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Champions League : 2nd Round Predictions - 1st Leg
Feb 18, 2008 | 10:49AM | report this
Well the Champions League returns on Tuesday and with that, the knock-out stage commences. There are a lot of wonderful ties to watch and there are only a few that you could look at and feel confident about a winner. Here is what I think will occur in this round.

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FC Schalke 04 v FC Porto

On paper and in person, these two are extremely evenly matched. Neither side is incredibly strong, nor are they incredibly weak. Schalke have been inconsistent in the German league this season, but having reached this far is a great accomplishment for them. While they lost at home on Friday, the fact that they'll have four days to rest for this match will be good but it doesn't give them the edge as Porto will have also been rested since Friday. Porto are running away with the Portuguese league and they could start to shift their focus in the hopes of reaching further in this competition. The question here is which team is actually stronger? Yes, Porto do lead their league, but is it in the same quality as Germany? The answer is no. Does that make Schalke a the stronger of the two because they play in a tougher league? Probably not, so again you're left looking at this match as an even contest. I like Schalke in the first leg because they're at home and the crowd will be with them. I expect a close first-half contest, with neither side putting up too many chances, but Schalke will open up in the 2nd half and score a goal. If Porto go down a goal, you'll see them move into the attack and try to grab an away goal. If they decide to play too defensive, then their only chance of scoring will be on the odd-counter attack.

Prediction: Schalke 04 v FC Porto = 2:1

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Liverpool v Inter Milan

With no FA Cup, No Carling Cup and the Premiership out of the question, there is only one trophy the Reds can win this season and the only thing that will save Rafa Benitez from being fired. They face the Italian leaders Inter Milan who have been on-fire this season both in Serie A and in the Champions League. It would be clear that Inter are the favorites in this tie, but in recent years, they have fallen and disappointed their fans in the knock-out stages. With this first match being played at The Anfield, you really have to put the edge at least in this match to Liverpool. Chances are they will play a 4-4-2 but with a midfield that will probably shift more towards aiding the defense rather than setting up the strikers. This match has draw written all over it, but the question will be does it end 0:0 or 1:1. As long as Liverpool do not give up an early goal or do not go behind in the first half, I expect them to stay with a draw. If they do manage to score first, then they could get one more, but I do not expect them to take any risks against Inter and rely on getting an away goal in the return leg.

Prediction: Liverpool v Inter Milan = 1:1

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AS Roma v Real Madrid CF

I am not a fan of either side but this is a really interesting match-up. Real should retain their La Liga title while Roma are trying to fight-off Juventus, Fiorentina and AC Milan for 2nd place in Italy. Roma suffered a 1:0 away loss to Juventus on Saturday but will be glad to have this match at home on Tuesday. Real Madrid also lost on over the weekend on the road after taking an early lead. On paper Real are the better side top-to-bottom but you can expect them to play for the draw here. They have had success against Roma in the past and this might put pressure on the club from the Italian capital to play extremely defensive at home, rather than trying to take their chances.  I expect Real Madrid to go for at least one goal and will not worry too much about taking risks up front. Roma might see this and react by shifting to a 5 in the back and play for that boring 0:0 draw. I want a goal in this match, and I expect it will come from the club in white.

Prediction: AS Roma v Real Madrid = 1:2

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Olympiakos v Chelsea

This is the match where everyone is stating, 'so who is Chelsea facing next?'. Olympiakos are the surprise team of the 16 left in the competition and they face an extremely tough side with Chelsea. Chelsea want to play in Moscow in May more than any club in this competition. They've reached the semis 3 times in the last 4 seasons missing out on the big match. Since the premiership title might be out of reach, they can focus their players on this match and I believe they will go at Olympiakos at full force. The problem with the Greek side is that they lack the experience in the later stages of this competiiton and their players are pretty old in comparison to the youth that fills the Chelsea squad. I expect Olympiakos to fight hard, but their lack of skill will only net them at best a scoreless draw.

Prediction: Olympiakos v Chelsea = 0:2

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Celtic v Barcelona

Yes, Barcelona have no performed as well as they should have this season. They have some of the best goal-scorers in the world with Messi, Henry, Ronaldinho and  Eto'o not to mention the young spark-plug that is Spanish-Serb Bojan Krkic; but due to some inconsistencies they have no played to their full potential. Celtic will probably look at this match and feel that they can cause some problems for the Barcelona side. I expect that Celtic will take their chances at home and try their hardest to score at least one goal because of their poor form outside of Scotland. Barcelona will hope that Celtic, with their risk-taking go too far and gift them a goal. I expect goals in this match from both sides and it will be the return leg that really decides the winner.

Prediction: Celtic v Barcelona = 2:2

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Lyon v Manchester United

At the beginning of this season, Lyon looked shaky at best. They didn't have their first choice keeper (Coupet) between the sticks and they were having a hard time against opposition that should be  easy 3 points. It also looked pretty bad for them when they lost their first two group stage matches, but they turned around won the matches they need to and now must feel extremely confident hosting Manchester United. Manchester had a mixed first part of their League season, but were incredible in the Champions League, although in a relatively weak group that they locked up pretty early. They will try to build on the 4:0 win over Arsenal on the weekend but this will be a very different opponent. I expect a tight contest, but I wouldn't be surprised if Manchester leave with a victory. Over the past few years, I have been a huge supporter of seeing Lyon going far in Europe but they always disapointed. I expect this year they will continue to disappoint. They'll put up a fight, but it will be a 2nd half mistake that will put them behind the 8-ball going to Manchester.

Prediction : Lyon v Manchester Utd. = 1:2

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Fenerbahce v Sevilla

Chances are if you're asked about Turkish club football, you'll respond by mentioning Galatasaray. While that's nice, they are actually not the most successful club from the country, but that Fenerbahce is. This will be the Turkish club's best chance at impressing people in Europe. They have a very diverse squad of younger Turkish players and experienced International talent. Sevilla will be favored in the grand scheme of this series, but their first match in Istanbul will be tough and something they have not experienced in either their previous UEFA Cup success or this season in the group stage. I really like Fenerbahce in the first leg; it won't be a comfortable win, but they'll squeeze out the result they need and head to Spain feeling as though they can advance to the Quarter-finals. Sevilla should not play too defensive but I am certain they will not take their chances.

