KEEPING SCORE
by: J-DIZZLE
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The Key To Stopping the Hornets. Hint: It's not CP3
May 09, 2008 | 12:09PM | report this

It's obvious that Chris Paul has had a storybook season. He's one of the best point guards in the league right now and his team has entered the ranks of the elite primarily because he is such a great decision maker on the floor and gets his teammates involved in ways that make it easy for them to put the ball in the bucket.

In a nutshell, he's a 6-foot-2 Magic Johnson. And he performs like him because he's being coached by Magic's former teammate Byron Scott, who's instilled a little bit of Showtime in the New Orleans Hornets' system.

But what makes the Hornets great? What makes them difficult to defend? And above all, what makes them the complete and balanced team that they are, causing the defending champions to dig deeper into their strategic arsenal more than ever before?

A lot of it is due to Paul's floor leadership and a lot of it can also be attributed to the emergence of power forward David West as an All-Star performer. Paul and West provide the offense with that perfect inside-outside combo.  A one-two punch, a la John Stockton-Karl Malone, if you will.

West can hit the mid range. He has a low post game. He can dribble drive. Meanwhile, Paul is all over the floor doing his thing. And his outside shot is vastly improving. Then you add a high flying center like Tyson Chandler and all of a sudden you have someone to take the load off your Big Two who grabs all the rebounds, blocks all the shots, solidifies the paint, and catches all the alley-oops.

But the player who brings it all together is Peja Stojakovic. While CP3, West, and Chandler fulfill their roles on a nightly basis, it's Peja who stretches opponents' defenses. It's Peja whom you have to chase around to make sure he doesn't drop three point daggers all night long. It's Peja whom you have to worry about because once he gets going, it opens up the entire floor for CP3 to create and find his other players for even easier buckets.

But when you stop Peja from doing his thing, chances are you'll defeat the Hornets with little problem. The Hornets have lost 11 games this season (including last night's loss to the Spurs) to some of the most competitive teams in the NBA and the numbers are revealing.

11/9/07: San Antonio 97, Hornets 85 - Peja 2 pts on 1-6 shooting; Paul 18 pts and 9 assists

11/7/07: Portland 93, Hornets 90 - Peja 5 pts on 2-13 shooting; Paul 18 pts and 12 assists

11/23/07: Utah 99, Hornets 71 - Peja 3 pts on 1-6 shooting; Paul 15 pts and 6 assists

12/14/07: Dallas 89, Hornets 80 - Peja 10 pts on 4-11 shooting; Paul 22 pts and 3 assists

1/9/08: Lakers 109, Hornets 80 - Peja 9 pts on 4-11 shooting; Paul 32 pts and 5 assists

2/4/08: Utah 110, Hornets 88 - Peja 10 pts on 5-9 shooting, Paul 6 pts and 6 assists

2/22/08: Houston 100, Hornets 80 - Peja 8 pts on 3-10 shooting; Paul 14 pts and 11 assists

2/23/08: San Antonio 98, Hornets 89 - Peja 11 pts on 3-9 shooting; Paul 27 pts and 4 assists

2/25/08: Washington 95, Hornets 92 - Peja 11 pts on 4-16 shooting; Paul 22 pts and 8 assists

3/8/08: Houston 106, Hornets 96 - Peja 13 pts on 5-14 shooting; Paul 37 pts and 11 assists

5/8/08: San Antonio 110, Hornets 99 - Peja 8 pts on 2-7 shooting; Paul 35 pts and 9 assists

Final Tally: 11 losses - Peja 8.1 ppg, 35-112 field goals, 31% versus season averages of 16.1 ppg and 44% FG's

Meanwhile Chris Paul, who averaged 21.1 ppg and 11.6 apg during the season, still averaged 22.4 ppg and 7.6 apg in those 11 losses, which were games against very solid teams. 

Notice how the Hornets only averaged 86 pts per game in those losses, which is down significantly from their regular season team average of 100.9 ppg. They gave up 100.5 in the 11 games, suggesting that if opponents contain Peja the Hornets' offense staggers and become a little more predictable and easier to defend.

Also notice that in the losses, Chris Paul's assist production slipped by 4 per game. Well... surprise, surprise!! In this case, the numbers sure don't lie! Those four assists that Paul lost each game add up to be about 8-10 Stojakovic points. Add those 8-10 points to Peja's average of 8.1 ppg in those losses and wala, you wind up with Peja's normal averages of 16-18 points per contest when the Hornets win games.

This observation is not a coincidence folks. I'm sure the San Antonio Spurs' coaching staff noticed this trend from their scouting reports and especially after analyzing their  first two games of the series.

Next thing you know, Coach Gregg Popovich makes the adjustment of the series and switches defender deluxe Bruce Bowen back on Stojakovic. Coincidentally enough (or not) Peja has a bad game.

