Mike Greenspire Knows Best
by: Greenspire
Who is the NFC Favorite? Part Three
Jul 30, 2008 | 9:20AM | report this

The NFC is a question mark as of right now, and as I see it, is completely up for grabs. So, I have decided to take the task of deciding the NFC’s team to beat this year. For the next week, I will be looking at each NFC team in alphabetical order to find out who really is the NFC favorite heading into the 2008 season.

I will rank each team’s chances on a 1-10 scale, 1 being the worst chance of winning the conference, 10 being the best chance of winning the conference. The team with the worst chance will get a 1, while the team with the best chance will get a 10.

Today I will be discussing the Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers, Carolina Panthers and St. Louis Rams.

Lions
The Lions have some huge holes to fill both on offense and on defense. Starting with the QB, Jon Kitna. He has thrown for 4,00 yards each of the past two season with Detroit. He had 18 TDs, 20 INTs, and was sacked an NFL-leading 51 times. His only problem is that Kitna tries to make plays where there aren’t any, which cost him interceptions, fumbles, incompletions and possible hurt players.

The OLine is not doing their part, either. They let by way too many defenders on almost every play. The QB can’t do good if his offensive line can’t stop 4 guys.

The running game was horrible last year. In one game, they ended up with -16 yards rushing! That never happens, and it is all the OLine’s fault, because with players like Kevin Jones, that wouldn’t happen.

The new RB appears to be rookie Kevin Smith, and I don’t know how confident I would be with a rookie having to play in that struggling backfield. If Gosder Cherilus, the rookie offensive guard out of Boston College, can handle the kind of pressure coming at him every play, I like the offense’s chances of being able to shred apart a defensive front 7.

The wideout game is incredibly strong on paper, but when they actually play, well, lack-luster would be the best word to describe it. Calvin Johnson and Roy Williams should be catching a hundred yards a game each, but last year, they only totaled 1,592 yards receiving combined. All the offensive issues come back to the OLine. If they give Kitna enough time to throw, then don’t be surprised if both of these receivers end up with 1,200 yards.

The defense needs some work, but there isn’t much you can say about I, because I don’t know much about it. They were hot one game, and cold the next. At the end of the year, if this team doesn’t have at least 9 wins, I think a coaching change is likely.

Scale: 5

Packers
The Packers have moved on from Favre, and are set with Aaron Rodgers as their starting QB. I have not had a chance to see this guy play yet, but I did see highlights from the Thursday Night game in Dallas last year, where he almost beat the Cowboys.

If he can have that kind of production this year, then I wouldn’t doubt they make it to the playoffs. The only problem is I don’t see him having that kind of production this season. In 4 years of being with the Packers, he has only thrown 58 passes.

Ryan Grant is currently holding out which mark my words, if he doesn’t play next year the Packers have no chance of returning to the playoffs. Him and Favre were the only two guys that kept the offense moving, combing for 84% of the offense’s production in 2007. The Packers need to fork over the extra money, which is most certainly worth and extend his contract. They can’t afford to lose 84% of the production in one off-season.

If Grant does not re-sign, the wide receivers will be the ones that make or break the season. Donald Driver and Greg Jennings were freakishly effective last year, and if you ask me, if one of them breaks free, there is absolutely no catching them. I don’t think there’s a single defensive back in the NFL that can effectively cover Greg Kennings for 60 minutes, and if he can, test that guy for steroids. No joke intended, but that’s how fast these guys are. This will make Rodgers’ job that much easier.

Scale: 6

Panthers
Jake Delhomme will be the key factor for the Panthers on whether or not they have a winning season. All of his injuries and loss of stamina will be put into question because this year could be his last as the Panthers QB.

Rookie RB, Jonathan Stewart should have a really good season. The division they play in can essentially be won by any of the teams in it, so overtaking the Falcons, Bucs and Saints will have to start in week 1. It is necessary that Stewart starts out great, because otherwise, this team doesn’t have momentum, and even if they did, it’s hard for them to carry it over week after week.

The Panthers technically re-signed WR Muhsin Muhammad. He ended his stint with the Bears this past- off-season, and signed with his former team. Him and Steve Smith will make for a fearsome duo against defensive backs.

Former Penn State LB, Dan Connor, is expected to replace Dan Morgan, the LB who was sent to the Saints and shortly afterwards, retired. Connor is a physical beast, and should have gone a lot earlier than he did, but he will fit right in with the Panthers and their defense.

This is the year that decides the future of head coach John Fox. If he gets anything less than a 9 win season, I expect him to be shooed out the door.

Scale: 4

Rams
Marc Bulger got a huge contract last off-season, and I expected the Ram to finish with 7 or 8 wins. The offense struggled, and the OLine could not block to save their lives. The only Rams game I saw last season was the one where they were at home against Seattle, and that game was a disappointment. Sure, they played strong al game and kept themselves in it, but at the end, the imploded on themselves. If Marc Bulger had not left the game injured, and Gus Frerrote stayed on the bench, the Rams would have won.

I am expecting a huge season from Steven Jackson, and I think he will be the one who wins the games for St. Louis this year. Look for him to explode all over opposing defenses and average 110+ yards a game.