Prediction: Fenerbahce v Sevilla = 1:0

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Arsenal v AC Milan

Milan looked like they were dead in the water as they couldn't win a league match at home, they were closer to relegation than to the title and nothing was going right. Then entered some young players and the entire team got a massive boost. The fountain of youth has been pretty good as of late and AC Milan are knocking on the door of finishing in the top 4 in Italy. Arsenal on the other hand have had success all season long and outside of missing out Cup trophies in England are on pace to win the Premiership for the first time since their undefeated season a few years back. The squad has developed a lot over the years but are still not that successful in knock-out competitions. They have also had some injury problems as of late and that could cause problems for them in what will be a tough contest. When you have two great clubs like this, you'd want them to have a high-scoring contest, but this has draw written all over it.

Prediction: Arsenal v AC Milan = 0:0

My predictions for the first legs of matches doesn't leave much to the imagination. The first leg is usually played with a lot of caution and clubs at home are not willing to take risks while the away squad do not play to take advantage of their defensive opposition. I think for the neutral, the match to watch will be Celtic v Barcelona while the Fenerbahce v Sevilla will definitely interest the true soccer fan. If there are any surprises, they will be in the Lyon v Manchester and any positive result for Olympiakos (meaning not losing) will also surprise a lot.

Enjoy the matches!


1 Comment | Add a comment   categories: UEFA, Champions League, Schalke, FC Porto, Liverpool, Inter Milan, AS Roma, Real Madrid, Olympiakos, Celtic, Barcelona, Lyon, Manchester United, Fenerbahce, Sevilla, Arsenal, AC Milan
 
Rant on The Champions League
Oct 04, 2007 | 8:35AM | report this

MatchDay 2 of the Champions League took place this weekend and while most people usually say that the Group Stage is uneventful, you have to admit that this season you already have some interesting situations. 

Group A : I doubt anyone would have thought that Marseille would be leading with maximum points and that Liverpool would be in third place with only a single point. Liverpool do not look anything but thankfully they do have the following two matches against Besiktas which should give them the points they need to creep back on top. I would expect Marseille and Porto to draw their two matches, but if Marseille manages to get 4 out of 6, they will advance in the group, while if Porto manages 4 out of 6, then it really opens the door for Liverpool to easily advance, even if they finish 2nd.

Group B: After Chelsea drew with Rosenborg and The Special One leaving, everyone thought that their season was over; chances are it is done in England, but Abramovich wants the Champions League, so that will be his only focus. After managing to beat Valencia in Spain will surely boost the morale of all the players. Their next matches against Schalke should be interesting. Schalke who are currently in 3rd will have to play above their abilities to steal points from Chelsea. If that happens, it could re-open the posibility for Valencia to take back the top of the group. While it is still early, what hurts for Chelsea in the long run is that they will have to go to Trondheim in late November and the lack of enough sun-light could pose a problem for the team.

Group C: This group should be the most difficult of the groups. Olympiakos and Real are tied for the lead and Lazio is close behind them with 2 draws while Bremen are surprisingly in last place with no points. I think that Bremen, even though are still in it, will not pose a threat if they fail to win maximum points in their next matches against Lazio. With Olympiakos and Madrid facing off, Lazio or Bremen could get back into the mix if the first two clubs draw with each other. Olympiakos must be playing now with purpose after finally winning a road match in the Champions League. Their fans would love nothing more than to finally go far in this tournament.

Group D: Shakhtar in First Place?! I really could not believe that in a group with AC Milan, that the team leading the group is from the Ukraine. While yes, they have not played Milan yet, this should surely be a boost in their confidence going into their next two matches. I doubt that Shakhtar will beat Milan in the San Siro, but if they manage a draw, it will be just as good as a win and it will put more pressure on Carlo Ancelotti who could be out before the end of the season. The true test here will be between Celtic and Milan, one team could miss out and at this moment, it looks like Milan could be that team out of the UCL and on the road to the UEFA Cup final.

Group E: Barca in first place, no surprise; Lyon with no points and Rangers with Maximum points, HUGE surprise. I doubt anyone who took a look at a group with powerhouse Barcelona and French Giant's Lyon would have said that they wouldn't be duking it out for first place, but the surprise from Glasgow only technically needs to get 3 more points in the next four matches to advance to the knockout rounds. The German Champs are in trouble and will probably lose to Lyon in their next match. If either side gets maximum points from at least one of their next two matches, then that club could still pose a problem, but if both matches are draws, then Rangers will advance and both the coaches for Stuttgart and Lyon will be out the door. Barcelona will probably play for a draw in Glasgow and a win at home, lock up first place and then rest players for the knockout stage.

Group F: Manchester are in control here and if they manage to win against Dynamo in their next match, will all but ensure a place in the next round. The real focus now is the battle between Roma and Sporting as both clubs standing a fighting chance to advance. If Dynamo manage to steal points from Manchester (especially in Kyiv) then things could get interesting, but it's highly doubtful. I really think the Roma v Sporting matches will be great for the neutral fan.

Group G: Another group that is great for Neutral fans, you have true Champions League Group with Champions from for respective countries and a group that is still wide open after two matches. While Inter are the team that should advance, the fact that Fenerbahce lead the group is a bit of a surprise but means nothing when they only have a 3 point cushion over last place CSKA. The jury is still out on this group, but if Inter fall or draw in their next match(es) over CSKA, could be problematic for them.

Group H:  Oh Arsenal and your Scientology ways. You are surely on the road to Moscow the way you are playing. Comfortable win against Sevilla and a nice road win against Steaua. With your upcoming matches against Slavia, you could/should win easily and enter be one of the first team to qualify for the Round of 16. Only a shock loss will cause problems for you, but that won't happen. The question here is if Sevilla can get accustomed to the Champions League and advance. Slavia and Steaua will both feel they can steal 2nd place and both will do their hardest to get the necessary points. Slavia will probably be the best bet to pip Sevilla, but only if they manage to steal a point or two against Arsenal.



