cubs - I know, Aramis Ramirez is at third.  But Rodriguez loves Lou Pinella and could switch back to shortstop.  I think he's no longer got the range for the position, but several people believe that if he gets the opportunity to switch back to his original position, he would dedicate himself to it.  We'll see.
• Los Angeles Angels - Artie Moreno has coveted Alex Rodriguez and Manny Ramirez for quite some time now.  If Rodriguez were to leave the Yankees, the Angels would be at the forefront of making a deal happen.  Rodriguez would be able to play third, allowing the Angels to shift talented young slugger Brandon Wood to first, giving them a great lineup in the process.
• New York Mets - I never doubt any rumor about the Mets, as I believe that Omar Minaya will try and make a deal happen.  Adding Rodriguez would force David Wright into the outfield for a season before he would be able to take over first base when Carlos Delgado's contract runs its course.  Here's another one to keep an eye on...

That's it for today.  See you all next week.

With the Papelbon post still raging on, here's my Cashman Vs. Epstein diologue, plus what i was going to comment on today, right here, right now...

Cashman Vs. Epstein.  Looking Into Two GM’s.

Me and Josh Q. Public got into it over Papelbon, then we got into it over Cashman and Epstein.  I promised i would profile both GM's and let everyone take a look at it.  So, let's get to it:

Accomplishments:  Cashman took over in 1998 and has won three World Championships, five American League Pennants and has won the AL East every year since he took over.  Epstein has yet win the division, but has one World Championship To His Credit.

Help From The Predecessors:  It's true that Cashman had largely inherited a World Championship team from his predecessor, Gene Michael.  However, Cashman added to it by acquiring Roger Clemens, the overrated Scott Brosius, David Justice and others to help the team whenever it looked like the Yankees were in trouble.  So, in spite of the fact that people say that the team was "Gene Michael's team", Cashman largely tinkered with it and made it his own. 

As for Epstein, Epstein inherited Manny Ramirez, Pedro Martinez, Trot Nixon, Jason Varitek, Tim Wakefield, Johnny Damon, Nomar Garciaparra, and Derek Lowe, all key pieces of that 2004 Championship team.  Epstein did add Schilling (using prospects drafted by his predessor, Dan Duquette as well), and signed Bronson Arroyo, David Ortiz and Keith Foulke as well, but that team remained as much a product of Dan Duquette as it was a product of Epstein's.

Meddling By Ownership:  Cashman has had far more problems with his owner than Epstein has had.  It's common knowledge that Cashman was on the verge of signing Vlad Guerrero until Steinbrenner killed the negotiations, having already signed Gary Sheffield.  It's also believed that Steinbrenner was largely responsible for Carl Pavano, Randy Johnson, as well as Jaret Wright. 

As for Epstein, ownership has largely been good to him, though it's also thought that Larry Lucchino and he had some all out fights over some personnel decisions. 

Signings:  Cashman made several free agent signings, most have worked out to a certain extent.  Damon is one of the better ones, as well as Hideki Matsui and Mike Mussina has been a horse since joining the team.  On the other hand, he's also got Jason Giambi to answer for, as well as the money spent on disasters like Kenny Rogers and others.

Epstein's record is a bit spotty.  Adding Arroryo (after cut by Pirates) and Ortiz are solid ones, but Epstein also has Matt Clement and Edgar Renteria to answer for as well.  Both of which were made after allowing Derek Lowe (who loved Fenway and would have done well there) and Orlando Cabrera (who also would have loved to have stayed) walk.

Trades:  Cashman dealt some prospects away early in his career.  Jake Westbrook, now with the Indians, was a horse the Yankees could have used for the past two years, as well as losing other prospects in trades to other teams for veterens.  As much as he's maligned, Dioneer Navarro is sorely needed by New York, especially since Jorge Posada is getting older.  However, Bobby Abreu was a solid deal for New York, especially since they gave up almost nothing in return.

Epstein's record is much more devistating.  Hanley Ramirez and Anibal Sanchez would have kept Boston from collapsing last year.  Losing Andy Marte to Cleveland for Coco Crisp is looking worse and worse as Marte looks to be a star and Crisp is, well, still a question mark.  Damon also wanted to stay in Boston, but many in ownership, Epstein included, didn't think he was worth the money. 

