JJD's NASCAR and other stuff blog
by: JayJayDean
A win is a win is a win? (Part Two)
Mar 14, 2008 | 7:32AM | report this
In an earlier post, I touched on how frustrating it is to me that NASCAR - when it comes to records - treats today's races and yesterday's races as though they are all equals.  When NASCAR changed the structure of the Winston Cup Series in 1972, the schedule looked very similar to today's schedule.  Gone from the calendar were the Twin 125s at Daytona, changed to non-points qualifying races, and 100-mile races with tiny fields at short-tracks like Hickory, Columbia, and Asheville.  In 1971, Bobby Allison won five races in a row, officially.  No doubt, the first four were impressive - the World 600, a 500-miler at Dover, a 400-miler at Michigan, and a 400-miler at Riverside - with forty car fields in each race.  These races, except Riverside, are all on the schedule today just as they were in 1971.

On his way back from Riverside, Allison stopped in Houston, where he beat thirteen other cars to win the Space City 300.  Now, after the schedule change the smallest field in a Cup race was 22 cars.  Yet, NASCAR puts Bobby Allison's Houston win - a glorified exhibition - on the same level as a Daytona 500 or World 600 victory.  In the grand scheme of things, Allison deserves credit for the win, obviously, but to compare Allison's 85 career Cup wins with Jeff Gordon's 81 career Cup wins is ludicrous when the old-timers got to run races that no current NASCAR driver has ever run, doesn't it?

Another case-in-point involves Dale Earnhardt at Daytona.  The Intimidator won twelve Twin 125s, none of which count toward his official total of 76 career Cup victories.  Another legend of the sport - Fireball Roberts - won three Twin 125s (although they were 100-milers back in the day) - and those DO count toward his total of 33 career wins.  How is that fair?

The king of all NASCAR records belongs, of course, to the King, Richard Petty, who won 200 races in his incredible career.  However, the year before the schedule changed, there were 48 official races, and while the King won 21, those wins included several shorter events like his win at Hickory, which was a 100-mile race that took less than ninety minutes to finish.

Inagine if Babe Ruth had hit 1000 home runs, but those included games on tiny fields against minor-league competition, and in - pick a random year - say 1952, baseball decided that from that moment forward, those home runs weren't counting any more going forward, but they WERE counted going backward.  How would anyone reasonable expect a player from today's game, competing against only the best competition, to even approach the Babe's record?  That's the approach NASCAR actually takes with their records, and I think it is time for them to be realistic about what is a "Cup win" and what isn't.

In my previous post, I had advocated NASCAR making a bigger distinction between NASCAR's "good ol' days" and the modern era - making a cut-off in the statistics, as of 1972.  Doing so would create this wins list (here's the top-ten):

Darrell Waltrip    84
Jeff Gordon        81
Dale Earnhardt     76
Cale Yarborough    69
Richard Petty      60
Bobby Allison      55
Rusty Wallace      55
David Pearson      45
Bill Elliott       44
Mark Martin        35


That seems reasonable, right?  It doesn't seem to short-change the legends of NASCAR's past, as they are still solidly in the top-ten.  It accounts for the time when the racing conditions were the same - thirty-odd races a year, bigger fields in EVERY race, the same guys generally competing week after week.  Seemed solid enough to me.

But then I got to thinking about it.  NASCAR didn't start running the Daytona 500 in 1972 - it has been around since 1959, and it hasn't really changed.  The Southern 500 is even older than the Daytona 500, and they have been running 500-lap races at Martinsville and Bristol since well before they changed the schedule.  Richard Petty's 1971 Daytona 500 win shouldn't "not count" just because it was before 1972.  In fact, making a cut-off at the beginning of NASCAR's "modern era" WAS short-changing the legends of the sport.

Coming up:  Is the King still "the king"?  How many wins SHOULD the King and other legends of the sport have, exactly?  Can we make an apples-to-apples comparison going back to NASCAR's beginning?  I'll give it a shot.
52 Comments | Add a comment   category: NASCAR
 
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HotfootLori
Mar 14, 2008
8:22 AM
Love this!!