 

1 Comment | Add a comment   categories: Soccer, Champioons League, Chelsea, Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester United, Marseille, FC Porto, Sporting Clube de Portugal, Steaua Bucuresti, Slavia Prague, Schalke, CSKA Moscow, Fenerbahce, Inter Milan, Celtic, AC Milan, AS Roma, Real Madrid, Barcelona
 
Chamipions League Semi Finals 2nd Leg
Apr 30, 2007 | 4:11PM | report this

Last week I was wrong with both results so this week I need to pick up the pace and make some strong predictions for my choices as to who will be facing off in Athens at the end of May

 

Liverpool FC v Chelsea FC

I really thought a draw was in the cards for the first leg; but again I have to expect that the second leg will be a tight contest, but the likelihood of it being a goal feast will be hard to come by. Both teams are great, even with Chelsea's injury woes to Ballack, Sheva and Ricardo Carvalho so you should expect another close battle between both sides. Chelsea will probably continue with its 4-3-3 while Liverpool will play a 4-3-1-2 or something similar to last week. I honestly think that the crowd will be the determining factor in this match. If the Anfield faithful can become a bother for Chelsea, then you could see 2 goals being scored by Liverpool, enough to go through. But if Chelsea play smart and try their hardest to take the crowd out early, then you could potentially see Chelsea run away with the match. I am taking draw here because of how close these two teams are. Chelsea and Liverpool should both be able to score goals, but it will be the away goal that Chelsea manages to score that will be the end result

Prediction : Liverpool FC v Chelsea 1:1

 

AC Milan v Manchester United

Since 2005, I have started to hate AC Milan more and more. Back in May of 2005 my first ever soccer match live was the Champions League final in Istanbul between AC Milan and Liverpool. I witnessed history that night and from that point on, my luck with AC has gone no where. Last summer, my beloved Red Star Belgrade had the misfortune of having to play AC Milan in the 3rd round of Qualifier; I watched the 2nd leg live in Belgrade's Marakana. When I've chosen the other team to beat Milan, Milan win. I when I take Milan to win, they lose; just as last week I took Milan to win 1:2, only for them to play slow in the 2nd half and instead of leaving with a goal lead, they trail by a goal.

I really do not know how to pick this one. I honestly see Milan advancing but I think that Man United will play them well and might actually leave with a draw. If Milan win, it will because of the missed opportunities by Manchester.

Prediction: AC Milan v Manchester United 1:0

Add a comment   categories: Liverpool, Chelsea, AC Milan, Manchester United, UEFA, Champions League, SOCCER
 
Champions League Predictions : First Leg
Apr 23, 2007 | 9:50AM | report this

The Final Four: the four ‘best’ clubs in Europe are slowly ending their seasons and we Footie fans great treated to two excellent series with four clubs that just anyone would love to watch. Considering how tight these matches will be the end result could go a number of ways but it definitely will not be settled after one match

Manchester United v AC Milan

            It was only a few weeks ago when Man Utd. were en route to a Premiership title and the buzz around a Treble were loud and clear; but all it took were a few key injuries in the backfield and now the Red Devils are in a position to end the season with no hard-ware. Sir Alex Ferguson should be relieved that Newcastle managed a home draw against Chelsea on Sunday otherwise his team could be in a lot more trouble. Without Centrebacks Nemanja Vidic and Rio Ferdinand, SAF will have to juggle his back line and will be forced to play with some inexperienced players in the key positions. Because of this, the only edge that Manchester has in this series is Wayne Rooney and the Man Utd offence, which only gives them the edge by a sliver.

 

             Milan can’t win the Italian League so they will be placing all their eggs in one basket here and the chances of reaching yet another final is strong reality. With Man Utd missing key defenders, you really have to believe that Milan’s offence will be able to do something. Chances are Milan will probably play a 4-3-1-2 formation with the amazing Kaka playing behind the two strikers. While I did say that Man Utd does have the edge in the Striker’s position, if I put Kaka in as a striker instead of a midfielder, than the edge would be gone. With Kaka able to support up front he might be able to absorb the Man Utd defense which will allow for a player like Inzaghi (if he plays) to poach a possible rebound or get open long enough to attack Van der Saar alone. Milan have the better Midfield with Pirlo and Gattuso taking control there and the defenders who are very experienced should be able to contain most of the Man Utd attacking options.

            While this game is being played in Manchester that should be of some help for the Red Devils as they will need the strong support of their fans to help them deal with AC Milan. I do expect goals in this match and goals from both squads. I don’t see Milan running away with this match, but I do see them scoring first and then riding that one goal margin, they might give up a goal late on, but they will be in the driver seat for majority of this game. If Milan does fail to score, it might end up being a huge morale boost to Manchester. But, at the same time, if Milan manages to score more than one goal on the road (as they did in Munich) then I really do not see the Manchester players being able to come-back and dent that lead. If this first leg was played in Milan first, then my outlook would be very different for Manchester, but I am never a fan of the a team that plays the first leg at home so I still fear that this could be a losing battle for Manchester even before the match begins.

Prediction : Manchester United v AC Milan 1:2


 

Chelsea FC v Liverpool FC

            Chelsea’s third Semi-final in four years, will it be third time’s a charm for them or will the club you can’t hate that returns to the final for the 2nd time in three years? On paper this is an extremely close series. With Chelsea, you have a team loaded with superstars, some with the experience necessary for this stage of the competition and others will the talent for this stage of the competition. With Liverpool, you have team loaded with experience and a few really stand-out players. These two clubs essentially cancel each other out considering how well they both are.         

            The question mark for both teams will be the play of their defenders. Depending on injuries and strategy you can’t really give the edge to one team in that department. You can expect that Chelsea will play with their normal 4-3-3 or variation formation while Liverpool will probably play the basic 4-4-2 formation. In the past, you would expect Liverpool to play with only one striker, but this team has plenty of great attacking options and having Crouch paired up with someone like Kuyt should allow them to get a lot of chances at goal. John Terry will more than likely (as long as he is playing) be paired to take on Crouch in most situations while the other defenders will have to keep their eyes on the other potential attackers. On the flip side, with strikers Drogba Shevchenko leading the attack for Chelsea, you have to also worry that Liverpool’s defence might not be able contain both of them and not worry about Ballack, Lampard and whoever else Chelsea might bring on to play in the Midfield (Wright-Philips, Essien, etc…).