Unleashing King Felix A Good Idea?  Yes and No…

Inept Mariners GM Bill Bavasi is talking about unleashing Felix Hernandez this year, saying that it's time for him to step up and start to dominate.

Is this a good idea or a bad one?

If this means that the Mariners are going to have Hernandez head the rotation, then great.  It's about time.  Hernandez is easily the best pitcher on the staff and will be one of the best young pitchers in baseball, plus a perennial Cy Young Candidate (by the way - over or under 2 Cy Youngs for Hernandez, lifetime.  I got the over.) 

But if the Mariners mean that they're going to let Hernandez do what he wants on the mound, ehhhh, I'm not to sure about that.  Hernandez is still very young and still needs to gain some experience.  And while the Mariners have been doing well with his promotion and working with him as far as his innings pitched (they've been slowly adding more and more innings per year in an effort to get him to eventually adjust to the 200 inning mark.)  He's still prone to fits of wildness and when he gets wild, Hernandez blows up bad.  Really bad.

I guess this sounds redundant, but I agree with Bavasi on wanting Felix to step up and lead the rotation.  But, he also needs to realize that "unleashing" doesn't mean the same as "leaving him alone."

Yankees Right To Not Pursue A-Rod

At the risk of being called a “Yankees Rump Swab” I will place my take on the A-Rod situation.

Yes, I think the Yankees are right to let the public know that they won’t chase A-Rod if he opts out.  First of all, Scott Boras and Alex Rodriguez appear to be laying the groundwork for a possible departure, already putting reasons why they would want to stay and why they have they would possibly want to leave, putting the onus on the fans.  Plus, Rodriguez is already under contract, hence, why would the Yankees want to re-negotiate? 

With Cashman laying down the law as far as the opt out clause is concerned, he's made it perfectly clear to Rodriguez that if he wants to remain a Yankee, he's going to have to show a little loyalty and stay put if he wants to continue playing in pinstripes..  If Rodriguez wants to play the good soldier, Cashman gets #### points for laying down the law.  If Rodriguez chooses to leave, Rodriguez is the one that takes the hit in the public relations domain and Cashman and the Yankees get off scott free.

Now, will it hurt the Yankees offensively?  Sure.  The Third Base market is thin next season and unless a team is willing to consider a trade, maybe St. Louis if they feel that it's time for Scott Rolen to go, they're pretty much stuck with whoever is in the organization.

Introducing - Prospect Versus

Me and my friends got into it about prospects during one of our memorable drinkfests at Chili’s.  However, it did give me an idea as far as a column:  Prospect Versus.  And in this case, we’ll take a look at a pair of promising young righthanders with ace potential (and the two players that started the argument).

Jeff Samardzija (Cubs) Versus Kyle Drabek (Phillies)

The Skinny:  Both players were considered to be first round talents and both fell farther in the draft that many would have thought they would have (Samardzija, now referred to as Sam for the rest of the column, because it was thought he’d be in the NFL and Drabek for questionable behavior.)  However, both are also viewed to be as frontline starter talents and they actually match up well with each other.

