Two weeks ago I received the best news of the summer - my tickets for the Chili Bowl Midget Nationals arrived in the mail.

The Chili Bowl is racing's answer to the Super Bowl.  Legendary promotors Emmet Hahn and Lanny Edwards have spent the last 21 years building the annual event into a spectacle.  Held each January in Tulsa, the Chili Bowl draws all sorts of drivers (known and unknown) including Tony Stewart, JJ Yeley, Kasey Kahne, Sammy Swindall, Brady Bacon, Josh Wise, Danny Lasoski,  and Tim McCreadie. 

Preliminary wins earn a driver's way into the Mains run on Saturday, with the Golden Driller trophy awarded at the end of the A Main Saturday night.  Last year, Tony Stewart won his second Golden Driller.

So, I'm excited to spend a week in Tulsa this January watching great drivers try to master an indoor 1/4 mile track. 

After all, by that point football will be over, and I'll be two months into racing withdrawal and the Daytona 500 will still be a month away.  Bring on the fumes!

Bad Boys:  Kurt Busch - On Friday night, Kurt Busch had a literal "run-in" with a traffic control person at the "Cars" premiere at Lowe's Motor Speedway.  Apparently, Busch was following a police escort when the traffic controller tried to stop Busch's car by stepping in front of it.  (maybe he wanted an autograph?)  Busch brushed by, grazing the man's knee.  The man's knee was checked out after he finished work about 15 minutes later.  Nothing further will happen as a result of the incident, as it appears no one knows who should do something about it - Nascar claims it wasn't their event, track security was not contacted, and the local authorities can't do anything without a report. 

Not to be out-done by his brother's second run-in with traffic control laws, Kyle Busch drug a Nascar official away from the ambulance after a caution flag. Casey Mears slid to start crash, which culminated in Busch violently crashing into the wall.  Busch was so disgusted with Mears that he pulled the official from taking him to the ambulance and threw his HANS device at Mears.  This happened in the same week Busch pled guilty to improper driving in Richmond, VA.

Bad Luck:  Tony Stewart crashed twice this weekend - first in the Busch race on Saturday, and then in the Cup race on Sunday.  At this time, he has a broken right shoulder.  Will this slow down his extracurricular driving activities?  In addition to his Cup duties, he has more Busch races on-tap, a Modified race in New Hampshire in July, and the Prelude to the Dream Late Model race at Eldora next week.  And that's just what he's told us about ...

Kevin Harvick, who has been solidly in the top 10, had another bad race, following his trouble at Darlington.  Harvick had a tailpipe that broke, which caused him to be stuck in the garage for several laps.

Is it me or does Jeff Gordon have the same undiagnosed mechanical problem every other race? 

Bad Endings:  The Indy 500 was a bad ending for the Andretti family - leading the race going into the fourth turn, Marco Andretti looked destined to win the race as a rookie.  However, Sam Hornish had other ideas and took the race at the line.

Scott Riggs was leading the Coca-Cola 600 when he had problems in the pits that probably cost him the race.  The only solice had to be that his teammate won (although that might be more like salt in an open wound).

Jimmie Johnson finished second in the 600.  Given his domination at Lowe's over the past few years, second has to feel strange.

Random thoughts on racing:  whether horses or cars....

Horses:  Barbaro, the Kentucky Derby winner, fractured his leg in two places during the Preakness.  The injury is life-threatening.  It was interesting how the announcers couldn't decide whether to downplay the life-threatening nature of it or make that the story.  Lost in all this was a great run by the winner Bernardini.

The first indication this was serious was that Prado, Barbaro's jockey, was horribly upset.    Reminded me of Dale Jr. running through pit road/ garage area after the Daytona 500 crash involving his father in 2001.  It didn't feel right for all the wrong reasons.

On a related issue, how should the news cover injuries in racing (or any sport)?  At times, they gloss over the issue, and other times seem fixated on it.  For example, with Tony Stewart at Talladega in the Busch race a couple weeks ago, TV stayed with the car, even though it was upside down.  Stewart was OK, but would they have done the same if he weren't?

Horsepower:  The repaving at Lowe's coupled with the new hard tire was supposed to result in better racing.  Nascar, for added aggravation, reduced the size of the fuel cell. 

