Hoffman's Blog
by: Hoffman
Celtics vs. Pistons Preview
May 20, 2008 | 11:59AM | report this

The matchup we’ve all been waiting for.

#1 seeded Boston versus #2 seeded Detroit.

Boston won the season series 2-1.

Game 1

Detroit 87 Boston 85

Chauncey Billups hit two free throws with a tenth of a second left after drawing a foul on Tony Allen to seal the deal for Detroit.

Game 2

Boston 92 Detroit 85

Tayshaun Prince was a non-factor in this contest. Prince was held to 7 points on 3-for-12 from the field and 1-for-3 from the 3-point line.

Game 3

Boston 90 Detroit 78

Boston clinched their playoff birth with this victory as Garnett erupted for 31 points on 13-of-22 from the field.

Matchups

Detroit has an advantage at the point guard (Chauncey vs. Rondo) and center (Perkins vs. McDyess) positions. Boston gets the nod at power forward (KG vs. Rasheed) and shooting forward (Pierce vs. Prince). Shooting guard (Hamilton vs. Allen) is even.

Although he struggled in the previous rounds, look for Doc Rivers to insert Sam Cassell if Billups uses his size in the post against Rondo. Chauncey is two inches taller and outweighs Rajon by 30 pounds. Cassell didn’t have the quickness to stay with Delonte West or Daniel Gibson in the semifinals but Billups doesn’t possess blazing speed. Chauncey’s biggest advantages are his size and his basketball IQ.

Ray Allen shot just 33% from the field and 17% from the 3-point line versus the Cavaliers. Allen works too hard for the slump to continue.

On paper, Boston has the superior bench but it will come down to how well Doc Rivers utilizes the Celtics role players. Leon Powe and Eddie House need to see more action than they saw in the Conference Semifinals.

It’s Boston’s Big Three versus Detroit’s Big Four

But I think the series will be decided by Kevin Garnett versus Rasheed Wallace.

I regard Rasheed as the second most talented player in the game (right behind LeBron James). The NBA has never seen a player with his combination of post-up skills and shooting range. As he goes, so do the Pistons. But Wallace is a headcase and the Defensive Player of the Year Kevin Garnett will be defending him. Both players are the emotional hearts of their respective teams. If KG manages to frustrate Wallace and get him out of his game, Detroit doesn’t have a prayer.

Dating back to their times with the Washington Bullets and Minnesota Timberwolves, KG and Rasheed have squared off 37 times.

Wallace has won 20 of those games but KG has got the better end of their individual matchup.

KG: 19 points, 11 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 blocks, 47% from the field.

Rasheed: 16 points, 7 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 blocks, 48% from the field.

I’ll take Boston

Primarily because I believe Garnett will get the better of his matchup with Wallace. KG is a unique player. Most power forwards are uncomfortable defending Wallace outside the 3-point line, that won’t be the case with Garnett. He’ll hound Rasheed from end-line to end-line.

Much has been made of the Atlanta Hawks and Cleveland Cavaliers taking the Celtics to 7 games and Boston’s failure to win on the road. Let’s get one thing clear — Atlanta and Cleveland — are better than Philadelphia and Orlando. Philadelphia took Detroit to 6 games in the first round. Orlando lost by a combined 8 points in game’s 1 and 5.

Detroit isn’t invincible. Their perimeter defense is overrated and although they’ve advanced to six consecutive Conference Finals, that's more of a result of the inferior Eastern Conference.

(Photos by NBA.com)

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4 Comments | Add a comment   category: NBA
 
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Lil_Hoff
May 20, 2008
12:31 PM
So....you say Atlanta is better than Orlando? And you had Orlando beating Detroit?? So are you implying - by extension - that Atlanta is better than Detroit??

your hatred for Detroit - unlike your hatred for Shaq - is completely unjustified. They have great teamwork and GOOD defense (not GREAT as it once was). They haven't made the finals since Larry Brown left town, but I feel this year is theirs. (even though I will whole-heartedly rooting for Boston).

I say Detroit in 6...maybe 7.

I also disagree that Boston has the superior bench.

Hoffman
May 20, 2008
12:34 PM
Lil_Hoff

I didn't say Atlanta was better than Orlando. I implied that Cleveland was. I do think Atlanta was better than Philly.

I was wrong about Orlando beating Detroit. The Pistons were better than the Magic.

Stuckey and Maxiell are the only Detroit players who are getting significant minutes/production.

Lastly, I don't "hate" Detroit. I just don't think they are as good as most people give them credit for. They've benefited from a mediocre conference the past 6 seasons.

J-DIZZLE
May 20, 2008
6:39 PM
HOFFMAN: We've already argued this topic before so there's no point in doing it again.

But I will say this:

You may have perhaps underestimated Tayshaun Prince in the Orlando series and look what happened. Prince was arguably the most valuable Piston in that series.

He might not make as much of an impact against Boston but Prince is a difference maker. He's an x-factor just like Odom is for the Lakers.

When you have Boston's Big Three and Detroit's Big Three of Billups, Sheed, and Rip, then Prince once again becomes the deciding factor.

Plus Detroit's bench is much leaner and meaner than you think.

YOu've acknowledged Stuckey and Maxiell. But three players to watch out for in this series are Jarvis Hayes, Lindsey Hunter, and Theo Ratliff. They'll make an impact in one way or another.

Pistons in seven.

Lil_Hoff
May 20, 2008
11:10 PM
ah yes...I truly misunderstood your statement. Your sentence is worded wrong. For it to indicate what you truly mean, you need to add the word "respectively" after Orlando. honest mistake...but for a moment there I thought you had lost your mind.

You say Detroit has benefitted from a weak conference. Fair enough...but what is their record vs. the West during the last 6 seasons? I tried to find that info, but I got nada. Do you know where to find it? thanks.

I hope Boston wins! Tonight was a great start!!

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Hoffman
I love basketball. While many basketball fans enjoy the month of March, I prefer the months of April, May, and June. I look forward to productive chats, heated debates, and honest opinions.

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