• Build:  Sam’s got the larger size, as he’s a massive 6-6 and he’s still got the potential to add a little weight to him.  However, Drabek himself is still pretty thin and it’s possible that he could add some more bulk and velocity if he continues to fill out.  Verdict:  Wash
• Bats/Throws: Both Are Right Handed, so this goes into the wash.  However, Drabek will be a better hitter.  Verdict:  Drabek
• Delivery:  Sam's delivery is rather straightfoward and really doesn't do much. He's going to have to change it in order to have any sort of success.  Drabek has already had to adjust his delivery, as his old one put too much stress on his arm.  He's thus far adjusting it to it admirably, but it's going to take a while.  Verdict:  Drabek
• Fastball:  Both throw in the mid 90’s, with Sam touching 99 at times.  Drabek may hit 97 as he gets older, but at the moment it looks like Sam will be the harder thrower.  Verdict:  Samardzija
• Out Pitch:  Drabek wins this hands down with a hammer curve that is just nasty as hell.  Sam has a slider that has the potential to be a solid companion to his fastball, but it is still really, really raw.  Verdict:  Drabek:
• Third Pitch:  No one knows what the hell Sam has as far as a third pitch.  It’s believed to be a really raw changeup.  Drabek also throws a changeup and it’s got the potential to be a very good third pitch.  Verdict:  Drabek
• Makeup:  Sam has had nothing but good things said about him and is generally regarded as a standup guy.  Drabek’s fell in the draft because of makeup concerns and is regarded to have a mean streak.  Verdict:  Samardzija
• Projection:  Drabek has a lot of projection on him, more so than Sam, as he was considered to be the top high school player in the draft.  He can still add some weight and can gain some velocity out of it.  Sam is older, but he’s never really dedicated himself to baseball before and as a result still has some projection left to him.  However, Drabek is still far more projectable than Sam in this category:  Verdict:  Drabek
• ETA:  Both pitchers are going to be a ways off to the majors.  However, Drabek will take a lot longer to reach the majors, considering that he’s really young and still has some growing up to do, while Samardzija will likely make the cubs in some shape or form in the next two years.  Verdict:  Samardzija
• Comparisons: Sam has earned many comparisons to John Smoltz, though whether or not it is Smoltz the starter or Smoltz the closer is unknown. Drabek, in a perfect world, should be a slightly better, more dominant version of his father.  I think you know who I’ll be going for in this one.  Verdict:  Drabek, unless Samardzija becomes a starter

   

• Final Analysis:  It’s tough to say about both of these guys.  Drabek could become a total bust if he lets his demons conquer him.  On the other hand, Sam has the same type of concerns, as no one really knows what he is at this point of his career.  Both are

   

See you all next week.  I need more time for an indepth analysis on the Epstein Vs. Cashman analysis arguement, but right now i'm due to head to the west side for a possible sale.  Expect a more detailed analysis later.  But, if you all have any other arguements, post them into the comments or drop me an email.  Credit will be given to all those that help out in the contribution. 

Any other Prospect Versus ideas would be appreciated.  Credit will also be given for the idea.

The Rangers Report - The State Of The System

The Rangers’ farm system is ranked in the bottom half of many scouting services.  There is a reason for this.  Blame Alex Rodriguez.

Just kidding.  It was a cheap shot.  But the Alex Rodriguez deal did hurt the Rangers in more ways than one, most notably in the farm system.

When Rodriguez was signed, there came the expectation that the Rangers would surround him with a team that could compete , which was expected when you sign a “superstar” player to a “superstar” contract.  Anyhow, the result was that the Rangers lost their second- and third-round picks in the 2001 First-Year Player Draft because of  Rodriguez and other free agent signings.  They drafted Mark Teixeira, then drafted Josh Baker four rounds later.  And they failed to sign Baker.  Of the 2001 draft, many players who are now in the majors, only C.J. Wilson has reached the majors and contributed anything of value.  The Rangers lost their 2nd, third, fourth and fifth rounders in 2002, thanks to the free agent signings of Chan #### Park, Juan Gonzalez, Todd Van Poppel and Jay Powell.   And, to add insult to injury, their first rounder, Drew Meyer, a shortstop who later moved to second base in the minors, is one of the biggest draft busts in Rangers history.  Of the 2002 draft, only Nate Gold, Jesse Chavez and Kameron Loe have made any sort of contribution.  2003 saw the Rangers take John Danks, but also saw wasted picks on Vincent Sinisi at 2 and John Hudgins at 3, both of whom are now in San Diego.

The end result has been that most of the high school players that would have been taken in those drafts would now be at the upper levels of the farm system.  Add in some instability at the top of the system as far as scouting and player development and you’ll see why the Rangers are where they’re at. 

Another reason is that the entire system took a step back last season, resulting in a good many of the arms and prospects taking a step back.  An excellent example of that is Michael Schlact, a promising young right-hander that hit a wall last season, along with a good many other pitchers. 