Torry Holt is the only real wideout left, but knowing Bulger, I think they can figure something out with the new guys they have.

The defense is sure to be stronger and more focused, now that they have someone who can lead them instead of blundering around and giving up 300+ yards passing a game. Their run defense will be more emphasized with Chris Long, and I wouldn’t doubt that the Rams red-zone defense turns in a spectacular season.

They may be a team to watch out for, but until they prove something to me, I have to grade them low.

Scale: 2

Let me hear your thoughts, and please keep your swearing at me to a minimum.

-Mike Greenspire

12 Comments | Add a comment   categories: Mike Greenspire, NFL, Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers, Carolina Panthers, St. Louis Rams
 
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justanotherfan
Jul 30, 2008
9:36 AM
Greenspire (Mike)
I believe I've stated before that a lot of the furore'll be over the Cowboys. As in many people's eyes they've been made the presumptive favorite to win it all. But I for one can see the Saints and quite possibly the Seahawks as well as the Giants giving them a run for their money. They'll live and die by Romo's play this season. And if they should fail to make it to the postseason then Phillips' job'll be on the line. I know that Garrett is the heir apparent. But he's still very much in a learning mode at this juncture.


garrett.romo.phillips
Now listen Tony no matter what you here people say about Jessica. Her IQ isn't the same as your shirt number. Although it's been rumoured that she's been telling people that it's the size of your manhood.







justan' aka tophatal ........

Lupus G.
Jul 30, 2008
12:03 PM
Good predictions Mike, but I'd have it more like this:

Panthers_ 7
Packers_ 6
Rams_ 4
Lions_ -3

Last edited by Lupus G. on July 30th at 12:05 PM.

gambitxxx
Jul 30, 2008
12:16 PM
All those teams will be rated PG...Pure Garbage!

Greenspire
Jul 30, 2008
12:41 PM
justan- I still think Romo is not fully concentrated on football. He seems distracted by Jessica. Maybe I'm just full of Hollywood gossip and #### on thta issue. Probly. Take care!

Trey- No props for your Lions? They should do okay. Good luck to them! Take care!

gambit- I like the trash talk, but even the Packers? I think they still have a good chance at it without Favre. Take care!

-Mike Greenspire

gambitxxx
Jul 30, 2008
1:17 PM
Aaron Rodgers will be to distracted to lead the team. Besides as long as Mcarthy is the coach hey'll never win a anything other than the division.

Greenspire
Jul 30, 2008
1:59 PM
Not a fan of McCarthy, Gambit? He's pretty good in my opinion. Ya know he grew up down the street from where my dad used to live.

Take care! HOLY COW!!! Do you see that? Pudge traded to the Yanks!! WOW!

-Mike Greenspire

blue@orange
Jul 30, 2008
3:48 PM
Mike; i think Gambitt is wright about the PG raiting for the Panthers anyway. Delhomme is gonna have another one of those Delhomme seasons, he's going to win the come back player award this year and since the Saints have to play them twice, the PG is going to stand for Pissin off Gambitt. Carolina will win this division.

How did i miss part 2 ?

PF
Jul 30, 2008
3:50 PM
I respectfully disagree about the Panthers. I expect them to be a wildcard team. Jonathan Stewart will be the offensive rookie of the year.

fatmaw1
Jul 30, 2008
5:38 PM
Word in training camp is that Peppers has come to camp with a new fervor...and is bigger and faster than ever. He appears to be ready to do his "contract campaign" in style. If he rocks this season, and Delhomme stays healthy, the Panthers could be the surprise team of the season. If they have any kind of running game...and stay healthy with their receivers...they could be scary good.

All's I'm saying.........

Seahawksown9ers!
Jul 31, 2008
6:08 AM
If the Panthers can keep Delhomme and DJ Hackett healthy they can have a very good offence. They have a solid OL but the loss of Wahle will hurt, and their defense seems very average to me. We will see when the season starts but I predict they get the last WC spot.

Last edited by Seahawksown9ers! on July 31st at 8:26 AM.

Battering Ram
Jul 31, 2008
1:42 PM
Rams are going 8-8 at worst, 10-6 at best which means a definite wild card spot. The Lions have and always will be a joke. The Packers... depending on what Ryan Grant keeps doing, its still going to take 4-6 games for Rodgers to gel. The Panthers are ALWAYS intriging then blow it. Out of this bunch, the Rams will prevail. P.S. I hope Dallas fails miserably as in either a horrific regular season record, or another bust in the playoffs. Either or, I'll be happy.

sf801608
Aug 1, 2008
4:24 PM
the only team on here that has a chance at the playoffs is the packers and i hate the pack. carolia is like seatle, bmore, and eagles, people always pick these teams to make the superbowl for some reason and they all are now garbage.

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free counter I am Mike Greenspire and I am a sports blogger for FOX Sports and I love the NFL, NHL, MLB, NBA, and NASCAR! I was born and raised in the city of Pittsburgh, PA, so naturally I am a die-hard fan of the Pens, Buccos, and Steelers. Since Pittsburgh basketball is long gone, my favorite team in the NBA is the Orlando Magic. Please leave a comment on my blog, I love feedback. My blog is fun, and I enjoy writing it, and I hope that you will enjoy reading it! Thanks!
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