            The first leg is at Stamford Bridge, so I already have fears for Chelsea in their hopes to advance; if they give up a goal at home, that could be it and Liverpool will advance, but if Chelsea manage to score and keep Liverpool off the score-sheet, then you have to feel that Chelsea will reach the final. Unfortunately, as I see both these clubs canceling each other out, I expect a repeat of 2005, and a nil-nil draw the end result. It’s not to say that the clubs won’t have their chances, they most definitely will, but considering how even these two teams will be it will give the end result an even finish.

            On the other view of this you could look at the progression of both teams in this competition. Chelsea drew at home both times (against Porto and Valencia) so that could happen again. Liverpool have won both matches on the road (against Barcelona and PSV) so that would give the edge to Liverpool. While this may be the case, remember that I am predicting a draw as the end result.

Prediction: Chelsea FC v Liverpool FC 0:0

Add a comment   categories: SOCCER, UEFA, Champions League, Manchester United, AC Milan, Chelsea, Liverpool
 
2nd Leg Quarter-final Predictions
Apr 09, 2007 | 8:17AM | report this

After some really interesting first-leg matches, the next two days will be a delight for soccer fans with four interesting matches, three of which should not be missed.

Chelsea go to Spain and will really need to steal a goal in Valencia. I expect Valencia to play quite defensive knowing quite well that, like Inter Milan in the last round, Chelsea can score goals with almost anyone on their squad. With that, while Valencia do have the home field advantage, I still think Chelsea can manage a goal, but the question will be can Valencia score two to seal the deal. My money is on Chelsea for the time being, but this one could still go either way.

Prediction: Valencia v Chelsea 0:1

United are in trouble, after beling claimed by professional analysts as the best team in Europe, they have lost two straight, their lead in England is only three points and they need to score a goal to advance to the Semis. For them thankfully, they do have that one away goal to help them out, but I think that Roma will be able to score in Manchester and I fear that there won't be enough time on the clock for Man Utd to get back into this game. But if Man Utd can score early, Roma will probably change their tactics and that could lead to counter-attack oppertunities for Man Utd and two or more goals can be scored. I doubt SAF and his side will suffer another loss, so I'm thinking a Man Utd win, but it won't be easy

Prediction: Manchester United v AS Roma 1:0

Liverpool will be heading to the final four, it's just a question how they go in. With their 3:0 away win last week, they booked a shot to head to Athens but now must decide if they want to relax and play a defensive match or continue their offensive attacks and continue to build momentum into the semis. I don't expect any of the key players (Gerrard, Reina, Crouch) to start to save them for injuries and card suspensions. Even with that, I still see them being a stronger side and another victory in the cards

Prediction: Liverpool v PSV Eindhoven 2:0

Out of all the matches, the Bayern v Milan match should be the best one. Milan in my eyes, were not anything special last week and were lucky to get the Penalty call and foolish to let up near the end to give Bayern the edge going into this match in Munich. I think Bayern will manage at least a goal and that puts pressure on Milan to score twice. Even if Milan score first, Bayern can rebound and level the scoreline with their threats upfront. This match could end in a tie, but it won't be a shoot-out tie, but a low-goal one.

Prediction: Bayern Munich v AC Milan 1:1

8 Comments | Add a comment   categories: SOCCER, UEFA, Champions League, Valencia, Chelsea, Manchester United, AS Roma, Liverpool, PSV Eindhoven, Bayern Munich, AC Milan, Quarterfinals, Predictions
 
Quarter-final Predictions
Apr 02, 2007 | 10:21AM | report this

The Quarter-finals begin tomorrow and here are my precicted outcomes of the following matches:

Tuesday:

AC Milan v Bayern Munich -

Should be an entertaining match that could end up being low scoring if there is any scoring. I think that while Milan are favored at home, they could still have a hard time scoring against a solid Munich side. With Bayern beating Schalke over the weekend they have renewed hope that they could still win the league title. While they are still behind 3 other teams, they will want to play strong and that strength will be used here. At the same time, Milan drew with Roma on Saturday and they are only 4 points out of a Champions League Qualifying spot. They need to pick up the burners and do well in Italy so I wonder if their focus will be completely on this game. The defence will determine the winner here, but the way I see it this could end in a scoreless draw.

Prediction: AC Milan v Bayern Munich = 0:0

PSV v Liverpool

I'm not a fan of PSV (I support Ajax in Holland) but you have to like them in European Competition because they are essentially the little guy at the big boy dance. They don't have any real super-stars that people can easily associate with, but they have players who work well together. They did play well against Arsenal, but Arsenal have been extremely inconsistent. Liverpool is not Arsenal and their talent will pose a problem for PSV. PSV have suffered a bit in their domestic league. Their once large lead is now only 3 points after a huge home-loss to Ajax sandwiched between two draws. Liverpool killed Arsenal over the weekend and that strength will be great as they head into Eindhoven. I have to give the edge to Liverpool and they should be able to leave with a cruical away goal. Forget about the 0:0 draw during the group stage, this is where the matches matter more and Liverpool are the better team

Prediction: PSV v Liverpool = 0:2

Wednesday:

Roma v Man United

Well before Saturday I was going to say this would end in a draw, but with the loss of Key defender Nemanja Vidic, Roma can really exploit the field and should be able to score at least one goal. Roma should be able to play well at home and that could pose a problem for Manchester. Chances are, you'll see United playing very defensive relying on counter-attacks for offensive chances. If Roma can score a goal early then they could cruise, but if Roma fail to score in the first half, that might give Manchester the confidence they'll be craving.

Prediction: Roma v Man Utd = 1:0

Chelsea v Valencia

Another toss-up here as this could go either way. Chelsea are still in the hunt for a treble (but just barely) and will be craving a victory. Valencia are in a similar boat but they will probably focus more on this match considering they know a single goal in London could be a great thing when heading back. Expect a tight contest and this could end up as being a draw. I know I haven't talked too much about this one, but when you look on paper, this is a toss-up to the highest degree.