Strength Of The System – Catchers / Pitchers

Yes, the Rangers have some good pitching strength.  Eric Hurley is the best pitcher in the system with Edinson Volquez and Thomas Diamond a bit behind him.  Other notable pitchers are Daniel Haigwood, a nifty lefty pitching prospect, Michael Schlact, who was mentioned in the conversation with Eric Hurley until the California took it’s whoop-#### stricks to the 20 year old right hander.  Omar Poveda had great numbers, but a lousy win loss record and ERA thanks to a young and inexperienced team behind him, and Kasey ####r, 2006’s first rounder and others are making a name for themselves as well.  Kei Kometani, my breakout candidate for this year (Wes Littleton was last year’s) could prove himself to be a late round gem if he continues to improve.  All in all, the Rangers have talent and should even a few of their prospects take a step forward, the team all of a suidden becomes deep in pitching.  However, the Rangers need to make sure the kids stay healthy.  Hurley was shut down late last year with a muscle strain and Thomas Diamond has had to undergo Tommy John.  They also need to make sure Schlact gets along great, although his sudden size increase (he's grown an inch and now stands at an imposing 6'8").

As far as catchers, the Rangers have some young guys that are starting to impress.  Taylor Teagarden is a catcher in the mold of Yadir Molina in that he’s a gifted catcher but needs to improve his offense some more and Manny Pina, who is coming off of Tommy John surgery, has many comparing him to Pudge Rodriguez.  Add in Cristian Santana and Emerson Frostad, who are also high regarded, and Ben Harrison and Chad Tracy and the odds are good that at least a pair of these prospects will be an excellent catcher.

Weakness Of The System – First Base / Centerfielders

The system is lacking very much at first base and center field, alarming prospects when you consider the fact that Mark Teixeira is likely gone in two years and Kenny Lofton is only a one-year patch.  There is Jason Botts and Nate Gold, but many are wondering if Gold is simply a one year wonder and if Botts is simply a player that can hit in the minor league level but not in the bigs.  Help does seem to be on the way in Chris Davis and possibly Craig Gentry, a first baseman and centerfielder respectively, so if either one can really establish themselves, this will work out nicely. 

Club To Watch – The Clifton Lumberkings (Low A)

The team that will be something to watch will be the Clifton Lumberkings, who were the youngest team of their level, with an average age of 20.  It was revealed that this was on purpose, as it was designed to get the youngsters more experience as well as allowing them to grow a little.  The pitching will be fronted by ####r and Poveda, who could be the aces that Clinton has been lacking since Hurley and Schlact graduated to the bigs.  Whittleman still has the tooks there to succeed and with another year under his belt, he could surprise some with a breakout season.

Plus, it’s likely that many of the standout players from Spokane, such as Chad Tracy and Chris Davis, will make some contributions.

All in all, this season in Clinton will be a big one in the Rangers minors.  If the club does well, then the Rangers have their future in order.  If not, then there needs to be a closer look at what the hell the Rangers are doing wrong.

Let’s see where the hat goes today…

Oh, these guys.

New York Yankees

The Yankees again won their division and again were knocked out of the playoffs.  But instead of splurging on expensive free agents like Barry Zito and others, the Yankees instead showed restrain, dealing Randy Johnson and Gary Sheffield for prospects that are able to contribute soon.  Though they did spend on some nice things (Kei Igawa and Andy Pettitte), this Yankee team seems to be determined to depend more on the youth in the system instead of players from former competitors that would cost a pretty penny to acquire.  Whether or not this will mean a return to the World Series remains to be seen.

