Hoffman's Blog
by: Hoffman
NBA Finals Preview
Jun 04, 2008 | 6:08PM | report this

Red Auerbach versus Phil Jackson, Wilt versus Russell, Magic versus Bird, the NBA’s best offense versus its best defense, the NBA MVP versus the Defensive Player of the Year.

The storylines are endless.

The Los Angeles Lakers and Boston Celtics met twice during the regular season with their last match-up taking place on December 30th of last year.

The Lakers were 19-11 at the time and riding a four game win streak but they were nothing like the team that heads into the NBA Finals with only three playoff losses.

The Lakers have played 52 regular season and 15 playoff games since their last meeting.

Boston has played 53 regular season and 20 playoff games since then.

That’s 67 and 73 games a piece – nearly an entire NBA season (82 games) has passed.

Boston owns homecourt advantage after winning an NBA regular season best 66 games but was pushed to the limit by the 8th seeded Atlanta Hawks and 4th seeded Cleveland Cavaliers in the opening rounds.

Los Angeles captured the Western Conference’s #1 seed in what was arguably the most competitive conference in NBA history – in large part because they were able to acquire Pau Gasol from the Grizzlies in February. With Gasol in the lineup, the Lakers are 33-7 (21-4 during the regular season, 12-3 during the playoffs). [Read]

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Enjoy the NBA Finals!

42 Comments | Add a comment   category: NBA
 
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nba is the worst
Jun 4, 2008
6:28 PM
Hoffman,

I think I liked the version you pulled better.

I submitted a comment and it disappeared!

No prediction for the finals?

I'm going with the Lakers in 5, unless there are referees involved. Then, I'll take the Lakers in 7!

Hoffman
Jun 4, 2008
6:40 PM
nba

I wrote Lakers in 6.

The first version wasn't ready for publication at RealGM.

What did you like about that one?

Last edited by Hoffman on June 4th at 6:43 PM.

SoCalF4N
Jun 4, 2008
6:57 PM
great preview Hoffman. I feel nervous going into this one, Boston found themselves during these playoffs and were definately the most impressive team during the regular season. I think game one will be huge for momentum and confidence. I think this is the dawning of a new era in the NBA and neither team knows who has the advantage.

Hoffman
Jun 4, 2008
7:07 PM
SoCalF4N

Thanks.

I'm a little nervous as a Laker fan too but if both teams play to their potential, I'm confident in a championship for the Lakers.

It would be advantageous to win one of the opening games in Boston but I don't think LA necessarily has to do that to win the series.

More than anything, they need to protect homecourt for the 3 middle games.

Last edited by Hoffman on June 5th at 8:09 AM.

nba is the worst
Jun 4, 2008
7:15 PM
Sorry, I missed the RealGM link for some reason.

Very impressive writing, enjoyed it thoroughly!

Can't wait to see which team is more nervous, I'm thinking the Celts have struggled more in the postseason so may press a bit.

I liked your recap of the predictions, but in hindsight I can see why you pulled them.

Has any media "expert" that you've come across picked the Celts?

Last edited by nba is the worst on June 4th at 7:16 PM.

nwhatdheck
Jun 4, 2008
7:21 PM
Hoff, a nice preview indeed.

I like the way the Lakers overwhelmed their opponents in the Western Conference Playoffs and I am please with their offensive execution. I find their new found defense anchoring on the big men upfront satisfying.

I am convince it would take the Lakers in 6.

Hoffman
Jun 4, 2008
7:22 PM
nba is the worst

Thanks.

I figured I would wait until the Finals are over to recap all of my picks.

If the Lakers end up winning the NBA championship, I'll have a higher percentage of series predicted correctly than I did last season.

The only pick I really regret making was the Mavs over the Hornets.

But I honestly didn't watch the Hornets much over the regular season. That will change next year.

The Cavs were an entirely different team in the NBA playoffs than they were in the regular season.

I expected more from Dwight Howard and Turkuglu against Detroit.

Eddie Johnson, if you want to call him an expert, over at hoopshype picked the C's.

And Tim Legler of ESPN picked Boston.

Those are the only two I can think of.

Last edited by Hoffman on June 4th at 7:23 PM.

Hoffman
Jun 4, 2008
7:28 PM
nwhatdheck

Thank you.

I was pessimistic about LA's chances in the playoffs. I really felt Denver, Utah, and San Antonio would give the Lakers fits.

But they played above my expectations in each one of those series.

I'm excited about the possibility of winning an NBA championship but I'm even more excited for next season.

Inserting a healthy Andrew Bynum into this lineup will be like winning the West and getting the #1 pick in the draft.