Prediction: Chelsea v Valencia = 1:1

4 Comments | Add a comment   categories: UEFA, Champions League, SOCCER, Europe, AC Milan, Bayern Munich, PSV Eindhoven, Manchester United, Liverpool, AS Roma, Chelsea, Valencia
 
Champions League Quarter-Finals Preview
Mar 09, 2007 | 10:41AM | report this

It's closing down to the showcase final in Athens in May and we are now down to 8 clubs and some really interesting possible match-ups. Here is what I have to say about the following fixtures.

  v   

So it took AC Milan 183 minutes to finally score a goal and that was against Glasgow Celtic. While you could look at it from the other angle that AC Milan have a clean sheet for 210 minutes (in knockout stages). It's good that the AC Milan defence was able to keep the clean-sheet the lack of goals is going to hurt them if they want to get any further in this tournaments. Considering how well Bayern Munich played against Real Madrid over the two legs you have to give them the edge in this match-up. Bayern were able to score goals when they need a goal and they played well defensively against a Real team that even if they don't have their top players still have a great squad. I think the question mark here is can AC Milan score more than one goal, because this series should and will need someone to score multiple goals to win series. Right now, Bayern are my pick to advance, but if AC Milan can win the first leg by more than a goal, then they could advance. If they don't, then see Bayern in the semis.

  v 

This is a nice match-up if you're a neutral spectator because these are both good teams and if you're from Eindhoven or support PSV, you feel that this should have been the 2005 Final. PSV travel again to England but this time will have to take on a club that can score plenty. In this series, the first leg is key and the scoreline there will dictate who will go to the semis. PSV will have to continue playing well defensively in order to stop Liverpool, while on the other side, Liverpool know that if they leave Eindhoven with at least one goal then they will really have the leg up. I'm giving the edge to Liverpool because of the talent they have and the fact that is the only title they can still realistically win. Chances are that coach Benitez will rest key players in the premiership to ensure he can field the best possible squad in both matches. PSV haven't locked up the the Dutch League yet, so they will need to keep their focus on both titles and ensuring that their players stay in shape.

  v 

AS Roma really did surprise me when they managed to take down the talented Lyon side. It's not going to get any easier for them considering they must take on the leaders from England. Manchester are definitely heavy favorites here and with their rock-solid defence should be able to prevent Roma from scoring. Roma though will need to go away from their frequent lone-striker (Totti) because the only way they will break the Man Utd back four is to flood the box as much as possible. Injuries could be a problem for Manchester as they are still battling for 2 other titles (FA Cup and Premiership) so Sir Alex Ferguson needs to ensure the health of his key players.  I expect that the first leg will more than likely end in a draw, but that it will be Manchester who wins handily at home to advance to the semi-finals.

  v 

The fourth and final quarter-finals sees Chelsea take on Valencia in another match-up that that will be interesting for the neutral fan. Chelsea are finally waking up and their new signings are showing their worth and that will be important later on. It still hasn't been said what punishments will be handed out to Valencia for their part in their fight with Inter Milan after their match-up so that could affect the outcome. Chelsea will be relying on winning the first leg at home and then coasting in the second leg, but with the problems in the back with injuries conceding a goal is likely. If Valencia do manage to leave London with a draw, then they could go on and win this series. While if Chelsea can win in London without conceding, then they should be able to head to the semis.

 

4 Comments | Add a comment   categories: AC Milan, Bayern Munich, PSV Eindhoven, Liverpool, AS Roma, Manchester United, Chelsea, Valencia, UEFA Cup, Champions League, SOCCER
 
Second Leg Champions League Action
Mar 05, 2007 | 11:50AM | report this

The second leg of the first knockout stage is on Tuesday and Wednesday and there is no clear-cut winner and every team will have to play at their best to advance. Here are my predictions for the matches.

Lyon v Roma (First Leg - 0:0)

I expected the first leg would have had some scoring but unfortunately it was a scoreless draw. While the draw hurt no-one, it actually helps Roma a lot because they know that one goal will be more than enough to advance. Lyon are a great team and can score, so having not left Rome with a goal was a surprise. In the end, I still believe that Lyon is the better club but this is a wake-up for those who think Lyon can go all the way. If Lyon scores first, they will win this match, but if they give up the first goal, I fear that they will not be able to score 2 goals to make-up the difference. The first twenty minutes will determine this match and if the score stays scoreless, then look at Roma to upset, but if Lyon scores, then it's over.

Prediction: Lyon v Roma 2:0

Liverpool v Barcelona (First Leg - 2:1)

Liverpool are in the driver's seat. Having surprised everyone by winning in the Nou Camp has put Barca in a situation where they will need to score 2 goals at Anfield to advance. I think it won't happen because Liverpool are known for their strong defence and they will play a 4-5-1 formation to clog the middle of the field. You can expect that Barcelona will play with two dedicated strikers with 1 or 2 attacking midfielders in order to get a goal. In the end, this will be too much of a deficit and while Barcelona could get a goal, they'll only get one.

Prediction: Liverpool v Barcelona 1:1

Chelsea v Porto (First Leg - 1:1)

Having drawn at in Portugal Porto do still stand a chance and Chelsea know that they will have to play serious to advance. While John Terry will be out, Chelsea should try out playing with 3 defenders and 2 defensive midfielders (the old 3-2-3-2 formation). Chelsea will score a goal and that will be more than enough to advance.

Prediction: Chelsea v FC Porto 2:0

Valencia v Inter (First Leg - 2:2)

I have to like Valencia thanks to their 2:2 away draw. Inter haven't had much success since their semi-final run a few years ago so I think that with Valencia playing for a draw, the Inter offence will not be able to score to change the tide. Even if they do score, I still see if there is enough time, Valencia should be able to tie it. If Valencia score, then I doubt Inter will be able to adjust to score two goals to win this series.

Prediction: Valencia v Inter 1:1

Milan v Celtic (First Leg - 0:0)

I predicted the first leg would be a draw and even with a draw, it's clear that Milan are a better team even though this match-up isn't anything spectacular. I think one goal will be scored and it will be by Milan. Celtic will try their hardest to score, but it will be on a counter-attack that gives Milan the goal they need.

