JJD's NASCAR and other stuff blog
by: JayJayDean
A win is a win is a win? (Part Five)
May 11, 2008 | 8:53AM | report this
Kyle Busch is truly on an incredible roll.  Last night at Darlington, he won his eighth race of the season - BEFORE MOTHER'S DAY.  He also had two earlier Nationwide races in the bag before suffering mechanical problems, and he could have easily won last week's Cup race at Richmond had he and Dale Earnhardt Jr. not tangled with three laps to go.

Obviously, Busch's success is not only a result of his considerable driving talent.  Joe Gibbs Racing has been the dominant team in NASCAR in 2008, with the kind of combined dominance of the Cup and Nationwide Series that we saw from Hendrick Motorsports at the Cup level in 2007.  If Kyle keeps it up, could he make a run, albeit an unofficial one, at THE most unbreakable of NASCAR records - Richard Petty's 27-win season?

I already broke down the King's 1967 season here to distill how many wins that year were comparable to today's NASCAR, but I would say the King's record still holds up when you look at the entire body of a NASCAR season.  During 1967 season, Petty was the only driver to run more than 46 races, and while the King was running the maximum of 48, only nine other drivers ran more than 40, which means in several races he was one of only a handful of top-level drivers competing.  (David Pearson and Cale Yarborough won four races in only 39 COMBINED starts that year.)

What that tells me is that, while it isn't considered THE highest level, today's Nationwide and even Truck Series races are comparable to some of those old races the King gets credit for.  Wouldn't you say that Tony Stewart's Nationwide win Friday night - beating plenty of Cup drivers including Clint Bowyer, Kevin Harvick, Mark Martin, Matt Kenseth, Carl Edwards, and others - is just as impressive (moreso, actually) than, say, winning the 1967 Columbia 200 - which had five or six top drivers in the field among its whopping NINETEEN competitors, in a race that was shorter than any Nationwide Series race today?

Over the years, there have been several Cup racers who have run enough to put together impressive win total in the Nationwide/Busch Series.  Dale Earnhardt won five Busch races in 1986.  Harry Gant won five Busch races in 1991.  Mark Martin has won as many as seven Busch races AND six Truck races in a season (although not the same one).  And just two years ago Kevin Harvick nearly tied the all-time Busch Series record with nine wins.  In fact, that season was the MOST wins in a season since the Busch Series was created in 1982.  Here is the list.

                       YEAR   CUP  NWS  CTS TOTAL
Kevin Harvick          2006     5    9    0    14
Jeff Gordon            1998    13    0    0    13
Darrell Waltrip        1982    12    1    0    13
Dale Earnhardt         1987    11    1    0    12
Mark Martin            1993     5    7    0    12
Bill Elliott           1985    11    0    0    11
Dale Earnhardt         1990     9    2    0    11
Jimmie Johnson         2007    10    0    0    10
Jeff Gordon            1997    10    0    0    10
Jeff Gordon            1996    10    0    0    10
Rusty Wallace          1993    10    0    0    10
Harry Gant             1991     5    5    0    10
Dale Earnhardt         1986     5    5    0    10
Mark Martin            1997     4    6    0    10
Sam Ard                1983     0   10    0    10
Mark Martin            1998     7    2    0     9
Darrell Waltrip        1984     7    2    0     9
Carl Edwards           2005     4    5    0     9
Greg Biffle            1999     0    0    9     9
Jimmie Johnson         2004     8    0    0     8
Ryan Newman            2003     8    0    0     8
Rusty Wallace          1994     8    0    0     8
Bobby Allison          1982     8    0    0     8
Jeff Gordon            1999     7    1    0     8
Tim Richmond           1986     7    1    0     8
Kasey Kahne            2006     6    2    0     8
Dale Earnhardt Jr.     2004     6    2    0     8
Dale Earnhardt         1993     6    2    0     8
Jeff Burton            2000     4    4    0     8
Kyle Busch             2008     3    3    2     8
Mark Martin            1999     2    6    0     8
Jack Ingram            1984     0    8    0     8
Sam Ard                1984     0    8    0     8
Mike Skinner           1996     0    0    8     8
Mike Skinner           1995     0    0    8     8

There's Krazy Kyle - and it's worth repeating, but that's before Mother's Day!

Now, I know you're kind of thinking that Harvick "only" won five Cup races, so he doesn't really belong in first, and I would only say you obviously need to put some perspective into it.  Would you try to say Bill Elliott's 1985 season somehow wasn't as good?  Of course not.  BUT, Eliiott could have run some Busch races if he felt like it, right?  And think about some of those wins the King got - twelve cars on a track, sixty miles, those count as much as last night's Dodge Challenger 500, in NASCAR's eyes.  Shouldn't the reverse be true, at least to some degree?

To try and put Harvick's 2006 win total in some perspective, here is the list of most wins in a season, all-time, including all Busch and Trucks.  This is the top-twenty.