Starting Rotation

1. Chien Ming Wang (RHP) – Wang emerged as the Yankees’ ace last season and not only put up a Cy Young caliber season, but he was also very durable and was dominant in the post-season.  Wang will head up the Yankees’ staff this season, but I’m not sold on him staying durable for the entire season.  Expect a missed start or two, but expect a good season from him as well.
2. Mike Mussina (RHP) – Moose returns on a bargain basement contract to help bolster the Yankees rotation and finally win himself a ring.  Moose still can eat up innings and will keep his team in games, but his stuff is starting to decline a bit.  However, his control is still superb, helping to counterbalance the loss in raw power.  Moose should be good to go, but again, as with Wang and new rotation mate Pettitte, Mussina will likely miss a start or two.
3. Andy Pettitte (LHP) – Pettitte returns to New York (he should have never left, but take that issue up with Steinbrenner) after three years in Houston.  Pettitte isn’t the same pitcher he was with the Yankees during the Dynasty, but he’s still very good and will be a solid middle of the rotation presence for New York.  The problem is that Pettitte is beginning to experience some durability issues, making it almost certain he’ll miss a start or two this year.
4. Carl Pavano (RHP) – Depending on Pavano this high in the rotation is a stretch, with the problems that he’s had, plus the fact he hasn’t pitched in over a year at the major league level.  For all I know, he could be a comeback player of the year candidate.  But the odds are a lot higher that Pavano should go back to the National League, in which case the Rockies figure to come calling, a deal that could work out well for New York, as the Rockies have some positional players that the Yankees would need to help replace some of their own soon.
5. Kei Igawa (LHP) – Igawa is the other major Japanese import that got a lot of attention this past season.  Igawa isn't the stud that Matsuzaka is; in fact, there's doubt that Igawa will be anything more than a competent setup man or middle reliever.  But the Igawa did lead his league in strikeouts and posted an ERA in the mid 3 region or so.For now, Igawa is going to be in the rotation as the number five starter.

Bullpen

• Mariano Rivera (Closer) – Rivera enters what could be his final season as a Yankee, as concerns about his age and durability are starting to come into the conversation, despite another season in which he could have been considered for a Cy Young Award.  Rivera should again be solid, provided he’s not abused by Joe Torre after he loses confidence in yet another reliever.
• Kyle Farnsworth (Setup Man) – Farnsworth was less than satisfactory as a setup man, and definitely didn’t provide the security the Yankees hoped for in case Rivera went down.  
• Scott Proctor (RHP) – Proctor was a solid reliever, but he’s absolutely abused by Joe Torre last season, leading relievers in innings logged.  He’s going to have some setback this year as the fatigue from last year comes back to bite him, but that’s not a reason to give up on him.  He’s going to have a bright future, possibly as Rivera’s heir (unless they make the incredibly stupid decision to go after Frankie Rodriguez when he hits the market.)
• Mike Myers (LHP) – The bullpen’s lone lefty is really only a one out guy.  That’s bad.
• Darrell Rasner (RHP) – Ranser was pretty good in some starts, but was also very good in relief.  The Yankees hope that this former Nationals farmhand will eventually be a fifth starter/swingman.  Stuffwise, Rasner gets decent movement on his 90-mph fastball and showed an improved curve last season. 
• Luis Vizcaino (RHP) – Vizcaino joins his fourth team in four seasons, as Arizona acquired him in the December 2005 deal that sent Javier Vazquez to the White Sox.  Vizcaino is a power pitcher who can struggle with his command at times and could help bolster the setup corps.
• Brian Bruney (RHP) – Bruney was obtained off of the Diamondback’s scrap heap and was dominant in 19 games last season.  I like him to make the squad, as I think that he could be a great setup man in the future.