After last night's All-Star Crash Fest (a term stolen from Stewart), I'm not convinced the new surface, tire or fuel cell is going to mean less problems on track.  Did it slow the cars and prevent "runs" on the car leading?  No.  

In fact, the smaller fuel cell caused more pit stops, which created more incidents on track  getting through traffic to pitroad.  Additionally, the track surface makes passing difficult (and treacherous), so the real race is on/off pit road, not on the track.  All this happened with about 1/2 the number of cars we have next week.  And these drivers are winners and veterans.  Next week we add a few rookies and drivers saddled with some sub-par equipment.

The loose condition of the cars caused several sliding sideways incidents.  Last year's 600 had 22 caution periods.  I think this year could generate  more...

The Nextel Open and the final segment of the challenge were boring - the lead car had checked out.  There have been closer finishes at other tracks.  Will age and weather on the surface help?  Yes.  But in the mean time, we've got what we've got.

Hornish:  Sam Hornish has the pole position for next Sunday's Indianapolis 500.  His teammate Helio Castraneves starts second, and defending Indy 500 champ Dan Wheldon completes the front row.  Danica Patrick starts 10th, and Marco Andretti out qualified his Dad, Michael.

Hornish has not won the 500, but he drives for Roger Penske, who has won as an owner 13 times.  Hornish desperately wants to win the 500.  He has been thwarted by misfortunes of his own making and of chance.  He once commented that he thought about leaving the IRL to race in Nascar, but he decided he'd rather be known as an Indy 500 winner.  Hopefully Sunday is his day - as you have to love a guy who knows what he wants and passes up on more money and/or exposure to achieve his dream. 

Hair: Was it me, or was Jeff Gordon sporting a five o'clock shadow after the All-Star crash fest? He's usually very clean shaven, and this wasn't  very long or bad, but it was a bit more noticeable than usual.   Is he lobbying for a razor deal, copying Stewart, or was the one mile drive from his shop to the track so time consuming he didn't have time to shave?

Hotheads:  The All-Star race typically generates at least one feud.  Last year, it was Joe Nemenchek and Kevin Harvick.  This year, it looks like Tony Stewart and Matt Kenseth are back at it after their Daytona spat.  Kenseth blamed Stewart for their crash, but conceeded that he may have caused the wreck.  Stewart, after hearing Kenseth's remarks, proclaimed that Kenseth was "screwed up in the head" if he believed that Stewart caused the crash.  One commentator believed Stewart cut a tire, but no one seems to have confirmed that, and I haven't heard that explaination since.

Things that make you go Hmmm:  Lowe's and Jimmie Johnson have both re-upped their contracts with Hendrick Motorsports.  Last time, Lowe's, Johnson, and Chad Knaus re-upped at about the same time.  This time, Knaus said he had not discussed a contract extension with Hendrick.  Hmmm....

This week, Tony Stewart announced that he was going to host a Sirius satellite radio show next year.  His co-host will be Matt Yocum.  For a guy who hates the media attention (he has a few blow ups/ camera incidents to prove it) and occasionally decries its invasion into his life, this seems like a big wet French Kiss with his sworn and hated enemy.   Hmmm...

Kurt Busch donated $1 million to Victory Junction Gang Camp.  This is commendable and will give many children the opportunity to attend the camp.  Call me a skeptic, but why has it taken him so long to get on-board with this program?  VJGC has been raising funds for several years (ie since 2001), and in fairness, Busch may have donated time, memorabilia, or money in the past.  However, I do not recall seeing his name affiliated with it before now.  I don't recall him being involved in charitable things period.  Most other drivers have long standing foundations, or charities they donate to.  Roush Racing, Busch's prior car owner,  is a big proponent of Speedway Children's Charities.   Why do I feel this is a PR gesture more than a heart felt one? Hmmm...

While on the charity front, Kyle Petty was voted in as the fan's choice for the All-Star event.  Kyle's sponsor, Coca-Cola, promised to donate $250,000 to Victory Junction if Kyle was voted in.  Additionally, Kyle promised to donate his winnings, which were around $125,000.  Kyle's other sponsors were going to chip in additional pledges, so the total should be well over $400,000.  Not bad for one night's work.  Why didn't other drivers step up to the challenge?   Hmmm...

The brouhaha and anticipation for the Indianapolis 500 has started - and the race isn't for another 3 weeks.