DownsA529
Jun 4, 2008
7:32 PM
I pick the Lakers in six because, eventually, fatigue will catch up to the Celtics. They have played 20 out of a possible 21 games so far in the playoffs (versus 15 for L.A.), and how long can you keep the energy up if you're them?

TheSizzel
Jun 4, 2008
7:33 PM
i think jack concannon picked the celtics to win it all.

but who is he?

and why is his name in court papers claiming he bet on NBA games with donaghy?

and if the feds are aware of this. why hasn't this concannon guy been charged with anything?

my, my, my names are slowly popping up. this COULD get messy.

do you think there's any way the feds could round up that philly fraternity of NBA referrees and maybe ask them some questions?

Hoffman
Jun 4, 2008
7:42 PM
DownsA529

I picked the Lakers in 6 because I think that's the maximum games this series will go.

I expect LA to protect homecourt.

If they do that, they'll have the momentum to win game 6.

If they steal game 1 or 2, it could be over in 5.

Boston has struggled on the road in the playoffs and LA is undefeated at home.

Hoffman
Jun 4, 2008
7:48 PM
TheSizzel

Rooster, you're obviously fascinated with the betting scandal. You have been since the preseason.

Why don't you contact the NBA or whoever broadcasts the games locally for the Suns and request a dvd of the game in question?

You know I would if I felt the Lakers were robbed and Donaghy was behind it.

I'm sure the video is available. Break it down and create a youtube video that details all of the bogus calls that were made on May 12, 2007.

I would LOVE to see that blog from you.

Crack the case Sherlock Holmes.

Finals prediction?

Are you sticking with Kobe in 3?

Last edited by Hoffman on June 4th at 7:53 PM.

Hoffman
Jun 4, 2008
8:01 PM
Rooster

I want to see the NBA be transparent about this too.

But it won't happen.

They're only going to reveal what they absolutely have to.

What do you think happened? Do you think other referees manipulated games?

TheSizzel
Jun 4, 2008
8:02 PM
to be honest with you hoffman,

i'm shocked more people arent' up in arms about the "betting scandal" that isn't.

no one even seems to care.

there was an article in the LA time today about what a bettor's paradise this finals could be.

i haven't placed a single bet this NBA playoffs. for the first time in many, many years.

as you know, i did bet on the suns spurs game 3 played may 12, 2007.

and i'm pissed off. i don't trust anything the NBA says.

nothing. it's all BS.

and i am also not a conspiracy theorist. i don't believe that the NBA tries to "set things up" so to speak, you know like big time wrasslin'.

but i do think the product has been garbage the last several years.

and david stern and his people are either too stupid to realize that there is ZERO consistency with the NBA product..........

or else they are in on it.

either way something drastic needs to happen for the NBA to earn my trust again.

the NBA has not been honest with it's fans. we deserve better.

TheSizzel
Jun 4, 2008
8:12 PM
KOBE!! IN 3.

Hoffman
Jun 4, 2008
8:33 PM
TheSizzel

Well, I agree that there's a lack of consistency from the officials (you must love Jeff Van Gundy).

I don't know if the product has been "garbage" the past few years but the game is definitely officiated differently now. Scoring is up because it's next to impossible to keep explosive guards out of the paint.

I don't like that.

I don't like that Steve Nash, who is an extremely skilled basketball player but doesn't possess the strength or athleticism to have made an All-Star team in the late 80's or early 90's (whose spot would he have taken? stockton's? magic's? payton's?) won two MVP's and will be considered one of the greatest point guards of all-time.

As for Stern and company being honest with it's fanbase, they've done a good job of brushing everything under the rug.

They were fortunate to have a return of two of league's most storied franchises and the most competitive conference in NBA history this year.

That made people forget about Donaghy.

I'm telling you, request the video.

And send it to me when you're finished.

Last edited by Hoffman on June 4th at 10:17 PM.

TheSizzel
Jun 4, 2008
8:49 PM
i already know that game was fixed.

why don't you break down the tape.

i'll just wait for the feds to keep rolling out names..............

actually hoffman, i believe that the NBA owns the rights to all it's games. (listen to the disclaimer you know, blah, blah, blah, without the express written consent of the NBA)

so i'll make you a deal.

you use your inside connections and get me a copy of the game, and i will break it down for you.

i promise.

the zapruda films aint got nothing on me.

TheSizzel
Jun 4, 2008
8:52 PM
Any rebroadcast, reproduction or retransmission of the pictures, descriptions and accounts of this game without express written consent.............

i doubt stern is going to release me a copy.

you? maybe.........

Hoffman
Jun 4, 2008
9:16 PM
TheSizzel

I think those restrictions apply to commercial use.