                 YEAR  WINS
Richard Petty    1967    27
Richard Petty    1971    21
Richard Petty    1970    18
Tim Flock        1955    18
Bobby Isaac      1969    17
David Pearson    1968    16
Richard Petty    1968    16
David Pearson    1966    15
Ned Jarrett      1964    15
Kevin Harvick    2006    14  
Richard Petty    1963    14
Buck Baker       1956    14
Darrell Waltrip  1982    13  
Jeff Gordon      1998    13
 
Richard Petty    1975    13
Junior Johnson   1965    13
Ned Jarrett      1965    13
Mark Martin      1993    12
Dale Earnhardt   1987    12
Darrell Waltrip  1981    12  

Herb Thomas      1954    12
Herb Thomas      1953    12

Now, the BOLD totals all came after NASCAR stopped sanctioning those small field/short distance-races.  Kevin Harvick won the most NASCAR races in a season in 36 (!) years in 2006.  Kyle Busch is ALREADY over HALF-WAY to Harvick's total, with six months of racing still to come.

I realize Kyle Busch isn't exactly lacking for media coverage lately, but Kyle - and really all of today's drivers - get short-changed the way NASCAR refuses to acknowledge the vastly different landscape of today's NASCAR vs. that of the 1950s and 1960s.
9 Comments | Add a comment   category: NASCAR
 
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photogr
May 11, 2008
9:42 AM
The one question I have is Who can challenge Kyles dominance as of late.

Dwindy1
May 11, 2008
9:46 AM
Thanks for the information JJ...

A lot of work here.

NiqueDodson
May 11, 2008
11:17 AM
Wow!!! As new NASCAR fan this is exactly the kind of stuff I need. It's not that easy putting things into perspective just reading the NASCAR page and sometimes other long time fans don't have the patience to explain to an #### like me. I really really liked this. More please.

I have my Kyle Busch blog up if you could please take a look.

Hanahan
May 11, 2008
2:44 PM
JJD...NASCAR seems like they would like to distance themselves from the old days. They refer to the 'modern era', 1971-present, for some of their accomplishments. It is ridiculous that a 100 lap race in the 1960s on a 1/4 mile greyhound race track in Moyock, NC counts the same as the Daytona 500 in the win list. But, what would you have NASCAR do? They're not going to just delete all those wins from the 50s and 60s. The Petty fans alone would cry bloody murder.

The NFL, NBA, and MLB all recognize records and stats from before NASCAR's time. Those games have changed unbelievably also. Joe DiMaggio didn't have to face fresh, relief pitchers during his streak. It's a lot easier to hit a pitcher after you've already faced him 3 or 4 times, and he's tired.

I doubt NASCAR will ever count all wins the same in the three national series. I don't think they should. Cup wins should be more respected than NW or CTS.

JayJayDean
May 11, 2008
2:55 PM
I doubt NASCAR will ever count all wins the same in the three national series. I don't think they should. Cup wins should be more respected than NW or CTS.

I'm not saying they should count the same in EVERY context - I just think they should count them all sometimes for comparison's sake - your Daytona 500 comparison being a perfect comparison. It's not a black-and-white thing, but there can be at least some equalization there between eras.

The idea that Richard Petty's 27 wins in 1967 is considered the all-time record is a joke, when you look at today's NASCAR Sprint Cup Series. However if you open things up, like looking at the King's wins or looking at all of the races today in the three series, it doesn't become any less impressive, but it adds a bunch of context that wasn't there when you just take the record at face value.

JayJayDean
May 11, 2008
3:01 PM
More please.

Plus, since this ties into Hanahan's comment, too, here are parts 1-4.

Part One
Part Two
Part Three Follow-up
Part One
Part Four

HotfootLori
May 12, 2008
7:25 PM
I'm tryin to digest all of this.

So, the last list of total wins is extremely impressive because most of those are pre-72. Except for what, 7 of them?

Let's look at Kevin Harvick's win total of 14 in 2006 ... nine of those are from Busch. Wow. Then, look down at DW's total of 13 in 1982 (first year of Busch) and he only had ONE win. I'd say DW's total is more impressive. Personal opinion. Harvick had years of running in the Busch league to figure out the set ups/tracks/competition.

Are we ever going to settle the fact of putting wins into context? You've written 5 parts of this issue now. How would a TV announcer, reporter, journalist explain the weight of a 'win total' by putting it into context without giving a detailed explanation such as you've done?

I'm really just asking for your opinion. I get the point and agree, but how should it be changed in the media, etc?

Lisa H
May 12, 2008
8:13 PM
JJ...I commend you on this blog...it was accurate and unbiased. Nicely done.

JayJayDean
May 13, 2008
6:35 AM
I'm really just asking for your opinion. I get the point and agree, but how should it be changed in the media, etc?

Here what I would do (and WILL do, as soon as they pick me to run NASCAR):

- Revise the all-time Cup wins record to 116 to eliminate all of the smaller events the Cup guys of today won't ever run.

- Revise the single-season Cup wins record to 13 for the same reasons.

- Recategorize the King's 200 wins to cover ALL of NASCAR, so that guys who win Nationwide and Truck races are shooting for 200 if they want.

I don't think anyone gets shortchanged on that deal. You can ALWAYS put a guy's career into the right context if you look at ALL of the facts. I guess I'd ask you to give me an example so I can tell you how I'd deal with it.

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JayJayDean
I'd rather the Nextel Cup champion be decided over the entire season, but I think if you are going to have a Chase for the Nextel Cup, you should break out the twelve guys and have them scored separately, so I'm tracking the points both ways. I also strongly advocate a NCAA football playoff, so there will be some posts about that showing up here, although I have written this blog for over a year and haven't gone there yet. I can be reached via e-mail or AIM at jayjaydean at gmail dot com. free counter
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