Prediction: Milan v Celtic 1:0

Arsenal v PSV (First Leg - 0:1)

When I made my initial asessements of the matches, I felt that the upset would happen here. While Arsenal are doing decent in the Premiership, I think that the recent string of problems will continue here and while they might be able to score a goal, I doubt they'll hold off PSV and they will be eliminated here. See PSV score first and relax, Arsenal will make some changes in their attempt to change the tide, but it won't be enough.

Prediction: Arsenal v PSV 1:1

Man Utd v Lille (First Leg: 1:0)

I think Lille won't even try in this leg. The problems from the first leg will continue here and you can expect their fans will try to cause problems. I think Man Utd will score at least one goal then relax on it. If Lille do give up the early goal, watch for their players to get dirty and take out their anger on the Man Utd players. This game might be interesting to watch just to see if it gets ugly.

Prediction: Man Utd v Lille 3:0

Bayern Munich v Real Madrid (First Leg: 2:3)

Another series that could go either way and it will be interesting to see who goes on. I think that this match will be tight and low-scoring so it might end scoreless, thus giving Real Madrid the victory. I think the injury to Beckham might hurt Real a bit, but they have the talent to still score on Bayern. While Bayern, are not the greatest offensive threat, they too could score. The team that scores first will win this game and advance.

Prediction: Bayern v Real 1:1

2 Comments | Add a comment   categories: Soccer, UEFA, Champions League, Manchester United, Lille, Bayern Munich, Real Madrid, Arsenal, PSV Eindhoven, AC Milan, Celtic, Valencia, Inter Milan, Chelsea, FC Porto, Liverpool, Barcelona, Lyon, Roma
 
Recap of This Week's CL Action
Feb 21, 2007 | 5:33PM | report this

The first leg of all the knockout stage matches are complete and there is definately a lot to talk about. So here we go:

Celtic v Milan

I knew this game would be low scoring and I'm not surprised the match will go to Milan as it is, but while Milan are favored here, it means little. Celtic know the next leg will be low-scoring and one goal will be more than enough to see them through so I could see them playing cautiously in the first half, then hope to strike at Milan on a counter-attack. While that will also be the strategy of Milan, wait for a celtic mistake and then captialize. I don't want to make any predictions yet, but this one at this moment is pretty even with the edge only slightly on Milan based on talent.

Real Madrid v Bayern Munich

Had this match ended at 3:1 for Real, then I would give them this tie, but thanks to the margin only being one goal, it could still go in favor of Bayern. It's going to be an interesting match for both clubs but it will be the club which can play the better defensive play that will advance. The first half will decide the match; if Bayern score in the first half, they will play extra defensive and hope to keep it at 1:0. If Real scores first, I really doubt that Bayern will be able to comeback and score two goals to advance.

PSV v Arsenal

Arsenal did not play well and they are now going to have to rely on fan support and some fireworks will have to come from the feet of the Arsenal players. The problem here in my eyes is that Arsenal doesn't score a lot and with the need to score two goals to win, it might be a problem for them. I don't count them out, but a draw in Eindhoven would have been perfect for the Gunners but now the pressure is really on them.

Lille v Manchester United

I don't think we need to address the crowd problems and the near-walkout, there will be a second-leg and the Red Devils will/should win easily to progress. The first leg wasn't anything special, but it played exactly the way SAF would want and now all they need to do is score one goal and it's over. Lille won't have much in it to even try so the 2nd leg might not be worth watching

Roma v Lyon

I really thought there would be goals scored here, but nothing. The edge is in Lyon's favor but only slightly. They needed to score a goal and now they are going to have to rely on their offence to control the match and put Roma out of their misery. If Roma scores a goal in the first half, I still think Lyon have the power to score one goal, but to score two might be too much if the time isn't there, but with the talent they have, it's not out of the question

FC Porto v Chelsea

While a draw doesn't hurt either of them, a winner would have boosted the confidence of that club. Chelsea got the goal that could see them through, but if they want to play smart and effective, they will need to score at least a goal to really make them feel calm. But at the same time, if they give up a goal, I don't think they are going to worry too much since they should be able to be comeback from a goal deficit and do what is needed. Time will be the true marker here and if an upset comes, it will be at the worst possible moment for Chelsea

Inter v Valencia

Valencia are in the driver's seat with the 2:2 draw. Even at 2:1, they were in a good position to turn the tide in the 2nd leg. With Inter needing to win in Spain, it puts a lot of pressure on a club that doesn't handle it well. Valencia will definately be playing cautious football in the next leg and that isn't too bad, but playing too defensive might hurt them. A goal will see them through and if they have that goal, then playing defensive is the only smart thing to do.

Liverpool v Barcelona

Somebody hit the panic button for Barcelona because they are in trouble. You lead the game early and then you give up two away goals in the worst possible spot. Barcelona are struggling in all departments and now they need to get out of this hole quickly. The problem is that while they have the talent, I don't know if they can do it. Two goals on the road is tough and when you know Liverpool are going to play a 4-5-1 in the next match, it means relying on Ronaldinho to dribble through half the Liverpool squad to get the Barca strikers an oppertunity to score or to attempt at the rebound. Barca need Eto'o and you can almost be certain they'll probably play a 4-3-1-2 at anfield with the possiblity of trying the 4-2-2-2 or 4-2-4 because two goals is the only way Barca are advancing.


So there you have it, my recap of the first leg of matches. While there is still 90 minutes to play, nothing is far from over and it's going to be a lot of great football to watch.
Add a comment   categories: SOCCER, UEFA, Champions Cup, Champions League, Manchester United, Arsenal, Chelsea, FC Porto, Barcelona, Real Madrid, Celtic, Liverpool, Inter Milan, AC Milan, AS Roma, Valencia, Lyon, Lille, PSV Eindhoven, Bayern Munich
 
EPL Review
Jan 21, 2007 | 10:45PM | report this

How it must suck to be a Man United fan after Sunday. On Saturday Liverpool helped you guys out by taking care of Chelsea. We all knew Sunday's match against Arsenal wouldn't be a walk in the park, but a draw would have been more than enough to increase your lead, but instead of a draw you allow Thiery Henry, who isn't known for his great heading ability to score the winner in the 92nd minute. Instead of having a 7 or 9 point lead, you only have a 6 point lead and have allowed Liverpool and Arsenal to get right back into the thick of things.