Indianapolis Motor Speedway publicizes the race as "The Greatest Spectacle in Racing."  And it very well may be.  It is one of the few races that even non-race fans know about and watch.  When I was growing up, I thought it was the only race in the world.  It never crossed my mind that the drivers and teams may race at other times of the year or on other tracks.  Who needed other races when there was the Indianapolis 500?  I now know that there are many people who still feel this way, either through ignorance or preference.  I'm not sure that they are entirely wrong.  There is something about the month of May in Indianapolis at the race track that plays on the psyche.

To the average non-gearhead, the race is the main thing.  However, the Indy 500 really runs thoughout the month of May.  The drama of bumping cars out of the race and changing cars doesn't have anything to do with race day.

Here is a brief primer on what happens at the track during the month of May, and what you should be watching for:

Opening Day:  Today (May 7th) was the first day of cars on the track.  The Rookies and those who needed to "Refresh" their racing skills were working on the four skills/speed tests.  So far, both Marco Andretti and PJ Chesson have completed their rookie tests.  The remaining rookie in this year's race is Arie Luyendyk Jr.  Marco's father, Michael is "refreshing" his skills, despite numerous starts as his last start was in 2003.  Michael Andretti has never won the 500 despite 14 attempts.  Marco's Grandfather is Mario Andretti, who won the 500 in 1969.  Luyendyk's father (Arie Luyendyk) won the 500 twice, but has been retired for a few years. 

Pole Day:  Pole Day is set for next Saturday, May 13th.  There are 38 entries with 66 cars registered for the 500.  A driver can try to time in with more than one car.  This is different than what Nascar does each week - the driver is entered and can only run 1 car.  Imagine if Jeff Gordon could qualify one car then decide he wanted to try another car to get the pole.  However, if you elect to try another car, you lose the first car's qualification run.   Pole Day is the only day the pole position is available.   Qualification is based upon the average speed/time of four laps.  Thus, a mistake on just one corner will bog down your average time.  This is what happened to Danica Patrick last year - one bauble cost her the pole position - actually cost her a start in the front row.  Even though bumping can go on for the other positions throughout the remaining days of qualifying, once on the pole at the end of Pole Day, you are set in the field and cannot be bumped.  There are only 33 positions in the 500.  If you qualify 34th, you will be going home without racing.

Second Day & Third Day:  Second Day and Third Day 1 are other days of qualifying.  It is scheduled for May 14th and May 20th.  Again, bumping the slowest car from the field can happen on these days.

Bump Day:  Bump Day is scheduled for May 21st. It is the last chance to qualify for the 500.  Once 33 cars have qualified, the 34th car to qualify is trying to "bump" the slowest car out of the field.  Obviously, that car wants to do well enough to not be the one on the hot seat for the 35th car to qualify.  In 2005, the rule was changed to allow bumping on every qualifying day.  Otherwise, bumping only occurred on Bump Day.  But Bump Day can be exciting - it isn't until the time is up at the end of Bump Day that the field is set for the race. 

Carb Day or Carburetion Day:  Carb Day is the opportunity for cars to run in their race trim instead of their qualifying trim.  A first look at who will be strong under racing conditions.

Past winners competing this year:  There are 6 prior winners competing in this year's 500.  Two of them "unretired" for this race.  Al Unser Jr. and Eddie Cheever Jr decided that the 90th running of the 500 was a race not to miss.  Other past winners in the field include Dan Wheldon (2005), Buddy Lazier (1996), Buddy Rice (2004), and Helio Castroneves (2001, 2002).

Danica Patrick:  It seems she has been on TV everywhere promoting her autobiography.  While it is nice to see a woman racing at this level, Patrick is not necessarily a trailblazer.  Given the publicity she received, one would think no woman has every qualified for the 500 before.  In fact, Janet Guthrie qualified 3 times, Lynn St. James qualified for the 500 seven times, and Sarah Fisher qualified five times.  Fisher has the fastest qualification laps for a woman, even though Patrick qualified in a better starting position.

Who's Hot:  Helio Castroneves has been scorching the competition thus far.  His teammate Sam Hornish Jr. is desperate to win the 500.  Hornish has commented that the main thing he wants to accomplish in his career is to win the 500.  The pieces should be in place as the Penske team looks to have it all together this year.  Dan Wheldon is having a great season even though he changed teams from Andretti Green to Ganassi.