Also, can you perhaps tackle one thing in your next installment? I was just wondering about your take on the cars/engines they run back then, as regards to now. I mean, they got to run some badazz V12's and so on back in the day.

Forensic2
Mar 14, 2008
9:11 AM
Great stuff JJ. Someone else that thinks the same about compairing drivers from late to now and you can add championships to that list.

JayJayDean
Mar 14, 2008
9:21 AM
you can add championships to that list.

See - I don't think comparing championships is a problem. Each season started out with its own criteria and the championship winner is the one that did the best. Richard Petty won seven titles based on each of those seasons,, just like Dale Earnhardt. The Chase doesn't make a championship really any different that in any other season to me, even though I don't particularly like it.

OTOH, what defines a "race" has changed greatly over the years, so I think some distinctions need to be made.

klvalus
Mar 14, 2008
9:35 AM
JJD- your next blog sounds like a huge undertaking but if anyone can do it, you can! I agree whole heartedly with your assessment here. Race length and number of competitors has changed wildly over the years and should be taken into account when comparing. I do also agree with you comment back to Forensic about the championships. Championships may not be determined the same way across seasons but as long as they were consistent within the sesason, everyone played by the same rules, making the champ legit.

GOOD HEADY STUFF!

HoosierRacer13
Mar 14, 2008
9:49 AM
JJD,
The Chase HAS changed the value of a championship compared to ALL the championships before it was implemented. Last year is a perfect example. Jimmie won his second championship because he was the BEST POINTS COMPILER for the final 10 races. He didn't earn the most points for all 36 races. Therefore, I respectfully disagree that championship statistics accurately reflect true championship performance as they did when points from every race counted.

JayJayDean
Mar 14, 2008
10:02 AM
The Chase HAS changed the value of a championship compared to ALL the championships before it was implemented. Last year is a perfect example. Jimmie won his second championship because he was the BEST POINTS COMPILER for the final 10 races.

Here's the thing about that, though. All of the teams know what's it is going to take to win the championship. Who knows how Jimmie and Jeff would have raced if the entire season would have counted instead of the Chase. That's purely hypothetical. We DO know that in a couple of years the guys way out in front would tinker with set-ups and things knowing they were IN the Chase, possibly giving up some points along the way. That eliminates the "he got the most points so he should have won the title"-argument for me.

Ultimately, people can put less value on Chase championships, but that is a purely emotional decision.

HoosierRacer13
Mar 14, 2008
10:23 AM
JJD,
Well you are entitled to be wrong - lol. It would be hard to convince anyone who watched Jeff and Jimmie last year that they raced any differently for those 36 races because of the Chase format. Jeff was robbed of a championship by a plan designed only to stem the tide of defections from the NASCAR fan base. However, for me it did just the opposite. I used to never miss watching a race, now I'd rather play golf and just watch the highlights or read about the results. The record of 7 championships is a meaningless statistic to me now and I care only about career victories and winning percentage in terms of evaluating greatness. So you can take your self-righteous I am right and you are just being emotional and stick it where the sun doesn't shine. You are even more arrogant than I remembered.

HotfootLori
Mar 14, 2008
10:42 AM
HR13 ~ thanks for validating JJD's point. Your emotional man-love crush on Gordon has your view of the Championship winner skewed.

The championship was won under the current rules, just as it was back in the day.

april14
Mar 14, 2008
10:55 AM
good blog very interesting and for once i agree with hoosierracer13. it should be the points for all 36 races like back in the day (as jr. says) maybe someday nascar will listen to what the fans really want at least we can hope. have a good day.

JayJayDean
Mar 14, 2008
11:02 AM
It would be hard to convince anyone who watched Jeff and Jimmie last year that they raced any differently for those 36 races because of the Chase format.

Well, that's because one thing NASCAR did that helped that situation was the ten bonus points for each win. I know for a fact that in 2004 and 2005 as the 48 got closer to the Chase they were so far out in front that Chad Knaus goofed around a bit prepping for the Chase. We'll never know what would have happened in those seasons.

Richard Petty's seven championships game under five different point-systems. Are you saying THOSE are less valid than Dale Earnhardt's seven titles? Because that is what you're saying.