As long as you don't try and rebroadcast, reproduce, or retransmit with the intent of making money off the NBA's product, I think you're good.

Call the Suns local broadcast station and see what they say. If you get a no from them and the NBA, I'll see what I can do.

Cool?

You have my email address.

It would probably make a good blog topic anyways.

Last edited by Hoffman on June 4th at 9:34 PM.

Baby Tate
Jun 4, 2008
10:11 PM
Smilin' Jack Concannon was a good QB in his day.
At this stage it seems reasonable for Celtic fans to pick the Celtics to win and Laker fans to do the same.

ricko
Jun 4, 2008
10:37 PM
First off, I must confess that I once had a football card of Jack Concannon.

It's probably been mentioned earlier, as I didn't read through all the comments, but the Lakers didn't have Gasol in either of the two losses to the Celtics this season.

I picked the Lakers in six. In a nutshell, I look for their depth and coaching to be the deciding factor.

http://www.clap.name/theleague/mean
dovine/

Hoffman
Jun 4, 2008
10:53 PM
Baby Tate

It's no secret that I'm a Lakers fan but I also predicted against them the past two seasons.

Not that it was tough since they were a flawed basketball team both seasons but I'd like to think I'm unbiased.

I assume you're a Celtics fan then?

Last edited by Hoffman on June 4th at 10:56 PM.

Hoffman
Jun 4, 2008
10:54 PM
ricko

Lakers in 6 huh?

I agree, coaching and depth will play significant factors in the outcome.

Last edited by Hoffman on June 4th at 11:16 PM.

Baby Tate
Jun 4, 2008
11:10 PM
The suggestion that I'm a Celtic fan. No, I've spent a great deal of time supporting Johnny Kundla's group and his successors. This is my 7th decade as a follower of the Laker franchise.

Hoffman
Jun 4, 2008
11:14 PM
Baby Tate

John Kundla.

Wasn't he the youngest coach in Lakers history?

I'll have to pull out my copy of Roland Lazenby's 'The Show' tomorrow morning.

If you haven't read that book, it's a fantastic read.

Seven decades of Lakers basketball?

I hope to be as fortunate as you one day Baby Tate.

Last edited by Hoffman on June 4th at 11:15 PM.

DaahRoh
Jun 5, 2008
12:58 AM
Nice read.

It is very hard to call what will happen in this series. It reminds me of the last time that the Lakers were in the finals... everyone was predicting a sweep. Charlie Rosen said "If the pistons get one game, it will be Phil Jackson's way of showing courtesy"...
But this is a different Laker team which gels much better than the one that fell apart in the 2004 finals.

Although, I'm personally rooting for the Celts, I would predict Lakers in 6.

InnocentBystander
Jun 5, 2008
1:16 AM
6 months ago I would have handed the trophy to the Celts. But this isn't 6 months ago. This is a far different team. Mitch made a couple of great trades. Gasol, and let's don't forget Ariza, he could be huge with his defensive prowess on PP and allen. Phil shaped the team, Kobe became a leader that actually likes his mates. THey average 4-1 thru the playoffs after a run to clinch the West top seed.

THe Black Mamba has a vision quest of holding the trophy. He has instilled fire and confidence into his young teammates. They started peaking at the end of the season and have beaten teams that critics said they couldn't. Now the critics are picking the Lakers.

Lakers in 6! or less!!!

TheSizzel
Jun 5, 2008
4:11 AM
Baby Tate
Jun 4, 2008
10:11 PM Smilin' Jack Concannon was a good QB in his day.
At this stage it seems reasonable for Celtic fans to pick the Celtics to win and Laker fans to do the same.


ricko
Jun 4, 2008
10:37 PM First off, I must confess that I once had a football card of Jack Concannon.

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++=<
br>
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jack_C
oncannon

John Joseph Concannon, Jr. (February 25, 1943 - November 28, 2005) was an American football quarterback in the NFL.

___________

NOT THIS JACK CONCANNON. HE'S DEAD.








this jack concannon.

http://www.philly.com/inquirer/spor
ts/19130589.html

That time and place produced, nurtured and showcased generations of basketball talent, from Bobby Lloyd to Fran Dunphy to Jack Concannon, whose name surfaced this week in the Donaghy court case. Concannon was a player at St. Lawrence, Monsignor Bonner, and then St. Joseph's before going back to coach at Monsignor Bonner. According to a filing by Donaghy's attorney, John Lauro, Donaghy and Concannon bet on sporting events, including NBA games, for several years. Concannon could not be reached for comment.

TheSizzel
Jun 5, 2008
4:12 AM
and if the feds are aware that jack concannon was teamed with donaghy in an NBA betting scheme was hasn't he been charged with anything?