Starting Lineup

1. Johnny Damon (CF) – Damon was a solid presence in the Yankee lineup last season, hitting well at leadoff while showing some power at the top as well.  Damon was also solid at centerfield last season, vastly improving the outfield defense that had been declining for several years as Bernie Williams began to decline.  Damon should be solid, but his terrible September bears some notice, be it from the toll that his style of play takes on him or from nagging injuries.  Hence, it’s best that the Yankees be careful with him, as he’s not getting any younger.
2. Derek Jeter (SS) – Jeter had a solid season last season, staying in contention for a batting title as well as an MVP award for most of the season until a pair of Twins made off with both.  Jeter would have sacrificed them both for a chance to go to another World Series, which didn’t happen.  Jeter should again be solid at the second spot, and his defense will again be Golden (pun intended), but the A-Rod situation bears watching, as I firmly believe that Jeter should have spoke up last season to defend his teammate, as he did with Chuck Knoblauch and Jason Giambi.  There comes a certain point in time where you have to put some animosities behind you and do what you have to in order to help the team.  That’s what comes with being a Captain.  And that’s precisely what Jeter failed to do.
3. Alex Rodriguez (3B) – In Rodriguez’s defense, he had a solid year last year, hitting. 290 with 35 Homers and 121 RBI’s.  However, his defense slipped last season, whether it was due to psychological issues or something else and he’s got to strongly work to get himself back to where he was on defense.  He’s still a capable offensive player and is in his prime, but Yankee fans are hard on Rodriguez, largely because they view him as a mercenary type player and not a “True Yankee” (whatever the #### that means.)  A lot of Rodriguez’s flak he causes himself (life coach, his OCD like desire to keep a squeaky clean image), but some of it could have been diffused by Jeter, which wasn’t.  Regardless of all that, Rodriguez will be under a bigger microscope this season because of his agent, who put in an Opt Out Clause that would allow him to opt out of his contract after the 2007 season (which I fully would have expected him to exercise had he remained in Texas.)  We’ll see what happens…
4. Jason Giambi (DH) – This is one contract New York would want back.  When signed, it was hoped that Giambi would be able to provide the offensive firepower to replace Tino Martinez at first.  Five years, one return of Martinez, a stomach parasite and a mysterious apology later, Giambi is now a DH, as his defense has regressed from “bad” to “horrific.”   A .253 hitter in 139 games for New York last year, Giambi is also starting to wear down and hasn’t played a full season in years.  Though the Yankees hope he’ll become their version of David Ortiz, it’s likely that Giambi will play 120 to 130 games, the other 32 games being interleague or games where Matsui or Abreu are in the lineup to allow Melky Cabrera to play. 
5. Hideki Matsui (LF) – Matsui may actually be better suited in right, as his arm isn’t the strongest, but this is where he’s listed and where he’s likely to remain.  Matsui was limited to 51 games after a fluke wrist injury, but he came back and hit well.  He’s not a guy who has a ton of power, but another 20 homer season with over 100 RBI’s in the lineup isn’t unreasonable to expect from him. 
6. Bobby Abreu (RF) – A classic throwback to the Yankees of the 90’s, Abreu works the count, takes walks, hits for contact and some power and plays a good right field, plus has some speed on the baselines.  In Philly, Abreu was depended on to be a run producer.  Here, Abreu is allowed to do his thing.  The best part is, the Yankees got him for pocket change.  He’s a steal and another solid bat in the linep.
7. Jorge Posada (C) – Posada had a solid year least year, putting up his best numbers since 2003.  Posada is still a solid defensive catcher, but at his age, the Yankees need to start searching for his successor, as he’s going to start declining seriously after this year.  As far as his long term future is concerned, Posada could switch to backup catcher/DH, but the DH spot filled by Giambi, meaning that the Yankees are going to have to make a hard decision as soon as the year is up.
8. Robinson Cano (2B) – How often do you find a guy hitting 8th in the lineup contending for a batting title?  Only in New York.  Cano has become a solid young player, playing a solid second base while looking like a player that will hit over .300 for his career.  Cano also has some thunder in his bat, plus can steal a few.  He should be hitting toward the top of the order.  But in this lineup, he adds some much dreaded depth.
9. Doug Mientkiewicz (1B) – Minky was brought aboard to play first mostly on his defensive skills.  While the decision remains questionable, as Mientkiewicz has regressed a bit defensively over the years, the question remains whether or not he’ll hit and be no better than the pitcher at the 9th spot.  Plus there’s the injury factor to take into consideration as well.  We’ll see how this works out.

Bench

• Melky Cabrera (OF) – Cabrera was a revelation last season, stepping in after Gary Sheffield, then Matsui went down, and provided a spark of life not seen in the Yankees in some time.  Cabrera doesn’t hit for a ton of power, but he’s got some solid hitting ability and is good in the field.  The Yankees will keep him with the big club because he can play all three outfield positions, but long term, he’s going to be a regular in one of the corners.
• Miguel Cairo (UTIL) – Cairo can’t hit worth a damn, but his main value is that he’s so versatile.  Cairo can play second base, shortstop and third base well, while is a passable defender at first and in the outfield. 
• Josh Phelps (1B) – Will likely make the team, or New York wouldn’t have spent the money on him during the Rule V Draft.  Phelps has the potential to hit for some power and can play a decent first base.  He’s at the very least a better option over perennial underachiever Andy Phillips.
• Wil Nieves (C) – The favorite to win the backup catcher job, Nieves is a powerless hitter that can hit for average while performing well above average behind the bag.  But he’s not an heir to Posada by any means.