HoosierRacer13
Mar 14, 2008
12:35 PM
That's exactly what I am saying. Changes in how a champion is determined change the value of the championship. Richard Petty's 7 championships and all time leading 7 seconds in the championship are not comparable to today's championships. Petty arguably had far superior equipment and fewer teams could run the enitre season when sixty some races were being run. His 200 wins automatically make some neophyte fans think he was the best ever and he wasn't even the best or most talented racer of his era.

HoosierRacer13
Mar 14, 2008
12:41 PM
By the way, just for the record, I'll state again that Sr.'s win total and number of championships also came against weaker competition than exists today (plus a significant number of his wins were because he was quite willing to wreck cars he couldn't beat any other way).

Anyone who doesn't believe there are more driver/car combinations capable of winning on any given Sunday today than in any previous decade has their head buried in the sand. Nothing emotional about my positions, just based on an in-depth knowledge of the sport that I've gained in more than 40 years of following it. So hey Lori STFU - lol.

Last edited by HoosierRacer13 on March 14th at 12:47 PM.

JayJayDean
Mar 14, 2008
1:01 PM
OK - I agree with you on some points but not on others. Let me break down what I'm trying to say vis-a-vis comparing championships versus comparing race wins.

Other sports have under gone similar changes to NASCAR. Major League Baseball has expanded their membership (with repeated expansions) and with international players, the quality of the game. However, when you look at history, whether it is the '20s Yankees or the '50s Yankees or the Big Red Machine or whichever champions you want to pick, their championship is viewed as a legitimate title, just as today's are. I feel the same way about NASCAR - your points about depth-of-field and all that are legit - but the King won by the rules as they were, seven times. Jeff Gordon's won four titles, and while I feel comfortable debating that as a group they are more impressive accomplishments than those of the King or the Intimidator, THOSE guys hold THE record and Gordon still has a chance to reach it because the conditions are basically the same - one year, one champ.

However, for RACE WINS, today's racers are most definitely not on the same playing field. It would like if NASCAR had annually honored a dirt-racing champion and a pavement-racing champion for twenty years, treating them as separate titles, then changed to the one champ per year-format while counting all of those championships as "championships." You would have a hard time winning one title as it is, but trying to chase a record of drivers who could win multiple titles in a year would prove to make the mark harder than it should, like the King's 200

JayJayDean
Mar 14, 2008
1:02 PM
HR13 ~ thanks for validating JJD's point. Your emotional man-love crush on Gordon has your view of the Championship winner skewed.

If THAT is what it is all about - don't worry Hoosier - I'd say it makes your boy Gordon look MORE impressive. You'll see.

HotfootLori
Mar 14, 2008
1:03 PM
HR13 ~ your comments just further validate JJD's points, the wins should be put in some context.

I don't share your opinion, but surely someone with your self-professed intelligence can come up with a better response than something so juvenile as shut up.

I guess not.

HoosierRacer13
Mar 14, 2008
1:08 PM
Lori,
My bad, I forgot for a second you are a Tony fan and thus have no sense of humor. By the way STFU-lol means if was said tongue in cheek. Sorry it went so far over your head. :-)

HoosierRacer13
Mar 14, 2008
1:10 PM
JJD,
I am a Gordon fan BUT I'd feel the same about last year even if the biggest jerk in racing, Tony Stewart, had finished second to JJ after building such a huge lead through the first 26 races. The Chase has ruined the integrity of the Cup championship.

HotfootLori
Mar 14, 2008
1:12 PM
HR13, my bad... how is STFU an acronym for "said tongue in cheek" ?? That really makes no sense.

JayJayDean
Mar 14, 2008
1:17 PM
I am a Gordon fan BUT I'd feel the same about last year even if the biggest jerk in racing, Tony Stewart, had finished second to JJ after building such a huge lead through the first 26 races. The Chase has ruined the integrity of the Cup championship.

Again, that's just your opinion. I'm not saying it is invalid, and I'm not saying plenty of people share your opinion, but it's still just your opinion. There's one Cup champion per year, just like there is one Daytona 500 or Indy 500 champ per year, so measuring those accomplishments against each other (who won more) isn't as futile as comparing NASCAR's all-time wins list, just to be able to take it at face value.

tylerhead24
Mar 14, 2008
1:20 PM
I love this blog, and I like that you're trying to kind of make a distinction between the "good 'ol days" and the modern era. I can't wait until the next blog, I hope you make a list of the top-10 all time meaningful wins.