While I doubt Liverpool or Arsenal will be able to cover the difference, they can still cause enough problems to make Manchester fans worry because you now have 3 clubs that want to take you down. You're done with Arsenal, having lost both games to them, but you still have to face Chelsea and Liverpool once more each so they could narrow the margins right there.

But at the same time, Chelsea have to worry too. They have a 5 point lead on Liverpool, but if they fall, then Liverpool could sneak and take 2nd. I think the worst case scenario for Chelsea could just be that. 3rd place and having to qualify for UCL is not something Roman would want right now, and with Jose secretly reaching for the door, we Chelsea fans have to concern ourselves with a lot.

There is still a lot of soccer/football still to be played so anything can still happen. I'll be interested to see how these teams play up until the re-start of the Champions League. If Liverpool, Arsenal or Chelsea give up any ground on Manchester, I am certain that club will throw in the towel and focus solely on the UCL. But if Manchester lose while the others win, then the race until May will be ever so delicious.

 

Add a comment   categories: EPL, English Premiership, Chelsea, Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester United, Champions League
 
Champions League 2nd Round
Dec 15, 2006 | 6:10AM | report this

The draw for the 2nd round of UEFA's Champions League was held this morning and as I predicted there was one clear-cut easy match-up, two hard to predict matches and the rest are pretty evenly based.

 v  Lille v Manchester United: This really shouldn't be too tough for Manchester United who have among the best goalkeepers in the world with Edwin Van Der Sar and a slew of other great world-class players. As long as injuries are not a problem in the next two months I do not expect Manchester to have a problem in advancing. I predict a 0:1 or 1:1 scoreline in Lille with Man Utd will win easiliy 2:0 at home in the return leg.

 v Barcelona v Liverpool: The first of the two more difficult draws sees the winners from 2006 face-off against the winners of 2005. While on paper Barcelona is the better team, Liverpool are still among the best in Europe and will take these matches extremely seriously. I think the first leg will be the decider; if Liverpool can leave Barcelona with at least one goal in either a draw or a one-goal loss I think they can go back to Anfield and finish it off. But reversly, if Barcelona win the first leg comfortably, then it will be extremely difficult for Liverpool to come back considering their defense might not be able to handle the offensive weapons that Barcelona have.

v  Real Madrid v Bayern Munich: Two historically great clubs meet up again in this part of the CL and they must really hate it. Real Madrid had a tough time in a relatively easy group with Lyon, Steaua and Dynamo Kyiv finishing second and losing twice to Lyon. Bayern Munich is a good team on paper but Winter transfer rumors of players leaving Bayern (such as Owen Hargraves) might hurt them; while Real Madrid plan on buying during the holidays and they already have a world-class side. The factor in this tie is definately the first leg in Madrid. If Real win with ease then they will go through, but if Bayern steal a draw or victory, the deficit might be too much for Real to handle and the likelihood of silverware this year will disapear.

v  FC Porto v Chelsea FC: Jose again gets to face-off against his former team which has changed greatly over those two years. On paper this shouldn't be a tough one to choose as Chelsea are clearly the better team, but I think the first leg could be extremely interesting. The Porto players probably know the match at home will ultimately be the deciding factor and I could see them playing for a draw and that's all, likely playing a 5-4-1 or a 4-5-1. Chelsea will take their offensive threats and try their hardest to finish this contest as soon as possible so they can focus on the EPL and the next round. Another factor could in fact be the EPL. Chelsea will have played at least 4-6 matches in the EPL before this tie occurs and depending on how close or far they are from Leaders Manchester United are could be a factor. If Chelsea are too far from reaching the top of the EPL, they might try to focus their attention solely on winning the CL.

 v Glasgow Celtic v AC Milan: On paper Milan are the stronger of the of the two sides but are riding a two game losing streak and finished with the lowest point total of all the group winners. In fact, only Celtic and Lille finished with fewer total points than Milan (both had 9 points to Milan's 10). While Milan have struggled lately both domestically and in the CL, they are still one of the best teams around reaching the semi-finals last year, finalist the year before and winning the trophy in 2003. This is familiar territory for them and I feel that they will do what is necessary to win this tie. Celtic lack the depth that would require them to reach the later stages but will put up a fight. In the end, it won't be enough and Milan will progress.

 v  PSV Eindhoven v Arsenal: If there is going to be one 'shocker' in this round of the CL I am putting my money on PSV to be the surprise winners.  Unlike last year where Arsenal cruised through the group stage with little problem against weaker sides like Thun from Switzerland, they had a tougher time with their current group that included Porto, CSKA Moskva and Hamburg. I really think that PSV will win the first-leg 2:0 and that two goal cushion will be more than enough to hold them for the next round. Arsenal could prove me wrong, but will need to score a more than 1 goal to progress and if they go down in Eindhoven, I really do not see them scoring a lot in London to progress.

v  AS Roma v Olmpique Lyon: If you aren't a little fond of Lyon I really think there is something wrong with you. While they are clearly the strongest side in France, their play in Europe is hands-down one of the more interesting in all of the continent. Roma are not a stacked side, relying more on quality play rather than flash, but struggled to get into this stage, winning their last game against a half-#### Valencia side that already ensured itself 1st place. Lyon should be able to handle Roma the same way they managed to take care of Real Madrid in the group stage. Expect both games to go in favor for Lyon and they could reach the semi-finals in style.

v Inter Milan v Valencia CF: When I was looking over the groups, I was compelled to put this one in the extremely tough matches category considering that Inter lead Serie A while Valencia should be in the top 5 in Spain. While Valencia have struggled lately in La Liga, they are still a good side but the talent Inter have could terrorize Valencia. Once again, the first leg will determine this series and I predict Inter win that match comfortably and will advance with ease. I think for Valencia to be able to stay in this series they would need to score at least one goal in Milan do change the momentum. I think that Inter, if put in a situation where they are trailing, especially at home, could be really problematic. Inter need to ensure their fans are with them 100% from start to finish and if they give up an early goal, those fans will turn on them pretty quickly. If you're a neutral spectator, you should really enjoy this series.