Down On The Farm…

The Yankees have managed to acquire quite a bit of talent in recent years, mostly due to their spending big on talents that have fallen in the draft due to signability, plus some good scouting on the international market.  The recent trades have also bolstered their pool of talent, which is now regarded to be some of the best in the majors.  However, there’s a problem; most of the talent is pitching.  Outside of Jose Tabata, who is years from contributing to the big club, there are almost no hitters.

• Philip Hughes (RHP) – Hughes is the best pitching prospect in the game.  He’s not only got size, but he’s got the mound presence to go with it.  His stuff is ace quality, starting with a mid 90’s fastball with good movement and a hard curveball that is major league ready.  He’s got a decent changeup and his mechanics are almost flawless.  He hasn’t proven that he can handle a major league workload yet, as the Yankees have been careful with him, but Hughes was dominant last year, enough that all of baseball has now taken notice of him.  Though the Yankees want Hughes to spend at least one more year at Triple A, a dominant Spring Training could make one of the starters expendable.  And even then, he’ll be in the Stadium by September.
• Chris Britton (RHP) – Obtained for Jaret Wright from the Orioles, Britton will likely become a part of the Yankees’ future bullpen.  Britton has a low 90’s fastball and a nice, tight curve and throws for strikes.  The only problem is that he’s been injury prone in his career and is a big man, if you know what I mean.  Still, he’s got a future with the Yankees as they try to get young and save up their pennies for some of the bigger free agents coming down the road (cough *Johan Santana* cough.)
• Sean Henn (LHP) – Henn isn’t looked at as a starter anymore, but he could be a solid lefty reliever and could displace Mike Myers if Henn is able to strikeout righties as well as lefties.
• Russ Ohlendorf (RHP) – Obtained from the Diamondbacks in the Randy Johnson Trade, Ohlendorf went 10-8, 3.29 with a 125 K’s and 29 walks in 27 starts at Double A Tennessee. He’s got great size and his stuff isn’t bad.  He throws a hard 89-94 mph sinker, a solid changeup and a decent slider.  Lefties murder him, and because of his slider, he may be better off in the pen.
• Stephen Jackson (RHP) – Another good sized right hander that has some solid stuff.  However, unlike Ohlendorf, who can at least entertain notions of being a starter, Jackson’s future is definitely in the pen, as he’s got four pitches, but only two, a sinker and a slider, are major league worthy.
• Eric Duncan (1B) – Duncan was a first round pick that New York may have ruined due to their aggressive promotion of him last year.  Duncan should have remained in Trenton instead of being sent to Columbus last year and getting demoted and the prospect that returned to Double A was shell-shocked enough that he needed time to recover from the experience.  Duncan is still young and the power potential is still there, but it’s beginning to look like he may be a bust.  Duncan will remain in Triple A, but a solid season could earn him a call up, be it as a regular or as a possible trade piece.
• Humberto Sanchez (RHP) – A big pitcher, Sanchez was the jewel of the trade that sent Sheffield to Detroit.  Sanchez has good arm strength and his stuff is great.  His fastball sits at 92-95 mph and touches 97-98, and his slider gives him a second plus pitch.  However, Sanchez has some durability issues, as he’s never thrown more than 123 innings in a season due to various injuries and conditioning issues.  Sanchez will be a Triple A, but could get a look as the season progresses.
• J. Brent Cox (RHP) – Another possible heir to Rivera, Cox is a polished college reliever who dominated Double A as a closer.  Cox induces groundballs thanks to his 88-92 mph sinker and hard-tilting slider, and he’s got a quick delivery as well.  However, many feel that Cox lacks pure dominating stuff and he may be better off as a setup man.

In Conclusion…

The Yankees have enough talent to win the division.  Whether or not the talent is enough to advance to the next round is a difference story…

Final Standing:  First In The American League East.