HoosierRacer13
Mar 14, 2008
1:22 PM
Lori,
Gosh my bad again. I keep forgetting the average adult in this country reads and comprehends at about a 7th grade level. So I'll try again. STFU means something different than STFU-lol. Now you can keep beating a dead horse but you are just re-inforcing my view that 20 fans have no sense of humor (and apparently the same intellectual deficiency that plagues him). Next question please.

Last edited by HoosierRacer13 on March 14th at 1:25 PM.

HoosierRacer13
Mar 14, 2008
1:24 PM
JJD,
"See - I don't think comparing championships is a problem" is just your opinion just so we stay on the same page. Right?

HotfootLori
Mar 14, 2008
1:40 PM
I'm glad I'm not the average adult. My point was, I'm not buying you were kidding, and it was a juvenile remark.

YeeMum_
Mar 14, 2008
1:41 PM
JJD
I appreciate all your work on these things!

Although I am of a mind that stats are just stats and can't predict an outcome, the comparisons that you make are interesting.

As a bonus, sometimes you pick up a sparring partner. :)

I have to side with Lori- I was a bit taken aback when I read the comment.

Last edited by YeeMum_ on March 14th at 1:42 PM.

Dwindy1
Mar 14, 2008
1:56 PM
A lot of work here JJD... Very interesting. I like playing with the numbers and the what ifs when it comes to football and baseball. Keep up the good work. I'll keep reading! Thank you.

BTW HR3... I think Lori is right too... STFU comes through loud and clear. Then you add insults on top of that... Not too cool.

HoosierRacer13
Mar 14, 2008
1:56 PM
YeeMum,
Of course Lori's accusation that I had some kind of #### s. e. x. u. a. l. attraction to Jeff Gordon didn't cause you to be taken back at all. You guys are hilarious when you all group together to try to defend each other. Hilarious and pathetic. My comment was posted to be humorous but, as I said, I should know most 20 fans never take anything I write in a humorous way.

P.S. Just for the record, those small-minded humorless 20 fans should know I could not possibly care less what they think.

Last edited by HoosierRacer13 on March 14th at 1:58 PM.

HoosierRacer13
Mar 14, 2008
2:00 PM
Dwindy,
If I wanted your opinion I would have written you a Foxmail message and asked for it. It was a joke that she over-reacted to just like her boy Tony over reacts to everything.

Dwindy1
Mar 14, 2008
2:09 PM
HR3,

You're very free with your opinions. If you don't want other people's maybe you should follow your own advice for Lori.

Last edited by Dwindy1 on March 14th at 2:11 PM.

HoosierRacer13
Mar 14, 2008
2:16 PM
Dwindy,
Sorry gramps but I do encourage opinions from others as you would know if you read any of my blogs. Yours I don't respect because you don't appear to know anything about my area of expertise which is racing. I don't comment on your blogs about baseball because I know so little about that sport even though I once coached high school baseball. BUT you are still missing the point. Lori and I have commented to each other many times before and I thought we were on a friendly enough basis to joke with each other. Lesson learned. No more attempts to be humorous with her even though I was reacting to her comment about me and Jeff which I assumed was also humorous in intent.

YeeMum_
Mar 14, 2008
2:17 PM
to begin with-
man-love or man-crush has never been a ####-s in my mind.
It us often used when refering to certain fans that really believe their fav QB or Driver or Pitcher, etc are the coolest.

You are digging quite a hole tossing your insults about. I know you really enjoy baiting Tony's fans but it has gotten very old.
Could you bash some other group once in a while just to clear the air?

HoosierRacer13
Mar 14, 2008
2:20 PM
YeeMum,
First, I have also posted humorously cutting remarks about Juan Pablo even though I think he is tremendously under-rated.

Second, if you don't like my comments about Smoke for Brains and his fans, you don't have to read them.

Third, the method to my madness is to illustrate how being outspoken like Tony is annoying.