Who Knows?  Anthony Foyt IV will be back in Indy cars at the 500, driving for his grandfather, four time winner AJ Foyt Jr.  Larry Foyt,  AJ's son, will also be driving in the 500.  As neither has run IRL races this year, they are wild cards.  Al Unser Jr, Eddie Cheever Jr, and Michael Andretti have also been out of the IRL driver's seat for a period of time.  Andretti is involved with his family team, and Cheever has been running various sports car races to hone his skills.   It remains to be seen if their skills have diminished with their "retirements." 

Doing the Double?  A couple years ago, Tony Stewart and Robby Gordon would try to run the double - the Indy 500 and the Coca-Cola 600.  To accomplish this means that the driver would run 1100 miles in less than 24 hours.  Given the start times for both races, it is unlikely that anyone can complete both races.  The 500 moved its time back to 1 p.m. EST, and there is not enough time to complete the race, fly to Charlotte, and start the other race.  In some ways, this is a shame, as it is amazing that (a) anyone wants to try this (b) that anyone can do this and (c) that no one will ever win these two premier races on the same day.  If the times were changed, who knows who would try it?  Bobby and Donnie Allison drove in it, and Smokey Yunick prepared cars for it.  Could other Nascar drivers be inticed to do it? 

Behind the Scenes:  The month of May ushers in an exclusive club at IMS - those who love the 500, those who have won the 500, and those who have lost the 500 gather at the track.  Not only racing goes on - there are banquets, poker games, deal making, and networking going on the whole time.  It's no wonder that the racing world loves this race.

So when you watch the 500 on television, remember whether you spend a couple minutes or a couple hours watching the race, that there has been something going on in Indy during the month of May.

I've previously commented on "Buschwacking" in this blog.  But an interview with Tony Stewart during last week's Talladega qualifying highlighted the problems with any rule that Nascar tries to promote or change.

Stewart is racing approximately 8 races for Kevin Harvick Inc. in the Busch Series this year.   He also has indicated that he will drive a car for Joe Gibbs Racing in a couple more Busch races.  Last year, Stewart ran a comparable schedule.

Stewart commented before qualifying that he had been reading the opinion pages and the comments by people about Cup racers running in Busch Series races.  He expressed his frustration with the authors, and claimed that he had a "right to work" and thus was able to run in the races.

He does have a point.  The races are open to anyone who has a Nascar license and a car which meets specifications.  I doubt that Stewart needs the money, but he is a driven racer who is game to run anything anytime on any surface. 

The promoters, fans, Nascar, and sponsors benefit from the additional exposure from having a Cup driver run in the Busch race.  This year alone, there are 8 Cup drivers racing the entire Busch Series. 

Because of Nascar's restrictions on testing, the new tire deal which requires teams to turn in unused tires and the new Chase format, the Cup teams want their drivers to run in the Busch Series to gather information for the Cup race.   With the money at stake in Cup racing, who can blame them?

However, on the other side of the coin are drivers like Joel Kaufman, Anthony Foyt and Tracy Hines.  These Busch series regulars were attempting to start their rookie season this year.  However, each has ran into difficulties  and has had his schedule trimmed.  Foyt's team folded into another (Jason Leffler kept the ride), and Kaufman and Hines are now sharing a ride in the FitzBradshaw #12.  Each of these drivers is successful - in other series.  Foyt came from the IRL, and Hines is another open wheeler (primarily sprint cars as I recall).  When drivers like Stewart grab up points, money, seats and sponsorships, there is little left to go around.

Nascar is floating the idea of using sports cars (ie camero, mustang, corvette, challenger, etc.) in the Busch Series.  While this seems like  a good idea as the cars would generate their own group of fans, the costs of changing cars will drive some teams completely out of racing. 

In essence, Nascar will make a whole fleet of Busch cars obselete with a rule change.  I doubt the small one or two car operations can afford that kind of turn over given the small purse size in the Busch series.  If Nascar does this, it needs to implement a slow schedule for change to allow the teams to turn over the cars.  If possible, some races could be run with both types of cars (assuming safety, gear ratio, etc could be worked out).