The defending champions have finally  won a game. They have figured some things out. They have exposed the major weakness of the New Orleans Hornets . The Spurs have now forced their young challengers to make an adjustment and rethink their strategy. 

We have a series. It's playoff time.

 

20 Comments | Add a comment   categories: NBA, NBA Playoffs, New Orleans Hornets, San Antonio Spurs, Chris Paul, Peja Stojakovic, David West, Byron Scott
 
What the Spurs need to do to quiet Hornets' Buzz
May 04, 2008 | 11:25PM | report this

If Gregg Popovich and the San Antonio Spurs want to make a series out of this, he obviously has some adjustments to make.

 

The Spurs were slow in defensive rotations in the second half of their 101-82 loss to the Hornets, causing David West to pick them apart at the seams. The All-Star power forward scored in all ways imaginable. Mid range jump shots. Left handed hook shots. Dribble Drives. Turnaround 17-footers with a hand in his face. And-ones. West, and not Chris Paul, was the key to the whole game.

Had the Spurs doubled West early in each of the Hornets' possessions, it would have forced Paul, who had an off night shooting, to make other decisions. Decisions that may not have panned out for New Orleans. Keep in mind that San Antonio was up by 11 early on. So how come they could not maintain the lead?

Because while West was warming up, they did nothing to make sharpshooter Peja Stojakovic take tough shots. Stojakovic had open looks all night. The defending champions need to stick Bruce Bowen on Peja because it's the threat of Peja that opens up the entire game for CP3 and the rest of the team.

Popovich erred by putting Bowen on CP3. You can't treat New Orleans like the Suns. The tactic worked on Steve Nash because Nash is not as great as everyone thinks. Nash is soft and he gets rattled easily in the playoffs. So it's a tremendous advantage to put a physical player like Bowen on him. But on a player like Paul, it won't matter because Paul is too quick and too good a player to let Bowen frustrate him.

Pop should stick with the basics. Let your best counter weapon Tony Parker guard CP3. Parker is quick enough on his feet to keep up with him. Plus Parker makes CP3 work on the defensive end. He scored 23 on him so that should tell you something.
You keep Bruce on Peja so he can be physical with him and wear him down. That's how the Lakers kept beating Sacramento between 2000-2003 when Peja was in his prime. L.A. used Rick Fox to outmuscle him, frustrate him, and take him out of his comfort zone. San Antonio should do the same.

Then you take the same tactic that NO is using on Tim Duncan and use it on West. Double him with Kurt Thomas/Fabricio Oberto and Manu Ginobili, who is good at stripping the ball. You can afford to use Manu to sag off of Morris Peterson or Bonzi Wells because I don't think either of those guys can be consistent enough to be a threat all series. This allows Duncan to stay on Tyson Chandler, thus preventing any CP3-to-Tyson alleyoops.

 

And once Duncan starts to find his groove, Chandler will be neutralized and will probably be in foul trouble. At the same time, Chandler won't be putting up numbers like he did on Saturday. Because West was basically going nuts, Tyson pulled down a quiet 15 boards.

Let Chris Paul score 35 because he won't beat you by himself unlike the great Kobe Bryant can. Paul scored 32 against the Lakers in January at New Orleans and the Lakers blew them out by 29! West shot 7-17, Peja shot 4-11 and they combined to score only 28 points. This is how you beat the Hornets.
You have to wear down the Hornets physically. You have to make West and Peja work for tough shots. You have to make the Hornets defend, and you have to get them in the penalty early in the quarter. 

If the defending champions want to have the right to play the Los Angeles Lakers in the Western Conference Finals, they have to take a page out of the Lakers' scouting report in order to make their series against New Orleans a competitive one.

 

Otherwise, Coach Byron Scott is going to make a trip back to his hometown in a couple of weeks.

8 Comments | Add a comment   categories: San Antonio Spurs, New Orleans Hornets, Los Angeles Lakers, Tim Duncan, Chris Paul, Manu Ginobili, David West, Tyson Chandler, Steve Nash, Bruce Bowen, NBA, NBA Playoffs
 
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ABOUT ME


J-DIZZLE
UC IRVINE graduate and proud to be an ANTEATER. My claim to fame is having played against the likes of Tayshaun and Tommie Prince, Jacque Vaughn, and Charles O'Bannon, plus getting dunked on by Schea Cotton in a CIF second round match in the nineties. WIDELY KNOWN on FOX as one of the most biased LAKER HOMERS in blog history, highly criticized for hating on the PHOENIX SUNS fan base, and has been told on more than one occasion that LAMAR ODOM isn't worth the suit he's wearing. Believe that "excellence is not an act but a habit." Believe that the things you do and the things you don't do, they all send a message. Believe that in order to know the world one must first know thyself. And believe that it's the journey not the destination. Finally, as the great Bruce Lee once said, "Man - he is constantly growing and when he is bound by a set pattern of ideas or way of doing things, that's when he stops growing." This is the Way of the Dragon. Embrace it.
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