Here's a suggestion - anytime you see my avatar, DON'T READ MY COMMENT.

Last edited by HoosierRacer13 on March 14th at 2:21 PM.

JayJayDean
Mar 14, 2008
2:21 PM
If I wanted your opinion I would have written you a Foxmail message and asked for it

1. *I* got the joke.
2. Please have the pissing matches on your own blogs.

"See - I don't think comparing championships is a problem" is just your opinion just so we stay on the same page. Right?

Of course. I don't think NASCAR is doing anyone a disservice by comparing championships won like they are with races won.

HoosierRacer13
Mar 14, 2008
2:24 PM
JJD,
Sorry man but trust me, Lori got the joke too. She's just annoyed because I love pointing out all the stupid things Tony says and does.

Tezgm99
Mar 14, 2008
2:31 PM
*yawns*

this is far too complex for me to be reading on a Saturday morning when I'm still half-asleep....but I'm sure it'll make sense in a few hours time.

volfan69
Mar 14, 2008
2:32 PM
I came to read a blog and found Middle School students. I feel that JJD is very capable of defending his view and doesn't need help. HR13 is blunt, so what? Blogs were intended for everyone to be able to express opinions and agree or disagree. If you dish it out, then be willing to receive it back.

JJD, this is a very interesting viewpoint and I hadn't thought about looking at the comparisons this way. I enjoyed the blog you wrote. So, will I also be curicified if I respectfully disagree with your opinion? I'm not saying I do disagree, I'm just wondering if it is allowed.

JayJayDean
Mar 14, 2008
2:40 PM
So, will I also be curicified if I respectfully disagree with your opinion? I'm not saying I do disagree, I'm just wondering if it is allowed.

Disagreement is ALWAYS allowed. I don't really recall crucifying anyone - HR13 were actually having a pretty civil discussion before fifth-grade broke out.

volfan69
Mar 14, 2008
2:51 PM
JJD, you have my utmost respect. Thank you for being such a good guy. I also like HR13. He has a sharp wit like Dave in Indy. Dave is a good guy too, as you know. Have a good day and enjoy the race this weekend. I'll miss it, but Gunny is going to tell me about it Monday.

BTW, I do agree with you. STICKS TONGUE OUT AT HR13. LOL

Last edited by volfan69 on March 14th at 3:06 PM.

HoosierRacer13
Mar 14, 2008
4:34 PM
volfan,
You better not be mean to me. You know I'm a sharp-tongued (AND BLUNT) blogger and I'm sure I could write a hilarious blog about a lovable arsonist from Tennessee affectionately known as "The Torch" - lol.

JOKERSWILD
Mar 14, 2008
6:59 PM
JJ: never really had to many chances to catch your post but glad I stumbled upon this one great write and informative read i'll be adding you to my list of favs - I can remember when they drove cars you could buy from a showfloor and add a roll bar to them the sport has evolved into a sponsership endorsed monster I still love to watch the races but it misses the authentic feel it once had...JW

Last edited by JOKERSWILD on March 14th at 7:00 PM.

williamwilman
Mar 14, 2008
7:48 PM
i actually liked the comparisons you did better the first time around. this is just a modern era list and the one driver who benefits the most from it is DW, because his career basically started at the beginning of the era, and ran full course though a long drawn out farewell. i feel the rest of the drivers that are on the list are either not finished yet(except for mark martin, stick a fork in 'em), finished prematurely, or have the beginning of their career negated because of when it happened. so what becomes the criteria for "real" race status? number of laps? number of participants? length of time it took to complete a race?
also, fitting for a place like bristol, is it fair to have one guy who has mastered a track, compared to a driver who can win anywhere. for instance DW again has almost 15% of his wins at bristol, or a guy like rusty wallace has or 12% of his wins at martinsville. these events only make up 5.5% of the entire schedule.

JayJayDean
Mar 14, 2008
8:08 PM
actually liked the comparisons you did better the first time around. this is just a modern era list and the one driver who benefits the most from it is DW, because his career basically started at the beginning of the era, and ran full course though a long drawn out farewell.