Another solution that has been alluded to is to limit the number of cars that Cup owners can run in the Busch Series - in other words, Hendrick Motorsports, Joe Gibbs Racing, Roush Racing would be limited to fewer cars.  Currently there is no limit.  Many Cup teams have affiliation with "smaller" Busch teams.  These affiliations help develop drivers for the Cup teams, but there is no reason that Roush should be fielding teams for each of his Cup drivers.

In addition to those ideas, my two cents is to not allow Cup drivers to drive for their Cup team.  In other words, Michael Waltrip would be OK this year because he drives for his own company in Busch, and Bill Davis Racing in the Cup series.  Tony Stewart is fine to drive for Kevin Harvick, but not for Joe Gibbs Racing.   Jamie McMurray is OK to drive for Rusty Wallace Inc as he drives for Roush Racing in the Cup series. 

Would this slow Buschwacking down?  Maybe or maybe not.  I know it would create several problems - which is the point.  We don't need to give Cup teams any more incentive to run in the Busch Series.  This type of rule may make it possible for a smaller team to pick up a Cup driver - which hopefully leads to better sponsorship deals and continues to grow the sport. 

If drivers want the right to work, fine.  But they need to find a second employeer for the Busch race, not the same team that pays them on Sunday.

The News Report:   Joe Gibbs Racing reports that rookie Denny Hamlin gashed open his hand at Lowe's Motor Speedway after testing yesterday.  He was reportedly engaged in a foot race around the hauler when he clipped a piece of chrome causing the injury. Hamlin pointed out that despite the injury, he won the race.  He will be able to race on Saturday.

However, I believe that this story has been cleaned up a bit for the masses. 

Here is what really happened:

Kyle Busch was celebrating his 21st birthday in the victory lane area.  Kyle's brother Kurt and his fiancee Eva Bryan baked Kyle a cake.  Well, actually they bought it at Food Lion. 

During the celebration, Greg Biffle's boxer, Foster, ran into the festivities chased by Nicole Lunders, Biffle's girlfriend.

Foster ran behind Kyle, pushing him face first into the cake.  When Kyle came up out of the cake, he spit cake down the front of Bryan's shirt.  An upset Bryan proceeded to yell at Lunders who had stopped chasing her dog because she was laughing so hard at what had happened.  Naturally, Bryan was even more enraged at all of this, so she grabbed Lunders' hair. 

Humpy Wheeler, the President of Lowe's Motor Speedway, was attending the Busch party.  He was shoved by Lunders and Bryan in their skirmish off of victory lane into Tony Stewart, who was walking by carrying his ####, MoJo.

Stewart caught Wheeler, but dropped MoJo, who promptly ran off toward the garage area.  MoJo caught up to Foster, and jumped on his back.  Stewart and Lunders, who had extracted herself from Bryan, chased the fleeing animals.  Kurt and Eva ran after Stewart and Lunders because they blamed them for ruining Kyle's party.  Kyle, meanwhile, was crying inconsolably in victory lane.

As Stewart and Lunders crossed the first garage, they ran into Kevin and DeLana Harvick and knocked them down.  Stewart yelled apologies and commented that Kurt Busch was chasing him.  Harvick had barely gotten back on his feet when Kurt Busch ran into the garage.   Harvick, upset that DeLana's white pants had gotten oil and grease on them, body slammed Busch as he attempted to run by.  When Busch tried to get up, Harvick grabbed his ear and wouldn't let him.  Eva decided DeLana could hurt her, and instead suggested that they go shopping for a new shirts and pants.

Foster and MoJo continued toward the Joe Gibbs Racing Haulers.  The crew members from the three teams had been packing up to leave.  Denny Hamlin was talking to Greg Zipadelli.  Stewart, who was getting tired, Lunders, Foster and MoJo ran by.  Stewart stopped, collapsed and gasped for breath.  He pleaded for help catching MoJo.  Zipadelli declined as he was watching his son and  daughter, but Hamlin agreed to give pursuit. 

Foster ran over to the #8 hauler, looking for Dale Jr's dog, Killer.  Apparently not finding what he was looking for, he ran on through the garage and then turned back to the Gibbs haulers.

As Foster raced by the Gibbs Hauler, MoJo jumped off his back.  MoJo saw a DLP HD TV playing a video clip of Stewart, so MoJo naturally tried to jump into the televised Stewart's arms.  At this point, Kyle Busch was stumbling around, still upset, trying to find his team.