TheSizzel
Jun 5, 2008
6:55 AM
i meant to say why hasn't he been charged with anything.

too many unanswered questions hoffman.

54fulltiltfulltime
Jun 5, 2008
7:39 AM
Mr Hoffman

"It would be advantageous to win a game in Boston but I don't think LA necessarily has to do that to win the series"

Umm. I'm no Rhodes scholar here but I'm pretty sure the Lakers have to win at least one game in Boston.

Sorry for being a douchebag. I just couldn't help myself.

Hoffman
Jun 5, 2008
8:10 AM
54fulltiltfulltime

Lol.

Thanks for pointing that out.

I corrected it.

I meant to write that it would be beneficial to win one of the OPENING games in Boston but LA doesn't HAVE to do that to win the series.

Thanks again.

Hoffman
Jun 5, 2008
8:12 AM
DaahRoh

All credit to Detroit in 2004. They were a GREAT team and would have given the Lakers a run for their money in any of their championship seasons.

But that series would have been much different if Karl Malone had been healthy.

The Lakers were killed on the boards.

Hoffman
Jun 5, 2008
8:13 AM
InnocentBystander

Six months ago I would have picked Boston too.

I might have picked Boston if they had met in the opening round too.

But the Lakers are an entirely different team.

Although the Celtics have appeared to get stronger as the playoffs have progressed.

I can't wait for this one to tip-off tonight!

Last edited by Hoffman on June 5th at 8:14 AM.

TheSizzel
Jun 5, 2008
9:48 AM

Hoffman
Jun 5, 2008
11:01 AM
TheSizzel

That was a dirty foul.

Suspension worthy.

I wouldn't be surprised if this series gets physical really quickly.

There will be a lot of proud superstars involved.

I don't care what Kobe and Ray Allen say, their feud isn't "in the past."

BlogCritic_1
Jun 5, 2008
1:34 PM
Not bad and unbiased two thumbs up.

Nostradomus
Jun 5, 2008
3:56 PM
Good stuff. I hate the 2-3-2 format. What is your opinion? The Celtics likely need an advantage to win the series, and with the 2-3-2 format I think it greatly reduces their 'home court' advantage. Puts way too much pressure on them winning the 1st two at home. Even if they win both at home, and then lose 3 at LA, they would have to stave off 2 elimination games at home again. What kind of a reward is that? 2-2-1-1 is the correct way to do it. Nobody should get more than 2 home games in a row. In fact, I would even argue a 1-1-1-1-1-1-1. I'm not making any excuses for the Celtics though. They STILL have home court, and if they lose they have no complaints. If Lamar is the X factor, then is PJ Brown and James Posey the X factor(s) for the Celtics?

Boston in 7.

J-DIZZLE
Jun 5, 2008
4:37 PM
HOFFMAN:

I love that picture of Kobe knifing through the Celtics defense with Pierce appearing helpless (although it does look like it's an old one since Al Jefferson is the other Celtic in the photo).

Anyway, this photo will typify the FINALS. You heard it here first.

And if I'm wrong, I'll be the first to admit it.

But as you know, I have about as much confidence as anyone. It sickening. It's bordering arrogance and some here will even say cockiness. It's all good because those who know me will simply get a laugh and won't take it personal.

Good blog Hoff. I hope you enjoy tonight. Gotta go, it's showtime!

LAKERS in FIVE as the FINAL ASSAULT begins...

Hoffman
Jun 5, 2008
4:43 PM
Nostradomus

Thanks.

I don't think the 2-3-2 format is fair to the Celtics. It doesn't give them as large of a homecourt advantage and after winning 66 games during the regular season, they deserve an advantage in the NBA Finals.

If I had to point to one X-factor for Boston it would be Posey. He's tough, and he's not afraid of the bright lights. He'#### an awful lot of big shots in his career and he won a ring with Miami.

I think he's the only individual defender that can really make things difficult for Bryant.

But if Doc plays him big minutes, he sacrifices offense by sitting Ray or Pierce.

He won't be able to afford to do that with LA's offensive firepower.

Hoffman
Jun 5, 2008
4:45 PM
J-DIZZLE

It's the best photo I could find after going through about 10 pages of Google images.

Enjoy the NBA Finals.

I know you'll keep the faith no matter the outcome.

Baby Tate
Jun 6, 2008
12:09 AM
In the finals each game is its own entity. There is no momentum unless a team goes up 3-0. This is an interesting series for a lot of reasons. May end up being the highest watched Finals in history.

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Hoffman
I love basketball. While many basketball fans enjoy the month of March, I prefer the months of April, May, and June. I look forward to productive chats, heated debates, and honest opinions.

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