That was my point. The next post will FIX that list. I just didn't want to make one like 10,000-word post with a list on top of it, so I left the teaser at the end. :)


Mar 15, 2008
1:13 PM
rite on jjd

tacoma4x4
Mar 15, 2008
5:32 PM
i agree with jjd and that blog totally,and the comments below it freaking hilarious

bluovl
Mar 16, 2008
11:14 AM
This comparison is just the same as comparing the days of old in NFL or MLB. Look at the equipment that Ruth had to play with compared to today. Were his bats custom made just for him as they are today, was his glove as good as todays, did he have the shoes they use today, was the ball the same, were the fields as well groomed, did he get to fly to the games or endure a grueling bus ride???? The point is you can not compare the past in any sport to today. It is ridiculous to try. Look at the equipment of todays nascar compared to the 50's,60's,70's,80's.... They played by the rules of the day and did what they did. To try to take away their records, no matter the conditions or changes in the sport is wrong. Compare how many of these little boys today could even drive one of those cars from "old days". THERE IS NO COMPARISON. To try to compare it is absurd. Could Gordon, Stewart, or Jr run with Pearson, Petty, or Cale in THEIR equipment??? Doubtful!!!!!!

JayJayDean
Mar 16, 2008
5:02 PM
This comparison is just the same as comparing the days of old in NFL or MLB. Look at the equipment

Did I mention equipment? I think not. That doesn't have anything to do with anything.

williamwilman
Mar 16, 2008
6:10 PM
its not like richard petty is going to take his old 72 dodge up against jimmie johnson's chevy of last year. look at the pit stops too. they used to take eternity compared to today. they raced against other cars and teams of the same era, just like the babe played against other teams with the same equipment he played with.

bluovl
Mar 16, 2008
9:06 PM
No you did not mention equipment. That is exactly why your theory is ludicrous. Look at today's points and wins. Should Bristol count as much as the Daytona 500 or the 600? It's only 250 miles so why score it as a win? Why not say a half of a win? What about the road courses today, the 400 mile races? You do know What thw H e l l who cares. This is ridiculous. Quit whining.

Blake327
Mar 16, 2008
11:04 PM
Well, I read the article and everything on this page from top to bottom. I have to say that I understood the Gordon man crush comment and the STFU lol. It appeared to me, at the time, that you both were just ribbing each other. Apparently there are underlying issues that I havn't read before. JMO.

Apparently my posting was too long winded and only some of it was posted. I deleted it and will have to reply to each subject. The chase, Record wins and Championships.

Great article JJ. This delicious subject has peaked my interest. Have you ever posed your theory to any of the NASCAR expert articles or postings? You know, like DW or Hammond or the other NASCAR reporters blogs? I'd be interested in hearing how they responded to your suggestions.

Last edited by Blake327 on March 16th at 11:23 PM.

JayJayDean
Mar 17, 2008
6:35 AM
Should Bristol count as much as the Daytona 500 or the 600? It's only 250 miles so why score it as a win? Why not say a half of a win? What about the road courses today, the 400 mile races?

You miss the point. Let me spell it out for you.

The race at Bristol has essentially been the same race since 1961. Of course it should count.

50-mile sprint races with tiny fields shouldn't count - in the SAME context as the Bristol race or the Daytona 500. I'm not saying they shouldn't count at ALL, but Jeff Gordon (or Jimmie Johnson, Tony Stewart, or your favorite driver) shouldn't be trying to reach some unattainable record inflated by races they won't ever get to run, including some they STILL run but DON'T count any more - i.e. the Gatorade Duels.

I don't think the changes in equipment in time are particularly relevant to the topic, because the guys ran they equipment they had at the time.

You do know What thw H e l l who cares.

Nobody MADE you read it, you know.

williamwilman
Mar 17, 2008
7:04 AM
i care

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JayJayDean
I'd rather the Nextel Cup champion be decided over the entire season, but I think if you are going to have a Chase for the Nextel Cup, you should break out the twelve guys and have them scored separately, so I'm tracking the points both ways. I also strongly advocate a NCAA football playoff, so there will be some posts about that showing up here, although I have written this blog for over a year and haven't gone there yet. I can be reached via e-mail or AIM at jayjaydean at gmail dot com. free counter
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