MoJo's delusion became apparent when he pulled the TV out of its mounting and off the pitbox it was located on.   All this occurred as Kyle walked by.   

Hamlin tried to catch the TV and shoved Kyle out of the way, but the TV  gashed open his hand instead.  And the huge TV landed squarely on Kyle Busch's left foot.   MoJo lost his footing and landed on Kyle's head, screeching.

Stewart, having recovered somewhat from his run, grabbed MoJo and began lecturing Busch on how he was celebrating his 21st birthday in an irresponsible manner.  Or at least, Stewart was until he saw the blood from Hamlin's hand and fainted. 

Kasey Kahne had been watching in amusment while Stewart lectured Busch.  Kahne tried to catch Stewart, but ended up underneath him instead.  Kahne hit his head on the pavement and blacked out.

In the end, Kyle Busch, Kurt Busch, Wheeler, Lunders, Bryan, Hamlin,  Stewart, and Kahne all ended up at the emergency room.  Doctors found minor bruises on the Busch brothers, Lunders, Wheeler and Bryan; Stewart had nothing wrong with him, Kahne was fine given his Talladega injuries, and Hamlin had stitches. 

All parties agreed it would be less embarrassing if Hamlin were the only one who reported injuries.  Nascar is now considering banning wives, girlfriends, pets and HD TVs from the garage area. 

Nascar has mandated that the teams utilize a "soft" bumper at Talladega this weekend.  The rule change is a direct response to the complaints at Daytona about bump drafting.

As you will remember, Tony Stewart was the most vocal after the Bud Shootout that the bump drafting was out of control.  Stewart believed that unchecked, bump drafting in the corners would result in the death of one of the drivers.  In response, Nascar instituted a new rule that bumping a car from behind in the corners would result in a rough driving penalty.  Infamously, Tony Stewart was the first penalty receipient when he bumped Matt Kenseth on the straight away by slamming together the sides of their cars and driving Kenseth into the grass.  Kenseth received his own penalty for bumping Stewart at the end of pit road.  Kyle Busch received a penalty at Daytona for rough driving as well.

In the intervening races, other drivers have been penalized for rough driving.  The new rule probably won't limit Nascar's discretion in penalizing drivers who bump draft at Talladega, but it will increase the odds that the driver doing the bumping could damage his own car in the process.

In essence the rule removes or disallows some of the bracing that teams placed in the nose of the cars.  Previously, the bracing would allow drivers to hit the back bumper of the car in front of them without damaging their own car.  The "softer" bumper will crumple if it impacts another car.  The crumpling could result in radiator damage, and will definitely result in a loss of aerodynamics (which is crucial at Talladega).

Why would a driver want to hit the car in front of him (or bump draft)?  Cars at Daytona and Talladega can travel faster lined up together than any one car can travel by itself.  In other words, a line of three cars will easily over take a lone car on the track.  This is because of the restrictor plate that limits the horsepower via a limit on the fuel-air mixture going into the engine.  The "draft" or stream of air behind a car (which is punching a hole in the air so to speak) allows the second car in line to pull up on the front car.  A bump by that second car on the straight stretch will cause the front car to accelerate, which in turn speeds up the drafting cars.  Bumping a car in the corner, when the steering wheel is not straight, leads to "Big Ones."  Restrictor plates were required at Talladega and Daytona to slow down the cars after several horrific accidents (i.e. "The Big One"). 

Despite the new rule, I think drivers will find a way to bump draft.  The softer bumpers will have some impact on the race,  but the drivers will still be able to bump draft.  The bumpers are not paper, and will survive some contact.   Dale Jr. has already predicted that it will not stop bump drafting, and while Tony Stewart has endorsed the new rule as a step in the right direction, I don't think even he thinks it will eliminate bump drafting.

The more interesting question is which driver will adjust to the new bumper the quickest?  The veterans have raced Talladega before the reinforced bumpers existed, while the new young guns have only raced during the bump drafting hey day.  Dale Jr, Jeff Gordon, and Tony Stewart have figured out restictor plate racing and excell at it.  Jimmie Johnson has created more than his fair share of Big Ones at Talladega, while Elliott Sadler can't seem to stay off his roof or on four wheels.  Dale Jarrett won the last race at Talladega, and Mark Martin always looks good.

Given that it's Talladega, restrictor plate racing, and a new rule, anything can happen, and probably will.