So there you have it, my early predictions for the Champions League 2nd round. While these matches don't start until the end of February, the lead-up to these ties will be intense. With most of these leagues returning from winter break and/or entering the final 1/3 of their domestic leagues will be an added factor in how these teams play. Those who have already locked up enough of a lead domestically or who are not in the hunt will focus their attention on getting further in this tournament and will play their hearts out. As for who I like to actually win it all, I would not be surprised if there is a 'surprise' finalist and my money is right now on Lyon to reach the finals against a more respected club. I think Chelsea could be the other finalist, but that depends on where they are in the EPL next March.

2 Comments | Add a comment   categories: UEFA, Champions League, SOCCER, European Soccer, Manchester United, Real Madrid, Chelsea, Liverpool, Inter Milan, AC Milan, Celtic, Barcelona, Arsenal, PSV Eindhoven, Bayern Munich, Valencia, Lille, FC Porto, AS Roma
 
Champions League
Dec 13, 2006 | 5:39AM | report this

The draw for the Champions League knockout stage is set for Friday. If you have seen the list of clubs involved you can see that most if not all of these teams have historically been some of the best in Europe and the possible match-ups that could occur would make any footie fan go insane.

Just take a look at the two pots:

Group Winners:       

Runner-Ups:              

These are the 16 clubs that will all be fighting for a chance to play in the finals in Athens. They are the best of the best. Of the 16 only two clubs have not reached the finals of this tournment: Lyon and Lille, both of the french clubs. Lyon has been at this point of the tournament numerous times, usually falling to a tough side while Lille is here for the first time and a lot of people are not expecting much from them.  Further more, of the sixteen tClubs, only 6 of them have not won the trophy: Chelsea, Valencia, Lyon, Arsenal, Roma and Lille while Chelsea and both French Sides have not reached the finals. If you want to go even deeper with the quality of these teams, only Roma, Lyon and Lille have not won a major European trophy (note: Lyon and Lille have each won the Intertoto Cup, but that is not an exclusive trophy and not considered here).

If you're a fan of a club from the group winners you are hoping that your club avoids Barcelona, Inter and Real. You're praying you get Lille but wouldn't mind playing against PSV,  Celtic, Porto or Roma, considering they 'should' be beatable. While if you are a fan of a club in the runner-up grouping, you are probably hoping you're club gets to face Valencia or Milan considering of they are the only two group winner's who are not in the top five of their respective countries (Arsenal is currently 6th but they have a match today (Wednesday) and that could change). While yes, Valencia and Milan are not among the best locally, they are definately teams that you need to watch out, but honestly, all the teams are.

I am anxious for Friday's draw and will be giving my early predictions from each match. I expect there to be at least one really tough draw and one really lop-sided draw (since UEFA always manages to 'pull' that off) so stay tuned for more over the weekend.

As an added bonus, I might even give my predictions on the UEFA Cup, but that's only if there are matches worth my time.

2 Comments | Add a comment   categories: UEFA, Champions League, SOCCER, Chelsea, FC Barcelona, Barcelona, Manchester United, Lyon, Valencia, AC Milan, Inter Milan, Arsenal, Lille, AS Roma, Celtic, Real Madrid, PSV Eindhoven, FC Porto, Bayern Munich, Liverpool
 
Weekend Recap
Nov 27, 2006 | 5:59AM | report this

Another NFL weekend is just about to wrap up and yet another week of questions is about to begin. Just when you think you know what to expect in the NFL, you get hit in the face with a reality check. You'll never know what to expect. Questions and comments arise with all teams:

  • Indy can now run the ball, but still can't stop the run and what's wrong with Marvin?
  • Baltimore is for real while San Diego nearly fell to earth, Baltimore in the AFC Championship?
  • The Broncos missing the playoffs? It could happen if they give up and bring in Cutler.
  • Cinci's back in the Hunt and stand a good chance, but the muddled wild-card is going to get ugly over the next 2-3 weeks
  • Pittsburgh proves me wrong when I thought they still stood a chance to surprise everyone. Even if they win the rest of the season, it won't be enough

Then you have the NFC:

  • Tony Romo is for Real? I guess so but he needs to face some stiff competition and will he be playoff ready?
  • NY Giants, I guess after dominating 4th quarters in the first of the season, there needs to be balance.
  • Carolina: I knew playing in Washington would be rough but you need to win more of these games.
  • Atlanta: I don't mind the middle-finger but this season is done for ATL
  • San Fran: They beat Seattle (at home) they've won games (at home) but on the road they still need to improve and could have stolen yet another game if they only played smarter
  • Seattle: St. Louis helps you, now can you wake up and destroy Green Bay and retake the #3 seed in the NFC
  • Chicago: Rex Grossman didn't win you a playoff game last year, it doesn't look like he can win you one this year even if the road should go through Chicago.

 

 


 

So Chelsea and Man Utd played to my predicted draw. I watched the game and while it was a good game to watch, it was definately over-hyped by everyone at FSC and FSWC. Matches like this usually end in a draw because neither side is willing to take a risk. Man U had less to lose but more to gain. Maintaining their 3-point lead is fine, but when you could have taken a 6-point lead against Chelsea, who still have a match to play with Arsenal before the year's end, the bigger the lead going into the New Year the better. Just like the NFL, anything can still happen in the EPL so there still plenty of time for either team to take control. While I am a Chelsea supporter I would not be surprised if Man Utd do end up winning the league. Manchester have plenty of good young talent upfront and in the back, I still think their central midfield needs help and I know Michael Carrick is not the answer (just yet) but their ability to score and to prevent scores will help them.

As for Chelsea, while I love the fact that this club has depth, can do just about about any formation and have the right players for it, it actually hurts them.  When every week you have to question why isn't Super-Player X playing but Super-Player W is, there is something wrong. Also, who didn't expect Sheva to have problems in his first season? It's a known fact that players have a hard time adjusting from the Southern European game to the Northern European game. The Spanish and Italian leagues are so different than England, France and Germany and it shows when year after year players who leave the South for the North fail to adjust in their first season. Sheva should be ok in Year 2 but needs to stay commited and not think about going back to Italy.

3 Comments | Add a comment   categories: NFL Review, NFL, NFL Teams, EPL, Chelsea, Manchester United, AFC North, NFC West, NFC East, AFC West
 
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